Although interventions to change nutrition policies, systems, and environments (PSE) for children are generally cost-effective for preventing childhood obesity, existing evidence suggests that nutrition education curricula, without accompanying PSE changes, are more commonly implemented. Estimate the societal costs and potential for cost-effectiveness of three nutrition education curricula frequently implemented in U.S. public schools for childhood obesity prevention. In 2021, we searched for nutrition education curricula in the SNAP-Ed Toolkit, a catalogue of interventions for obesity prevention coordinated by the federal government. Standard costing methodologies estimated the societal costs from 2023-2032 of nationwide implementation of each identified curriculum. Using the Childhood Obesity Intervention Cost-Effectiveness Study (CHOICES) microsimulation model, which projects the costs, healthcare costs saved, and cases of obesity prevented for childhood obesity prevention interventions, we conducted threshold analyses for each curriculum, estimating the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for a range of hypothetical effects on child body mass index (BMI) to determine how large of an effect each curriculum would need to have to meet a cost-effectiveness threshold of $150,000 per QALY. Three nutrition education curricula without PSE were identified from SNAP-Ed; none had evidence of an impact on obesity risk. From 2023 to 2032, the estimated implementation costs of the curricula nationwide ranged from $1.80 billion (95% UI: $1.79-$1.82 billion) to $3.48 billion (95% UI: $3.44-$3.51 billion). Each curriculum would have to reduce average child BMI by 0.10 kg/m2 or more-an effect size that has not been reported by any of the three curricula, or by more comprehensive existing prevention programs-to be considered cost-effective at this threshold. SNAP-Ed-endorsed nutrition education curricula alone are unlikely to be cost-effective for preventing childhood obesity. Continued efforts to implement interventions with strong evidence for effectiveness, including PSE approaches, are needed.
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