Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level Research Articles

Prognostic prediction model of colorectal cancer based on preoperative serum tumor markers

BACKGROUND Preoperative serum tumor markers not only play a role in the auxiliary diagnosis and postoperative monitoring in colorectal cancer (CRC), but also have been found to have potential prognostic value. AIM To analyze whether preoperative serum tumor markers, including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), affect the prognosis of CRC. METHODS This was a retrospective study conducted in a single center. Patients with nonmetastatic CRC who underwent initial surgery between January 2011 and January 2020 were enrolled and divided into development site and validation site groups at a ratio of 7:3. The independent prognostic factors were screened by Cox regression analysis, and finally, a prognostic nomogram model was established. The newly developed model was tested by internal validation. RESULTS Eventually, 3526 postoperative patients with nonmetastatic CRC were included in the study. There were 2473 patients at the development site and 1056 patients at the validation site. Age (P < 0.01, HR = 1.042, 95%CI = 1.033-1.051), tumor node metastasis (TNM) classification (P < 0.01, HR = 1.938, 95%CI = 1.665-2.255), preoperative CEA (P = 0.001, HR = 1.393, 95%CI = 1.137-1.707) and CA19-9 (P < 0.01, HR = 1.948, 95%CI = 1.614-2.438) levels were considered independent prognostic factors for patients with nonmetastatic CRC and were used as variables in the nomogram model. The areas under the curve of the development and validation sites were 0.655 and 0.658, respectively. The calibration plot also showed the significant performance of the newly established nomogram. CONCLUSION We successfully constructed a nomogram model based on age, TNM stage, preoperative CEA, and CA19-9 levels to evaluate the overall survival of patients with nonmetastatic CRC.

Prognostic value of a nomogram model for postoperative liver metastasis of colon cancer.

Colon cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors of the digestive system. Liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery is the primary cause of death in patients with colon cancer. To construct a novel nomogram model including various factors to predict liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery. We retrospectively analyzed 242 patients with colon cancer who were admitted and underwent radical resection for colon cancer in Zhejiang Provincial People's Hospital from December 2019 to December 2022. Patients were divided into liver metastasis and non-liver metastasis groups. Sex, age, and other general and clinicopathological data (preoperative blood routine and biochemical test indexes) were compared. The risk factors for liver metastasis were analyzed using single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression. A predictive model was then constructed and evaluated for efficacy. Systemic inflammatory index (SII), C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), alanine aminotransferase, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level, and lymphatic metastasis were different between groups (P < 0.05). SII, CAR, and RDW were risk factors for liver metastasis after colon cancer surgery (P < 0.05). The area under the curve was 0.93 for the column-line diagram prediction model constructed based on these risk factors to distinguish whether liver metastasis occurred postoperatively. The actual curve of the column-line diagram predicting the risk of postoperative liver metastasis was close to the ideal curve, with good agreement. The prediction model curves in the decision curve analysis showed higher net benefits for a larger threshold range than those in extreme cases, indicating that the model is safer. Liver metastases after colorectal cancer surgery could be well predicted by a nomogram based on the SII, CAR, and RDW.

Presence of CD44v9-Expressing Cancer Stem Cells in Circulating Tumor Cells and Effects of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels on the Prognosis of Colorectal Cancer.

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are cancer cells released from the primary tumor into the bloodstream, and contain cancer stem cells that influence tumor survival, recurrence, and metastasis. Here, we investigated CD44v9 expression in CTCs and impact of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels on colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis. We analyzed the expression of CD44v9 mRNA in CTCs using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction and preoperative CEA levels in blood samples obtained from 300 patients with CRC. Subsequently, we evaluated the association of CD44v9 expression and CEA levels with clinicopathological factors. CD44v9 mRNA was expressed in 31.3% of the patients, and was significantly associated with liver metastasis. Patients with positive CD44v9 expression had a lower 5-year survival rate (62.3%) than those with negative CD44v9 expression (82.8%, p < 0.001). Cox regression analysis identified CD44v9 expression and high CEA levels (≥5 ng/mL) as poor prognostic factors, while negative CD44v9 expression and low CEA levels (<5 ng/mL) were associated with favorable prognosis (hazard ratio = 0.285, p = 0.006). These results suggest that a combination of CD44v9 mRNA expression in CTCs and serum CEA levels could serve as a valuable prognostic marker for CRC, potentially enhancing the accuracy of prognosis predictions.

Preoperative predictive factors for positive peritoneal cytology results in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas: a retrospective study.

The clinical importance of positive peritoneal cytology results in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas remains controversial. We evaluated the prognosis of these patients and the predictive preoperative risk factors for positive peritoneal cytology results. We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent curative-intent surgery at our institution between May 2010 and June 2020. Preoperative risk factors for positive peritoneal cytology results were identified using logistic regression analysis. A scoring model was constructed using the total number of significant independent predictors for positive peritoneal cytology results. Of 233 patients, 18 (7.7%) had positive peritoneal cytology results. The recurrence-free survival and cancer-specific survival were markedly worse in patients with positive peritoneal cytology results than in those with negative peritoneal cytology results (recurrence-free survival: 6.0months vs. 16.6months, p = 0.050; cancer-specific survival: 19.4months vs. 47.5months, p = 0.034). Tumor location (odds ratio: 3.760, 95% confidence interval: 1.099-11.818, p = 0.023), tumor size > 25mm (odds ratio: 3.410, 95% confidence interval: 1.031-11.277, p = 0.046), preoperative serosal invasion (odds ratio: 5.193, 95% confidence interval: 1.099-24.531, p = 0.038), and preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level > 5.6ng/mL (odds ratio: 3.816, 95% confidence interval: 1.248-10.667, p = 0.019) were identified as significant independent predictive factors. Our predictive model's optimal cutoff and positive predictive values for positive peritoneal cytology results were 3 and 27.9%, respectively. The indications for curative-intent surgery should be considered carefully in patients with high-risk factors for positive peritoneal cytology results.

Prognostic usefulness of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index as a novel biomarker in patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery

BackgroundThe C-reactive protein (CRP)–albumin–lymphocyte (CALLY) index is a novel immuno-nutritional biomarker based on the levels of CRP, serum albumin, and lymphocyte count. This study examined the prognostic value of the CALLY index in patients with colorectal cancer undergoing curative surgery. MethodsBetween 2010 and 2017, 578 patients with stage II-III colorectal cancer who underwent curative resection were enrolled. The CALLY index was defined as (albumin × lymphocyte)/(CRP × 104). We investigated the association of the CALLY index with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). ResultsThe cutoff value of the CALLY index was determined to be 2. Of the 578 patients, 175 (30%) had a preoperative CALLY index <2. In multivariate analysis, the pre-operative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (p = 0.003), cell differentiation (p = 0.045), venous invasion (p = 0.036), Tumor-Node-Metastasis stage (p < 0.001), and CALLY index score <2 (p = 0.006) were independent predictors of DFS. Meanwhile, preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 levels (p = 0.019), lymphatic invasion (p = 0.018), preoperative platelet (p = 0.037), and CALLY index score <2 (p = 0.007) were independent predictors of OS. ConclusionThe CALLY index may be an independent prognostic biomarker for long-term outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer.

Ultrasonographic features of thyroid carcinoma of different sizes: comparison between medullary thyroid carcinomas and papillary thyroid carcinomas

Objective: To investigate the ultrasonographic features of medullary thyroid carcinomas (MTCs) of different sizes and supply valid information for separating MTCs from papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs). Methods: There were 87 patients with MTC and 220 patients with PTC detected by ultrasonography and confirmed by pathology at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from June 2018 to March 2022. Nodules were divided into the large nodule group (the maximum diameter of the tumor was＞1 cm) and the small nodule group (the maximum diameter of the tumor was ≤1 cm). There were 97 cases in the small nodule group, including 28 cases of MTC and 69 cases of PTC. There were 210 cases in the large nodule group, including 59 cases of MTC and 151 cases of PTC. After stratification by thyroid nodules, ultrasonographic features of thyroid nodules and metastatic lymph nodes, preoperative serum calcitonin (CT) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels were compared between MTC and PTC patients. Results: In the small nodule group, the proportion of MTCs exhibiting hypoecho, smooth margins, and having blood flow signals was higher than that of PTCs, with statistically significant differences (all P＜0.05). In the large nodule group, the proportion of MTCs showing cystic solidity, hypoecho, smooth margins, blood flow, and the type Ⅳvascular distribution was higher than PTCs, and the difference of calcification type between them was also statistically significant (all P＜0.05). In contrast, the differences in the number of lesions and aspect ratio between MTCs and PTCs were not statistically significant regardless of nodule size (all P＞0.05). In the small nodule group,6 metastatic lymph nodes of medullary thyroid carcinoma (LNM-MTC) and 11 metastatic lymph nodes of papillary thyroid carcinoma (LNM-PTC) were correctly diagnosed by ultrasound, respectively. The diagnostic compliance rate of ultrasound was 78.6% (22/28) and 78.3% (54/69), respectively, with no statistically significant difference (P=0.973). In the large nodule group, 28 LNM-MTC and 11 LNM-PTC were correctly diagnosed by ultrasound, respectively. The diagnostic compliance of ultrasound was 88.1% (52/59) and 73.5% (111/151), respectively, which was statistically significant (P=0.022). Among them, 82.1% of LNM-MTC and 56.6% of LNM-PTC showed abnormal blood flow signals, with a statistically significant difference (P=0.016). There were significant differences in preoperative serum CT and CEA levels of different sizes of MTCs (all P＜0.05). Conclusions: Different sizes of MTCs require diverse demonstrative criteria. Abnormal blood flow signal is of great significance in the diagnosis of LNM-MTC. Within the absence of ultrasonic characteristics, preoperative serum CT test can provide confidence for the diagnosis of MTC.

Tumour response following preoperative chemotherapy is affected by body mass index in patients with colorectal liver metastases.

Colorectal cancer is the third most prevalent malignancy globally and ranks second in cancer-related mortality, with the liver being the primary organ of metastasis. Preoperative chemotherapy is widely recommended for initially or potentially resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). Tumour pathological response serves as the most important and intuitive indicator for assessing the efficacy of chemotherapy. However, the postoperative pathological results reveal that a considerable number of patients exhibit a poor response to preoperative chemotherapy. Body mass index (BMI) is one of the factors affecting the tumorigenesis and progression of colorectal cancer as well as prognosis after various antitumour therapies. Several studies have indicated that overweight and obese patients with metastatic colorectal cancer experience worse prognoses than those with normal weight, particularly when receiving first-line chemotherapy regimens in combination with bevacizumab. To explore the predictive value of BMI regarding the pathologic response following preoperative chemotherapy for CRLMs. A retrospective analysis was performed in 126 consecutive patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy following preoperative chemotherapy at four different hospitals from October 2019 to July 2023. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were applied to analyse potential predictors of tumour pathological response. The Kaplan-Meier method with log rank test was used to compare progression-free survival (PFS) between patients with high and low BMI. BMI < 24.0 kg/m2 was defined as low BMI, and tumour regression grade 1-2 was defined as complete tumour response. Low BMI was observed in 74 (58.7%) patients and complete tumour response was found in 27 (21.4%) patients. The rate of complete tumour response was significantly higher in patients with low BMI (29.7% vs 9.6%, P = 0.007). Multivariate analysis revealed that low BMI [odds ratio (OR) = 4.56, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-14.63, P = 0.011], targeted therapy with bevacizumab (OR = 3.02, 95%CI: 1.10-8.33, P = 0.033), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level < 10 ng/mL (OR = 3.84, 95%CI: 1.19-12.44, P = 0.025) and severe sinusoidal dilatation (OR = 0.17, 95%CI: 0.03-0.90, P = 0.037) were independent predictive factors for complete tumour response. The low BMI group exhibited a significantly longer median PFS than the high BMI group (10.7 mo vs 4.7 mo, P = 0.011). In CRLM patients receiving preoperative chemotherapy, a low BMI may be associated with better tumour response and longer PFS.

Normal CEA Levels After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Cytoreduction with Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemoperfusion Predict Improved Survival from Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases.

Normal carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels (≤ 2.5 ng/ml) after resection of localized colorectal cancer or liver metastases are associated with improved survival, however, these trends are understudied for colorectal peritoneal metastases (CRPM). We conducted a retrospective single-institution study of patients with CRPM undergoing cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemoperfusion (CRS/HIPEC) with and without neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). CEA was measured before and after NACT and within 3 months after CRS/HIPEC. A total of 253 patients (mean age 55.3 years) with CRPM undergoing CRS/HIPEC had complete CEA data and 191 also underwent NACT with complete data. The median peritoneal carcinomatosis index score (PCI) of the overall cohort was 12 and 82.7% of patients had complete cytoreduction (CC0). In total, 64 (33.5%) patients had normal CEA levels after NACT with a median overall survival (OS) of 45.2 months compared with those with an elevated CEA (26.4 months, p = 0.004). Patients with normal CEA after NACT had a lower PCI found at the time of surgery than those with elevated CEA (10 versus 14, p < 0.001), 68 (26.9%) patients with an elevated preoperative CEA level experienced normalization after CRS/HIPEC, and 118 (46.6%) patients had elevated CEA after CRS/HIPEC. Patients who experienced normalization demonstrated similar OS to patients that had normal CEA levels pre- and post-surgery and improved OS compared with those with elevated postop CEA (median 41.9 versus 47 months versus 17.1 months, respectively, p < 0.001). Normal CEA levels after NACT and/or CRS/HIPEC are associated with improved survival for patients with CRPM. Patients that normalize CEA levels after surgery have similar survival to those with normal preoperative levels.

Impact of radiological and pathological splenic vein involvement in patients with resectable pancreatic body or tail cancer.

Several studies have reported a negative impact on survival associated with splenic vessel involvement, especially splenic artery (SpA) involvement, in patients diagnosed with pancreatic body or tail cancer. However, there is limited research on splenic vein (SpV) involvement. Therefore, we aimed to elucidate the significance of splenic vessel involvement, especially SpV involvement, in patients with resectable pancreatic body or tail cancer. Between January 2007 and December 2021, 116 consecutive patients underwent distal pancreatectomies for pancreatic body or tail cancer. Among them, this study specifically examined 88 patients with resectable pancreatic body or tail cancer to elucidate prognostic factors using a multivariable Cox proportional analysis. The Kaplan-Meier method evaluated the impact of SpV involvement in terms of both radiological and pathological aspects and the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy. Higher pre-operative carcinoembryonic antigen levels, larger tumour size, pathological SpV invasion, and non-completion of adjuvant therapy were identified as independent poor prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Additionally, patients with radiological SpV encasement had significantly worse prognoses in terms of OS (p = 0.039) and RFS (p < 0.001). The sensitivity and specificity of multidetector-row computed tomography for detecting pathological SpV invasion were 81.0% and 61.2%, respectively. However, the prognostic impact of neoadjuvant therapy could not be determined, regardless of radiological SpV involvement. Radiological and pathological SpV involvement is a poor prognostic factor for patients with resectable pancreatic body or tail cancer. New innovative treatments and effective neoadjuvant therapy regimens are required for patients with SpV involvement.

Unexplained increases in serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels in colorectal cancer patients during the postoperative follow-up period: an analysis of its incidence and longitudinal pattern

Background Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) monitoring facilitates the detection of recurrence in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) after resection. False-positive CEA has been reported in CRC patients with certain comorbidities or smokers. However, limited information is currently available on the frequency of and changes in falsely elevated CEA levels in patients without these conditions. Materials and methods We retrospectively examined CRC patients who underwent surgical resection at our hospital between 2001 and 2017, had no recurrence for at least five years, and were free of known factors that may increase CEA. Postoperative CEA levels were retrieved until 2 years before the last contact. For comparison, we similarly selected patients who developed recurrence after resection of CRC during the same period, and CEA levels at initial presentation, at nadir, and at the time of recurrence were reviewed. The patterns of elevated CEA (>5 ng/ml) were classified as transient, repeated, or persistent based on longitudinal changes. The relationships between CEA and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, transaminases, creatinine, and C-reactive protein were examined. Results CEA elevation occurred in 90 (20%) out of 446 eligible patients without recurrence at least once during the mean postoperative period of 50.5 months, whereas CEA was >5 ng/ml in 117 (53%) of 221 patients when they developed recurrence. Twenty-seven patients without recurrence showed a transient elevation in CEA, 45 repeated elevations, and 18 a persistent elevation; the frequency of a high preoperative CEA level increased in this order. The majority (98%) of false elevations ranged between 5 and 15 ng/ml. CEA was not associated with other laboratory data. Conclusions Unexplained CEA elevations were observed in 20% of recurrence-free CRC patients after surgery, and were classified into three patterns based on longitudinal changes. A more detailed understanding of patient-specific fluctuations in CEA will prevent unnecessary imaging studies and reduce medical costs.

Identifying tumor markers-stratified subtypes (CA-125/CA19-9/carcinoembryonic antigen) in cervical adenocarcinoma.

There is a lack of research evaluating the effect of tumor markers for prognosis in cervical adenocarcinoma. We aimed to develop and validate a preoperative tumor-marker-based model including clinicopathological factors to clarify the prognostic value of endocervical adenocarcinoma. A total of 572 patients with cervical adenocarcinoma who were staged at the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) IA-IIA were reviewed retrospectively. Preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen (CA)-125 and CA19-9 levels were measured. The survival and recurrence patterns were analyzed according to the tumor-marker-related stratification. The predictive values of biomarkers and clinical variables were assessed with Cox regression and competing risk models. Patients with elevated preoperative tumor markers had evidently poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival. The triple-elevated tumor marker (TETM) subgroup had the worst overall survival and progression-free survival than the triple-negative tumor marker (TNTM) subgroup and the single-elevated tumor marker (SETM) subgroup. The most important predictors for overall survival were elevated tumor markers, FIGO-stage, tumor differentiation, lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) and lymph nodes metastasis. The most important predictors for recurrence-free survival were elevated tumor markers, FIGO-stage, tumor differentiation, LVSI and deep stromal invasion. Stratified analysis showed that elevated CA-125 and CA19-9 were significantly associated with postoperative distant metastasis. A decision curve analysis confirmed that a combination of tumor markers as predictors significantly outperformed the other common predictors used (FIGO-stage, intermediate and high-risk factors, tumor differentiation, lymph nodes). Elevated preoperative serum CEA, CA-125, and CA19-9 levels exhibited poor overall survival and recurrence-free survival in cervical adenocarcinoma patients. Combined preoperative serum CA-125 and CA19-9 independently predicted distant metastasis in patients with endocervical adenocarcinoma.

Risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis in the central or lateral cervical region in medullary thyroid carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Compared with other types of thyroid carcinoma, patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) are more likely to develop cervical lymph node metastasis. This study was conducted to clarify the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (central lymph node metastasis or lateral cervical lymph node metastasis) in MTC by meta-analysis, and to provide evidence-based basis for the treatment and prognosis of MTC. The literatures related to cervical lymph node metastasis in medullary thyroid carcinoma were searched in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, CNKI and Wanfang databases, and statistical analysis was performed using Revman 5.3 and Stata 14.0 software. A total of 28 papers were included in this paper, and meta-analysis showed that the occurrence of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in MTC patients was significantly associated with tumor size (OR = 3.07, 95%CI: 2.04-4.63, P < 0.00001), multifocality (OR = 0.29, 95%CI: 0.19-0.44, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 3.75, 95% CI: 1.95-7.14, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 9.88, 95% CI: 5.93-16.45, P < 0.00001) and extrathyroidal extension (OR = 5.48, 95% CI: 2.61-11.51, P < 0.00001). While the occurrence of lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in MTC patients was strongly correlated with gender (OR = 2.97, 95%CI: 2.46-3.58, P < 0.00001), tumor size (OR = 3.88, 95%CI: 1.90-7.92, P = 0.0002 < 0.05), multifocality (OR = 0.43, 95%CI: 0.35-0.51, P < 0.00001), bilaterality (OR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.72-4.98, P < 0.0001), capsular invasion (OR = 8.44, 95% CI: 6.11-11.64, P < 0.00001), extrathyroidal extension (OR = 7.04, 95% CI: 5.54-8.94, P < 0.00001), margin of the tumor (OR = 4.47, 95% CI: 2.37-8.44, P < 0.00001), shape of the tumor (OR = 6.81, 95% CI: 3.64-12.73, P < 0.00001), preoperative calcitonin level (SMD = 1.39, 95% CI: 0.98-1.80, P < 0.00001), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level (SMD = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.74-1.20, P < 0.00001) and CLNM (OR = 19.70, 95% CI: 14.16-27.43, P < 0.00001). Tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion and extrathyroidal extension are the main risk factors for developing CLNM in MTC patients; And risk factors for developing LLNM in MTC patients include: gender, tumor size, multifocality, bilaterality, capsular invasion, extrathyroidal extension, margin of the tumor, shape of the tumor, preoperative calcitonin level, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen level and central lymph node metastasis. These risk factors can guide the individualized treatment plan and improve the prognosis of MTC patients.

Biliary Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) Levels: The Role in Detection of Occult Hepatic Metastases in Colorectal Carcinoma

Objective: Colorectal carcinoma (CRC) is a major public health concern, often complicated by hepatic metastasis. Despite the widespread use of serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA) for postoperative monitoring, early detection of hepatic metastasis remains elusive. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of CEA levels in both peripheral blood and gallbladder bile for predicting hepatic metastasis in CRC patients, and to explore its potential utility for personalized treatment regimens. Materials and Methods: A prospective randomized study was conducted over three years, enrolling 31 participants, 21 of whom underwent curative operations for CRC. Preoperative and postoperative CEA levels were assessed with rigorous diagnostic imaging and histological examinations. Patients were stratified into groups based on liver metastasis, postoperative chemotherapy, and CEA levels in both blood and bile. Results: A statistically significant difference was found in biliary CEA levels between patients with (mean = 129.22 ng/ml) and without intraoperative liver metastasis (mean = 33.16 ng/ml), p-value = 0.01. Serum and biliary CEA levels were robustly correlated, p &gt; 0.05. Biliary CEA values differed significantly across Duke's stages, with particular significance between the control group and Duke's stage D (p &lt; 0.001). Among patients without intraoperative liver metastasis but with biliary CEA &gt;10 ng/ml, 80% developed liver metastasis postoperatively despite undergoing chemotherapy. Conclusion: This research highlights the pivotal role of biliary CEA levels in diagnosing latent hepatic metastases in colorectal cancer. Demonstrating superior sensitivity compared to traditional serum tests, biliary CEA presents a potential shift in early detection. Elevated levels suggest expanded therapeutic options, from timely hepatectomies to adopting radiofrequency ablation and anti-CEA monoclonal antibodies, enhancing the likelihood of better patient outcomes. Essentially, these findings enhance our understanding of colorectal cancer, emphasizing the importance of personalized care, early diagnosis, and customized treatments, thereby directing us toward better patient outcomes.

Artificial intelligence based system for predicting permanent stoma after sphincter saving operations

Although the goal of rectal cancer treatment is to restore gastrointestinal continuity, some patients with rectal cancer develop a permanent stoma (PS) after sphincter-saving operations. Although many studies have identified the risk factors and causes of PS, few have precisely predicted the probability of PS formation before surgery. To validate whether an artificial intelligence model can accurately predict PS formation in patients with rectal cancer after sphincter-saving operations. Patients with rectal cancer who underwent a sphincter-saving operation at Taipei Medical University Hospital between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2021, were retrospectively included in this study. A machine learning technique was used to predict whether a PS would form after a sphincter-saving operation. We included 19 routinely available preoperative variables in the artificial intelligence analysis. To evaluate the efficiency of the model, 6 performance metrics were utilized: accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the receiving operating characteristic curve. In our classification pipeline, the data were randomly divided into a training set (80% of the data) and a validation set (20% of the data). The artificial intelligence models were trained using the training dataset, and their performance was evaluated using the validation dataset. Synthetic minority oversampling was used to solve the data imbalance. A total of 428 patients were included, and the PS rate was 13.6% (58/428) in the training set. The logistic regression (LR), Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Gradient Boosting (GB), random forest, decision tree and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) algorithms were employed. The accuracies of the logistic regression (LR), Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Gradient Boosting (GB), random forest (RF), decision tree (DT) and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) models were 70%, 76%, 89%, 93%, 95%, 79% and 93%, respectively. The area under the receiving operating characteristic curve values were 0.79 for the LR model, 0.84 for the GNB, 0.95 for the XGB, 0.95 for the GB, 0.99 for the RF model, 0.79 for the DT model and 0.98 for the LightGBM model. The key predictors that were identified were the distance of the lesion from the anal verge, clinical N stage, age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, and preoperative albumin and carcinoembryonic antigen levels. Integration of artificial intelligence with available preoperative data can potentially predict stoma outcomes after sphincter-saving operations. Our model exhibited excellent predictive ability and can improve the process of obtaining informed consent.

Prognostic factors affecting survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with salvage surgery after drug therapy: a multi-institutional retrospective study

BackgroundThe prevalence of salvage surgeries after drug therapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) has risen, mainly due to recent progress in molecular-targeted drugs and immune checkpoint inhibitors for NSCLC. While the safety and effectiveness of salvage surgery after drug therapy for NSCLC have been studied, its indications remain unclear. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors affecting survival in patients with advanced-stage (stages III–IV) NSCLC treated with salvage surgery after drug therapy.MethodsA retrospective investigation was conducted on patients who received salvage surgery after drug therapy at four hospitals between 2007 and 2020. Salvage surgery was defined as surgery after drug therapy for local progression, tumor conversion to resectable status, and discontinuation of prior drug therapy owing to serious complications.ResultsThirty-two patients received cytotoxic agents alone (n = 12 [38%]), tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs; n = 16 [50%]), or immune checkpoint inhibitors (n = 4 [13%]) as prior drug therapy. In 11 (34%) and 21 (66%) patients, the clinical stage before treatment was III or IV, respectively. The median initial and preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels were 10.2 (range, 0.5–1024) ng/mL and 4.2 (range, 0.6–92.5) ng/mL, respectively. Among the patients, 28 (88%) underwent lobectomy, 2 (6%) underwent segmentectomy, and 2 (6%) underwent wedge resection. Complete resection of the primary lesion was accomplished in 28 (88%) patients. Postoperative complications were documented in six (19%) patients. Mortality rates were 0% at 30 days and 3% at 90 days post-operation. The 5-year overall survival rate stood at 66%, while the 5-year progression-free survival rate was 21%. Multivariate analyses showed that prior TKI therapy and preoperative serum CEA level < 5 ng/mL were prognostic factors influencing overall survival (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.06 [0.006–0.68] and 0.03 [0.002–0.41], respectively). The 5-year overall survival in the 11 patients with both favorable prognosticators was 100%.ConclusionsIn this study, prior TKI therapy and preoperative serum CEA level < 5 ng/mL were favorable prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with NSCLC treated with salvage surgery. Patients with these prognostic factors are considered good candidates for salvage surgery after drug therapy.

Proposal of the Second Cutoff of Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels to Stratify Patients into Low, Intermediate, and High Risks at Recurrences after Curative Resection of Gastric Cancer

Introduction: Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 are widely used for treating various cancers, with cutoff values of 5.0 ng/mL and 37.0 IU/mL, respectively. However, these cutoff values are not for specific diseases or purposes but are uniformly used for any disease and any purpose. It is also unclear as to whether patients are at equal risk of recurrence if they are below the cutoff values. This study aimed to investigate the optimal cutoff of serum tumor markers in the stratification of recurrence risk after curative resection of gastric cancer. Methods: We constructed a nine-center integrated database of patients who received gastrectomy between January 2010 and December 2014 with a 5-year follow-up period. We determined the cutoff value of preoperative serum tumor marker levels correlated with postoperative recurrences and evaluated its performance in risk stratification for recurrences in 948 patients with stage II/III gastric cancer who underwent radical resection. Results: The hazard ratio for postoperative recurrences increased at two points of preoperative CEA levels, 3.6 ng/mL and 5.0 ng/mL, which were set as cutoffs. These two cutoffs stratified relapse-free survival into three levels. Conclusions: By adding a second cutoff value for preoperative serum CEA, which was proposed specifically for the prediction of recurrences, patients can be stratified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk recurrences after curative resection of gastric cancer.

39. HIGH PREOPERATIVE PLATELET TO LYMPHOCYTE RATIO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A GREATER RISK OF POSTOPERATIVE COMPLICATIONS AND RECURRENCES IN ESOPHAGEAL CANCER

Abstract Background Neoadjuvant treatment is currently the gold standard for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Several studies have examined the value of blood count-based indexes for predicting short- and long-term outcomes after esophagectomy for ESCC, but the relative predictive value of pretreatment, preoperative, and postoperative indexes has not yet been examined. Methods This study included 320 patients with thoracic ESCC who underwent subtotal esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy at our institution. A total of 19 candidate blood parameters were measured before neoadjuvant treatment as well as preoperatively and postoperatively. The ability of the parameters to predict postoperative complications, overall survival (OS), and relapse-free survival (RFS) were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and Cox regression analysis. Results ROC curve analysis indicated that preoperative platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) had the best predictive value with an optimal cutoff value of 166. Patients with high preoperative PLR (≥166) had significantly shorter OS and RFS and significantly higher incidences of hematogenous recurrence and postoperative pneumonia compared with patients with low preoperative PLR (&amp;lt;166). In multivariate analysis, high preoperative PLR and high preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level were independent predictors of poor prognosis. Conclusion Preoperative PLR is a good predictor of short- and long-term prognosis in patients with advanced ESCC who receive neoadjuvant treatment followed by radical resection.

Prognostic significance of preoperative lymphocyte to monocyte ratio in patients with signet ring gastric cancer.

The ratio of lymphocytes to monocytes (LMR) has been shown to be an effective predictor of gastric cancer prognosis. However, its predictive accuracy for signet ring gastric cancer is currently not well understood. To evaluate the prognosis predictive accuracy of preoperative LMR in signet ring gastric cancer. A total of 212 signet ring gastric cancer patients admitted at the Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, from January 2012 to December 2016 were enrolled in the study. The prognosis predictive accuracy of preoperative LMR was explored based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic. Factors that significantly affect the survival of patients were identified using single factor analysis, and those that were independently associated with signet ring gastric cancer were identified through multivariate analysis. The results of the single factor analysis revealed a strong correlation between the survival of signet ring gastric cancer patients and several factors, including tumor invasion (χ2 = 49.726; P < 0.001), lymph node metastasis (χ2 = 30.269; P < 0.001), pTNM stage (χ2 = 49.322; P < 0.001), surgical approach (χ2 = 8.489; P = 0.004), age (t = -2.213; P < 0.028), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (Z = -3.265; P = 0.001), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (Z = -2.196; P = 0.028), LMR (Z = -2.226; P = 0.026), ALB (t = 3.284; P = 0.001), prognostic nutritional index (t = -3.789; P < 0.001) and FIB (Z = -3.065; P = 0.002). Furthermore, the multivariate analysis further demonstrated that age (HR: 0.563, 95%CI: 0.363-0.873), tumor invasion depth (HR: 0.226, 95%CI: 0.098-0.520), pTNM stage (HR: 0.444, 95%CI: 0.255-0.771), preoperative CEA level (HR: 0.597, 95%CI: 0.386-8.790), and preoperative LMR level (HR: 1.776, 95%CI: 1.150-2.741) were independent factors influencing the prognosis of signet ring gastric cancer. In signet ring gastric cancer patients, a low preoperative LMR level predicts poor prognosis. The death risk ratio of the low LMR group compared to the high LMR group is 1.776.

Results of Laparoscopic Surgery and D3 Lymph Node Dissection Combined With Chemotherapy for the Radical Treatment of Advanced-Stage Right Colon Cancer: A Single-Center Observational Study in Vietnam.

To describe the results of laparoscopic surgery and D3 lymph node dissection combined with adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for the treatment of advanced-stage right colon cancer (stages II and III). A total of 172 right colon cancer patients (with tumour, node, and metastasis (TNM) stage II and III; mean age of 59.30±14.27 years; 58.1% male, 41.9% female)who had undergone complete mesocolic excision (CME) with D3 lymph node dissection at Nguyen Tri Phuong Hospital,Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, were included in this study. They were divided into two groups: group 1 (n=34) without ACT and group 2 (n=138) with ACT. We collected clinical and laboratory data twice (before and after one year of performing laparoscopic surgery). Rates of recurrence and mortality were obtained during a five-year follow-up. After one year of surgery, the rate of anemia and the increase in serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels in group 1 were significantly higher than those in group 2 (p<0.001). After five years of follow-up, the recurrence rate was 11.6% (that of group 1 was 41.2%, which is higher than that of group 2, i.e., 4.3%; p<0.001), and the mortality rate was 8.7% (that of group 1 was 32.4%, which is higher than that of group 2, i.e., 2.9%; p<0.001). Preoperative serum CEA levels were predictive of recurrence and mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.729 and 0.805, respectively (p<0.001). Laparoscopic CME surgery and D3 lymph node dissection combined with ACT reduced the five-year recurrence and mortality rates for advanced-stage right colon cancer patients.

Development of a Nomogram to Predict Postoperative Peritoneal Metastasis of Colon Cancer.

The aim of this study was to determine the clinicopathological and radiological risk factors for postoperative peritoneal metastasis and develop a prediction model for the early detection of peritoneal metastasis in patients with colon cancer. We included 174 patients with colon cancer. The clinicopathological and radiological data were retrospectively analyzed. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify risk factors for postoperative peritoneal metastasis. Based on these risk factors, a nomogram was developed. At a median follow-up of 63 months, 43 (24.7%) patients developed peritoneal metastasis. Six independent risk factors (hazards ratio [95% confidence interval]) were identified for postoperative peritoneal metastasis: abdominopelvic fluid (2.12 [1.02-4.40]; P = 0.04), longer maximum tumor length (1.02 [1.00-1.03]; P = 0.02), pN1 (2.50 [1.13-5.56]; P = 0.02), pN2 (4.45 [1.77-11.17]; P = 0.02), nonadenocarcinoma (2.75 [1.18-6.38]; P = 0.02), and preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels ≥5 ng/mL (3.08 [1.50-6.30]; P < 0.01). A clinicopathological-radiological model was developed based on these factors. The model showed good discrimination (concordance index, 0.798 [0.723-0.876]; P < 0.001) and was well-calibrated. The developed clinicopathological-radiological nomogram may assist clinicians in identifying patients at high risk of postoperative peritoneal metastasis.