Possible Influence Of Solar Activity Research Articles

Possible Influence of Solar Activity on Lightning Occurrence: A Preliminary Study Over Nepal

One of the fundamental mysteries of lightning is its initiation mechanism. Many aspects of lightning phenomenon are well known; however, the exact processes that initiate lightning discharge are not fully understood. This study delves into a relatively underexplored domain: the relationship between solar activity specifically solar sunspots and F10.7 indices, as well as solar wind speed, on the occurrence of lightning events. The study utilizes a rich dataset spanning from 1998 to 2008, capturing an extensive period of solar activity during Solar Cycle 23. Multiple correlation analyses were conducted, comparing solar activity parameters with lightning occurrence. Lightning data was sourced from the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) whereas Sunspot data was obtained from the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC) and F10.7 as well as Solar wind data was obtained from the OMNI dataset. From this preliminary study, we observed that the correlation between solar parameters and the lightning occurrence over Nepal are found to vary at different time period from insignificant correlation to moderate correlation. Hence, further exploration is needed to shed more light to interpret the relationship between solar activity and the lightning occurrence in Nepal.

Laboratory Simulation of Photosynthesis in a Wide Range of Electromagnetic and Radiation Environment Parameters

The problem of studying the limits of stability and mechanisms of adaptation of living systems to environmental parameters that vary over a wide range is briefly analyzed. The main attention is focused on the analysis of the electromagnetic environment and background radiation. These factors vary relatively little on the modern Earth, which leads to their insufficient knowledge. At the same time, they present serious challenges for future space missions. One of the main methods for studying the influence of such factors on living organisms is laboratory simulation. Previous experiments have demonstrated the need to develop a new laboratory setup, the requirements for the parameters of which are presented in this paper. In general, the setup will have a high potential for solving the problems of modeling the effect of astro-geophysical factors on the physiological state of living organisms and, in particular, the activity of photosynthesis in higher plants. The implementation of the proposed program of laboratory simulation experiments will allow us to advance in understanding the problems of life evolution, the mechanisms of the possible influence of solar activity on the biosphere, and studies of the role of the biosphere in global climate changes of planets at various time horizons.

The March 2012 Heat Wave in Northeast America as a Possible Effect of Strong Solar Activity and Unusual Space Plasma Interactions

In the past two decades, the world has experienced an unprecedented number of extreme weather events, some causing major human suffering and economic damage. The March 2012 heat wave is one of the most known and broadly discussed events in the Northeast United States (NE-USA). The present study examines in depth the possible influence of solar activity on the historic March 2012 heat wave based on a comparison of solar/space and meteorological data. Our research suggests that the historic March 2012 heat wave (M2012HW) and the March 1910 heat wave (M1910HW), which occurred a century earlier in NE-USA, were related to Sun-generated special space plasma structures triggering large magnetic storms. Furthermore, the largest (Dst = −222 nT) magnetic storm during solar cycle 24 in March 2015 (only three years later than the March 2012 events) occurred in relation to another heat wave (M2015HW) in NE-USA. Both these heat waves, M2012HW and M2015HW, resemble each other in many ways: they were characterized by extremely huge temperature increases ΔΤΜ = 30° and 32° (with maximum temperatures ΤΜ = 28° and 23°, respectively) during a positive North Atlantic Oscillation index, the high temperatures coincided with large-scale warm air streaming from southern latitudes, they were accompanied by superstorms caused by unexpected geoeffective interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), and the ICME-related solar energetic particle (SEP) events were characterized by a proton spectrum extending to very high (>0.5 GeV) energies. We infer that (i) all three heat waves examined (M2012HW, M2015HW, M1910HW) were related with strong magnetic storms triggered by effective solar wind plasma structures, and (b) the heat wave in March 2012 and the related solar activity was not an accidental coincidence; that is, the M2012HW was most probably affected by solar activity. Future case and statistical studies are needed to further check the hypothesis put forward here, which might improve atmospheric models in helping people’s safety, health and life.

Long-term studies of mesosphere and lower-thermosphere summer length definitions based on mean zonal wind features observed for more than one solar cycle at middle and high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere

Abstract. Specular meteor radars (SMRs) and partial reflection radars (PRRs) have been observing mesospheric winds for more than a solar cycle over Germany (∼ 54∘ N) and northern Norway (∼ 69∘ N). This work investigates the mesospheric mean zonal wind and the zonal mean geostrophic zonal wind from the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) over these two regions between 2004 and 2020. Our study focuses on the summer when strong planetary waves are absent and the stratospheric and tropospheric conditions are relatively stable. We establish two definitions of the summer length according to the zonal wind reversals: (1) the mesosphere and lower-thermosphere summer length (MLT-SL) using SMR and PRR winds and (2) the mesosphere summer length (M-SL) using the PRR and MLS. Under both definitions, the summer begins around April and ends around middle September. The largest year-to-year variability is found in the summer beginning in both definitions, particularly at high latitudes, possibly due to the influence of the polar vortex. At high latitudes, the year 2004 has a longer summer length compared to the mean value for MLT-SL as well as 2012 for both definitions. The M-SL exhibits an increasing trend over the years, while MLT-SL does not have a well-defined trend. We explore a possible influence of solar activity as well as large-scale atmospheric influences (e.g., quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), major sudden stratospheric warming events). We complement our work with an extended time series of 31 years at middle latitudes using only PRR winds. In this case, the summer length shows a breakpoint, suggesting a non-uniform trend, and periods similar to those known for ENSO and QBO.

Влияние геоиндуцированных токов на дроссель-трансформаторы рельсовых цепей железнодорожной автоматики

Objective: To consider the possibility of DC magnetization of the core of the impedance bond with secondary winding when using AC electric traction. To determine the possible influence of solar activity, and in particular the geoinduced currents, on the signaling arrangements (SAs). Methods: Analysis of the conditions and causes of magnetization of the core of the impedance bond with a secondary winding, which is the reason for a decrease in its inductance and a change in the track circuit coefficient of transmission. Description of the influence of geoinduced currents on the operation of traction substation power transformers and the using this scenario for modeling the operation of impedance bonds with secondary windings. Results: The conditions and reasons for the incorrect operation of the impedance bonds with secondary windings associated with the magnetization of the core by direct current, when using electric traction with alternating currents, have been stated; the possibility of saturation of the magnetic system of the impedance bond with geoinduced current has been analyzed; the possible consequences of the transition of the impedance bond to the saturation mode have been determined. Practical importance: The study findings broaden the knowledge about the possible influence of solar activity on the railway infrastructure facilities, which in its turn is necessary for the development of methods and means aimed at ensuring the uninterrupted operation of railway transport.

The Possible Effect of Space Weather Factors on Various Physiological Systems of the Human Organism

A systematic review of heliobiological studies of the last 25 years devoted to the study of the potential influence of space weather factors on human health and well-being was carried out. We proposed three criteria (coordinates), according to which the work on solar–biospheric relations was systematized: the time scale of data sampling (years, days, hours, minutes); the level of organization of the biological system under study (population, group, individual, body system); and the degree of system response (norm, adaptation, failure of adaptation (illness), disaster (death)). This systematic review demonstrates that three parameters mentioned above are closely related in the existing heliobiological studies: the larger the selected time scale, the higher the level of estimated biological system organization and the stronger the potential response degree is. The long-term studies are devoted to the possible influence of solar activity on population disasters, i.e., significant increases in morbidity and mortality. On a daily scale, a probable effect of geomagnetic storms and other space weather events on short-term local outbreaks of morbidity is shown as well as on cases of deterioration in people functional state. On an intraday scale, in the regular functioning mode, the heart and brain rhythms of healthy people turn to be synchronized with geomagnetic field variations in some frequency ranges, which apparently is the necessary organism’s existence element. The applicability of different space weather indices at different data sampling rates, the need to take into account the contribution of meteorological factors, and the prospects for an individual approach in heliobiology are discussed. The modern important results of experiments on modeling the action of magnetic storms in laboratory conditions and the substantiation of possible theoreical mechanisms are described. These results provide an experimental and theoretical basis for studies of possible connections of space weather and human health.

Rhythms of Banded Glacial Clays of the Paleoproterozoic (~2 Ga Ago) and Modern Cycles of Solar Activity

Paleoclimatic data from a sequence of argillite deposits of the Gowganda Formation located in the Mississagi River Valley (southern Ontario Province, Canada) covering a time interval of 256 years with a time resolution of one year are studied to research possible variations of the Earth’s climate in the Paleoproterozoic (~2 Ga ago). The following quasi-periodic variations have been found via the construction of a combined spectral periodogram: 3, 5, 11, 14, 29, and 75 years (at significance levels of the respective estimated values of magnitudes ranging from 2σ to 4σ). This may indicate the possible influence of solar activity on climate changes in the geological past.

Possible Influence of Solar Activity on Global Volcanicity

Solar activity has been found to be strongly correlated with some geophysical processes on the Earth system. In the present paper, using global dust veil index of volcanic eruptions and sunspot numbers indicating solar activity, the authors investigate the possible influence of solar activity on global volcanicity during 1700–1995. Results of wavelet analysis indicate that variations of global volcanicity have remarkable temporal characteristics, and it is high related to solar activity on about 11-year cycle, with exceeding the 5% statistical significance level against red noise.

A preliminary study of a sediment core drilled from the mud area on the inner shelf of the East China Sea: Implications for paleoclimatic changes during the fast transgression period (13 ka B.P.–8 ka B.P.)

A 35.30 m-long core (MZ02) that was recovered from a water depth of 32.4 m from the inner shelf mud deposit of the East China Sea is analyzed to determine its sedimentary characteristics, color reflectance, clay mineral content, element geochemistry components and AMS 14C dating to investigate the sedimentation rate, sediment provenance and paleoclimate evolution during the fast transgression period. Rare earth element and clay mineral proxies indicate that mixed-provenance sediment accumulated in the foreshore–nearshore region at the beginning of the fast transgression period, with a higher sedimentation rate of 5.58 m/ka. From the early Holocene (9.8–9.5 ka B.P.), the sedimentation rate declined by approximately 1.73 m/ka, and the sediment provenance obviously changed. The silt fraction resembled that of Taiwan's mountainous rivers and the clay fraction was primarily transported from the Yangtze River. A multiple proxy system including sediment redness (a*), chemical index of alteration (CIA), clay mineral ratio (smectite/kaolinite), and major and trace element ratios (CaO/MgO, Ba/Sr), also provides a good paleoclimate record during the fast transgression period, which can be divided into three units. All the proxies barely changed during Unit I (12.88–10.85 ka B.P.), revealing that the climate remained relatively stable. Obvious fluctuations occurred during Unit II (10.85–10.05 ka B.P.), and the temperature kept decreasing for more than 1 ka until the Younger Dryas event, showing a notable regional response to global climate changes. A continuous warming trend resumed again during Unit III (10.05–8.15 ka B.P.), which may mark the threshold of the Holocene warm period. In addition, we find significant 80-yr, 89-yr and 100-yr cycles in the CIA, CaO/MgO and Ba/Sr records, which imply the possible influence of solar activity on regional climate change during the fast transgression period in the Asian margin region.

Dependence of the Sunspot-Group Size on the Level of Solar Activity and its Influence on the Calibration of Solar Observers

The distribution of the sunspot group size (area) and its dependence on the level of solar activity is studied. It is shown that the fraction of small groups is not constant but decreases with the level of solar activity so that high solar activity is largely defined by big groups. We study the possible influence of solar activity on the ability of a realistic observer to see and report the daily number of sunspot groups. It is shown that the relation between the number of sunspot groups as seen by different observers with different observational acuity thresholds is strongly non-linear and cannot be approximated by the traditionally used linear scaling ($k-$factors). The observational acuity threshold [$A_{\rm th}$] is considered to quantify the quality of each observer, instead of the traditional relative $k-$factor. A nonlinear $c-$factor based on $A_{\rm th}$ is proposed, which can be used to correct each observer to the reference conditions. The method is tested on a pair of principal solar observers, Wolf and Wolfer, and it is shown that the traditional linear correction, with the constant $k-$factor of 1.66 to scale Wolf to Wolfer, leads to an overestimate of solar activity around solar maxima.

Orbital, ice-sheet, and possible solar forcing of Holocene lake-level fluctuations in west-central Europe: A reply to Magny

In his comment on Bleicher (2013) Magny presents a revised version of his score method and reaffirms that it can prove a possible influence of solar activity on Central European lake levels. He also stresses the diagnostic value of archaeological lake site settlements. This paper points at methodological problems that are not yet resolved in the revised version. Since there is great consensus that not only is the the Sun a primary forcing factor in the climate’s system, but also that its effect cannot be expected to be linear for all of the Holocene, the use of the score record is questioned. The proposed relation between archaeological lake site settlements and solar activity is shown to be doubtful.

A possible solar pacemaker for Holocene fluctuations of a salt-marsh in southern Italy

This study is aimed at verifying the possible influence of solar activity on the coastal vegetation development in the Tavoliere Plain (south Adriatic region, Italy) between 6350 and 4000 cal BP, when regular fluctuations of halophilic vegetation are recorded by pollen. A wavelet analysis, applied to the percentage values of glasswort vegetation is consistent with periodicities of solar activity and other palaeoenvironmental and palaeoclimate proxies in the literature. A comparison of salt-marsh pollen indicators (Salicornia type and Ruppia maritima) with the 10Be dataset from the Greenland ice core GISP2, on the basis of their independent chronologies, reveals a strong visual correlation, indicating that the minima of salt-marsh percentages match minima in the 10Be curve, corresponding to solar activity maxima, associated with warm and arid phases at the middle latitudes. The Tavoliere salt-marsh appears to have contracted during the arid/warm phases associated to maxima of solar activity and to have expanded during the wet/cold phases of solar minima. This coastal area, characterized by a very flat topography and arid climate, appears to have been very sensitive to even minor hydrological and climate changes. Changes of solar activity, determining extensive environmental transformations, were also possibly responsible for the abandonment of the human coastal settlements of one of the most important Neolithic archaeological districts of Italy.

The possible influence of solar activity on Indian summer monsoon rainfall

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) plays an important role in the climate system of South Asia. Recently, studies about ISMR variations have been going into more depth. In this present paper, we mainly use the Scargle periodogram and wavelet transform methods to study the periodicity of ISMR changes between 1871 and 2004 and review the possible influence of solar activity on the rainfall. Analysis results show complicated ISMR variations have periodicities with remarkable time-variable characteristics. Investigating a possible connection between the rainfall and solar variations, we believe that solar activity affects the ISMR variations to some extent.

Vegetation responses to the 8200 cal. BP cold event and to long-term climatic changes in the Eastern Alps: possible influence of solar activity and North Atlantic freshwater pulses

Subfossil pollen from two bogs in temperature-sensitive, high-altitude regions were analysed in order to reconstruct early-to mid-Holocene summer temperature fluctuations in the Eastern Alps. The pollen records showed four centennial-scale cooling intervals with low growing-season temperatures, resulting in decreasing pollen production and/or lower treeline position during the period 9000-6000 cal. BP. For the first time, the 8200 cal. BP cold event and an equivalent to the Misox cold phase in the Swiss Alps were detected in the Eastern Alps. The oscillations recorded in the pollen curves for Swiss stone pine (Pinus cembra) and sedges (Cyperaceae) at c. 8200 cal. BP match, in time and magnitude, the δ18O excursion in the Greenland GRIP ice-core record as well as sea-surface cooling in the North Atlantic. The close congruence between the pollen records covering 3000 years and climate proxy-data from both Hemispheres indicates that large-scale environmental changes, possibly caused by North Atlantic freshwater pulses and/or fluctuations in solar activity, caused decreases in pollen production and/or treeline shifts in the Alps. Although the 8200 cal. BP climatic deterioration was of a global character, its impact on biological productivity of temperature-sensitive sites at high altitude has only rarely been demonstrated. The data indicate that pollen analyses near and above the timberline within high-altitude, herb-dominated plant communities are of considerable and yet largely unexplored potential to detect abrupt short-term as well as long-term climatic variations.

Influence of solar activity on the state of the wheat market in medieval England

The database of professor Rogers (1887), which includes wheat prices in England in the Middle Ages, was used to search for a possible influence of solar activity on the wheat market. Our approach was based on the following: (1) Existence of the correlation between cosmic ray flux entering the terrestrial atmosphere and cloudiness of the atmosphere. (2) Cosmic ray intensity in the solar system changes with solar activity, (3) Wheat production depends on weather conditions as a nonlinear function with threshold transitions. (4) A wheat market with a limited supply (as it was in medieval England) has a highly nonlinear sensitivity to variations in wheat production with boundary states, where small changes in wheat supply could lead to bursts of prices or to prices falling. We present a conceptual model of possible modes for sensitivity of wheat prices to weather conditions, caused by solar cycle variations, and compare expected price fluctuations with price variations recorded in medieval England. We compared statistical properties of the intervals between wheat price bursts during the years 1249-1703 with statistical properties of the intervals between the minima of solar cycles during the years 1700-2000. We show that statistical properties of these two samples are similar, both for characteristics of the distributions and for histograms of the distributions. We analyze a direct link between wheat prices and solar activity in the 17th century, for which wheat prices and solar activity data (derived from 10Be isotope) are available. We show that for all 10 time moments of the solar activity minima the observed prices were higher than prices for the corresponding time moments of maximal solar activity (100% sign correlation, on a significance level < 0.2%). We consider these results a direct evidence of the causal connection between wheat prices bursts and solar activity.

Secular brightness increases of Titan, Uranus, and Neptune, 1972–1976

Abstract The brightnesses of Titan, Uranus, and Neptune in b (4718 AA) and y (5508 AA) have increased linearly since 1972 at rates ranging from 0.005 to 0.025 mag yr −1 . The observations were made differentially on a number of nights each season with respect to a network of comparison stars whose relative magnitudes were determined by independent measurements. Solar phase coefficients were derived for each object, and all observations have been normalized to zero solar phase angle and mean heliocentric distances. No explanation for the changes has been found, but a possible influence of solar activity upon planetary albedo is suggested by the fact that all of the objects observed have brightened during the declining half of the solar cycle.