Predictor Of Relapse-free Survival Research Articles

Preoperative Visceral-to-Subcutaneous Fat Ratio by Sex as a Predictor of Postoperative Survival in Patients With Gastric Cancer.

The sex-specific effect of the visceral-to-subcutaneous fat ratio (VSR) before gastrectomy on postoperative survival in patients with gastric cancer (GC) remains unclear. This study measured the preoperative VSR in patients with GC and analyzed its relationship with 5-year overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) by sex. This prospective study included 540 patients with GC undergoing gastrectomy. Preoperative visceral and subcutaneous fat volumes were measured using computed tomography, and the VSR was calculated. A cutoff value for the VSR was established using 5-year survival data, and its association with survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank tests, and multivariate regression analysis. Among the 459 patients analyzed (300 males and 159 females), OS and RFS were significantly lower in the low-VSR group than in the high-VSR group in males (OS: 76.2% vs. 88.1%, p=0.01; RFS: 74.6% vs. 86.0%, p=0.02). In females, no difference in OS was observed between the groups, whereas the high-VSR group had significantly lower RFS than that of the low-VSR group (RFS: 74.7% vs. 88.9%, p=0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that a low VSR was an independent poor predictor of OS in males and a high VSR was an independent poor predictor of RFS in females. In patients with GC, the sex-dependent preoperative VSR was a potentially useful predictor of postoperative survival.

Prognostic value of fibrinogen change value in adrenocortical carcinoma patients

PurposeThe aim was to explore the preoperative and postoperative fibrinogen changes value (FCV) as a prognosis biomarker for in patients with adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC).MethodsWe identified 42 patients with ACC and 190 patients with adrenal adenoma (AA) who underwent surgery at our institution between 2015 and 2023. Preoperative fibrinogen, postoperative fibrinogen and follow-up information of the patients were recorded and analysed. The relationship between FCV and overall survival (OS)/ relapse-free survival (RFS) was evaluated.ResultsThe mean level of preoperative and postoperative fibrinogen for ACC were 4.00 ± 1.64 g/L and 2.75 ± 0.59 g/L, respectively (p < 0.001). The mean level of preoperative and postoperative fibrinogen for AA were 2.79 ± 0.59 g/L and 2.71 ± 0.58 g/L, respectively (p = 0.144). In ACC, the lower FCV (≤ 1.25 g/L) showed a significantly poorer RFS than the higher (> 1.25 g/L) (p = 0.007); however, the lower FCV (≤ 1.25 g/L) showed no poorer OS than the higher (> 1.25 g/L) (p = 0.243). On multivariate survival analyses, FCV remained a predictor of RFS (HR 3.138).ConclusionAccording to the data in this study, it can be said that FCV is correlated with prognosis of ACC. The FCV might be a new biomarker for predicting the RFS of ACC.

A 69 long noncoding RNA signature predicts relapse and acts as independent prognostic factor in pediatric AML

AbstractRisk stratification using genetics and minimal residual disease has allowed for an increase in the cure rates of pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (pedAML) to up to 70% in contemporary protocols. Nevertheless, ∼30% of patients still experience relapse, indicating a need to optimize stratification strategies. Recently, long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) expression has been shown to hold prognostic power in multiple cancer types. Here, we aimed at refining relapse prediction in pedAML using lncRNA expression. We built a relapse–related lncRNA prognostic signature, named AMLlnc69, using 871 transcriptomes of patients with pedAML obtained from the Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments repository. We identified a 69 lncRNA signature AMLlnc69 that is highly predictive of relapse risk (c-index = 0.73), with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values for predicting the 1-, 2-, and 3-year relapse-free survival (RFS) of 0.78, 0.77, and 0.77, respectively. The internal validation using a bootstrap method (resampling times = 1000) resulted in a c-index of 0.72 and AUC values for predicting the 1-, 2-, and 3-year RFS of 0.77, 0.76, and 0.76, respectively. Through a Cox regression analysis, AMLlnc69, nucleophosmin mutation, and white blood cell at diagnosis were identified as independent predictors of RFS. Finally, a nomogram was build using these 2 parameters, showing a c-index of 0.80 and 0.71 after bootstrapping (n = 1000). In conclusion, the identified AMLlnc69 will, after prospective validation, add important information to guide the management of patients with pedAML. The nomogram is a promising tool for easy stratification of patients into a novel scheme of relapse-risk groups.

Reconsidering resectable oncological conditions in pancreatic tail cancer: A multicenter retrospective study on prognostic factors in pancreatic tail cancer after resection (HOPS Pt-01)

BackgroundPancreatic tail cancer (Pt-PC) is generally considered resectable when metastasis is absent, but doubts persist in clinical practice due to the variability in local tumor extent. We conducted a multicenter retrospective study to comprehensively identify prognostic factors associated with Pt-PC after resection. MethodsWe enrolled 100 patients that underwent distal pancreatectomy. The optimal combination of factors influencing relapse-free survival (RFS) was determined using the maximum likelihood method (MLM) and corrected Akaike and Bayesian information criteria (AICc and BIC). Prognostic elements were then validated to predict oncological outcomes. ResultsTherapeutic interventions included neoadjuvant treatment in 16 patients and concomitant visceral resection (CVR) in 37 patients; 89 patients achieved R0. Median RFS and OS after surgery were 23.1 and 37.1 months, respectively. AICc/BIC were minimized in the model with ASA-PS (≥2), CA19-9 (≥112 U/mL at baseline, non-normalized postoperatively), need for CVR, 6 pathological items (tumor diameter ≥19.5 mm, histology G1, invasion of the anterior pancreatic border, splenic vein invasion, splenic artery invasion, lymph node metastasis), and completed adjuvant treatment (cAT) for RFS. Regarding the predictive value of these 11 factors, area under the curve was 0.842 for 5-year RFS. Multivariate analysis of these 11 factors showed that predictors of RFS include CVR (hazard ratio, 2.13; 95 % confidence interval, 1.08–4.19; p = 0.028) and cAT (0.38, 0.19–0.76; p = 0.006). ConclusionsThe MLM identified certain Pt-PC cases warranting consideration beyond resectable during clinical management. Particular attention should be paid to conditions requiring CVR, even though immortal time bias remains unresolved with adjuvant treatment.

Use of Pre-Transplant Minicog Cognitive Impairment Screening and Validation of Frailty and Functionality Assessment Prior to Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Background: We demonstrated that impaired functionality and frailty have a negative impact on survival after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) (Salas et al., 2019). This impact is independent of other predictive models including HCT comorbidity index (HCT-CI) and disease risk index (DRI). Cognitive changes are frequently reported among survivors of autologous and allogeneic HCT. However, impact of the presence of cognitive impairment prior to allogeneic HCT has not been studied. We hypothesized that the presence of cognitive impairment before transplantation could have a negative effect on the outcomes of allogeneic HCT. Patients and methods: We evaluated transplant outcomes of 277 patients who underwent our updated frailty assessment including the MiniCog scale, incorporated as standard of care in April 2020. The MiniCog assessment included recalling of three unrelated words, for a total of three points and drawing of a clock with the face, number and hands indicating a specific time, for a total of 2 points. We used the cutoff score of &amp;lt;3 as a marker of cognitive impairment and evaluated the effect of cognitive impairment on: overall survival (OS), relapse free survival (RFS), non-relapse mortality (NRM). We further sought to validate our previously described frailty scale in prediction of transplant outcomes, including OS, RFS, and NRM, in the new cohort and compare its performance in outcome prediction to the MiniCog scale. Our frailty evaluation included the following variables: Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Lawton's instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), timed to get up and go test (TUGT), grip strength (GS) using a hydraulic hand dynamometer, self-rated health questionnaire (SRH), a question on number of falls in the last year (F), C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum albumin (Alb) levels at the time of the consult. The frailty scale was calculated according to the following formula: 1.5×CFS + 1×IADL +1×GS + 1.5×TUGT +1×SRH+1×F+ 1.5×Alb+2×CRP. The frailty scale score ranged from 0-10.5. With these results we stablished 3 frailty cohorts for the patients being planned for alloHCT, fit (≤1), pre-frail (&amp;lt;1 to ≤5.5), and frail (&amp;gt;5.5), based on this risk model. Results: Median age at transplantation was 59 years and 85 (31%) patients were ≥ 65 years. Of all the patients, 36 (14%) had a Karnofsky Performance Scale Index (KPS) of &amp;lt;90%, 206 patients had a low-intermediate risk disease risk index (DRI). Median time of follow up was 9 months. Majority of the patients (46%) underwent transplantation for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Of all patients, 246 (88.8%) had a normal MiniCog score (&amp;gt;3). There was no difference in 2-y OS between patients with normal and low MiniCog score: 67% (95% confidence interval (CI): 59%-74%) vs 60% (95% CI: 36-78%), p=0.21. NRM at 24 months was 26% (95% CI 10-46%) for patients with an abnormal MiniCog vs 23% (95% CI 17-30%), p=0.80. There was no difference in 2-year RFS between patients with normal and low MiniCog score: 65% (95% CI 57-72%) vs 43.5% (95% CI 23-63%), p=0.09. Using the frailty scale, 144 (56%) patients were considered fit, 30 (12%) pre-frail and 81 (32%) frail. Using our original frailty scale, the 2-y OS among the fit, pre-frail and frail patients was: 78% (95% CI 65%-87%), 64% (95% CI 53%-74%) and 27% (95% CI 5.6%-55.6%) p=0.005. 2-year NRM was 19.2% (95% CI 9-31%), 23% (16-32%), and 41.6% (95% CI 11-70%) for the fit, pre-frail and frail patients respectively, p=0.12. Relapse free survival at 24 months was 72.5% (95% CI 58-83%), 60.5% (95% CI 50-70%), and 29% (95% CI 6-57%), p=0.003. Conclusions: In our cohort the sole presence of cognitive decline, based on the MiniCog assessment failed to be a predictor of outcomes after allogeneic HCT. However, ability of our preciously established frailty scale to predict transplant outcomes in this new cohort of patients further validates the results of our previous findings. The presence of frailty is an independent predictor of adverse outcomes after allogeneic HCT.

A 46 Long Non-Coding RNAs Expression Signature Accurately Predicts Relapse and Acts As an Independent Prognostic Factor in Pediatric Acute Myeloid Leukemia

Risk stratification using cytogenetics, mutations and minimal residual disease (MRD) has allowed to increase the cure rates of pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML), reaching now up to 70% in contemporary protocols. Nevertheless, approximately 30% of patients still experience relapse, indicating that there is a need to optimize stratification strategies. Recently, long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) expression has been shown to hold prognostic power in multiple cancer types. Here, we built a 46 relapse-related lncRNAs prognostic signature, named AML lnc46, using 790 pediatric acute myeloid leukemia transcriptomes obtained from the Therapeutically Applicable Research To Generate Effective Treatments (TARGET) repository. Bootstrap validation (bootstrap resampling times = 1000) was used for internal validation and showed that the signature performed good in predicting the 1-, 2-, and 3-year relapse-free survival (RFS), with an area under the curve of 0.825, 0.824, and 0.822, respectively. Moreover, external validation using the TARGET repository validated the efficiency of the signature. Most importantly, we demonstrate that AML lnc46 not only is an independent predictor of RFS, but also identifies patients who were assigned a different risk-group by currently-used classification methods. In conclusion, the identified AML lnc46 might, after further prospective validation, provide additional information to guide management of pediatric AML patients. Figure 1. (A) Kaplan-Meier survival curve of relapse-free survival of high-and-low risk AML lnc46 pediatric AML patients, (B) Univariate and multivariate independent Cox regression analyses of known clinical and molecular characteristics and the AML lnc46 signature.

Effect of low visceral fat area on long-term survival of stage I–III colorectal cancer

ObjectiveThe prognostic significance of a low visceral fat area (VFA) in colorectal cancer (CRC) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic effects of a low VFA on the long-term outcomes of patients with CRC after laparoscopic surgery. MethodsThis retrospective study included 306 patients with stages I–III CRC who underwent R0 resection. VFA was preoperatively measured via computed tomography using image processing software. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan–Meier curves. ResultsLow VFA was identified in 153 patients. The low VFA group had significantly lower RFS and OS rates than did the high VFA group (5-y RFS rates: 72 versus 89%, P = 0.0002; 5-y OS rates: 72 versus 92%, P = 0.0001). The independent significant predictors of RFS were T3 or T4 disease (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12–6.76; P = 0.027), stage III CRC (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.82–6.69; P < 0.001), low psoas muscle index (PMI; HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.19–3.79; P = 0.011), and low VFA (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.16–3.86; P = 0.014). The independent significant predictors of OS were age ≥65 y (HR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.13–5.92, P = 0.024), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels ≥37 ng/mL (HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.18–4.58; P = 0.015), stage III CRC (HR, 2.66; 95% CI, 1.37–5.17; P = 0.004), low PMI (HR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.06–3.77; P = 0.031), and low VFA (HR, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.24–4.70; P = 0.009). ConclusionA low preoperative VFA was significantly associated with worse RFS and OS rates in patients who underwent CRC resection.

Association of MRI Volume Parameters in Predicting Patient Outcome at Time of Initial Diagnosis of Glioblastoma.

Patients with glioblastoma (GBM) may demonstrate varying patterns of infiltration and relapse. Improving the ability to predict these patterns may influence the management strategies at the time of initial diagnosis. This study aims to examine the impact of the ratio (T2/T1) of the non-enhancing volume in T2-weighted images (T2) to the enhancing volume in MRI T1-weighted gadolinium-enhanced images (T1gad) on patient outcome. A retrospective audit was performed from established prospective databases in patients managed consecutively with radiation therapy (RT) for GBM between 2016 and 2019. Patient, tumour and treatment-related factors were assessed in relation to outcome. Volumetric data from the initial diagnostic MRI were obtained via the manual segmentation of the T1gd and T2 abnormalities. A T2/T1 ratio was calculated from these volumes. The initial relapse site was assessed on MRI in relation to the site of the original T1gad volume and surgical cavity. The major endpoints were median relapse-free survival (RFS) from the date of diagnosis and site of initial relapse (defined as either local at the initial surgical site or any distance more than 20 mm from initial T1gad abnormality). The analysis was performed for association between known prognostic factors as well as the radiological factors using log-rank tests for subgroup comparisons, with correction for multiple comparisons. One hundred and seventy-seven patients with GBM were managed consecutively with RT between 2016 and 2019 and were eligible for the analysis. The median age was 62 years. Seventy-four percent were managed under a 60Gy (Stupp) protocol, whilst 26% were on a 40Gy (Elderly) protocol. Major neuroanatomical subsites were Lateral Temporal (18%), Anterior Temporal (13%) and Medial Frontal (10%). Median volumes on T1gd and T2 were 20 cm3 (q1-3:8-43) and 37 cm3 (q1-3: 17-70), respectively. The median T2/T1 ratio was 2.1. For the whole cohort, the median OS was 16.0 months (95%CI:14.1-18.0). One hundred and forty-eight patients have relapsed with a median RFS of 11.4 months (95%CI:10.4-12.5). A component of distant relapse was evident in 43.9% of relapses, with 23.6% isolated relapse. Better ECOG performance Status (p = 0.007), greater extent of resection (p = 0.020), MGMT methylation (p < 0.001) and RT60Gy Dose (p = 0.050) were associated with improved RFS. Although the continuous variable of initial T1gd volume (p = 0.39) and T2 volume (p = 0.23) were not associated with RFS, the lowest T2/T1 quartile (reflecting a relatively lower T2 volume compared to T1gd volume) was significantly associated with improved RFS (p = 0.016) compared with the highest quartile. The lowest T2/T1 ratio quartile was also associated with a lower risk of distant relapse (p = 0.031). In patients diagnosed with GBM, the volumetric parameters of the diagnostic MRI with a ratio of T2 and T1gad abnormality may assist in the prediction of relapse-free survival and patterns of relapse. A further understanding of these relationships has the potential to impact the design of future radiation therapy target volume delineation protocols.

Deep Sequencing Is a Widely Applicable Tool for Relapse Prediction in Acute Myeloid Leukemia with Mutated NPM1

Analysis of measurable residual disease (MRD) is a powerful tool for assessment of treatment response in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). In patients with mutation in NPM1, reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) is recommended by European Leukemia Net for refinement of risk stratification and monitoring after treatment. However, since RT-qPCR is mutation-specific and requires stringent quality control, many clinical laboratories restrict NPM1 monitoring to the type A mutation (c.860_863dupTCTG) although &amp;gt;50 mutations have been reported in exon 12. Deep sequencing is an alternative method, performed on DNA, that covers all NPM1 exon 12variants in the same assay. Guidelines for its clinical use are however lacking. We here performed a retrospective analysis in a population-based cohort of AML patients to evaluate if deep sequencing MRD analysis of NPM1 during chemotherapy provides prognostic information. Adult patients with AML with mutated NPM1 treated with curative intent in our region during 2006-2016 who achieved complete remission (CR) or CR with incomplete count recovery (CRi) were eligible for the study. This time period was chosen to avoid inclusion of patients treated based on molecular MRD status. Through review of the national AML registry, clinical charts, and screening of diagnostic samples, 99 patients with mutated NPM1 were identified. Of these, 97 patients (60 women and 37 men, median age 64 years, range 19-82) had bone marrow slides for isolation of DNA from at least one time point during treatment. DNA from 257 bone marrow aspirate slides were assessed for MRD using deep sequencing of NPM1. Based on previous comparison with RT-qPCR (Pettersson et al, Int J Lab Hematol 2021;43:664-674), variant allele frequency (VAF) of ≥0.05% was chosen as cut-off to define deep sequencing MRD positivity (MRD pos). For subgroup analyses, patients were divided into groups of treatment intensity; high-dose (cytarabine- and daunorubicin-based, n=67) or low-dose (cytarabine- and daunorubicin-, or azacytidine-based, n=30) treatment regimens. Thirty-one patients underwent allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). We first evaluated if deep sequencing MRD status during consolidation (n=70, analyzed after 2 or 3 cycles) had an impact on prognosis. Both 3-year relapse-free survival (RFS) (26.7±11.4% vs 71.6±6.2%, p=&amp;lt;0.001, Figure) and overall survival (OS) (33.3±12.2% vs 72.7±6%, p=0.004) were lower for patients that were MRD pos at any time point during consolidation than for MRD neg patients. Among MRD pos patients, 12/15 (80%) relapsed and 13/15 (87%) died, compared to 19/55 (35%) and 23/55 (42%) MRD neg patients. In univariate analyses, also age and treatment intensity, but not alloSCT or DNMT3A mutation status, predicted RFS and OS. FLT3-ITD predicted OS but not RFS, and there was no effect of FLT3-ITD allelic ratio. In Cox regression multivariate analysis including MRD, age, FLT3-ITD and treatment intensity, MRD pos was the only significant predictor of RFS (Hazard ratio (HR): 2.54, p=0.019). In the multivariate analysis, FLT3-ITD (HR: 2.43, p=0.014) and treatment intensity (HR: 0.43, p=0.035) were significant for OS (MRD pos HR: 1.75, p=0.13). When dividing the cohort based on treatment intensity, the effect of MRD status was most obvious in patients treated with low-dose regimens. When deep sequencing MRD analysis was performed post first cycle (n=96), it had no statistically significant effect on either RFS or OS. At the end of treatment (n=51), deep sequencing MRD status had a strong prognostic value with 3-year RFS and OS for MRD pos patients 30±14.5% and 40±15.5%, compared to 73.2±6.9% and 78±6.5% for MRD neg patients ( p=0.003 and p=0.006, respectively). In summary, this population-based study shows that MRD status by deep sequencing of NPM1 is predictive of both RFS and OS when assessed during or after consolidation. The study confirms the threshold of deep sequencing MRD pos of VAF 0.05% previously obtained by comparison with RT-qPCR. Since deep sequencing can be used for all NPM1 mutations, it is widely applicable and extends the use of molecular MRD analysis and risk refinement to patients with rare mutations in NPM1.

Risk Factors Predicting Relapse 10 Years Following Extreme Dose-Escalated SBRT for Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer: Is De-Intensification Feasible in Unfavorable Subgroups?

Adding short-term androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) to radiotherapy is recommended in unfavorable intermediate-risk (UIR) prostate cancer (PCa). Data supporting the addition of ADT to stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in intermediate-risk (IR) patients are limited. Given ADT has well-documented toxicities, we sought to identify the UIR prognostic factors that predict for relapse following SBRT without ADT. We combined results from two mature multicenter trials to determine if extreme dose-escalated SBRT yielded UIR subgroups in which the omission of ADT may be considered. Between 2008 and 2011, two prospective national trials enlisted 39 centers to enroll 285 patients with IR PCa: 182 had Memorial Sloan Kettering (MSK) favorable intermediate-risk (FIR) and 103 had MSK UIF PCa. All were treated with a non-coplanar robotic SBRT platform using real-time tracking of implanted fiducials. Two dose regimens were used: 40Gy in 5 fractions of 8Gy, and 38Gy in 4 fractions of 9.5Gy. ADT was not allowed. Univariate and multivariate analyses using a Cox proportional hazards model was performed for relapse free survival (RFS): relapse included pathologic or radiographic failure, initiation of salvage or systemic therapy, or biochemical relapse by the nadir + 2 definition. Insufficient events prevented similar analyses for local control, metastasis-free and PCa-specific survival. Examined risk factors included dose regimen, clinical T-stage, Gleason score, pre-treatment PSA, % positive biopsy cores, and number of unfavorable risk factors (URFs). All reported rates are actuarial, using Kaplan-Meier method. Median follow-up was 8.1 years. 71 patients were followed 10 years. There were no statistically significant differences in rates of toxicity, local failure, RFS, overall nor metastasis-free survival between the two dose regimens. For the entire group, 10-year overall survival was 82.9%, RFS was 83.2%, and the local failure rate was 3.6%. On univariate analysis, primary Gleason pattern 4 (PGP4) and >2 URFs predicted for RFS. On multivariate analysis, only PGP4 (hazard ratio: 3.71, p = 0.0053) was statistically significant. Examining the UIR subgroup, the only predictor for RFS was PGP4 (HR: 3.64, p = 0.0253). 10-year RFS was 88.4% for FIR and 89.1% for UIR without PGP4; this fell to 58.5% in patients with a PGP4. Following dose-escalated SBRT monotherapy, 10-year RFS rates were favorable in UIR patients without PGP4. Extreme dose escalation appeared to effectively address UIR factors correlating with tumor bulk (i.e., CS T2b, >50% cores+, PSA 10-20), but was less effective with biologically aggressive pathology (PGP4). A randomized trial, ideally including genomic classification, would be necessary to determine if dose-escalated SBRT allows de-intensification (omission of ADT) in such biologically less aggressive UIR subgroups. The high relapse rate observed in UIR patients with PGP4 affirms the need for adjuvant ADT in this subgroup.

Outcomes of Patients with Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinomas Treated with Adjuvant IMRT with Perineural Invasion

Patients with advanced oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OCSCC) have high rates of recurrence and dismal outcomes. Treatment consists of definitive surgery followed by risk-adapted adjuvant radiation therapy based on pathologic review. Perineural invasion (PNI) is thought to be an intermediate risk factor, leading to clinical uncertainty as to adjuvant therapy in the setting of PNI. We performed a single institution retrospective review of patients with OCSCC treated with adjuvant radiation with or without PNI and examined relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). We performed a single-institutional retrospective review of patients with OCSCC treated with adjuvant IMRT +/- chemotherapy after surgical resection from July 2002- August 2021 using our institution's Head and Neck SPORE database. Time to recurrence or death was calculated from end of RT. OCSCC within 5 years of RT was considered a recurrence, beyond this timeframe any OCSCC was considered a new primary. Univariate analysis of predictors for RFS and OS were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test. Factors significant on univariable analysis were entered into parsimonious cox multivariable analysis using forward selection methodology. A p-value <0.05 was considered significant in both analyses. In total, 494 patients with OCSCC were identified that received surgery and adjuvant IMRT. In this cohort, 48.8% of patients had pT4 tumors, 62.2% of patients had nodal involvement, and 40.3% of patients had extranodal extension. PNI was present in 63.6% of patients (n = 314). With regards to tumor subsite, 40.9% originated from the oral tongue, 21.5% originated from the gums, 18% originated from the floor of mouth, and 19.6% from the other sites. Median age was 59 years, and median adjuvant RT dose was 63 Gy (Interquartile range [IQR]) 60-66 Gy). The majority of patient received platinum-based chemotherapy (51.8%), and 44.1% of patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. The 3-year RFS and OS with a median follow-up of 32 months (IQR 12-69 months) is presented in Table 1. On univariable analysis for OS, T stage (p = 0.003), N stage (p<0.001), PNI (p = 0.005), extranodal extension (ENE) (p<0.001), margin status (p = 0.038), and chemotherapy (p<0.001) were significant. On multivariable analysis, T stage (p<0.001), N stage (p = 0.010), PNI (p = 0.017), and ENE (p = 0.007) remained significant. Similar results were seen in the RFS analysis. In this large single institution study, PNI was a significant and independent negative predictive factor for RFS and OS in patients with OCSCC that had received definitive surgery followed by adjuvant IMRT. To our knowledge this is the largest study of its kind, and these findings can help guide clinical decision making for these patients.

The possibility of mutations of RAS signaling genes and/or TP53 in combination as a negative prognostic impact on pathological stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

The recurrence rate of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is as high as 30%, even in the cancer with pathological stage I disease. Therefore, identifying factors predictive of high-risk pathological recurrence is important. However, few studies have examined the genetic status of these tumors and its relationship to prognosis. A cohort of 328 cases of primary lung cancer that underwent complete resection at Tokyo Medical and Dental University (TMDU) was screened for 440 cancer-associated genes using panel testing. Further analyses included 92 cases of pathological stage I NSCLC who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Ridge regression was performed to identify association studies mutational status and postoperative recurrence. These data were then validated using clinical and genetic data from 56 patients in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Mutations in TP53, RAS signaling genes KRAS and HRAS, and EGFR were recurrently detected. Ridge regression analysis relevant to recurrence, as well as survival analysis, performed using data from the TMDU cohort revealed significantly shorter relapse-free survival (RFS) for patients with RAS signaling or TP53 gene mutations than for those without (log-rank test, p = 0.00090). This statistical trend was also suggested in the TCGA cohort (log-rank test, p = 0.10). Mutations in RAS signaling genes and/or TP53 could be useful for the prediction of shorter RFS of patients with stage I NSCLC.

High expression of embryonic stem cell marker SSEA3 confers poor prognosis and promotes epithelial mesenchymal transition in hepatocellular carcinoma

BackgroundMalignant cells may arise from dedifferentiation of mature cells and acquire features of the progenitor cells. Definitive endoderm from which liver is derived, expresses glycosphingolipids (GSLs) such as stage-specific embryonic antigen 3 (SSEA3), Globo H, and stage-specific embryonic antigen 4 (SSEA4). Herein, we evaluated the potential prognosis value of the three GSLs and biological functions of SSEA3 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MethodsThe expression of SSEA3, Globo H, and SSEA4 in tumor tissues obtained from 328 patients with resectable HCC was examined by immunohistochemistry staining. Epithelial mesenchymal transition (EMT) and their related genes were analyzed by transwell assay and qRT-PCR, respectively. ResultsKaplan Meier survival analysis showed significantly shorter relapse-free survival (RFS) for those with higher expression of SSEA3 (p < 0.001), Globo H (p < 0.001), and SSEA4 (p = 0.005) and worse overall survival (OS) for those with high expression of either SSEA3 (p < 0.001) or SSEA4 (p = 0.01). Furthermore, multivariable Cox regression analysis identified the SSEA3 as an independent predictor for RFS (HR: 2.68, 95% CI: 1.93–3.72, p < 0.001) and OS (HR: 2.99, 95% CI: 1.81–4.96, p < 0.001) in HCC. Additionally, SSEA3-ceramide enhanced the EMT of HCC cells, as reflected by its ability to increase migration, invasion and upregulate the expression of CDH2, vimentin, fibronectin, and MMP2, along with ZEB1. Moreover, ZEB1 silencing abrogated the EMT-enhancing effects of SSEA3-ceramide. ConclusionsHigher expression of SSEA3 was an independent predictor for RFS and OS in HCC and promoted EMT of HCC via upregulation of ZEB1.

Clinical Profile and Predictors of Survival in Carcinoma Penis Patients

Carcinoma penis is a rare neoplasm, and the literature is scarce on long-term survival and its predictors. The aim of the study was to determine the clinical profile and management patterns, identify predictors of survival, and the impact of education and rural/urban dwelling on survival. Patients with a histological diagnosis of carcinoma penis from January 2015 to December 2019 were included in the study. Demographics, clinical profile, education status, primary residence address, and outcomes were obtained from the case records. Distance from the treatment centre was obtained from the postal code. The primary objectives were to assess relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The secondary objectives were to identify the predictors of RFS and OS and to determine the clinical profile and treatment patterns in patients with carcinoma penis in India. Time-to-event was calculated by Kaplan-Meir analysis and survival was compared by the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to find independent predictors of relapse and mortality. Logistic regression analyses to examine the associations of rural residence, education status, and distance from the treatment centre with the relapse adjusting for measured confounding variables. Case records of 102 patients treated during the above period were retrieved. The median age was 55.5 (interquartile range [IQR] 42-65 years). Ulcero-proliferative growth (65%), pain (57%), and dysuria (36%) were the most common presenting features. Clinical examination or imaging revealed inguinal lymphadenopathy in 70.6% of patients, however, only 42% of these lesions were pathologically involved. A total of 58.8% of patients were from rural areas, 46.9% had no formal education, and 50.9% had a primary residence ≥100 km from the hospital. Patients with lower education and rural households had higher TNM stages and nodal involvement. Median RFS and OS were 57.6 months (15.8 months to not reached) and 83.9 months (32.5 months to not reached), respectively. On univariate analysis tumor stage, involvement of lymph nodes, T stage, performance status, and albumin was predictive for relapse and survival. However, on multivariate analysis, the stage remained the only predictor of RFS and nodal involvement, and metastatic disease was a predictor of OS. Education status, rural habitation, and distance from the treatment centre were not predictors for relapse or survival. Patients with carcinoma have locally advanced disease at presentation. Rural dwellings and lower education were associated with the advanced stage but did not have a significant bearing on the survival outcomes. The stage at diagnosis and nodal involvement is the most important predictor of RFS and OS.

Abstract 2178: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) correlates closely with tumor necrosis and relapse-free survival (RFS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with perioperative cemiplimab

Abstract Purpose: We evaluated ctDNA as a pharmacodynamic and predictive biomarker in patients (pts) with resectable HCC treated with cemiplimab (anti-programmed cell death-1). Background: A biomarker-focused study of neoadjuvant cemiplimab in resectable HCC demonstrated acceptable safety and pathologic responses that were associated with immune signatures of intratumoral T-cell response (Marron TU et al. Lancet Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 2022). ctDNA is emerging as a tool to monitor therapy responses and predict RFS in perioperative HCC studies. Methods: We enrolled 21 pts who received 2 cycles of neoadjuvant cemiplimab (350 mg intravenous every 3 weeks), followed by surgical resection and 8 cycles of adjuvant cemiplimab (NCT03916627). The primary endpoint was significant tumor necrosis (STN; &amp;gt;70% necrosis). Secondary endpoints included safety, RFS, and overall survival. A post hoc analysis examined pathological response (≥50% necrosis). Pts underwent pretreatment biopsies and longitudinal blood collection for ctDNA analyses using bespoke multiplex PCR-next generation sequencing (Signatera). We evaluated correlatives of ctDNA changes and the prognostic value undetectable ctDNA after surgery on RFS. Results: Median pt age was 68 years; 52% were Asian, 43% white, and 5% Black; 19% were also Hispanic; 62% had a history of viral hepatitis. ctDNA measurements at baseline and after 1 dose of cemiplimab were available from 19 pts who completed neoadjuvant cemiplimab and underwent successful surgical resection. Pre-surgical absolute ctDNA levels decreased by &amp;gt;50% in 10 pts, including all with greater than 50% tumor necrosis. As of August 1, 2022; median follow-up for the adjuvant period was 23 months (interquartile range: 20-26 months). 8 pts of the 19 pts have relapsed. Pts with a &amp;gt;50% decrease in ctDNA had median RFS of 28 months (95% CI 10, 28), vs 17 months (95% CI 4, not evaluable [NE]) in those with ≤50% decrease in ctDNA. 17 pts had a baseline ctDNA measurement, surgical resection, and data following surgery. ctDNA detection following surgery was associated with disease relapse (Fischer’s exact test, p=0.015), shorter RFS (median 10 months, 95% CI: 4, 28) compared to ctDNA-negative pts (not reached, 95% CI 13 months, NE; hazard ratio 0.14, p=0.006), and identified molecular relapse based on ctDNA with a median lead time of 5 months before imaging relapse. 20 pts (95%) were alive at last follow-up. Interpretation: Changes in ctDNA identify early response to immunotherapy more accurately than standard modalities such as imaging, correlating closely with pathological responses and RFS. ctDNA monitoring during neoadjuvant treatment and following surgery may identify pts with early antitumor responses, improve the prediction of disease relapse or RFS, and inform additional early treatment decisions. Citation Format: Thomas U. Marron, Laura Brennan, Pauline Hamon, Maria Isabel Fiel, Stephen C. Ward, Yuan O. Zhu, Edward Kim, Alice O. Kamphorst, Pradeep Thanigaimani, Thomas S. Uldrick, Natalie Lucas, Kathy Wu, Olivia Hapanowicz, Paula King, Siyu Li, Elizabeth Miller, Nina Bhardwaj, Gavin Thurston, Israel Lowy, Sacha Gnjatic, Myron E. Schwartz, Vladimir Jankovic, Miriam Merad. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) correlates closely with tumor necrosis and relapse-free survival (RFS) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with perioperative cemiplimab [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 2178.

Prognostic implication of heterogeneity and trajectory progression induced by enzalutamide in prostate cancer.

Enzalutamide, as a second-generation endocrine therapy drug for prostate cancer (PCa), is prominent representative among the synthetic androgen receptor antagonists. Currently, there is lack of enzalutamide-induced signature (ENZ-sig) for predicting progression and relapse-free survival (RFS) in PCa. Enzalutamide-induced candidate markers were derived from single-cell RNA sequencing analysis integrating three enzalutamide-stimulated models (0-, 48-, and 168-h enzalutamide stimulation). ENZ-sig was constructed on the basis of candidate genes that were associated with RFS in The Cancer Genome Atlas leveraging least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. The ENZ-sig was further validated in GSE70768, GSE94767, E-MTAB-6128, DFKZ, GSE21034, and GSE70769 datasets. Biological enrichment analysis was used to discover the underlying mechanism between high ENZ-sig and low ENZ-sig in single-cell RNA sequencing and bulk RNA sequencing. We identified a heterogenous subgroup that induced by enzalutamide stimulation and found 53 enzalutamide-induced candidate markers that are related to trajectory progression and enzalutamide-stimulated. The candidate genes were further narrowed down into 10 genes that are related to RFS in PCa. A 10-gene prognostic model (ENZ-sig)-IFRD1, COL5A2, TUBA1A, CFAP69, TMEM388, ACPP, MANEA, FOSB, SH3BGRL, and ST7-was constructed for the prediction of RFS in PCa. The effective and robust predictability of ENZ-sig was verified in six independent datasets. Biological enrichment analysis revealed that differentially expressed genes in high ENZ-sig were more activated in cell cycle-related pathway. High-ENZ-sig patients were more sensitive to cell cycle-targeted drugs (MK-1775, AZD7762, and MK-8776) than low-ENZ-sig patients in PCa. Our results provided evidence and insight on the potential utility of ENZ-sig in PCa prognosis and combination therapy strategy of enzalutamide and cell cycle-targeted compounds in treating PCa.

Prognostic value of desmoplastic stromal reaction, tumor budding and tumor-stroma ratio in stage II colorectal cancer

Existing high-risk factors are insufficient to accurately predict the postoperative recurrence risk of stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). The discovery of additional prognostic markers may be the key to improving the current status of stage II CRC treatment. The present study aimed to evaluate the relationship among desmoplastic reaction (DR), tumor budding (TBd), the tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) and their prognostic value for relapse-free survival (RFS). In this study, 207 patients with histologically confirmed stage II CRC from January 2012 to August 2018 were retrospectively reviewed from a single center; the cohort was divided into subgroups based on low or high TSR, and low, intermediate or high DR and TBd. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and log-rank test were applied to examine RFS among subgroups. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to identify independent factors associated with RFS, and a nomogram was subsequently developed. Abnormal CA242, CEA, T4 stage, presence of hypertension, internal obstruction or perforation (IOP), lymphovascular or/and perineural invasion (PNI), number of nodes examined less than 12, low-frequency microsatellite instability (MSI-L), higher Ki-67 and immature DR were associated with a lower RFS. In multivariable analysis, DR (HR =2.111; 95% CI: 1.184-3.766; P=0.011), LVI (HR =1.919; 95% CI: 1.004-3.669; P=0.049) and PNI (HR =2.724; 95% CI: 1.362-5.448; P=0.005) were prognostic factors for RFS. On this basis, a nomogram that integrated DR and clinicopathologic predictors for predicting RFS passed the calibration and had an area under the curve of 0.826. The prognostic significance of DR outperformed TBd and TSR, therefore, we recommend adding DR as a biomarker in routine pathological reports. The novel nomogram combining these factors may be used as a reliable and effective tool for the prediction of RFS in stage II CRC, thus helping optimize therapeutic regimens under cooperation of oncologists and surgeons. Further multicentric studies are required for validation of this novel, simple and cost-effective prognostic model.

Early-Stage epithelial ovarian cancer: Predictors of survival

BackgroundOne fifth of patients with epithelial ovarian cancers (EOC) present at an early stage (FIGO stage I & II). However, there is scarcity of literature on the outcomes and its predictors. The aim of the study was to assess relapse free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and its predictors in early stage EOC. Patients and MethodsIn this retrospectively study, we included all patients with early-stage EOC diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2018. Patients with synchronous malignancies were excluded. Clinical profile, clinico-pathological characteristics and treatment details were recorded. Patient underwent initial surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk disease. Patients with stage IC, or stage II or clear cell histology or high-grade histology irrespective of stage/histological subtype were defined as high-risk disease. Fertility sparing surgery (FSS) [unilateral salpingo-oopherectomy with complete surgical staging] was performed in patient willing to preserve fertility. Primary objective was to assess RFS and OS in all patients with early stage EOC. Secondary objectives were to assess RFS and OS in early stage EOC with high-risk disease, predictors of RFS and OS, and outcomes of FSS. Survival probabilities were estimated according to Kaplan-Meier and compared by the log rank test. Cox's regression model was used to analyze the significance of various factors affecting relapse free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Results195 patients with early stage EOC were recruited with median age of 47 years (range, 16–80 years). FIGO stage I and stage II were seen in 72 % and 18 % patients respectively. Serous subtype was reported in 58 % and high-grade histology in 66 %. 184 patients (94.0%) underwent optimal staging surgery, including 27 (14%) with fertility sparing surgery (FSS). 133 (91.7 %) of 145 patients with high-risk disease received adjuvant chemotherapy (paclitaxel and carboplatin), while 12 (8.3 %) patients opted to remain on observation. At median follow up of 56 months (95 % CI, 46–64 months), 49 (25 %) patients relapsed [including 3 of 27 (11.1 %) who underwent FSS], 18 patients died of progressive disease, while 31 patients were alive and disease free. Estimated OS at 5 years is 87.6 % (95 % CI 79.9–92.5) and RFS is 73.2 % (95 % CI 64.7–80.0). On multivariate analysis tumor grade was predictive of RFS (HR 2.9, p < 0.04) and OS (HR 9.4, p < 0.02). ConclusionsThis study confirms the excellent outcome for patients with early stage EOC. Histological grade of tumor is a significant predictor of OS and RFS. FSS is feasible in selected patients with early EOC.

Preoperative sarcopenia and systemic immune-inflammation index can predict response to intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin instillation in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.

BackgroundTo explore the prognostic significance of sarcopenia and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) for response to intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) in patients with intermediate-, and high-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed 183 consecutive patients treated in Qilu hospital of Shandong University for a first diagnosis of intermediate and high risk NMIBC. Using computed tomography scans at the third lumbar vertebra level, we calculated skeletal muscle index (SMI). Sarcopenia was defined as SMI <43 cm2/m2 for males with BMI < 25 kg/m2, <53 cm2/m2 for males with BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2, and <41 cm2/m2 for females. The response to intravesical BCG immunotherapy and relapse-free survival (RFS) were analyzed.ResultsCompared with BCG responders, BCG non-responders were associated with sarcopenia (P < 0.001), carcinoma in situ (P < 0.001), T1 stage (P < 0.001), multiple tumor (P < 0.001), tumor diameter >=3cm (P < 0.001), and have a significant increase of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P < 0.001), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P = 0.004), SII (P < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the BMI, NLR, PLR, and SII for response to intravesical BCG immunotherapy were 0.425, 0.693, 0.631, and 0.702 respectively. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that sarcopenia and SII were predictors of response to intravesical BCG immunotherapy. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the RFS of patients with BCG response, lower SII and no sarcopenia was significantly increased compared with that of patients with BCG non-response, higher SII and sarcopenia, respectively. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the RFS of patients with high SII and sarcopenia was significantly decreased compared with those with low SII and no sarcopenia in Ta stage subgroup, T1 stage subgroup, non-Cis subgroup, multiple tumor subgroup, single tumor subgroup, tumor diameter≥3cm subgroup and tumor diameter<3cm subgroup, respectively (P < 0.05). However, there was no significant difference in RFS for patients in CIS subgroup (P > 0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis shown that sarcopenia (p=0.005) and high SII (p = 0.003) were significantly associated with poor RFS.ConclusionsBoth sarcopenia and high SII are useful predictors of response to intravesical BCG in intermediate- and high-risk NMIBC patients. Patients with intermediate- and high-risk NMIBC that had sarcopenia or high SII at diagnosis were associated with poor RFS, and the combination of sarcopenia and SII may be a better predictor of RFS.

Colon inflammatory index as a useful prognostic marker after R0 resection in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis.

BackgroundAlthough R0 resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) is a promising treatment with improved prognosis, the recurrence rate is still high. No prognostic markers have been reported after resection of CRLM. In this study, we investigated the association between inflammation-based score and prognosis after R0 resection in patients with CRLM.MethodsWe retrospectively investigated 90 patients who underwent R0 resection for CRLM between 2008 and 2018. We calculated colon inflammatory index (CII) (CII0, low risk; CII1, intermediate risk; and CII2, high risk), modified Glasgow prognostic score, prognostic nutritional index, and CRP-to-albumin ratio; and retrospectively assessed the relationship between these scores, the clinicopathological features, and prognosis.ResultsThe median follow-up period was 44 months (range, 2–101 months). Five-year relapse-free survival (RFS) (CII2; 12.5%, CII1; 14.5%, CII0; 42.9%) and 5-year overall survival (OS) (CII2; 32.4%, CII1; 25.4%, CII0; 57.7%) were significantly lower in the high CII groups (CII1–2) compared with the low CII group (CII0) (p = 0.021 and p = 0.006, respectively). CEA level was significantly higher in the high CII group than the low CII group (12.4 vs 7.3, p = 0.004). Multivariate analysis showed CII score as an independent predictor of RFS (hazard ratio 2.128, 95%CI 1.147–3.430, p = 0.015) and OS (hazard ratio 2.639, 95%CI 1.331–5.323, p = 0.005).ConclusionCII shows promise as a prognostic marker after R0 liver resection in patients with CRLM.