Predictors Of Injury Research Articles

External validation of the CA-AKI score in patients with acute coronary syndrome: A real-world cohort analysis from Asia

Abstract Background Contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) is associated with long-term impairment of kidney function, the need for renal replacement therapy, and subsequent all-cause deaths. A practical risk score, the CA-AKI risk score is derived for the prediction of contrast-associated acute kidney injury. However, this novel score has not received sufficient evidence of external validation in real-world studies, especially in Asian individuals. Methods Short-term endpoints and long-term endpoints were assessed in 8,816 patients with acute coronary syndrome enrolled in a large Asia registry. Discrimination was assessed by Harrell’s C statistic, and calibration was assessed by calibration plots. The ability of the CA-AKI score to predict short-term and long-term prognosis was assessed. Results CA-AKI occurred in 5.3% of the patients, with a stepwise increase of CA-AKI rates from the lowest to the highest of the 4 risk categories. When predicting the risk of CA-AKI, both discrimination and calibration were helpful in model 2 (C-index: 0.72; slope: 0.97) and in model 1(C-index: 0.69; slope: 1.02). The risks of 1-year all-cause mortality and 1-year bleeding were higher in CA-AKI patients (HR: 2.70 [95% CI: 2.22-3.30] and HR: 1.76 [95% CI: 1.41-2.46]; respectively). Conclusion The updated CA-AKI risk score could accurately identify patients with contrast-associated acute kidney injury, the occurrence of which is strongly associated with long-term mortality and bleeding.

Proenkephalin improves risk prediction in acute coronary syndromes: derivation and external validation of the KID-ACS risk score

Abstract Background Early assessment of renal and mortality risk in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is essential to guide treatment decisions according to international guidelines. Circulating proenkephalin (PENK) is a stable opioid metabolite with fast response to changes in kidney function. Purpose This study examined the predictive value of PENK for acute kidney injury (AKI) and mortality in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Methods Plasma PENK levels were measured using a validated sandwich immunoassay in a prospective multicentre ACS cohort from Switzerland (n = 4 787) and in validation cohorts from the UK (n = 1 141) and Czechia (n = 920). A biomarker-enhanced risk score for simultaneous prediction of both in-hospital acute kidney injury (AKI) and 30-day death (KID-ACS score) with model coefficients adjusted to the outcome was derived and externally validated. In the development of the in-hospital AKI model, patients from one participating study centre were reserved for external validation (Swiss validation cohort). Results Circulating PENK ranked among the top predictors of renal outcomes and mortality in patients with ACS. Accounting for established risk factors and risk models, circulating PENK levels at presentation were independently associated with in-hospital AKI (per log2 increase: adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.56, 95% CI 1.14 – 2.12, P = 0.005) and with 30-day mortality (per log2 increase: adjusted OR 2.69, 95% CI 1.89 – 3.84, P < 0.001). Dynamic changes in PENK levels within the first 12-24 hours after presentation were strongly and independently associated with in-hospital AKI (increase vs. decrease: adjusted OR 2.83, 95% CI 1.98 – 4.05, P < 0.001). The simple 6-item KID-ACS risk score for in-hospital AKI and 30-day mortality integrates PENK levels at presentation and showed an AUC of 0.72 (95% CI 0.68 – 0.76) for in-hospital AKI, and of 0.91 (95% CI 0.87 – 0.95) for 30-day mortality in the derivation cohort. Upon external validation, KID-ACS had similarly high performance for in-hospital AKI (Swiss validation cohort: AUC 0.73, 95% CI 0.70 – 0.77; Czech validation cohort: 0.74, 95% CI 0.68 – 0.80) and 30-day mortality (UK validation cohort: AUC of 0.87, 95% CI 0.82 – 0.91; Czech validation cohort: 0.91, 95% CI 0.87 – 0.94). The simple 6-item KID-ACS score was non-inferior to established risk models and significantly outperformed the CA-AKI risk score in predicting in-hospital AKI (Zurich cohort: delta AUC 0.11, 95% CI 0.07 – 0.15, P = 0.001) and the GRACE 2.0 in predicting 30-day mortality (UK cohort: delta AUC 0.05, 95% CI 0.01 – 0.09, P = 0.027). Conclusions Circulating PENK was identified as independent predictor of in-hospital AKI and 30-day mortality in patients with ACS. The simple 6-item KID-ACS risk score integrates circulating PENK levels and provides a novel tool for simultaneous assessment of renal and mortality risk in patients presenting with ACS.Independent Predictive Value PENKPerformance and validation of KID-ACS

Risk and management of acute kidney injury resulting from hemoglobinuria following pulsed-field ablation in atrial fibrillation

Abstract Background High-voltage pulses can cause hemolysis leading to hemoglobinuria. Purpose We evaluated the prevalence of hemoglobinuria after pulsed-field ablation (PFA) and its impact on renal function in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods A consecutive series of 128 AF patients undergoing PFA were included in this analysis. The initial patients that did not receive post-ablation hydration were classified as group 1 (n=28) and the rest of the study population that received planned fluid infusion of ≥2 L after the procedure, were categorized as group 2 (n=100). Patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <45 were excluded. All underwent extensive ablation beyond pulmonary vein isolation. If urine tested positive for hemoglobin, blood samples were tested for Haptoglobin. Results Baseline characteristics of the study population are provided in Table 1. Number of overall PFA applications were comparable between groups (group 1: 52.07±23.99 vs group 2: 59.83±22.78, p=0.149). Four patients in group 1 received 94.63±3.20 PFA applications. In group 2, 4 patients received >90 applications (94±2.82) and 2 patients received >150 (158.5±4.95) PFA applications. Of the 28 in group 1, 21 (75%) developed hemoglobinuria during the 24-hour following catheter ablation. Mean post-ablation S-Cr was significantly higher than the baseline value in these 21 patients (1.46±0.28 vs 0.86±0.24, p <0.001). Of the 21, 4 (19%) patients that received a mean of 94.63±3.20 PFA applications had the S-Cr. >2.5 mg/dL (mean: 2.95±0.21). These 4 patients were also markedly oliguric (<400 ml/day) in the immediate post-ablation period. Group 2 patients received significantly higher amount of fluid infusion following catheter ablation compared to group 1 (2092.53±198.94 vs 487.48±72.74 ml, p<0.001). None of the 100 patients from group 2 developed detectable hemoglobinuria or elevation of S-Cr including the 4 patients with >90 and 2 patients with >150 PFA applications. Mean post-ablation Haptoglobin was 10.00± 8.40 (normal: 36–195 mg/dL). The accuracy of number of applications predicting Haptoglobin decline was excellent with the area-under the curve (AUC) 0.886 ± 0.068 with 95% CI of 0.754 – 1.000. (P-value = 0.002). In multivariable analysis, both hydration (R-square 0.34, p <0.01) and number of PFA applications (R-square 0.40, p <0.038) were independent predictors of post-procedure acute kidney injury. Conclusions Based on our findings, number of PFA applications was an independent predictor of renal insult in patients receiving extensive ablation that could be prevented using planned fluid infusion immediately after the procedure.

The role of cardiac magnetic resonance in patients with an angiographically diagnosed SCAD

Abstract Background/Introduction Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) characterized by its non-atherosclerotic nature, poses challenges in diagnosis and management. While recent efforts shed light on SCAD's clinical aspects, the specific utility of CMR demands deeper investigation for enhanced diagnosis and patient care. Purpose This study aims to analyze the characteristics of patients with an angiographically diagnosed SCAD, evaluate qualitative and quantitative parameters of baseline CMR and investigate predictors of myocardial injury and the association between CMR parameters and clinical outcome (major adverse cardiac events, MACE). Methods The study is a prospective single-center analysis of 59 patients, presented acutely in our hospital, from March 2018 to November 2023, with an angiographically detected SCAD. CMR was performed after a median of 4 days (IQR 1.5-7) from the acute onset of symptoms. SCAD Types were angiographically categorized according to the Yip-Saw classification. Most patients (71%) were screened for fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD) with a brain MR and at least one contrast-enhanced abdominal vessels investigation (CT or MR). CMR imaging was performed on a clinical 1.5 T Scanner. T1-weighted, T2-weighted turbo-spin-echo (TSE) Black-Blood (BB) and Short-Tau-Inversion-Recovery (STIR) sequences in short-axis orientation were acquired. The scan protocol included standard cine and T1/T2-weighted TSE BB and Mapping sequences. Late gadolinium enhanced (LGE) images were acquired ≏10 min after the contrast injection and were visually assessed for the presence and extension of LGE areas. LGE quantification was assessed semiautomatically. Results 40 (68%) were females. 54(92%) complained of chest pain, in 55 (93%) high-sensitive Troponin T was eleveted (>14 ng/l) and 24 (41%) presented with the clinical picture of STEMI on admission. From an angiographic point of view, the majority (69.5%) were classified as SCAD Type 2 (a+b). Among patients who underwent a proper screening, 7 patients (16%) were diagnosed with FMD. Baseline CMR showed signs of active injury in 81% and LGE in 93% of the population; however, it was often moderate in size (median of LGE segments 3, IQR 2-5). Most patients had a preserved LVEF (55±10%). STEMI presentation is an independent predictor of LGE extension (p=0.02, OddsRatio(95% CI)=7(2-24)). ScadType1 (p=0.01, OR=10( 2-39)) and N°LGE transmural segments >3 (p=0.03, OR=5.4(1.2-25)) were found to be significant predictor of MACE. 6 of the 11 MACEs were SCAD recurrence/progression, and 4 out of these 11 had already shown signs of previous myocardial injury in the baseline CMR. Conclusion(s) This study emphasized the significance of CMR, which may provide further insights into extend of myocardial damage and may aid in patients’ risk stratification.

Global longitudinal strain predicts clinical outcome in patients after acute ischemic stroke without left ventricular dysfunction

Abstract Background Global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a sensitive marker of myocardial dysfunction that could help predict adverse outcomes. Purpose We assessed whether GLS can help predict adverse clinical outcomes in patients after acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Methods Patients without LV dysfunction after AIS were divided into groups according to abnormal GLS (≤15.9%) or normal GLS (≥16%). Blood samples were obtained to determine levels of high-sensitive troponin I (hs-cTnI). Clinical data, functional outcome, and all-cause mortality at 1 year were compared between groups. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at the time of admission and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 90 days following the patient’s discharge from the hospital were used to assess stroke severity and clinical outcome. All analyses were performed with SPSS 29.0 (SPSS Inc). Results In our study, between 8/2020-8/2022 155 enrolled patients after AIS had echocardiographic examination, due to image quality or LV dysfunction, GLS was assessed in 110 patients with normal LV function, 28 patients (25.6%) had abnormal GLS. After a year follow-up, the overall mortality was more common in patients with abnormal GLS compared to patients with normal GLS (hazard ratio [HR] 2.9610, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9015 to 9.7255, p =0.074) and was significant when comparing mean values (p<0.001) (Fig. 1A). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve accentuated a significantly elevated all-cause mortality among patients with abnormal GLS (Fig 2). Moreover, abnormal GLS was associated with positive hs-cTnI (Fig. 1B), and was connected with unfavorable functional outcome evaluated by mRS at 90 days (Fig. 1C). At last, severe stroke (NIHSS >15) was not significantly associated with abnormal GLS (HR 2.2121, 95% CI 0.7091 to 6.9009, p = 0.1714) Conclusion In patients after AIS, abnormal GLS could be helpful predictor for clinical events and subclinical myocardial injury.

A simplified bedside model for acute kidney injury prediction after percutaneous coronary intervention

Abstract Background Concern for acute kidney injury (AKI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is a major determinant in the decision to pursue cardiac catheterization if otherwise indicated. A bedside AKI risk prediction model derived from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR), most recently updated in 2023, employs relatively complex parameters for AKI prediction. Purpose To test the efficacy of a simplified pre-procedural 5-variable bedside score for post-PCI AKI prediction based on the NCDR model. Methods We analyzed our institution’s NCDR-reported catheterization laboratory registry between Q2 2022 and Q1 2023. Inclusion criteria, variable selection, and definitions were based on the NCDR model. A bedside prediction model was validated, including 5 pre-procedural variables: anemia (hemoglobin <10 mg/dl), history of heart failure, stage 4 or 5 chronic kidney disease (glomerular filtration rate <30 mg/dl), cardiac arrest, and shock status. Results We included 840 patients, of which 593 (70.6%) were men. Mean age was 69 (±12.5). Most procedures were performed on an urgent basis (444, 52.9%). AKI developed in 107 (12.7%) patients. Compared to the non-AKI group, patients who developed AKI were older (age 74±11.5 vs 68.3 ±12.5), and more frequently had anemia (23.6% vs 7.4%), diabetes (51.4% vs 35.2%), severe frailty (45.8% vs 23.7%), heart failure (62.6% vs 29.7%), cardiac arrest (13.1% vs 2.9%), CKD (30.8% vs 6%), shock (12.1% vs 1.5%), and mechanical circulatory support (7.5% vs 2.9%), p<0.001. Utilizing integer scores, the simplified bedside model employing 5 pre-procedural variables demonstrated discrimination similar to the bedside NCDR model, with a C-statistic of 0.77 (0.60-0.88) and excellent calibration (intercept of 0.31 and slope of 1.03) (Figure), indicating the robust performance of the model (compared to bedside NCDR model with a C-statistic 0.793, intercept of -0.197, and slope of 0.957). Conclusion A simplified NCDR-based bedside score using 5 pre-procedural variables is an effective tool for predicting AKI as a complication of PCI, with comparable performance to the 2023 updated bedside NCDR AKI risk model.

Microaxial Flow Pump Use and Renal Outcomes in Infarct-Related Cardiogenic Shock - a Secondary Analysis of the DanGer Shock Trial.

In the Danish-German Cardiogenic Shock (DanGer Shock) trial, use of a microaxial flow pump (mAFP) in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI)-related CS led to lower all-cause mortality but higher rates of renal replacement therapy (RRT). In this prespecified analysis, rates and predictors of acute kidney injury (AKI) and RRT were assessed. In this international, randomized, open label, multicenter trial, 355 adult patients with STEMI-CS were randomized to mAFP (N=179) or standard care alone (N=176). AKI was defined according to Risk, Injury, and Failure, sustained Loss and End-stage kidney disease (RIFLE) criteria and assessed using logistic regression models. Use of RRT was assessed accounting for the competing risk of death using Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models. AKI (RIFLE≥1) was recorded in 110 patients (61%) in mAFP group and 79 (45%) in control group (p<0.01); RRT was used in 75 (42%) and 47 (27%) patients, respectively (p<0.01). About 2/3 of the RRTs were initiated within the first 24h from admission (n=48 (64%) in mAFP group, n=31 (66%) in control group). Occurrence of AKI and RRT were associated with higher 180-day mortality in both study arms. At 180 days, all patients alive were free of RRT. mAFP use was associated with higher rates of RRT, even when accounting for competing risk of death (subdistribution hazard: 1.67 [1.18-2.35]). This association was largely consistent among prespecified subgroups. Allocation to mAFP was associated with lower 180-day mortality irrespective of AKI or RRT (p=0.8 for interaction). Relevant predictors of AKI in both groups comprised reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, baseline kidney function, shock severity, bleeding events, and positive fluid balance. In addition, predictors of AKI specific to mAFP were suction events, higher pump speed, and longer duration of support. Shock severity, allocation to mAFP, and device-related complications were associated with an increased risk of AKI. AKI was generally associated with higher mortality, but the allocation to mAFP consistently led to lower mortality rates at 180 days irrespective of the occurrence of AKI with or without RRT initiation.

Mixed-variable graphical modeling framework towards risk prediction of hospital-acquired pressure injury in spinal cord injury individuals

Developing machine learning (ML) methods for healthcare predictive modeling requires absolute explainability and transparency to build trust and accountability. Graphical models (GM) are key tools for this but face challenges like small sample sizes, mixed variables, and latent confounders. This paper presents a novel learning framework addressing these challenges by integrating latent variables using fast causal inference (FCI), accommodating mixed variables with predictive permutation conditional independence tests (PPCIT), and employing a systematic graphical embedding approach leveraging expert knowledge. This method ensures a transparent model structure and an explainable feature selection and modeling approach, achieving competitive prediction performance. For real-world validation, data of hospital-acquired pressure injuries (HAPI) among individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI) were used, where the approach achieved a balanced accuracy of 0.941 and an AUC of 0.983, outperforming most benchmarks. The PPCIT method also demonstrated superior accuracy and scalability over other benchmarks in causal discovery validation on synthetic datasets that closely resemble our real dataset. This holistic framework effectively addresses the challenges of mixed variables and explainable predictive modeling for disease onset, which is crucial for enabling transparency and interpretability in ML-based healthcare.

Low psychological resilience and physical fitness predict attrition from US Marine Corps Officer Candidate School training

ABSTRACT The objective is to examine the predictors of attrition in male and female candidates undergoing a 10-week early career military training program. 1006 candidates (79.5% male, 24.7 ± 3.2 years) consented to participating in a larger study examining predictors of injury during US Marine Corps Officer Candidates School (OCS). Participants completed a blood draw, demographic and psychological characteristics questionnaires, and two fitness tests. Participants were then grouped based on successful completion of OCS or not. Associations between potential predictors and attrition were analyzed using simple logistic regression analyses, followed by a backward stepwise elimination method. Area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the accuracy of the attrition prediction model. 260 candidates (25.8%) attritted over the 10-week training, with the highest number of discharges during week 5. Musculoskeletal injury (MSKI) was the most common cause of attrition (30%), followed by non-MSKI medical (21.5%), and volitional withdrawals (19.6%). Sex, body mass index (BMI), resilience, initial physical fitness test score, combat fitness test (CFT) score, and prior military service were all significantly associated with attrition from OCS (all p < .05). The final prediction model of attrition included CFT score (p = .027) and resilience (p = .018). Multiple demographic, psychological, and fitness characteristics are associated with attrition from an early career military training course (OCS) and may be utilized as part of early screening procedures to identify and provide guidance for individuals at risk for not completing OCS.

Navicular Drop Height Asymmetry as an Intrinsic Risk Factor for Lower Limb Injury in Male Recreational Athletes

Morphological and functional asymmetry of the lower limbs is a well-recognized factor contributing to musculoskeletal injuries among athletes across different levels. However, limited research exists on evaluating foot mobility asymmetry as a potential predictor of such injuries. This study aimed to (1) assess the frequency of foot mobility asymmetries among amateur athletes, (2) investigate the predictive value of foot mobility asymmetry (measured via navicular height drop) for injury risk, and (3) explore the relationship between foot type and injury occurrence. A cross-sectional sampling method was employed to select 45 physically active male amateur athletes (runners and team sports practitioners) from a university. Injury history was retrospectively recorded, and a modified navicular drop test was conducted to classify foot arch height. The predictive power of navicular height drop asymmetry was analyzed using ROC curves, and the relationship between foot type (neutral and defective combinations—pronated or supinated) and injury occurrence was examined using chi-square tests for independence. Multiple logistic regression was applied to calculate injury risk odds ratios across different foot type subgroups. The results revealed a significant frequency (51.1%) of participants with at least one defective foot, including 31.1% with one neutral and one defective foot and 20% with both feet defective. Navicular height drop asymmetry emerged as a valuable predictor of injuries, with a 36% asymmetry identified as the cut-off for increased injury risk (AUC = 0.832, 95% CI: 0.691–0.973, p &lt; 0.001). A significant relationship was found between foot type and injury occurrence. Only one out of 22 participants with neutral feet (4.55%) experienced an injury, compared to 9 out of 14 (64.29%) with one neutral and one defective foot and 5 out of 9 (55.56%) with both feet defective. These differences were statistically significant (χ2 = 16.24, p &lt; 0.001, Cramer’s V = 0.60). The odds ratio for injury risk was 37.8 (p = 0.016) for those with asymmetry (one neutral and one defective foot) and 26.3 (p = 0.102) for those with both feet defective, compared to participants with both feet neutral. In clinical practice, these findings suggest that routine screenings for physically active individuals should incorporate foot mobility asymmetry assessment. However, it is essential to integrate this factor with other risk indicators. For individuals exhibiting high asymmetry, general foot defect correction programs may be beneficial, but injury prevention strategies should adopt a more comprehensive approach, focusing on overall fitness and tailored interventions for high-risk individuals.

Early Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury in Living Donor Liver Transplantation by Serum Cystatin C Concentration at the End of the Surgery.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a prevalent complication of liver transplantation, leading to prolonged hospital or intensive care unit stay and significant morbidity. Recently, biomarkers such as neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and cystatin C have been investigated for their potential role in the early detection of AKI in liver transplantation patients. Our study comprised 60 patients with end-stage liver disease undergoing living donor liver transplantation. Based on the postoperative development of AKI, the patients were categorised into two groups: the AKI group comprising 22 patients and the non-AKI group comprising 38 patients. Serum cystatin C and urine NGAL levels were measured twice: immediately after induction of anaesthesia (baseline) and at the end of the surgery. The overall incidence of AKI was 36.66%. The mean cystatin C level measured at the end of the surgery was significantly higher in the AKI group (1.12 ± 0.40 mg/L) than in the non-AKI group (0.82 ± 0.27 mg/L) [P = .001]. The receiver operating characteristic curve for the postoperative cystatin C biomarker demonstrated a significant difference between the AKI and non-AKI groups [area under the curve: 0.71, P = .007]. However, baseline cystatin C and urine NGAL levels did not significantly differ between the groups. Cystatin C levels measured at the end of the surgery showed a better predictive value and higher accuracy in identifying post-liver transplantation patients with AKI than baseline cystatin C and urine NGAL.

Frequency of adverse perinatal outcomes in patients with pregnancy related acute renal (kidney) injury in a tertiary care hospital

Background &amp; Objective: Pregnancy related acute kidney injury (Pr-AKI) is coupled with adverse feto-maternal outcomes. Adverse perinatal outcome comprising of still births, intrauterine growth retardation, neonatal deaths are indicators of severity of underlying obstetrical conditions ending on Pr-AKI. These perinatal outcomes can also serve as potential predictors for long term outcomes of Pr-AKI. Our study aimed to determine frequencies of adverse perinatal outcomes and to evaluate adverse perinatal outcome as predictor for persistent renal injury in patients with pregnancy induced acute renal injury (Pr-AKI). Method: A descriptive case series including 100 women with Pr-AKI, was conducted in a tertiary care hospital of Peshawar from 1st August 2021 to 31st July 2022. Included patients were followed for three months period, from their date of delivery. Adverse perinatal outcome included stillbirths, and early neonatal deaths. Results: The mean age of study sample was 29.20±6.40. The pre dominant etiology for Pr-AKI was primary postpartum hemorrhage, occurring in 52% women. Still births were seen in 48% cases, while early neonatal deaths were seen in 7% cases. Adverse perinatal outcome had statistically significant association with persistent renal failure (p-0.01). Other factors having statistically significant association with persistent renal injury (PRF) were multiparity and cesarean births. (p&lt;0.05) Association of adverse perinatal outcome with persistent renal injury persisted on multivariate logistic regression. a OR 6.14; CI 1.15-32.29, p-0.033. Conclusion: Almost half of the cases with Pr-AKI have still births. Still birth in patients with Pr-AKI is associated with persistent renal injury at 12 weeks follow up period. doi: https://doi.org/10.12669/pjms.40.10.9228 How to cite this: Mohammad N, Qazi Q, Liaqat N. Frequency of adverse perinatal outcomes in patients with pregnancy related acute renal (kidney) injury in a tertiary care hospital. Pak J Med Sci. 2024;40(10):2267-2270. doi: https://doi.org/10.12669/pjms.40.10.9228 This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Chromobacterium violaceum infections in children: two case reports and literature review.

Chromobacterium violaceum(C. violaceum) is a gram-negative bacterium that rarely infects humans, especially children. However, the mortality rate is high and there are no clear guidelines for treatment. The aim of this paper is to increase clinicians' awareness of diseases caused by C. violaceum infections in children, to diagnose and treat them in a timely manner, to improve patient survival and to reduce mortality. We analysed the latest paediatric-related English language literature over the last 10 years and summarised the latest mechanisms of injury, susceptibility factors, adverse prognostic and mortality predictors, mortality rates, methods to reduce mortality, clinical manifestations, new diagnostic methods, therapeutic agents and directions for future drug development for C. violaceum. Based on the available data, we conclude that the possibility of C. violaceum infection should be considered and diagnosed when cellulitis, septicaemia and visceral abscesses develop in children with a history of skin injury and exposure to stagnant water or soil. When clinicians strongly suspect that a child is infected with this bacterium, the recommended medication is ciprofloxacin if the child presents with severe illness. If the child has a non-severe condition, medications with relatively fewer side effects for children can be chosen, such as gentamicin, trimethoprim/ sulfamethoxazole, imipenem, and other drugs. The physician can then adjust the antimicrobial regimen based on the antimicrobial spectrum after obtaining the drug sensitivity results.

Neutrophil-platelet ratio as a predictor of acute kidney injury in severe COVID-19.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most seen complications of coronavirus-2019 (COVID-19) infection. Patients with AKI caused by COVID-19 likely have higher neutrophil counts and lower platelet and lymphocyte levels. Therefore, the predictive value of many inflammation indexes calculated from the total blood count has been investigated to predict the AKI in COVID-19. According to our clinical experience, we thought that neutrophilia and thrombocytopenia may be more common in the development of AKI. For this reason, this study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR) for AKI in severe COVID-19 patients. This retrospective study included 334 severe COVID-19 patients followed up in the intensive care unit (ICU). Predictive factors for AKI were analyzed. ROC curve analysis was performed to determine the inflammation indexes' cutoff values for the AKI prediction. Multivariate analyses were performed to determine correlations between the inflammation indexes and AKI. In this study, AKI was determined at the rate of 43% (n:145). Independent risk factors affecting AKI were determined to be age (HR = 1.047, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.021-1.072, P < .001), the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (HR = 3.003, 95% CI: 1.645-5.481, P = .001) and the need for vasopressor (HR = 8.111, 95% CI: 3.786-17.375, P < .001). The optimal cutoff values predicting AKI were determined to be 3.9 for the NPR (AUC = 0.679, 95% CI: 0.622-0.737, P < .001) with 71.7% sensitivity and 61.9% specificity, 16.1 for the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (AUC = 0.634, 95% CI: 0.575-0.694, P < .001) with 65.5% sensitivity and 56.1% specificity, and 3872.5 × 109L for the systemic inflammatory index (SII) (AUC = 0.566, 95% CI: 0.504-0.629, P = .038) with 60% sensitivity and 55.6% specificity. In the regression model, only NPR values above the cutoff were related to AKI (HR = 3.817, 95% CI: 1.782-8.177, P = .001). The NPR has more predictive value than the NLPR, NLR, and SII in developing AKI in severe COVID-19 patients in the ICU. NPR is a new helpful index that can help clinicians predict early AKI in critical COVID-19.

Investigation of Predisposing Risk Factors in Adolescent Male Water Polo Players.

Shoulder injuries are prevalent in adolescent water polo (WP) players. Study aimed to determine whether preseason shoulder characteristics (range of motion [ROM], flexibility, and strength) and core endurance can identify athletes at risk of future shoulder injuries. Shoulder characteristics, including changes in ROM (internal rotation [IR], external rotation [ER], and total), strength (IR and ER), pectoralis minor flexibility, shoulder capsule flexibility, and core endurance, would be risk factors for shoulder reinjury in athletes with previous overuse injuries compared with noninjured athletes. Prospective cohort study. Level 3. At baseline, 53 male youth WP players (mean age, 16.6 ± 3.5 years) were assigned to Group 1 (with previous shoulder injuries [G1, n = 26]) and Group 2 (without previous shoulder injuries [G2, n = 27]). ROM, flexibility, strength, and core muscle endurance were assessed preseason. After a 12-month follow-up, players were again divided into those who developed new shoulder injuries (G3, n = 27) and those who remained healthy (G4, n = 26). Total of 26 players (49%) had previous shoulder injuries at baseline. At baseline, decreased pectoralis minor flexibility, IR, total ROM, and core endurance were found in players with a previous shoulder injury compared with players without a previous shoulder injury (P < 0.05). At baseline, a significant difference was present in proposed risk factors (shoulder and core endurance parameters) between players with and without a previous shoulder injury. Shoulder IR ROM and years of experience were significant predictors of shoulder injury. Early detection of modifiable proposed risk factors may help prevent reinjury in young athletes. Screening at an early age can help identify and address pre-existing injuries, support youth athletes' return to sport after a shoulder injury, prevent new injuries, and improve performance.

Evaluation of a National Sample of 16,671 Pediatric Burn Admissions: Identifying Predictors of Non-accidental Pediatric Burns

BackgroundBurn injuries remain one of the leading causes of injury and death in children. Studies have demonstrated a higher mortality for pediatric burns associated with non-accidental injury. Using data from a burn registry, our study aimed to discern potential factors associated with non-accidental burn injuries. MethodsWe utilized the American Burn Association database from 2016 to 2018, which collects data from over one hundred burn centers across the United States, to evaluate a large pediatric burn population. Patients aged ≤14 years were analyzed. The population was then divided into suspected non-accidental versus accidental burn injuries. A multivariable logistic regression model was utilized to evaluate for predictors of burn injuries. Additional models were used to assess the relationship between suspected non-accidental burn injury and mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and hospital length of stay. Results16,671 pediatric patients were included. Of those, 1228 (7.4%) patients suffered non-accidental burn injury. A majority of children who sustained non-accidental burn injury were younger, non-white, and sustained scald burns. The regression model demonstrated predictors for non-accidental burn injuries included younger age, Black race, chemical/corrosion burns, government insurance, and increased total body surface area (TBSA) burn. Overall mortality for the population was 0.5%. ConclusionThis evaluation of a national burn registry reveals differences in pediatric patients sustaining non-accidental burns compared to accidental burns. The findings in this study identify pediatric populations at risk for suspected non-accidental burn injuries which may assist in preparing the families for expectations after admission for a burn injury. Level of EvidenceIII.

Using heart rate variability to predict neurological outcomes in preterm infants: a scoping review.

Infants born preterm are at higher risk of neurological complications, including intraventricular haemorrhage and white matter injury. After discharge, these infants may experience adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes and exhibit lower educational attainment. Early detection of brain injury and accurate prediction of neurodevelopmental impairment would allow early intervention and support. Heart rate variability (HRV) describes the variation of time intervals between each subsequent heartbeat. HRV is controlled by the autonomic nervous system, which may be affected by hypoxia and compromised blood flow. While HRV has primarily been investigated in neonatal sepsis, the association between HRV, brain injury and neurodevelopmental outcomes in preterm infants is less established. The present scoping review examines the utility of HRV monitoring for predicting short-term and long-term neurological outcomes in preterm infants. Following systematic search of Medline, Embase, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library, 15 studies were included. Nine studies examined the relationship between HRV and brain injury, with all but two showed an association. Eight studies examined the relationship between HRV and long-term outcomes and all eight found an association. This scoping review suggests that decreased HRV in the neonatal period is associated with short- and long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes in preterm infants. IMPACT: Changes in heart rate variability correlate with the occurrence of intraventricular haemorrhage in preterm infants. A decrease in heart rate variability may precede the development of intraventricular haemorrhage. Alterations in heart rate variability correlate with long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes. Significant variability exists in metrics used in assessing heart rate variability.

Graft Failure and Contralateral ACL Injuries After Primary ACL Reconstruction: An Analysis of Risk Factors Using Interpretable Machine Learning.

Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR) can be successful in restoring knee stability. However, secondary ACL injury, either through graft failure or contralateral injury, is a known complication and can significantly impact the ability of a patient to return successfully to previous activities. To develop and internally validate an interpretable machine learning model to quantify the risk of graft failure and contralateral ACL injury in a longitudinal cohort treated with ACLR. Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. An established geographic database of >600,000 patients was used to identify patients with a diagnosis of ACL rupture between 1990 and 2016 with a minimum 2-year follow-up. Medical records were reviewed for relevant patient information and 4 candidate machine learning algorithms were evaluated for prediction of graft failure and contralateral ACL injury in patients after ACLR as identified either on magnetic resonance imaging or via arthroscopy. Performance of the algorithms was assessed through discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis. Model interpretability was enhanced utilizing global variable importance plots and partial dependence curves. A total of 1497 patients met inclusion criteria. Among them, 140 (9.4%) had graft failure and 128 (8.6%) had a contralateral ACL injury after index surgery at a median follow-up of 140.7 months (interquartile range, 77.2-219.2 months). The best performing models achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.70 for prediction of graft failure and 0.67 for prediction of contralateral ACL injury, outperforming a logistic regression fitted on the identical feature set. Notable predictors for increased risk of graft failure included younger age at injury, body mass index (BMI) <30, return to sports <13 months, initial time to surgery >75 days, utilization of allograft, femoral/tibial fixation with suspension/expansion devices, concomitant collateral ligament injury, and active or former smoking history. Predictors of contralateral ACL injury included greater preoperative pain, younger age at initial injury, BMI <30, active smoking history, initial time to surgery >75 days, history of contralateral knee arthroscopies, and involvement in contact sports. Less than 18% of all patients who undergo ACLR should be expected to sustain either a graft failure or contralateral ACL injury. Machine learning models outperformed logistic regression and identified greater preoperative pain, younger age, BMI <30, earlier return to higher activity, and time to surgical intervention >75 days as common risk factors for both graft failure as well as contralateral ACL injury after ACLR. Surgeon-modifiable risk factors for graft failure included allograft and femoral/tibial fixation with a suspension/expansion combination.

82 Clinical Performance of Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein and Ubiquitin C-Terminal Hydrolase L1 for Prediction of Intracranial Injuries on Head Computed Tomography in Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

82 Clinical Performance of Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein and Ubiquitin C-Terminal Hydrolase L1 for Prediction of Intracranial Injuries on Head Computed Tomography in Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

Rate and Timing of Revision and Contralateral Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction Relative to Index Surgery.

After anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR), ipsilateral ACL graft reinjury or contralateral ACL injury has been reported. The rate and predictors of such subsequent ACL injuries have not been reported in recent years and in large patient cohorts. The current study utilized a large, national, multi-insurance, administrative database to assess subsequent ACLR and factors associated with its occurrence. Cross-sectional study; Level of evidence, 3. Using the PearlDiver M151 database, patients who underwent ACLR within the United States between 2015 and 2021 were abstracted. All included patients had ≥3 years of evaluation after initial ACLR. Patients who underwent a subsequent reconstruction (ipsilateral or contralateral) within 3 years were determined and the timing assessed. Using univariable and multivariable logistic regression, the factors associated with having a subsequent ACLR and the factors associated with returning for ipsilateral versus contralateral ACLR were examined. In total, 40,151 patients who underwent initial ACLR during the study period were identified. Of these, subsequent ACLR was performed for 1689 patients (4.2%). These included ipsilateral revision for 1018 (60.3%) and contralateral reconstruction for 671 (39.7%) patients. Patients returning for ipsilateral reconstruction did so sooner than patients needing a contralateral reconstruction. On multivariable analysis, the only factor independently associated with subsequent ACLR was younger age (odds ratio [OR] = 4.17 for 10-14 years relative to 25-29 years; P < .0001). Factors associated with returning for an ipsilateral revision ACLR as opposed to contralateral ACLR were earlier revision (OR = 1.49 within 1.5 years relative to after 1.5 years; P = .0001) and female sex (OR = 0.62 relative to male sex; P < .0001). The overall rate of requiring a subsequent ACLR was found to be 4.2%, with 60.3% of these being to the ipsilateral ACL. This information may be helpful for evolving injury-prevention programs and patient counseling.