Prevention Of Renal And Vascular End-Stage Disease Research Articles

Serum peroxiredoxin-4, a biomarker of oxidative stress, associates with new-onset chronic kidney disease: A population-based cohort study

BackgroundChronic Kidney Disease (CKD), is often detected late due to its asymptomatic nature in the early stage of the disease. Overproduction of reactive oxygen species contributes to various pathological processes through oxidative stress (OS), impacting on cellular structures and functions with previous studies suggesting a link between OS and CKD progression. This study investigated the association between serum peroxiredoxin-4 (Prx4), a biomarker of oxidative stress, and the development of CKD in the general population. MethodsThis study featured data from the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort, involving 5341 participants without CKD at baseline who underwent extensive prospective health evaluations. Serum Prx4 levels were quantified using an immunoluminometric assay. The primary outcome was new-onset CKD as defined by the composite of urinary albumin excretion (UAE) > 30 mg/24-h, an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, or both. ResultsBaseline median Prx4 level was 0.65 [interquartile range (IQR): 0.42–1.04] U/L, median eGFR was 98 [IQR: 87–108] mL/min/1.73 m2, and median UAE was 8.1 [IQR: 6.0–12.1] mg/L. During a median follow-up of 10.4 [IQR: 6.3–11.4] years, 867 (16.2 %) patients developed new-onset CKD. Higher Prx4 levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of CKD (hazard ratio (HR) per doubling: 1.29 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.21–1.37], p < 0.001), also after adjustment for risk factors including sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, high-sensitive C-reactive protein, chronic heart failure, diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia (HR per doubling: 1.16 [1.06–1.24], p < 0.001). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings. ConclusionsThis study supports the hypothesis that systemic oxidative stress, reflected by higher serum Prx4 levels, is significantly associated with the risk of developing CKD in the general population. These findings suggest that Prx4 could be a valuable biomarker for early risk stratification and prevention strategies in CKD management.

Association of baseline and longitudinal changes in insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 with the risk of incident heart failure: Data from the PREVEND study.

Senescence is a major risk factor for heart failure (HF), and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) has been identified as an important senescence-inducing factor. The aim of this study was to examine the value of baseline and repeat IGFBP7 measurements in predicting future HF among community-dwelling Dutch adults from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study. Individuals without prevalent HF who attended PREVEND visits 2 and 4 median of 5.1 years apart (25th-75th percentile, 4.9-5.2) with measurements of IGFBP7 were included. We used Cox proportional hazards models to investigate the association between IGFBP7 and HF incidence. A total of 6125 participants attending visit 2 (mean ± standard deviation [SD] age 53.1 ± 12.2 years; 3151 [51.4%] men) were followed for a median of 8.4 (7.8-8.9) years, and 194 participants (3.2%) developed incident HF. Median baseline IGFBP7 concentration was 87.0 (75.1-97.3) ng/ml, and baseline IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.46). Baseline IGFBP7 was also significantly associated with incident HF in individuals with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide <125 ng/L. Among 3879 participants attending both visits 2 and 4 (mean ± SD age 57.5 ± 11.3 years; 1952 [50.3%] men), 93 individuals developed HF (after visit 4) during a median follow-up of 3.2 (2.8-3.9) years. Median increase in IGFBP7 concentration between visits was 0.68 (-7.09 to 8.36) ng/ml, and changes in IGFBP7 levels were significantly associated with risk for incident HF (HF risk factors adjusted HR per 1 SD change in log-transformed IGFBP7: 1.68, 95% CI 1.19-2.36). Both baseline as well as repeat IGFBP7 measurements provide information about the risk of developing HF.

Serum Calcification Propensity Is Increased in Myocardial Infarction and Hints at a Pathophysiological Role Independent of Classical Cardiovascular Risk Factors.

Vascular calcification is associated with increased mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease. Secondary calciprotein particles are believed to play a causal role in the pathophysiology of vascular calcification. The maturation time (T50) of calciprotein particles provides a measure of serum calcification propensity. We compared T50 between patients with ST-segment-elevated myocardial infarction and control subjects and studied the association of T50 with cardiovascular risk factors and outcome. T50 was measured by nephelometry in 347 patients from the GIPS-III trial (Metabolic Modulation With Metformin to Reduce Heart Failure After Acute Myocardial Infarction: Glycometabolic Intervention as Adjunct to Primary Coronary Intervention in ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction: a Randomized Controlled Trial) and in 254 matched general population controls from PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease). We also assessed the association between T50 and left ventricular ejection fraction, as well as infarct size, the incidence of ischemia-driven reintervention during 5 years of follow-up, and serum nitrite as a marker of endothelial dysfunction. Patients with ST-segment-elevated myocardial infarction had a significantly lower T50 (ie, higher serum calcification propensity) compared with controls (T50: 289±63 versus 338±56 minutes; P<0.001). In patients with ST-segment-elevated myocardial infarction, lower T50 was associated with female sex, lower systolic blood pressure, lower total cholesterol, lower LDL (low-density lipoprotein) cholesterol, lower triglycerides, and higher HDL (high-density lipoprotein) cholesterol but not with circulating nitrite or nitrate. Ischemia-driven reintervention was associated with higher LDL (P=0.03) and had a significant interaction term for T50 and sex (P=0.005), indicating a correlation between ischemia-driven reintervention and T50 above the median in men and below the median in women, between 150 days and 5 years of follow-up. Serum calcification propensity is increased in patients with ST-segment-elevated myocardial infarction compared with the general population, and its contribution is more pronounced in women than in men. Its lack of/inverse association with nitrite and blood pressure confirms T50 to be orthogonal to traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors. Lower T50 was associated with a more favorable serum lipid profile, suggesting the involvement of divergent pathways of calcification stress and lipid stress in the pathophysiology of myocardial infarction.

Enhanced chronic inflammation and increased branched chain amino acids in adrenal disorders: a cross-sectional study.

Patients with adrenal hormone excess demonstrate increased cardiovascular risk and mortality. We aimed to determine the impact of adrenal disorders on the inflammation marker GlycA, total branched-chain amino acids (BCAA), ketone bodies and the gut microbiome-derived metabolites trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) and betaine. We conducted a single-center cross-sectional study of patients with nonfunctioning adenomas (NFA), mild autonomous cortisol secretion (MACS), primary aldosteronism (PA), Cushing syndrome (CS), pheochromocytoma/paragangliomas (PPGL), other benign or malignant adrenal masses, and adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) between January 2015 and July 2022 (n=802). Referent subjects included participants of the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease) study (n=5241). GlycA, BCAA, ketone bodies, TMAO, and betaine were measured using nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Multivariable logistic analyses were adjusted for age, sex, BMI, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and statin therapy. In age-and sex-adjusted comparison to referent subjects, increased GlycA was noted in all patient categories, increased BCAA in NFA, MACS, CS, PA and ACC, increased TMAO in patients with other malignant adrenal masses, increased betaine in NFA and MACS, and increased ketone bodies in NFA, CS and ACC. Essentially similar findings were observed in fully adjusted analysis and after exclusion of subjects with diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Patients with functioning and non-functioning adrenal masses demonstrated increased GlycA and BCAA, biomarkers associated with adverse cardiometabolic disorders and mortality. Patients with NFA demonstrated an adverse metabolic profile similar to patients with MACS and CS.

Fasting Plasma Ketone Bodies Are Associated with NT-proBNP: A Potential Mechanism to Provide Fuel for the Failing Heart.

Background: Heart failure (HF) features a shift in metabolism towards enhanced utilization of ketone bodies. While elevations in plasma natriuretic peptides represent a biochemical hallmark of HF, natriuretic peptides may promote lipolysis, thereby contributing to fatty acid availability for ketogenesis. Methods: We cross-sectionally tested to what extent fasting plasma total ketone bodies (measured using nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy) are associated with N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP; electrochemiluminescent sandwich immunoassay) in individuals with and without HF. Results: Among 6217 participants from the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, 203 were identified with HF. NT-proBNP was four-fold and total ketone bodies were 25% higher in HF participants (each p < 0.001). In both participants with and without HF, total ketone body levels correlated with NT-proBNP (r = 0.116 and 0.185, respectively; p < 0.001). In multivariable linear regression analysis adjusted for relevant covariates, total ketone bodies remained associated with NT-proBNP in the whole cohort (std β = 0.08, p < 0.001), without a difference in participants with and without HF (p interaction: 0.52). Conclusion: This general population-based study reveals an independent association of fasting total body ketone bodies with plasma NT-proBNP. Our findings suggest that a metabolic defense mechanism could be operative, providing the myocardium with ketone bodies to meet its energy demands.

Plasma calprotectin and new-onset type 2 diabetes in the general population: a prospective cohort study.

Systemic inflammation plays a pivotal role in the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Here we hypothesized that circulating levels of calprotectin, a myeloid cell-derived biomarker of inflammation, is associated with the development of new-onset T2D in the general population. A total of 4,815 initially non-diabetic participants of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND), a prospective population-based cohort study, were assessed for plasma levels of calprotectin at baseline. Circulating levels of calprotectin were investigated for potential associations with the risk of new-onset T2D, defined as a fasting plasma glucose level ≥7.0 mmol/l, a random plasma glucose level ≥11.1 mmol/l, a self-reported physician-based diagnosis of T2D, the use of glucose-lowering drugs, or any combinations thereof. Median plasma calprotectin levels were 0.49 [0.35-0.69] mg/l. Plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with the risk of new-onset T2D (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.42 [95% confidence interval: 1.22-1.66], P<0.001). The association remained independent of adjustment for age and sex (HR 1.34 [95%CI: 1.14-1.57], P<0.001), but not after further adjustment for potentially confounding factors (HR 1.11 [95% CI: 0.90-1.37], P=0.326), with adjustment for hyperlipidemia and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein explaining the loss of significance. Stratified analyses showed significant effect modification by hypertension, history of cardiovascular disease and HOMA-IR (Pinteraction≤0.001 for each), with higher HRs in individuals without hypertension, without history of cardiovascular disease and with below-median HOMA-IR. Elevated plasma levels of calprotectin are associated with a higher risk of developing T2D in the general population and may represent a moveable inflammatory biomarker. This association, however, does not represent a direct effect, and seems dependent on hyperlipidemia and systemic inflammation.

A Prospective Study of the Association Between Plasma Calprotectin Levels and New-Onset CKD in the General Population

IntroductionSystemic inflammation has been associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we aimed to investigate a potential association between the plasma biomarker of inflammation calprotectin and new-onset CKD in a population-based cohort study. MethodsIndividuals without CKD at baseline (n=4,662) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective population-based cohort study in the Netherlands were included. Baseline plasma calprotectin levels were assessed in samples that had been stored at -80°C. Occurrence of new-onset CKD was defined as a composite outcome of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73m2, urinary albumin excretion (UAE) >30 mg/24-h, or both. ResultsBaseline median [IQR] plasma calprotectin levels were 0.49 [0.35-0.68] mg/l and baseline median eGFR was 95.9 [IQR: 85.0-105.7] ml/min/1.73m2. After median follow-up of 8.3 [7.8-8.9] years, 467 participants developed new-onset CKD. Baseline plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset CKD (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.28 [95% CI: 1.14-1.44], P<0.001), independent of potentially confounding factors (HR 1.14 [95% CI: 1.01-1.29], P=0.034), except for baseline hs-CRP (HR 1.05 [0.91-1.21], P=0.494). In secondary analyses, the association between plasma calprotectin and occurrence of UAE >30 mg/24-h remained significant (HR 1.17 [1.02-1.34], P=0.027), but not significantly so for the incidence of eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73m2 as individual outcome (HR 1.15 [0.92-1.43], P=0.218). ConclusionHigher plasma calprotectin levels are associated with an increased risk of developing CKD in the general population. This association is mitigated after adjustment for hs-CRP, and more pronounced with new-onset CKD defined by UAE.

Plasma Calprotectin Levels Associate With New-Onset Hypertension in the General Population: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Low-grade systemic inflammation is a relevant pathogenic mechanism underlying the development of hypertension. In this study, we hypothesized that plasma calprotectin levels, as a biomarker of neutrophil-mediated inflammation, is associated with developing new-onset hypertension in the general population. Plasma calprotectin levels were determined in 3524 participants who participated in the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) study, a prospective population-based cohort study. Plasma calprotectin levels were studied for associations with the risk of new-onset hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure of at least 140 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure of at least 90 mm Hg, or the first recorded use of antihypertensives. Participants with hypertension at baseline were excluded. Median plasma calprotectin levels were 0.48 (0.34-0.66) mg/L, and median systolic blood pressure was 117 (109-126) mm Hg. Plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with the risk of new-onset hypertension (hazard ratio [HR], per doubling 1.30 [95% CI, 1.21-1.41]; P<0.001), also after adjustment for age and sex (HR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.16-1.37]; P<0.001), but not after additional adjustment for potentially confounding factors, including baseline systolic blood pressure (HR, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.90-1.11]; P=0.996). Stratified analyses showed significant effect modification by sex (Pinteraction=0.023) and urinary albumin excretion (Pinteraction=0.004), with higher HRs in men (compared with women) and in individuals with higher urinary albumin excretion (>9.3 mg per 24 hours) compared with lower urinary albumin excretion (≤9.3 mg per 24 hours). Higher plasma calprotectin levels are associated with an increased risk of new-onset hypertension in the general population. This association is dependent on baseline systolic blood pressure and is particularly prominent in men compared with women.

Novel Size-Based High-Density Lipoprotein Subspecies and Incident Vascular Events.

Background High-density lipoprotein (HDL) particle concentration likely outperforms HDL cholesterol in predicting atherosclerotic cardiovascular events. Whether size-based HDL subspecies explain the atheroprotective associations of HDL particle concentration remains unknown. Our objective was to assess whether levels of specific size-based HDL subspecies associate with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in a multiethnic pooled cohort and improve risk prediction beyond traditional atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk factors. Methods and Results Seven HDL size-based subspecies were quantified by nuclear magnetic resonance (LP4 algorithm; H1=smallest; H7=largest) among participants without prior atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease), and DHS (Dallas Heart Study) cohorts (n=15 371 people). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between HDL subspecies and incident myocardial infarction (MI) or ischemic stroke at follow-up (average 8-10 years) adjusting for HDL cholesterol and risk factors. Improvement in risk prediction was assessed via discrimination and reclassification analysis. Within the pooled cohort (median age 57 years; female 54%; Black 22%) higher H1 (small) and H4 (medium) concentrations were inversely associated with incident MI (hazard ratio [HR]/SD, H1 0.88 [95% CI, 0.81-0.94]; H4 0.89 [95% CI, 0.82-0.97]). H4 but not H1 improved risk prediction indices for incident MI. Increasing H2 and H4 were inversely associated with improved risk prediction indices for composite end point of stroke, MI, and cardiovascular death (HR/SD, H2 0.94 [95% CI, 0.88-0.99]; H4 0.91 [95% CI, 0.85-0.98]). Levels of the large subspecies (H6 and H7) were not associated with any vascular end point. Conclusions Two of 7 HDL size-based subspecies modestly improved risk prediction for MI and composite vascular end points in a large multiethnic pooled cohort. These findings support assessment of precise HDL subspecies for future studies regarding clinical utility.

Antibody against apolipoprotein-A1, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and cardiovascular risk: a translational study

BackgroundNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common liver disease increasing cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality. Autoantibodies against apolipoprotein A-1 (AAA-1) are a possible novel CVD risk factor promoting inflammation and disrupting cellular lipid homeostasis, two prominent pathogenic features of NAFLD. We explored the role of AAA-1 in NAFLD and their association with CVD risk.MethodsHepaRG cells and liver sections from ApoE−/− mice exposed to AAA-1 were used for lipid quantification and conditional protein expression. Randomly selected sera from 312 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) general population cohort were used to measure AAA-1. A Fatty Liver Index (FLI) ≥ 60 and a 10-year Framingham Risk Score (FRS) ≥ 20% were used as proxy of NAFLD and high CVD risk, respectively.ResultsIn-vitro and mouse models showed that AAA-1 increased triglyceride synthesis leading to steatosis, and promoted inflammation and hepatocyte injury. In the 112 PREVEND participants with FLI ≥ 60, AAA-1 were associated with higher FRS, alkaline phosphatase levels, lower HDL cholesterol and tended to display higher FLI values. Univariate linear and logistic regression analyses (LRA) confirmed significant associations between AAA-1, FLI and FRS ≥ 20%, while in adjusted LRA, FLI was the sole independent predictor of FRS ≥ 20% (OR: 1.05, 95%CI 1.01–1.09, P = 0.003). AAA-1 was not an independent FLI predictor.ConclusionsAAA-1 induce a NAFLD-compatible phenotype in vitro and in mice. Intricate associations exist between AAA-1, CVD risk and FLI in the general population. Further work is required to refine the role of AAA-1 in NAFLD and to determine if the AAA-1 association with CVD is affected by hepatic steatosis.

Cell-free, high-density lipoprotein-specific phospholipid efflux assay predicts incident cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUNDCellular cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC) is a better predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events than HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C) but is not suitable as a routine clinical assay.METHODSWe developed an HDL-specific phospholipid efflux (HDL-SPE) assay to assess HDL functionality based on whole plasma HDL apolipoprotein-mediated solubilization of fluorescent phosphatidylethanolamine from artificial lipid donor particles. We first assessed the association of HDL-SPE with prevalent coronary artery disease (CAD): study I included NIH severe-CAD (n = 50) and non-CAD (n = 50) participants, who were frequency matched for sex, BMI, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and smoking; study II included Japanese CAD (n = 70) and non-CAD (n = 154) participants. We also examined the association of HDL-SPE with incident CVD events in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study comparing 340 patients with 340 controls individually matched for age, sex, smoking, and HDL-C levels.RESULTSReceiver operating characteristic curves revealed stronger associations of HDL-SPE with prevalent CAD. The AUCs in study I were as follows: HDL-SPE, 0.68; apolipoprotein A-I (apoA-I), 0.62; HDL-C, 0.63; and CEC, 0.52. The AUCs in study II were as follows: HDL-SPE, 0.83; apoA-I, 0.64; and HDL-C, 0.53. Also longitudinally, HDL-SPE was significantly associated with incident CVD events independent of traditional risk factors with ORs below 0.2 per SD increment in the PREVEND study (P < 0.001).CONCLUSIONHDL-SPE could serve as a routine clinical assay for improving CVD risk assessment and drug discovery.TRIAL REGISTRATIONClinicalTrials.gov NCT01621594.FUNDINGNHLBI Intramural Research Program, NIH (HL006095-06).

Fibrotic Marker Galectin-3 Identifies Males at Risk of Developing Cancer andHeartFailure.

Cancer and heart failure (HF) are the leading causes of death in the Western world. Shared mechanisms such as fibrosis may underlie either disease entity, furthermore it is unknown whether this relationship is sex-specific. We sought to investigate how fibrosis-related biomarker galectin-3 (gal-3) aids in identifying individuals at risk for new-onset cancer and HF, and how this differs between sexes. Gal-3 was measured at baseline and at 4-year follow-up in 5,786 patients of the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease) study. The total follow-up period was 11.5 years. An increase of≥50% in gal-3 levels between measurements was considered relevant. We performed sex-stratified log-rank tests and Cox regression analyses overall and by sex to evaluate the association of gal-3 over time with both new-onset cancer and new-onset HF. Of the 5,786 healthy participants (50% males), 399 (59% males) developed new-onset cancer, and 192 (65%males) developed new-onset HF. In males, an increase in gal-3 was significantly associated with new-onset cancer (both combined and certain cancer-specific subtypes), after adjusting for age, body mass index, hypertension, smoking status, estimated glomerular filtration rate, diabetes mellitus, triglycerides, coronary artery disease, and C-reactive protein (HR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.32-2.71; P< 0.001). Similar analyses demonstrated an association with new-onset HF in males (HR: 1.77; 95% CI: 1.07-2.95; P=0.028). In females, changes in gal-3 over time were neither associated with new-onset cancer nor new-onset HF. Gal-3, a marker of fibrosis, is associated with new-onset cancer and new-onset HF in males, but not in females.

Trajectories of renal biomarkers and new-onset heart failure in the general population: Findings from the PREVEND study.

Renal dysfunction is one of the most critical risk factors for developing heart failure (HF). However, the association between repeated measures of renal function and incident HF remains unclear. Therefore, this study investigated the longitudinal trajectories of urinary albumin excretion (UAE) and serum creatinine and their association with new-onset HF and all-cause mortality. Using group-based trajectory analysis, we estimated trajectories of UAE and serum creatinine in 6881 participants from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study and their association with new-onset HF and all-cause death during the 11-years of follow-up. Most participants had stable low UAE or serum creatinine. Participants with persistently higher UAE or serum creatinine were older, more often men, and more often had comorbidities, such as diabetes, a previous myocardial infarction or dyslipidaemia. Participants with persistently high UAE had a higher risk of new-onset HF or all-cause mortality, whereas stable serum creatinine trajectories showed a linear association for new-onset HF and no association with all-cause mortality. Our population-based study identified different but often stable longitudinal patterns of UAE and serum creatinine. Patients with persistently worse renal function, such as higher UAE or serum creatinine, were at a higher risk of HF or mortality.

Clustering of cardiovascular and renal comorbidities and risk of incident atrial fibrillation in the community-based PREVEND cohort

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The PREVEND study is supported by the Dutch Kidney Foundation and the Netherlands Heart Foundation. Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a condition that occurs in the presence of comorbidities. With the accumulation of comorbidities over time, certain comorbidities may more often occur together than others, i.e. clustering of comorbidities. Acknowledging clustering of certain comorbidities may have implications for diagnosing previously unrecognized comorbidities, and clusters of comorbidities may carry differential risks of diseases, like AF. Albeit that the individual cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities are well known, information on the impact of clustering of these on incident AF is sparse. Purpose We aimed to investigate the presence of clusters of cardiovascular and renal comorbidities and study the association between comorbidity clusters and incident AF. Methods We used the community-based Prevention of Renal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort in which 8,592 individuals participated. We excluded individuals with prior AF or missing ECG data, leaving 8,265 individuals for analysis. Atrial fibrillation was diagnosed if either AF or atrial flutter was present on a 12-lead ECG during one of the study visits, or at an outpatient visit or hospitalization. Latent class analysis was performed to assess clustering of 10 cardiovascular and renal comorbidities. The optimum number of classes was determined by the number of classes for which the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) reached a minimum value. As secondary analysis, latent class analysis was repeated with additionally including age, sex, and ethnicity. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to calculate the cumulative probability of incident AF, stratified by the latent classes. Results In the total population, the mean age was 48.9±12.6 years and 50.2% were women. During 9.2±2.1 years of follow-up, 251 individuals (3.0%) developed AF. Latent class analysis resulted in a model with three clusters as the optimal model, with one cluster being young (44.5±10.8 years) and healthy, carrying a low (1.0%) risk of incident AF; one cluster being older (63.0±8.4 years) and multimorbid, carrying a high (16.2%) risk of incident AF and a third middle-aged (57.0±11.3 years), obese and hypertensive cluster carrying an intermediate risk (5.9%) of incident AF. When adding age, sex and ethnicity to the latent class analysis, similar results were observed. Conclusion We identified three clusters of individuals in the community-based PREVEND cohort. The three clusters contained different amounts of comorbidities carrying different risks of incident AF. However, there were no differences between clusters regarding specific combination(s) of comorbidities.

Circulating immune checkpoints predict heart failure outcomes.

There are limited data examining the role of immune checkpoint (IC) ligands in the pathophysiology of heart failure (HF). Therefore, we explore this in three HF animal models and in three different human cohorts (healthy, stable, and worsening HF). Transcriptomic analyses of cardiac tissue of three different HF mouse models revealed differentially expressed IC receptors and their ligands compared with control mice. Based on this observation, serum levels of three well-known IC ligands (i.e. sPD-L1, sPD-L2 and galectin-9) were measured in stable HF patients from the Vitamin D Chronic Heart Failure (VitD-CHF) study (n=101), as well as healthy individuals from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study (n=58). sPD-L1, sPD-L2, and galectin-9 were all associated with New York Heart Association classification. In multivariate linear regression analyses, all three IC ligands were associated with galectin-3 (β=0.230, β=0.283, and β=0.304, respectively). sPD-L1 and galectin-9 were also associated with hs-troponin-T (β=0.386 and β=0.314). Regarding prognosis, higher serum levels of sPD-L1 and galectin-9 were significantly associated with increased risk for HF hospitalization and all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 1.69 (1.09-2.59) and hazard ratio 1.50 (1.06-2.12)]. Furthermore, the importance of IC ligands was tested in another stage of HF, namely worsening HF patients. In the worsening HF cohort (The BIOlogy Study to Tailored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure) (n=2032), sPD-L2 and galectin-9 were associated with New York Heart Association classification and significantly predicted outcome with an increased relative risk of 15% and 20%, after multivariable adjustment, respectively. IC ligands are expressed in cardiac disease models, and serum levels of IC ligands are elevated in HF patients, are associated with disease severity, and significantly predict prognosis. These data indicate a potential role for IC ligands in HF pathogenesis.

Association of Initial and Longitudinal Changes in C-reactive Protein With the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease, Cancer, and Mortality

ObjectiveTo evaluate the value of serial C-reactive protein (CRP) measurements in predicting the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and mortality. MethodsThe analysis was performed using data from two prospective, population-based observational cohorts: the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study and the Framingham Heart Study (FHS). A total of 9253 participants had CRP measurements available at two examinations (PREVEND: 1997-1998 and 2001-2002; FHS Offspring cohort: 1995-1998 and 1998-2001). All CRP measurements were natural log-transformed before analyses. Cardiovascular disease included fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular, cerebrovascular and peripheral vascular events, and heart failure. Cancer included all malignancies except nonmelanoma skin cancers. ResultsThe mean age of the study population at baseline was 52.4±12.1 years and 51.2% (n=4733) were women. Advanced age, female sex, smoking, body mass index, and total cholesterol were associated with greater increases in CRP levels over time (Pall<.001 in the multivariable model). Baseline CRP, as well as increase in CRP over time (ΔCRP), were associated with incident CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.29 per 1-SD increase; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29 to 1.47, and HR per 1-SD increase: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.29 respectively). Similar findings were observed for incident cancer (baseline CRP, HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.26; ΔCRP, HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.15) and mortality (baseline CRP, HR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.21 to 1.37; ΔCRP, HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.16). ConclusionInitial as well as subsequent increases in CRP levels predict future CVD, cancer, and mortality in the general population.

A Sex-Specific Comparative Analysis of Oxidative Stress Biomarkers Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Events and All-Cause Mortality in the General Population: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Oxidative stress plays a pivotal role in cardiovascular (CV) disease, but current biomarkers used to predict CV events are still insufficient. In this study, we comparatively assessed the utility of redox-related biomarkers in predicting the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality in male and female subjects from the general population. Subjects (n = 5955) of the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) population-based cohort study were included. Blood homocysteine, gamma-GT, HDL cholesterol, bilirubin and protein-adjusted free thiol (R-SH, sulfhydryl groups) levels were quantified at baseline and were prospectively analyzed in association with the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality. After adjustment for potentially confounding factors, protein-adjusted R-SH and homocysteine levels were significantly associated with the risk of CV events in men (HR 0.63 [0.40-0.99], p = 0.045 and HR 1.58 [1.20-2.08], p = 0.001, respectively). Protein-adjusted R-SH and HDL cholesterol levels were significantly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in men (HR 0.52 [0.32-0.85], p = 0.009 and HR 0.90 [0.85-0.94], p < 0.001, respectively), while the same was observed for bilirubin and homocysteine levels in women (HR 0.68 [0.48-0.98], p = 0.040 and HR 2.30 [1.14-3.76], p < 0.001, respectively). Lower levels of protein-adjusted R-SH were robustly associated with an increased risk of CV events and all-cause mortality in men. Our results highlight the value of R-SH levels in cardiovascular risk assessment and their potential significance as being amenable to therapeutic intervention, while reaffirming the importance of other oxidative stress-related biomarkers, such as homocysteine, HDL cholesterol and bilirubin.

Galectin-3 and Blood Group: Binding Properties, Effects on Plasma Levels, and Consequences for Prognostic Performance

Previous studies have reported an association between ABO type blood group and cardiovascular (CV) events and outcomes. The precise mechanisms underpinning this striking observation remain unknown, although differences in von Willebrand factor (VWF) plasma levels have been proposed as an explanation. Recently, galectin-3 was identified as an endogenous ligand of VWF and red blood cells (RBCs) and, therefore, we aimed to explore the role of galectin-3 in different blood groups. Two in vitro assays were used to assess the binding capacity of galectin-3 to RBCs and VWF in different blood groups. Additionally, plasma levels of galectin-3 were measured in different blood groups in the Ludwigshafen Risk and Cardiovascular Health (LURIC) study (2571 patients hospitalized for coronary angiography) and validated in a community-based cohort of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study (3552 participants). To determine the prognostic value of galectin-3 in different blood groups, logistic regression and cox regression models were used with all-cause mortality as the primary outcome. First, we demonstrated that galectin-3 has a higher binding capacity for RBCs and VWF in non-O blood groups, compared to blood group O. Additionally, LURIC patients with non-O blood groups had substantially lower plasma levels of galectin-3 (15.0, 14.9, and 14.0 μg/L in blood groups A, B, and AB, respectively, compared to 17.1 μg/L in blood group O, p < 0.0001). Finally, the independent prognostic value of galectin-3 for all-cause mortality showed a non-significant trend towards higher mortality in non-O blood groups. Although plasma galectin-3 levels are lower in non-O blood groups, the prognostic value of galectin-3 is also present in subjects with a non-O blood group. We conclude that physical interaction between galectin-3 and blood group epitopes may modulate galectin-3, which may affect its performance as a biomarker and its biological activity.

Plasma Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Associates with New-Onset Chronic Kidney Disease in the General Population.

Circulating levels of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) have been associated with acute kidney injury and the severity and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study investigated its potential utility as a biomarker for the risk of new-onset CKD in a population-based cohort study. Individuals without CKD at baseline (n = 4660) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective population-based cohort study in the Netherlands were included. Baseline plasma NGAL concentrations were investigated for their associations with new-onset CKD, defined as a composite outcome of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, urinary albumin excretion (UAE) > 30 mg/24-h, or both. Mean (±SD) plasma NGAL concentrations were 104.0 (±34.7) μg/L and median eGFR was 96 [IQR: 85.3-105.8] mL/min/1.73 m2. After median follow-up of 8.3 [IQR: 7.8-8.9] years, 467 participants developed new-onset CKD. Plasma NGAL concentrations were significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset CKD (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.35 [95% CI: 1.11-1.63], p = 0.002), even after adjustment for potentially confounding factors (1.37 [1.09-1.73], p = 0.007) except baseline eGFR (1.09 [0.86-1.37], p = 0.490). In secondary analyses, plasma NGAL concentrations were significantly associated with new-onset CKD as defined by eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 alone (adjusted HR per doubling 2.54 [1.69-3.80], p < 0.001), which was abrogated after adjustment for eGFR (1.05 [0.69-1.59], p = 0.828), also when UAE > 30 mg/24-h was set as individual outcome (1.05 [0.82-1.35], p = 0.705). Higher plasma NGAL concentrations are associated with an increased risk of developing CKD in the general population. This association is dependent on renal function, and mainly driven by new-onset CKD as defined by renal function decline.

Plasma Calprotectin Levels Associate with Suspected Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and All-Cause Mortality in the General Population.

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is characterized by hepatic steatosis, metabolic dysregulation, and neutrophilic inflammation. In this study, we hypothesized that systemic levels of plasma calprotectin, as a biomarker of neutrophilic inflammation, may be associated with suspected MAFLD. Plasma calprotectin levels were measured in subjects (n = 5446) participating in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort study. Suspected MAFLD was defined by the fatty liver index (FLI ≥ 60) and hepatic steatosis index (HSI ≥ 36) as proxies. Plasma calprotectin levels were significantly higher in subjects with FLI ≥ 60 (0.57 [IQR: 0.42−0.79] mg/L, n = 1592) (p < 0.001) compared to subjects with FLI < 60 (0.46 [0.34−0.65] mg/L, n = 3854). Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with suspected MAFLD (FLI ≥ 60), even after adjustment for potential confounding factors, including current smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), hs-CRP, eGFR, and total cholesterol levels (OR 1.19 [95% CI: 1.06−1.33], p = 0.003). Interaction analyses revealed significant effect modifications for the association between plasma calprotectin and suspected MAFLD by BMI (p < 0.001) and hypertension (p = 0.003), with the strongest associations in subjects with normal BMI and without hypertension. Prospectively, plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for potential confounding factors, particularly in subjects without suspected MAFLD (FLI < 60) (hazard ratio (HR) per doubling: 1.34 (1.05−1.72), p < 0.05). In conclusion, higher plasma calprotectin levels are associated with suspected MAFLD and with the risk of all-cause mortality, the latter especially in subjects without suspected MAFLD.