Predictors Of Virologic Failure Research Articles

Prevalence, rate, and predictors of virologic failure among adult HIV-Infected clients on second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Tanzania (2018–2020): a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundAntiretroviral therapy (ART) has been proven to be highly effective in reducing the impact of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. However, as more people receive initial ART treatment, the risk of developing resistance and eventual treatment failure increases, leading to the need for second-line treatment regimens. Understanding the factors that contribute to virologic failure to second-line ART is crucial in preventing switching to the more expensive and toxic third-line regimens. This study provides information on the prevalence, rate, and predictors of virologic failure (VF) among clients on second-line ART in Tanzania.ResultsWe followed 4718 clients for 15100 person-years (PY) of observations. Of them, 1402 (29.72%) experienced virologic failure at a rate of 92.85 per 1000 PY of observations (95% CI 88.11, 97.84). Factors that were associated with VF included: having a viral load count of ≥ 1000 copies/mL during first-line ART, with a hazard ratio (HR) 4.65 (95% CI 3.57, 6.07), using lopinavir (LPV/r) as a protease inhibitor during second-line ART (HR 4.20 (95% CI 3.12, 7.10), having a CD4 count < 200 cells/mm3 during second-line ART (HR 1.89 (95% CI 1.46, 2.44), and being on ART for 13–35 months (HR 8.22 (95% CI 2.21, 30.61). Paradoxically, having a CD4 count < 200 cells/mm3 during first-line ART treatment was associated with a reduced risk of virologic failure (HR 0.77 (95% CI 0.60, 0.99).ConclusionsIn Tanzania, approximately 30% of adult clients on second-line ART experience VF at a rate of 92.71 per 1000 person-years. This high virologic failure rate underscores the urgent need for targeted interventions, such as enhancing adherence support, optimizing drug regimens, and regular viral load monitoring. These interventions will reduce the need for switching to the more costly and toxic third-line ART therapy and are also crucial for achieving the UNAIDS goal of 95% viral suppression among treated individuals by 2030.

Incidence and predictors of virological failure among HIV infected children and adolescents receiving second-line antiretroviral therapy in Uganda, a retrospective study

BackgroundIn Uganda, 20% (19,073/94,579) of children and adolescents (0-19 years) living with HIV (CALHIV) were receiving second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) by the end of March 2020. Data on incidence and predictors of virological failure among these CALHIV on second-line ART is limited. Lack of this information and limited access to HIV drug resistance testing prevents early identification of CALHIV at risk of virological failure on second-line ART. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and predictors of virological failure among CALHIV on second-line ART in Uganda.MethodologyThis was a retrospective cohort study of all CALHIV aged 0-19 years who were switched to second-line ART regimen between June 2010 and June 2019 at the Baylor Uganda Centre of Excellence clinic. Data was analysed using STATA 14. Cumulative incidence curves were used to assess incidence of virological failure. Factors associated with virological failure were identified using sub-distributional hazard regression analysis for competing risks considering death, transfer out and loss to follow-up as competing risks.ResultsOf 1104 CALHIV, 53% were male. At switch to Protease Inhibitor (PI) based second-line ART, majority (47.7%) were aged 5 – 9 years,56.2% had no/mild immune suppression for age while 77% had viral load copies < 100,000 copies/mL. The incidence of virological failure on second-line ART regimen among CALHIV was 3.9 per 100 person-years (PY) with a 10-year cumulative incidence rate of 32%. Factors significantly associated with virological failure were age 10 – 19 years (HR 3.2, 95% 1.6 – 6.2, p < 0.01) and HIV viral load count > 100,000 copies/mL (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.5 – 3.1), p < 0.01) prior to second-line ART switch.ConclusionTreatment outcomes for children and adolescents on second-line ART are favourable with one third of them developing virological failure at 10 years of follow up. Adolescent age group and high HIV viral load at the start of second-line ART were significantly associated with virological failure on second-line ART. There is need to determine optimal strategies to improve ART treatment outcomes among adolescents with high viral load counts at second-line ART switch.

Low-Level Viremia among Adults Living with HIV on Dolutegravir-Based First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy Is a Predictor of Virological Failure in Botswana.

We evaluated subsequent virologic outcomes in individuals experiencing low-level virem ia (LLV) on dolutegravir (DTG)-based first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Botswana. We used a national dataset from 50,742 adults who initiated on DTG-based first-line ART from June 2016-December 2022. Individuals with at least two viral load (VL) measurements post three months on DTG-based first-line ART were evaluated for first and subsequent episodes of LLV (VL:51-999 copies/mL). LLV was sub-categorized as low-LLV (51-200 copies/mL), medium-LLV (201-400 copies/mL) and high-LLV (401-999 copies/mL). The study outcome was virologic failure (VF) (VL ≥ 1000 copies/mL): virologic non-suppression defined as single-VF and confirmed-VF defined as two-consecutive VF measurements after an initial VL < 1000 copies/mL. Cox regression analysis identified predictive factors of subsequent VF. The prevalence of LLV was only statistically different at timepoints >6-12 (2.8%) and >12-24 (3.9%) (p-value < 0.01). LLV was strongly associated with both virologic non-suppression (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] = 2.6; 95% CI: 2.2-3.3, p-value ≤ 0.001) and confirmed VF (aHR = 2.5; 95% CI: 2.4-2.7, p-value ≤ 0.001) compared to initially virally suppressed PLWH. High-LLV (HR = 3.3; 95% CI: 2.9-3.6) and persistent-LLV (HR = 6.6; 95% CI: 4.9-8.9) were associated with an increased hazard for virologic non-suppression than low-LLV and a single-LLV episode, respectively. In a national cohort of PLWH on DTG-based first-line ART, LLV > 400 copies/mL and persistent-LLV had a stronger association with VF. Frequent VL testing and adherence support are warranted for individuals with VL > 50 copies/mL.

HIV Viral Load Patterns and Risk Factors Among Women in Prevention of Mother-To-Child Transmission Programs to Inform Differentiated Service Delivery.

Differentiated service delivery (DSD) approaches decrease frequency of clinic visits for individuals who are stable on antiretroviral therapy. It is unclear how to optimize DSD models for postpartum women living with HIV (PWLH). We evaluated longitudinal HIV viral load (VL) and cofactors, and modelled DSD eligibility with virologic failure (VF) among PWLH in prevention of mother-to-child transmission programs. This analysis used programmatic data from participants in the Mobile WAChX trial (NCT02400671). Women were assessed for DSD eligibility using the World Health Organization criteria among general people living with HIV (receiving antiretroviral therapy for ≥6 months and having at least 1 suppressed VL [<1000 copies/mL] within the past 6 months). Longitudinal VL patterns were summarized using group-based trajectory modelling. VF was defined as having a subsequent VL ≥1000 copies/mL after being assessed as DSD-eligible. Predictors of VF were determined using log-binomial models among DSD-eligible PWLH. Among 761 women with 3359 VL results (median 5 VL per woman), a 3-trajectory model optimally summarized longitudinal VL, with most (80.8%) women having sustained low probability of unsuppressed VL. Among women who met DSD criteria at 6 months postpartum, most (83.8%) maintained viral suppression until 24 months. Residence in Western Kenya, depression, reported interpersonal abuse, unintended pregnancy, nevirapine-based antiretroviral therapy, low-level viremia (VL 200-1000 copies/mL), and drug resistance were associated with VF among DSD-eligible PWLH. Most postpartum women maintained viral suppression from early postpartum to 24 months and may be suitable for DSD referral. Women with depression, drug resistance, and detectable VL need enhanced services.

Predictors of Post-switch Viremia in People With HIV on Injectable Cabotegravir/Rilpivirine.

Predictors of virologic failure in those receiving long-acting injectable (LAI) cabotegravir/rilpivirine (CAB/RPV) have been evaluated; however, factors associated with low-level viremia, including blips and persistent low-level viremia (pLLV), are not well-described. A retrospective cohort study was performed using data from April 2021 through December 2022. Inclusion criteria included treatment with CAB/RPV for at least 3 months, availability of pre- and postswitch HIV RNA values, HIV RNA value of <200 copies/mL (cpm) at the time of switch to CAB/RPV, and at least 1 postswitch HIV RNA collected >21 days after the start of CAB/RPV. Outcomes included incidence of HIV RNA ≥20, ≥50, and ≥200 cpm after switch and factors associated with detectable HIV RNA after switch. The median duration of follow-up among 144 participants was 287 days. After switching to CAB/RPV, occurrences of at least 1 HIV RNA ≥20, ≥50, and ≥200 cpm after switch were 34.7%, 15.3%, and 2.8%, respectively. Those with pLLV before switch were significantly more likely to have detectable HIV RNA after switch [hazard ratio 24.39 (8.71-68.34)], and 44.4% of those with pLLV before switch continued with pLLV after switch to LAI CAB/RPV. Body mass index, late injection, and monthly versus every two-month dosing were not associated with detectable viremia after switch. Despite virologic suppression at the time of switch and the perceived adherence benefits, participants still experienced blips or pLLV after switch to LAI CAB/RPV. Having detectable HIV RNA on oral therapy before switch was associated with detectable HIV RNA after switching.

Incidence and predictors of virological failure among HIV infected children and adolescents on first-line antiretroviral therapy in East Shewa hospitals, Oromia Region, Ethiopia: A retrospective follow up study.

Despite gains made from improved antiretroviral therapy coverage in resource limited countries, the occurrence of first line drug resistance remains a priority agenda. To reduce the emergence of resistant viruses, HIV viral load monitoring plays a critical role. However, many resource limited countries have difficulty of monitoring viral load due to economic constraints.There is also limited study regarding viral failure in developing countries. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of virological failure among HIV-infected children and adolescents on first-line ART Ethiopia, 2021. Institution based retrospective follow-up study was employed on 492 children and adolescents. Data were collected by trained nurses who have experience working in ART clinics. Data were entered using Epi-data version 4.6 and exported to Stata version 14 for analysis. The proportional hazard assumption was checked, and the Weibull regression was fitted. Cox-Snell residual was used to test the goodness of fit, and the appropriate model was selected by AIC. Finally, an AHR with a 95% CI was computed, and variables with a P-value < 0.05 in the multivariable analysis were taken as significant predictors of virological failure. The overall incidence rate of virological failure was 4.2, (95% CI: 3.41, 5.22) per 1000 person-months of observation with 20,169 person-months follow-up time. In multivariable analysis living in rural area (AHR = 1.97, 95% CI: 1.15-3.36), poor adherence (AHR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.24-3.91), lower CD4 Count <200 cells/mm3 (AHR = 2.57, 95% CI: 1.27-5.18) and 201-350 cells/mm3 (AHR = 2.44, 95% CI: 1.28-4.67) respectively, and recent OI (AHR = 4.60, 95% CI: 2.38-8.90) are significantly associated with virological failure. The incidence rate of virological failure was high. Living in a rural, poor adherence, lower CD4 count, and recent opportunistic infection were independent risk factors associated with virological failure. Hence, it is better to give priority to strengthening the focused evaluation of important variables and managing accordingly.

A Longitudinal Assessment of Interruptions in HIV Clinic Visits and Virologic Failure among Pregnant and Postpartum Women in the Kabeho Study

Background: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) for women with HIV is recommended for life, yet most studies measure retention in HIV care and treatment as a binary outcome rather than patterns of intermittent clinic attendance. Pregnancy and the post-partum period are critical times to study interruptions in care, as retention among these women is particularly challenging and can affect the outcomes of both the mother and her child. Methods: The Kigali Antiretroviral and Breastfeeding Assessment for the Elimination of HIV (Kabeho) study was an observational prospective cohort of 608 pregnant and postpartum women with HIV followed for 2 years. Clinic visit attendance was used to construct an interruption variable defined as a missed visit followed by a return to care. In multivariate analyses, we examined interruption patterns as predictors of virologic failure and detectable viral load. Results: During the study period, 48% of women had multiple visit interruptions and 29% had an interruption that lasted more than one month. Adjusting for age, ART regimen, time on ART, and CD4 count, the odds of virologic failure among women with multiple interruptions were almost 3 times higher than for women with one or no interruptions (aOR=2.72, 95%CI: 1.09, 6.77). The odds of virologic failure were nearly 3.5 times higher among women with an interruption lasting more than one month compared with women with shorter or no interruptions (aOR=3.47, 95%CI: 1.59, 7.66). Conclusions: Interruptions in HIV care visits are common with significant increases in virologic failure among women with multiple and long-term interruptions. Measuring patterns of interruption, rather than a single binary measure captures the fluid nature of lifetime and health-seeking behavior.

Prevalence and predictors of virologic failure among HIV patients on antiretroviral therapy in Makueni County: a cross-sectional study

Background: The growing number of people on antiretroviral therapy in Kenya has led to a decrease in HIV morbidity and mortality. However, virologic failure (VF) threatens to reverse these gains. In Makueni County, existing data indicate challenges in achieving viral load (VL) suppression among persons living with HIV (PLHIV). Few studies have been carried out investigating VF in the region despite its high incidence of HIV infections. Methods: An analytical cross-sectional study was conducted among PLHIV in Makueni County to investigate the determinants and estimate the prevalence of VF. The prevalence of VF and its associated 95% exact binomial confidence interval was estimated, and a mixed-effects logistic regression model used to evaluate the relationship between the predictors and VF. Results: The estimated period prevalence of VF between October 2018 and June 2019 was 13.2% (95% CI: 12.7%–13.8%). Being 15 years or older (aOR=0.53; 95% CI: 0.44 – 0.645) and having blood samples tested for reasons other than baseline VL measurement was associated with lower odds of VF: breastfeeding mothers (aOR=0.1; 95% CI: 0.01 – 0.97); clinical failure (aOR=0.08; 95% CI: 0.01 – 0.44); confirmation of VF (aOR=0.2; 95% CI: 0.07 – 0.62); no VL data (aOR=0.06; 95% CI: 0.01 – 0.31); routine VL (aOR=0.04; 95% CI: 0.01 – 0.12); drug substitution (aOR=0.03; 95% CI: 0.01 – 0.08). Taking ABC-based, AZT-based, or other non-TDF-Based regimens increased the odds of VF (aOR=1.61; 95% CI: 1.34 – 1.94), (aOR=1.75; 95% CI: 1.52 - 2.01), and (aOR=1.55; 95% CI: 0.99 - 2.44) respectively. Conclusion: This study showed that over 13% of HIV patients on ART in Makueni County had VF between October 2018 and June 2019. The significant risk factors associated with VF were found to be age lower than 15 years, taking a non-TDF-based ART regimen, and blood sampling for baseline VL measurements.

Prevalence and predictors of virological failure in pediatric patients on HAART in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Antiretroviral treatment failure has emerged as a challenge in the management of pediatric human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) patients, especially in resource-limited countries despite accessibility to Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy (HAART). A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to synthesize virological failure (VF) prevalence and ascertain its predictors in children in sub-Saharan Africa. An electronic database search strategy was conducted from January to September 2021 on PubMed, EMBASE, SCOPUS, HINARI, and CINAHL. Further, manual searching was conducted on non-indexed journals. Utilizing the JASP© version 0.17.2 (2023) statistical software, a meta-analysis of pooled prevalence of VF was estimated using the standardized mean differences. Further, selection models were used to assess the risk of bias and heterogeneity. The pooled odds ratios were estimated for the respective studies reporting on predictors of VF. The overall pooled estimate of the prevalence of VF in sub-Saharan Africa among the sampled population was 29% (95% CI: 27.0-32.0; p<0.001). Predictors of VF were drug resistance (OR: 1.68; 95% CI: 0.88-2.49; p < 0.001), poor adherence (OR: 5.35; 95% CI: 5.26-5.45; p < 0.001), nevirapine (NVP)-based regimen (OR: 5.11; 95% CI: 4.66-5.56; p < 0.001), non-usage of cotrimoxazole prophylaxis (OR: 4.30; 95% CI: 4.13-4.47; p < 0.001), higher viral load at the initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) (OR: 244.32; 95% CI: 244.2-244.47; p <0.001), exposure to the prevention of mother to child transmission (PMTCT) (OR: 8.02; 95%CI: 7.58-8.46; p < 0.001), increased age/older age (OR: 3.37; 95% CI: 2.70-4.04; p < 0.001), advanced World Health Organization (WHO) stage (OR: 6.57; 95% CI: 6.17-6.98; p < 0.001), not having both parents as primary caregivers (OR: 3.01; 95% CI: 2.50-3.53; p < 0.001), and tuberclosis (TB) treatment (OR: 4.22; 95% CI: 3.68-4.76; p <0.001). The mean VF prevalence documented is at variance with studies in other developing countries outside the sub-Saharan region. The high prevalence of HIV cases contrasting with the limited expertise in the management of pediatric ART patients could explain this variance.

Incidence and Predictors of Virological Failure Among Adult HIV/AIDS Patients on Second-Line Anti-Retroviral Therapy, in Selected Public Hospital of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: Retrospective Follow-Up Study.

IntroductionVirological suppression for persons living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) reached 85% at the end of 2018, still falling short of the UNAIDS target of 95%. In Ethiopia, there were studies on treatment failure focusing on viral suppression and immunological failure of ART users, but none of them have addressed virological failure for second-line regimens.ObjectiveThis study was aimed to estimate the incidence and predictors of virological failure among HIV patients who were switched to second-line ART at the selected public hospitals in Addis Ababa.MethodsAn institutional-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted from September 2018 to January 2021 at public hospitals in Addis Ababa. The sample size was determined by using the Schoenfeld formula. Data entry were done by Epi Data version-4.6.0.0 and exported to R-software version-4.1.0 for analysis. Kaplan–Meier methods were used to compare the survival estimates. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify predictors of virological failure and model adequacy was checked by using the Cox–Snell residuals plot.ResultsOverall 44 (12.22%) HIV/AIDS patients developed virological failure with incidence density of 3.57/1000 Person-Month (PM) with 95% CI of [2.65–4.79]. Age >45 years (AHR=0.36, 95% CI: 0.12–0.99), CD4 count <100cell/mm3 (AHR=3.02, 95% CI: 1.17–7.78), TB co-infection (AHR=2.48, 95% CI: 1.10–6.33), ATV/r-based second-line regimen (AHR=0.27, 95% CI: 0.11–0.70), and poor adherence at the start of second-line ART (AHR=6.18, 95% CI: 1.93–19.76) were the significant predictors of virological failure.ConclusionA high incidence of virological failure was noticed. The rate of virological failure was higher for patients who had poor ART adherence, small CD4count, and TB co-infection. Therefore, targeted HIV care interventions shall be provided to young ages and efforts stepped up to improve adherence to ART, which helps to increase immunity and suppress viral replication. In addition, prevention and early detection of TB co-infection are crucial to the patients.

Antiretroviral therapy uptake and predictors of virological failure in patients with HIV receiving first-line and second-line regimens in Johannesburg, South Africa: a retrospective cohort data analysis

ObjectiveThis study described the demographics, treatment information and identified characteristics associated with virological failure and being lost to follow-up (LTFU) for patients with HIV on first-line and second-line antiretroviral therapy...

Predictors of virological failure among people living with HIV receiving first line antiretroviral treatment in Myanmar: retrospective cohort analysis

BackgroundProgress toward the global target for 95% virological suppression among those on antiretroviral treatment (ART) is still suboptimal. We describe the viral load (VL) cascade, the incidence of virological failure and associated risk factors among people living with HIV receiving first-line ART in an HIV cohort in Myanmar treated by the Médecins Sans Frontières in collaboration with the Ministry of Health and Sports Myanmar.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study, including adult patients with at least one HIV viral load test result and having received of at least 6 months’ standard first-line ART. The incidence rate of virological failure (HIV viral load ≥ 1000 copies/mL) was calculated. Multivariable Cox’s regression was performed to identify risk factors for virological failure.ResultsWe included 25,260 patients with a median age of 33.1 years (interquartile range, IQR 28.0–39.1) and a median observation time of 5.4 years (IQR 3.7–7.9). Virological failure was documented in 3,579 (14.2%) participants, resulting in an overall incidence rate for failure of 2.5 per 100 person-years of follow-up. Among those who had a follow-up viral load result, 1,258 (57.1%) had confirmed virological failure, of which 836 (66.5%) were switched to second-line treatment. An increased hazard for failure was associated with age ≤ 19 years (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR 1.51; 95% confidence intervals, CI 1.20–1.89; p < 0.001), baseline tuberculosis (aHR 1.39; 95% CI 1.14–1.49; p < 0.001), a history of low-level viremia (aHR 1.60; 95% CI 1.42–1.81; p < 0.001), or a history of loss-to-follow-up (aHR 1.24; 95% CI 1.41–1.52; p = 0.041) and being on the same regimen (aHR 1.37; 95% CI 1.07–1.76; p < 0.001). Cumulative appointment delay was not significantly associated with failure after controlling for covariates.ConclusionsVL monitoring is an important tool to improve programme outcomes, however limited coverage of VL testing and acting on test results hampers its full potential. In our cohort children and adolescents, PLHIV with history of loss-to-follow-up or those with low-viremia are at the highest risk of virological failure and might require more frequent virological monitoring than is currently recommended.

High virological failure rates in HIV-1 perinatally infected children in South Africa: A retrospective cohort study.

Large cohorts of HIV-1 perinatally infected children with long-term follow-up in developing countries are limited. To explore rates and predictors of virological failure in a paediatric cohort. A 10-year retrospective study was conducted from January 2004 to December 2013 to determine the incidence of and factors associated with virological failure among 1 659 HIV perinatally infected children in a public sector setting in South Africa (SA). Children aged &lt;17 years who initiated first-line antiretroviral therapy between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2013 and had at least 5 years of HIV viral load measurements were eligible. The 1 659 children contributed 7 075 person-years of follow-up (PYFU). In the initial cohort of 2024 children, 51.0% were male and 62.0% were aged &lt;5 years. The incidence of virological failure was 18.7 per 100 PYFU. Virological failure was associated with male gender, death of the mother, concurrent tuberculosis treatment and World Health Organization stage IV disease. Of the 320 HIV isolates successfully amplified, 249 (77.8%) had drug resistance mutations. We observed high rates of virological failure and emergence of HIV drug resistance mutations. Despite gains made by SA in the treatment of HIV, such results challenge the country's ability to meet global targets of 90% viral suppression by 2020.

Plasma CD4 Count and Duration ARV as a Predictor of Virological Failure Amongst AIDS Patients

Background: The 90-90-90 strategy to overcome the HIV/AIDS (Human Immunodeficiency Virus/AcquiredImmunodeficiency Syndrome) epidemic in the world still has challenges because 20% of people live withHIV/AIDS (PLWHA) received anti retroviral (ARVs) are at risk of virological failure. This study describesand analyzes the factors that influence the occurrence of virological failure in AIDS patients who have takenARVs.Method: A hospital based cross-sectional study and retrospective medical record review in Dr. SoetomoTeaching Hospital Surabaya from January 2017 until December 2018. Virological failure is plasma viralload greater than 1000 copies/ml.Result: According to data analysis for each variable, we used a CD4 (Cluster of Differentiation) cut-offof 134 cells/?l and ? 20.5 months for virological failure. There was a statistically significant relationshipbetween CD4 cell count 95% CI (1.33-11,281) p 0.010 and duration of ARV (1,396-11.78) 95% CI p 0.01.Summation of total score from both variables has a p value &lt;0.001 which means the total score of the twovariables is significant as a predictor of virological failure. The total area of the ROC curve is 73.6% with asensitivity of 81.5% and specificity of 44.4%.Conclusion: The duration of ARV consumption and CD4 cell count have an effect and can be an initialevaluation of the occurrence of virological failure.

Assessing eligibility for differentiated service delivery, HIV services utilization and virologic outcomes of adult HIV-infected patients in Sierra Leone: a pre-implementation analysis

ABSTRACT Background There are limited data to help guide implementation of differentiated HIV service delivery (DSD) in resource-limited settings in sub-Saharan Africa. Objectives This pre-implementation study sought to assess the proportion of patients eligible for DSD and HIV services utilization, as well as risk factor analysis of virologic failure in Sierra Leone. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of adult HIV-infected patients aged 18 years and older receiving care at the largest HIV treatment center in Sierra Leone 2019–2020. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors of virologic failure. Results Of 586 unique patients reviewed, 210 (35.8%) qualified as ‘stable’ for antiretroviral therapy (ART) delivery. There was high utilization of certain HIV service programs (e.g. HIV status disclosure to partners (83%) and treatment ‘buddy’ program participation (62.8%)), while other service programs (e.g. partner testing and community HIV support group participation) had low utilization (<50%). Of 429 patients with available viral load, 277 (64.6%) were virologically suppressed. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors of virologic failure, CD4 < 350 cells/mm3 (p = 0.009), atazanavir-based ART (p = 0.032), once monthly versus once two- or three-monthly ART dispensing (p = 0.028), history of ART switching (p = 0.02), poor adherence (p = 0.001) and not having received adherence support (p < 0.001) were independent predictors of virologic failure. Conclusion Approximately one in three HIV-infected patients on ART were eligible for DSD. We identified gaps in HIV care (i.e. low partner testing, treatment ‘buddy’, program participation and a substantially high rate of virologic failure) that need to be addressed in preparation for full implementation of DSD in Sierra Leone.

Predictors of virologic failure among people living with HIV in Oman: a national study from the Middle East.

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis to determine HIV virologic failure and its associated factors among Omani people living with HIV who are on ART for > 6 months. Patients (n = 1427) were identified from a central national HIV surveillance dataset. Two-thirds (67%) of patients were male, and the median age was 39 years (IQR, 32-48 years). Out of 1427 patients, 14.4% had virologic failure (HIV viral load [VL] ≥ 200 copies/ml). The multivariate analysis showed that patients aged 25-49 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.01-3.08) were significantly more likely to fail treatment, compared to those aged ≥ 50 years. Besides, having "Other" HIV risk factor (compared to heterosexuals, aOR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.02-3.24) and receiving HIV care outside the capital Muscat (compared to those cared for in Muscat, aOR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.11-2.7) were independently associated with virologic failure. HIV viral suppression (85.6%) in Oman is encouraging; however, further strategies, mainly targeting patients who are young (<50 years), those not disclosing their HIV risk factor and those attending HIV treatment centres outside Muscat, are required to enhance HIV treatment outcome in Oman.

Determinants of Virological Failure Among Adult Clients on First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy in Amhara Regional State, Northeast Ethiopia. A Case -Control Study.

BackgroundVirological failure is defined as having viral load measurement greater or equal to 1000 copies/mm3 after at least six-month exposure to antiretroviral therapy. According to the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS-2018) report, globally nearly one in five patients on first-line antiretroviral therapy had experienced virological failure. In line with this, Ethiopia federal ministry of health also reported that one in four patients had experienced virological failure in the year 2016. To date, very little is known about the predictors of virological failure in the local context. Therefore, this study intended to address the determinants of virological failure among patients on a first-line antiretroviral regimen.MethodsA case–control study was conducted among clients on first-line antiretroviral therapy in Amhara regional state, January 2019 with a sample of 257 clients; of these, 86 clients were cases. Data were collected via patient interview and chart extraction for clinical profiles using standardized tools. Binary logistic regression was computed to identify the determinants of virological failure using Stata version 14 and the result was displayed using adjusted odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval.ResultsOut of the proposed samples, 255 clients were considered for final analysis. The odds of virological failure are higher among poor medication adherence (AOR: 10.2:95% CI [4.1–25.8]), age<35 years (AOR: 3.07 95% CI 1.4–6.8), low baseline CD4 (AOR 3.9: 95% CI 1.6–9.6), and Khat chewers (AOR: 9.5:95% CI 2.8–32.4) as compared with their counterparts.ConclusionBeing a young age, poor immunity at the initiation of antiretroviral, Khat chewer, and poor medication adherence significantly associated with virological failure.

Predictors of Virological Failure and Time to Viral Suppression of First-Line Integrase Inhibitor-Based Antiretroviral Treatment.

BackgroundIntegrase strand transfer inhibitors (InSTIs) are recommended for first-line treatment of persons with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We identified risk factors, including baseline minor InSTI resistance mutations, for treatment failure of InSTI-based regimens.MethodsWe studied time-to-treatment failure and time to viral suppression among 1419 drug-naive patients in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study. We performed Cox regression models adjusted for demographic factors, baseline HIV RNA/CD4 cell counts, AIDS-defining events, and the type of InSTI. In 646 patients with a baseline genotypic resistance test of the integrase, we studied the impact of minor integrase resistance mutations.ResultsWe observed 121 virological failures during 18 447 person-years of follow-up. A baseline viral load ≥100 000 copies/mL (multivariable hazard ratio [mHR], 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3–3.6) and an AIDS-defining event (mHR, 1.8; 95% CI. 1.1–3.0) were associated with treatment failure. CD4 counts between 200 and 500 cells/µL (mHR, 0.5; 95% CI, .3–.8) and >500 cells/µL (mHR, 0.4; 95% CI, .2–.7) were protective. Time to suppression was shorter in lower viral load strata (mHR, 0.7; 95% CI, .6–.8) and in dolutegravir-based therapy (mHR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.0–1.4). Minor resistance mutations were found at baseline in 104 of 646 (16%) patients with no effect on treatment outcome.ConclusionsFactors associated with treatment failure on InSTI-based first-line regimen remained similar to those of older treatments, in particular high viral load and low CD4 counts.

Patterns of acquired HIV-1 drug resistance mutations and predictors of virological failure in Moshi, Northern Tanzania.

Emergence of HIV drug resistance poses a serious risk of inactivity to all currently approved antiretroviral drugs. Profiles of HIV drug resistance mutations (HIVDRM) and virological failure (VF) are not extensively studied in Tanzania. This study aimed to determine HIVDRM and predictors of VF in HIV-infected individuals failing first-line HIV drugs in Moshi, Northern Tanzania. A case-control study was conducted at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre, Mawenzi, Pasua and Majengo health facilities with HIV-care and treatment clinics from October, 2017 to August, 2018. Cases and controls were HIV-infected individuals with VF and viral suppression (VS) respectively. HIV-1 reverse transcriptase and protease genes were amplified and sequenced. Stanford University’s HIV drug resistance database and REGA subtyping tool 3.0 determined HIVDRM and HIV-1 subtypes respectively. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) investigated predictors of VF. P-value < 5% was considered statistically significant. A total of 124 participants were recruited, of whom 63 (50.8%) had VF, 61 (49.2%) had VS and 82 (66.1%) were females. Median [IQR] age and duration on ART were 45 [35–52] years and 72 [48–104] months respectively. Twenty-five out of 26 selected samples from cases were successfully sequenced. Twenty-four samples (96%) had at least one major mutation conferring resistance to HIV drugs, with non-nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-resistance associated mutations as the majority (92%). Frequent NNRTI-resistance associated mutations were K103N (n = 11), V106M (n = 5) and G190A (n = 5). Prevalent nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors-resistance associated mutations were M184V (n = 17), K70R (n = 7) and D67N (n = 6). Dual-class resistance was observed in 16 (64%) samples. Thirteen samples (52%) had at least one thymidine analogue-resistance associated mutation (TAM). Three samples (12%) had T69D mutation with at least 1 TAM. Two samples (8%) had at least one mutation associated with protease inhibitor resistance. Age [aOR = 0.94, 95% CI (0.90–0.97), p < 0.001] and occupation [aOR = 0.35, 95% CI (0.12–1.04), p = 0.059] associated with VF. In conclusion, HIV drug resistance is common among people failing antiretroviral therapy. Resistance testing will help to guide switching of HIV drugs.

High viral load predicts virologic failure in chronic genotype 2 hepatitis C virus-infected patients receiving glecaprevir/pibrentasvir therapy

The real-world data of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB) therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2 infection remained limited. We aimed to evaluate the possible predictors of virological failure and side effects of GLE/PIB therapy for chronic genotype 2 HCV-infected patients in a real-world setting. A total of 326 compensated HCV genotype 2 patients treated with GLE/PIB 12 weeks for cirrhotic patients (n=56) and 8 weeks for non-cirrhotic patients (n=270) were enrolled. The sustained virological response 12 weeks off therapy (SVR12) was 98.1%, 100%, and 97.7% in overall, GLE/PIB 12-week, and 8-week group, respectively. There were 6 (1.8%) patients with early withdrawal, and 14.1% patients had pruritus, the major adverse effect. In multivariate analyses, end-stage renal disease (odds ratio (OR)=4.056, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.477-11.14, p=0.007) and hypertension (OR=2.325, 95% CI=1.171-4.616, p=0.016) were two significant factors associated with pruritus. There were 6 patients with virologic failure. In patients receiving 8-week GLE/PIB therapy, the SVR12 rate was significant lower in high baseline viral load (≥107 IU/ml) group compared to low viral load group (90.6% v.s 98.7%, p=0.025). Multivariate analyses showed that HCV RNA≥107 IU/ml was one of the independent factors (OR=0.134, 95% CI=0.024-0.748; p=0.022) associated with SVR12. GIE/PIB is an effective, tolerable and safe agent to treat genotype 2 HCV infected patients. However, high viral load (≥107 IU/ml) may predict virologic failure in non-cirrhotic patients receiving 8 weeks GIE/PIB treatment. This result should be further validated in a large cohort in the future.