Pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Research Articles

Oral chemotherapy versus observation alone in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients with persistently detected circulating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus DNA during follow-up

AimDespite the high risk of tumor recurrence, patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with persistently (at least twice) detected circulating cell-free Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels during follow-up are routinely recommended to keep observation. For these patients, whether administering more aggressive treatment could improve survival outcomes remains unknown. Materials and methodsWe retrospectively included 431 patients with nonmetastatic NPC with persistently detected EBV DNA during follow-up, who do not have clinical or imaging evidence of recurrence. Among these patients, 79 were administered oral chemotherapy, and the remaining 352 underwent observation alone. Baseline characteristics were balanced with propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. The primary endpoint was modified disease-free survival (mDFS), defined as time from detectable EBV DNA result to tumor recurrence or death. The secondary endpoints were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). ResultsOne-to-three PSM resulted in 251 eligible patients (oral chemotherapy group, 73; observation group, 178). In the matched cohort, the oral chemotherapy group had higher median mDFS (12.9 months [95 % confidence interval [CI] 9.6–16.3] vs. 6.8 months [95 % CI 5.8–7.8], p = 0.009) and DFS (24.1 months [95 % CI 18.5–29.7] vs. 16.7 months [95 % CI 14.4–19.1], p = 0.035) than the observation group. The median OS was numerically higher in the oral chemotherapy group than in the observation group (57.9 months [95 % CI 42.5–73.3] vs. 50.8 months [95 % CI 39.7–61.9], p = 0.71). A consistent benefit favoring oral chemotherapy was observed for mDFS in all subgroups analyses for male, <45 years, stage III-IVa disease, pretreatment EBV DNA load ≥ 4,000 copies/mL, no induction chemotherapy, or a detectable EBV DNA load ≥ 1,200 copies/mL. After adjusting for other confounders in the multivariate analysis, oral chemotherapy remained a significantly favorable factor for both mDFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.67, 95 % CI 0.50–0.89; p = 0.006) and DFS (HR 0.68, 95 % CI 0.51–0.91; p = 0.01), but not a significant factor for OS (HR 0.89, 95 % CI 0.62–1.27; p = 0.52). ConclusionsIn patients with NPC having persistently detected EBV DNA levels but without clinical or imaging evidence of recurrence during follow-up, oral chemotherapy significantly prolongs mDFS and DFS. Employing oral chemotherapy as a more aggressive treatment option, as opposed to mere observation, could potentially benefit these patients, although further prospective validation is necessitated.

Delta-Radiomics Guides Adaptive De-Intensification after Induction Chemotherapy in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in the IMRT Era

In the setting of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and induction chemotherapy (IC), the benefits from concurrent chemotherapy remained controversial for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). This study aimed to construct a delta-radiomics model for benefit prediction and patient selection for omitting concurrent chemotherapy. Between December 2009 and December 2015, a total of 718 patients with LANPC treated with IC+IMRT or IC+concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) were retrospectively enrolled and randomly assigned to a training set (n = 503) and a validation set (n = 215). Radiomic features were extracted from magnetic resonance images of pre-IC and post-IC. Interclass correlation coefficients and Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated to select robust radiomic features. After univariate Cox analysis, a delta-radiomics signature was built using the LASSO-Cox regression. A nomogram incorporating the delta-radiomics signature and clinical prognostic factors was then developed and evaluated for calibration and discrimination. Risk stratification by the nomogram was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier methods. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). The delta-radiomics signature, which comprised 19 selected features, was independently associated with prognosis. It yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71 to 0.82) for the training set and 0.71 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.81) for the validation set. The nomogram composed of the delta-radiomic signature, age, T category, N category, pre-treatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, and treatment showed great calibration and discrimination performance with an AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.85) for the training set and 0.75 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.85) for the validation set. Risk stratification by the nomogram excluding the treatment variable resulted in two risk groups with distinct OS. Significant better outcomes were observed in the high-risk patients with IC+CCRT compared to those with IC+IMRT (5-year OS: 73.8% vs. 61.4% in the training set and 85.8% vs. 65.6% in the validation set; all log-rank p < 0.05), while comparable outcomes between IC+CCRT and IC+IMRT were shown for the low-risk patients (95.8% vs. 95.8% in the training set and 92.2% vs. 88.3% in the validation set; all log-rank p > 0.05). The delta-radiomics signature was identified as an independent indicator of LANPC. Integrating clinical predictors with the delta-radiomics signature, the radiomics-based nomogram could predict individual's survival outcomes and benefits from concurrent chemotherapy after IC for LANPC. Low-risk patients with LANPC determined by the nomogram may be potential candidates for omission of concurrent chemotherapy following IC in the IMRT era.

A phase II randomised controlled trial of adjuvant tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes for pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA-selected high-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

PurposeThe safety and objective clinical responses were observed in the phase I study using adjuvant autologous tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) following concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Methods and materialsOne hundred fifty-six patients with stage III–IVb and pretreatment Epstein–Barr virus DNA levels of ≥4000 copies/ml were randomly assigned to receive CCRT combined with TIL infusion (n = 78) or CCRT alone (n = 78). All patients received CCRT and patients assigned to the TIL group received TIL infusion within 1 week after CCRT. The primary endpoint was investigator-assessed progression-free survival (PFS) at 3 years. ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 62.3 months, no significant difference was observed in the 3-year PFS rate between the CCRT plus TIL infusion group and CCRT alone group (75.6% versus 74.4%, hazard ratios, 1.08; 95% confidence intervals, 0.62–1.89). TIL infusion was safe without grade 3 or 4 adverse events and all the high-grade adverse effects were associated with myelosuppression caused by CCRT. Exploratory analysis showed that a potential survival benefit was observed with TILs in patients with lower levels of circulating CD8+TIM3+ cells, serum IL-8 or PD-L1. The infused TIL products in patients with favourable outcomes were associated with increased transcription of interferon-γ and a series of inflammatory related genes and a lower exhausted score. ConclusionThe primary objective of prolonging PFS with CCRT plus TILs in high-risk NPC patients was not met. These findings may provide evidence for the design of future trials investigating the combination of TILs plus immune checkpoint inhibitors based on CCRT in high-risk NPC patients. Trial registration numberNCT02421640

Prognostic effect of residual plasma Epstein-Barr viral DNA after induction chemotherapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

To assess the prognostic effect of plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load after induction chemotherapy (postIC -EBV DNA) on survival outcomes in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). Patients who were diagnosed with LA-NPC between August 2017 and October 2021 were included. The chi-squared test, receiver operating characteristic, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Cox proportional hazard model were used for statistical analysis. We included 172 patients with EBV DNA-positive LA-NPC in this study. There were 35.5% (n = 61) of patients had plasma residual EBV DNA after induction chemotherapy (IC). Patients with higher EBV DNA before IC (p < 0.001) and advanced nodal stage (p = 0.031) were significantly related to a higher rate of residual postIC -EBV DNA. Patients with detectable postIC -EBV DNA had inferior 3-year locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) (86.7% vs. 96.9%, p = 0.020), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (76.8% vs. 94.2%, p < 0.001), disease-free survival (DFS) (68.2% vs. 91.1%, p < 0.001), and overall survival (OS) (87.8% vs. 97.9%, p = 0.044) compared to those with undetectable postIC -EBV DNA. The multivariate prognostic analyses showed that detectable postIC -EBV DNA was the independent prognostic factor related to LRFS (p = 0.032), DMFS (p = 0.010), and DFS (p = 0.004) than those with undetectable postIC -EBV DNA. Pretreatment EBV DNA load had no prognostic effect in the multivariate analyses. The monitoring of plasma postIC -EBV DNA has improved prognostication in LA-NPC. Our findings suggest that postIC -EBV DNA may be a robust indicator to identify the optimal candidate for intensive treatment.

Individualized Concurrent Chemotherapy for Patients with Stage III-IVa Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Combined with Definitive Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy.

This retrospective study aimed to re-evaluate the effect of concurrent chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). A total of 498 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) combined with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) or IMRT were retrospectively reviewed. The distribution of baseline characteristics was balanced using propensity score matching. Additionally, the results of NCT+IMRT and NCT+CCRT were compared using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and differences in survival rates were analyzed using the log rank test. There were no significant differences in overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and local progression-free survival (LRFS) between the two groups. Patients were further categorized into risk subgroups based on pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA cutoff values using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. There were no statistically significant differences in OS, PFS, DMFS, and LRFS between patients who received NCT+CCRT and NCT+IMRT in the high-risk group. In the low-risk group, although there were no differences between NCT+CCRT and NCT+IMRT in OS, PFS, and LRFS, patients who received NCT+CCRT had better DMFS than those who received NCT+IMRT. Pretreatment EBV DNA level can be used to individualize concurrent chemotherapy for patients with locally advanced NPC. Patients with low pretreatment EBV DNA levels may benefit from concurrent chemotherapy, whereas those with high levels may not. Other treatment modalities need to be explored for high-risk patients to improve their prognosis.

Can the prognosis of individual patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma be predicted using a routine blood test at admission?

Background and purposeWe sought to determine the prognostic value of a pre-treatment peripheral blood signature and the peripheral blood signature-based nomogram for patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Materials and methodsWe retrospectively collected 21 peripheral blood indicators from patients with NPC between 2004 and 2015. Data were randomly divided into a training and a validation set (ratio: 6:4). The peripheral blood signature was constructed based on candidate biomarkers using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. Multivariable logistic regression was applied to identify the independent risk factors of overall survival to build the nomogram. The predictive value of the peripheral blood nomogram was evaluated using time-dependent area under the curve, decision curve analysis, and calibration curve. ResultsIn total, 6668 patients were enrolled with 4000 and 2668 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Four peripheral blood indicators, (white blood cell count, lymphocyte percentage, haemoglobin, and mean platelet volume), were included to construct the peripheral blood signature. Patients were divided into low- and high-risk groups using an optimal cut-off value of − 1.71142. Patients in the high-risk group had significantly lower overall, distant metastasis-free, and progression-free survival than patients in the low-risk group in both cohorts (P < 0.05). We constructed and validated a peripheral blood signature-based nomogram in combination with five vital clinical characteristics, (age, sex, tumour stage, nodal stage, and pre-treatment Epstein–Barr virus DNA), which showed favourable performance. ConclusionPatients with NPC with different outcomes could be distinguished based on their peripheral blood signature score; the proposed peripheral blood signature-based nomogram offers individualised risk estimation.

Prognostic significance of circulating Epstein-Barr virus DNA in pulmonary lymphoepithelioma-like carcinoma: A meta-analysis and validation study.

In small-scale studies, circulating Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels have prognostic value in patients with pulmonary lymphoepithelioma-like carcinoma (LELC). Therefore, we performed a comprehensive meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic significance of circulating EBV DNA levels in patients with pulmonary LELC. Studies that discussed the prognostic significance of circulating EBV DNA detection in pulmonary LELC were eligible for inclusion in this study. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were the primary outcomes. Pooled hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and pvalue were calculated to estimate the prognostic significance of EBV DNA levels. Additionally, we conducted a further observation using an independent cohort. The pooled HR and 95% CI of pretreatment EBV DNA levels for OS and PFS were 3.63 (95% CI: 2.90-4.55) and 2.88 (95% CI: 1.90-4.38), respectively. The pooled HR and 95% CI for Posttreatment EBV DNA levels for OS and PFS were 3.77 (95% CI: 2.96-4.80) and 3.52 (95% CI: 1.91-6.51, p < 0.001), respectively. The independent cohort showed similar results that patients with high pretreatment EBV DNA or positive posttreatment EBV DNA had significantly inferior PFS. Circulating EBV DNA levels provide prognostic values of survival and treatment response in pulmonary LELC patients.

Combination of smoking and Epstein-Barr virus DNA is a predictor of poor prognosis for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a long-term follow-up retrospective study

BackgroundThis retrospective study was performed to determine the prognostic potential of smoking and its combination with pre-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).MethodsMedical records of 1080 non-metastatic NPC patients who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy were reviewed. Male patients were categorized as never and ever smokers, and the smoking amount, duration, and cumulative consumption were used to evaluate dose-dependent effects. Survival outcomes were assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and the multivariate Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) was constructed.ResultsThe 5-year overall survival (OS) was worse for ever smokers than never smokers, and significantly decreased with the increase of smoking amount, duration, and cumulative consumption. Compared with never smokers, the multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of death was higher in ever smokers (HR = 1.361, P = 0.049), those smoked ≥20 cigarettes/day (HR = 1.473, P = 0.017), those smoked for ≥30 years (HR = 1.523, P = 0.023), and those cumulative smoked for ≥30 pack-years (HR = 1.649, P = 0.005). The poor prognostic effects of smoking was also confirmed in the PSM analysis. The combination of cumulative smoking consumption and pre-treatment EBV DNA levels was proven to be an independent poor prognostic factor for male NPC, and the risk of death, progression, and distant metastases gradually increased with both factors (P < 0.001).ConclusionsCombination of smoking and pre-treatment EBV DNA levels as a predictor of poor prognosis could further improve the risk stratification and prognostication for NPC.

Utilization of the lymph node-to-primary tumor ratio of PET standardized uptake value and circulating Epstein–Barr virus DNA to predict distant metastasis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Background and purposeTo determine the clinical impact of integrating Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA and lymph node-to-primary tumor ratio (NTR) of positron emission tomography (PET) standardized uptake value (SUV) in predicting distant metastasis, such as distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Materials and methodsWe retrospectively reviewed patients diagnosed with non-disseminated NPC between 2010 and 2017. The optimal cut-off values of EBV DNA and SUV NTR were determined using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The prognostic values of SUV NTR and EBV DNA on DMFS and overall survival were evaluated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed using the Wald Chi-squared test and Cox proportional hazards regression, respectively. ResultsA total of 488 patients were included in the analysis. The median follow-up period was 61.6 months. The optimal cut-off values of EBV DNA and SUV NTR were 3377.5 copies per mL and 0.64, respectively. The five-year DMFS for patients with high vs low EBV DNA and SUV NTR levels were 64.9% vs 86.6% (p < 0.001) and 78.7% vs 87.4% (p = 0.021), respectively. In subgroup analysis, the high-risk group with high levels of pretreatment EBV DNA and SUV NTR had worse DMFS in either American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage I–III or IVA–B (p = 0.001 and <0.001, respectively). Univariate and multivariable analyses showed the statistical significance of EBV DNA, SUV NTR, and their composite in DMFS (p < 0.001 for EBV DNA; p = 0.022 for SUV NTR; p < 0.001 for their composite). ConclusionThis study showed that EBV DNA and SUV NTR have independent and additive values as prognosticators for distant metastasis in patients with NPC, suggesting that these two individual factors, except the AJCC staging system, should be included in future studies.

A nomogram based on tumor response to induction chemotherapy may predict survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

To evaluate the clinical significance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (IC) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients and further to develop a nomogram for predicting survival prognosis. A total of 498 patients with stage III-IVA NPC applying IC and concurrent chemotherapy were reviewed (training cohort, n=376; validation cohort, n=122). Tumor response was an independent predictor for clinical outcomes. The nomogram included age, N stage, pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and tumor response achieved an ideal C-index of 0.703 (95% CI 0.655-0.751) in the validation cohort for predicting overall survival (OS), which outperformed than that of the TNM system alone (C-index, 0.670, 95% CI: 0.622-0.718). In addition, the nomogram could successfully classified patients into different risk groups. We established and validated a precise and convenient nomogram based on tumor response for predicting the OS of LANPC patients.

M1 stage subdivisions based on 18F-FDG PET-CT parameters to identify locoregional radiotherapy for metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Purpose:To establish a risk classification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) patients based on 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET-CT) radiomics parameters to identify suitable candidates for locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT).Methods:In all, 586 de novo mNPC patients who underwent 18F-FDG PET-CT prior to palliative chemotherapy (PCT) were involved. A Cox regression model was performed to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Candidate PET-CT parameters were incorporated into the PET-CT parameter score (PPS). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was applied to construct a risk stratification system.Results:Multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that total lesion glycolysis of locoregional lesions (LRL-TLG), the number of bone metastases (BMs), metabolic tumor volume of distant soft tissue metastases (DSTM-MTV), pretreatment Epstein–Barr virus DNA (EBV DNA), and liver involvement were independent prognosticators for OS. The number of BMs, LRL-TLG, and DSTM-MTV were incorporated as the PPS. Eligible patients were divided into three stages by the RPA-risk stratification model: M1a (low risk, PPSlow + no liver involvement), M1b (intermediate risk, PPSlow + liver involvement, PPShigh + low EBV DNA), and M1c (high risk, PPShigh + high EBV DNA). PCT followed by LRRT displayed favorable OS rates compared to PCT alone in M1a patients (p < 0.001). No significant survival difference was observed between PCT plus LRRT and PCT alone in M1b and M1c patients (p > 0.05).Conclusions:The PPS-based RPA stratification model could identify suitable candidates for LRRT. Patients with stage M1a disease could benefit from LRRT.

Identifying optimal clinical trial candidates for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Analysis of 9468 real-world cases and validation by two phase 3 multicentre, randomised controlled trial

Background and purposeThis study aims to identify the optimal high-risk candidates for clinical trials in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Materials and methodsNon-metastatic NPC patients (n = 9,468) were included. Recursive partitioning analyses (RPA) were performed to generate risk stratification. Receiver operating characteristics curve was used to determine the cut-off value of pre-treatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA for progression-free survival (PFS). Individual-level data from two clinical trials were used for validation. ResultsAnatomic stratification based on T and N category (eighth edition TNM, TNM-8) classified the N2-3 or T4 as an anatomic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (95% confidence interval: 68–71%). Prognostic stratification identified patients with pre-treatment EBV DNA ≥4000 copies/mL as a prognostic high-risk group with 5-year PFS of 69% (67–70%). The c-index was significantly higher for anatomic stratification (0.621, p < 0.001) and prognostic stratification (0.585, p < 0.001) compared with existing TNM-8 stage groups (0.562). The validation cohorts based on clinical trials data showed greater PFS benefit than the results of the original trials [Hazard ratio: NCT01245959, 0.64 vs. 0.67; NCT01872962, 0.42 vs. 0.52]. Moreover, detectable post-treatment EBV DNA indicated a high risk of progression with 5-year PFS of 38.7% and was the most adverse independent factor for all endpoints. ConclusionsN2-3 or T4 NPC patients were ideal candidates for multicenter clinical trials in locoregionally advanced NPC. Patients with detectable post-treatment EBV DNA are suitable candidates for adjuvant trials.

Assessment of Survival Model Performance Following Inclusion of Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Status in Conventional TNM Staging Groups in Epstein-Barr Virus–Related Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Nonanatomic prognostic factors complement the traditional anatomic staging system and could be incorporated into the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) framework. Several diseases have incorporated nonanatomic prognostic factors into the determination of TNM staging groups. To refine TNM staging groups for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-related nonmetastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) by incorporating EBV DNA status. This multicenter prognostic study included patients with NPC treated with radiotherapy at 2 hospitals in China from January 2008 to December 2016. Progression-free survival and overall survival according to EBV DNA status and the TNM staging system were compared. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) combined with supervised clustering was applied to derive prognostic groupings, and then a refined RPA staging schema was developed, validated, and compared with existing staging schemes. Statistical analyses were conducted from October 1, 2020, to June 15, 2021. Curative intensity-modulated radiotherapy with or without platinum-based chemotherapy. The primary end point was progression-free survival. The performance of the staging system was assessed using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and the TNM stage system's evaluation methodology. A total of 2354 patients (1709 men [72.6%]; median [interquartile range] age, 45 [38-53] years) were split into training (1372 [58.3%]), internal validation (672 [28.5%]), and external validation (310 [13.2%]) cohorts. Pretreatment EBV DNA was detected in 1338 (56.8%) patients. EBV DNA status was an independent prognostic factor: lower survival probability by higher TNM stage was evident in EBV DNA-positive patients but not in those with EBV DNA-negative disease. After integrating EBV DNA status and TNM stage, nonmetastatic NPC cases were categorized into RPA-I (T1-3N0 or EBV DNA-negative T1-3N1 cancers), RPA-II (EBV DNA-positive T1-3N1-2 or EBV DNA-negative T1-3N2-3/T4N0-3 cancers), and RPA-III (EBV DNA-positive T4N0-3/T1-3N3 cancers) groups, each with distinctly different prognosis. This system of RPA staging outperformed the current TNM stage system and 2 reported RPA staging schemes. These results were internally and externally validated. An RPA-based staging system for EBV-related NPC cases was associated with improved outcomes. This staging system may facilitate prognostic stratification and clinical trial designs.

Prognostic Value of Regression Rate of Plasma EBV DNA After Induction Chemotherapy for Stage II-IVA Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

Background/ObjectiveWe aimed to explore the prognostic value of regression rate (RR) of plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA after induction chemotherapy (IC) in patients with stages II–IVA nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).MethodsEligible patients receiving IC followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy were included. The cut-off value of pre-treatment EBV DNA (pre-IC DNA) and RR were identified by receiver operating curve (ROC). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was applied to create new staging. Harrell’s c-index and time-independent ROC were employed to compare different RPA staging.ResultsIn total, 1,184 patients were included. The cut-off values of pre-IC DNA and RR were 16,200 copies/ml and 95.127% for patients receiving two cycles, and 5,520 copies/ml and 99.994% for those receiving three cycles. Notably, we only focused on patients receiving two cycles of IC. Patients with a RR >95.127% had significantly better 5-year overall survival (OS) than those with a RR ≤95.127% (86.2% vs. 54.3%, P <0.001). Then, RPA1 (pre-IC DNA + TNM staging + RR) and RPA2 (pre-IC DNA + TNM staging + post-IC EBV DNA [post-IC DNA]) staging systems were created. RPA1 staging achieved stronger power in OS prediction than RPA2 staging and TNM staging (c-index: 0.763 [0.714–0.812] vs. 0.735 [0.684–0.786] vs. 0.677 [0.604–0.749]; AUC: 0.736 vs. 0.714 vs. 0.628), indicating that RR had stronger prognostic power than post-IC DNA. Moreover, patients with stages III–IVRPA1 could benefit from high concurrent cumulative platinum dose (≥160 mg/m2).ConclusionRR in conjunction with current TNM staging could better conduct risk stratification, prognosis prediction and help to guide precise concurrent chemotherapy.

Subdivision of de-novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on tumor burden and pretreatment EBV DNA for therapeutic guidance of locoregional radiotherapy

BackgroundNasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a malignancy predominantly associated with infection by the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). Approximately 12,900 new cases of NPC occur each year, with more than 70% of cases occurring in the east and southeast Asia. NPC is different from ordinary head and neck squamous cell carcinoma due to its particular biological properties and it is highly sensitive to radiotherapy. With the development of RT technology, the 3-year local control rate and survival rates of non-metastatic NPC reached 80–90% in the intensity-modulated RT (IMRT) era. However, whether distant metastatic NPC (de novo mNPC, dmNPC) should receive locoregional RT (LRRT) needs to be clarified.ResultsMultivariate analysis identified three independent prognostic factors: Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, number of metastatic lesions, and number of metastatic organs. Through these factors, all patients were successfully divided into 3 subgroups: low-risk (single metastatic organ, EBV DNA ≤ 25,000 copies/ml, and ≤ 5 metastatic lesions), intermediate-risk (single metastatic organ, EBV DNA > 25,000 copies/ml, and ≤ 5 metastatic lesions), and high-risk (multiple metastatic organs or > 5 metastatic lesions or both). By comparing LRRT and non-LRRT groups, statistical differences were found in OS in the low-risk and intermediate-risk subgroups (p = 0.039 and p = 0.010, respectively) but no significant difference was found in OS in the high-risk subgroup (p = 0.076). Further multivariate analysis of different risk stratifications revealed that LRRT can improve OS of low- and intermediate-risk subgroups.ConclusionsThe risk stratification of dmNPC may be used as a new prognostic factor to help clinicians organize individualized LRRT treatment to improve the survival outcomes of dmNPC patients.

Pretreatment whole blood Epstein-Barr virus DNA predicts prognosis in Hodgkin lymphoma

The study investigated pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA status and its prognostic values in 96 patients newly diagnosed Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). With 13.5 % patients in positive EBV DNA status before therapy, the positive group had inferior progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.023) as well as overall survival (OS) (P = 0.001). Pretreatment EBV DNA positivity was observed as an independent prognostic factor in OS (P = 0.036) while a trend to predict PFS (P = 0.064). By monitoring changes of EBV DNA copies in 13 patients with positive pretreatment EBV DNA status, 5 of 6 patients with complete response (CR) had their copies undetectable after 3 cycles of first-line treatment and 7 patients with progressive disease (PD) all had elevated EBV DNA copies during their relapsed period. Whole blood EBV DNA may be an adjunctive biomarker to reflect treatment response, risk of disease relapse as well as prognosis in HL patients.

Nomograms for predicting survival outcomes in intensity-modulated radiotherapy era of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A study based on Epstein-Barr virus DNA biological responses.

Treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is evolving toward Intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era, which requires patient-specific reestimation of survival outcomes in modern health care. A total of 488 detectable pre-treatment Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA patients (stage II-IVa) treated with induction chemotherapy (IC) and IMRT were examined (training set, n = 325; validation set, n = 163). Concurrent chemotherapy (CC) was still an independent prognosticator for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Both nomograms included age, T classification, N classification, post-IC EBV DNA, and CC. Predictions correlated well with observed 3-/5-year OS and PFS. The concordance index was 0.776 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.86) for OS and 0.742 (95% CI 0.65-0.83) for PFS in the validation cohort. The nomograms can successfully classify patients into low- and high-risk groups. The validated nomograms provided useful prediction of OS and PFS for detectable pre-treatment EBV DNA patients with NPC in IMRT era.

Circulating cell\u2010free epstein\u2013barr virus DNA levels and clinical features in Moroccan patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BackgroundThe identification of effective prognosis biomarkers for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is crucial to improve treatment and patient outcomes. In the present study, we have attempted to evaluate the correlation between pre-treatment plasmatic Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load and the conventional prognostic factors in Moroccan patients with NPC.MethodsThe present study was conducted on 121 histologically confirmed NPC patients, recruited from January 2017 to December 2018. Circulating levels of EBV DNA were measured before therapy initiation using real-time quantitative PCR.ResultsOverall, undifferentiated non-keratinizingcarcinoma type was the most common histological type (90.1 %), and 61.8 % of patients were diagnosed at an advanced disease stage (IV). Results of pre-treatment plasma EBV load showed that 90.9 % of patients had detectable EBV DNA, with a median plasmatic viral load of 7710 IU/ml. The correlation between pre-treatment EBV DNA load and the conventional prognostic factors showed a significant association with patients’ age (p = 0.01), tumor classification (p = 0.01), lymph node status (p = 0.003), metastasis status (p = 0.00) and overall cancer stage (p = 0.01). Unexpectedly, a significant higher level of pre-treatment EBV DNA was also found in plasma of NPC patients with a family history of cancer (p = 0.04). The risk of NPC mortality in patients with high pretreatment EBVDNA levels was significantly higher than that of those with low pre-treatment plasma EBV-DNA levels (p < 0.05). Furthermore, patients with high pre-treatment EBV-DNA levels (≥ 2000, ≥ 4000) had a significant low overall survival (OS) rates (p < 0.05). Interestingly, lymph node involvement, metastasis status and OS were found to be the most important factors influencing the EBV DNA load in NPC patients.ConclusionsThe results of the present study clearly showed a high association between pre-treatment EBV DNA load, the crucial classical prognostic factors (T, N, M and disease stage) of NPC and OS, suggesting that pre-treatment EBV DNA can be a useful prognostic biomarker in clinical decision-making and improving NPC treatment in Morocco.

Exploring the Optimal Chemotherapy Strategy for Locoregionally Advanced Children and Adolescent Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Level in the Era of Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy.

BackgroundThe present study aimed to explore the optimal chemotherapy strategy for locoregionally advanced children and adolescent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LcaNPC), based on the level of pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (pEBV-DNA) in the era of intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT).MethodsThis real-world, retrospective study consecutively reviewed locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients younger than 22 years old from 2006 to 2016 in the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. The Kaplan–Meier method with the log-rank test and the Cox regression model were used to investigate the survival outcomes of different chemotherapy intensities and pEBV-DNA. Treatment-related toxicity was also evaluated using the chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test.ResultsA total of 179 patients were enrolled, including 86 patients in the high-risk group (pEBV-DNA ≥7,500 copies/ml) and 93 patients in the low-risk group (pEBV-DNA <7,500 copies/ml). Among all patients, those receiving low intensity induction chemotherapy (IC courses = 2) had a better 5-year overall survival (OS) than those receiving no IC (P = 0.025) and high intensity IC (IC courses >2) (P = 0.044). In the high-risk group, receipt of low intensity IC showed significant 5-year OS (P = 0.032), progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.027), and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (P = 0.008) benefits compared with not receiving IC. Multivariate analyses identified that not receiving IC was a risk factor compared with low intensity IC for OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 10.933, P = 0.038) among all patients. Moreover, in the high-risk group, not receiving IC was a risk factor for 5-year OS (HR = 10.878, P = 0.038), 5-year PFS (HR = 5.705, P = 0.041), and 5-year DMFS (HR = 10.290, P = 0.040) compared to low intensity IC. There were no differences in survival for patients treated with or without concurrent chemotherapy.ConclusionTwo courses of platinum-based IC might be the optimal induction chemotherapy intensity to reduce risk of death, progression, and distant metastasis in patients with high pEBV-DNA levels.

The effect of adding concurrent chemotherapy to radiotherapy for stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma with undetectable pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA: Retrospective analysis with a large institutional-based cohort

Little is known about the value of adding concurrent chemotherapy (CC) to radiotherapy for stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with undetectable (0 copies/mL) pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) DNA in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era. To address this question, the present study retrospectively reviewed 514 patients with newly diagnosed stage II NPC and undetectable pretreatment EBV DNA from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between March 2008 and October 2016. Clinical characteristics and survival outcomes between concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and IMRT alone groups were compared. Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to control for confounding factors. Although CCRT group had significantly higher proportions of stage N1 disease than IMRT alone group before matching (85% vs. 61%, p < 0.001), no statistically significant differences were noted for OS (97.8% vs. 98.1%, p = 0.700), DFS (93.4% vs. 94.5%, p = 0.846), DMFS (96.0% vs. 96.9%, p = 0.762), and LRFS (97.3% vs. 98.1%, p = 0.701). After 1:1 propensity-score matching, 177 pairs were identified. Patients in each group were found to be well balanced in baseline characteristics and risk factors (all P > 0.05). The five-year OS (96.9% vs. 98.2%, p = 0.302), DFS (92.0% vs. 95.2%, p = 0.777), DMFS (95.2% vs. 97.6%, p = 0.896), and LRFS (97.3% vs. 97.6%, p = 0.328) rates remain comparable for both CCRT and RT alone groups. Additionally, subgroup analysis still failed to observe any significant survival benefit for the addition of CC to IMRT for N1 disease (P>0.05 for all). Our results indicated that IMRT alone appeared to achieve comparable survival to CCRT for stage II NPC with undetectable pretreatment EBV DNA.