Precipitation Retrieval Algorithms Research Articles

A Comprehensive Northern Hemisphere Particle Microphysics Data Set From the Precipitation Imaging Package

AbstractMicrophysical observations of precipitating particles are critical data sources for numerical weather prediction models and remote sensing retrieval algorithms. However, obtaining coherent data sets of particle microphysics is challenging as they are often unindexed, distributed across disparate institutions, and have not undergone a uniform quality control process. This work introduces a unified, comprehensive Northern Hemisphere particle microphysical data set from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration precipitation imaging package (PIP), accessible in a standardized data format and stored in a centralized, public repository. Data is collected from 10 measurement sites spanning 34° latitude (37°N–71°N) over 10 years (2014–2023), which comprise a set of 1,070,000 precipitating minutes. The provided data set includes measurements of a suite of microphysical attributes for both rain and snow, including distributions of particle size, vertical velocity, and effective density, along with higher‐order products including an approximation of volume‐weighted equivalent particle densities, liquid equivalent snowfall, and rainfall rate estimates. The data underwent a rigorous standardization and quality assurance process to filter out erroneous observations to produce a self‐describing, scalable, and achievable data set. Case study analyses demonstrate the capabilities of the data set in identifying physical processes like precipitation phase‐changes at high temporal resolution. Bulk precipitation characteristics from a multi‐site intercomparison also highlight distinct microphysical properties unique to each location. This curated PIP data set is a robust database of high‐quality particle microphysical observations for constraining future precipitation retrieval algorithms, and offers new insights toward better understanding regional and seasonal differences in bulk precipitation characteristics.

Evaluation and Applicability Analysis of GPM Satellite Precipitation over Mainland China

This study aims to systematically evaluate the accuracy and applicability of GPM satellite precipitation products (IMERG-E, IMERG-L, and IMERG-F) with varying time lags at different spatial and temporal scales over mainland China. We use quantitative statistical indicators, including correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean daily precipitation, probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR), bias, and equitable threat score (ETS), based on observations from 2419 national gauge sites. The results show that GPM satellite precipitation products perform well in eastern and southern humid regions of China, with relatively poorer performance in western and northern regions in terms of spatial distribution. It reflects the sensitivity of GPM precipitation retrieval algorithm to climate and precipitation type, topography, density, and quality of ground observation across different latitudes. Despite the design of GPM for different forms of precipitation, IMERG products perform the best in summer and the worst in winter, indicating that estimating snowfalls via satellite is still challenging. In terms of precipitation intensity, IMERG products significantly improve performance for light and no rain (POD ≥ 0.7), but errors gradually increase for moderate, heavy, and torrential rain, due to the saturation tendency of satellite echoes. Overall, we comprehensively evaluate the IMERG products, revealing the distinct characteristics at various spatial–temporal scales focusing on rainfall accumulations over mainland China. This study provides an important reference for other similar satellite-based precipitation products. It also helps the parameter optimization of hydrological modelling, especially under extreme precipitation conditions, to enhance the accuracy of flood simulation.

Research on the Monitoring Ability of Fengyun-Based Quantitative Precipitation Estimates for Capturing Heavy Precipitation: A Case Study of the “7·20” Rainstorm in Henan Province, China

One of the important tasks of the Chinese geostationary and meteorological satellite Fengyun-2 (FY2) series is to provide quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) with high spatiotemporal resolutions for East Asia. To analyze the monitoring capabilities of FY2-based QPEs in extreme rainfall events, this study comprehensively evaluated and compared the performances of FY-2G and FY-2H QPEs for the “7.20” rainstorm in Henan province, China from 17 July 2021 to 22 July 2021. Three continuous metrics and three categorical metrics were adopted to assess the accuracies of FY-2G and FY-2H QPEs, referenced by gauge observations from 116 meteorological stations. The results show that the FY-2G QPE has lower BIAS (−9.64% for FY-2G, −46.22% for FY-2H) and RMSE (5.83 mm/h for FY-2G, 8.4 mm/h for FY-2H) and higher CC (0.57 for FY-2G, 0.24 for FY-2H) than FY-2H QPE in this rainstorm event. Moreover, the FY-2G QPE is not only more consistent with the ground reference with respect to the rainfall amount, but also has higher detecting capability in the “7.20” rainstorm event when compared with the FY-2H QPE. The FY-2G QPE presented a higher capability to correctly capture the precipitation event for the “7.20” rainstorm because of higher POD (probability of detection) and CSI (critical success index) relative to FY-2H QPE, especially in complex topography. From the spatial distribution of precipitation amount, the FY-2G QPE captured the rainstorm center of extreme precipitation more accurately relative to the latest FY-2H product. On the other hand, the previous generation of FY-2G QPE was closer to the continuous rainfall process and precipitation duration with ground observations than the latest FY-2H QPE. Therefore, the precipitation retrieval algorithm of FY-2H QPE still had room to improve. It is necessary to introduce error correction algorithms, especially in complex topography for rainstorm events.

Precipitation Estimation Based on Infrared Data with a Spherical Convolutional Neural Network

Abstract Precipitation is a vital process in the water cycle. Accurate estimation of the precipitation rate underpins the success of hydrological simulations, flood predictions, and water resource management. Satellite infrared (IR) data, with high temporal resolution and wide coverages, have been commonly used in precipitation inversion. However, existing IR-based precipitation retrieval algorithms suffer from various problems such as overestimation in dry regions, poor performance in extreme rainfall events, and reliance on an empirical cloud-top brightness–rain rate relationship. To resolve these problems, we construct a deep learning model using a spherical convolutional neural network to properly represent Earth’s spherical surface. With data input directly from IR bands 3, 4, and 6 of the operational Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES), our new model of Precipitation Estimation based on IR data with Spherical Convolutional Neural Network (PEISCNN) was first trained and tested with a 3-month-long dataset, and then validated in a 2-yr period. Compared to the commonly used IR-based precipitation product PERSIANN-CCS (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks–Cloud Classification System), PEISCNN showed significant improvement in the metrics of POD, CSI, RMSE, and CC, especially in the dry region and for extreme rainfall events. Decomposed with the four-component error decomposition (4CED) method, the overestimation of PEISCNN was averaged 47.66% lower than the CCS at the hourly scale. The PEISCNN model may provide a promising way to produce an improved IR-based precipitation product to benefit a wide range of hydrological applications. Significance Statement An IR-based precipitation algorithm is irreplaceable in satellite precipitation inversion, since an IR sensor can provide observations of high frequency, fine temporal resolution, and wide coverage. Considering the spherical nature of Earth’s surface which has been overlooked in previous IR-based precipitation retrieval algorithms, we proposed a new deep learning model PEISCNN, which can address the problems that exist in IR-based precipitation estimations such as overestimation in dry regions, deficiency in extreme rainfall events, and reliance on the empirical cloud-top brightness–rain rate relationship. PEISCNN provides a new insight to improve the accuracy of the satellite IR-based or multisensor-based precipitation estimation, and it has great potential to benefit a range of related hydrological research, applications in water resource management, and flood predictions.

How accurate are infrared-only and rain gauge-adjusted multi-satellite precipitation products in the southwest monsoon precipitation estimation across India?

A dense network of rain gauges and considerably large variability of the southwest monsoon precipitation across the country make India a suitable test-bed to evaluate any satellite-based precipitation product. In this paper, three real-time infrared-only precipitation products derived from the INSAT-3D satellite namely, INSAT Multispectral Rainfall (IMR), Corrected IMR (IMC) and Hydro-Estimator (HEM) and three rain gauge-adjusted Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM)-based multi-satellite precipitation products namely, Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG), Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) and an Indian merged satellite-gauge product (INMSG) have been evaluated over India at a daily timescale for the southwest monsoon seasons of 2020 and 2021. An evaluation against rain gauge-based gridded reference dataset shows noticeable reduction of bias in IMC product over IMR, primarily over the orographic regions. However, INSAT-3D infrared-only precipitation retrieval algorithms have limitations in shallow and convective precipitation estimation. Among rain gauge-adjusted multi-satellite products, INMSG is shown to be the best product in the monsoon precipitation estimation over India due to use of rather larger number of rain gauges than IMERG and GSMaP products. All satellite-derived precipitation products, i.e. infrared-only and gauge-adjusted multi-satellite products underestimate heavy monsoon precipitation by 50-70%. The bias decomposition analysis indicates that a simple statistical bias correction would considerably improve the performance of the INSAT-3D precipitation products over the central India, but the same might not work over the west coast due to rather larger contributions of both positive and negative hit bias components. Although rain gauge-adjusted multi-satellite precipitation products show very small or negligible total biases in the monsoon precipitation estimation, positive and negative hit bias components are considerable over the west coast and central India. Furthermore, rain gauge-adjusted multi-satellite precipitation products underestimate very heavy to extremely heavy precipitation with larger magnitudes than the INSAT-3D derived precipitation products over the central India. Among the rain gauge-adjusted multi-satellite precipitation products, INMSG has smaller bias and error than IMERG and GSMaP products for very heavy to extremely heavy monsoon precipitation over the west coast and central India. Preliminary results of this study would be useful for end users in choosing a better precipitation product for real-time and research applications as well as for algorithm developers in further improving these products.

A Cloud-Dependent 1DVAR Precipitation Retrieval Algorithm for FengYun-3D Microwave Soundings: A Case Study in Tropical Cyclone Mekkhala

A cloud-dependent 1-D variational (1DVAR) precipitation retrieval algorithm applied to FengYun-3D microwave soundings (CD1DVAR-FY3DMS) is developed in this study. Compared with the current 1DVAR precipitation retrieval framework, cloud scene identification (CSI) is first proposed to delineate the different weather conditions including clear sky, stratiform clouds, and convective clouds. Results of this study in a typical tropical cyclone event demonstrate that: 1) the precipitation retrievals considering CSI (correlation coefficient ~0.72 and root mean square error ~1.63 mm/h) outperform those without distinguishing cloud scenes (correlation coefficient ~0.66 and root mean square error ~1.82 mm/h); 2) identifying cloud scenes in a variational scheme could significantly improve the accuracy of retrieving heavy precipitation volumes, with the capturing abilities improved by ~100%; and 3) the FengYun-3 constellation has great potential to complement global microwave retrievals. In addition, these findings could provide valuable references and pathfinders for further improving the retrieval accuracy of microwave-based precipitation estimates, especially for strong convective zones.

DeepPrecip: a deep neural network for precipitation retrievals

Abstract. Remotely-sensed precipitation retrievals are critical for advancing our understanding of global energy and hydrologic cycles in remote regions. Radar reflectivity profiles of the lower atmosphere are commonly linked to precipitation through empirical power laws, but these relationships are tightly coupled to particle microphysical assumptions that do not generalize well to different regional climates. Here, we develop a robust, highly generalized precipitation retrieval algorithm from a deep convolutional neural network (DeepPrecip) to estimate 20 min average surface precipitation accumulation using near-surface radar data inputs. DeepPrecip displays a high retrieval skill and can accurately model total precipitation accumulation, with a mean square error (MSE) 160 % lower, on average, than current methods. DeepPrecip also outperforms a less complex machine learning retrieval algorithm, demonstrating the value of deep learning when applied to precipitation retrievals. Predictor importance analyses suggest that a combination of both near-surface (below 1 km) and higher-altitude (1.5–2 km) radar measurements are the primary features contributing to retrieval accuracy. Further, DeepPrecip closely captures total precipitation accumulation magnitudes and variability across nine distinct locations without requiring any explicit descriptions of particle microphysics or geospatial covariates. This research reveals the important role for deep learning in extracting relevant information about precipitation from atmospheric radar retrievals.

Error Analysis and Modeling of GPM Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar Near-Surface Rainfall Product

Abstract The error characterization of rainfall products of spaceborne radar is essential for better applications of radar data, such as multisource precipitation data fusion and hydrological modeling. In this study, we analyzed the error of the near-surface rainfall product of the dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) on the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) and modeled it based on ground C-band dual-polarization radar (CDP) data with optimization rainfall retrieval. The comparison results show that the near-surface rainfall data were overestimated by light rain and slightly underestimated by heavy rain. The error of near-surface rainfall of the DPR was modeled as an additive model according to the comparison results. The systematic error of near-surface rainfall was in the form of a quadratic polynomial, while the systematic error of stratiform precipitation was smaller than that of convective precipitation. The random error was modeled as a Gaussian distribution centered from −1 to 0 mm h−1. The standard deviation of the Gaussian distribution of convective precipitation was 1.71 mm h−1, and the standard deviation of stratiform precipitation was 1.18 mm h−1, which is smaller than that of convective precipitation. In view of the precipitation retrieval algorithm of DPR, the error causes were analyzed from the reflectivity factor (Z) and the drop size distribution (DSD) parameters (Dm, Nw). The high accuracy of the reflectivity factor measurement results in a small systematic error. Importantly, the negative bias of Nw was very obvious when the rain type was convective precipitation, resulting in a large random error. Significance Statement This study first compares the total and different rain types of near-surface rainfall measured by DPR and ground-based radar CDP, then separates the error of DPR near-surface rainfall into systematic and random errors and analyzes the possible causes of the error. The purpose of this study is to better apply the error model to applications such as optimal data fusion and hydrological modeling, and the analysis of the error can also provide a basis for improving the spaceborne precipitation retrieval algorithm.

From TRMM to GPM, how do improvements of post/near-real-time satellite precipitation estimates manifest?

With the end of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) era, its successor of Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) aims to provide a new generation of satellite precipitation estimates (SPE) with higher spatiotemporal resolution and wider spatial coverage. As the representative precipitation retrieval algorithms for GPM and TRMM eras, it is necessary to compare the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) with the TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) to investigate the improvements of SPEs from TRMM to GPM. This study analyzes the post/near-real-time SPEs from TMPA and IMERG over Mainland China from April 2014 to March 2018 at daily scale, using precipitation observations from 510 meteorological stations as reference. A very comprehensive evaluation system, which contains four indicators of continuous metrics, categorical metrics, error components, and systematic and random errors is adopted in this study. Besides, four patterns with spatial distribution, temporal pattern, precipitation intensity distribution, and overall metrics are applied to illustrate each indicator's performance. The results show that IMERG products have lower RB and RMSE and higher CC than TMPA and greatly reduce the three error components (hit bias, missed precipitation, and false precipitation). Furthermore, IMERG products present a higher capability to capture the precipitation events correctly and generally have lower systematic and random errors than TMPA products. However, there are still rooms for IMERG products to improve, such as higher false alarm ratio (FAR) and more false precipitation of IMERG products at relatively low rain rates, the 25% higher systematic error of IMERG-E (IMERG “Early Run” near-real-time SPE) compared to TMPA-RT (TMPA near-real-time SPE). In addition, we find the gauge adjustment from GPCC is not a very effective way to improve the detecting capability and reduce the systematic errors for near-real-time SPEs over Mainland China. This study provides some valuable information on the transition from TMPA to IMERG, which may advance the algorithm's development and the hydrometeorological applications.

Do ERA5 and ERA5-land precipitation estimates outperform satellite-based precipitation products? A comprehensive comparison between state-of-the-art model-based and satellite-based precipitation products over mainland China

Accurate precipitation retrievals with fine spatio-temporal resolutions are critical in global and regional analyses. As an important alternative of satellite-based precipitation products, model-based precipitation estimates have undergone rapid development over the past few decades. With the recent public release of the fifth generation of atmospheric reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5) and ERA5-Land, it is necessary to verify whether these two latest model-based precipitation products outperform satellite-based precipitation products. This study comprehensively evaluates the performances of state-of-the-art satellite-based and model-based precipitation products, including the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG), Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), ERA5, and ERA5-Land, over mainland China from 2016 to 2019. The main findings are as follows: (1) Satellite-based products generally outperform model-based products, but the latter significantly perform better than the former over high-latitude regions and in winter. (2) ERA5 and ERA5-Land share similar spatio-temporal patterns and have their own advantages in terms of different types of metrics. (3) Satellite-based products perform best over subregions of subtropical and tropical monsoon climate (ST), whereas model-based products show highest performance over subregions of temperate monsoon climate (TM) and temperate continental climate (TC); both types of products show the poorest performance over subregions of plateau mountain climate (PM). (4) IMERG-Final performs best in terms of precipitation events, while GSMaP-Gauge tends to overestimate the duration of precipitation events, and model-based products tend to underestimate the mean precipitation rate of the events. These findings provide valuable insights into the error characteristics of state-of-the-art model-based and satellite-based precipitation products in the recent years, and will also serve as useful reference for the potential improvement of precipitation retrieval algorithms in the next generation.

Adapting Passive Microwave-Based Precipitation Algorithms to Variable Microwave Land Surface Emissivity to Improve Precipitation Estimation from the GPM Constellation

AbstractA fully global satellite-based precipitation estimate that can transition across changing Earth surface and complex land/water conditions is an important capability for many hydrological applications, and for independent evaluation of the precipitation derived from weather and climate models. This capability is inherently challenging owing to the complexity of the surface geophysical properties upon which the satellite-based instruments view. To date, these satellite observations originate primarily from a variety of wide-swath passive microwave (MW) imagers and sounders. In contrast to open ocean and large water bodies, the surface emissivity contribution to passive MW measurements is much more variable for land surfaces, with varying sensitivities to near-surface precipitation. The NASA/JAXA Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) spacecraft (2014-current) is equipped with a dual-frequency precipitation radar and a multichannel passive MW imaging radiometer specifically designed for precipitation measurement, covering substantially more land area than its predecessor Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM). The synergy between GPM’s instruments has guided a number of new frameworks for passive MW precipitation retrieval algorithms, whereby the information carried by the single narrow-swath precipitation radar is exploited to recover precipitation from a disparate constellation of passive MW imagers and sounders. With over six years of increased land surface coverage provided by GPM, new insight has been gained into the nature of the microwave surface emissivity over land and ice/snow covered surfaces, leading to improvements in a number of physical and semi-physical based precipitation retrieval techniques that adapt to variable Earth surface conditions. In this manuscript, the workings and capabilities of several of these approaches are highlighted.

The Passive Microwave Neural Network Precipitation Retrieval Algorithm for Climate Applications (PNPR-CLIM): Design and Verification

This paper describes the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval algorithm for climate applications (PNPR-CLIM), developed with funding from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), implemented by ECMWF on behalf of the European Union. The algorithm has been designed and developed to exploit the two cross-track scanning microwave radiometers, AMSU-B and MHS, towards the creation of a long-term (2000–2017) global precipitation climate data record (CDR) for the ECMWF Climate Data Store (CDS). The algorithm has been trained on an observational dataset built from one year of MHS and GPM-CO Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) coincident observations. The dataset includes the Fundamental Climate Data Record (FCDR) of AMSU-B and MHS brightness temperatures, provided by the Fidelity and Uncertainty in Climate data records from Earth Observation (FIDUCEO) project, and the DPR-based surface precipitation rate estimates used as reference. The combined use of high quality, calibrated and harmonized long-term input data (provided by the FIDUCEO microwave brightness temperature Fundamental Climate Data Record) with the exploitation of the potential of neural networks (ability to learn and generalize) has made it possible to limit the use of ancillary model-derived environmental variables, thus reducing the model uncertainties’ influence on the PNPR-CLIM, which could compromise the accuracy of the estimates. The PNPR-CLIM estimated precipitation distribution is in good agreement with independent DPR-based estimates. A multiscale assessment of the algorithm’s performance is presented against high quality regional ground-based radar products and global precipitation datasets. The regional and global three-year (2015–2017) verification analysis shows that, despite the simplicity of the algorithm in terms of input variables and processing performance, the quality of PNPR-CLIM outperforms NASA GPROF in terms of rainfall detection, while in terms of rainfall quantification they are comparable. The global analysis evidences weaknesses at higher latitudes and in the winter at mid latitudes, mainly linked to the poorer quality of the precipitation retrieval in cold/dry conditions.

Phase Two of the Integrative Monsoon Frontal Rainfall Experiment (IMFRE-II) over the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in 2020

Phase Two of the Integrative Monsoon Frontal Rainfall Experiment (IMFRE-II) was conducted over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River during the period 16 June to 19 July 2020. This paper provides a brief overview of the IMFRE-II field campaign, including the multiple ground-based remote sensors, aircraft probes, and their corresponding measurements during the 2020 mei-yu period, as well as how to use these numerous datasets to answer scientific questions. The highlights of IMFRE-II are: (1) to the best of our knowledge, IMFRE-II is the first field campaign in China to use ground-based, airborne, and spaceborne platforms to conduct comprehensive observations over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River; and (2) seven aircraft flights were successfully carried out, and the spectra of ice particles, cloud droplets, and raindrops at different altitudes were obtained. These in-situ measurements will provide a “cloud truth” to validate the ground-based and satellite-retrieved cloud and precipitation properties and quantitatively estimate their retrieval uncertainties. They are also crucial for the development of a warm (and/or cold) rain conceptual model in order to better understand the cloud-to-rain conversion and accretion processes in mei-yu precipitation events. Through an integrative analysis of ground-based, aircraft, and satellite observations and model simulations, we can significantly improve our cloud and precipitation retrieval algorithms, investigate the microphysical properties of cloud and precipitation, understand in-depth the formation and dissipation mechanisms of mei-yu frontal systems, and improve cloud microphysics parameterization schemes and model simulations.

Comprehensive Comparisons of State-of-the-Art Gridded Precipitation Estimates for Hydrological Applications over Southern China

Satellite-based precipitation estimates with high quality and spatial-temporal resolutions play a vital role in forcing global or regional meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural models, which are especially useful over large poorly gauged regions. In this study, we apply various statistical indicators to comprehensively analyze the quality and compare the performance of five newly released satellite and reanalysis precipitation products against China Merged Precipitation Analysis (CMPA) rain gauge data, respectively, with 0.1° × 0.1° spatial resolution and two temporal scales (daily and hourly) over southern China from June to August in 2019. These include Precipitation Estimates from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks Cloud Classification System (PERSIANN-CCS), European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis v5 (ERA5-Land), Fengyun-4 (FY-4A), Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG). Results indicate that: (1) all five products overestimate the accumulated rainfall in the summer, with FY-4A being the most severe; additionally, FY-4A cannot capture the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of precipitation over southern China. (2) IMERG and GSMaP perform better than the other three datasets at both daily and hourly scales; IMERG correlates slightly better than GSMaP against CMPA data, while it performs worse than GSMaP in terms of probability of detection (POD). (3) ERA5-Land performs better than PERSIANN-CCS and FY-4A at daily scale but shows the worst correlation coefficient (CC), false alarm ratio (FAR), and equitable threat score (ETS) of all precipitation products at hourly scale. (4) The rankings of overall performance on precipitation estimations for this region are IMERG, GSMaP, ERA5-Land, PERSIANN-CCS, and FY-4A at daily scale; and IMERG, GSMaP, PERSIANN-CCS, FY-4A, and ERA5-Land at hourly scale. These findings will provide valuable feedback for improving the current satellite-based precipitation retrieval algorithms and also provide preliminary references for flood forecasting and natural disaster early warning.

Cloud Assumption of Precipitation Retrieval Algorithms for the Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar

AbstractAn assumption related to clouds is one of uncertain factors in precipitation retrievals by the Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) on board the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Core Observatory. While an attenuation due to cloud ice is negligibly small for Ku and Ka bands, attenuation by cloud liquid water is larger in the Ka band and estimating precipitation intensity with high accuracy from Ka-band observations can require developing a method to estimate the attenuation due to cloud liquid water content (CLWC). This paper describes a CLWC database used in the DPR level-2 algorithm for the GPM V06A product. In the algorithm, the CLWC value is assumed using the database with inputs of precipitation-related variables, temperature, and geolocation information. A calculation of the database was made using the 3.5-km-mesh global atmospheric simulation derived from the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM) global cloud-system-resolving model. Impacts of current CLWC assumptions for surface precipitation estimates were evaluated by comparisons of precipitation retrieval results between default values and 0 mg m−3 of the CLWC. The impacts were quantified by the normalized mean absolute difference (NMAD) and the NMAD values showed 2.3% for the Ku, 9.9% for the Ka, and 6.5% for the dual-frequency algorithms in global averages, while they were larger in the tropics than in high latitudes. Effects of the precipitation estimates from the CLWC assumption were examined further in terms of retrieval processes affected by the CLWC assumption. This study emphasizes the CLWC assumption provided more effects on the precipitation estimates through estimating path-integrated attenuation due to rain.

Development of bias-correction PERSIANN-CDR models for the simulation and completion of precipitation time series

The availability of continuous long-term precipitation time series with uniform spatial distribution has a significant role in hydrological studies and applications from simple water budget calculation to infrastructure design. However, in numerous parts of the world precipitation observations are sparse, patchy and uneven and hence hydrological research and hydroclimate-related projects are conducted with uncertainty. Therefore, filling gaps in precipitation time series and estimating precipitation in ungauged regions are of prime importance. Satellite-based precipitation measurement methods, among rainfall measuring tools, seem to be the most promising method to provide continuous and high spatiotemporal precipitation data. Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) is one of the most commonly used precipitation retrieval algorithms, with long term data and high spatiotemporal resolutions that is employed in this study. Biases in the satellite-based precipitation data, as some studies have reported, demand the development of bias-correction models to enhance the accuracy of the satellite-based estimates. First, the performance of the PERSIANN-CDR algorithm is assessed based on 35 years of monthly, seasonal and annual observed precipitation at 49 stations as the benchmark in Fars province, Iran. Results indicate that while PERSIANN-CDR mimics the precipitation time series with a high degree of correlation, it underestimates the precipitation in the province with the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Relative Mean Error (RME) and BIAS of (15.23 mm, 0.23 and 0.77), (37.68 mm, 0.24 and 0.76) and (96.07 mm, 0.24 and 0.76) for the monthly, seasonal and annual precipitation, respectively. Then, a set of bias-correction models is developed to enhance the PERSIANN-CDR estimates with the reduced monthly, seasonal and annual RMSE, RME and BIAS of (9.09 mm, −0.01 and 1.01), (19.36 mm, −0.01 and 1.01) and (41.23 mm, 0.0 and 1.0), respectively. The Bias-correction models are validated with the precipitation time series that were not used in the development phase. The validated models proved as an effective and robust tool in improving the accuracy of the PERSIANN-CDR datasets. We also demonstrate how the proposed models are used to estimate precipitation at ungauged sites and to fill in the gaps in the ground-based precipitation time series. The proposed models provide the practitioners, planners, and decision-makers with a huge precipitation data bank for various hydro-climatological projects in the study area.

Improving near real-time precipitation estimation using a U-Net convolutional neural network and geographical information

Reliable near real-time precipitation estimates are essential for monitoring and managing of natural disasters such as floods. Quality of inputs and capability of the retrieval algorithm are two important aspects for developing satellite-based precipitation datasets. Most retrieval algorithms utilize infrared (IR) information as their input due to its fine spatiotemporal resolution and near-instantaneous availability. However, their sole reliance on IR information limits their capability to learn different mechanisms of precipitation during training, resulting in less accurate estimates. Moreover, recent advances in the field of machine learning offer attractive opportunities to improve the precipitation retrieval algorithms. This study investigates the effectiveness of adding geographical information (i.e. latitude and longitude) to IR information and the application of a U-Net-based convolutional neural network for improving the accuracy of retrieval algorithms. This research suggests that applying an appropriate CNN architecture on geographical and IR information provides an opportunity to improve the satellite-based precipitation products.

On the Propagation of Satellite Precipitation Estimation Errors: From Passive Microwave to Infrared Estimates.

The launch of NOAA's latest generation of geostationary satellites known as the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R Series has opened new opportunities in quantifying precipitation rates. Recent efforts have strived to utilize these data to improve space-based precipitation retrievals. The overall objective of the present work is to carry out a detailed error budget analysis of the improved Self-Calibrating Multivariate Precipitation Retrieval (SCaMPR) algorithm for GOES-R and the passive microwave (MW) combined (MWCOMB) precipitation dataset used to calibrate it with an aim to provide insights regarding strengths and weaknesses of these products. This study systematically analyzes the errors across different climate regions and also as a function of different precipitation types over the conterminous United States. The reference precipitation dataset is Ground-Validation Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (GV-MRMS). Overall, MWCOMB reveals smaller errors as compared to SCaMPR. However, the analysis indicated that that the major portion of error in SCaMPR is propagated from the MWCOMB calibration data. The major challenge starts with poor detection from MWCOMB, which propagates in SCaMPR. In particular, MWCOMB misses 90% of cool stratiform precipitation and the overall detection score is around 40%. The ability of the algorithms to quantify precipitation amounts for the Warm Stratiform, Cool Stratiform, and Tropical/Stratiform Mix categories is poor compared to the Convective and Tropical/Convective Mix categories with additional challenges in complex terrain regions. Further analysis showed strong similarities in systematic and random error models with both products. This suggests that the potential of high-resolution GOES-R observations remains underutilized in SCaMPR due to the errors from the calibrator MWCOMB.

Validation of GPM IMERG V05 and V06 Precipitation Products over Iran

AbstractThis study attempts to assess the validity of the Integrated Multisatellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) products across Iran. Six IMERG precipitation products (IPPs) including early, late, and final runs for versions 05 and 06 were compared with precipitation data from 76 synoptic stations on a daily scale for the period from June 2014 to June 2018. According to the results, V05 performed better than V06, particularly in early and late runs. The IPPs overestimate precipitation ranging from 5% to 32%; however, IPPs tended to underestimate (overestimate) the amount of precipitation for wet (dry) areas and precipitation classes higher than 5 mm day−1 (less than 5 mm day−1). The probability of detection (POD) in IPPs was almost similar (with a median equal to 0.60), whereas other categorical validation metrics like false alarm ratio (FAR) improved in the final run. Our assessments revealed that the dependency of IPPs to the elevation was low, while the error characteristics of IPPs were strongly dependent on the climate and precipitation intensity. For instance, the systematic error varied between less than 12% in dry regions to more than 60% in wet regions. Also, according to modified Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) and relative bias (RBias), the performance of IPPs in winter with the highest KGE (ranging from 0.47 to 0.63) and lowest RBias (ranging from 0% to 16%) was better than other seasons. Further improvement is recommended in the satellite sensors and the precipitation retrieval algorithms to achieve a reliable precipitation source.

An Active–Passive Microwave Land Surface Database From GPM

A microwave emissivity retrieval is applied to five years of global precipitation measurement (GPM) microwave imager (GMI) observations over land and sea ice. The emissivities are colocated with GPM’s dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) surface backscatter measurements in clear-sky conditions. The emissivity-backscatter database is used to characterize surfaces within the GPM orbit for precipitation retrieval algorithms and other applications. The full 10–166-GHz emissivity vector is retrieved using optimal estimation. Since GMI includes water vapor sounding channels, retrieval of the atmospheric and surface states are performed simultaneously. Using the MERRA2 reanalysis as the a priori atmospheric state and with proper characterization of its error, we are able to effectively screen for cloud- and precipitation-affected emissivities. Comparisons with colocated CloudSat data show that this GMI-based screen is able to detect precipitation that DPR alone does not; however, about 10% of precipitation occurrence from CloudSat is still undetected by GMI. The unsupervised Kohonen classification technique was then applied to multiyear monthly 0.25° gridded mean retrieved emissivities and backscatter distinctly for snow-free, snow-covered, and sea ice surfaces in order to classify surfaces based on both active and passive microwave characteristics. The classes correspond to vegetation coverage and type, inundation zones, soil composition, and terrain roughness. Snow and sea ice surfaces show clear seasonal cycles representing the increase in snow and ice spatial extent and reduction in the spring. Applications toward GPM precipitation retrieval algorithms and sensitivity to accumulated rain and snowfall are also explored.