ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to compare the outcomes of arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) with arteriovenous grafts (AVGs) in a large population-based cohort of elderly patients in the United States. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed of all patients ≥75 years old in the prospectively maintained United States Renal Database System who had an AVF or AVG placed for hemodialysis (HD) access between January 2007 and December 2011. Outcomes were mortality, conduit patency, maturation, time to catheter-free dialysis, and infection. A χ2 test, Student t-test, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and multivariable Cox regression analysis were employed. ResultsOf the 124,421 patients studied, there were 19,173 (15%) AVF initiates, 4480 (4%) AVG initiates, 29,872 (24%) AVF converts, 10,712 (9%) AVG converts, and 59,824 (48%) patients who persisted on HD catheters. Compared with AVF initiates, relative mortality was significantly higher for AVG initiates (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.24; P < .001), AVF converts (aHR, 1.36; P < .001), AVG converts (aHR, 1.62; P < .001), and catheter-persistent patients (aHR, 2.23; P < .001). Primary patency (aHR, 1.21; P < .001) and primary assisted patency (aHR, 1.31; P < .001) were higher for AVF. Secondary patency was higher for AVGs within the first 4 months (aHR, 1.12; P < .001) but higher for AVFs beyond that time point (aHR, 1.25; P < .001). Maturation rate and median time to maturation were 80% vs 84% (P < .001) and 46 vs 26 days (P < .001) for AVF vs AVG. ConclusionsPre-emptive AVF remains the best mode of HD in elderly patients who can tolerate surgery. Patients who cannot tolerate pre-emptive surgery or have to initiate HD on an urgent basis with a catheter should convert to AVF when it is feasible if life expectancy is >4 months. If life expectancy is <4 months, surgical risk and quality of life should be considered in making the decision to persistently dialyze through HD catheter or to convert to AVG.
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