Farm Profit change over time is first decomposed into a price effect and a quantity effect; the quantity effect is then decomposed into a productivity effect and an activity effect; in turn, the productivity effect is subdivided into a technical efficiency effect and a technical change effect, while the activity effect is divided into a scale effect, resource mix effect and product mix effect. The end result is therefore a measure of six distinct components of profit change. The methodology is used to investigate profit changes for a sample of cereal farms drawn from the Farm Business Survey in India for the period 2007 to 2013. The results of the analysis show an overall decline in profit levels for the period at the average speed of £4400 annually, with the major part of this decline attributable to a negative price effect amounting to £7000 annually on average. However, this was to some degree offset by a positive quantity effect largely driven by the positive contribution of technical change to profit growth, worth £4000 annually on average. The pattern of development and trends in productivity and profitability have been analysed to find whether Indian agriculture meets the requirements of sustainable development. The study is based on the secondary data culled from the publications of the Department of Agriculture and Department of Statistics, Govt. of India. A tremendous development and spectacular growth have been observed in agriculture during the past five decades, 1949–50 to 1999–2000. However, there has not been any spectacular modification in the technology since 1980s, leading to a continuous deceleration in the rates of growth of both production and productivity of most crops in recent years. Because of decline in yield, the economic condition of farmers has deteriorated. On the other side, non-agricultural sector has shown a growth of 6 per cent. This increasing disparity between per capita income of agricultural and non-agricultural sectors is likely to raise social disorder in the farming class. Our study used cost-benefit and econometric analysis to draw difference between productivity and profit components in the agriculture sector.
Read full abstract