Food Prices Research Articles

Geopolitical Risk and Food Price Inflation: A GVAR Analysis of BRICS and the G7

ABSTRACT We investigate the influence of geopolitical risk on domestic food prices in 12 economies (BRICS and the G7) using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach from 2003M1 to 2022M9. The results show that geopolitical risk shocks cause increases in international prices (oil, agricultural, and general commodity prices). We found that these shocks also provoke fluctuations in domestic food prices. The variance decomposition indicated that international prices and geopolitical risk contribute to the formation of domestic food prices. Finally, the estimates suggest relevant differences between the formation of domestic food prices in BRICS and G7 countries.

Sustainable Operations of Online and Offline Restaurants: Focusing on Multi-Brand Restaurants

This study investigates the sustainable operations of a multi-brand restaurant that adopts multiple brands in a store, unlike a typical restaurant that operates only a single brand. We introduce five restaurant operation models, including three traditional single-brand ones (offline, online, and multi-channel) and two recent multi-brand restaurants with a single fixed franchise fee and multiple franchise fees proportional to the number of brands. We then investigate the performance of the models in the changing market and cost environments. Through analytical and numerical analyses, we reveal that adopting a multi-brand restaurant does not always guarantee superior profit performance. Such an adoption is recommended under certain conditions, such as when the potential market base is large, consumers are not very price-sensitive, food and delivery costs are low, an increase in food items does not significantly impact process inefficiency, franchise fees are low, or the relative market power of multiple brands is strong. Otherwise, adopting the traditional single-brand restaurant would guarantee better profit performance. Therefore, for a sustainable multi-brand restaurant adoption, it is important to create a business environment that can lower food prices, and a thorough understanding of the decision dynamics related to the number of brands is required.

Analisis Resepsi pada Konten Review Food Vlogger TikTok @Codebluuuu Studi Kasus Warung Nyak Kopsah di Cipondoh Tangerang

This research aims to understand the meaning given by TikTok @Codebluuuu followers to the video review and how they are positioned in interpreting it. This research uses an interpretive paradigm, this research uses a descriptive qualitative approach with the reception method applied, referring to Stuart Hall's classification: dominant-hegemonic, negotiation, and opposition. Informants were selected using purposive sampling method based on criteria that are in accordance with the research objectives. The results showed that informants divided the meaning of video reviews into two sides: positive and negative. The positive side sees criticism as learning and encouragement of improvement for business actors, while the negative side views it as adversely affecting Nyak Kopsah's business reputation. The majority of informants are in the Negotiate position, accepting the dominant ideology but resisting its full implementation. They recognized the importance of honest criticism of food quality and prices for consumer information, but adjusted their views based on personal experience and social environment. In addition, they emphasized that the way in which criticism is delivered by Codebluu must be considered so as not to cause excessive negative effects.

A Study on Comparative Analysis Regarding Gen-Z’s Perception Over Domino’s Pizza and Pizza Hut in Ahmedabad City

This study investigates Generation Z's perceptions of Domino’s and Pizza Hut in Ahmedabad, focusing on factors such as food quality, pricing, and brand reputation. Utilizing a quantitative approach, the research tests eight hypotheses related to the influence of age on these perceptions. The findings reveal that age does not significantly impact how Generation Z evaluates these brands, leading to the rejection of all null hypotheses. This suggests a shared perspective among this demographic, indicating that factors beyond age—such as overall experience and brand engagement—are crucial in shaping their preferences. The study highlights the need for targeted marketing strategies that resonate with Generation Z's values, particularly in terms of health, sustainability, and digital engagement. Furthermore, enhancing customer experiences and effectively communicating brand value are essential for building loyalty. The findings also emphasize the importance of corporate social responsibility initiatives in improving brand reputation among socially conscious consumers. The study concludes by offering recommendations for future research, including broader demographic analyses and qualitative approaches to gain deeper insights into consumer motivations.

Evaluating the application of front-of-package labelling regulations to menu labelling in the Canadian restaurant sector using Menu Food Label Information and Price (Menu-FLIP) 2020 data.

To evaluate the application of front-of-package (FOP) labelling regulations to menu labelling in the Canadian restaurant sector by assessing the proportion of menu items that would be required to display the 'high-in' FOP symbol if the policy were extended to the restaurant sector. Nutrition information of 18,760 menu items were collected from 141 chain restaurants in Canada. Menu items were evaluated using the mandatory FOP labelling regulations promulgated in Canada Gazette II by Health Canada in July of 2022. Chain restaurants with ≥20 establishments in Canada. Canadian chain restaurant menu items including beverages, desserts, entrées, sides, and starters. Overall, 77% of menu items in the Canadian restaurant sector would display a 'high-in' FOP symbol. Among these menu items, 43% would display 'high-in' one nutrient, 54% would display 'high-in' two, and 3% would display 'high-in' all three nutrients-of-concern. By nutrient, 52% were 'high-in' sodium, and 24% and 47% were 'high-in' total sugars and saturated fat, respectively. Given the poor nutritional quality of restaurant foods, the current regulations, if applied to restaurant foods, would result in most menu items displaying a FOP symbol. Therefore, expanding the Canadian FOP labelling regulations to the restaurant sector can be key to ensuring a healthy food environment for Canadians. Furthermore, menu labelling along with other multi-faceted approaches such as reformulation targets are necessary to improve the dietary intake of Canadians from restaurant foods.

The Impact of Russia – Ukraine War on Global Economy

The invasion of Ukraine by Russia contributed to a notable rise in global prices of food and crude oil petroleum. The surge in the global food price index following the invasion was fueled by supply chain disruptions. In general, the incursion resulted in a continuous increase in inflation in both belligerent and non-belligerent nations. The following study shows how economic sanctions and regional conflict lead to an international energy crisis. Despite mediating countries like Turkey, it had a disastrous impact not only on geopolitical stability but also on economic development within and outside of Europe. The study used to assess the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on global trade and business. This paper investigates the global economic growth and consequences of the Russia-Ukraine war over a four month period from December 2021 to March 2022. Russia invaded Ukraine on the 24th of February 2022.

“When you have stress because you don’t have food”: Climate, food security, and mental health during pregnancy among Bakiga and Indigenous Batwa women in rural Uganda

Climate change exerts wide-ranging and significant effects on global mental health via multifactorial pathways, including food insecurity. Indigenous Peoples and pregnant women inequitably experience the harms associated with climate change and food insecurity. This study explores food security and maternal mental health during pregnancy among rural Ugandan Bakiga and Indigenous Batwa women in the context of climate change. Using a community-based research approach, we conducted a series of focus group discussions about climate, food security, and health during pregnancy in four Indigenous Batwa communities and four Bakiga communities in rural Kanungu District, Uganda, as well as longitudinal follow up interviews later in the year. Data were evaluated using a qualitative thematic analysis. Women consistently identified mental health as an important factor affecting maternal-fetal wellbeing during pregnancy. Many women identified that weather and climate extremes, such as prolonged droughts and unpredictable weather events, have made it more difficult for them to obtain sufficient food for themselves and their families during pregnancy, resulting in significant mental distress. More extreme weather conditions have made physical labour difficult or impossible during pregnancy, and resultant hunger further decreased ability to obtain food—a vicious cycle. Women described how anxiety was compounded by worry about future famine, as they anticipated further decreases in crop yields and rising food prices in a changing climate. Indigenous Batwa women experienced additional distress around their lack of access to Indigenous lands and its nutritious food sources. Overall, mothers in rural Uganda described food insecurity and climate extremes as major sources of stress during pregnancy, and they anticipate challenges will worsen. Interventions to enhance adaptive capacity to climate change are needed and should have a focus on the intricate connections with food insecurity and mental health as drivers of overall maternal health.

Synergistic Integration of Carbon Quantum Dots in Biopolymer Matrices: An Overview of Current Advancements in Antioxidant and Antimicrobial Active Packaging

Approximately one-third of the world’s food production, i.e., 1.43 billion tons, is wasted annually, resulting in economic losses of nearly USD 940 billion and undermining food system sustainability. This waste depletes resources, contributes to greenhouse gas emissions, and negatively affects food security and prices. Although traditional packaging preserves food quality, it cannot satisfy the demands of extended shelf life, safety, and sustainability. Consequently, active packaging using biopolymer matrices containing antioxidants and antimicrobials is a promising solution. This review examines the current advancements in the integration of carbon quantum dots (CQDs) into biopolymer-based active packaging, focusing on their antioxidant and antimicrobial properties. CQDs provide unique advantages over traditional nanoparticles and natural compounds, including high biocompatibility, tunable surface functionality, and environmental sustainability. This review explores the mechanisms through which CQDs impart antioxidant and antimicrobial activities, their synthesis methods, and their functionalization to optimize the efficacy of biopolymer matrices. Recent studies have highlighted that CQD-enhanced biopolymers maintain biodegradability with enhanced antioxidant and antimicrobial functions. Additionally, potential challenges, such as toxicity, regulatory considerations, and scalability are discussed, offering insights into future research directions and industrial applications. This review demonstrates the potential of CQD-incorporated biopolymer matrices to transform active packaging, aligning with sustainability goals and advancing food preservation technologies.

Early Season Crop Acreage Estimation for Pigeon Pea using SAR Data: A Case Study of Kalaburagi District, Karnataka

Crop acreage estimates using space-based observations during mid-season and pre-harvest periods are operationally provided for major Kharif and Rabi crops in India. These are critical inputs for planning and decision-making concerning food security, storage, pricing, and procurement. This work explores the potential of Satellite C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data in VV and VH polarization, acquired during monsoon season, for early crop acreage assessment of Pigeon Pea. The present study evaluates two classification approaches based on multi-temporal SAR data to generate a spatial distribution map of the pigeon pea crop in the Kalaburagi region of Karnataka. The temporal profiles of sigma nought (backscatter coefficient) and Entropy vs. Alpha Angle were studied with reference to crop phenology. Random forest algorithm has been used to classify multi-temporal SAR Ground Range Detected (GRD) data from June to November 2019. Temporal SAR data from June to early November with VV+VH polarization was optimal for tur area assessment with 85% accuracy. This study also examines phase and intensity information from 3-date SAR Single Look Complex (SLC) data with an unsupervised Wishart Classification approach for improved crop acreage estimation. The results emphasize the effectiveness of dual-polarimetric SAR data for timely crop inventory of Pigeon Pea during the Kharif season.

Growth, Poverty, and Food Policy in the Philippines: Lessons for the Post-COVID-19 Era

The Philippine economy’s growth has accelerated since 2010, outperforming its Asian peers in the current decade. However, poverty reduction is comparatively weak in response to growth, suggesting that growth has been less inclusive than expected. Poverty in the Philippines is still largely a rural phenomenon despite the country’s rapid urbanization. Our primary objective is to reexamine how much the national food policy has influenced the poverty-reducing effects of economic growth using the more recent national household-level data from 2000 to 2021. The longer-term data, including a period of mobility relaxation following long lockdowns upon the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, allow us to revisit the growth-poverty conundrum in the Philippines. We focus on the more recent decade of relatively sustained growth compared to earlier studies on the subject. We use Engel food shares as a proxy for household welfare and consider the differential welfare effects of food price changes across segments of the population. We show that economic growth in recent years would have been strongly pro-poor if not for the misguided set of policy tools chosen to achieve the food self-sufficiency goal. The government’s move to dismantle the quantitative restriction regime on rice imports in favor of tariffs is a step in the right direction.

Evaluating the relationship between climate change, food prices, and poverty: empirical evidence from underdeveloped countries

Evaluating the relationship between climate change, food prices, and poverty: empirical evidence from underdeveloped countries

Consumers’ attitudes towards healthy eating: a qualitative comparison between older and younger Chinese consumers

PurposeUnhealthy diets are associated with an increased risk of non-communicable diseases and present a significant public health challenge. When developing effective interventions and policies, consideration must be given to the unique social culture in which food choice is embedded. Health vulnerabilities to poor nutrition exist throughout life but may be influenced by socio-cultural factors such as age. This study aimed to assess the attitudes of older or younger Chinese consumers towards healthy eating and explore the factors influencing their food choices.Design/methodology/approachSemi-structured interviews were conducted in Wuhan, China, with 20 consumers aged 18–25 (Group A) and 20 consumers aged 65 and over (Group B).FindingsThematic analysis revealed that the two groups had positive attitudes towards healthy eating, although Group A participants were more knowledgeable. Time pressure, food prices and social networks differentially influence healthy eating practices across age groups.Originality/valueGiven China’s economic and cultural context, healthy eating interventions should consider the individual characteristics and food preferences of the different age groups. This approach can optimize targeted healthy eating interventions, and media communications related to healthy eating.

Needs and perceptions regarding healthy eating among people at risk of food insecurity in the Netherlands

Abstract Background Healthy eating behaviour is an essential determinant of overall health. This behaviour is generally poor among people at risk of experiencing food insecurity, which may be caused by many factors including perceived higher costs of healthy foods, financial stress, inadequate nutritional knowledge, and inadequate skills required for healthy food preparation. Few studies have examined how these factors influence eating behaviour among people at risk of experiencing food insecurity. We therefore aimed to gain a better understanding of the needs and perceptions regarding healthy eating in this target group. Methods We conducted a qualitative exploration with 10 participants at risk of experiencing food insecurity in the Netherlands. Results and conclusions The analysis using an inductive approach identified four core factors influencing eating behaviour: Health related topics; Social and cultural influences; Influences by the physical environment; and Financial influences. Overall, participants showed adequate nutrition knowledge. However, eating behaviour was strongly influenced by social factors and physical environmental factors. Perceived barriers for healthy eating behaviour included poor mental health, financial stress, and high food prices. Participants had a generally conscious attitude towards their financial situation, reflected in their strategies to cope with a limited budget. Participants were familiar with several existing resources to reduce food-related financial strain and generally had a positive attitude towards these resources. An exception was the Food Bank, of which the food parcel content was not well appreciated. Proposed interventions to reduce food-related financial strain included facilitating social contacts, increasing healthy food supply in the neighbourhood, and lowering prices of healthy foods. The insights from this study increase understanding of factors influencing eating behaviour of people at risk of food insecurity.

Taxing animal-based food products: A qualitative framing analysis of the media debate in Germany

Abstract Background In most high-income countries, consumption of animal-based food products exceeds levels recommended for health and environmental reasons. Although taxes can reduce the consumption of animal-based products, they are politically controversial. In recent years, various tax models and motivations for these have been discussed. Our study seeks to identify key arguments and policy actors in the German media debate on the taxation of animal-based products, shedding light on emerging narrative frames surrounding tax models and motivations. Methods We conducted a qualitative analysis of German media coverage on taxes and levies influencing the price of animal-based foods. We analyzed 488 articles from 10 national newspapers and eight trade press journals published between February 2019 and July 2023. Employing an inductive approach, we identified the actors involved in the debate and common frames and arguments around various tax proposals. Results We found broad consensus on a need for change due to inadequate animal welfare conditions, while environmental and health arguments are more contested. Significant debate surrounds the suitability of taxation as the preferred policy instrument. Furthermore, doubts are raised about a tax’s effectiveness and appropriate revenue allocation. Framing of the tax often emphasizes potential negative impacts on domestic production and product affordability. Additionally, concerns about various unintended consequences and the overall unpopularity of taxation emerge as prominent themes. Conclusions The taxation of animal-based products for health and environmental reasons is still highly contested in the media debate in Germany. Many, but not all arguments commonly raised against such taxes may be considered spurious from an evidence-based public health perspective. Proponents of such taxes may seek to address existing concerns through appropriate policy design and communication strategies. Key messages • Taxation of animal-based foods may help to align consumption with levels recommended for health and environmental reasons, but adoption and implementation is hindered by political controversy. • Objections common in the public debate on such taxes could be addressed with appropriate policy design alleviating justified concerns, and with communication strategies countering spurious arguments.

Food insecurity, associated climate factors and intervention mechanisms: a theoretical and empirical analysis of Ethiopia’s case

Purpose In our world, nearly nine million people die every year from hunger, losing one person to hunger every few seconds. Ethiopia is among the leading countries in the total number of people facing hunger. Several actions have been taken to achieve food security globally and at the household level. However, the problem of food insecurity is still high in many parts of the world. Why are we failing to achieve food security? And where should we start? This study aims to answer these main questions. Design/methodology/approach Relevant quantitative and qualitative data were duly used to describe food insecurity and associated climate factors globally and nationally. For this, PRISMA review methodology was used to help the systematic review. More than 90 relevant empirical and theoretical literature in the field were reviewed in an integrated way with practical evidence from Ethiopia. Governmental technical reports, NGOs reviews and other relevant empirical data referring to Ethiopia are thematically analyzed. Findings The subjectivity, dynamism and complexity of the concept of food security are found to be some of the issues challenging the practice of achieving food security. The unresolved issues in the combination and interaction of the four pillars of food security (food availability, access to food, food utilization and stability) are affecting its measurement. In this study, it is emphasized that food insecurity in rural and urban areas should be treated differently, as food insecurity in rural areas is directly related to food production which depends on rainfall patterns. In rural Ethiopia, rainfall variability was among the main causes of food insecurity. More importantly, it is indicated that rainfall variability does not affect all pillars of food security equally; its effect is more pronounced on food availability and stability aspects. Deconstructing the concept of food security to make it more pragmatic, and understanding the factors behind the rainfall variability should be the starting tasks in achieving food security. Further, even though food aid is preferred to react to transitory food insecurity, focusing on long-lasting preventive measures that address the root causes of the recurring food insecurity in rural areas of Ethiopia would be an effective way of addressing the problem. Practical implications Policy makers and other governmental and humanitarian agencies working on food security can make an evidence-based decision, shape policies and programs if they have clear information about the features of food insecurity, the nature of rainfall variability and critiques of the reacting mechanisms to food insecurity. Shortages of food in some place and food price crises in the other places have been both referring to food insecurity. This makes the understanding of food security situations more difficult to explain and communicate. Originality/value This study primarily clarifies the conceptual complexity surrounding food security as it currently exists. Further, it provides a comprehensive and quantitative description of the state of global to national food security, along with the associated variability of rainfall patterns that are related to it. It also provides a brief overview of the intervention mechanisms for addressing food security, with a specific focus on Ethiopia. This study has set a clear demarcation to assess food security in rural and urban areas.

Food waste in Polish households as an economic problem

The aim of our research was to investigate the scale and causes of food waste in households and its economic consequences, as well as the respondents’ attempts to curb food waste. Empirical research was performed in 2023 in the form of a diagnostic survey employing a standardised questionnaire on a total of 802 subjects. It was found that most frequently wasted food included ready meals, bread, vegetables and fruit. Exceeding the expiration date, food spoilage, and preparing excessive amounts of food were the most common reasons for wasting food. To limit food waste, the respondents used measures such as freezing food to eat later, drawing up a shopping list, using food to prepare other meals, checking the expiration date and purchasing less food. It was also found that during the constant rise in food prices in 2022, the respondents used these measures more often than before. A large-scale information campaign is required to raise awareness of the necessity of preventing food waste.

Modelling the cost differential between current and healthy diets according to household education level in Belgium

This study aims to estimate the cost differential between current and healthy diets, overall and by household education level. Data from the 2014–2015 Belgian National Food Consumption Survey and food prices from the 2014 GfK ConsumerScan panel were linked. The DIETCOST programme was used to model healthy, isocaloric healthy and current diets. For the reference household, the average daily diet cost was 20.1€ (95%CI: 19.9–20.4) for current diets, 20.9€ (95%CI: 20.6–21.2) for healthy isocaloric diets (+3.9% vs. the current diets) and 22.5€ (95%CI: 22.3–22.8) for healthy diets (+12.0%). In low-educated households, the cost of current and of healthy isocaloric diets was similar (19.2€ (95%CI: 19.0–19.5) vs. 19.3€ (95%CI: 19.0–19.6)), whereas in high-educated households, the cost of healthy isocaloric diets (22.0€; 95%CI: 21.8–22.3) was higher than the cost of current diets (21.2€; 95%CI: 20.9–21.4)). Though needing validation, this finding is valuable for interventions aimed at improving dietary habits in disadvantaged populations.

Determinants of Household and Professional Forecasters’ Inflation Expectations in India

ABSTRACTThis study analyses and compares the determinants of inflation expectations among households and professional forecasters in India. To this end, we utilize quarterly survey data from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), specifically the Inflation Expectations Survey of Households (IESH) and the Professional Forecasters’ Survey (SPF). The analysis employs a non‐recursive structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to explore the relationships between variables. The impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis shed light on the response of inflation expectations to macroeconomic shocks. Our findings indicate that apart from conventional macroeconomic factors like realized inflation and monetary policy, exogenous factors such as oil prices significantly shape inflation expectations. Comparing IESH and SPF, we found out that household expectations are more sensitive to shocks related to food prices, reflecting the influence of food expenses on household decision‐making. Conversely, professional forecasters’ expectations are more influenced by core inflation. Finally, we observed that inflation expectations adjust more quickly than realized inflation in response to macroeconomic shocks, suggesting a leading role. This study is novel with the contribution to the existing literature as it provides a comparative analysis of determinants of inflation expectations between households and professional forecasters in India, while also considering inflation targeting as a significant factor.

Food security status of Zimbabwean immigrants living in Msunduzi municipality, South Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic

The study aims to examine food security status of Zimbabwean immigrants living in Msundizi municipality, South Africa, during the COV-19 pandemic. A cross-sectional study design using a mixed-methods approach was adopted to collect data from 379 randomly selected Zimbabwean immigrants. Food security status was assessed using the Household Food Insecurity Access Scale. Data was analysed using descriptive statistics and logistic regression models. Most immigrants were males (66%), 52.2% were 18–38 years old, and 91.4% were employed. Most respondents (51%) had a tertiary education, and 35.9% earned between R3001 and R4500. The majority of immigrants (75%) were food insecure. Food insecurity was perceived to be due to reduced/loss of employment, socio-political factors such as theft, insecurity/violence, political crisis, lack of land ownership, and high food prices. The age, immigration status, and type of employment were associated with food insecurity. Food insecurity is prevalent among Zimbabwean immigrants living in Msunduzi municipality. There is a need for targeted food security policies that are aimed at increasing availability and access to food among immigrants. The SA government should extend food safety nets to all, regardless of citizen status.

A New Framework for Food Catering Price Determination

This article aims to propose a reasonable quantitative (mathematical) expressions for the price calculation of food-manufacturing products. Little research has been conducted on the validity of food product pricing; thus we have identified a need for a thorough, systematic investigation in this area. The suggested three methods are also applicable for developing the artificial intelligence system to solve raw food material (resources) quantity management and other inventory issues in collaboration with the food suppliers. We consider the option of an appropriate pricing strategy in the profit-making catering and other food production firms to be a relevant scientific issue, which we have have addressed and proposed solutions for in this article. By analyzing different scientific assumptions and attitudes, informed quantitative decisions were made. We also developed and described quantitative expressions for determining the price of food products using mathematical formulas. Also, we found that a simple three-digit rule, based on logic and proportional modeling of actions, as the main instrument is the most effective approach for formulating these pricing models. Original and innovative mathematical methods for the price accounting of food production have been created and explained. We have also explained how each of the three suggested methods works, along with their advantages and disadvantages in certain situations. Using these recommended methods of pricing will allow food companies to achieve more appropriate commercial results and to make less expenditure for decisions regarding the pricing of food products. In the article, we explained how to calculate the prices of food and catering companies using simple math. The application of any of the three mentioned techniques regarding existing circumstance will enable food production companies to ensure a straightforward yet accurate determination of the product price that aligns with the current situation.