The ice disaster has brought many adverse effects on the power transmission system, which is mainly studied from the transmission line failure rate perspective. Strong winds often accompany the ice disaster weather, the motion path of wind is considered when identifying the weak location of transmission network system. According to the theory of meteorological simulation, and the mathematical relationship between the effective wind speed and the forced outage rates is obtained. A transient stability risks assessment method is proposed considering the ice disaster in the case of a strong wind moving path. According to the fault probability of transmission lines, a predictive fault set for power grid risk assessment is established. The IEEE-39 bus system is used as an example to analyze the effectiveness of the proposed method. The simulation results show that meteorological parameters, geographical environment, and other factors, especially the meteorological advance speed and the direction of transmission lines, will cause greater damage to the stability of the transmission system.