Prognostic Factor For Recurrence-free Survival Research Articles

Long-term Outcome After Surgical Resection of Paraaortic Lymph Node Metastasis of Colorectal Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

The significance of resection of paraaortic lymph node metastasis in colorectal cancer is controversial. To clarify the prognosis of colorectal cancer after paraaortic lymph node metastasis resection. Multicenter retrospective study. Thirty-six institutions in Japan participated in this study. Patients with resected and pathologically proven paraaortic lymph node metastasis of CRC between 2010 and 2015. Database and medical records at each institution. Overall survival after paraaortic lymph node metastasis resection, recurrence-free survival, and recurrence patterns after R0 resection of paraaortic lymph node metastasis. A total of 133 patients were included in the primary analysis population in this study. The 5-year overall survival rate (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 41.0% (32.0, 49.8), and the median survival (95% CI) was 4.1 (3.4, 4.7) years. Independent prognostic factors for overall survival were the pathological T stage (pT4 vs. pT1- 3, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.91, p = 0.006), other organ metastasis (present vs. absent, aHR: 1.98, p = 0.005), time to metastases (synchronous vs. metachronous, aHR: 2.02, p = 0.02), and number of paraaortic lymph node metastasis (≥3 vs. <3, aHR: 2.13, p = 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rate (95% CI) was 21.1% (13.5, 29.7), with a median (95% CI) of 1.2 (0.9, 1.4) years. The primary tumor location (left- vs. right-sided colon, aHR: 4.77, p = 0.01; rectum vs. right-sided colon, aHR: 5.27, p = 0.006), other organ metastasis (present vs. absent, aHR: 1.90, p = 0.03), number of paraaortic lymph node metastasis (≥3 vs. <3, aHR: 2.20, p = 0.001), and hospital volume (<10 vs. ≥10, aHR: 2.18, p = 0.02) were identified as independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Paraaortic lymph node recurrence was the most common at 33.3%. Selection bias cannot be ruled out because of the retrospective nature of the study. Less than three paraaortic lymph node metastasis was a favorable prognostic factor for both overall survival and recurrence-free survival. However, paraaortic lymph node metastases were considered to be a systemic disease and the significance of resection was limited. See Video Abstract.

Comparison of segmentectomy and wedge resection for cT1cN0M0 non-small cell lung cancer.

Sublobar resection is considered a standard surgical procedure for early non-small cell lung cancer, although the survival of patients undergoing sublobar resection for clinical T1cN0M0 non-small cell lung cancer remains unclear. This study aimed to compare survival between segmentectomy and wedge resection for clinical T1cN0M0 non-small cell lung cancer. This retrospective study included patients who had undergone curative surgery for cT1cN0M0 stage IA3 non-small cell lung cancer. The overall and recurrence-free survival rates of 91 patients who underwent segmentectomy or wedge resection were compared. Thirty-nine (42.9%) and 52 patients (57.1%) were included in the segmentectomy and wedge resection groups, respectively. The median length of follow-up was 6.0years (95% confidence interval 4.2 - -years) (Kaplan-Meier estimate). The 5year overall survival rates were not significantly different between the segmentectomy and wedge resection groups (67.7% vs 52.0%, P = 0.132). The 5year recurrence-free survival rate was worse in the wedge resection group than in the segmentectomy group (66.6% vs 46.9%, P = 0.047). In univariable analysis, spread through air spaces (hazard ratio, 5.889; 95% confidence interval, 2.357-14.715; P < 0.001) was an important prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival in the wedge resection group. The overall survival of patients who underwent segmentectomy for clinical T1cN0M0 non-small cell lung cancer was not significantly different from that of patients who underwent wedge resection. However, patients with cT1cN0M0 non-small cell lung cancer who underwent wedge resection tended to have a worse recurrence-free survival prognosis than those who underwent segmentectomy.

Long-term outcomes of single-port laparoscopic hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective comparative analysis.

Numerous efforts have been made to achieve minimally invasive surgery, such as single-port laparoscopic surgery. However, few studies have provided long-term follow-up information, and the number of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in previous studies has been small. The purpose in this study is to compare the long-term oncological outcomes of HCC patients who underwent single-port laparoscopic hepatectomy (SPLH) with those of patients who underwent multiport laparoscopic hepatectomy (MPLH). We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 135 patients with HCC who underwent laparoscopic liver between January 2008 and December 2018. Of the 135 patients, 53 underwent MPLH, and 82 underwent SPLH. From January 2008 to December 2018, 135 patients underwent laparoscopic hepatectomy for HCC. Among them, 82 patients underwent SPLH, and 53 patients underwent MPLH. Neither long-term overall survival (P = 0.849) nor recurrence-free survival (P = 0.057) differed significantly between the 2 groups, even though the recurrence rate was higher in the SPLH group. In the univariable analysis of risk factors for recurrence, multiple tumors, SPLH method, and portal vein invasion were statistically significant (P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis showed that the SPLH method and portal vein invasion were independent adverse prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. In terms of both short-term and long-term outcomes, the SPLH method seems to be a feasible approach for HCC in select patients. Because the potential risk of margin recurrence might produce poor oncological outcomes, strict patient selection is essential to ensure that an adequate safety margin can be secured.

Prediction of tumor recurrence after surgical resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma using magnetic resonance imaging.

To predict tumor recurrence in patients who underwent surgical resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma using preoperative magnetic resonance (MR) imaging findings combined with clinical findings. In this multicenter study, a total of 113 patients (mean age, 62.9 ± 9.8 years; 58 men and 55 women) with ampullary adenocarcinoma who underwent preoperative MR imaging and surgery with margin-negative resection between 2006 and 2017 were retrospectively included. The MR imaging findings were evaluated by two radiologists. Preoperative clinical findings were obtained. Cox proportional regression analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS). A nomogram was created based on the multivariable analysis and was internally validated. Multivariable analysis revealed that presence of infiltrative tumor margin (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.18, p = 0.019), adjacent organ invasion (HR: 3.31, p = 0.006), adjacent vessel invasion (HR: 5.42, p = 0.041), peripancreatic lymph node enlargement (HR: 2.1, p = 0.019), and jaundice (HR: 1.93, p = 0.043) were significantly associated with worse RFS of ampullary adenocarcinoma after surgical resection. These MR imaging and clinical findings were used to construct a nomogram. On internal validation, the calibration plots showed excellent agreement between the predicted probabilities and the actual rates of tumor recurrence, with Harrell's c-index of 0.746. Combination of preoperative MR imaging and clinical findings can be useful for predicting tumor recurrence after surgical resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma. Identifying these features before surgery may aid in better treatment planning and management of these patients. A predictive nomogram using preoperative MR imaging and clinical findings can be useful in estimating the recurrence-free survival after surgical resection of ampullary adenocarcinoma. • Presently, tumor size on imaging is the only non-invasive factor that correlates with recurrence-free survival from ampullary adenocarcinoma; other factors are obtained postoperatively. • Infiltrative tumor margin, adjacent organ invasion, adjacent vessel invasion, peripancreatic lymph node enlargement on MRI, and jaundice are significant predictors for recurrence. • A nomogram incorporating significant MR imaging and clinical findings showed good performance in predicting recurrence-free survival, which can help in treatment planning.

Association of preoperative and postoperative circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) with PIK3CA gene mutation with risk of recurrence in patients with non-metastatic breast cancer

BackgroundCirculating tumour DNA (ctDNA), contains tumour-specific gene mutation in blood circulation and could aid in postoperative risk stratification of non-metastatic breast cancer. In this study, we investigated the feasibility of detecting PIK3CA gene mutations in ctDNA in the preoperative (preop) and postoperative period (postop), and its prognostic significance in patients with breast cancer. MethodsA cohort of patients with breast cancer undergoing curative surgery with available blood samples preoperatively and postoperatively (Post op) at either Post op time period; week 1–2, week 3–4 or weeks 5–12 were enrolled. PIK3CA gene mutations at exons 9 and 20 were detected in ctDNA with High resolution melting (HRM) PCR and Allele specific fluorescence probe-based PCR. ResultsA total of 62 patients (age, median (IQR), 51.50 (45.0–65.0) years), with a median follow-up of 90 months (interquartile range (IQR),60–120 months) were enrolled. In total, 25 (40.3%) and 22 (35%) patients with breast cancer had detectable PIK3CA gene mutations in ctDNA in preoperative and postoperative period, respectively. PIK3CA gene mutations in ctDNA in postoperative period (hazard ratio (H.R: 18.05, p = 0.001) were a negative prognostic factor for recurrencefree survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) (H.R: 11.9, p = 0.01) in patients with breast cancer. Subgroup analysis of ctDNA indicate that positive ctDNA in both preoperative/postoperative period and post op period only were found to have prognostic effect on RFS and OS (RFS; p < 0.0001, O·S; p = 0.0007). Moreover, ctDNA-based detection preceded clinical detection of recurrence in patients with an average lead time of 12 months (IQR:20–28.5 months) across all the breast cancer subtypes. ConclusionWe highlighted the prognostic ability of ctDNA in patients with breast cancer in perioperative period. However, future prospective studies are needed to assess the utility of ctDNA in clinical practice

Long-Term Outcome of Proximal Gastrectomy for Upper-Third Advanced Gastric and Siewert Type II Esophagogastric Junction Cancer Compared With Total Gastrectomy: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

BackgroundThis study aimed to investigate the oncologic long-term safety of proximal gastrectomy for upper-third advanced gastric cancer (AGC) and Siewert type II esophagogastric junction (EGJ) cancer.MethodsThe study enrolled patients who underwent proximal gastrectomy (PG) or total gastrectomy (TG) with standard lymph node (LN) dissection for pathologically proven upper-third AGC and EGJ cancers between January 2007 and December 2018. Propensity score-matching with a 1:1 ratio was performed to reduce the influence of confounding variables such as age, sex, tumor size, T stage, N stage, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to analyze oncologic outcome. The prognostic factors of recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazard analysis.ResultsOf the 713 enrolled patients in this study, 60 received PG and 653 received TG. Propensity score-matching yielded 60 patients for each group. The overall survival rates were 61.7 % in the PG group and 68.3 % in the TG group (p = 0.676). The RFS was 86.7 % in the PG group and 83.3 % in the TG group (p = 0.634). The PG group showed eight recurrences (1 anastomosis site, 1 paraaortic LN, 1 liver, 1 spleen, 1 lung, 1 splenic hilar LN, and 2 remnant stomachs). In the multivariate analysis, the operation method was not identified as a prognostic factor of tumor recurrence.ConclusionThe patients who underwent PG had a long-term oncologic outcome similar to that for the patients who underwent TG for upper-third AGC and EGJ cancer.

Prognostication in Lymph Node-Positive Prostate Cancer with No PSA Persistence After Radical Prostatectomy.

This study aimed to create a prognostic model to predict disease recurrence among patients with lymph node involvement but no prostate-specific antigen (PSA) persistence and to explore its clinical utility. The study analyzed patients with lymph node involvement after pelvic lymph node dissection with radical prostatectomy in whom no PSA persistence was observed between 2006 and 2019 at 33 institutions. Prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed by the Cox proportional hazards model. Among 231 patients, 127 experienced disease recurrence. The factors prognostic for RFS were PSA level at diagnosis (≥ 20 vs. < 20ng/mL: hazard ratio [HR], 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-2.52; P = 0.017), International Society of Urological Pathology grade group at radical prostatectomy (RP) specimen (group ≥ 4 vs. ≤ 3: HR, 1.63; 95% CI 1.12-2.37; P = 0.010), pathologic T-stage (pT3b/4 vs. pT2/3a: HR, 1.70; 95% CI 1.20-2.42; P = 0.0031), and surgical margin status (positive vs. negative: HR, 1.60; 95% CI 1.13-2.28; P = 0.0086). The prognostic model using four parameters were associated with RFS and metastasis-free survival. The prognostic model in combination with postoperative PSA value and number of lymph nodes is clinically useful for discussing treatment choice with patients.

Identifying intense inflammatory subtype of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma using clustering approach.

To establish a risk-stratification system for predicting the postoperative recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, this study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of clusters based on blood inflammation and coagulation markers and investigate their correlation with serum cytokines and genetic alteration. This single-center, retrospective cohort study enrolled 491 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent subtotal esophagectomy between 2004 and 2012. For cluster exploration, nonhierarchical cluster analysis and k-means were applied using serum C-reactive protein, albumin, fibrinogen, and platelet-lymphocyte ratio as variables. Then, multivariate survival analysis was conducted to investigate the association of clusters with recurrence-free survival. To characterize the clusters, serum interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and genetic alteration in primary tumors, the PleSSision-Rapid panel, which can evaluate 160 representative driver genes, was used. Patients were classified into clusters 1, 2, and 3, which included 24 (5%), 161 (33%), and 306 (62%) patients, respectively. Compared with cluster 3, cluster 1 or 2 had significantly worse recurrence-free survival. Based on the multivariable analysis using cluster, pStage, and age as covariates, cluster was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.21; P = 0.02). The percentage of serum interleukin-6 and interleukin-8 levels was the highest in cluster 1, followed by clusters 2 and 3. In 23 patients with available genomic profiles, no significant difference in representative genomic alterations was observed. Non-biased clustering using inflammation and coagulation markers identified the intense inflammatory subtype, which had an independent prognostic effect on recurrence-free survival.

Evaluating Recurrence Risk in Patients Undergoing Breast-conserving Surgery Using E-cadherin Staining as a Biomarker.

Following the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines, radiotherapy is administered after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) in patients with more than four positive lymph nodes. Four positive lymph nodes are typically considered an indicator to assess disease spread and patient prognosis. However, the subjective counting of positive axillary lymph nodes underscores the need for biomarkers to improve diagnostic precision and reduce the risk of unnecessary treatments. Loss of E-cadherin expression is associated with cancer metastasis, but its potential as a predictive marker for cancer treatment remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the validity of E-cadherin as a reference for adjuvant radiotherapy in breast cancer patients with positive lymph nodes post-mastectomy. Immunohistochemistry was performed on 60 clinical tissue specimens to assess these implications. Although no significant result was found in a single E-cadherin subgroup (low, medium, and high subgroups according to the X-tile algorithm), the proposed multivariate model, including the E-cadherin category, breast cancer subtype, and tumor size, yielded satisfactory recurrence risk estimation results for patients undergoing BCS. Patients with a low E-cadherin category, triple-negative breast cancers, and tumor size over 5 cm could have an increased risk of recurrence. Our study proposed a multivariate model that serves as a candidate prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival in patients undergoing BCS and radiotherapy. Utilizing this model for patient stratification in high-risk diseases and as a standard for assessing postoperative intensified therapy can potentially improve patient outcomes.

Prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival in resected pathologic N2-stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with upfront surgery.

The standard treatment for pathological N2 (pN2) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients is definitive chemoradiation. Surgery might be beneficial for resectable pN2 disease, so we investigated the recurrence-free interval of upfront surgery for selected patients with resectable pN2 disease. The clinicopathologic characteristics of patients with pN2 NSCLC who underwent upfront anatomical resection at Taipei Veterans General Hospital from 2011 January to 2019 December were retrospectively reviewed. A Cox regression model was used to identify prognostic factors of recurrence-free survival (RFS). In total, 84 patients after curative lung anatomic resection were analyzed, with a 44-month median survival. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates were 63.1%, 31.3%, and 19.9%, respectively, with a median RFS of 18.9 months. Multivariable cox regression analysis identified that the significant predictor for RFS was a tumor size of more than 3 cm (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.74, 95% CI, 1.07-2.83, p = 0.027). Visceral pleural invasion, LN harvest number, tumor stage, and N2 status including single zone (N2a) or multiple zones (N2b) were not prognostic factors in this study. Upfront surgery for resectable N2 disease achieved favorable outcomes in selected patients, especially better recurrence control with limited tumor size. Therapeutic advances might encourage surgeons to aggressive intervention.

Recurrence-Free Survival and Disease-Specific Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: A Single-Center Retrospective Study of 413 Patients.

The prognosis and impact of different prognostic factors in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (pNEN) remain controversial. To investigate prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival in patients with pNEN, divided into three groups: patients undergoing surveillance (tumor size < 2 cm, group 1), patients followed after curative-intended surgery (group 2), and patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection (group 3). A single-center retrospective study including consecutive patients over a 20-year period. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors. 413 patients were included, with a mean (SD) age of 62 ± 14 years. In group 1 (n = 51), median (IQR) follow-up was 29 (21-34) months, and tumor size was 1.0 (0.8-1.4) cm. One progressed and had a tumor resection. In group 2 (n = 165), follow-up 59 (31-102) months, median tumor size 2 (1.2-3.4) cm, median Ki-67 index 5 (3-10)%, the 5-year recurrence rate was 21%. Tumor size (p < 0.001), Ki-67 index (p = 0.02), and location in the pancreatic head (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors. In group 3 (n = 197), follow-up 19 (6-46) months, median tumor size 4.2 (2.6-7.0) cm, Ki-67 index 17 (9-64)%, the median disease-specific survival was 22 (6-75) months-99 in NET G1; 54 in NET G2; 14 in NET G3; and 6 months in neuroendocrine carcinomas (NEC). Age (p = 0.029), plasma chromogranin A (p = 0.014), and proliferation, expressed by grade (p = 0.001) and Ki-67 index (p < 0.001), were risk factors. Growth in pNET < 2 cm requiring surgery was observed in 1/51. Tumor size, Ki-67 index, and location in the head were prognostic factors for disease recurrence, while age, plasma chromogranin A, and proliferation predicted mortality in patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection.

Neutrophil Extracellular Trap is Surrogate Biomarker for Prognosis and Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer.

To demonstrate the intrinsic association of Neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) with outcome and neoadjuvant therapy response of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), and the mechanisms. We enrolled 240 patients with LARC who underwent surgery without neoadjuvant therapy in two independent sets (training and validation), and 153 patients who received neoadjuvant therapy with biopsy followed by surgery. Immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence staining and bioinformatics analysis were performed in formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded sections. NETs were identified by costaining for myeloperoxidase and citrullinated histone H3. NETs were associated with recurrence-free survival in the surgical training and validation sets. High-NET density predicted poor postoperative survival of patients with LARC. Multivariate analysis identified NETs, TNM stage, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. Low-NETs LARC demonstrated increased CD8+ T cell and lower T regulatory cell infiltration, which indicated a tumor immune microenvironment with strong antitumor capacity. High-NET density was associated with epithelial-mesenchymal transition, which is considered to contribute to tumor progression. In the neoadjuvant therapy cohort, high-NET density on biopsy was significantly associated with reduced likelihood of complete/near complete response. NET was an independent prognostic factor in LARC that were associated with patients' survival, and NET density in pretreatment biopsies was an independent predictive biomarker of response to neoadjuvant therapy. This biomarker may be helpful in predicting survival in LARC with improved accuracy and selecting patients who will respond to neoadjuvant therapy.

The Clinical Influence of Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index in Patients With Gastric Cancer Who Receive Curative Treatment.

We evaluated the clinical impact of the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) in patients who received curative treatment and perioperative adjuvant treatment. We also investigated the association between the GNRI and the clinicopathological features of patients with GC. This study included 280 patients who underwent curative treatment for GC between 2005 and 2020. The prognosis and clinicopathological parameters of the high-GNRI and low-GNRI groups were compared. In the GNRI-high group, the overall survival (OS) rates at 3 and 5 years after surgery were significantly lower (82.7% and 77.9%, respectively) than those in the GNRI-low group (56.4% and 40.8%). The GNRI was selected for the final multivariate analysis model for OS. The GNRI was also a significant prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS). The RFS rates at 3 and 5 years after surgery were 79.1% and 74.8%, respectively, in the GNRI-high group, and 48.0% and 38.6% in the GNRI-low group. The GNRI was selected for the final multivariate analysis model for RFS. The GNRI was also found to affect the postoperative clinical course, including postoperative surgical complications and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. The GNRI may be a promising prognostic and predictive factor for gastric cancer. In the future, the GNRI may be used to select optimal treatment strategies.

Enhanced Risk Stratification in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: Integrating POLE through Droplet Digital PCR and L1CAM.

In order to enhance risk stratification in early-stage endometrial cancer (EC), we conducted molecular classification using surrogate markers, including the POLE droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) and L1CAM immunohistochemistry (IHC). We analyzed archival tumor tissue from 183 early-stage EC patients. POLE pathogenic mutations of P286R, V411L, S297F, A456P, and S459F within exons 9, 13, and 14 were detected using a ddPCR, while the mismatch repair (MMR) status was determined by MMR protein IHC and MSI tests. Additionally, we conducted IHC for p53 and L1CAM. The 183 ECs were categorized into four subgroups: POLE-mutated (15.9%), MMR-deficient (29.0%), p53-abnormal (8.7%), and non-specific molecular profile (NSMP, 46.4%). We further subcategorized the NSMP subgroup into NSMP-L1CAMneg (41.5%) and NSMP-L1CAMpos (4.9%), which we refer to as the molecular L1CAM classification. The molecular L1CAM classification was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001, each). Integrating molecular L1CAM classification can enhance risk stratification in early-stage EC, providing valuable prognostic information to guide treatment decisions and improve patient outcomes. POLE ddPCR might be a cost-effective and easy-to-perform test as an alternative to POLE NGS.

Prognostic Value of Combined LMR and CEA Dynamic Monitoring in Postoperative Colorectal Cancer Patients.

We aim to investigate the clinical significance of dynamic changes in the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in peripheral blood at different time points combined with CEA in the prediction of postoperative-recurrence-in-patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). This study collected 357 patients with stage I-III CRC between 2016 and April 2018. The dynamic changes from preoperative to postoperative LMR (p-LMR-p) and NLR (p-NLR-p) were analyzed using COX regression for multivariate analysis. Logistic regression was used to investigate whether the dynamic changes from post-treatment to pre-end of follow-up LMR (p-LMR-f) and NLR (p-NLR-f) were independent risk factors for CRC recurrence and to construct a predictive model. Internal validation using bootstrapping was performed to validate the discrimination ability of the model. The models' discriminative effect, calibration degree, and clinical utility were assessed. In both the total cohort and the adjuvant therapy group, the dynamic changes of p-LMR-p (High-High vs Low-Low: p=0.006; HR:2.210, 95% CI: 1.256-3.890) were found to be independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in CRC patients. Additionally, logistic regression analysis revealed that N stage, CEA, LMR of pre-end of follow-up (f-LMR), and p-LMR-f were independent risk factors for CRC recurrence. In the total cohort, the p-LMR-f had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.704, with a sensitivity of 64% and a specificity of 75.3%. By combining p-LMR-f with CEA, a predictive model was constructed, which showed an AUC of 0.913 (0.986-0.913) in the total cohort and an AUC of 0.924 (0.902-0.924) in the adjuvant therapy group during internal validation using bootstrapping. Dynamic changes in LMR can be used to predict the prognosis of CRC and serve as a biomarker for predicting CRC recurrence. Combined with CEA, it can improve the predictive performance for detecting CRC recurrence.

289. RISK FACTOR OF RELAPSE IN ESOPHAGEAL SQUAMOUS CELL CARCINOMA WHO ACHIEVE PATHOLOGIC COMPLETE RESPONSE TO NEOADJUVANT CHEMORADIOTHERAPY

Abstract Background Controversy still exists as to the risk factors of recurrence in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who achieve pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plus esophagectomy. This study aimed to investigate the patterns and risk factors for recurrence in ESCC patients with pCR after nCRT in a single center. Method Between January 2008 and December 2018 a total of 96 ESCC cases with pCR were enrolled in this study. Sterilized lymph nodes (SLN) were defined as those lymph nodes without residual tumor but with the presence of treatment response to nCRT. Recurrence patterns were investigated and then prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed with univariate and multivariate analyses. Results The median follow-up time was 51.5 months. Recurrence occurred in 15 cases (15.6%) with a 9.9 months median time to recurrence and a 15.6 months median survival after recurrence. The most majority of recurrent diseases developed within the first 2 years after surgery. Distant recurrences were detected in 14 cases (14.6%), in which the most common recurrence sites were supraclavicular lymph nodes and lung, followed by para-aortic lymph nodes. The mean RFS in the whole cohort was 116.6 months. Positive SLN was identified as the independently prognostic factor for worse RFS in the multivariate analysis (HR: 5.93, 95%CI: 2.09–16.86, P = 0.001). Conclusion Relapse is not rare in ESCC cases with pCR after nCRT. Distant recurrences, the predominant pattern of relapse, mostly occur with the first 2 years after esophagectomy. pCR patients with positive SLN have a higher risk for postoperative recurrence.

Preoperative assessment of microvascular invasion risk using gadoxetate-enhanced MRI for predicting outcomes after liver transplantation for single hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria.

To compare therapeutic outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) between hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) with low and high risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) within the Milan criteria evaluated preoperatively. Eighty patients with a single HCC who underwent LT as the initial therapy between 2008 and 2017 were included from two tertiary referral medical centers in a HBV-predominant population. A preoperative MVI-risk model was used to identify low- and high-risk patients. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) after LT between the two risk groups was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test. Prognostic factors for RFS were identified using a multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis. Eighty patients were included (mean age, 51.8 years +/- 7.5 [standard deviation], 65 men). Patients were divided into low-risk (n = 64) and high-risk (n = 16) groups for MVI. The RFS rates after LT were significantly lower in the MVI high-risk group compared to the low-risk group at 1 year (75.0% [95% CI: 56.5-99.5%] vs. 96.9% [92.7-100%], p = 0.048), 3 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008), and 5 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. and 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008). In addition, multivariable analysis showed that MVI high risk was the only significant factor for poor RFS (p = 0.016). HCC patients with a high risk of MVI showed significantly lower RFS after LT than those without. This model could aid in selecting optimal candidates in addition to the Milan criteria when considering upfront LT for patients with HCC if alternative treatment options are available. High risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma patients lowered recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation, despite meeting the Milan criteria. Identifying MVI risk could aid candidate selection for upfront liver transplantation, particularly if alternative treatments are available. • A predictive model-derived microvascular invasion (MVI) high- and low-risk groups had a significant difference in the incidence of MVI on pathology. • Recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation (LT) for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria was significantly different between the MVI high- and low-risk groups. • The peak incidence of tumor recurrence was 20 months after liver transplantation, probably indicating that HCC with high risk for MVI had a high risk of early (≤ 2 years) tumor recurrence.

Simplified and Optimized Immune Score for Colorectal Cancer Microenvironment.

Immunoscore (IS) is an important evaluation method for the tumor immune microenvironment (TIME); however, formal IS analysis requires designated reagents and a specific digital pathology software and image data analysis. This study aimed to investigate whether simplified IS (s-IS) can substitute formal IS upon modifying the location of the assessment of the numbers of immune cells and verify that the addition of T cell subset markers to s-IS can enhance the prognostic impact in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). A total of 82 CRC cases were included in this study. Immunohistochemical analysis was performed using CD3/CD8/CD45RO/FOXP3 on tissue specimens; the expression levels were calculated in the center and perimeter of the tumors using digital pathology. The clinical prognostic significance of the expression of these markers was investigated by concordance index comparison according to their location of assessment and combinations. In the univariate analysis, the CD3, CD8, and FOXP3 levels were significant prognostic factors. Moreover, for each T cell subset marker, the assessment of each T cell subset marker at the tumor perimeter had a stronger prognostic power than that in the tumor center. The modified s-IS (s-IS plus FOXP3 evaluation) was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival and overall survival through multivariate analysis and demonstrated the best prognostic power compared to other T subset marker combinations. In CRC, TIME evaluation could be simplified by assessing CD3- and CD8-positive T cells in the perimeter of the tumor, and additional FOXP3 evaluation would empower the ability of s-IS evaluation in prognostic assessment.

Long-term survival and prognostic factors associated with curative conversion surgery for ct4b esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: Analysis of 200 consecutive cases

BackgroundThe optimal treatment strategy for cT4b esophageal cancer has not been established yet. Although curative surgery is sometimes performed after induction treatments, the prognostic factor of cT4b esophageal cancer cases who underwent R0 resection remains unknown. MethodsA total of 200 patients with cT4b esophageal cancer who underwent R0 resection after induction treatments between 2001 and 2020 in our institute were included in the present study. The relationship between clinicopathological factors and patient survival is evaluated to identify useful prognostic factors. ResultsThe median and 2-year overall survival were 40.1 months and 62.8%, respectively. Disease recurrence occurred in 98 (49%) patients after surgery. Compared to induction chemotherapy alone, chemoradiation-based induction treatments were associated with decreased locoregional recurrence (34.0% vs 60.8%, P = .0077) but increased pulmonary metastases (27.7% vs 9.8%, P = .0210) and dissemination (19.1% vs 3.9%, P = .0139) after surgery. Multivariate analysis of overall survival identified the preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (hazard ratio 1.7957, P = .0031), response to induction treatments (hazard ratio 2.9663, P = .0009), postoperative pneumonia (hazard ratio 2.3784, P = .0010), and pN (2–3) (hazard ratio 1.5693, P = .0355) as independent prognostic factors. Preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (hazard ratio 1.6760, P = .0068) and postoperative pneumonia (hazard ratio 1.8365, P = .0200) were also independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival. ConclusionCurative surgery after induction therapy for cT4b esophageal cancer achieved favorable survival. Preoperative C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, postoperative pneumonia, response to induction treatments, and pN were useful prognostic factors.

Recurrence-free Survival After Liver Transplantation Versus Surgical Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Role of High-risk MRI Features.

This study aimed to evaluate recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after liver transplantation (LT) or liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and perform subgroup analysis for HCC with high-risk imaging findings for recurrence on preoperative liver magnetic resonance imaging (MRI; high-risk MRI features). We included patients with HCC eligible for both LT and LR and received either of the treatments between June 2008 and February 2021 from 2 tertiary referral medical centers after propensity score-matching. RFS and OS were compared between LT and LR using Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test. Propensity score-matching yielded 79 patients in the LT group and 142 patients in the LR group. High-risk MRI features were noted in 39 patients (49.4%) in the LT group and 98 (69.0%) in the LR group. The Kaplan-Meier curves for RFS and OS were not significantly different between the 2 treatments among the high-risk group (RFS, P = 0.079; OS, P = 0.755). Multivariable analysis showed that treatment type was not a prognostic factor for RFS and OS (P = 0.074 and 0.937, respectively). The advantage of LT over LR for RFS may be less evident among patients with high-risk MRI features.