Sexual reproduction, a critical life history process in plants, can be altered by heat stress derived from global warming. Sexual reproduction increases genetic diversity, and the ability of plants to respond to environmental changes and dispersal. The capacity for these responses is especially relevant as plants are exposed to rising environmental stress levels imposed by climate change. We investigated the influence of environmental factors that impose physiological stress that may affect the fruit set of Spartina maritima, the sole native African and European cordgrass species. To achieve our objective, we acquired locally recorded air temperatures and tidal amplitude projections. Within population sites, we measured sedimentary conditions (pH, redox potential and electrical conductivity), and the phenological stage of S. maritima inflorescences, spikelets with non-exserted stamens and caryopses produced throughout its 10-week flowering period. Fruit set decreased as flowering period advanced, and as air temperatures and the proportion of spikelets with non-exserted stamens increased. Fruit set decreased with increased sediment anoxia. The proportion of reabsorbed caryopses increased with high air temperatures during the female phase of the inflorescence, and with higher tidal amplitudes during the male phase. These environmental stress factors could terminate caryopsis development that had commenced. Our results point to a severe potential impact of global warming on the reproductive process of native S. maritima. Mitigation of global warming will be essential to maintain population persistence and support conservation and recovery of this halophyte that provides important ecosystem services in salt marshes.