Background: Circulating high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) is associated with the risk of future cardiovascular (CV) events in stable patients (pts). Data are scarce regarding changes of hs-cTnI in a stable setting. Aims: To study baseline and changes of hs-cTnI in pts with atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD), and the association with risk of major CV events. Methods: We measured hs-cTnI (Abbott ARCHITECT) at baseline (BL) and 24 weeks (wks) in 20,718 pts enrolled in a nested biomarker study of the FOURIER trial, which tested the PCSK9i evolocumab vs. placebo in pts with ASCVD on statin and LDL > 70 or non-HDL > 100 mg/dL. The primary endpoint was an adjudicated composite of CV death, MI, stroke, hosp. for unstable angina, or coronary revascularization. The HR (95% CI) across percent-change of hs-cTnI was investigated in pts with quantifiable hs-cTnI at BL and 24 wks (lower limit of quantification (LLOQ) 3.6ng/L) using restricted-cubic splines and Cox-PH models, adjusted for sex, age, LDL at BL, prior MI, randomized treatment, eGFR, DM, HTN, prior HF, and BMI. A Generalized Additive Model was used to predict event rates as a function of hs-cTnI BL and absolute change, flexibly evaluated with a non-linear interaction. All models were based on 3-year follow-up using landmark analysis from 24 wks. Results: Median age was 63 yrs (25 th , 75 th percentiles: 56, 69), 75.5% were male, 86.1% had CAD, 13.7% PAD, and 19.0% a prior stroke. Of these pts, 11,021 (46.8%) had hs-cTnI > LLOQ at BL and 24 wks. The median hs-cTnI at 24 wks was 6.6ng/L (5 th , 25 th , 75 th , 95 th percentiles are: 3.7, 4.7, 11.9, 51.1 ng/L). The absolute event rate of the primary endpoint across hs-cTnI BL and depending on absolute hs-cTnI change to 24 wks is shown in Fig. A . Higher Hs-cTnI BL was associated with higher event rates (p < 0.001). Additionally, absolute reductions and increases of hs-cTnI from BL to 24 wks resulted in reduced and increased event rates, respectively, across hs-cTnI BL . Additionally, relative decrease and increase of hs-cTnI from BL to 24 wks were associated with reduced and increased relative risk, respectively (p for overall effect < 0.001, Fig. B ). Conclusion: Changes in hs-cTnI are associated with the risk of future CV events. Serial measurements of hs-cTnI may aid in reclassification of CV risk and the identification of pts whose CV risk changes with time.
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