Predictor Of Adverse Renal Outcomes Research Articles

Procalcitonin, Interleukin-6 and C-reactive Protein Levels Predict Renal Adverse Outcomes and Mortality in Patients with Acute Type A Aortic Dissection.

BackgroundAcute type A aortic coarctation (AAAD) is a highly deadly and serious life-threatening disease. The purpose of this study was to estimate the predictive value of peak procalcitonin, interleukin-6, and C-reactive protein levels on adverse renal outcomes and mortality in patients undergoing surgery for AAAD.MethodsPerioperative peak PCT, CRP, and IL-6 levels were retrospectively collected in 331 patients hospitalized with AAAD from 2009 to 2021. The primary endpoints were AKI stage 2–3 and mortality. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the predictive values of peak PCT, CRP, and IL-6 for different clinical outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to find risk factors for AKI and 30-day mortality.ResultsThe incidence of AKI stage 2–3 following AAAD was 50.8% (168/331). The 30-day and overall mortality were significantly greater in the AKI 2–3 group than in the AKI 0–1 group (P = 0.000). ROC curve analysis showed that peak PCT, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.712, was a more accurate predictor of adverse renal outcomes than peak IL-6 and CRP. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that PCT > 0.39 ng/mL was an independent risk factor for AKI stage 2–3. Peak IL-6 > 259 pg/mL was found to be an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality.ConclusionIn patients with surgery for AAAD, peak PCT provides a well-predictive indicator of AKI stage 2–3 and peak IL-6 indicates a favorable predictor of 30-day mortality.

Clinical Outcomes and Histological Patterns in Oxalate Nephropathy due to Enteric and Nonenteric Risk Factors

Introduction: Current knowledge of risk factors and renal histologic patterns of oxalate nephropathy (ON) not due to primary hyperoxaluria (PH) has been limited to small case series and case reports. Thus, we analyzed and compared clinical risk factors, histologic characteristics, and renal outcomes of patients with biopsy-confirmed ON among a cohort of patients with enteric and nonenteric risk factors. Methods: A clinical data repository of native kidney pathology reports from 2009 to 2020 at all Mayo Clinic sites was used to identify 421 ON cases. Results: After excluding cases in transplanted kidneys or due to PH, 64 cases remained. Enteric risk factors were present in 30 and nonenteric in 34. Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (17) and pancreatic insufficiency (6) were most common in the enteric hyperoxaluria group. In the nonenteric group, vitamin C (7) and dietary oxalate (7) were common, while no apparent risk was noted in 16. Acute kidney injury (AKI) stage III at the time of diagnosis was present in 60%, and 40.6% required dialysis. Patients in the nonenteric group had more interstitial inflammation (p = 0.01), and a greater number of tubules contained intratubular calcium oxalate (CaOx) crystals (p = 0.001) than the nonenteric group. Patients in the enteric group were more likely to have baseline chronic kidney disease (CKD) (p = 0.02) and moderate-to-severe tubulointerstitial fibrosis and atrophy (IFTA) (OR 3.49, p = 0.02). After a median follow-up of 10 months, 39% were dialysis dependent, 11% received a kidney transplant, and 32% died. On univariate analysis, >10 tubules with CaOx crystals, baseline CKD, and AKI requiring dialysis correlated with the risk of dialysis, transplant, or death. On multivariate analysis, only AKI requiring dialysis correlated with adverse renal outcomes. Conclusion: This is the largest cohort study of ON not due to PH. Histologic features differ in patients with enteric versus nonenteric risks. Patients in the enteric group are more likely to have baseline CKD and significant IFTA, while patients in the nonenteric group were more likely to have a greater number of tubules with CaOx crystals and corresponding interstitial inflammation. AKI requiring dialysis at the time of diagnosis was the single most significant predictor of adverse renal outcome.

Natriuretic peptide as a predictor of adverse renal outcomes in patients with acute kidney injury

Abstract Background Since cardiorenal syndrome has been increasingly recognised as the intense interaction between the heart and the kidneys, we hypothesised that in patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), a biomarker of cardiovascular stress and heart failure (HF), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), can predict adverse renal outcomes. Purpose The purpose of this study was to investigate the ability of NT-proBNP to predict need for dialysis and dialysis dependence in patients with AKI. Methods We analysed the association between baseline NT-proBNP measured before renal consultation, and need for dialysis and dialysis dependence, using a cohort of 1,052 AKI patients admitted to the Cleveland Clinic between 2011 and 2016. AKI was defined as acute increase in serum creatinine (Cr) of at least 0.3 mg/dL or 50% from baseline. Dialysis dependence was defined as patients still need dialysis within 72 hours of discharge. Results Mean age was 65.8±13.6 years, 57% were male, 45.4% had chronic HF and 28.2% had chronic kidney disease (CKD). There was no significant difference in chronic HF, CKD, or baseline Cr between AKI patients with and without dialysis. Median NT-proBNP was 6,484.50 pg/mL (interquartile range 2,200.75–15,717.50 pg/mL). We observed that 43.1% had dialysis (among them 67.8% became dialysis dependence). After adjustment for age, gender, hypertension, and baseline Cr, higher NT-proBNP levels were associated with greater likelihood of needing dialysis [quartile (Q) 4 vs. 1, Odd ratio (OR) 1.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38–2.85, P<0.001] and dialysis dependence (Q 4 vs. 1, OR 2.63, 95% CI 1.41–4.9, P=0.002) (Figure 1). Conclusion Elevated NT-proBNP was independently associated with need for dialysis and dialysis dependence in patients with AKI. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Clinico-pathological Profile and Outcome of C-3 Glomerulopathy in Indian Children.

Introduction:There is paucity of data of C3 glomerulopathy in Indian children.Methods:First Indian pediatric case series where consecutive renal biopsies done over a period of ten years were reviewed to identify those patients who had isolated or predominant C3 deposits on immunofluorescent microscopy, fulfilling the criteria for C-3 glomerulopathy. The clinical, biochemical, serological, histopathological profile, eGFR and the need for renal replacement therapy was analyzed.Results:Eighteen patients, comprising 5.3% (18/298) of all renal biopsies, had C3 glomerulopathy, four with Dense Deposit Disease (DDD) and fourteen with C3 Glomerulonephritis (C3GN) with a median follow-up of 38.2 months. Median age of presentation was 7.45±3.03 years (2.5yrs- 13.5yrs) with nine boys and nine girls. Presentation was nephrotic syndrome in seven (39%), acute nephritic syndrome in three (16.7%), hematuria in five (27.7%) and acute kidney injury in three (16.7%). Median eGFR was 69 ml/min/1.73m2 (8.2-107 ml/min/1.73m2). Hematuria was seen in 16 (88%), proteinuria in 18 (100%) and low C3 in 16 (88%) at the time of presentation. Mesangioproliferative glomerulonephritis was the predominant pattern in DDD while C3GN showed a mix of mesangioproliferative, membranoproliferative, endocapillary and crescentic GN (p = 0.43).Complete or partial remission was seen in seven patients who received long term alternate day steroids alone or with added mycophenolate mofetil. The cumulative patient survival was 70.8%. Kaplan Meir analyses for renal survival without progression to ESRD was 60.2% at one year and 48.1% at five and ten years.Conclusion:Interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy on renal biopsy was an independent predictor of adverse renal outcome in the cohort (p = 0.013, HR8.1;95% CI -1.6-42).

Kidney injury molecule-1 expression predicts structural damage and outcome in histological acute tubular injury

Background: A few studies have shown that urinary kidney injury molecule-1 (uKIM-1) levels are increased in acute kidney injury (AKI); however, the correlation between uKIM-1 and histological tubular injury, which is considered to be the gold standard for evaluating renal damage and predicting prognosis, is still unclear. We performed this study to determine whether the predicted value of uKIM-1 is correlated with renal KIM-1 (tKIM-1) expression and tissue damage in AKI patients.Methods: This retrospective study recruited 14 healthy individuals and 27 biopsy-proven acute tubular injury (ATI) patients. uKIM-1 and plasma KIM-1 (sKIM-1) levels were measured by ELISA, and tKIM-1 expression was evaluated by immunohistochemistry.Results: Elevated levels of urinary, plasma, and renal KIM-1 were found in ATI patients. The uKIM-1 concentration was positively correlated with tKIM-1 expression and reflected the severity of renal histological injury. The outcome of ATI was associated with uKIM-1 expression: the ATI patients with higher uKIM-1 levels had an increased potential for an incomplete recovery of renal function during follow-up. Additionally, the level of KIM-1, regardless of source, was negatively related to the eGFR, and ROC curve analysis revealed that the ROC-AUC was 0.923 (p = 0.000) for the diagnosis of ATI based on a combination of high uKIM-1 and sKIM-1 levels.Conclusion: The uKIM-1 level corresponds with the severity of renal histological damage and can be a potential reliable predictor of adverse renal outcomes in ATI patients. Moreover, combining uKIM-1 and sKIM-1 can increase the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnosis of severe ATI.

Growth differentiation factor 15 as a predictor of adverse renal outcomes in patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF 15) has recently been reported as a useful prognostic marker in patients with chronic inflammatory disease and heart disease. To evaluate the role of GDF 15 as a potential prognostic predictor of renal outcome in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). In total, 212 patients in the Chungnam National Hospital glomerulonephritis cohort, who were diagnosed as biopsy-proven IgAN between March 2010 and June 2014, were included. GDF Fifteen was analysed by the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Cut-off values of the GDF 15 and the hazard ratio of it resulting in haemodialysis within 2 years were analysed. The level of serum GDF 15 was negatively correlated with the initial eGFR. A serum GDF 15 level of more than 496.32 pg/mL showed 90% sensitivity and 72.9% specificity to predict the possibility of it resulting in haemodialysis within 2 years. In addition, a GDF 15 level higher than 490.4 pg/mL showed 63.64% sensitivity and 65% specificity to predict a decline in eGFR > 30 mL/min within 1 year of follow up. Moreover, initial serum GDF 15 level was associated with the development of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy. Initial serum GDF 15 level showed an inverse correlation with serum eGFR and was associated with worse renal outcome. Our results suggested that GDF 15 may play a role as a potential prognosticator in IgAN.

Procalcitonin and Interleukin-6 Levels: Are They Useful Biomarkers in Cardiac Surgery Patients?

Background/Aim: Cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury is an independent predictor of chronic renal disease and mortality. The scope of this study was to determine the utility of procalcitonin (PCT) and plasma interleukin-6 (IL-6) levels in predicting renal outcome and mortality in these patients. Methods: PCT and plasma IL-6 levels of 122 cardiac surgery patients were measured at 48 h after the surgical procedure. Primary endpoints were adverse renal outcome and mortality. Secondary endpoints were length of stay, bleeding, and number of transfusions. Results: PCT was found to be a better predictor of adverse renal outcome than IL-6. IL-6 seemed to be a better predictor of both 30-day and overall mortality than PCT. Neither PCT nor IL-6 levels were found to be good predictors of intensive care unit stay and bleeding. Conclusion: PCT may be considered a good predictor of adverse renal outcome in cardiac surgery patients, whereas IL-6 seems to possess a good predictive value for mortality in this population of patients.

High collagen I gene expression as an independent predictor of adverse renal outcomes in lupus nephritis patients with preserved renal function.

The deposition of extracellular matrix is a major pathogenic mechanism leading to fibrosis and progressive decline in renal function in patients with lupus nephritis (LN). Currently, available clinicopathologic features cannot predict renal outcome consistently. To test that the expression of renal fibrogenic genes correlates with renal fibrosis at the time of biopsy and is predictive of renal outcomes. Renal gene expression levels of transforming growth factor β-1 (TGFB1), and collagen I (COL1) were studied by real-time multiplex quantitative polymerase chain reaction in a prospective cohort of patients with LN (n = 39). Extracellular matrix index (ECMI) and collagen I/III matrix index were measured from Picro-Sirius Red-stained slides under normal and polarized light, respectively. After follow-up (median, 43.9 months), renal failure (50% reduction in glomerular filtration rate [GFR] or dialysis) had developed in 13 subjects. The expression levels of renal fibrogenic genes were increased as compared to controls without LN. COL1 correlated with collagen I/III matrix index at baseline. Both high expression of TGFB1 or COL1 tended to predict renal failure by univariate analysis. By multivariate analysis, high ECMI and low GFR were predictive of renal failure. In patients with baseline GFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or greater, high renal COL1 expression was an independent (hazard ratio = 4.4, P = .04) predictor of renal failure. High renal COL1 expression is a strong predictor of adverse renal outcome in patients with LN and preserved baseline GFR. These findings support larger prospective studies to confirm the benefits of COL1 in identifying patients at high risk of progression to renal disease.

Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin as a potential predictor of adverse renal outcomes in immunoglobulin A nephropathy.

Background/AimsNeutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is a well-known biomarker of acute kidney injury. We evaluated the value of plasma NGAL (pNGAL) as an independent predictor of prognosis in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN).MethodsIn total, 91 patients with biopsy-proven IgAN at a single center were evaluated. pNGAL was measured using a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit (R&D Systems). Adverse renal outcome was defined as chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3 or above at the last follow-up. Pearson correlation coefficient and Cox regression were used for analyses.ResultsThe mean age of all patients (male:female, 48:43) was 35 years (range, 18 to 77). pNGAL ranged between 21.68 and 446.40 ng/mL (median, 123.97) and showed a correlation with age (r = 0.332, p = 0.001), creatinine (r = 0.336, p = 0.001), estimated glomerular filtration rate (r = -0.397, p < 0.001), uric acid (r = 0.289, p = 0.006), and the protein-to-creatinine ratio (r = 0.288, p = 0.006). During a mean follow-up period of 37.6 months, 11 patients (12.1%) had CKD stage 3 or above. In a multivariate Cox regression model, hypertension (hazard ratio [HR], 8.779; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.526 to 50.496; p = 0.015), proteinuria > 1 g/day (HR, 5.184; 95% CI, 1.124 to 23.921; p = 0.035), and pNGAL (HR, 1.012; 95% CI, 1.003 to 1.022; p = 0.013) were independent predictors associated with adverse renal outcome.ConclusionspNGAL showed strong correlations with other clinical prognostic factors and was also an independent predictor of adverse renal outcome. We suggest pNGAL as a potential predictor for prognosis in IgAN, while further studies are needed to confirm the clinical value.

Association of Angiopoietin-2 with Renal Outcome in Chronic Kidney Disease

BackgroundThe pathophysiological mechanisms of renal function progression in chronic kidney disease (CKD) have still not been completely explored. In addition to well-known traditional risk factors, non-traditional risk factors, such as endothelial dysfunction, have gradually attracted physicians' attention. Angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) impairs endothelial function through preventing angiopoietin-1 from binding to Tie2 receptor. Whether Ang-2 is associated with renal function progression in CKD is unknown.MethodsThis study enrolled 621 patients with stages 3–5 CKD to assess the association of circulating Ang-2 with commencing dialysis, doubling creatinine and rapid decline in renal function (the slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2/y) over follow-up of more than 3 years.ResultsOf all patients, 224 patients (36.1%) progressed to commencing dialysis and 165 (26.6%) reached doubling creatinine. 85 subjects (13.9%) had rapid decline in renal function. Ang-2 quartile was divided at 1494.1, 1948.8, and 2593.1 pg/ml. The adjusted HR of composite outcomes, either commencing dialysis or doubling creatinine was 1.53 (95% CI: 1.06–2.23) for subjects of quartile 4 compared with those of quartile 1. The adjusted OR for rapid decline in renal function was 2.96 (95% CI: 1.13–7.76) for subjects of quartile 4 compared with those of quartile 1. The linear mixed-effects model shows a more rapid decrease in eGFR over time in patients with quartile 3 or more of Ang-2 than those with the lowest quartile of Ang-2.ConclusionsAng-2 is an independent predictor of adverse renal outcome in CKD. Further study is needed to identify the pathogenic role of Ang-2 in CKD progression.

Management and outcomes for patients with TTP: analysis of 100 cases at a single institution

The advent of plasma exchange has led to a dramatic improvement in the survival of patients with thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (TTP), though approximately 10% of patients still die and a third suffer relapses. Clinical features that identify poor risk patients have not been clearly identified. We reviewed 100 patients who were treated for a first episode of TTP at the Cleveland Clinic between 2000 and 2012 to identify factors predictive of poor outcomes. On multivariate analysis, increasing age, especially age > 60 (RR: 7.08, 95% CI: 2.15-23.39, P = 0.002), severe neurological symptoms at presentation (RR: 18.37, 95% CI: I4.19-80.13, P < 0.001) and a persistently elevated LDH level after two plasma exchanges were predictive of mortality. Patients with ADAMTS13 activity above or below 5% did not differ in terms of clinical presentation or mortality and relapse rates, although ADAMTS13 activity > 5% was an independent predictor of adverse renal outcomes (need for dialysis and progression to chronic kidney disease). These variables may be useful for risk stratification and identification of patients who could potentially benefit from early institution of adjunctive therapy.

Left-Ventricular Hypertrophy and Renal Outcome in Hypertensive Patients In Primary-Care

Subclinical cardiac damage has recently emerged as a potential predictor of adverse renal outcome. We therefore retrospectively evaluated the effect of left-ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), diagnosed electrocardiographically, on the renal outcome of hypertensive patients managed in primary care. From a historical cohort of 39,525 hypertensive individuals evaluated in 2005, we retrieved 5-year data of the 18,510 surviving subjects for whom renal follow-up was available. The baseline prevalences of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and LVH in the study cohort were 25.6% and 5.6%, respectively. During the 5-year follow-up, 1.4% of patients with LVH and 0.5% of those without LVH progressed to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring dialysis (P < 0.01). Moreover, 25.6% of patients with LVH and 17% without LVH progressed from each stage of CKD to a more advanced stage (P < 0.01), whereas 0.9% of patients with LVH and 0.4% without LVH reached stage 5 CKD (P < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that besides estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and male gender, LVH was the most significant modifiable predictor of progression to dialysis (hazard ratio (HR), 1.82; 95% CI, 1.05-3.17; P = 0.03). Multivariate logistic regression analysis also revealed LVH as a significant predictor of the risk of progression from each stage of CKD to a more advanced stage (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.07-1.45; P < 0.01), as well as of progression to stage 5 CKD (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.17-2.95; P < 0.01). Left-ventricular hypertrophy proved to be a significant predictor of adverse renal outcome in hypertensive patients managed with primary care, and systematic screening for LVH should be adopted for assessing renal risk in these patients.

KIM-1 expression predicts renal outcomes in IgA nephropathy

Kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1) is a sensitive biomarker for proximal tubular injury. Recently, a few studies have shown that urinary KIM-1 has clinical implications in IgA nephropathy (IgAN). We performed this study to determine whether tissue KIM-1 has clinical implications for predicting long-term outcome and whether urinary KIM-1 is correlated with tissue KIM-1 and kidney injury in IgAN patients. We assessed the prognostic prediction capability of tissue KIM-1 expression in 69 adult patients with IgAN retrospectively. Renal biopsies from all patients were scored by a pathologist who was blinded to the clinical data for the pathologic variables. The primary outcome was the composite of a 50% reduction in eGFR or end-stage renal disease. Tissue KIM-1 expression was assessed semiquantitatively by counting the stained tubules per 100× power field; 0 tubule indicates grade 0; 1-5 tubules, grade 1; 6-10 tubules, grade 2; and more than 10 tubules, grade 3. Comparing urinary KIM-1 and tissue KIM-1 expression, 50 consecutive IgAN patients were prospectively enrolled to measure urinary KIM-1 levels and examine their biopsy specimens by KIM-1 immunohistochemistry. Univariate analysis showed that tissue KIM-1 expression was associated with the renal outcome in IgAN. Multivariate regression analysis, as the relationship of tissue KIM-1 with prognosis, was consistent. Proteinuria at biopsy and tissue KIM-1 grade 3 were shown to have a prognostic value. The concentration of urinary KIM-1/Cr in patients with IgAN was significantly higher than that in the normal controls. Tissue KIM-1 expression is an independent predictor of adverse renal outcomes in IgA nephropathy patients.