Predictors Of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation Research Articles

The Overall Prevalence and Main Determinants of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: A Systematic Review.

Although respiratory support is necessary to maintain hemodynamic stability in patients undergoing major surgeries, prolonging the time of mechanical ventilation is considered a major complication following these procedures. The identification of potential factors related to this phenomenon should be identified. In the present systematic review, we first assess the pooled prevalence of prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery and also determine the main predictors for PMV by deeply reviewing the literature. The manuscript databases including Medline, Web of Knowledge, Google Scholar, Scopus, and Cochrane were deeply searched by the two blinded investigators for all eligible studies based on the relevant keywords. Based on the titles and abstracts, 88 records were initially included and of those, 15 articles were eligible for the final analysis. The pooled prevalence of PMV in the studies that defined PMV as ventilation >24 h was 6.5% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.1%-10.2%) and in the studies, PMV as ventilation >48 h was 2.8% (95% CI: 1.7%-4.7%). Demographics (gender and advanced age), obesity, underlying comorbidities (hypertension, chronic kidney disease, cerebrovascular accident, high New York Heart Association class, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and history of acute coronary syndrome), emergency surgery, intraoperative characteristics (needing intra-aortic balloon pump, increased peak airway pressure, using cardiopulmonary bypass, the type of dose of anesthetics, cross-clamp time, increased units of blood transfusion, occurring cardiac ischemic events within an operation, fluid imbalance, and some anastomoses), and some postoperative outcome such as lowering O2 saturation, sequential organ failure assessment score, inotrope use, pleural effusion, delirium, and prolonged intensive care unit stay were found to be the main determinants for PMV. Depending on the definition of PMV, the prevalence of PMV varied from 1.7% to 10.2%. Various factors before, during, and after surgery are the predictors of PMV in these patients, which can be used to design new scoring systems to predict it.

Patent ductus arteriosus stenting versus modified Blalock-Taussig shunt for palliation of duct-dependent pulmonary blood flow lesions.

Patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) stenting is an alternative to modified Blalock-Taussig shunt (MBTS) as first-stage palliation of duct-dependent lesions. The superiority of one approach over the other is still controversial. Our objective was to compare PDAstent versusMBTS for palliation in regard to safety, efficacy, and efficiency. From 2010 to 2021, 134 patients had first-stage palliation with either PDAstent (n = 83) or MBTS (n = 51). Twenty-seven patients failed the primary treatment and were converted to the other group. The study endpoints were hospital outcomes, interstage reintervention, and concomitant procedures at the second-stage palliation. Patients with PDAstent were significantly younger. The prevalence of antegrade pulmonary blood flow (PBF) was higher in patients who had MBTS and graft thrombosis was higher in the PDAstent. Hospital stay was significantly longer in patients who had MBTS. Predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation were low-weight, MBTS, and conversion. Intensive careunit stay significantly increased with conversion, low-weight, and antegrade PBF. The interstage intervention was required more frequently in PDA-stent group. Predictors of reintervention were conversion and pulmonary atresia with the intact interventricular septum. Pulmonary artery plasty was required more frequently during the second-stage palliation in PDA-stent group. PDAstent is an alternative to MBTS for first-stage palliation. It is associated with shorter hospital stays and avoidance of surgery at the expense of a high rate of stent thrombosis and interstage reintervention. Conversion increased the risk of the procedure. More studies are needed to determine factors that affect PDA-stent outcomes and patient selection criteria.

Increased complement activation 3 to 6\u2009h after trauma is a predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome: a prospective observational study

BackgroundComplement activation is a central mechanism in systemic inflammation and remote organ dysfunction following major trauma. Data on temporal changes of complement activation early after injury is largely missing. We aimed to describe in detail the kinetics of complement activation in individual trauma patients from admission to 10 days after injury, and the association with trauma characteristics and outcome.MethodsIn a prospective cohort of 136 trauma patients, plasma samples obtained with high time resolution (admission, 2, 4, 6, 8 h, and thereafter daily) were assessed for terminal complement complex (TCC). We studied individual TCC concentration curves and calculated a summary measure to obtain the accumulated TCC response 3 to 6 h after injury (TCC-AUC3–6). Correlation analyses and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to explore associations between individual patients’ admission TCC, TCC-AUC3–6, daily TCC during the intensive care unit stay, trauma characteristics, and predefined outcome measures.ResultsTCC concentration curves showed great variability in temporal shapes between individuals. However, the highest values were generally seen within the first 6 h after injury, before they subsided and remained elevated throughout the intensive care unit stay. Both admission TCC and TCC-AUC3–6 correlated positively with New Injury Severity Score (Spearman’s rho, p-value 0.31, 0.0003 and 0.21, 0.02) and negatively with admission Base Excess (− 0.21, 0.02 and − 0.30, 0.001). Multivariable analyses confirmed that deranged physiology was an important predictor of complement activation. For patients without major head injury, admission TCC and TCC-AUC3–6 were negatively associated with ventilator-free days. TCC-AUC3–6 outperformed admission TCC as a predictor of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score at day 0 and 4.ConclusionsComplement activation 3 to 6 h after injury was a better predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome than admission TCC. Our data suggest that the greatest surge of complement activation is found within the first 6 h after injury, and we argue that this time period should be in focus in the design of future experimental studies and clinical trials using complement inhibitors.

EuroScore and IL-6 predict the course in ICU after cardiac surgery

BackgroundDespite modern advances in intensive care medicine and surgical techniques, mortality rates in cardiac surgical patients are still about 3%. Considerable efforts were made to predict morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. In this study, we analysed the predictive properties of EuroScore and IL-6 for mortality in ICU, prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation, and prolonged stay in ICU.MethodsWe enrolled 2972 patients undergoing cardiac surgery. The patients either underwent aortic valve surgery (AV), mitral valve surgery (MV), coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and combined operations of aortic valve and coronary artery bypass grafting (AV + CABG) or of mitral and tricuspid valve (MV + TV). Different laboratory and clinical parameters were analysed.ResultsEuroScore as well as IL-6 were associated with increased mortality after cardiac surgery. Furthermore, a higher EuroScore and elevated levels of IL-6 were predictors for prolonged mechanical ventilation and a longer stay in ICU. Especially, highly significant elevated IL-6 levels and an increased EuroScore showed a strong association. Statistics suggested superiority when both parameters were combined in a single model.ConclusionOur results suggest that EuroScore and IL-6 are helpful in predicting the course in ICU after cardiac surgery, and therefore, the use of intensive care resources. Especially, the combination of highly elevated levels of IL-6 and EuroScore may prove to be excellent predictors for an unfortunate postoperative course in ICU.

Obesity as a Predictor of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation.

To examine the effect of including obesity with parameters of the I-TRACH scale in predicting the need for prolonged mechanical ventilation. A retrospective cohort study. Tertiary care academic medical center. Consecutive patients were identified retrospectively over a 45-month period based on need for mechanical ventilation in the medical intensive care unit. Chart review was performed to collect demographic information as well as clinical data, including duration of mechanical ventilation, body mass index (BMI), and I-TRACH parameters (heart rate >110, serum urea nitrogen >25, serum pH <7.25, serum creatinine >2, serum bicarbonate <20). Statistical analysis was performed to identify any predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation, defined as ≥14 days and as ≥10 days. In total, 455 patients were identified, with an average duration of mechanical ventilation of 10.4 days (range, 0-248 days). On univariate and multivariate regression analysis, only BMI >30 reached statistical significance with respect to prolonged mechanical ventilation (P < .05). The I-TRACH parameters-either alone or in combination-were not significantly predictive. This study challenges previous findings regarding the I-TRACH scale and the relation of its parameters to prolonged mechanical ventilation. Furthermore, BMI >30 alone was predictive of prolonged intubation. Inclusion of BMI in predictive models could assist current decision making in determining the likelihood of prolonged mechanical ventilation in medical intensive care unit patients going forward, and obesity should be considered a predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation.

Positive cumulative fluid balance in the first 72 h is associated with adverse outcomes following heat stroke

Objective: The objective of the study was to determine the association between positive cumulative fluid balance following heat stroke (HS) and its impact on patient outcomes.Methods: A retrospective chart review of HS patients admitted to the emergent intensive care unit (ICU), Beijing Lu He Hospital, Capital Medical University, from 2015 to 2018 was conducted.Results: Forty-nine surviving HS patients met the inclusion criteria. Patients were divided into two groups based on the median duration of mechanical ventilation (MV). Patients with MV for more than 6 days were placed in the longer length of the MV group. Patients with MV for <6 days were placed in the shorter MV group. There were significant differences between the two groups regarding the fluid balance on day 2 (3040 ml vs. −533 ml, P = 0.017) and persistent cumulative fluid overload in the first 72 h (6112 ml vs. −46 ml, P = 0.04). Patients with a higher cumulative fluid overload in the first 72 h were more likely to receive a longer duration of MV (10.7 days vs. 3.2 days, P < 0.001) and ICU length of stay (22.5 days vs. 6.2 days, P < 0.001). Spearman analysis of fluid overload in the first 72 h and MV time showed that the correlation coefficient was 0.662. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the positive cumulative fluid balance in the first 72 h (odds ratio [OR] = 1, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 0.99–1.01] and alanine aminotransferase (OR = 0.978, 95% CI = 0.95–0.99) were both independent risk factors for prolonged MV in patients with HS (P = 0.025, P = 0.026). There were also differences between groups regarding creatine kinase-MB (P = 0.01) and Glasgow Coma Scale scores (P = 0.033). The patients with a higher cumulative fluid overload in the first 72 h had larger sequential organ failure assessment cores. Based on the receiver operating characteristic analysis, the cumulative fluid overload in the first 72 h predicted the need for invasive MV with the area under the curve of 0.869 (P < 0.0001, 95% CI: 0.779–0.958) at a cutoff value >1685 ml (sensitivity: 86%; specificity: 78%).Conclusions: Fluid overload in the first 72 h was a predictor of prolonged MV and ICU length of stay in surviving HS patients. Maintaining cautious about fluid resuscitation for HS patients may be critical for improving patient outcomes.

Abnormal pulmonary function tests are associated with prolonged ventilation and risk of complications following elective cardiac surgery.

Elective cardiac surgery accounts for a significant proportion of perioperative resource allocation in Australasia. Preoperative pulmonary function testing (PFT) is routinely undertaken in some centres to identify patients who may require prolonged ventilation and intensive care unit (ICU) stay, although there are currently no data supporting this practice. Routine PFT places a burden on respiratory diagnostic laboratories, is inconvenient to patients and may delay surgery. We aimed to identify whether PFT parameters identify patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation after elective cardiac surgery. Adult patients admitted to the Royal Adelaide Hospital ICU following elective cardiac surgery between July 2013 and December 2017 were identified retrospectively from the local ICU database. Preoperative PFT and operative and postoperative outcome data were retrieved from local databases, and multivariable logistic regression was undertaken to identify which PFT variables were associated with prolonged mechanical ventilation. PFT data were available for 835/1139 (73%) elective cardiac surgical cases. The best independent predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation were post-bronchodilator forced vital capacity (FVC) and single-breath diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO). Patients with FVC &lt;80% predicted and DLCO &lt;60% predicted had an odds ratio for prolonged postoperative ventilation of 7.5 (95% confidence intervals 3.6–15.6; P &lt; 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve derived from this model was 0.68. Abnormal PFT results were associated with prolonged postoperative mechanical ventilation. A PFT-based prediction tool does not accurately predict individual patient outcome but identifies a cohort of patients at higher risk of requiring prolonged ventilation, potentially informing ICU resource allocation and surgical planning.

Early Fluid Overload Prolongs Mechanical Ventilation in Children With Viral-Lower Respiratory Tract Disease.

Viral-lower respiratory tract disease is common in young children worldwide and is associated with high morbidity. Acute respiratory failure due to viral-lower respiratory tract disease necessitates PICU admission for mechanical ventilation. In critically ill patients in PICU settings, early fluid overload is common and associated with adverse outcomes such as prolonged mechanical ventilation and increased mortality. It is unclear, however, if this also applies to young children with viral-lower respiratory tract disease induced acute respiratory failure. In this study, we aimed to investigate the relation of early fluid overload with adverse outcomes in mechanically ventilated children with viral-lower respiratory tract disease in a retrospective dataset. Retrospective cohort study. Single, tertiary referral PICU. One hundred thirty-five children (< 2 yr old) with viral-lower respiratory tract disease requiring mechanical ventilation admitted to the PICU of the Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam between 2008 and 2014. None. The cumulative fluid balance on day 3 of mechanical ventilation was compared against duration of mechanical ventilation (primary outcome) and daily mean oxygen saturation index (secondary outcome), using uni- and multivariable linear regression. In 132 children, the mean cumulative fluid balance on day 3 was + 97.9 (49.2) mL/kg. Higher cumulative fluid balance on day 3 was associated with a longer duration of mechanical ventilation in multivariable linear regression (β = 0.166; p = 0.048). No association was found between the fluid status and oxygen saturation index during the period of mechanical ventilation. Early fluid overload is an independent predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation in young children with viral-lower respiratory tract disease. This study suggests that avoiding early fluid overload is a potential target to reduce duration of mechanical ventilation in these children. Prospective testing in a clinical trial is warranted to support this hypothesis.

A derived and validated score to predict prolonged mechanical ventilation in patients undergoing cardiac surgery

ObjectivesProlonged mechanical ventilation after cardiac surgery imposes a significant burden on the patient in terms of morbidity as well as a financial burden on the hospital. We undertook a retrospective analysis of 2 prospectively collected databases developed in tertiary cardiac care centers to derive and validate a risk index predicting prolonged mechanical ventilation after cardiac surgery. MethodsWe studied a retrospective cohort of 32,045 patients undergoing cardiac surgery in 2 hospitals in Toronto, Canada. The development cohort consisted of 21,661 patients at Toronto General Hospital. Data Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Canada, with 10,384 patients, served as an institutional validation cohort. We operationally characterized prolonged mechanical ventilation as the duration from surgery completion to extubation exceeding 48 hours. ResultsProlonged postoperative mechanical ventilation rates in the development and validation cohort were 6% and 7%, respectively. Multivariable regression in the development cohort showed that the following factors were strong predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation after cardiac surgery: previous cardiac surgery, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, shock, surgery involving repair of congenital heart disease, and cardiopulmonary bypass time. The intraoperative multivariable model retained good discrimination in the validation cohort, achieving a c statistic of 0.787. ConclusionsProlonged mechanical ventilation after cardiac surgery can be accurately predicted by readily available pre- and intraoperative information.

Tracheostomy or Not: Prediction of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Guillain\u2013Barr\xe9 Syndrome

BackgroundRespiratory insufficiency occurs in 20 % of Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS) patients, and the duration of mechanical ventilation (MV) ranges widely. We identified predictors of prolonged MV to guide clinical decision-making on tracheostomy.MethodsWe analyzed prospectively collected data from 552 patients with GBS in the context of two clinical trials and three cohort studies in The Netherlands. Potential predictors for prolonged MV, defined as duration of ≥14 days, were considered using crosstabs. Selected predictors were analyzed using Cox regression analysis.ResultsOn a total of 150 (27 %) patients requiring MV, 106 (71 %) patients needed prolonged MV. The median duration of MV was 28 days (Interquartile Range [IQR] 12–60 days). The strongest observed predictors of prolonged MV were muscle weakness and axonal degeneration or unexcitable nerves on nerve conduction studies. Patients who are unable to lift the arms from the bed (bilateral Medical Research Council [MRC] of deltoid muscles of 0–2) at 1 week after intubation have an 87 % chance to require prolonged MV versus 69 % in patients who are able to lift the arms from the bed (bilateral MRC of deltoid muscles of 3–10). Patients in this last group who had axonal degeneration or unexcitable nerves on nerve conduction studies also have a 90 % chance to require prolonged MV.ConclusionsVentilated GBS patients who are unable to lift the arms from the bed and patients who have axonal degeneration or unexcitable nerves at 1 week are at high risk of prolonged MV, and tracheostomy should be considered in these patients.

Predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation in pediatric patients after cardiac surgery for congenital heart disease

Background: The duration of mechanical ventilation (MV) is one of the most important clinical factors which predict outcomes in pediatric cardiac surgery. The prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) following cardiac surgery is a multifactorial phenomenon and there are conflicts regarding its predictors in pediatric population between different centers. Objectives: The current study aimed to describe PMVpredictors in patients undergoing cardiac surgery for congenital heart disease in a tertiary center for pediatric cardiovascular diseases in Iran. Patients and Methods: From May to December 2014, all pediatric patients (less than a month -15 years old) admitted to pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) after congenital heart surgeries were consecutively included. The PMV was defined as mechanical ventila- tion duration more than 72 hours as medium PMV and more than seven days as extended PMV. The demographic data and variables probably related to PMV were recorded during the PICU stay. Results: A total of 300 patients, 56.7% male, were enrolled in this study. Their mean age was 32 ± 40 months .The median duration (IQR) of MVwas 18 hours (8.6 - 48 hours). The incidence of PMV more than 72 hours and seven days was 20% and 10.7%, respectively. Younger age, lower weight, heart failure, higher doses of inotropes, pulmonary hypertension, respiratory infections and delayed sternal closure were independent predictors of PMV in multivariate analyses. Conclusions: The results of this study indicated that PMV predictors could be specific for each center and a good administration program is needed for each pediatric cardiac surgery center for the preoperative management of patients undergoing congenital heart surgeries.

Predictors and Early Outcome of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Contemporary Heart valve Surgery

During last decades mechanical ventilation has been an important support in the postoperative management of patients undergoing cardiac surgery. This study was designed to determine the predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) in patients undergoing heart valve surgery. This retrospective study considered of 1056 patients who underwent isolated valve surgery at Tehran Heart Center from March 2002 to March 2009. PMV is considered as mechanical ventilation period of > or =24 hours at postoperative hospital stay in this study. PMV occurred in 6.6% of patients. Initial ventilation hours, atrial fibrillation, cardiac arrest and reintubation were the most prevalent postoperative complications. Preoperative renal failure, postoperative stroke, intra aortic balloon pump insertion, emergent operation, complete heart block, longer perfusion time were independent predictors of PMV in our patients. PMV is associated with significant comorbidities and increased hospital mortality. Strategies to delineate the patients at risk and to modify these risk factors by prophylactic measures should probably lead to a lower incidence of prolonged mechanical ventilation for patients undergoing isolated valve surgery.

Clinical presentations as predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation in Guillain-Barré syndrome in an institution with limited medical resources.

Severe Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) causes ventilatory insufficiency and the need for prolonged artificial ventilation. Under circumstances where medical care for patients with severe GBS is required in a resource-limited institution, identifying initial clinical presentations in GBS patients that can predict respiratory insufficiency and the need for prolonged mechanical ventilation (> 15 days) may be helpful for advanced care planning. The medical records of patients diagnosed with GBS in a tertiary care and medical teaching hospital from January 2001 to December 2010 were retrospectively reviewed. The demographic data and clinical presentations of the patients were summarised using descriptive statistics. Clinical predictors of respiratory insufficiency and the need for prolonged mechanical ventilation (> 15 days) were identified using univariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 55 patients with GBS were included in this study. Mechanical ventilation was needed in 28 (50.9%) patients. Significant clinical predictors for respiratory insufficiency were bulbar muscle weakness (odds ratio [OR] 5.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31-21.60, p = 0.007) and time to peak limb weakness ≤ 5 days (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91, p < 0.001). Bulbar muscle weakness (p = 0.006) and time to peak limb weakness ≤ 5 days (p < 0.001) were also found to be significantly associated with the need for prolonged mechanical ventilation (> 15 days). Bulbar weakness and time to peak limb weakness ≤ 5 days were able to predict respiratory insufficiency and the need for prolonged mechanical ventilation in patients with GBS.

30. Predictors for prolonged mechanical ventilation in children undergoing cardiac surgery

Introduction Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) has been associated with deleterious clinical outcomes. Characteristics of the patient and various peri-operative factors can predispose individuals to PMV leading to prolonged hospitalization, increasing costs, morbidity and mortality. We investigated specific predictors of PMV in children who underwent cardiac surgery in a tertiary care centre in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Method Retrospective analysis of 413 pediatric cardiac surgeries performed during a 12 months period. Cases were divided in group-A (MV > 7 days) and group- B (MV t -test and Chi-square. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of PMV. Results In total, 47 (11.4%) of the 413 children had PMV post-cardiac surgery. Group-A patients were younger [mean age: 7.6 months (SD 17.1) vs 23.4 months (SD 29.3), p p p p Conclusion Post-operative infections and delayed sternal closure proved to be the most important factors determining the duration of ventilation. Aggressive efforts to ameliorate infection would facilitate successful early extubation after surgery.

Predictors of ventilatory outcome in cervical spinal injuries

Spinal cord injuries affect 50 persons per million every year in North America [1], with over 50% occurring at the cervical level [2]. Cervical spinal cord injuries (CSI) are at particular risk for mechanical ventilation (MV), pulmonary complications and increased length of hospital stay. A few small cohort studies looked at predictors of MV [3-6], and to our knowledge there are no studies addressing factors associated with prolonged MV. The purpose of this study was to compare known clinical predictors of MV and determine predictors of prolonged MV.

ELWI as a predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation in the postoperatory of liver transplantation

Tranche, I.; Vilchez, A.; Garutti, I.; Perez, Peña J.M.; Olmedilla, L. Author Information

Patterns of Patient-Ventilator Asynchrony as Predictors of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation

Patient-ventilator asynchrony has been associated with adverse outcomes. The largest body of investigation has focused on ineffective ventilator triggering. Nevertheless, the effect of other patterns of asynchrony on patient outcomes is unknown. The purpose of this study was to assess the performance of specific patterns of asynchrony in their ability to predict prolonged mechanical ventilation. Patients mechanically ventilated within 48 hours of intensive care unit admission were included. Subjects with tracheostomy, mechanical ventilation dependency and treatment with neuromuscular blockers were excluded. Asynchrony patterns were collected on daily evaluations for three days. Analysed patterns were missed, double and auto-triggering, dish-out and overshoot of the pressure waveform, delayed termination and auto-positive end-expiratory pressure. Pattern-specific and composite asynchrony indices were calculated. Demographic data, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, PaO2/FiO2, positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale were collected. Receiver operating characteristic curves to assess the ability of each index to predict prolonged mechanical ventilation were constructed. Twenty-eight patients were deemed eligible. The average age was 54±17, with 71% of male gender. APACHE II, PaO2/FiO2 and PEEP were 18±7, 249±117 and 5.8±2.4 respectively. Richmond Agitation Sedation Scale was -3.1±1.3. The average number of days on mechanical ventilation was 5.4±6.5. Areas under the curve (AUC) for missed and double-triggering indices were 0.66±0.12 and 0.60±0.12 respectively. AUC for the dish-out index was 0.88±0.09. AUC for overshoot, delay termination and composite indexes were 0.55±0.12, 0.62±0.12 and 0.70±0.10 respectively. Dish-out index is the best predictor of prolonged mechanical ventilation, compared with other patterns of patient-ventilator asynchrony.

Acute Kidney Injury on Ventilator Initiation Day Independently Predicts Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Intensive Care Unit Patients

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify the predictors for prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) of more than 21 days among intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Material and Methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted in a respiratory ICU from December 2008 to November 2009. The outcome measurement was the occurrence of PMV. Acute kidney injury (AKI) was identified and defined as an increase in the serum creatinine level of 50% or greater from baseline. Results: Of154patientsenrolled,41patients(26.6%)hadPMV.PatientswithPMVshowedhigherAcute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores, lower serum albumin levels, and more AKI on mechanicalventilation(MV)initiationdaycomparedwiththenon-PMVpatients.PatientswithPMVwere significantly associated with longer MV duration before the day of readiness for weaning (DRW) and a higher rapid shallow breathing index on DRW. In a multivariate regression analysis, the independent risk factors for PMV were AKI on MV initiation day (odds ratio [OR], 5.630; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.378-22.994; P = .016), longer MV duration before DRW (OR, 1.289; 95% CI, 1.158-1.435; P b .001), and higher rapid shallow breathing index on DRW (OR, 1.012; 95% CI, 1.003-1.021; P = .010). Conclusions:AcutekidneyinjuryonMVinitiationdayisanindependentriskfactorforPMVofmorethan 21 days, which may be helpful for clinicians to refine their management of these ICU patients early.

Predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation after heart transplantation

Several studies have reported that prolonged mechanical ventilation is associated with high mortality and morbidity rates, length of hospital stay, and costs after coronary artery and valvular surgeries. However, no study has focused on the incidence and risk factors of prolonged mechanical ventilation after heart transplantation. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation after heart transplantation.

Independent predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation after coronary artery bypass surgery

To determine independent predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Data of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery were included prospectively from July 2009 to July 2010. All data were input into an electronic database. The resulting cohort included a total of 2952 patients of which 77 remained more than 48 hours on mechanical ventilation. Patients were divided into two groups: 1) a prolonged ventilation group, needing mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours and 2) not prolonged ventilation group, undergoing a successful extubation within 48 hours. After adjustment for confounding factors a multivariate analysis identified the following factors as independent predictors of prolonged mechanical ventilation: age (OR 1.06 95% CI 1.03 -1.09; P <0.001), chronic renal failure (OR 3.52 95% CI 1.84 - 6.74; P <0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 2.65 95% CI 1.38 -5.09; P = 0.004), coronary artery bypass graft associated with other procedures (OR 3.33 95 % CI 1.89 - 5.58; P <0.001) and clamping time (OR 1.01 95% CI 1.00 -1.02; P = 0.018). The identification of these predictors allows the development of preventive strategies that could reduce invasive ventilation time, since patients on prolonged mechanical ventilation present greater morbidity and mortality rates.