Population Health Research Institute Research Articles

Cost effectiveness analysis of a fixed dose combination pill for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease from an individual participant data meta-analysis

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues to impart a large burden on the global population, especially in lower income countries where affordability limits the use of cardiovascular medicines. A fixed dose combination strategy of at least 2 blood pressure lowering medications and a statin with aspirin in a single pill has been shown to reduce the risk of incident CVD by 38% in primary prevention in a recent meta-analysis. We report the in-trial (median follow-up: 5 years) cost-effectiveness of a fixed dose combination (FDC) pill in different income groups based on data from that meta-analysis. Countries were categorized using World Bank economic groups: Lower Middle Income Countries (LMIC), Upper Middle Income Countries (UMIC) and High Income Countries (HIC). Country specific costs were obtained for hospitalized events, procedures, and non-study medications (2020 USD). FDC price was based on the cheapest equivalent substitute (CES) for each component. For the CES-FDC pill versus control the difference in cost was $346 (95% CI: $294-$398) per participant in Lower Middle Income Countries, $838 (95% CI: $781-$895) in Upper Middle Income Countries and $42 (95% CI:-$155 to $239) (cost-neutral) in High Income Countries. During the study period the CES-FDC pill was associated with incremental gain in quality-adjusted life years of 0.06 (95% CI: 0.04-0.08) resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $5767 (95% CI: 5735-$5799), $13,937 (95% CI: $13,893-$14,041) and $700 (95% CI: $662-$738) respectively. In subgroups analyses, the highest 10 years CVD risk subgroup had ICERs of $2033, $7322 and-$6000/QALY. A FDC pill produced at CES costs is cost-neutral in HIC. Governments of LMI and UMI countries should assess these results based on the ICER threshold accepted in their own country and own specific health care priorities but should consider prioritizing this strategy for patients with high 10 years CVD risk as a first step. Population Health Research Institute.

Engaging Participants Through Hybrid Community-Centered Approaches: Lessons Learned During the COVID CommUNITY Public Health Research Program.

Community-centered research studies can improve trust, cultural appropriateness, and accurate findings through meaningful, in-depth engagement with participants. During the COVID-19 pandemic, researchers shifted to implement pandemic-specific guidelines on top of already existing safety practices; these adjustments gave insight into bettering the structure of forthcoming research studies. At the Population Health Research Institute (PHRI)/McMaster University, the COVID CommUNITY study staff took field notes from their experience at the Ontario (ON) and British Columbia (BC) sites navigating an observational prospective cohort study during the pandemic. These field notes are outlined below to provide insight into culturally responsive, trust-centered, and communication-focused strategies used to improve hybrid research. A significant challenge the team overcame was obtaining blood sample collections by executing socially distanced sample collections outside of participants' homes, coined "Porch Pickups." Data collection was made more accessible through phone surveys and frequent virtual contact. To enhance recruitment strategies for sub-communities of the South Asian population, staff focused on cultural interests and "gift-exchange" incentives. Cultural awareness was prioritized through correct name pronunciation, conducting data collection in participant preferred languages, and using flexible approaches to data collection. These strategies were developed through weekly team meetings where improvement strategies were discussed, and concerns were addressed in real-time.

Cognitive performance following stroke, transient ischaemic attack, myocardial infarction, and hospitalisation: an individual participant data meta-analysis of six randomised controlled trials

Survivors of stroke are often concerned about cognitive problems, and information on the risk of cognitive problems often comes from small studies. We aimed to estimate years of cognitive ageing associated with stroke compared with transient ischaemic attack, myocardial infarction, and other hospitalisations in a large population. Using data from six randomised controlled trials (ORIGIN, ONTARGET, TRANSCEND, COMPASS, HOPE-3, and NAVIGATE ESUS), we completed an individual participant data meta-analysis using data requested from the Public Health Research Institute to estimate the association of stroke (by type and severity), transient ischaemic attack, myocardial infarction, and other hospitalisations with cognitive performance measured at the end of each trial. We included participants in any of these randomised controlled trials with a cognitive assessment at baseline and at least one other timepoint. Cognitive performance was measured with the Mini-Mental State Examination or the Montreal Cognitive Assessment, transformed into Z scores. We estimated Z score differences in end of trial cognitive performance between people with and without events and calculated corresponding years of cognitive ageing in these trials, and additionally calculated using a population representative cohort-the Cognitive Function and Ageing Study. In 64 106 participants from 55 countries, compared with no event, stroke was associated with 18 years of cognitive ageing (1487 strokes included in the model, 95% CI 10 to 28; p<0·0001) and transient ischaemic attack with 3 years (660 transient ischaemic attacks included in the model, 0 to 6; p=0·021). Myocardial infarction (p=0·60) and other hospitalisations (p=0·26) were not associated with cognitive ageing. The mean difference in SD compared with people without an event was -0·84 (95% CI -0·91 to -0·76; p<0·0001) for disabling stroke, and -0·12 (-0·19 to -0·05; p=0·0012) for non-disabling stroke. Haemorrhagic stroke was associated with worse cognition (-0·75, -0·95 to -0·55; p<0·0001) than ischaemic stroke (-0·42, -0·48 to -0·36; p <0·0001). Stroke has a substantial effect on cognition. The effects of transient ischaemic attack were small, whereas myocardial infarction and hospitalisation had a neutral effect. Prevention of stroke could lead to a reduction in cognitive ageing in those at greatest risk. Population Health Research Institute and Chief Scientist Office of Scotland.

Effect of colchicine on perioperative atrial fibrillation and myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery in patients undergoing major thoracic surgery (COP-AF): an international randomised trial

Higher levels of inflammatory biomarkers are associated with an increased risk of perioperative atrial fibrillation and myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS). Colchicine is an anti-inflammatory drug that might reduce the incidence of these complications. COP-AF was a randomised trial conducted at 45 sites in 11 countries. Patients aged 55 years or older and undergoing major non-cardiac thoracic surgery were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral colchicine 0·5 mg twice daily or matching placebo, starting within 4 h before surgery and continuing for 10 days. Randomisation was done with use of a computerised, web-based system, and was stratified by centre. Health-care providers, patients, data collectors, and adjudicators were masked to treatment assignment. The coprimary outcomes were clinically important perioperative atrial fibrillation and MINS during 14 days of follow-up. The main safety outcomes were a composite of sepsis or infection, and non-infectious diarrhoea. The intention-to-treat principle was used for all analyses. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03310125. Between Feb 14, 2018, and June 27, 2023, we enrolled 3209 patients (mean age 68 years [SD 7], 1656 [51·6%] male). Clinically important atrial fibrillation occurred in 103 (6·4%) of 1608 patients assigned to colchicine, and 120 (7·5%) of 1601 patients assigned to placebo (hazard ratio [HR] 0·85, 95% CI 0·65 to 1·10; absolute risk reduction [ARR] 1·1%, 95% CI -0·7 to 2·8; p=0·22). MINS occurred in 295 (18·3%) patients assigned to colchicine and 325 (20·3%) patients assigned to placebo (HR 0·89, 0·76 to 1·05; ARR 2·0%, -0·8 to 4·7; p=0·16). The composite outcome of sepsis or infection occurred in 103 (6·4%) patients in the colchicine group and 83 (5·2%) patients in the placebo group (HR 1·24, 0·93-1·66). Non-infectious diarrhoea was more common in the colchicine group (134 [8·3%] events) than the placebo group (38 [2·4%]; HR 3·64, 2·54-5·22). In patients undergoing major non-cardiac thoracic surgery, administration of colchicine did not significantly reduce the incidence of clinically important atrial fibrillation or MINS but increased the risk of mostly benign non-infectious diarrhoea. Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Accelerating Clinical Trials Consortium, Innovation Fund of the Alternative Funding Plan for the Academic Health Sciences Centres of Ontario, Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, Division of Cardiology at McMaster University, Canada; Hanela Foundation, Switzerland; and General Research Fund, Research Grants Council, Hong Kong.

Pierre Amarenco: the persistent pioneer

Pierre Amarenco, Professor of Neurology at Paris University (Paris, France), is a busy man. As well as being a prominent researcher in stroke and stroke prevention, he runs five clinics a week at which he sees patients with neurological disorders, is president of the stroke charity Vaincre l'AVC (which he set up with his wife Sophie in 2019), and has written a book for the general public on stroke prevention. Yet, at the age of 65 years, the hardworking French native has just taken on a new challenge and position. In September, 2022, Amarenco was appointed visiting professor in the Brain Health and Stroke research programme at the Population Health Research Institute (Hamilton, ON, Canada), hence, he now spends half his time in France and the other half in Canada. His work in Canada will focus on developing clinical trials in stroke. Risk of subsequent disabling or fatal stroke in patients with transient ischaemic attack or minor ischaemic stroke: an international, prospective cohort studyWe found a substantial burden of disability (mRS score of >1) at 5 years after transient ischaemic attack or minor ischemic stroke, and most predictors of this disability were modifiable risk factors. Patients who did regular physical exercise before the index event had a significantly reduced risk of disability at 5 years compared with patients who did no exercise. Full-Text PDF

Colchicine and the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 (ACT): an open-label, factorial, randomised, controlled trial

COVID-19 disease is accompanied by a dysregulated immune response and hypercoagulability. The Anti-Coronavirus Therapies (ACT) inpatient trial aimed to evaluate anti-inflammatory therapy with colchicine and antithrombotic therapy with the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin for prevention of disease progression in patients hospitalised with COVID-19. The ACT inpatient, open-label, 2 × 2 factorial, randomised, controlled trial was done at 62 clinical centres in 11 countries. Patients aged at least 18 years with symptomatic, laboratory confirmed COVID-19 who were within 72 h of hospitalisation or worsening clinically if already hospitalised were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive colchicine 1·2 mg followed by 0·6 mg 2 h later and then 0·6 mg twice daily for 28 days versus usual care; and in a second (1:1) randomisation, to the combination of rivaroxaban 2·5 mg twice daily plus aspirin 100 mg once daily for 28 days versus usual care. Investigators and patients were not masked to treatment allocation. The primary outcome, assessed at 45 days in the intention-to-treat population, for the colchicine randomisation was the composite of the need for high-flow oxygen, mechanical ventilation, or death; and for the rivaroxaban plus aspirin randomisation was the composite of major thrombosis (myocardial infarction, stroke, acute limb ischaemia, or pulmonary embolism), the need for high-flow oxygen, mechanical ventilation, or death. The trial is registered at www. gov, NCT04324463 and is ongoing. Between Oct 2, 2020, and Feb 10, 2022, at 62 sites in 11 countries, 2749 patients were randomly assigned to colchicine or control and the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin or to the control. 2611 patients were included in the analysis of colchicine (n=1304) versus control (n=1307); 2119 patients were included in the analysis of rivaroxaban and aspirin (n=1063) versus control (n=1056). Follow-up was more than 98% complete. Overall, 368 (28·2%) of 1304 patients allocated to colchicine and 356 (27·2%) of 1307 allocated to control had a primary outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 1·04, 95% CI 0·90-1·21, p=0·58); and 281 (26·4%) of 1063 patients allocated to the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin and 300 (28·4%) of 1056 allocated to control had a primary outcome (HR 0·92, 95% CI 0·78-1·09, p=0·32). Results were consistent in subgroups defined by vaccination status, disease severity at baseline, and timing of randomisation in relation to onset of symptoms. There was no increase in the number of patients who had at least one serious adverse event for colchicine versus control groups (87 [6·7%] of 1304 vs 90 [6·9%] of 1307) or with rivaroxaban and aspirin versus control groups (85 [8·0%] vs 91 [8·6%]). Among patients assigned to colchicine, 8 (0·61%) had adverse events that led to discontinuation of study drug, mostly gastrointestinal in nature. 17 (1·6%) patients assigned to the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin had bleeding compared with seven (0·66%) of those allocated to control (p=0·042); the number of serious bleeding events was two (0·19%) versus six (0·57%), respectively (p=0·18). No patients assigned to rivaroxaban and aspirin had serious adverse events that led to discontinuation of study drug. Among patients hospitalised with COVID-19, neither colchicine nor the combination of rivaroxaban and aspirin prevent disease progression or death. Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Bayer, Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, Thistledown Foundation. For the Portuguese, Russian and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Colchicine and aspirin in community patients with COVID-19 (ACT): an open-label, factorial, randomised, controlled trial

The large number of patients worldwide infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus has overwhelmed health-care systems globally. The Anti-Coronavirus Therapies (ACT) outpatient trial aimed to evaluate anti-inflammatory therapy with colchicine and antithrombotic therapy with aspirin for prevention of disease progression in community patients with COVID-19. The ACT outpatient, open-label, 2 × 2 factorial, randomised, controlled trial, was done at 48 clinical sites in 11 countries. Patients in the community aged 30 years and older with symptomatic, laboratory confirmed COVID-19 who were within 7 days of diagnosis and at high risk of disease progression were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive colchicine 0·6 mg twice daily for 3 days and then 0·6 mg once daily for 25 days versus usual care, and in a second (1:1) randomisation to receive aspirin 100 mg once daily for 28 days versus usual care. Investigators and patients were not masked to treatment allocation. The primary outcome was assessed at 45 days in the intention-to-treat population; for the colchicine randomisation it was hospitalisation or death, and for the aspirin randomisation it was major thrombosis, hospitalisation, or death. The ACT outpatient trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04324463 and is ongoing. Between Aug 27, 2020, and Feb 10, 2022, 3917 patients were randomly assigned to colchicine or control and to aspirin or control; after excluding 36 patients due to administrative reasons 3881 individuals were included in the analysis (n=1939 colchicine vs n=1942 control; n=1945 aspirin vs 1936 control). Follow-up was more than 99% complete. Overall event rates were 5 (0·1%) of 3881 for major thrombosis, 123 (3·2%) of 3881 for hospitalisation, and 23 (0·6%) of 3881 for death; 66 (3·4%) of 1939 patients allocated to colchicine and 65 (3·3%) of 1942 patients allocated to control experienced hospitalisation or death (hazard ratio [HR] 1·02, 95% CI 0·72-1·43, p=0·93); and 59 (3·0%) of 1945 of patients allocated to aspirin and 73 (3·8%) of 1936 patients allocated to control experienced major thrombosis, hospitalisation, or death (HR 0·80, 95% CI 0·57-1·13, p=0·21). Results for the primary outcome were consistent in all prespecified subgroups, including according to baseline vaccination status, timing of randomisation in relation to onset of symptoms (post-hoc analysis), and timing of enrolment according to the phase of the pandemic (post-hoc analysis). There were more serious adverse events with colchicine than with control (34 patients [1·8%] of 1939 vs 27 [1·4%] of 1942) but none in either group that led to discontinuation of study interventions. There was no increase in serious adverse events with aspirin versus control (31 [1·6%] vs 31 [1·6%]) and none that led to discontinuation of study interventions. The results provide no support for the use of colchicine or aspirin to prevent disease progression or death in outpatients with COVID-19. Canadian Institutes for Health Research, Bayer, Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences Research Institute, and Thistledown Foundation. For the Portuguese, Russian and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Effect of Colchicine vs Usual Care Alone on Intubation and 28-Day Mortality in Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19

Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia have high rates of morbidity and mortality. To assess the efficacy of colchicine in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. The Estudios Clínicos Latino América (ECLA) Population Health Research Institute (PHRI) COLCOVID trial was a multicenter, open-label, randomized clinical trial performed from April 17, 2020, to March 28, 2021, in adults with confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection followed for up to 28 days. Participants received colchicine vs usual care if they were hospitalized with COVID-19 symptoms and had severe acute respiratory syndrome or oxygen desaturation. The main exclusion criteria were clear indications or contraindications for colchicine, chronic kidney disease, and negative results on a reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction test for SARS-CoV-2 before randomization. Data were analyzed from June 20 to July 25, 2021. Patients were assigned in a 1:1 ratio to usual care or usual care plus colchicine. Colchicine was administered orally in a loading dose of 1.5 mg immediately after randomization, followed by 0.5 mg orally within 2 hours of the initial dose and 0.5 mg orally twice a day for 14 days or discharge, whichever occurred first. The first coprimary outcome was the composite of a new requirement for mechanical ventilation or death evaluated at 28 days. The second coprimary outcome was death at 28 days. A total of 1279 hospitalized patients (mean [SD] age, 61.8 [14.6] years; 449 [35.1%] women and 830 [64.9%] men) were randomized, including 639 patients in the usual care group and 640 patients in the colchicine group. Corticosteroids were used in 1171 patients (91.5%). The coprimary outcome of mechanical ventilation or 28-day death occurred in 160 patients (25.0%) in the colchicine group and 184 patients (28.8%) in the usual care group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 95% CI, 0.67-1.02; P = .08). The second coprimary outcome, 28-day death, occurred in 131 patients (20.5%) in the colchicine group and 142 patients (22.2%) in the usual care group (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.70-1.12). Diarrhea was the most frequent adverse effect of colchicine, reported in 68 patients (11.3%). This randomized clinical trial found that compared with usual care, colchicine did not significantly reduce mechanical ventilation or 28-day mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 pneumonia. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04328480.

Editorial Comment.

No AccessJournal of UrologyAdult Urology1 Apr 2022Editorial CommentThis article comments on the following:Comparison of Surgical or Medical Castration-Related Cardiotoxicity in Patients with Prostate Cancer Darryl P. Leong, Alicia K. Morgans, and Celestia S. Higano Darryl P. LeongDarryl P. Leong The Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University and Hamilton Health Sciences, Ontario, Ontario, Canada More articles by this author , Alicia K. MorgansAlicia K. Morgans Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts More articles by this author , and Celestia S. HiganoCelestia S. Higano Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada More articles by this author View All Author Informationhttps://doi.org/10.1097/JU.0000000000002340.01AboutFull TextPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints ShareFacebookLinked InTwitterEmail "Editorial Comment." The Journal of Urology, 207(4), pp. 849–850 Reference 1. : Diabetes and cardiovascular disease during androgen deprivation therapy: observational study of veterans with prostate cancer. J Natl Cancer Inst 2010; 102: 39. Google Scholar © 2021 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.FiguresReferencesRelatedDetailsRelated articlesJournal of Urology2 Dec 2021Comparison of Surgical or Medical Castration-Related Cardiotoxicity in Patients with Prostate Cancer Volume 207Issue 4April 2022Page: 849-850 Advertisement Copyright & Permissions© 2021 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.MetricsAuthor Information Darryl P. Leong The Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University and Hamilton Health Sciences, Ontario, Ontario, Canada More articles by this author Alicia K. Morgans Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts More articles by this author Celestia S. Higano Department of Urologic Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada More articles by this author Expand All Advertisement PDF downloadLoading ...

Fixed-dose combination therapies with and without aspirin for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: an individual participant data meta-analysis

In randomised controlled trials, fixed-dose combination treatments (or polypills) have been shown to reduce a composite of cardiovascular disease outcomes in primary prevention. However, whether or not aspirin should be included, effects on specific outcomes, and effects in key subgroups are unknown. We did an individual participant data meta-analysis of large randomised controlled trials (each with ≥1000 participants and ≥2 years of follow-up) of a fixed-dose combination treatment strategy versus control in a primary cardiovascular disease prevention population. We included trials that evaluated a fixed-dose combination strategy of at least two blood pressure lowering agents plus a statin (with or without aspirin), compared with a control strategy (either placebo or usual care). The primary outcome was time to first occurrence of a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or arterial revascularisation. Additional outcomes included individual cardiovascular outcomes and death from any cause. Outcomes were also evaluated in groups stratified by the inclusion of aspirin in the fixed-dose treatment strategy, and effect sizes were estimated in prespecified subgroups based on risk factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to compare strategies. Three large randomised trials were included in the analysis (TIPS-3, HOPE-3, and PolyIran), with a total of 18 162 participants. Mean age was 63·0 years (SD 7·1), and 9038 (49·8%) participants were female. Estimated 10-year cardiovascular disease risk for the population was 17·7% (8·7). During a median follow-up of 5 years, the primary outcome occurred in 276 (3·0%) participants in the fixed-dose combination strategy group compared with 445 (4·9%) in the control group (hazard ratio 0·62, 95% CI 0·53-0·73, p<0·0001). Reductions were also observed for the separate components of the primary outcome: myocardial infarction (0·52, 0·38-0·70), revascularisation (0·54, 0·36-0·80), stroke (0·59, 0·45-0·78), and cardiovascular death (0·65, 0·52-0·81). Significant reductions in the primary outcome and its components were observed in the analyses of fixed-dose combination strategies with and without aspirin, with greater reductions for strategies including aspirin. Treatment effects were similar at different lipid and blood pressure levels, and in the presence or absence of diabetes, smoking, or obesity. Gastrointestinal bleeding was uncommon but slightly more frequent in the fixed-dose combination strategy with aspirin group versus control (19 [0·4%] vs 11 [0·2%], p=0·15). The frequencies of haemorrhagic stroke (10 [0·2%] vs 15 [0·3%]), fatal bleeding (two [<0·1%] vs four [0·1%]), and peptic ulcer disease (32 [0·7%] vs 34 [0·8%]) were low and did not differ significantly between groups. Dizziness was more common with fixed-dose combination treatment (1060 [11·7%] vs 834 [9·2%], p<0·0001). Fixed-dose combination treatment strategies substantially reduce cardiovascular disease, myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularisation, and cardiovascular death in primary cardiovascular disease prevention. These benefits are consistent irrespective of cardiometabolic risk factors. Population Health Research Institute.

Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Ionis-FXIRx, an Antisense Inhibitor of Factor XI, in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease on Hemodialysis

BACKGROUNDPatients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on hemodialysis are at high risk of both thrombotic and bleeding events. Experimental and clinical data indicate that reducing factor XI (FXI), a key component of the intrinsic pathway, prevents thrombosis without causing bleeding. FXI activity can be lowered with IONIS-FXIRx, a 2nd generation antisense oligonucleotide that specifically reduces human FXI mRNA expression in the liver. This study sought to determine the safety, pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of IONIS-FXIRx in participants with ESRD. METHODSIn this Phase 2 multicenter study, we enrolled a total of 49 ESRD patients: (A) 6 participants receiving chronic in-center hemodialysis (HD) to receive an open-label single-dose of 300 mg IONIS-FXIRx either 5 minutes before or 10 minutes after HD and assessed the effects of HD on peak (Cmax) and the extent of exposure (AUC0-24hr) parameters of IONIS-FXIRx and (B) another 43 participants in a double-blind design to one of two multiple-dose regimens (200 mg or 300 mg) IONIS-FXIRx or placebo for 12 weeks with 12 weeks of additional follow up. In the double-blind portion, IONIS-FXIRx was administered subcutaneously ~10 minutes after HD. For PK, plasma trough concentration and apparent elimination half-life (t1/2λz) were evaluated. The PD parameters including FXI activity and antigen, aPTT, prothrombin time (PT), and INR were evaluated in the per-protocol population (N= 34) that was defined as all participants who received the complete protocol-specified administration of IONIS-FXIRx or placebo through week 8 and who did not have any major protocol violations. The rate and frequency of clotting on the HD filters and circuit were qualitatively measured with a clotting scale as an exploratory PD analysis. RESULTSThe PK cohort included 6 males (5 white) with a mean age of 61 years. The plasma PK profile of IONIS-FXIRx was not significantly altered whether injected before or after HD. After multiple dosing, plasma Cmax values were dose-dependent and similar between Day 1 (first dose) and Day 78 (last dose), suggesting no accumulation of IONIS-FXIRx in ESRD participants after 12-weeks of dosing. After treatment cessation, IONIS-FXIRx had an apparent elimination half-life of approximately 2 weeks. In the double-blind portion of the study, 22 (51.2%) of the participants were male, 24 (55.8%) were white and the mean age was 59 years. Attenuation of FXI activity was associated with a reduction in the incidence of severe clotting events on both the air filter and dialyzer (Table). The reduction in severe clotting events was observed when FXI activity was < 0.4 U/mL. Consistent with prior observations in healthy subjects, IONIS-FXIRx prolonged aPTT in a time and dose-dependent manner with maximum mean percent changes from baseline of 53.3% (p < 0.05) for the 200 mg dose group and 75.6% (p < 0.05) for the 300 mg dose group at Week 14, but had no effect on PT. Treatment emergent adverse events (TEAEs) were mostly mild; participants reporting serious TEAEs were 1 (16.7%) for the PK cohort, 4 (30.8%) for placebo and 3 (20.0%) each for the 200 mg and 300 mg IONIS-FXIRx dose groups. There were no drug-related SAEs and no drug-related major or clinically-relevant non-major bleeding events. Minor bleeds were primarily observed in the 300 mg multiple-dose group at AV fistula/graft sites but did not correlate with reduction of FXI activity. No clinically significant reductions in platelet counts were reported during the study. CONCLUSIONSThis study demonstrated that (i) HD had no effect on IONIS-FXIRx PK, (ii) IONIS-FXIRx was well tolerated and produced sustained, and dose-dependent reductions in FXI antigen and activity, and (iii) IONIS-FXIRx reduced severe dialysis circuit clotting events beyond standard heparin use. Collectively, these data support further evaluation of IONIS-FXIRx as a potentially safe, effective antithrombotic therapy in ESRD patients on HD. [Display omitted] DisclosuresBethune:Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Employment. Walsh:Population Health Research Institute: Employment; Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy. Jung:Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Employment. Yu:Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Employment. Geary:Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Employment. Bhanot:Ionis Pharmaceuticals: Employment.

Glycemic Index, Glycemic Load, and Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality

BackgroundMost data regarding the association between the glycemic index and cardiovascular disease come from high-income Western populations, with little information from non-Western countries with low or middle incomes. To fill this gap, data are needed from a large, geographically diverse population.MethodsThis analysis includes 137,851 participants between the ages of 35 and 70 years living on five continents, with a median follow-up of 9.5 years. We used country-specific food-frequency questionnaires to determine dietary intake and estimated the glycemic index and glycemic load on the basis of the consumption of seven categories of carbohydrate foods. We calculated hazard ratios using multivariable Cox frailty models. The primary outcome was a composite of a major cardiovascular event (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure) or death from any cause.ResultsIn the study population, 8780 deaths and 8252 major cardiovascular events occurred during the follow-up period. After performing extensive adjustments comparing the lowest and highest glycemic-index quintiles, we found that a diet with a high glycemic index was associated with an increased risk of a major cardiovascular event or death, both among participants with preexisting cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio, 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25 to 1.82) and among those without such disease (hazard ratio, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.34). Among the components of the primary outcome, a high glycemic index was also associated with an increased risk of death from cardiovascular causes. The results with respect to glycemic load were similar to the findings regarding the glycemic index among the participants with cardiovascular disease at baseline, but the association was not significant among those without preexisting cardiovascular disease.ConclusionsIn this study, a diet with a high glycemic index was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and death. (Funded by the Population Health Research Institute and others.)

Associations of grip strength with cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in people with and without hypertension: findings from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) China Study

Abstract Background Hypertension and grip strength (GS) are predictors of mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD), but whether these risk factors interact to affect both CVD and all-cause mortality is unknown. The study aimed to examine whether the associations between hypertension and GS with the risk of major CVD incidence, CVD mortality, and all-cause mortality differed between people with and without hypertension. Methods GS was measured using a Jamar dynamometer in participants aged 35–70 years from 12 provinces in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) China study. Hypertension was defined as a baseline systolic and diastolic blood pressure of at least 140/90 mm Hg, a self-reported history of hypertension, or treatment with antihypertensive medications. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of GS and hypertension and with the outcomes of all-cause mortality and CVD incidence/mortality, and to test the multiplicative interactions between hypertension and GS. Results Among 39,862 participants included in this study, 15,964 reported having hypertension at baseline and 9095 had high GS. After a median follow-up of 8.9 years [interquartile range (IQR) 6.7–9.9 years], 1822 participants developed major CVD, and 1250 deaths occurred (388 as a result of CVD). Compared with normotensive participants with high GS, hypertensive patients with high GS had a higher risk of major CVD incidence (HR 2.36 [95% CI: 1.84–3.02]; P&amp;lt;0.0001) or CVD mortality (HR 3.05 [95% CI: 1.56–5.95]; P&amp;lt;0.0001) but did not have a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.23 [95% CI: 0.91–1.67]; P=0.181); these risks were further increased if hypertensive participants whose GS level was low (major CVD incidence (HR 3.33 [95% CI: 2.61, 4.24]; P&amp;lt;0.0001), CVD mortality (HR: 5.20 [95% CI: 2.76, 9.82]; P&amp;lt;0.0001), and all-cause mortality (HR 2.00 [95% CI: 1.53, 2.62]; P&amp;lt;0.0001)). Conclusions The present study demonstrates that hypertensive patients with low GS are associated with the highest risk of major CVD incidence, CVD mortality, and all-cause mortality. High levels of GS appear to mitigate long-term mortality risk among hypertensive patients. Association of adverse outcomes Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): The main PURE study and its components are funded by the Population Health Research Institute, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, and through unrestricted grants from several pharmaceutical companies. Besides funding from global PURE, this work was also sponsored by CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS): 2016-I2M-2-004, Construction of Basic Information Technology Support System and Platform for National Prevention and Treatment of Cardiovascular Diseases.

490-P: Renal Effects of Metformin in Type 1 Diabetes (T1D): The REMOVAL Trial

Aims: In REMOVAL (NCT01483560), metformin attenuated decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the creatinine-based Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation in adults with T1D. We now report the effects of metformin vs. placebo on: (i) eGFR by CKD-EPI; and (ii) microalbuminuria (albumin: creatinine ratio, ACR). Methods: In 428 participants (mean age 55 years; HbA1c 8.0%; BP 130/72mmHg; eGFR 92 ml/min/1.73m2, 69% on ACE inhibitors/ARBs), CKD-EPI was derived separately from creatinine and cystatin C (annual). ACR was measured on annual first morning void. Treatment effects were compared by ANCOVA for continuous data (adjusted for baseline) and Cox Regression for incident microalbuminuria. Results: Mean baseline eGFR by CKD-EPI was 90 ml/min/1.73m2 by creatinine and 96 ml/min/1.73m2 by cystatin C. Decline in eGFR over 3 years was attenuated by metformin vs. placebo when CKD-EPI was derived from creatinine and cystatin C. There was no effect on ACR but confidence intervals were wide (Table). Conclusions: Deriving eGFR from other biomarkers/equations does not alter the conclusion that metformin has a potentially beneficial effect on eGFR in T1D; its effect on ACR requires further study. Disclosure J.G. Timmons: None. N. Greenlaw: None. C.D. Stehouwer: None. M. Brouwers: None. N. Chaturvedi: Consultant; Self; AstraZeneca. A.D. Hughes: Advisory Panel; Spouse/Partner; AstraZeneca. I. Hramiak: Consultant; Self; Medtronic, Novo Nordisk Inc. Research Support; Self; Eli Lilly and Company, PHRI Population Health Research Institute, Sanofi. Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Boehringer Ingelheim (Canada) Ltd., Merck &amp; Co., Inc. Other Relationship; Self; AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Insulet Corporation. A. Jenkins: Advisory Panel; Self; Abbott, Medtronic. Research Support; Self; Abbott, GlySens Incorporated, Medtronic, Sanofi-Aventis. P. Welsh: Research Support; Self; AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Roche Diagnostics. N. Sattar: Advisory Panel; Self; Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Eli Lilly and Company, Novo Nordisk A/S, Pfizer Inc., Sanofi. Research Support; Self; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. H.M. Colhoun: Advisory Panel; Self; AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly and Company, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Novo Nordisk Inc., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi-Aventis. Research Support; Self; AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly and Company, Novo Nordisk Inc., Novo Nordisk Inc., Pfizer Inc., Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi-Aventis. Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Eli Lilly and Company, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Sanofi. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Bayer AG, Roche Pharma. Other Relationship; Self; Eli Lilly and Company, Sanofi. P. Rossing: Advisory Panel; Self; Sanofi. Consultant; Self; Astellas Pharma Inc., AstraZeneca, Bayer Healthcare Pharmaceuticals Inc., Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH, Gilead Sciences, Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S. Research Support; Self; Novo Nordisk A/S. Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Eli Lilly and Company. Stock/Shareholder; Self; Novo Nordisk A/S. J.R. Petrie: Advisory Panel; Self; Novo Nordisk A/S. Consultant; Self; Advanced Clinical Intelligence, IQVIA. Research Support; Self; AstraZeneca, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Speaker’s Bureau; Self; Merck KGaA, Novo Nordisk A/S.

The Top Most-Cited and Influential Published Articles in Atrial Fibrillation from 1900 to 2019

Citation classics are widely being implemented in the field of medical and scientific research assessment. The frequency of citation of a particular article is used to gauge its contribution and impact on the clinical world of practice and research. A thorough search of the literature showed a lack of bibliometric analysis on atrial fibrillation (AF). Thereby the main purpose of this study is to pinpoint the trend of the top 100 cited articles on AF. In June 2019, 2 databases, Scopus and Web of Science, were used to acquire the articles published on AF, which belonged to various genres including medicine, medical and interventional cardiology, electrophysiology, and thoracic surgery. The data were thoroughly reviewed and analyzed by 2 reviewers with regards to the number of citations for each article, publications per area, document type, first author name, country of origin, institute of origin, and year of publication. Approval of the Institutional Board Review was not required as we used publically available data retrospectively. The number of citations in the top 100 articles ranged from 622 to 6,641 times with an average citation of 1041.3 per article. The most significant number of articles was published in the year 2004 which ranged up to 11 in total. All the articles are published in 21 English language journals. In these 100 articles, the most were from the United States (n = 63) followed by Canada (n = 24), and other countries (n = 17). The top 5 institutions include McMaster University (n = 9), Institut de Cardiologie de Montreal (n = 8), Population Health Research Institute (n = 8), Harvard Medical School (n = 7), and Mayo Clinic (n = 7). In conclusion, authors seeking to publish a highly referenced article on AF will be determined by source journal, the language of publication, geographic origin, methodology, or research outcome.

A community-based comprehensive intervention to reduce cardiovascular risk in hypertension (HOPE 4): a cluster-randomised controlled trial

Hypertension is the leading cause of cardiovascular disease globally. Despite proven benefits, hypertension control is poor. We hypothesised that a comprehensive approach to lowering blood pressure and other risk factors, informed by detailed analysis of local barriers, would be superior to usual care in individuals with poorly controlled or newly diagnosed hypertension. We tested whether a model of care involving non-physician health workers (NPHWs), primary care physicians, family, and the provision of effective medications, could substantially reduce cardiovascular disease risk. HOPE 4 was an open, community-based, cluster-randomised controlled trial involving 1371 individuals with new or poorly controlled hypertension from 30 communities (defined as townships) in Colombia and Malaysia. 16 communities were randomly assigned to control (usual care, n=727), and 14 (n=644) to the intervention. After community screening, the intervention included treatment of cardiovascular disease risk factors by NPHWs using tablet computer-based simplified management algorithms and counselling programmes; free antihypertensive and statin medications recommended by NPHWs but supervised by physicians; and support from a family member or friend (treatment supporter) to improve adherence to medications and healthy behaviours. The primary outcome was the change in Framingham Risk Score 10-year cardiovascular disease risk estimate at 12 months between intervention and control participants. The HOPE 4 trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01826019. All communities completed 12-month follow-up (data on 97% of living participants, n=1299). The reduction in Framingham Risk Score for 10-year cardiovascular disease risk was -6·40% (95% CI 8·00 to -4·80) in the control group and -11·17% (-12·88 to -9·47) in the intervention group, with a difference of change of -4·78% (95% CI -7·11 to -2·44, p<0·0001). There was an absolute 11·45 mm Hg (95% CI -14·94 to -7·97) greater reduction in systolic blood pressure, and a 0·41 mmol/L (95% CI -0·60 to -0·23) reduction in LDL with the intervention group (both p<0·0001). Change in blood pressure control status (<140 mm Hg) was 69% in the intervention group versus 30% in the control group (p<0·0001). There were no safety concerns with the intervention. A comprehensive model of care led by NPHWs, involving primary care physicians and family that was informed by local context, substantially improved blood pressure control and cardiovascular disease risk. This strategy is effective, pragmatic, and has the potential to substantially reduce cardiovascular disease compared with current strategies that are typically physician based. Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Grand Challenges Canada; Ontario SPOR Support Unit and the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care; Boehringer Ingelheim; Department of Management of Non-Communicable Diseases, WHO; and Population Health Research Institute. VIDEO ABSTRACT.

Mortality and cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity in individuals with impaired FEV1 (PURE): an international, community-based cohort study

The associations between the extent of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) impairment and mortality, incident cardiovascular disease, and respiratory hospitalisations are unclear, and how these associations might vary across populations is unknown. In this international, community-based cohort study, we prospectively enrolled adults aged 35-70 years who had no intention of moving residences for 4 years from rural and urban communities across 17 countries. A portable spirometer was used to assess FEV1. FEV1 values were standardised within countries for height, age, and sex, and expressed as a percentage of the country-specific predicted FEV1 value (FEV1%). FEV1% was categorised as no impairment (FEV1% ≥0 SD from country-specific mean), mild impairment (FEV1% <0 SD to -1 SD), moderate impairment (FEV1% <-1 SD to -2 SDs), and severe impairment (FEV1% <-2 SDs [ie, clinically abnormal range]). Follow-up was done every 3 years to collect information on mortality, cardiovascular disease outcomes (including myocardial infarction, stroke, sudden death, or congestive heart failure), and respiratory hospitalisations (from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, pneumonia, tuberculosis, or other pulmonary conditions). Fully adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by multilevel Cox regression. Among 126 359 adults with acceptable spirometry data available, during a median 7·8 years (IQR 5·6-9·5) of follow-up, 5488 (4·3%) deaths, 5734 (4·5%) cardiovascular disease events, and 1948 (1·5%) respiratory hospitalisation events occurred. Relative to the no impairment group, mild to severe FEV1% impairments were associated with graded increases in mortality (HR 1·27 [95% CI 1·18-1·36] for mild, 1·74 [1·60-1·90] for moderate, and 2·54 [2·26-2·86] for severe impairment), cardiovascular disease (1·18 [1·10-1·26], 1·39 [1·28-1·51], 2·02 [1·75-2·32]), and respiratory hospitalisation (1·39 [1·24-1·56], 2·02 [1·75-2·32], 2·97 [2·45-3·60]), and this pattern persisted in subgroup analyses considering country income level and various baseline risk factors. Population-attributable risk for mortality (adjusted for age, sex, and country income) from mildly to moderately reduced FEV1% (24·7% [22·2-27·2]) was larger than that from severely reduced FEV1% (3·7% [2·1-5·2]) and from tobacco use (19·7% [17·2-22·3]), previous cardiovascular disease (5·5% [4·5-6·5]), and hypertension (17·1% [14·6-19·6]). Population-attributable risk for cardiovascular disease from mildly to moderately reduced FEV1 was 17·3% (14·8-19·7), second only to the contribution of hypertension (30·1% [27·6-32·5]). FEV1 is an independent and generalisable predictor of mortality, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory hospitalisation, even across the clinically normal range (mild to moderate impairment). Population Health Research Institute, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, AstraZeneca, Sanofi-Aventis, Boehringer Ingelheim, Servier, and GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis, and King Pharma. Additional funders are listed in the appendix.

Association of Dairy Consumption with Metabolic Syndrome, Hypertension and Diabetes in 147,812 Individuals from 21 Countries

Association of Dairy Consumption with Metabolic Syndrome, Hypertension and Diabetes in 147,812 Individuals from 21 Countries

Late-Breaking Science Abstracts From the American Heart Association's Scientific Sessions 2018 and Late-Breaking Abstracts in Resuscitation Science From the Resuscitation Science Symposium 2018.

Late-Breaking Science Abstracts From the American Heart Association's Scientific Sessions 2018 and Late-Breaking Abstracts in Resuscitation Science From the Resuscitation Science Symposium 2018.

Urinary sodium excretion, blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, and mortality: a community-level prospective epidemiological cohort study

WHO recommends that populations consume less than 2 g/day sodium as a preventive measure against cardiovascular disease, but this target has not been achieved in any country. This recommendation is primarily based on individual-level data from short-term trials of blood pressure (BP) without data relating low sodium intake to reduced cardiovascular events from randomised trials or observational studies. We investigated the associations between community-level mean sodium and potassium intake, cardiovascular disease, and mortality. The Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology study is ongoing in 21 countries. Here we report an analysis done in 18 countries with data on clinical outcomes. Eligible participants were adults aged 35-70 years without cardiovascular disease, sampled from the general population. We used morning fasting urine to estimate 24 h sodium and potassium excretion as a surrogate for intake. We assessed community-level associations between sodium and potassium intake and BP in 369 communities (all >50 participants) and cardiovascular disease and mortality in 255 communities (all >100 participants), and used individual-level data to adjust for known confounders. 95 767 participants in 369 communities were assessed for BP and 82 544 in 255 communities for cardiovascular outcomes with follow-up for a median of 8·1 years. 82 (80%) of 103 communities in China had a mean sodium intake greater than 5 g/day, whereas in other countries 224 (84%) of 266 communities had a mean intake of 3-5 g/day. Overall, mean systolic BP increased by 2·86 mm Hg per 1 g increase in mean sodium intake, but positive associations were only seen among the communities in the highest tertile of sodium intake (p<0·0001 for heterogeneity). The association between mean sodium intake and major cardiovascular events showed significant deviations from linearity (p=0·043) due to a significant inverse association in the lowest tertile of sodium intake (lowest tertile <4·43 g/day, mean intake 4·04 g/day, range 3·42-4·43; change -1·00 events per 1000 years, 95% CI -2·00 to -0·01, p=0·0497), no association in the middle tertile (middle tertile 4·43-5·08 g/day, mean intake 4·70 g/day, 4·44-5.05; change 0·24 events per 1000 years, -2·12 to 2·61, p=0·8391), and a positive but non-significant association in the highest tertile (highest tertile >5·08 g/day, mean intake 5·75 g/day, >5·08-7·49; change 0·37 events per 1000 years, -0·03 to 0·78, p=0·0712). A strong association was seen with stroke in China (mean sodium intake 5·58 g/day, 0·42 events per 1000 years, 95% CI 0·16 to 0·67, p=0·0020) compared with in other countries (4·49 g/day, -0·26 events, -0·46 to -0·06, p=0·0124; p<0·0001 for heterogeneity). All major cardiovascular outcomes decreased with increasing potassium intake in all countries. Sodium intake was associated with cardiovascular disease and strokes only in communities where mean intake was greater than 5 g/day. A strategy of sodium reduction in these communities and countries but not in others might be appropriate. Population Health Research Institute, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canadian Institutes of Health Canada Strategy for Patient-Oriented Research, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, and European Research Council.