Predictor Of Mortality Research Articles

Sex-specific Outcomes and Predictors of Mortality in Blunt Thoracic Aortic Injury

Sex-specific Outcomes and Predictors of Mortality in Blunt Thoracic Aortic Injury

Predictors of mortality during venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) for COVID-19-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS)

Predictors of mortality during venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) for COVID-19-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS)

Progression of valve heart disease in a cohort of patients undergoing renal replacement therapy.

Cardiovascular disease is an important cause of death among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Valve calcification is a predictor of cardiovascular mortality and coronary artery disease. To assess heart valve disease frequency, associated factors, and progression in CKD patients. We conducted a retrospective study on 291 CKD patients at Hospital das Clínicas de Pernambuco. Inclusion criteria were age ≥ 18 with CKD and valve disease, while those on conservative management or with missing data were excluded. Clinical and laboratory variables were compared, and patients were categorized by dialysis duration (<5 years; 5-10 years; >10 years). Statistical tests, including chi-square, Fisher's exact, ANOVA, and Kruskal-Wallis, were employed as needed. Simple and multivariate binary regression models were used to analyze valve disease associations with dialysis duration. Significance was defined as p < 0.05. Mitral valve disease was present in 82.5% (240) of patients, followed by aortic valve disease (65.6%; 86). Over time, 106 (36.4%) patients developed valve disease. No significant association was found between aortic, pulmonary, mitral, or tricuspid valve disease and dialysis duration. Secondary hyperparathyroidism was the sole statistically significant factor for mitral valve disease in the regression model (OR 2.59 [95% CI: 1.09-6.18]; p = 0.031). CKD patients on renal replacement therapy exhibit a high frequency of valve disease, particularly mitral and aortic valve disease. However, no link was established between dialysis duration and valve disease occurrence or progression.

Cardiac arrest and post-discharge mortality in patients with myocardial infarction: A large-scale nationwide registry analysis

BackgroundCardiac arrest is a serious complication of acute myocardial infarction. The implementation of contemporary approaches to acute myocardial infarction management, including urgent revascularization procedures, has led to significant improvements in short-term outcomes. However, the extent of post-discharge mortality in patients experiencing cardiac arrest during acute myocardial infarction remains uncertain. This study aimed to determine the post-discharge outcomes of patients with cardiac arrest. MethodsWe analysed data from the J-PCI OUTCOME registry, a Japanese prospectively planed, observational, multicentre, national registry of percutaneous coronary intervention involving consecutive patients from 172 institutions who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and were discharged. Patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction between January 2017 and December 2018 and survived for 30 days were included. Mortality in patients with and without cardiac arrest from 30 days to 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction was compared. ResultsOf the 26,909 patients who survived for 30 days after percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction, 1,567 (5.8%) had cardiac arrest at the onset of acute myocardial infarction. Patients with cardiac arrest were younger and more likely to be males than patients without cardiac arrest. The 1-year all-cause mortality was significantly higher in patients with cardiac arrest than in those without (11.9% vs. 2.8%, p < 0.001) for all age groups. Multivariable analysis showed that cardiac arrest was an independent predictor of all-cause long-term mortality (hazard ratio: 2.94; 95% confidence interval: 2.29–3.76). ConclusionsPatients with acute myocardial infarction and concomitant cardiac arrest have a worse prognosis for up to 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention than patients without cardiac arrest.

Assessing the clinical efficacy of low-volume therapeutic plasma exchange in achieving recovery from acute liver failure induced by yellow phosphorous poisoning.

Acute liver failure (ALF) following yellow phosphorous (YP) ingestion is similar to acetaminophen-induced ALF and it has become a public concern in our region. This study assessed low volume therapeutic plasma exchange (LV-TPE) efficacy in improving the transplant free survival in YP poisoning. Adult patients with toxicology reports of YP and ALF requiring critical care were included in the study. LV-TPE was planned for three consecutive days and three more if required. Performed 1.3 to 1.5 plasma volume replacing with 0.9% normal saline, 5% human albumin solution, and fresh frozen plasma based on ASFA 2019 criteria. MELD score, laboratory parameters, LV-TPE details were captured. The study end point was clinical outcome of the patients. Among 36 patients, 19 underwent LV-TPE and 17 opted out of LV-TPE and they were included as a control arm. The MELD score was 32.64 ± 8.05 and 37.83 ± 9.37 in both groups. There were 13 survivors in LV-TPE group leading to a 68.42% reduction in mortality. The coagulation and biochemical parameters showed a significant percentage change after LV-TPE. Refractory shock, delay in initiating procedure and acidosis were independent predictors of mortality. A well-timed LV-TPE improves the survival of patients with ALF due to YP poisoning.

Detectable troponin below the 99th percentile predicts survival in patients undergoing coronary angiography

BackgroundCardiac troponin I (cTnI) above the 99th percentile is associated with an increased risk of major adverse events. Patients with detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile are a heterogeneous group with a less well-defined risk profile. The purpose of this study is to investigate the prognostic relevance of detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile in patients undergoing coronary angiography. MethodsThe study included 14,776 consecutive patients (mean age of 65.4 ± 12.7 years, 71.3 % male) from the Essen Coronary Artery Disease (ECAD) registry. Patients with cTnI levels above the 99th percentile and patients with ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction were excluded. All-cause mortality was defined as the primary endpoint. ResultsDetectable cTnI below the 99th percentile was present in 2811 (19.0 %) patients, while 11,965 (81.0 %) patients were below detection limit of the employed assay. The mean follow-up was 4.25 ± 3.76 years. All-cause mortality was 20.8 % for patients with detectable cTnI below the 99th percentile and 15.0 % for those without detectable cTnI. In a multivariable Cox regression analysis, detectable cTnI was independently associated with all-cause mortality with a hazard ratio of 1.60 (95 % CI 1.45–1.76; p < 0.001). There was a stepwise relationship with increasing all-cause mortality and tertiles of detectable cTnI levels with hazard ratios of 1.63 (95 % CI 1.39–1.90) for the first tertile to 2.02 (95 % CI 1.74–2.35) for the third tertile. ConclusionsDetectable cTnI below the 99th percentile is an independent predictor of mortality in patients undergoing coronary angiography with the risk of death growing progressively with increasing troponin levels.

Utility of Clinical Variables for Deciding Palliative Care in Paraquat Poisoning: A Retrospective Study.

Patients with paraquat poisoning (PP) have a mortality rate comparable to that of advanced malignancies, yet palliative care is seldom considered in these patients. This audit aimed to identify triggers for early palliative care referral in critically ill patients with PP. Medical records of patients with PP were audited. Predictors of mortality within 48 hours of hospitalization and 24 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission were considered as triggers for palliative care referral. Among 108 patients, 84 complete records were analyzed, and 53 out of 84 (63.1%) expired. Within 48 hours after hospitalization, the lowest oxygen partial pressure in arterial blood to a fraction of inspired oxygen [the ratio of partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood (PaO2) to the fraction of inspiratory oxygen concentration (FiO2) (PaO2/FiO2)] was the independent predictor of mortality, cut-off ≤ 197; the area under the curve (AUC), 0.924; sensitivity, 97%; specificity, 78%; p <0.001; and 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.878-0.978. Kaplan-Meier survival plot showed that the mean survival time of patients with the lowest PaO2/FiO2, ≤197, was 4.64 days vs 17.20 days with PaO2/FiO2 >197 (log-rank p < 0.001). Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score within 24 hours of ICU admission had a cut-off ≥9; AUC, 0.980; p < 0.001; 95% CI: 0.955-1.000; 91% sensitivity; and 90% specificity for mortality prediction. Out of the total of 84 patients with PP analyzed, there were 11 patients admitted to the high dependency units (13.1%) and 73 patients admitted to the ICU (86.9%). Out of the total of 84 patients of PP in whom data was analyzed, 53 (63.1%) patients required ventilator support. All the 53 patients who required ventilator support due to worsening hypoxemia, eventually expired. The lowest PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 197 within 48 hours of hospitalization, SOFA score ≥9 within 24 hours of ICU admission or need for mechanical ventilation are predictors of mortality in PP patients, who might benefit from early palliative care. Rao S, Maddani SS, Chaudhuri S, Bhatt MT, Karanth S, Damani A, et al. Utility of Clinical Variables for Deciding Palliative Care in Paraquat Poisoning: A Retrospective Study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(5):453-460.

Modified NUTRIC Score as a Predictor of All-cause Mortality in Critically Ill Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

The purpose of our meta-analysis was to look at the impact of modified nutrition risk in the critically ill (mNUTRIC) on mortality in patients with critical illness. Literature relevant to this meta-analysis was searched in PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library till 26 August 2023. Prospective or retrospective studies, patients >18 years of age, studies that reported on mortality and mNUTRIC (mNUTRIC cut-off score) were included. The QUIPS tool was used to evaluate the risk for bias in prognostic factors. A total of 31 studies on mNUTRIC score, involving 13,271 patients were included. The summary area under the curve (sAUC) of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76-0.83) illustrates the mNUTRIC score's strong discrimination. The pooled sensitivity was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.74-0.84) and pooled specificity was 0.68 (95% CI: 0.63-0.73). We found no discernible variation in the mNUTRIC's prediction accuracy among cut-off values of <5 and >5 in our subgroup analysis and sAUC values were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78-0.85) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74-0.81), respectively. We observed that mNUTRIC can discriminate between critically ill individuals and predict their mortality. CRD42023460292. Prakash J, Verma S, Shrivastava P, Saran K, Kumari A, Raj K, et al. Modified NUTRIC Score as a Predictor of All-cause Mortality in Critically Ill Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(5):495-503.

Comparative Evaluation of Mortality Predictors in Trauma Patients: A Prospective Single-center Observational Study Assessing Injury Severity Score Revised Trauma Score Trauma and Injury Severity Score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Scores.

This prospective cohort study aimed to compare the predictive accuracy of outcome (survival/death) among trauma patients using various prognostic scores. Over 3 months, 240 trauma patients in a tertiary care hospital were assessed for demographic details, trauma characteristics, vital signs, Glasgow coma scale, arterial blood gas values, and lab markers. Injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), trauma and injury severity score (TRISS), and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) were applied at admission, 24 hours, and 48 hours post-admission. Road traffic accidents (55.83%) were the primary cause of trauma, followed by falls (33.75%) and violence (10.41%). The all-cause mortality rate was 23.33%, with 34.16% requiring ICU admission. Head injuries (65.83%) were both the most frequent injury site and cause of mortality. Analysis indicated that APACHE II outperformed other scores in predicting outcomes, with ISS following closely. The study concludes that trauma severity correlates with ICU admission and mortality, emphasizing APACHE II as a superior predictor, particularly for traumatic brain injuries leading to ICU admission and mortality. This study contributes to the existing body of knowledge by addressing the gap in comparing prognostic abilities among scoring systems for trauma patients. The unexpected superiority of APACHE II suggests its potential as a valuable tool in predicting outcomes in this specific patient population. Gupta J, Kshirsagar S, Naik S, Pande A. Comparative Evaluation of Mortality Predictors in Trauma Patients: A Prospective Single-center Observational Study Assessing Injury Severity Score Revised Trauma Score Trauma and Injury Severity Score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II Scores. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(5):475-482.

Comparison between Zone 2 and Zone 3 distal anastomoses for aortic arch replacement in terms of invasiveness.

Zone 2 anastomosis with total cervical branch reconstruction for acute type A aortic dissection and aortic arch aneurysms became possible after stent-graft introduction. This may be an easier procedure and reduce the risk of recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the outcomes between Zone 2 and Zone 3 distal anastomoses. After evaluating the patient data in our institute between April 2016 and April 2022, the patients in whom distal anastomosis was performed at Zone 2 with a stent-graft were defined as the Zone 2 group (n = 70). The patients in whom distal anastomosis was performed at Zone 3 were defined as the Zone 3 group (n = 24). The incidence of new-onset recurrent nerve palsy was one patient (1.4%) in the Zone 2 group and six patients (25.0%) in the Zone 3 group (p < 0.001). The lower body perfusion arrest time was 44.3 ± 9.1min in the Zone 2 group and 52.9 ± 12.8min in the Zone 3 group (p = 0.005). There were no significant differences in in-hospital mortality and morbidities. Multivariable analysis showed that only age was an independent predictor of overall mortality. Performing distal anastomosis at Zone 2 with a frozen elephant trunk or stent-graft reduced the lower body perfusion arrest time and possibly prevented recurrent nerve palsy.

Clinical significance and prognostic value of right bundle branch block in permanent pacemaker patients.

In patients undergoing pacemaker implantation with no prior history of heart failure (HF), the presence of left bundle branch block (LBBB) has been identified as an independent predictor of HF-related death or hospitalization, while the prognostic significance of right bundle branch block (RBBB) remains uncertain. We aimed to assess the long-term risk of all-cause mortality in patients with a standard indication for permanent pacing and normal or moderately depressed left ventricular function when RBBB is detected at the time of implantation. We retrospectively enrolled 1348 consecutive patients who had undergone single- or dual-chamber pacemaker implantation at the study center, from January 1990 to December 2022. Patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction ≤35% or a prior diagnosis of HF were excluded. The baseline 12-lead electrocardiogram revealed an RBBB in 241 (18%) and an LBBB in 98 (7%) patients. During a median follow-up of 65 [25th-75th percentile: 32-117] months, 704 (52%) patients died. The combined endpoint of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization was reached by 173 (13%) patients. On multivariate analysis, RBBB was confirmed as an independent predictor of death [hazard ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09-1.63; P = 0.005]. However, when considering the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization, this endpoint was independently associated with LBBB (hazard ratio, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.38-3.29; P < 0.001), but not with RBBB. In patients with standard pacemaker indications and normal or moderately depressed left ventricular function, the presence of basal RBBB was an independent predictor of mortality. However, it was not associated with the combined endpoint of cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization.

Patient characteristics and predictors of mortality among children hospitalised with tuberculosis: A six-year case series study in Uganda.

The high case-fatality rates among children with tuberculosis (TB) are reportedly driven by in-hospital mortality and severe forms of TB. Therefore, there is need to better understand the predictors of mortality among children hospitalised with TB. We examined the patient clinical profiles, length of hospital stay from date of admission to date of final admission outcome, and predictors of mortality among children hospitalised with TB at two tertiary hospitals in Uganda. We conducted a case-series study of children below 15 years of age hospitalised with TB, from January 1st, 2016, to December 31st, 2021. Convenience sampling was done to select TB cases from paper-based medical records at Mulago National Referral Hospital (MNRH) in urban Kampala, and Fort Portal Regional Referral Hospital (FRRH) in rural Fort Portal. We fitted linear and logistic regression models with length of stay and in-hospital mortality as key outcomes. Out of the 201 children hospitalised with TB, 50 were at FRRH, and 151 at MNRH. The male to female ratio was 1.5 with median age of 2.6 years (Interquartile range-IQR 1-6). There was a high prevalence of HIV (67/171, 39%), severe malnutrition reported as weight-for-age Z-score <-3SD (51/168, 30%). Among children with pulmonary TB who initiated anti-tuberculosis therapy (ATT) either during hospitalisation or within seven days prior to hospitalisation; cough (134/143, 94%), fever (111/143, 78%), and dyspnoea (78/143, 55%) were common symptoms. Children with TB meningitis commonly presented with fever (17/24, 71%), convulsions (14/24 58%), and cough (13/24, 54%). The median length of hospital stay was 8 days (IQR 5-15). Of the 199 children with known in-hospital outcomes, 34 (17.1%) died during hospitalisation. TB meningitis was associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR = 3.50, 95% CI = 1.10-11.17, p = 0.035), while male sex was associated with reduced mortality (aOR = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.12-0.95, p = 0.035). Hospitalisation in the urban hospital predicted a 0.48-day increase in natural log-transformed length of hospital stay (ln-length of stay) (95% CI 0.15-0.82, p = 0.005), but not age, sex, HIV, malnutrition, or TB meningitis. In-hospital mortality was high, and significantly driven almost four times higher by TB meningitis, with longer hospital stay among children in urban hospitals. The high in-hospital mortality and long hospital stay may be reduced by timely TB diagnosis and treatment initiation among children.

Multimodal echocardiography for assessing whether left ventricular geometry affects right atrial phasic function in patients with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome: A cross-sectional observational study.

Recent studies have shown that right atrial (RA) function are important predictors of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, the study data about RA phasic function in obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) patients are scarce, especially based on the left ventricular geometry. So, we aimed to assess the influence of left ventricular geometry on RA phasic function in OSAS patients via a multimodal echocardiographic approach. Total of 235 OSAS patients were enrolled in this cross-section study and underwent complete clinical, polysomnography, and echocardiography examinations. The OSAS patients were divided into four groups based on left ventricular mass index (LVMI) and relative wall thickness (RWT): normal geometry (NG), concentric remodeling (CR), concentric hypertrophy (CH), and eccentric hypertrophy (EH). RA phasic function was evaluated via multimodal echocardiography approach (two-dimensional echocardiography biplane method [2DE]; two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography [2D-STE]; and three-dimensional echocardiography [3DE]). The multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between left ventricular geometry and RA phasic function. The RA volume and indices increased from NG to CR to EH to CH. RA total emptying fraction and RA strain during systole decreased from NG to CR to EH to CH. RA passive emptying fraction and RA strain during early diastole similarly decreased. RA active emptying fraction and RA strain during late diastole also gradually increased similarly. In analyses that adjusted for gender, age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, apnea-hypopnea index, LVMI, systolic pulmonary artery pressure, and right ventricular free wall thickness, CH was associated with RA reservoir and conduit function via 2DE area-length method, whereas CH and EH were associated with RA reservoir and conduit function via 2D-STE and 3DE method. Further, CH was associated with RA booster pump function via 2DE area-length method, 2D-STE, and 3DE method. The RA volumes and phasic function varied with left ventricular geometry via multimodal echocardiography approach. CH had the apparent negative effect on RA phasic function.

Blood Urea Nitrogen-to-Serum Albumin Ratio Predicts Fatal Outcomes in Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Patients.

There are no effective therapies for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS), and existing predictors of mortality are still controversial. This retrospective study aimed to identify reliable early-stage indicators for predicting fatal outcomes in 217 patients hospitalized with an SFTS diagnosis between March 2021 and November 2023; 157 of the patients survived, and 60 died. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory parameters were reassessed in both groups. The mean age of participants was 64.0 (interquartile range: 54.5-71.0) years, and 42.4% (92/217) were males. Based on a multivariate Cox regression analysis, the blood urea nitrogen-to-serum albumin ratio (BAR) (hazard ratio [HR]:4.751; 95% CI: 2.208-10.226; P <0.001), procalcitonin level (HR: 1.946; 95% CI: 1.080-3.507; P = 0.027), and central nervous system symptoms (HR: 3.257; 95% CI, 1.628-6.513; P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality in SFTS patients. According to a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a BAR with an area under the curve of 0.913 (95% CI: 0.873-0.953; P <0.001), a sensitivity of 76.7%, and a specificity of 90.4% showed better predictive performance for fatal outcomes than other classical indicators reported. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve confirmed that an increased BAR was linked with an unfavorable prognosis in SFTS patients (P <0.001 by log-rank test). In conclusion, the results indicate that high BAR levels are markedly related to substandard outcomes and are a reliable and readily accessible predictor of fatal outcomes in SFTS patients.

Association between risk of preterm birth and long-term and short-term exposure to ambient carbon monoxide during pregnancy in chongqing, China: a study from 2016-2020

BackgroundPreterm birth (PTB) is an important predictor of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Previous researches have reported a correlation between air pollution and an increased risk of preterm birth. However, the specific relationship between short-term and long-term exposure to carbon monoxide (CO) and preterm birth remains less explored.MethodsA population-based study was conducted among 515,498 pregnant women in Chongqing, China, to assess short-term and long-term effects of CO on preterm and very preterm births. Generalized additive models (GAM) were applied to evaluate short-term effects, and exposure-response correlation curves were plotted after adjusting for confounding factors. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using COX proportional hazard models to estimate the long-term effect.ResultsThe daily incidence of preterm and very preterm birth was 5.99% and 0.41%, respectively. A positive association between a 100 µg/m³ increase in CO and PTB was observed at lag 0–3 days and 12–21 days, with a maximum relative risk (RR) of 1.021(95%CI: 1.001–1.043). The exposure-response curves (lag 0 day) revealed a rapid increase in PTB due to CO. Regarding long-term exposure, positive associations were found between a 100 µg/m3 CO increase for each trimester(Model 2 for trimester 1: HR = 1.054, 95%CI: 1.048–1.060; Model 2 for trimester 2: HR = 1.066, 95%CI: 1.060–1.073; Model 2 for trimester 3: HR = 1.007, 95%CI: 1.001–1.013; Model 2 for entire pregnancy: HR = 1.080, 95%CI: 1.073–1.088) and higher HRs of very preterm birth. Multiplicative interactions between air pollution and CO on the risk of preterm and very preterm birth were detected (P- interaction<0.05).ConclusionsOur findings suggest that short-term exposure to low levels of CO may have protective effects against preterm birth, while long-term exposure to low concentrations of CO may reduce the risk of both preterm and very preterm birth. Moreover, our study indicated that very preterm birth is more susceptible to the influence of long-term exposure to CO during pregnancy, with acute CO exposure exhibiting a greater impact on preterm birth. It is imperative for pregnant women to minimize exposure to ambient air pollutants.

Prognostic Impact of Metabolic Syndrome and Steatotic Liver Disease in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Machine Learning Techniques

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) currently represents the predominant cause of chronic liver disease and is closely linked to a significant increase in the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), even in the absence of liver cirrhosis. In this retrospective multicenter study, machine learning (ML) methods were employed to investigate the relationship between metabolic profile and prognosis at diagnosis in a total of 219 HCC patients. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) method demonstrated superiority in identifying mortality predictors in our patients. Etiology was the most determining prognostic factor followed by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) classifications. Variables related to the development of hepatic steatosis and metabolic syndrome, such as elevated levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), uric acid, obesity, alcohol consumption, and high blood pressure (HBP), had a significant impact on mortality prediction. This study underscores the importance of metabolic syndrome as a determining factor in the progression of HCC secondary to MASLD. The use of ML techniques provides an effective tool to improve risk stratification and individualized therapeutic management in these patients.

A retrospective study of the predictors of mortality among patients in intensive care units at North West-Bank hospitals in Palestine

ABSTRACT Objectives The intensive care unit (ICU) mortality rate remains high especially in developing countries regardless of the advances in critical management. There is a lack of studies about mortality causes in hospitals and particularly ICUs in Palestine. This study evaluated the demographic and clinical characteristics of critically ill patients and determined the predictors of mortality among patients in the ICU. Methods A retrospective study assessed all patients who stayed in ICU for more than 24 hours from January 2017 to January 2019. Data were collected from the patient’s files. Patient characteristics (background, clinical variables, and comorbidities) were recorded. Results The study included 227 eligible ICU patients. The cases’ mean age was 55.5 (SD ± 18.2) years. The overall ICU mortality rate was 31.7%. The following factors were associated with high adjusted mortality odds: admission from inside the hospital (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 2.1, 95%CI: 1.1-3.9, p < 0.05), creatinine level ≥2 mg/dl on admission (aOR, 2.7, 95%CI: 1.3-5.8, p < 0.01), hematology malignancy patients (aOR, 3.4, 95%CI: 1.6-6.7, p = 0.001), immune-compromised (aOR, 2.5, 95%CI: 1.3-4.7, p < 0.01), septic shock (aOR, 27.1, 95%CI: 7.9-88.3, p < 0.001), hospital-acquired infections (aOR: 13.4, 95%CI: 4.1-57.1, p < 0.001), and patients with multiple-source infection (aOR: 16.3, 95%CI: 6.4-57.1, p < 0.001). Also, high SOFA and APACHE scores predicted morality (p < 0.001). Conclusion The mortality rate among ICU patients was high. It was higher among those admitted from the hospital wards, septic shock, hospital-acquired infection, multiple infection sources, and multi-drug resistance infections. Thus, strategies should be developed to enhance ICU environment and provide sufficient resources to minimize the effects of these predictors.

Insight on Pediatric Burn Morbidity and Mortality at a Tertiary Indian Burn Care Center: A Case For Burn Prevention.

Pediatric burns pose a significant health burden in LMICs. Despite efforts to address burn prevention and management, morbidity and mortality rates remain high, particularly among children. Understanding pediatric burn epidemiology and predictors of clinical outcomes is crucial for developing effective prevention strategies and improving patient-care. This retrospective cohort study analyzed pediatric burn patients admitted to a tertiary burn-center in India, between March-2022 and December-2023. Demographic date, burn characteristics, treatments, complications and outcomes were collected. Statistical analysis, including logistic and linear regression, was conducted to identify predictors of mortality, sepsis, and hospital stay length. Among 332 pediatric burn patients, median age was 3 years, with a male predominance. Scald burns were the most common, followed by electrical and flame burns. Median total body surface area burned was 20%, with upper and lower extremities most affected. The incidence of electrical burns increased with age and was associated with a longer length of stay. Mortality rate was 14.2%, with age >10 years, male gender, and TBSA >30% predicting mortality. Complications like sepsis significantly increased mortality risk, while deep burns were associated with longer hospital stays. This study underscores importance of targeted prevention efforts and specialized care. Scald burns among young children highlight the need for safer cooking practices, while the high incidence of electrical burns in older children suggests age-specific education interventions are necessary. Predictors of mortality identified can guide risk assessment and resource allocation, emphasizing the importance of infection control and wound management strategies in improving outcomes.

Low Bone Mineral Density as a Predictor of Mortality and Infections in Stroke Patients: A Hospital-based Study.

Low bone mineral density (BMD) has been linked to elevated risks of mortality and infections in the general population; however, its association with these outcomes in stroke patients remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the correlation between low BMD and risks of mortality and infections among stroke patients in a Taiwanese cohort. In this single-centered retrospective cohort study, 905 stroke patients from a Taiwanese database (2000-2022) were analyzed. Patients were divided based on BMD measurements of the femur and spine. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and secondary outcomes included urinary tract infection (UTI) and pneumonia. Accelerated failure time regression model analyses evaluated the association between BMD and these outcomes, while the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test assessed survival differences between groups. Among the participants (average age 76.1 years, 70.5% female), 33.82% had osteopenia and 55.25% had osteoporosis. Stroke patients with lower spine and right femur BMD had significantly reduced survival rates, especially when the BMD value fell below 0.842 g/cm2 (spine), and 0.624 g/cm2 (right femur), respectively. Regarding secondary outcomes, lower spine BMD was significantly associated with an increased risk of UTI. Low BMD, particularly in the femur and spine, is a significant predictor of mortality and UTI in stroke patients. These findings highlight the importance of assessing and managing BMD in stroke patients to improve outcomes and reduce complications.

Self-rated health, epigenetic ageing, and long-term mortality in older Australians.

Self-rated health (SRH) is a subjective indicator of overall health based on a single questionnaire item. Previous evidence found that it is a strong predictor of mortality, although the underlying mechanism is poorly understood. Epigenetic age is an objective, emerging biomarker of health, estimated using DNA methylation data at hundreds of sites across the genome. This study aimed to assess the overlap and interaction between SRH and epigenetic ageing in predicting mortality risk. We used DNA methylation data from 1059 participants in the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study (mean age: 69years) to calculate three age-adjusted measures of epigenetic ageing: GrimAge, PhenoAge, and DunedinPACE. SRH was assessed using a five-category questionnaire item ("excellent, very good, good, fair, poor"). Cox models were used to assess the associations of SRH, epigenetic ageing, and their interaction, with all-cause mortality over up to 17years of follow-up (Ndeaths = 345). The association of SRH with mortality per category increase was HR = 1.29; 95%CI: 1.14-1.46. The association was slightly attenuated after adjusting for all three epigenetic ageing measures (HR = 1.25, 95%CI: 1.10-1.41). A strong gradient was observed in the association of GrimAge (Pinteraction = 0.006) and DunedinPACE (Pinteraction = 0.002) with mortality across worsening SRH strata. For example, the association between DunedinPACE and mortality in participants with "excellent" SRH was HR = 1.02, 95%CI: 0.73-1.43 and for "fair/poor" HR = 1.72, 95%CI: 1.35-2.20. SRH and epigenetic ageing were synergistic risk factors of mortality in our study. These findings suggest that consideration of subjective and objective factors may improve general health assessment, which has implications for the ongoing development of molecular markers of ageing.