Predictor Of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula Research Articles

Diagnostic Accuracy of Lipase as Early Predictor of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula: Results from the LIPADRAIN study.

To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of drain fluid lipase as an early predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula and establish the most appropriate day for their measure. Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula remains a potentially life-threatening complication after pancreatic surgery. Early detection strategies remain key to reduce both the incidence and the burden of pancreatic fistula. The LIPAse DRAIN (LIPADRAIN) study is a multicenter, prospective diagnostic study conducted in 7 tertiary university hospitals. Drain fluid values to detect clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula from postoperative day 1 to postoperative day 6 were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. A biomarker was considered to be relevant for clinical use if its area under the curve (AUC) was greater than 0.75. Of the 625 patients included in the analysis, clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula occurred in 203 (32%) patients. On postoperative days 3 and 4, drain fluid lipase was a reliable biomarker to detect clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (AUC: 0.761; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.761-0.799 and AUC: 0.784; 95% CI: 0.743-0.821, respectively). On postoperative day 3, with a threshold of 299 units/L, drain fluid lipase yielded a negative predictive value of 51%, sensitivity of 78%, and specificity of 63% for the detection of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula. In this multicenter prospective study, drain fluid lipase is a reliable biomarker at postoperative days 3 and 4 for the diagnosis of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatic surgery and should be systematically measured on postoperative day 3.

High hand grip strength is a significant risk factor and a useful predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the most critical complications of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Studies on predictive factors for POPF that can be identified preoperatively are limited. Recent reports have highlighted the association between the preoperative nutritional status, including sarcopenia, and postoperative complications. We examined preoperative risk factors for POPF after PD, focusing on nutritional indicators. A total of 153 consecutive patients who underwent PD at our institution were enrolled in this study. Preoperative nutritional parameters, including hand grip strength (HGS) and skeletal muscle mass as components of sarcopenia, were incorporated into the analysis. POPFs were categorized according to the International Study Group of Pancreatic Fistula (ISGPF) definition as biochemical (grade A) or clinically relevant (CR-POPF; grades B and C). Thirty-seven of the 153 patients (24.1%) fulfilled the ISGPF definition of CR-POPF postoperatively. In the univariate analysis, the incidence of CR-POPF was associated with male sex, non-pancreatic tumor diseases, a high body mass index, a high HGS and a high skeletal muscle mass index. In the multivariate analysis, non-pancreatic tumor diseases and an HGS ≥23.0 kg were selected as independent risk factors for CR-POPF (P <0.05). A high HGS, a screening tool for sarcopenia, was a risk factor for CR-POPF. It can accurately serve as a useful predictor of POPF risk in patients undergoing PD. These results highlight the potential of sarcopenia to reduce the incidence of POPF and highlight the need to clarify the mechanism of POPF occurrence.

Assessing the duct-to-parenchyma ratio as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula

Assessing the duct-to-parenchyma ratio as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula

Prediction of pancreatic fstula after pancreatoduodenectomy using machine learning

Objective: to analyze the results of pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) and identify predictive risk factors for postoperative pancreatic fistula (PF) using machine learning (ML) technology.Material and Methods. A nonrandomized study of treatment outcomes in 128 patients, who underwent PD for periampullary carcinoma between 2018 and 2023, was conducted. To predict PF, the ML models based on the multilayer perceptron and binary logistic regression (BLR) in SPSS Statistics v.26, were used. The Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) analysis was used to assess the accuracy of the models. To compare ROC curves, the DeLong test was used.Results. Clinically significant PF occurred in 19 (14.8 %) patients (grade B according to ISGPS 2016 – in 16 (12.5 %), grade C – in 3 (2.3 %)). The data of 90 (70.3 %) patients were used to train the neural network, and 38 (29.7 %) were used to test the predictive model. In multivariate analysis, the predictors of PF were a comorbidity level above 7 points on the age-adjusted Charlson scale, a diameter of the main pancreatic duct less than 3 mm, and a soft pancreatic consistency. The diagnostic accuracy of the ML model estimated using the area under the ROC curve was 0.939 ± 0.027 (95 % CI: 0.859–0.998, sensitivity: 84.2 %, specificity; 96.3 %). The predictive model, which was developed using BLR, demonstrated lower accuracy: 0.918±0.039 (95 % CI: 0.842–0.994, sensitivity: 78.9 %, specificity: 94.5 %) (p=0.02).Conclusion. The use of machine learning technologies makes it possible to increase the probability of a correct prediction of the occurrence of pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Assessign the duct to paramchyma ratio as a predictor of post-operative pancreatic fistula

Assessign the duct to paramchyma ratio as a predictor of post-operative pancreatic fistula

The role of clinically relevant intra-abdominal collections after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BackgroundThere is controversial evidence regarding the impact of clinically relevant postoperative intra-abdominal collections (CR-IC) on the clinical course after pancreaticoduodenectomy. C-reactive Protein (CRP) has been validated as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). Still, its role in predicting CR-IC has not been studied.MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent PD at a tertiary hospital between October 2012 and October 2017. The incidence of CR-IC, clinically relevant POPF and other complications, as well as mortality and length of hospitalisation, was retrieved. The impact of CR-IR on mortality and major complications was analysed. The serum CRP levels were retrieved on the third and fifth postoperative days (POD3 and POD5), followed by an analysis of sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve to predict CR-IC using CRP.ResultsOne hundred forty patients were enrolled following inclusion and exclusion criteria. The mean age was 66.5 years (15–83). The incidence of CR-IC was 33.7% (47), and CR-POPF was 24.3%. Pancreatic duct diameter ≤ 4 mm was identified as a risk factor related to CR-IC occurrence. The group of patients who developed CR-IC after PD exhibited a higher rate of complications Clavien-Dindo ≥ III compared to patients without CR-IC (40.4% vs 7.5%, p < 0.001), as well as other events such as admission to the intensive care unit (25.5% vs 4.3%, p < 0.001), the incidence of CR-POPF (66% vs 3.2%, p < 0.001), prolonged hospital stay (32 vs 13 days, p < 0.001), postoperative haemorrhage (23.4 vs 5.4%, p = 0.002), and delayed gastric empty (38.8% vs 11.8%, p < 0.001) respectively. Logistic regression analysis identified CR-IC related to POPF as a risk factor for Clavien-Dindo > III: OR = 10.6 (95% CI: 3.90–28.7). No differences in mortality were reported between the CR-IC group and non-CR-IC group. CRP at postoperative day 3 (POD3) > 17.55 mg/dl and CRP at postoperative day 5 (POD5) > 13.46 mg/dl were predictors of CR-IC (AUC: 0.731 and AUC:0.821, respectively).ConclusionsCR-IC has a significant impact after pancreaticoduodenectomy and is associated with a higher incidence of Clavien-Dindo ≥ III complications. Additionally, CRP levels at POD3 and POD5 play a role in predicting CR-IC. Prospective studies are essential to explore strategies for mitigating the occurrence of CR-IC after PD.

Intraoperative Fluorescence Imaging During Robotic Pancreatoduodenectomy to Detect Suture-Induced Hypoperfusion of the Pancreatic Stump as a Predictor of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula (FLUOPAN): Prospective Proof-of-concept Study.

A potential downside of robotic pancreatoduodenectomy (RPD) is the lack of tactile feedback when tying sutures, which could be especially perilous during pancreatic anastomosis. Near-infrared fluorescence imaging with indocyanine green (NIRF-ICG) could detect transpancreatic-suture-induced hypoperfusion of the pancreatic stump during RPD, which may be related to postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) grade B/C, but studies are lacking. This prospective study included 37 patients undergoing RPD to assess the relation between pancreatic stump hypoperfusion as objectified with NIRF-ICG using Firefly and the rate of POPF grade B/C. In 27 patients, NIRF-ICG was performed after tying down the transpancreatic U-sutures. In 10 'negative control' patients, NIRF-ICG was performed before tying these sutures. Pancreatic stump hypoperfusion was detected using NIRF-ICG in 9/27 patients (33%) during RPD. Hypoperfusion was associated with POPF grade B/C (67% [6/9 patients] versus 17% [3/18 patients], P = 0.026). No hypoperfusion was objectified in 10 'negative controls'. Transpancreatic-suture-induced pancreatic stump hypoperfusion can be detected using NIRF-ICG during RPD and was associated with POPF grade B/C. Surgeons could use NIRF-ICG to adapt their suturing approach during robotic pancreatico-jejunostomy. Further larger prospective studies are needed to validate the association between transpancreatic-suture-induced hypoperfusion and POPF.

Role of Pancreatic Attenuation Index in Assessing Pancreatic Fat Content and Postpancreatectomy Outcomes.

Background High fat content of pancreas can contribute to its soft texture, which is a strong predictor for postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). We propose to assess the relationship of pancreatic computed tomography (CT) attenuation index (PAI) with histopathological fat content of pancreas and postpancreatectomy outcomes. Methodology Data was collected prospectively from patients who underwent pancreatic resections from February 2021 to January 2023. CT attenuation was measured in pancreas and spleen in three regions of interest each. The mean of the three values was taken as the mean pancreatic attenuation (P) and splenic attenuation(S). PAI was calculated (P-S and P/S) preoperatively. The fat content was calculated histologically in resected specimens. The pancreatic texture was also assessed intraoperatively by the operating surgeon to classify it as soft or firm. The relationship of PAI with fat content and postpancreatectomy outcomes such as delayed gastric emptying (DGE), postpancreatectomy hemorrhage (PPH) and POPF was assessed. Results Seventy patients underwent pancreatic resections of which 59 were taken for analysis after satisfying the exclusion criteria. The PAI ranged from P-S (-23 to +19) and P/S (0.54-1.5). The histologic fat content of pancreas ranged from 0.4 to 42% (mean= 9.5076/standard deviation: 9.19520). Significant correlation was found between P-S and P/S (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient ρ = -0.775[95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.919 to -0.583], -0.743[95% CI: -0.896 to -0.467]) with pancreatic fat content. Postpancreatectomy outcomes noted were POPF(B/C):13, DGE:33, and PPH:3. Statistical significance was not seen between PAI and postpancreatectomy outcomes (POPF, p = 0.067 DGE; p = 0.456; PPH, p = 0.891). Conclusion PAI may be used as a reliable tool in predicting pancreatic fat content. However, it did not show a statistically significant association in predicting postpancreatectomy outcomes.

Drain Amylase Level as a Predictor for Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreaticoduodenectomy for Periampullary Carcinoma

Drain Amylase Level as a Predictor for Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula after Pancreaticoduodenectomy for Periampullary Carcinoma

Quantitative edge analysis of pancreatic margins in patients with head pancreatic tumors: correlations between pancreatic margins and the onset of postoperative pancreatic fistula.

To assess the correlation between pancreatic quantitative edge analysis as a surrogate of parenchymal stiffness and the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). All consecutive patients who underwent PD at our Institution between March 2018 and November 2019 with an available preoperative CT were included. Pancreatic margin score (PMS) was calculated through computer-assisted quantitative edge analysis on the margins of the pancreatic body and tail (the expected pancreatic remnant) on non-contrast scans with in-house software. Intraoperative assessment of pancreatic stiffness by manual palpation was also performed, classifying pancreatic texture into soft and non-soft. PMS values were compared between groups using an unpaired T-test and correlated with the intraoperative evaluation of stiffness and with the grading of postoperative pancreatic fistula according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS). Patient population included 200 patients (mean age 64.6years), 146 without onset of POPF (73%, non-POPF group), and 54 with POPF (27%, POPF group). A significant difference in PMS values was observed between POPF and non-POPF (respectively 1.88 ± 0.05 vs 0.69 ± 0.01; p < 0.0001). PMS values of pancreatic parenchymas intraoperatively considered "soft" were significantly higher than those evaluated as "non-soft" (1.21 ± 0.04 vs 0.73 ± 0.02; p < 0.0001). A significant correlation between PMS values and POPF grade was observed (r = 0.8316), even in subgroups of patients with soft (r = 0.8016) and non-soft (r = 0.7602) pancreas (all p < 0.0001). Quantitative edge analysis with dedicated software may stratify patients with different pancreatic stiffness, thus potentially improving preoperative risk assessment and strategies for POPF mitigation. This study proposes quantitative pancreas edge analysis as a predictor for postoperative pancreatic fistula. The test has high accuracy and correlation with fistula grade according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery. • Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) onset risk after pancreaticoduodenectomy is based only on intraoperative evaluation. • Quantitative edge analysis may preoperatively identify patients with higher risk of POPF. • Quantification of pancreatic stiffness through the analysis of pancreatic margins could be done on preoperative CT.

Pancreatic thickness as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula after laparoscopic or robotic gastrectomy.

Despite technical advances in minimally invasive gastrectomy for gastric cancer, an increased incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) has been reported. POPF can cause infectious and bleeding complications, which could lead to surgery-related death; therefore, reduction of the post-gastrectomy POPF risk is crucial. This study aimed to investigate the importance of pancreatic anatomy as a predictor of POPF in patients undergoing laparoscopic or robotic gastrectomy. Data were collected from 331 consecutive patients who underwent laparoscopic or robotic gastrectomy for gastric cancer. The thickness of the pancreas anterior to the most ventral level of the splenic artery (TPS) was measured. The correlation between TPS and POPF incidence was investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. The cutoff value of TPS was 11.8mm, which predicted a high drain amylase concentration on postoperative day 1, and patients were categorized into thin (Tn group) and thick TPS groups (Tk group). There was no significant difference in the background characteristics between the two groups, except for sex (P = 0.009) and body mass index (P < 0.001). The incidences of POPF grade B or higher (2% vs. 16%, P < 0.001), all postoperative complications of grade II or higher (12% vs. 28%, P = 0.004), and postoperative intra-abdominal infections of grade II or higher (4% vs. 17%, P = 0.001) were significantly higher in the Tk group. Multivariable analysis identified that high TPS was the only independent risk factor for grade B or higher POPF and grade II or higher postoperative intra-abdominal infectious complications. The TPS is a specific predictive factor for POPF and postoperative intra-abdominal infectious complications in patients undergoing laparoscopic or robotic gastrectomy. Careful pancreatic manipulation during suprapancreatic lymphadenectomy is necessary for patients with increased TPS (> 11.8mm) to avoid postoperative complications.

Analysis of predictors for postoperative complications after pancreatectomy––what is new after establishing the definition of postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP)?

PurposeWe aimed to analyze the predictive value of hyperamylasemia after pancreatectomy for morbidity and for the decision to perform rescue completion pancreatectomy (CP) in a retrospective cohort study.MethodsData were extracted from a retrospective clinical database. Postoperative hyperamylasemia (POH) and postoperative hyperlipasemia (POHL) were defined by values greater than those accepted as the upper limit at our institution on postoperative day 1 (POD1). The endpoints of the study were the association of POH with postoperative morbidity and the possible predictors for postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP) and severe complications such as the necessity for rescue CP.ResultsWe analyzed 437 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy over a period of 7 years. Among them, 219 (52.3%) patients had POH and 200 (47.7%) had normal postoperative amylase (non-POH) levels. A soft pancreatic texture (odds ratio [OR] 3.86) and POH on POD1 (OR 8.2) were independent predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), and POH on POD1 (OR 6.38) was an independent predictor of rescue CP. The clinically relevant POPF (49.5% vs. 11.4%, p < 0.001), intraabdominal abscess (38.3% vs. 15.3%, p < 0.001), postoperative hemorrhage (22.8% vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001), major complications (Clavien-Dindo classification > 2) (52.5% vs. 25.6%, p < 0.001), and CP (13% vs. 1.8%, p < 0.001) occurred significantly more often in the POH group than in the non-POH group.ConclusionAlthough POH on POD1 occurs frequently, in addition to other risk factors, it has a predictive value for the development of postoperative morbidity associated with PPAP and CP.

Predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula after splenectomy with or without distal pancreatectomy performed as a component of cytoreductive surgery for advanced ovarian cancer.

ObjectiveSplenectomy with or without distal pancreatectomy is occasionally performed during cytoreductive surgery for advanced ovarian cancer. We investigated pre-, intra-, postoperative risk factors and predictors of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) in patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery for advanced ovarian cancer.MethodsWe investigated 165 consecutive patients with ovarian, fallopian tube, and peritoneal carcinoma categorized as stage III/IV disease, who underwent splenectomy with or without distal pancreatectomy as a component of cytoreductive surgery performed as initial treatment at Chiba University Hospital. Patient characteristics, clinical factors, and surgical outcomes were compared between those with and without CR-POPF.ResultsCR-POPF occurred in 20 patients (12%). There were no significant intergroup differences in the characteristics between patients with CR-POPF and patients without CR-POPF except for operative time, intraoperative blood loss, amylase (AMY) levels in drain fluid on postoperative day (POD)1 and POD3, and pancreatic stump thickness. Multivariate analysis showed that the POD3 drain fluid AMY level was the only significant risk factor and predictor of CR-POPF in patients who underwent cytoreductive surgery for advanced ovarian cancer. The receiver operating characteristic curve of the POD3 drain fluid AMY level, which predicted development of CR-POPF showed an area under the curve of 0.77, and the optimal cut-off value of AMY was 808 U/L. A pancreatic fistula did not occur in patients with POD3 drain fluid AMY levels <130 U/L.ConclusionThe POD3 drain fluid AMY level can be early diagnostic predictor CR-POPF after splenectomy with or without distal pancreatectomy for advanced ovarian cancer.

The value of drain fluid amylase as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticogastrostomy.

Drain fluid amylase is commonly used as a predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). This study aimed to determine the ideal cut-off value of drain fluid amylase on postoperative day 1 (DFA1) for predicting pancreatic fistula after pancreaticogastrostomy (PG). Prospective data of 272 consecutive patients undergoing PG between 2010 and 2020 was collected and analysed to determine the postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) risk factors. The incidence of POPF was 143 cases (52.6%). The median DFA1 in patients with POPF was significantly higher than that of patients with NO-POPF (5483 versus 311, P < 0.001). DFA1 correlated with POPF in the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (P < 0.001). When DFA1 was 2300 U/L, Youden index was the highest, with a sensitivity of 72.7% and a specificity of 82.9%. Logistic regression analysis showed that DFA1 ≥ 2300 U/L was an independent predictor of POPF (P < 0.001; OR: 12.855; 95% CI: 7.019-23.544). The AUC of DFA1 and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) was 0.674 (P < 0.001). DFA1 ≥ 2300 U/L can be used as an independent predictor of POPF after PG. DFA1 ≥ 3000 U/L can predict the occurrence of CR-POPF, when DFA1 ≥ 3000 U/L, the patients should be observed closely active for complications.

Predictors of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula (POPF) After Pancreaticoduodenectomy: Clinical Significance of the Mean Platelet Volume (MPV)/Platelet Count Ratio as a New Predictor

PurposeIn this study, it was aimed to determine the predictors of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) following pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and clinical significance of mean platelet volume (MPV)/total platelet count ratio (MPR) as a new predictor for CR-POPF. MethodsA total of 105 patients who underwent PD consecutively due to periampullary located diseases were included in the study. Patients were divided into two groups as CR-POPF and no postoperative pancreatic fistula (No-POPF). Demographic parameters, preoperative serum-based inflammatory indicators, surgical procedures, intraoperative findings, and histopathological parameters were recorded retrospectively from prospectively recorded patient files and compared between the groups. ResultsCR-POPF occurred in 16 (15.2%) patients: 8 (7.6%) were grade B and 8 (7.6%) were grade C according to the ISGPF classification. In univariate analysis, intraoperative blood loss > 580 mL (OR: 5.25, p = 0.001), intraoperative blood transfusion (OR: 5.96, p = 0.002), intraoperative vasoconstrictor medication (OR: 4.17, p = 0.014), benign histopathology (OR: 3.51, p = 0.036), and poor differentiation in malignant tumors (OR: 4.07, p = 0.044) were significantly higher in the CR-POPF group, but not significant in multivariate analysis. Soft pancreatic consistency (OR: 6.08, p = 0.013), pancreatic duct diameter < 2.5mm (OR: 17.15, p < 0.001), and MPR < 28.9 (OR: 13.91, p < 0.001) were the independent predictors of CR-POPF according to multivariate analysis. Neoadjuvant treatment history and simultaneous vascular resection were less likely to cause CR-POPF development; however, they were insignificant. ConclusionSoft pancreatic consistency, pancreatic duct diameter, and preoperative MPR were the independent predictors of CR-POPF following PD. Decreased MPR is a strong predictor for CR-POPF and should be considered when deciding treatment strategies.

The value of serum amylase and drain fluid amylase to predict postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy: a retrospective cohort study

PurposeSerum and drain amylase have been identified as important predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) and might be useful to guide postoperative drain management after pancreatoduodenectomy. We aimed to determine and compare the value of serum amylase and drain fluid amylase to predict postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included patients after pancreatoduodenectomy from 2012 to 2019. The primary endpoint of our study was grade B/C POPF. Serum amylase on postoperative day 1 (SA-1) and drain fluid amylase on postoperative day 2 (DFA-2) were analyzed.ResultsA total of 92 of 437 patients (21.1%) developed a grade B/C POPF. SA-1 was higher in patients who developed a grade B/C POPF (336 U/L vs. 97 U/L, p<0.001). Similarly, DFA-2 was higher in patients who developed a grade B/C POPF (1764 U/L vs. 78 U/L, p<0.001). SA-1 and DFA-2 had similar predictive accuracy (AUC: 0.82 vs. 0.85, respectively, p=0.329). Patients with SA-1<100 U/L (n=178) had a risk of 2.2% of developing grade B/C POPF, compared to 38.2% in patients with SA-1 >100 U/L (n=207). Patients with DFA-2<100 U/L (n=141) had a risk of 0% of developing grade B/C POPF, compared to 36.2% in patients with DFA-2>100 U/L (n=196). SA-1 and DFA-2 were strongly associated at a cut-off of 100 U/L (p<0.001, 89% concordance rate).ConclusionPostoperative serum and drain amylase values below 100 U/L both effectively rule out POPF after pancreatoduodenectomy. The advantage of serum amylase measurement is that it can be used in patients who are managed without surgical drains.

Surgeon vs Pathologist for Prediction of Pancreatic Fistula: Results from the Randomized Multicenter RECOPANC Study

Surgically assessed pancreatic texture has been identified as the strongest predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula. However, texture is a subjective parameter with no proven reliability or validity. Therefore, a more objective parameter is needed. In this study, we evaluated the fibrosis level at the pancreatic neck resection margin and correlated fibrosis and all clinico-pathologic parameters collected over the course of the Pancreatogastrostomy vs Pancreatojejunostomy for RECOnstruction (RECOPANC) study. The RECOPANC trial was a multicenter randomized prospective trial of patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy. There were 261 hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides allocated for histopathologic analyses. Pancreatic fibrosis was scored from 0 to III (no fibrosis up to severe fibrosis) by 2 blinded independent pathologists. All variables possibly associated with POPF were entered into a generalized linear model for multivariable analysis. The fibrosis grade and pancreatic texture were scored in all 261 patients. In POPF B/C (postoperative pancreatic fistula grade B or C) patients, 71% had a soft pancreas, and fibrosis grades were distributed as follows: 48% with score 0, 28% with score I, 20% with score II, and 7% with score III, respectively. Fibrosis grading showed substantial inter-rater reliability (kappa= 0.74) and correlated positively with hard pancreatic texture (p < 0.05). In univariable analysis, area under the curve (AUC) for POPF B/C prediction was higher for fibrosis grade than for pancreatic texture (0.71 vs 0.59). In multivariate analysis, the following predictors were selected: sex, surgeon volume, pancreatic texture, and fibrosis grade. However, the addition of pancreatic texture only led to an incremental improvement (AUC 0.794 vs 0.819). Histologically evaluated pancreatic fibrosis is an easily applicable and highly reproducible POPF predictor and superior to surgically evaluated pancreatic texture. Future studies might use fibrosis grade for risk stratification in pancreatoduodenectomy.

Postoperative elevation of C-reactive protein levels and high drain fluid amylase output are strong predictors of pancreatic fistulas after distal pancreatectomy.

The aim of the present study was to identify the predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP). The records of 97 consecutive patients who underwent DP at Ehime University Hospital between June 2009 and August 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient characteristics, preoperative blood biochemistry data, operative findings, and postoperative findings until postoperative day (POD) 3 were investigated as potential predictors of clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF). The product of the drain fluid amylase (DFA) value (U/L) and the drainage amount (mL/day) was defined as DFA output (U/day). Of 97 patients who underwent DP, 23 (23.7%) developed CR-POPF. On multivariate analyses, high C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on POD 3 (>14.0mg/dL) and high DFA output on POD 3 (>34U/day) were found to be independent predictors of CR-POPF (odds ratios, 7.580 and 4.751, respectively; 95% confidence intervals, 2.052-27.995 and 1.487-15.175, respectively). Furthermore, the CRP value was helpful for predicting delayed CR-POPF in patients without POPF on POD3, and DFA output was useful for predicting the development of CR-POPF in patients diagnosed with POPF on POD3. Postoperative CRP values and DFA output may facilitate appropriate postoperative management after DP.

Lack of Association between Postoperative Pancreatitis and Other Postoperative Complications Following Pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Background: Prediction of post-pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) morbidity is difficult, especially in the early postoperative period when CT (Computed Tomography) scans are not available. Elevated serum amylase and lipase in postoperative day 0 or 1 may be used to define postoperative acute pancreatitis (POAP), but the existing literature does not agree on whether POAP is significantly associated with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). Methods: We analyzed the data obtained from a previously published randomized controlled trial. POAP was defined as elevations in serum amylase above 110 U/L on postoperative day 0 or 1. Clinically relevant POAP (CR-POAP) was defined as elevations in C-reactive protein level (CRP) on postoperative day 2 in those with POAP. Postoperative complications including severe complications (Clavien–Dindo ≥ IIIa), POPF, and clinically relevant POPF (CR-POPF) were analyzed. Results: In 246 patients, POAP did not show significant associations with total postoperative complications (odds ratio (OR) 0.697; 95% CI, 0.360–1.313; p = 0.271), severe complications (OR 0.647; 95% CI, 0.258–1.747; p = 0.367), and CR-POPF (OR 0.998; 95% CI, 0.310–3.886; p = 0.998) in multivariable analysis. Conclusions: In patients undergoing PD, POAP was not significantly associated with postoperative complications including POPF. Caution should be taken when using POAP as a predictor of POPF.

Postoperative C-reactive protein as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula and hospital readmission following pancreaticoduodenectomy

Introduction: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the Achilles heel following Pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).Early prediction of POPF has direct influence on patient management and outcome. This study aimed at identifying role of C-reactive protein (CRP) on first postoperative day (POD1) as predictor of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) and at discharge as a predictor of hospital readmission. Methods: A prospective observational quantitative study was performed on 49 patients over one year who underwent PD. Clinical, biochemical, intraoperative and pathological characteristics were recorded. Quantitative serum CRP was sent on POD1 and at discharge. POPF was graded according to International Study Group in Pancreatic Surgery 2016.Diagnostic accuracy of CRP on POD1 to predict CR-POPF and at discharge to predict 90 day readmission were assessed by Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve analysis and cut-off value of CRP was calculated. Results: Overall morbidity was 57.1% with mortality of 4.1%.Bile leak occurred in 38.8%.CR-POPF developed in 26.5% and cholangitis was independent risk factor(p< 0.05). Readmission rate was 14.3%. ROC curve analysis showed POD1 CRP level >100mg/l as a predictor of CR-POPF (AUC: 0.687; 95%CI [0.522-0.852] and CRP>50mg/L at discharge as a significant predictor of hospital readmission (AUC: 0.807 (95%CI [0.607-0.100], p< 0.05). Conclusion: CRP is a reliable predictor of CR-POPF and hospital readmission, thus should be utilized in patient management. Keywords: C-reactive protein; Pancreaticoduodenectomy, Postoperative pancreatic fistula; Readmission