Predictors Of Early Mortality Research Articles

Predicting early mortality and severe intraventricular hemorrhage in very-low birth weight preterm infants: a nationwide, multicenter study using machine learning

Our aim was to develop a machine learning-based predictor for early mortality and severe intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in very-low birth weight (VLBW) preterm infants in Taiwan. We collected retrospective data from VLBW infants, dividing them into two cohorts: one for model development and internal validation (Cohort 1, 2016–2021), and another for external validation (Cohort 2, 2022). Primary outcomes included early mortality, severe IVH, and early poor outcomes (a combination of both). Data preprocessing involved 23 variables, with the top four predictors identified as gestational age, birth body weight, 5-min Apgar score, and endotracheal tube ventilation. Six machine learning algorithms were employed. Among 7471 infants analyzed, the selected predictors consistently performed well across all outcomes. Logistic regression and neural network models showed the highest predictive performance (AUC 0.81–0.90 in both internal and external validation) and were well-calibrated, confirmed by calibration plots and the lowest two mean Brier scores (0.0685 and 0.0691). We developed a robust machine learning-based outcome predictor using only four accessible variables, offering valuable prognostic information for parents and aiding healthcare providers in decision-making.

Ischemic stroke subtypes: risk factors, treatments, and 1-month prognosis – The Lille, France Stroke Registry

ObjectivesFirst, this registry-based study aimed to comprehensively analyze patients' medical histories and treatments based on ischemic strokes’ etiology. We focused on the management of atrial fibrillation among patients diagnosed with cardioembolic stroke. Then, our objective was to identify prognostic factors associated with 28-day mortality. Materials and methodsAll ischemic strokes occurring in adults between 2014 and 2021 in Lille, France, were categorized using the TOAST classification. Comparative analyses of patients' medical characteristics were conducted across subtypes. Survival rates within 28 days post-stroke were assessed, and factors influencing mortality were identified using a multivariate Cox model. Results1912 ischemic strokes were recorded, due to cardioembolism (36%), large-artery atherosclerosis (9%), small-artery occlusion (9%), other determined causes (6%), or undetermined causes (39%). The median NIHSS score after cardioembolic stroke (6, IQR: 3-13) was twice that after small-artery occlusion (3, IQR: 2-5). Among patients with cardioembolic stroke, 26% were diagnosed post-admission with atrial fibrillation. For the 42% diagnosed pre-admission, only 54% had prior prescriptions for oral anticoagulants. Reperfusion therapies were administered in 21% of cases, with significant variations across subtypes. Mortality rates were higher after cardioembolic strokes (17%) than after small-artery occlusions (3%). Prognostic factors included etiology, high NIHSS score, atrial fibrillation, and previous heparin prescription. ConclusionsWhile atrial fibrillation was underdiagnosed and undertreated, patients with cardioembolic stroke exhibited high severity and elevated mortality rates. Etiology emerged as an independent predictor of early mortality, regardless of NIHSS score upon admission. These findings underscore the importance of targeted prevention to improve patient outcomes after ischemic stroke.

Predictors of early mortality after lung transplantation for idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Lung transplantation remains an important therapeutic option for idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH),yet short-term survival is the poorest among the major diagnostic categories. We sought to develop a prediction model for 90-day mortality using the United Network for Organ Sharing database for adults with IPAH transplanted between 2005 and 2021. Variables with a pvalue ≤ 0.1 on univariate testing were included in multivariable analysis to derive the best subset model. The cohort comprised 693 subjects, of whom 71 died (10.2%) within 90 days of transplant. Significant independent predictors of early mortality were: extracorporeal circulatory support and/or mechanical ventilation at transplant (OR:3; CI: 1.4-5), pulmonary artery diastolic pressure (OR:1.3 per 10 mmHg; CI: 1.07-1.56), forced expiratory volume in the first second percent predicted (OR:0.8 per 10%; CI: 0.7-0.94), recipient total bilirubin >2 mg/dL (OR:3; CI: 1.4-7.2) and ischemic time >6 h (OR: 1.7, CI: 1.01-2.86). The predictive model was able to distinguish 25% of the cohort with a mortality of ≥20% from 49% with a mortality of ≤5%. We conclude that recipient variables associated with increasing severity of pulmonary vascular disease, including pretransplant advanced life support, and prolonged ischemic time are important risk factors for 90-day mortality after lung transplant for IPAH.

Masticatory function and mortality among older adults living in long-term care facilities in Brazil.

To investigate the association between mortality and masticatory function in older adults living in long-term care facilities (LTCFs), controlling for demographic and health covariates. Poor oral health has been associated with mortality; however, no previous study investigated whether objective and self-reported poor masticatory function is a predictor of early mortality in LTCFs. Baseline characteristics of 295 participants were collected, including age, sex, polypharmacy, mobility, activities of daily living, frailty, nutritional status, and objective (masticatory performance - chewing gum) and self-reported masticatory function. The participants were followed-up with for 4 years to record the mortality data. Cox regression models were run to analyse the data (α = .05). During the 4-year follow-up, 124 (42.0%) participants died. Older adults with poor masticatory performance (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.59, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.07-2.36) and those who self-reported masticatory dysfunction (HR = 1.48, 95% CI = 1.01-2.16) were at higher risk of early death than those with good mastication. However, in a multivariate model including both objective and self-reported masticatory function, only the objective measurement remained associated with early death (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.02-2.27). Poor masticatory performance seems to be associated with early death in older adults living in LTCFs, but they may have shared risk factors accumulated throughout life that were not covered by the study period.

Influence of lymphopenia on long-term mortality in septic shock, a retrospective observational study

Background and objectiveThe diagnosis of infection, to diagnose septic shock, has been qualified by leukocyte counts and protein biomarkers. Septic shock mortality is persistently high (20%–50%), and rising in the long term. The definition of sepsis does not include leukocyte count, and lymphopenia has been associated with its mortality in the short term. Immunosuppression and increased mortality in the long term due to sepsis have not been demonstrated. The aim is to relate the occurrence of lymphopenia and its lack of recovery during septic shock with mortality at 2 years. Patients and methodsCohort of 332 elderly patients diagnosed with septic shock. Mortality at 28 days and 2 years was analysed according to leukocyte, neutrophil, and lymphocyte counts, and the ability to recover from lymphopenia (LRec). ResultsA total of 74.1% of patients showed lymphopenia, and 73.5% did not improve during ICU stay. Mortality was 31.0% and 50.3% at 28 days and 2 years, respectively. Lymphopenia was a predictor of early mortality (OR 2.96) and LRec of late mortality (OR 3.98). Long-term mortality was associated with LRec (HR 1.69). ConclusionsIn elderly patients with septic shock, 28-day mortality is associated with lymphopenia and neutrophilia, and LRec with 2-year mortality; this may represent 2 distinct phenotypes of behaviour after septic shock.

Functional Status Associations With Treatment Receipt and Outcomes Among Older Adults Newly Diagnosed With Multiple Myeloma.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a prevalent hematologic malignancy in older adults, who often experience physical disability, increased health care usage, and reduced treatment tolerance. Home health (HH) services are frequently used by this group, but the relationship between disability, HH use, and MM treatment receipt is unclear. This study examines the connections between disability, treatment receipt, and survival outcomes in older adults with newly diagnosed MM using a nationwide data set. The SEER-Medicare data set was used to identify adults aged 66 years and older diagnosed with MM from 2010 to 2017, who used HH services the year before diagnosis. Disability was assessed with the Outcome and Assessment Information Set, using a composite score derived from items related to ability to complete activities of daily living. Mortality, therapy receipt, and health care utilization patterns were evaluated. Of 37,280 older adults with MM, 6,850 (18.2%) used HH services before diagnosis. Moderate disability at HH assessment resulted in similar MM-directed therapy receipt as mild disability, with comparable health care usage after diagnosis to severe disability. HH users had a higher comorbidity burden and higher mortality (adjusted risk ratio for 3-year mortality: 1.59 [95% CI, 1.55 to 1.64]). Severe functional disability before diagnosis was strongly related to postdiagnosis mortality. Among older adults with MM receiving HH services, disability is a predictor of early mortality. Moderately disabled individuals undergo similar therapy intensity as the mildly disabled but experience increased acute care utilization. Previous HH use could identify patients with MM requiring intensive support during therapy initiation.

Magnesium levels and mortality relationship in patients with Acinetobacter baumannii detected in the Intensive Care Unit.

Acinetobacter baumannii (A. baumannii) causes serious nosocomial infections, especially in Intensive Care Units (ICU). Studies have shown that magnesium (Mg) levels change in sepsis. This study aimed to investigate the effect of Mg levels on mortality in patients with A. baumannii sepsis in the ICU. 140 patients who were hospitalized in the tertiary ICU between January 2018 and March 2020 and who were found to have A. baumannii sepsis in their culture follow-ups were included in the study. Demographic information of the patients, Mg levels during hospitalization and follow-up, and various data in the ICU were recorded. The factors that predicted one-month mortality were old age, APACHE II score, CCIS, A. baumannii detection in the early stages of ICU admission, and high Mg level on day A. baumannii was detected, and the lowest Mg level after A. baumannii was detected in the early period. According to the multivariate logistic regression analysis, age increase [OR (95% CI): 1.062 (1.009-1.117)], APACHE II increase [OR (95% CI): 1.251 (1.141-1.372)], and early detection of A. baumannii during ICU admission [OR (95% CI): 0.902 (0.845-0.962)] were found to be factors that increase one-month mortality. Hypermagnesemia in patients with A. baumannii indicates longer-term mortality, while a rapid decrease in Mg levels is a predictor of early mortality. Keeping Mg levels of patients within the reference range with frequent Mg measurement reduces mortality. Knowing colonized patients during admission to the ICU may be useful as an indicator of A. baumannii infection development and mortality risk.

The role of the female gender on mid-term outcome after coronary artery bypass grafting: a retrospective study.

Data on female gender differences on clinical prognosis after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) are still controversial. We evaluated retrospectively the impact of women patients in comparison with men undergoing CABG on mid-term outcome. Between December 2014 and March 2022, 1,044 consecutive patients (162 females, 15.5%, 882 males, 84.5%) underwent isolated CABG. The mean follow-up was 40±27 (median 38) months. Logistic and Cox model analysis regressions were used to assess the risk of female gender and other variables, Kaplan-Meier estimates to assess survival rates. Women did not have a significant higher operative mortality than men (3.09% vs. 1.93%; P=0.37). There was no difference in the use of left internal mammary artery (97.5% vs. 94.9%; P=0.85). Independent predictors of early mortality were emergency CABG (P<0.0001), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) within 30 days (P=0.0026), and higher EuroSCORE II (P=0.0155). At 7.5 years, actuarial survival was 87%±3.6% for female gender vs. 88%±1.9% in male gender (P=0.41), freedom from cardiac death 97%±1.8% vs. 96.6%±1.0% (P=0.6), freedom from major adverse cardiac events (MACE) 87%±6.2% vs. 89.7%±2.5% (P=0.96). Independent predictor of all-causes death and cardiac death was the advanced age (74 years in dead patients vs. 67 years in survivors) (P<0.0001). Female gender was not a predictor of either operative mortality (P=0.34) or worse mid-term outcome (P=0.41). Women undergoing CABG with the same surgical techniques currently adopted for men, do not appear to be associated with worse early prognosis. Freedom from late all-causes mortality, cardiac death and adverse cardiac events are comparable and equally satisfactory, highlighting the positive protective effect of CABG over time also in women.

Predictors of Premature Mortality Following Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting: An Iranian Single-Centre Study.

Modifiable risk factors play an important role in the premature mortality among patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The aim of this study was to examine the factors that influence the early death of patients who had CABG. We conducted a prospective cohort study and followed 2863 patients after their CABG, and collected data on their characteristics and blood tests. We used the Cox proportional hazards regression model in Stata, version 16, to identify the predictors of early mortality. Out of 2863 patients, 162 died during the follow-up period. The survival rate was 99.2% within the first three days after the surgery, 96.2% from the fourth day to the end of the first year, 94.9% at the end of the second year, and 93.6% at the end of the third year. After adjusting for confounding factors, we found that older age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05, 95% CI 1.02, 1.08 for one year increase in age), obesity (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.25, 3.72), ejection fraction < 50% (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.06, 2.44), number of rehospitalizations (HR 2.63, 95% CI 1.35, 5.12 for two or more readmissions), history of stroke (HR 2.91, 95% CI 1.63, 5.21), living in rural areas (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.06, 2.34), opium use (HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.40, 3.09), and impaired glomerular filtration rate increased the risk of early death after CABG, while taking a beta-blocker (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.38, 0.91) reduced the risk. We conclude that modifiable risk factors such as excess body mass, high blood glucose, opium use, and kidney dysfunction should be monitored and managed in patients who had CABG to improve their survival outcomes.

Post-Infarction Ventricular Septal Defect: A quarter century experience.

Post-infarction ventricular septal defect (VSD) is one of the known complications after acute myocardial infarction. This study investigated the clinical results after surgical repair of VSD. This retrospective study included all patients undergoing surgical repair of VSD from 1996 to 2020 in Oman. Out of a total of 75 patients, 62.5% were men, with a mean age of 59 years. The mean follow-up was 17.2 (7.5) years. Of the 75 patients, 34 (45.3%) patients died within 30 days. Total survival was 41.3% at 5 years, while the 10-year survival rate was 33.3%. Outcomes and predictors for 30 days mortality were the number of concomitant coronary involvement and anastomoses performed, residual postoperative shunt and postoperative dialysis. Even with surgical repair, early mortality of post-infarction septal defect is still considerably high. Early repair and the anatomically posterior rupture are predictors of early mortality. In patients surviving the immediate postoperative period, long-term survival is limited by pre-existing coronary artery disease, postoperative renal failure and the presence of a residual postoperative shunt.

1490. Predictors of Early Mortality in HIV-associated Tuberculous Meningitis

Abstract Background Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) mortality averages at 27% but may reach 70% in HIV co-infection. High MRC severity grade, lower cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) white blood cell count (WBC) count, low weight, low CD4 and low plasma sodium were linked to mortality in Vietnam. Prognostic factors in African adults with HIV-associated TBM are unknown. We sought to determine the baseline factors predictive of death in HIV-positive Ugandan adults with TBM. Methods We prospectively enrolled patients who received TBM treatment and were classified as definite, probable or possible TBM by the uniform case definition from January 2019 to March 2023 in two National Referral Hospitals in Uganda. Participants received standard quadruple TB and corticosteroid therapy. We assessed association between baseline clinical and CSF characteristics (WBC&amp;lt; 5, 5-100, &amp;gt;100 cells/µl), antiretroviral therapy (ART) status and 14-day mortality. Results In 261 participants, median age was 36 years, 46% were women, median CD4 count was 74 cells/µl. 27% had definite, 39% probable, and 34% possible TBM. 142 (54%) had baseline CSF WBC &amp;lt; 5, 50 (19%) had 5-100, and 69 (27%) had &amp;gt;100 cells/µl. Overall, 14-day mortality was 25.9%. Mortality was 73.6% in participants with CSF WBC count &amp;lt; 5, 7.5% in 5-100, and 18.9% in &amp;gt;100 cells/µl, p=0.0012. Factors associated with 14-day mortality were MRC severity grade, CSF WBC, CSF opening pressure (OP), CSF protein and glucose, CD4 count. ART status did not influence survival. The hazard of 14-day mortality was 4 times as high for those with CSF WBC &amp;lt; 5 cells/µl as for those with &amp;gt;100 cells/ µl (95%CI 1.47-11.5, P=0.004). However, on adjustment for Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), CSF OP, glucose, and CD4 count the association was less significant (aHR, 2.93, 0.82-10.4, P=0.13). Conclusion 14-day mortality varied significantly by baseline CSF WBC group, being extremely high (73.6%) in those with a paucity of CSF inflammation (WBC &amp;lt; 5 cells/µl). Those with intermediate inflammation (CSF WBC 5-100 cells/µl) had lowest mortality in-line with the damage response framework parabola. The association with acellular CSF and mortality was ameliorated by adjustment for CD4 count. CSF inflammation is at predictor of mortality in HIV-associated TBM and CSF WBC-directed corticosteroid therapy needs further exploration. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

The IMPACT Score: A New Score to Predict the Risk of Early Mortality in Cardiogenic Shock Patients Treated With Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) requires considerable human and financial resources. Few studies have focused on early mortality (ie, occurring within 72 hours after VA-ECMO implantation). The objective of this study was to establish a prognosis score-the IMPACT score (prediction of early mortality associated with VA-ECMO using preimplantation characteristics)-by determining the risk factors associated with early mortality. This was a retrospective and observational study. The study was conducted at a University hospital. This single-center retrospective study included 147 patients treated with VA-ECMO for cardiogenic shock between 2014 and 2021. The primary outcome was early mortality (ie, occurring within 72 hours after VA-ECMO implantation). Multivariate logistic regression was performed using a bootstrapping methodology to identify factors independently associated with early mortality. To construct the score, identified variables had points (pts) assigned corresponding to their odds ratio. A total of 147 patients were included in the study. Early mortality (<72 hours) was 26% (38 patients). Four variables were established: cardiac arrest (2 pts), lactate levels (3 pts), platelet count <100 g/L (4 pts), and renal-replacement therapy (5 pts). The IMPACT score had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.78 (95% CI 0.86-0.70) to predict early mortality. In the authors' experience, 26% of patients treated with VA-ECMO presented early mortality. The IMPACT score is a reliable predictor of early mortality and may assist with VA-ECMO initiation decision-making.

Effectiveness and safety of catheter-directed thrombolysis for pulmonary embolism in key patient subgroups: results of an individual patient level analysis

Abstract Background The effectiveness of catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) for acute pulmonary embolism (PE) has been rarely investigated in subgroups of patients at a higher risk of complications. Furthermore, this group of patients has been excluded from prior and ongoing phase 3 trials with CDT. Purpose To assess the efficacy and safety of catheter-directed thrombolysis for pulmonary embolism among specific patient subpopulations. Material and methods We conducted an individual patient-level analysis of patient data from 16 cohort studies and randomized trials of CDT for intermediate- and high-risk acute PE. Studies were identified on the basis of a systematic review of the literature. We focused on early clinical outcomes, including haemodynamic decompensation, intracranial bleeding, major bleeding, and death, as well as on the changes in the mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) before and after CDT. We predefined three subgroups of at-risk patients: (i) older age (i.e. ≥75 years), (ii) active cancer, and (iii) surgery in the prior 4 weeks. Results We studied 1244 patients, of whom 586 (47.1%) were women. The median age was 61 (Q1-Q3; 50-71) years. There were 202 (16.3% of total available) patients aged 75 years or older, 101 (10%) with active cancer, and 108 (14.8%) with prior surgery. A total of 946 (89.3%) patients had intermediate-risk PE, and 113 (10.7%) were classified in the high-risk group. Patients aged ≥75 years more frequently suffered haemodynamic decompensation (7.5% vs 1.6% aged &amp;lt;75 years; p&amp;lt; 0.001), major bleeding (12.7% vs 4.5%; p&amp;lt;0.001), and death (9.2% vs 2.2%; p&amp;lt;0.001); Table 1. In a multivariable logistic regression model, age remained associated with death, major bleeding, and haemodynamic decompensation after adjustment for a key prognostic factor (high-risk PE). The same, except for decompensation, was observed after conditioning for sex, high-risk PE, and cancer status. Patients with active cancer showed a tendency to a higher 30-day case fatality when compared with patients with no active cancer, without reaching statistical significance; Table 1. Recent surgery did not appear to influence the outcome rate in this cohort. No differences were found among the three subgroups regarding the reduction of the mPAP following CDT ; Table 2. Conclusions Our results point to age as a strong predictor of early mortality and decompensation in patients undergoing CDT, even after adjusting for the higher rate of high-risk PE in the elderly. The clinical net benefit of CDT in the elderly when accounting for bleeding and the risk of haemodynamic decompensation remains unclear.Efficacy and safety outcomes of CDTmPAP values before and after CDT

Abstract 13786: Early Mortality Following Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Repair of Mitral Regurgitation

Background: While transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) is increasingly used, data on risk stratification for predicting early mortality after TEER are scarce. Objective: This study aimed to assess early mortality and analyze the predicting factor of early mortality among patients who underwent TEER. Methods: Using the all-payer, nationally representative Nationwide Readmissions Database, our study included patients aged 18 years or older who had TEER between January 2017 and November 2020. We categorized the cohort into two groups depending on the occurrence of early mortality (death within 30 days after the procedure). Based on the ICD-10, we identified the trend of early mortality after TEER and further analyzed the predictors of early mortality. Results: 15,931 patients who had TEER were included in this study; 292 (1.8%) with early mortality and 15,639 (98.2%) without. There was a decreasing trend in early mortality from 1.9% in 2017 to 1.7% in 2020, but it was insignificant (p=0.18). In multivariable analysis, the independent predictors for early mortality were chronic kidney disease not requiring dialysis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11-2.22, p=0.01), end-stage renal disease (aOR: 2.34; CI: 1.44-3.79, p&lt;0.01), chronic liver disease (aOR: 4.90; CI: 3.29-7.29, p&lt;0.01), coagulation disorder (aOR: 3.42; CI: 2.32-5.03, p&lt;0.01) and heart failure (aOR: 2.90; CI: 1.39-6.03, p=0.01). Among those who died during 30-day readmission following TEER, the most common cardiac cause and non-cardiac-cause of readmission were heart failure (18.2%) and infection (26.6%), respectively. Conclusion: The early mortality following TEER was low at 1.8%. The independent predictors of early mortality were chronic kidney disease (including end-stage renal disease), chronic liver disease, coagulation disorder, and heart failure. Figure Hazard Curves for Early Mortality after TEER Stratified by Clinical Predictors of Early Mortality.

Serum lactate and lactate clearance as early predictors of mortality in preterm neonates

Serum lactate and lactate clearance as early predictors of mortality in preterm neonates

143 Cardiac Power Output as a predictor of early mortality in postcardiac arrest cardiovascular failure

143 Cardiac Power Output as a predictor of early mortality in postcardiac arrest cardiovascular failure

The Acute Inflammatory Biomarkers - Are They Cost Effective and Real Time Early Predictors of Mortality in Acute Pneumonia? - A Prospective Observational Study

Introduction: The CT chest and investigations like IL6 and TNFɑ are the most accurate blood biomarkers of inflammatory changes and can be used to stage the severity and outcome of acute pneumonia. . Getting all the above mentioned investigations in a financially poor patients is not always possible. There are not much studies to look for the association between early raise in serum acute inflammatory bio markers and the prediction of mortality in acute pneumonia. So this study is under taken to know the association between significant raise in serum acute inflammatory biomarkers like hs CRP, LDH, ferritin, NLR, WBCs count in predicting the mortality of acute pneumonia in comparison with the serum IL6,q-SOFA score and CT chest severity score. Materials &amp; Method: All patients underwent standardized workup, including complete blood count, blood biochemistry, ferritin, hs-CRP, LDH,IL6,CT scan of chest ,q-SOFA score assessment and electrocardiogram. All the biochemical investigations were done on day 1 and day 5 of admission to the hospital. The patients were followed-up for the whole in hospital stay duration. Results: All the measured serum acute inflammatory bio markers, IL6, NLR, WBCs count, q-SOFA score and chest CT severity score were significantly elevated in patients with death due to acute pneumonia than the survived ones. [p value-0.01] Conclusion: This study proves that, the early raise in serum acute inflammatory biomarkers have got real and cost effective predictive value and are non-inferior to total WBCs count, NLR,IL6, q- SOFA score and chest CT severity score in assessing the mortality of acute pneumonia. Keywords: Acute Pneumonia, Acute inflammatory bio markers, CT scan of Chest, IL6, NLR (Neutrophils to Lymphocytes ratio), q-SOFA score, WBCs count

Infective Endocarditis: A Prospective Registry Of Surgical Lesions.

Infective endocarditis morbidity and mortality remains high. Surgery is performed in about half of endocarditis cases, being the ideal setting to evaluate endocarditis lesions. The aim of this study was to register and describe endocarditis lesions found during surgery; find predictors of morbidity and mortality and correlate lesions found in echocardiogram vs. surgery. One hundred consecutive patients with endocarditis lesions seen during surgery were included between June 2014 and August 2018. Pathological lesions were coded prospectively using a coding form published by Pettersson et al. Other data were collected retrospectively. Prosthetic endocarditis accounted for 23% of cases. Embolic events had occurred in 41% of cases, mainly to the brain (22%). The most frequent lesions found in echocardiogram were vegetations (77%). Vegetations and valve integrity anomalies were the main lesions described during surgery (70% and 71% respectively). Invasion was present in 39% of patients. In-hospital mortality was 9%. In univariable analysis, predictors of early mortality included chronic kidney disease (P= .005), prosthetic valve endocarditis (P <.001), EuroSCORE II (P <.001) and valve integrity anomalies (P=.016). Predictors of embolic events included aortic valve vegetations seen during surgery (P= .026). Sensitivity and specificity of echocardiogram findings for identification of vegetations were 84% and 40%, for valve integrity anomalies 42% and 97% and for invasion 54% and 95%, respectively. Diversity of lesions found in endocarditis precludes obtaining significant predictors of morbidity or mortality with small numbers of patients. Echocardiogram lacks sensitivity for valve integrity anomalies and invasion but is highly specific.

Inflammatory Index as a Predictor of Mortality in Elderly Patients With Intracapsular Femoral Neck Fracture.

A femoral neck fracture is a major cause of mortality in the elderly population, and intracapsular femoral neck fractures (ICFNFs) are commonly treated with hemiarthroplasty. The 30-day mortality rate for elderly hip fracture patients ranges from 1.0% to 6.5%, and one-year mortality increases significantly to 37.3%. Identifying predictors of mortality in these patients is crucial for better management. Inflammatory indices, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have gained popularity for assessing mortality risk in various diseases. Several studies have demonstrated the value of these indices in predicting mortality after hip fracture. The pan-inflammatory immune value (PIV), which combines hematological parameters, has been shown to predict mortality in cancer patients. However, its role in predicting mortality in ICFNF patients treated with hemiarthroplasty has yet to be explored. This study aimed to assess the association of PIV, SII, NLR, and MLR with 30-day and one-year mortality in ICFNF patients. We also investigated the impact of surgical delay time (≤24h, 24-48h, ≥48h) on these inflammatory indices and mortality. Data from 522 patients with ICFNF treated with hemiarthroplasty were retrospectively collected. We observed 30-day and one-year mortality rates of 5.24% and 21.2%, respectively. Age, gender, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score were identified as significant predictors of mortality. Preoperative PIV, SII, NLR, and MLR were significant predictors in the evaluation of early mortality. However, postoperatively, only NLR on the third day (NLR3rd) demonstrated statistical significance. Stepwise logistic regression further confirmed NLR3rd as the most effective predictor for early mortality. For mortality occurring between 30 to 365 days, NLR3rd remained statistically significant, albeit with diminished sensitivity. No other inflammatory index demonstrated significant predictive power for mortality during this later period. Our findings suggest different inflammatory indices may have varying predictive abilities depending on the mortality period. We recommend considering NLR3rd as a valuable and reliable predictor for early mortality in ICFNF patients treated with hemiarthroplasty. Respiratory system disease and preoperative chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) were identified as risk factors for mortality in our study, in line with previous research. In conclusion, our study highlights the potential of specific inflammatory indexes, particularly NLR3rd, in predicting mortality in elderly patients with ICFNFs treated with hemiarthroplasty. Further research is needed to validate these findings and optimize risk assessment in orthopedic practice.

Oxidative stress and early mortality in acute ischemic stroke: A prospective cohort study

ABSTRACT Background Malondialdehyde (MDA) is an oxidative stress biomarker, which represents a unifying mechanism of brain injury that occurs throughout the ischemic stroke cascade. The current study aimed to examine whether or not acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients who had elevated serum MDA levels at admission had an increased risk of mortality and a worse functional outcome three months later. Methods An observational, prospective cohort study that enrolled 90 patients with AIS. The patients were examined in the first 24 hours and then followed up for three months to assess mortality, short-term neurological functional outcome, and neurological disability by the Modified Rankin Scale (MRS). Results The mean of serum MDA level among AIS patients was 6.3 ± 3.7 nmol/ml. Non-survivor cases were associated with statistically significantly higher serum MDA levels compared to survivors (9.7 ± 4.3 vs. 5.3 ± 2.8, p < 0.001), respectively. Patients with severe stroke, according to NIHSS score, were associated with significantly (p < 0.05) higher MDA levels compared to moderate and mild cases (7.4 ± 4.3 vs. 5.4 ± 2.6 vs. 3.3 ± .6). At a cutoff point of ≥ 6.7 nmol/ml, the area under the curve (AUC) for serum MDA levels as a predictor of mortality was 0.8 (0.69–0.91; p < 0.05). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 77%, 80%, 89.5%, and 48.5%, respectively. Multivariate regression demonstrated that MDA level was a significant independent predictor of mortality among patients with AIS (OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.65; p = 0.041). Conclusion MDA serum level was significantly higher in non-survivors than in survivors patients, so MDA could be used as a predictor for early mortality and short-term outcome of cases with AIS.