Coronavirus Disease 2019 is a primarily respiratory illness that can cause thrombotic disorders. Elevation of D-dimer is a potential biomarker for poor prognosis in COVID-19, though optimal cutoff value for D-dimer to predict mortality has not yet been established. This study aims to assess the accuracy of admission D-dimer in the prognosis of COVID-19 and to establish the optimal cutoff D-dimer value to predict hospital mortality. Clinical and laboratory parameters and outcomes of confirmed COVID-19 cases admitted to four hospitals in Kathmandu were retrospectively analyzed. Admitted COVID-19 cases with recorded D-dimer and definitive outcomes were included consecutively. D-dimer was measured using immunofluorescence assay and reported in Fibrinogen Equivalent Unit (μg/ml). The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the accuracy of D-dimer in predicting mortality, and to calculate the optimal cutoff value, based on which patients were divided into two groups and predictive value of D-dimer for mortality was measured. D-dimer levels were higher in COVID-19 patients and were related with markers of inflammation, and after treatments, D-dimer levels decreased which was synchronous with hsCRP levels in patients with good clinical prognosis. Also, the low correlation between Padua VTE score and D-dimer levels weakened the role of D-dimer in the prediction of thrombosis.The abnormal changes of D-dimer and inflammatory factors suggest that aggressive anticoagulant therapy might be needed.
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