Predictive Factors Of In-hospital Mortality Research Articles

Comparison of endovascular therapy and open surgical revascularization in patients with acute superior mesenteric artery occlusion

Abstract Background Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is rare, and few large-scale trials have evaluated endovascular therapy (EVT) and open surgical revascularisation (OS). This study aimed to assess clinical outcomes after EVT or OS for acute superior mesenteric artery occlusion (SMAO) and identify predictors of mortality and bowel resection. Methods Data from the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases-Diagnosis Procedure Combination database from April 2012 to March 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Overall, 746 patients with acute SMAO who underwent revascularisation were classified into two groups: EVT (n=475) or OS (n=271). The primary clinical outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were bowel resection, bleeding complications (transfusion or endoscopic hemostasis), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), hospitalisation duration, and cost. Results The in-hospital death or bowel resection rate was approximately 30%. In-hospital mortality (22.5% vs. 21.4%, p=0.72), bowel resection (8.2% vs. 8.5%, p=0.90), and MACEs (11.6% vs. 9.2%, p=0.32) were comparable between the EVT and OS groups, respectively (Table.1). EVT was advantageous in terms of hospitalisation duration and cost (both p<0.0001). Interaction analyses revealed that EVT and OS had no significant difference in terms of in-hospital death in patients with thromboembolic and atherothrombotic characteristics (Figure.1). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that advanced age, decreased activities of daily living, chronic kidney disease, and old myocardial infarction were significant predictive factors for in-hospital mortality. Diabetes Mellitus was a predictor of bowel resection after revascularisation. Conclusions EVT was comparable to OS in terms of clinical outcomes in patients with acute SMAO. Some predictive factors for mortality or bowel resection were obtained. Clinical implications EVT may be a feasible alternative to OS, potentially impacting clinical practice as a less invasive option for managing patients with acute SMAO.In-hospital clinical outcomesInteraction effect test for mortality

Clinical Presentation and Prognosis of Infective Endocarditis Prosthesis: A Retrospective Study in a Tertiary Cardiology Center

Introduction: Prosthetic valve endocarditis (PVE) is a serious infection involving the prosthetic heart valve and the endocardium. It carries high morbidity and mortality, especially in patients with mechanical valves. Aim of the Study: To investigate the clinical, biological, bacteriological, and echocardiographic characteristics of patients with prosthetic valve endocarditis and identify the predictive factors of in-hospital mortality. Patients and Methods: This retrospective, descriptive study was conducted over a period of 5 years, from June 2020 to July 2024, and included 82 cases of PVE diagnosed at a tertiary cardiology center. Results: A total of 82 patients were included, with an average age of 39.12 ± 5.6 years. All patients had mechanical valves, with the infection localized to the mitral valve in 53 cases and the aortic valve in 29 cases. Positive blood cultures were obtained in 36 patients, and Staphylococcus aureus was the most common pathogen, isolated in 26 cases (31.7%), followed by coagulase-negative Staphylococcus in 18 cases (21.95%). Transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiography revealed vegetations in 75 patients (91%), with prosthesis disinsertion in 27 cases and periprosthetic abscesses in 15 cases. The most common complications included heart failure in 17 patients, embolic events in 46 patients, and renal failure in 15 patients. Antibiotic therapy was administered to all patients, with a total average duration of 39.26 days. Surgery was indicated in 62 patients, with an average surgery delay of 42 ± 2 days. The main surgical indications were uncontrolled heart failure (32 cases), embolic complications (17 cases), and failure to control infection with antibiotics (13 cases). The overall mortality rate was 26%. Predictive factors of mortality included heart failure, delayed surgery, and early-onset PVE. Conclusion: Prosthetic valve endocarditis remains a challenging and life-threatening condition. Prompt diagnosis, appropriate antibiotic therapy, and timely surgical intervention are essential for improving patient outcomes. Mortality is influenced by multiple factors, including the timing of the infection and the presence of comorbid conditions.

Comparison of Endovascular Therapy and Open Surgical Revascularization in Patients With Acute Superior Mesenteric Artery Occlusion: A Large-Scale Analysis Based on the JROAD-DPC Database.

Acute mesenteric ischemia is rare, and few large-scale trials have evaluated endovascular therapy (EVT) and open surgical revascularization (OS). This study aimed to assess clinical outcomes after EVT or OS for acute superior mesenteric artery occlusion and identify predictors of mortality and bowel resection. Data from the Japanese Registry of All Cardiac and Vascular Diseases-Diagnosis Procedure Combination (JROAD-DPC) database from April 2012 to March 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Overall, 746 patients with acute superior mesenteric artery occlusion who underwent revascularization were classified into 2 groups: EVT (n=475) or OS (n=271). The primary clinical outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were bowel resection, bleeding complications (transfusion or endoscopic hemostasis), major adverse cardiovascular events, hospitalization duration, and cost. The in-hospital death or bowel resection rate was ≈30%. In-hospital mortality (22.5% versus 21.4%, P=0.72), bowel resection (8.2% versus 8.5%, P=0.90), and major adverse cardiovascular events (11.6% versus 9.2%, P=0.32) were comparable between the EVT and OS groups. Hospitalization duration in the EVT group was 6 days shorter than that in the OS group, and total hospitalization cost was 0.88 million yen lower. Interaction analyses revealed that EVT and OS had no significant difference in terms of in-hospital death in patients with thromboembolic and atherothrombotic characteristics. Advanced age, decreased activities of daily living, chronic kidney disease, and oldmyocardial infarction were significant predictive factors for in-hospital mortality. Diabetes was a predictor of bowel resection after revascularization. EVT was comparable to OS in terms of clinical outcomes in patients with acute superior mesenteric artery occlusion. Some predictive factors for mortality or bowel resection were obtained. URL: www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/; Unique Identifier: UMIN000045240.

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting in-hospital death in cirrhotic patients with acute kidney injury

BackgroundThe purpose of this study was to develop a nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in order to identify patients with a high risk of in-hospital death early.MethodsThis study collected data on cirrhotic patients with AKI from 2008 to 2019 using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify confounding factors related to in-hospital mortality, which were then integrated into the nomogram. The concordance index (C-Index) was used to evaluate the accuracy of the model predictions. The area under the curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the predictive performance and clinical utility of the nomogram.ResultsThe final study population included 886 cirrhotic patients with AKI, and 264 (29.8%) died in the hospital. After multivariate logistic regression, age, gender, cerebrovascular disease, heart rate, respiration rate, temperature, oxygen saturation, hemoglobin, blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, international normalized ratio, bilirubin, urine volume, and sequential organ failure assessment score were predictive factors of in-hospital mortality. In addition, the nomogram showed good accuracy in estimating the in-hospital mortality of patients. The calibration plots showed the best agreement with the actual presence of in-hospital mortality in patients. In addition, the AUC and DCA curves showed that the nomogram has good prediction accuracy and clinical value.ConclusionsWe have created a prognostic nomogram for predicting in-hospital death in cirrhotic patients with AKI, which may facilitate timely intervention to improve prognosis in these patients.

Clinical usefulness of NT-proBNP as a prognostic factor for septic shock patients presenting to the emergency department

Plasma N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level is primarily used as a biomarker for left ventricular (LV) dysfunction. It is influenced by various conditions, such as myocardial strain and situations affecting the clearance of NT-proBNP, including sepsis and shock. In this study, we investigated the appropriateness of NT-proBNP as a prognostic factor for septic shock. Patients with septic shock who visited the emergency department of the Ewha Womans’ University Mokdong Hospital between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2020, were classified into the survival group (those who survived in the hospital and were discharged) and the death group (those who died in the hospital). The effectiveness of NT-proBNP, lactate, and blood urea nitrogen as predictive factors of in-hospital mortality was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. The AUROC curve was 0.678 and 0.648 for lactate and NT-proBNP, respectively, with lactate showing the highest value. However, there was no significant difference between lactate and NT-proBNP levels in the comparison of their AUROC curve (p = 0.6278). NT-proBNP could be a useful predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with septic shock who present to the emergency department.

Endocardite infectieuse : facteurs prédictifs de mortalité intrahospitalière

IntroductionInfective endocarditis (IE) remains a serious disease with significant morbidity and mortality despite therapeutic advancements. The aim of our study was to determine the predictive factors of in-hospital mortality. Patients and methodsA prospective comparative study over a period of 54 months was conducted, including all patients admitted for definite infective endocarditis, diagnosed according to the modified Duke criteria published in 2015 by the European Society of Cardiology. ResultsThirty-four patients were included. Drug addiction was the main risk factor for infective endocarditis (56%). Tricuspid valve involvement was predominant (50%). Staphylococcus aureus was the most commonly isolated pathogen (65%). In-hospital mortality rate was 47%. In multivariate analysis, predictive factors for mortality were acute heart failure (OR=7.4; p=0.026; 95% CI [1.2–44]) and cerebral embolic localization (OR=11.1; p=0.024; 95% CI [13–90]). ConclusionsCardiac and cerebral complications influence the prognosis of IE. Thus, close collaboration among multidisciplinary teams is necessary for improved diagnostic and therapeutic management.

Clinical features, microbial spectrum, and antibiotic susceptibility patterns of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients

Background and AimsThe microbial spectrum and antimicrobial resistance patterns change over time and vary across regions in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). There is an urgent need to clarify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality in these patients. MethodsIn this study, 377 patients with SBP and 794 patients with bacterascites were analyzed for the microbial spectrum, antimicrobial resistance profiles, and laboratory findings. ResultsThe most common pathogens were Escherichia coli (96, 25.5%), Staphylococcus epidermidis (55, 14.6%), and Enterococcus faecium (42, 11.1%). Multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria comprised 49.7% of gram-positive bacteria (GPB) and 48.8% of gram-negative bacteria (GNB). The most sensitive antibiotics were amikacin (91.5%), meropenem (89.8%) and piperacillin/tazobactam (87.6%). Extensively drug-resistant (XDR) (OR=51.457, p < 0.001), neutrophil count (OR=1.088, p < 0.001), and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (OR=1.124, p < 0.001) were independent predictive factors of in-hospital mortality in patients with SBP. ConclusionMDR represented nearly half of the bacteria isolated from patients with SBP, of which the high prevalence of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing and Carbapenem-resistant bacteria is concerning. The presence of XDR, higher MELD score, and neutrophil count were independent predictive factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality in patients with SBP, indicating that intensive care should be provided to these patients.

Clinical outcomes of hundred large Impella implantations in cardiogenic shock patients based on individual clinical scenarios.

Large Impella systems (5.0 or 5.5; i.e., Impella 5+) (Abiomed Inc., Danvers, MA, USA) help achieve better clinical outcomes through relevant left ventricular unloading in acute cardiogenic shock (CS). Here, we report our experience with Impella 5+, while focusing on the clinical outcomes depending on individual case scenarios in patients with acute CS. This single-center retrospective observational study included 100 Impella 5+ implantations conducted on patients with acute CS from November 2018 to October 2021. After excluding 10 reimplantation cases, 90 cases were enrolled for further analysis. In-hospital and 30-day mortality rates were 56.7% (n = 51) and 48.9% (n = 44), respectively. In-hospital mortality was lower in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) than in non-AMI patients (p = 0.07). Young age and low lactate levels were the independent predictors of successful transition and survival after permanent mechanical circulatory support/heart transplantation (pMCS/HTX) (age, p = 0.03; lactate level, p = 0.04; survived after pMCS/HTX, n = 11; died on Impella, n = 41). During simultaneous utilization of venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy and Impella 5+, termed ECMELLA therapy, high dose of noradrenaline was a predictive factor for in-hospital mortality by multivariate analysis (n = 0.02). Our results suggest that enhanced Impella support might have better clinical outcomes among acute CS patients supported with large Impella, those with AMI than those with no AMI. Young age and low lactate levels were predictors of successful bridging to pMCS/HTX and favorable clinical outcomes thereafter. The clinical outcomes of ECMELLA therapy might depend on noradrenaline dose at the time of Impella 5+ implantation.

The hidden side of infective endocarditis: Diagnostic and management of 500 consecutive cases in noncardiac surgery centers (2009–2018)

BackgroundWe aimed to describe infective endocarditis cases from noncardiac surgery centers, as current knowledge on infective endocarditis is derived mostly from cardiac surgery hospitals. MethodsAn observational retrospective study (2009–2018) was conducted in 9 noncardiac surgery hospitals in Central Catalonia. All adult patients diagnosed with definitive infective endocarditis were included. Transferred and nontransferred cohorts were compared, and a logistic regression model was used to ascertain the prognostic factors. ResultsOverall, 502 infective endocarditis episodes were included: 183 (36.5%) were transferred to the cardiac surgery center, whereas 319 were not, with (18.7%) and without (45%) surgical indications. Cardiac surgery was performed in 83% of transferred patients. In-hospital (14% vs 23%) and 1-year (20% vs 35%) mortality rates were significantly lower in transferred patients (P < .001). Among the patients not undergoing cardiac surgery despite an indication, 55 (54%) died within 1 year. The multivariate analysis identified the following independent predictive factors for in-hospital mortality: Staphylococcus aureus infective endocarditis (odds ratio: 1.93 [1.08, 3.47]), heart failure (odds ratio: 3.87 [2.28, 6.57]), central nervous system embolism (odds ratio: 2.95 [1.41, 5.14]), and Charlson score (odds ratio: 1.19 [1.09, 1.30]), whereas community acquisition (odds ratio: 0.52 [0.29, 0.93]), cardiac surgery (odds ratio: 0.42 [0.20, 0.87]), but not transfer (odds ratio: 1.23 [0.84, 3.95]) were identified as protective factors. One-year mortality was associated with S. aureus infective endocarditis (odds ratio: 1.82 [1.04, 3.18]), heart failure (odds ratio: 3.74 [2.27, 6.16]), and Charlson score (odds ratio: 1.23 [1.13, 1.33]), whereas cardiac surgery (odds ratio: 0.41 [0.21, 0.79]) was identified as a protective factor. ConclusionPatients not transferred to a referral cardiac surgery center have a worse prognosis compared to those ultimately transferred, as cardiac surgery is associated with lower mortality rates.

Intraoperative predictors of in-hospital mortality after open repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Several models and scores have been released to predict early mortality in patients undergoing surgery for a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA). These scores included above all preoperative factors and they could be useful to deny surgical repair. The aim of the study was to evaluate intraoperative predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing open surgical repair (OSR) for a rAAA. Between January 2007 and December 2020, 265 patients were admitted at our tertiary referral hospital for a rAAA. Two-hundred-twenty-two patients underwent OSR. Intra-operative factors were analyzed by means of univariate analysis (step 1). Associations of procedure variables with in-hospital mortality rates were sought based on a multivariate Cox regression analysis (step 2). Overall, in-hospital mortality rate was 28.8% (64 cases). Multivariate Cox regression analysis reported that operation time >240 minutes (P=0.032, OR 2.155, CI 95% 1.068-4.349), and hemoperitoneum (P<0.001, OR 3.582, CI 95% 1.749-7.335) were negative predictive factors for in-hospital mortality. Patency of at least one hypogastric artery (P=0.010; OR 0.128, CI 95% 0.271-0.609), and infrarenal clamping (P=0.001; OR 0.157, CI 95% 0.052-0.483) had a protective role in reducing in-hospital mortality rate. Operation time >240 minutes, and hemoperitoneum affected in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing OSR for rAAA. Patency of at least one hypogastric artery, and infrarenal clamping had a protective role. Further studies are needed to validate these outcomes. A validated predictive model could be useful to help the physicians in communication with patients' relatives.

Baseline characteristics and analysis of predictors of the Outcome of septic pulmonary embolism in children: a retrospective observational study

BackgroundSeptic pulmonary embolism is a rare disease in children. We aimed to assess the clinical, microbiological, and radiological characteristics and outcomes of pediatric septic pulmonary embolism (SPE) and to identify any predictive factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with this unusual disease to enhance prognosis and treatment.MethodsA retrospective study to search the electronic medical records of children admitted to the pediatric pulmonology unit, Tanta University hospital with the diagnosis of SPE between January 2015 and June 2022.ResultsSeventeen pediatric patients were identified; ten males and seven females with a mean age of 9.4 ± 5.2 years. The most common presenting complaints were fever and shortness of breath (n = 17) followed by chest pain (n = 9), pallor (n = 5), limb swelling (n = 4), and back pain (n = 1). Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) was the most common causative pathogen in nine patients. The most common extra-pulmonary septic foci were septic arthritis in five patients (29.4%), septic thrombophlebitis in four patients (23.5%), and infective endocarditis in two patients (11.8%). All patients exhibited wedge-shaped peripheral lesions and feeding vessel sign in CT chest, whereas bilateral diffuse lesions, nodular lesions, and cavitation were present in 94.1% of patients, pleural effusion was identified in 58.8% of patients, and pneumothorax was detected in 41.2% of patients. Fifteen patients improved and survived (88.2%), while two patients died (11.8%).ConclusionEarly diagnosis of SPE with vigorous early therapy is critical for a better outcome, including appropriate antibiotics and timely surgical interference to eradicate extra-pulmonary septic foci.

Characteristics and predictive factors of death in acute coronary syndromes among the elderly: data from the Acute coronary syndrome registry at the Abidjan Heart Institute

Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) are the leading cause of death among the elderly in sub-Saharan Africa. The aim of this study was to analyze the characteristics of ACS among the elderly at the Abidjan Heart Institute. Cross-sectional study from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019. All patients aged 18 or more admitted to the Abidjan Heart Institute for ACS were included. These patients were divided into two groups: elderly (≥ 65 years old) and non-elderly (< 65 years old). Clinical data, management and outcomes were compared and analyzed in both groups. A total of 570 patients were included, of which 137 (24%) were elderly. Sixty percent (60%) of elderly patients presented with ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI). Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) was less performed among elderly patients (21.1% vs 30.2%, p = 0.039). Heart failure was the most important complication among the elderly group (56.9% vs 44.6%, p = 0.012). In-hospital mortality was 8% among the elderly. Predictive factors for in-hospital mortality were history of hypertension (HR 2.58; CI95% 1.10-6.08) and STEMI presentation (OR 11.60; CI95% 2.70-49.76). PCI was a protective factor for in-hospital mortality (OR 0.14; IC95% 0.03-0.62). ACS occur with increasing frequency with age. Poor outcomes among the elderly are determined by the clinical presentation and comorbidities. PCI appears to significantly reduce in-hospital mortality.

ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction in North African Women: Results From a Twenty-year Experience.

Coronary artery disease remains the most common cause of morbidity and mortality in the general population. Several studies in developed countries have reported a gender-related difference in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in terms of risk factors, clinical presentation, delays in management, therapeutic modalities, and in-hospital as well as one-year outcomes. Data from non-developed countries about women with STEMI remain rare. We therefore aimed through this study to investigate the baseline characteristics of STEMI in Tunisian women compared to men and to determine the impact of gender difference on STEMI complications, in-hospital mortality, and one-year follow-up outcomes. All patients presenting to our center for STEMI between January 2001 and January 2021 were retrospectively enrolled in this analysis. Clinical features, therapeutic management, and in-hospital as well as one-year outcomes were compared between women and men. Predictive factors of in-hospital mortality in women were determined. Out of 1670 STEMI hospitalizations, 359 (21.4%) were female. Compared to male, female had higher rates of hypertension (51.5% vs. 24.4%, p < 0.001), diabetes (50.1% vs. 32.2%, p < 0.001), and obesity (63.8% vs. 55%, p = 0.003). The clinical presentation was characterized by less prevalent inaugural chest pain (58.8% vs. 68.6%, p < 0.001). Atypical symptoms were significantly higher in women compared to men (55.2% vs. 5%, p<0.001). On admission, women had higher prevalence of anemia, renal failure, and hyperglycemia compared to men. Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) was the reperfusion strategy of choice in 37.9% of women vs. 33.1% of men (p=0.02). Women were significantly less likely to receive thrombolysis (p = 0.004), with a significantly less prevalent successful thrombolysis (55.6% vs. 67.2%, p=0.013). In-hospital mortality was markedly higher in women compared to men (12.8% vs. 7.3%, p=0.001). Compared to surviving women (n = 313), those who died (n = 46) frequently had more diabetes and hypertension (65.2% vs. 47.9%, p= 0.02 and 67.4% vs. 49.2%, p = 0.02, respectively). New-onset atrial fibrillation, acute left heart failure, cardiogenic shock, ventricular tachycardia, and atrioventricular block markedly occurred in women who died (52.2% vs. 23.3%, p=<0.001; 17.4% vs. 1.9%, p < 0.001; 19.6% vs. 8.3%, p = 0.016; 15.2% vs. 1.6%, p < 0.001 and 34.8% vs. 10.2%, p < 0.001, respectively). Compared to men, Tunisian women presenting for STEMI had higher prevalence of risk factors and atypical symptoms. Women had more in-hospital complications and mortality.

Predictive factors of inhospital mortality for ICU patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure undergoing liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only effective treatment for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), but it is limited by organ availability. This study aims to identify predictive factors of mortality for LT candidates based on parameters measured at the admission into the ICU. Sixty-four patients diagnosed with ACLF, admitted consecutively into ICU between 2015 and 2019, were retrospectively enrolled in the study. Data were assessed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses to identify risk factors for inhospital mortality and 1-year mortality. A total of 67% of patients were diagnosed with ACLF grade 3, and 25 and 8% with grades 2 and 1. Thirty percent received LT with a 1-year mortality rate of 16%, whereas for nontransplanted patients it reached 90%. Clinical features were compared according to transplant eligibility. In the univariate analysis model, lung failure (HR, 3.01; 95% CI, 1.48-6.09; P = 0.002), high lactate levels (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04; P < 0.001) and CLIF-ACLF score (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; P = 0.026) were independently correlated to increased inhospital mortality. LT reduced mortality risk (HR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.04-0.72; P = 0.016). Lung failure, CLIF-ACLF score and blood lactate levels at admission were the only statistically significant independent predictors of inhospital mortality, more accurate in determining transplant success than ACLF grade.

Clinical and Paraclinical Predictive Factors for In-hospital Mortality in Adult Patients with COVID-19: A Cross-sectional Study in Iran

Background: COVID-19, a type of coronavirus emerged in Wuhan, China in December 2019, causing an epidemic of pneumonia with unknown reasons. Objective: This study aimed to investigate the factors affecting in-hospital mortality of patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in one of the main hospitals in central Iran. Methods: This retrospective cross-sectional study (February-May 2020) was conducted on patients with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 admitted to Yazd Shahid Sadoughi Hospital in Iran. The patients with uncompleted or missed medical files were excluded from the study. Data were extract-ed from the patients' medical files and then analyzed. The patients were categorized as survivors and non-survivors groups, and they were compared. Results: Total 573 patients were enrolled and 356 (62.2%) were male. The mean±SD of age was 56.29±17.53 years, and 93 (16.23%) died. All the complications were more in non-survivors. Inten-sive care unit (ICU) admission was in 20.5% of the patients, which was more in non-survivors (P&lt;0.001). The results of multivariate logistic regression test showed that pleural effusion in lung computed tomography (CT) scan (OR=0.055, P=0.019), white blood cell (WBC) (OR=1.418, P=0.022), serum albumin (OR=0.009, P&lt;0.001), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (OR=34.351, P&lt;0.001), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (OR=66.039, P=0.003) were the predic-tive factors for in-hospital mortality. Conclusion: In-hospital mortality with COVID-19 was about 16%. Plural effusion in lung CT scan, increased WBC count, lower mount of serum albumin, non-invasive mechanical ventilation, and ARDS were obtained as the predictive factors for in-hospital mortality.

The deadliest lung lobe in COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study of elderly patients hospitalized for COVID-19

Introduction The relationship between which lung lobe is affected on the chest X-ray (CXR) performed at the Emergency Department (ED) and mortality from COVID-19 has not been studied. With this in mind, the present study aimed to discern which lung lobe was the one with the highest associated mortality rate in the elderly population. Methods Information was collected from the 2020 hospital admissions records of our hospital. Our cohort consists of 300 admissions. Results The presence of the left lower lobe (RR = 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1-2.4) and right middle lobe involvement (RR =1.8; 95% CI: 1.2-2.7) on CXR at the ED were both predictive factors of in-hospital mortality. Right middle lobe involvement on CXR at the ED was the risk factor with the highest relative risk value (RR = 1.8). Furthermore, right middle lobe involvement on CXR at ED was a predictor for persistent organ failure (RR = 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2-2.3), respiratory failure (RR = 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2-2.4) and acute kidney injury (RR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.2-2). The isolated right middle lobe involvement on CXR at ED was a risk factor for in-hospital mortality (RR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.8 - 3.7). However, the affected right middle lobe along with another/other lobe/s was a null factor. Conclusion Right middle lobe involvement was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality.

The Impact of Age on In-Hospital Mortality in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective and Multicenter Study.

Introduction: For the past two years, healthcare systems worldwide have been battling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Several studies tried to find predictive factors of mortality in COVID-19 patients. We aimed to research age as a predictive factor associated with in-hospital mortality in severe and critical SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods: Between 1 March and 20 April 2020, we conducted a multicenter and retrospective study on a cohort of severe COVID-19 patients who were all hospitalized in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). We led our study in nine hospitals of northeast France, one of the pandemic’s epicenters in Europe. Results: The median age of our study population was 66 years (58–72 years). Mortality was 24.6% (CI 95%: 20.6–29%) in the ICU and 26.5% (CI 95%: 22.3–31%) in the hospital. Non-survivors were significantly older (69 versus 64 years, p < 0.001) than the survivors. Although a history of cardio-vascular diseases was more frequent in the non-survivor group (p = 0.015), other underlying conditions and prior level of autonomy did not differ between the two groups. On multivariable analysis, age appeared to be an interesting predictive factor of in-hospital mortality. Thus, age ranges of 65 to 74 years (OR = 2.962, CI 95%: 1.231–7.132, p = 0.015) were predictive of mortality, whereas the group of patients aged over 75 years was not (OR = 3.084, CI 95%: 0.952–9.992, p = 0.06). Similarly, all comorbidities except for immunodeficiency (OR = 4.207, CI 95%: 1.006–17.586, p = 0.049) were not predictive of mortality. Finally, survival follow-up was obtained for the study population. Conclusion: Age appears to be a relevant predictive factor of in-hospital mortality in cases of severe or critical SARS-CoV-2 infection.

In-Hospital Outcomes and Recurrence of Infectious Spondylitis in Patients with and without Chronic Hemodialysis: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

PurposeThe incidence of bloodstream infection among end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients on chronic hemodialysis (HD) was 26-fold higher than population controls, causing higher morbidity and costs. The aim of this investigation was to clarify the prognostic factors, in-hospital outcomes and recurrence of infectious spondylitis of patients with and without chronic HD.Patients and MethodsThis nationwide study analyzed 2592 patients who admitted for first-time infectious spondylitis between January 1, 2003, and December 31, 2015. Patients were classified into the chronic HD or the non-HD group. The logistic regression model and the general linear model were utilized to determine the impact of chronic HD on in-hospital mortality and recurrence. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the predictive factors of in-hospital mortality and recurrence.ResultsCompared to the non-HD group, patients in the chronic HD group had a higher risk of respiratory failure, sepsis, in-hospital mortality, longer hospital stay, and higher medical spending. Chronic HD was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio 2.21, 95% confidence interval 1.34–3.65, p=0.0019), but not for recurrence. Intravascular device implantation or revision was a prognosticator for the mortality of both groups and a predictor for recurrence of the non-HD group. Surgical treatment was associated with a decreased risk of recurrence, whereas treatment with CT-guided abscess drainage was associated with an increased risk of recurrence in both groups.ConclusionPatients with infectious spondylitis who were receiving chronic HD had a higher in-hospital mortality compared to those without HD. Intravascular device implantations or revision within 6 months was a significant predictor of in-hospital mortality and disease recurrence. Surgical treatment of infectious spondylitis had a lower risk of recurrence than those with CT-guided abscess drainage in both patient groups.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram to predict the in-hospital death risk of nosocomial infections in cancer patients

BackgroundAttributed to the immunosuppression caused by malignancy itself and its treatments, cancer patients are vulnerable to developing nosocomial infections. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the in-hospital death risk of these patients.MethodsThis retrospective study was conducted at a medical center in Northwestern China. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were adopted to identify predictive factors for in-hospital mortality of nosocomial infections in cancer patients. A nomogram was developed to predict the in-hospital mortality of each patient, with receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves being generated to assess its predictive ability. Furthermore, decision curve analysis (DCA) was also performed to estimate the clinical utility of the nomogram.ResultsA total of 1,008 nosocomial infection episodes were recognized from 14,695 cancer patients. Extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Escherichia coli (15.5%) was the most predominant causative pathogen. Besides, multidrug-resistant strains were discovered in 25.5% of cases. The multivariate analysis indicated that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status 3–4, mechanical ventilation, septic shock, hypoproteinemia, and length of antimicrobial treatment < 7 days were correlated with higher in-hospital mortality. Patients who received curative surgery were correlated with favorable survival outcomes. Ultimately, a nomogram was constructed to predict the in-hospital mortality of nosocomial infections in cancer patients. The area under the curve values of the nomogram were 0.811 and 0.795 in the training and validation cohorts. The calibration curve showed high consistency between the actual and predicted in-hospital mortality. DCA indicated that the nomogram was of good clinical utility and more credible net clinical benefits in predicting in-hospital mortality.ConclusionsNosocomial infections stay conjoint in cancer patients, with gram-negative bacteria being the most frequent causative pathogens. We developed and verified a nomogram that could effectively predict the in-hospital death risk of nosocomial infections among these patients. Precise management of high-risk patients, early recognition of septic shock, rapid and adequate antimicrobial treatment, and dynamic monitoring of serum albumin levels may improve the prognosis of these individuals.

Effect of preoperative erector spinae muscles mass on postoperative outcomes in patients with left ventricular assist devices

Frailty influences the postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. Recently, erector spinae muscle (ESM) mass has been proposed as a parameter to assess frailty accurately. Thus, the purpose of the present study was to evaluate whether preoperative ESM mass is associated with short- and long-term clinical outcomes in patients with LVAD. A total of 119 consecutive patients with LVAD were enrolled between January 2010 and October 2017 at a single heart center. The ESM area, ESM index, and Hounsfield units (HU) of the ESM were calculated by computed tomography for preoperative ESM mass evaluation. We then statistically evaluated the in-hospital mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), duration of hospital stay, and long-term survival. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, ESM mass indicated no effect on all clinical outcomes. In addition, the ESM area presented a weak but significant negative linear correlation only with the duration of hospital stay (r = -0.21, p < .05). In contrast, the Model For End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and preoperative venous-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (va-ECMO) were significant predictive factors for in-hospital mortality (MELD score: p < .001, hazard ratio [HR] 1.1; preoperative va-ECMO: p < .01, HR 2.72) and MACE (MELD score: p < .001, HR 1.07; preoperative va-ECMO: p < .005, HR 2.62). Preoperative ESM mass might predict the length of hospital stay in patients undergoing LVAD implantation. In contrast, it had no effect on MACE, in-hospital mortality, or long-term survival in this study.