The Alternative Load Path method is widely adopted to perform progressive collapse analyses for reinforced concrete (RC) frame structures subjected to column removal scenarios. Considering that the progressive collapses are usually dynamic phenomena, nonlinear dynamic analyses can yield the most accurate results. However, the associated computational cost is high. Alternatively, the energy-based method (EBM) can be employed to efficiently calculate the maximum dynamic responses. Unfortunately, collapse or dynamic limit states (DLS) cannot be directly determined when the EBM is adopted for the progressive collapse analyses, because it is essentially a quasi-static approach. To tackle this issue, in this paper an EBM-Intersection Point-based (EBM-IP-based) method is proposed to effectively determine the DLS. The method is considering that the dynamic instability will occur once the dynamic capacity curve exceeds the corresponding static capacity curve. Hence, it is possible to determine the DLS by making a correction on the intersection point of the aforementioned two curves without performing nonlinear dynamic time-history analyses. Compared with the other energy components, the kinetic energy at the moment of the peak displacement response is relatively small and the effectiveness of the EBM is verified. Through both static pushdown analyses and incremental dynamic analyses for 48 column removal scenarios of six different multi-story RC frames, the effectiveness of the proposed EBM-IP-based method is verified and the associated coefficients are calibrated. Statistical information and (joint) probabilistic density functions (PDF) of the coefficients are identified. Further, stochastic analyses are carried out in order to quantify the model uncertainties when adopting the EBM-IP-based method. On the basis of all the calculation results, a Gumbel distribution is adopted to capture the PDF of the model uncertainty in relation to displacements, while a lognormal distribution is adopted to fit the PDF of the model uncertainty in terms of resistances. Moreover, a multi-variate Gaussian distribution model with two components is employed to fit the joint PDF.
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