Population-based Matched Cohort Study Research Articles

Health-related Quality of Life in surgically treated asymptomatic meningioma patients: a population-based matched cohort study

Abstract Background Asymptomatic patients with meningiomas are increasingly detected, where management can be challenging in terms of surgery versus watchful waiting. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important factor in clinical decision making, albeit not greatly studied in this patient group. The aim of this paper is to map the HRQoL among patients with surgically removed asymptomatic meningioma as compared to the general population. Methods Patients with first time surgically treated asymptomatic meningioma between 2007 and 2013 were identified. Patients were invited 2017 to answer a survey regarding different aspects of quality of life, using EuroQoL (EQ)-5D-3L, perceived health, lifestyle, and occupancy. Data from electronic patient records was obtained. The patients were matched based on age and gender with data from the Stockholm Region Public Health Cohort database. Results There was no difference in EQ-5D-3L or visual analogue scale (VAS) between the patients and their matched controls. Patients and controls experienced ill health to the same extent, but patients felt to a greater extent that this impacted their way of life. In 36% of patients, preoperative occupation was not resumed, mostly due to cognitive symptoms. Additionally, the study suggested social detachment in this cohort, as significantly more patients were living alone and had less emotional support compared to controls. Conclusions Although surgically treated patients with asymptomatic intracranial meningioma have similar overall HRQoL compared to the general population, surgery has an impact on return to work and cognitive function.

Association between immigration status and total knee arthroplasty outcomes in Ontario, Canada: a population-based matched cohort study.

Immigrants and refugees face unique challenges navigating the health care system to manage severe arthritis, because of unfamiliarity, lack of awareness of surgical options, or access. The purpose of this study was to assess total knee arthroplasty (TKA) uptake, surgical outcomes, and hospital utilization among immigrants and refugees compared with Canadian-born patients. We included all adults undergoing primary TKA from January 2011 to December 2020 in Ontario. Cohorts were defined as Canadian-born or immigrants and refugees. We assessed change in yearly TKA utilization for trend. We compared differences in 1-year revision, infection rates, 30-day venous thromboembolism (VTE), presentation to emergency department, and hospital readmission between matched Canadian-born and immigrant and refugee groups. We included 158 031 TKA procedures. A total of 11 973 (7.6%) patients were in the immigrant and refugee group, and 146 058 (92.4%) patients were in the Canadian-born group. The proportion of TKAs in Ontario performed among immigrants and refugees nearly doubled over the 10-year study period (p < 0.001). After matching, immigrants were at relatively lower risk of 1-year revision (0.9% v. 1.6%, p < 0.001), infection (p < 0.001), death (p = 0.004), and surgical complications (p < 0.001). No differences were observed in rates of 30-day VTE or length of hospital stay. Immigrants were more likely to be discharged to rehabilitation (p < 0.001) and less likely to present to the emergency department (p < 0.001) than Canadian-born patients. Compared with Canadian-born patients, immigrants and refugees have favourable surgical outcomes and similar rates of resource utilization after TKA. We observed an underutilization of these procedures in Ontario relative to their proportion of the population. This may reflect differences in perceptions of chronic pain or barriers accessing arthroplasty.

Bariatric Surgery and the Long-Term Risk of Venous Thromboembolism: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Bariatric surgery is associated with a greater venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk in the weeks following surgery, but the long-term risk of VTE is incompletely characterized. We evaluated bariatric surgery in relation to long-term VTE risk. This population-based retrospective matched cohort study within three United States-based integrated health care systems included adults with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 35kg/m2 who underwent bariatric surgery between January 2005 and September 2015 (n = 30,171), matched to nonsurgical patients on site, age, sex, BMI, diabetes, insulin use, race/ethnicity, comorbidity score, and health care utilization (n = 218,961). Follow-up for incident VTE ended September 2015 (median 9.3, max 10.7years). Our population included 30,171 bariatric surgery patients and 218,961 controls; we identified 4068 VTE events. At 30days post-index date, bariatric surgery was associated with a fivefold greater VTE risk (HRadj = 5.01; 95% CI = 4.14, 6.05) and a nearly fourfold greater PE risk (HRadj = 3.93; 95% CI = 2.87, 5.38) than no bariatric surgery. At 1year post-index date, bariatric surgery was associated with a 48% lower VTE risk and a 70% lower PE risk (HRadj = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.41, 0.66 and HRadj = 0.30; 95% CI = 0.21, 0.44, respectively). At 5years post-index date, lower VTE risks persisted, with bariatric surgery associated with a 41% lower VTE risk and a 55% lower PE risk (HRadj = 0.59; 95% CI = 0.48, 0.73 and HRadj = 0.45; 95% CI = 0.32, 0.64, respectively). Although in the short-term bariatric surgery is associated with a greater VTE risk, in the long-term, it is associated with a substantially lower risk.

Temporal trends in mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a Danish population-based matched cohort study.

Excess mortality has been demonstrated in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) compared with the general population. We aimed to investigate the 5-year and 10-year all-cause mortality in patients with SLE compared with the general population in recent decades. Nationwide population-based exposure matched cohort study. Incident cases of SLE diagnosed between 1996 and 2015 were identified using administrative health registries and followed until 2020, allowing for 5 and 10 years of follow-up. Patients with SLE were matched 1:5 on age and sex with individuals from the Danish general population. Time-to-event analyses were performed using the pseudo-observation approach. In total, 1351 incident cases of SLE and 6755 matched controls were identified. The crude risk difference (RD) for 5 years mortality decreased over the study period from 10.3% (95% CI 6.5-14.1%) to 4.6% (95% CI 1.4-7.8%) for patients with SLE compared with controls. The relative risk (RR) for 5-year mortality decreased similarly in the same period. Adjustment for comorbidities revealed lower RD and RR for mortality, but the decreasing trend remained. Crude and adjusted RD and RR for 10-year mortality did not change over calendar period. The 10-year RR was highest in young patients <50 years of age. Five-year mortality risk decreased over time for both patients with SLE and matched controls. However, excess 5-year mortality in the most recent calendar period and mortality late in the disease course remained. Continued focus on preventing disease progression and comorbidity is required.

Exploring the association between acute pancreatitis and biliary tract cancer: A large-scale population-based matched cohort study.

Biliary tract cancer (BTC) often goes undetected until its advanced stages, resulting in a poor prognosis. Given the anatomical closeness of the gallbladder and bile ducts to the pancreas, the inflammatory processes triggered by acute pancreatitis might increase the risk of BTC. To assess the association between acute pancreatitis and the risk of BTC. Using the Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan), we compared the BTC risk in patients with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis during 1990-2018 to a 1:10 matched pancreatitis-free control group. Multivariable Cox regression models, stratified by follow-up duration, were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs), adjusting for socioeconomic factors, alcohol use, and comorbidities. BTC developed in 0.94% of 85,027 acute pancreatitis patients and in 0.23% of 814,993 controls. The BTC risk notably increased within 3months of hospital discharge (HR 82.63; 95% CI: 63.07-108.26) and remained elevated beyond 10years of follow-up (HR 1.82; 95% CI: 1.35-2.47). However, the long-term risk of BTC subtypes did not increase with anatomical proximity to the pancreas, with a null association for gallbladder and extrahepatic tumors. Importantly, patients with acute pancreatitis had a higher occurrence of early-stage BTC within 2years of hospital discharge than controls (13.0 vs. 3.6%; p-value <0.01). Our nationwide study found an elevated BTC risk in acute pancreatitis patients; however, the risk estimates for BTC subtypes were inconsistent, thereby questioning the causality of the association. Importantly, the amplified detection of early-stage BTC within 2years after a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis underscores the necessity for proactive BTC surveillance in these patients.

Increased bronchiectasis risk and related risk factors in inflammatory bowel disease: A 10-year Korean national cohort study

BackgroundThe association between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and an increased risk of bronchiectasis, as well as contributing factors, remains unclear. Additionally, whether bronchiectasis increases disease burden in IBD remains unknown. Therefore, this study aimed to 1) assess whether IBD increases the risk of incident bronchiectasis; 2) compare the risk of bronchiectasis between individuals with Crohn's disease (CD) and those with ulcerative colitis (UC); 3) identify risk factors for bronchiectasis in individuals with IBD; and 4) examine the disease burden in individuals with IBD and bronchiectasisversusthose without.MethodsWe conducted a population-based matched cohort study involving adults aged ≥20 years with IBD, using data acquired from the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort database in Korea between 2002 and 2012.ResultsDuring the mean follow-up of 9.6 years, the incidence rate of bronchiectasis was 419.63/100 000 and 309.65/100 000 person-years (PY) in the IBD and matched cohorts (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.05–1.39), respectively. UC was associated with increased bronchiectasis risk (aHR=1.42, 95% CI=1.19–1.69), while CD was not. Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that age, male sex, medical aid, underweight status, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and diabetes mellitus were associated with an increased risk of bronchiectasis in the IBD cohort (p&lt;0.05). The mortality, emergency department visit, and hospitalisation rates were significantly higher for individuals with IBD and bronchiectasis compared to those without bronchiectasis (p&lt;0.05).ConclusionIBD is associated with increased risk of bronchiectasis, which results in a greater disease burden in individuals with IBD.

Association of diverticulitis and potential risk of ischemic stroke: population-based matched cohort study in Taiwan.

Previous studies have suggested relationship between diverticular disease and cardiovascular disease. Since cardiovascular disease and cerebrovascular accident share a lot of pathogenesis, diverticulitis could also be a risk factor for stroke. This study tried to establish epidemiological evidence of the relationship between colon diverticulitis and ischemic stroke. In this retrospective cohort study, patients with newly diagnosed colon diverticulitis (N = 6238) and patients without colon diverticulitis (control group; N = 24 952) were recruited between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2017. Both groups were matched by propensity score at a 1:4 ratio by age, sex, comorbidities and medications. Cox proportional hazard regression was applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of ischemic stroke. We also conducted 4 different regression models and 2 sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of our findings. The diverticulitis group had a higher risk of IS than the control group (adjusted HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.12-1.39; P < 0.001). Serial sensitivity analyses yielded consistent positive link between diverticulitis and IS. Further subgroup analysis showed that in the study group, the risk of IS was 2.54-fold higher than the matched controls in 30-39years. Our study found that colon diverticulitis was associated with a higher risk of developing subsequent ischemic stroke, especially for patients aged 30-39years, among Asian population. This result provides us a chance to undertake preventive measures for ischemic stroke in high-risk patients.

Obstetric and perinatal outcomes in women with previous breast cancer: a nationwide study of singleton births 1973-2017.

What are the obstetric and perinatal outcomes in births to breast cancer survivors compared to women without previous breast cancer? Women who conceived during the first 2 years following a breast cancer diagnosis had a higher risk for preterm birth, induced delivery, and cesarean section, while no increased risks were observed in births conceived later than 2 years after a breast cancer diagnosis. A recent meta-analysis found higher risks of cesarean section, preterm birth, low birthweight, and small for gestational age in pregnancies among breast cancer survivors. Less is known about rarer outcomes such as pre-eclampsia or congenital malformations. We conducted a population-based matched cohort study including all breast cancer survivors who gave birth to singletons 1973-2017 in Sweden, identified through linkage between the Swedish Cancer Register, the Medical Birth Register, and the National Quality Register for Breast Cancer. Each birth following breast cancer (n = 926) was matched by maternal age at delivery, parity, and calendar year at delivery to 100 births in a comparator cohort of women (n = 92 490). Conditional logistic and multinomial regression models estimated relative risks (RR) with 95% CI. Subgroup analyses by time since diagnosis and type of treatment were performed. Previous breast cancer was associated with higher risks of induced delivery (RR; 1.3, 1.0-1.6), very preterm birth (RR; 1.8, 1.1-3.0), and planned preterm birth (RR; 1.6, 1.0-2.4). Women who conceived within 1 year after breast cancer diagnosis had higher risks of cesarean section (RR; 1.7, 1.0-2.7), very preterm birth (RR; 5.3, 1.9-14.8), and low birthweight (RR; 2.7, 1.4-5.2), while the risks of induced delivery (RR; 1.8, 1.1-2.9), moderately preterm birth (RR; 2.1, 1.2-3.7), and planned preterm birth (RR; 2.5, 1.1-5.7) were higher in women who conceived during the second year after diagnosis. Women who conceived later than 2 years after breast cancer diagnosis had similar obstetric risks to their comparators. As information on the end date of treatment was unavailable, the time between the date of diagnosis and conception was used as a proxy, which does not fully capture the effect of time since end of treatment. In addition, treatments and clinical recommendations have changed over the long study period, which may impact childbearing patterns in breast cancer survivors. Risks of adverse obstetric outcomes in breast cancer survivors were confined to births conceived within 2 years of diagnosis. As family building holds significance for numerous young breast cancer patients, these findings are particularly important to inform both breast cancer survivors and clinicians about future reproductive outcomes. This work was supported by the Swedish Cancer Society (grant number 22-2044 Pj A.L.V.J.), Karolinska Institutet Foundations (grant number: 2022-01696 F.E.L., 2022-01559 A.L.V.J.), and the Swedish Research Council (grant number: 2021-01657 A.L.V.J.). K.A.R.-W. is supported by grants from the Swedish Cancer Society (20 0170 F) and the Radiumhemmets Research Foundations for clinical researchers 2020-2026. The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest. N/A.

Comorbidities associated with adult asthma: a population-based matched cohort study in Finland

BackgroundAsthma is a common chronic disease characterised by variable respiratory symptoms and airflow limitation, affecting roughly 4%–10% of the adult population. Adult asthma is associated with higher all-cause mortality compared...

Microscopic Colitis and Risk of Incident Psoriasis: A Nationwide Population-Based Matched Cohort Study.

Microscopic colitis (MC) has been associated with several immune-mediated diseases including psoriasis, but earlier research has been limited to psoriasis occurring before MC. Data from large-scale cohort studies investigating MC and risk of future psoriasis are lacking. To examine the association between MC and psoriasis. In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study in Sweden from 2007 to 2021, we identified 8404 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2007-2017), 37,033 matched reference individuals, and 8381 siblings without MC. Information on MC was obtained through the ESPRESSO cohort (a Swedish histopathology database with nationwide coverage). Using Cox regression, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for psoriasis up until 2021. During a median follow-up of 9.2 years (interquartile range = 6.7-11.7), 179 MC patients and 440 reference individuals were diagnosed with psoriasis (241.1 vs 131.8 events per 100,000 person-years), corresponding to one extra case of psoriasis in 91 patients with MC over 10 years. After adjustment for the matching variables (birth year, sex, county of residence, and calendar period) and level of education, we computed an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.82 (95% CI = 1.53-2.17). Stratified by sex, estimates were similar and when examining the aHR across different lengths of follow-up, we found significantly elevated estimates up to 10 years after MC diagnosis. Compared to MC-free siblings, the aHR was 1.85 (95% CI = 1.36-2.51). Patients with MC are at an almost doubled risk of psoriasis compared to the general population. Clinicians need to consider psoriasis in MC patients with skin lesions.

Hepatitis C Attributable Healthcare Costs and Mortality among Immigrants: A Population-Based Matched Cohort Study.

Data on the economic burden of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) among immigrants are limited. Our objective was to estimate the CHC-attributable mortality and healthcare costs among immigrants in Ontario, Canada. We conducted a population-based matched cohort study among immigrants diagnosed with CHC between May 31, 2003, and December 31, 2018, using linked health administrative data. Immigrants with CHC (exposed) were matched 1 : 1 to immigrants without CHC (unexposed) using a combination of hard (index date, sex, and age) and propensity-score matching. Net costs (2020 Canadian dollars) collected from the healthcare payer perspective were calculated using a phase-of-care approach and used to estimate long-term costs adjusted for survival. We matched 5,575 exposed individuals with unexposed controls, achieving a balanced match. The mean age was 47 years, and 52% was male. On average, 10.5% of exposed and 3.5% of unexposed individuals died 15 years postindex (relative risk = 2.9; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.6-3.5). The net 30-day costs per person were $88 (95% CI: 55 to 122) for the prediagnosis, $324 (95% CI: 291 to 356) for the initial phase, $1,016 (95% CI: 900 to 1,132) for the late phase, and $975 (95% CI: -25 to 1,974) for the terminal phase. The mean net healthcare cost adjusted for survival at 15 years was $90,448. Compared to unexposed immigrants, immigrants infected with CHC have higher mortality rates and greater healthcare costs. These findings will support the planning of HCV elimination efforts among key risk groups in the province.

Medication utilization in traumatic brain injury patients-insights from a population-based matched cohort study.

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is associated with health problems across multiple domains and TBI patients are reported to have high rates of medication use. However, prior evidence is thin due to methodological limitations. Our aim was thus to examine the use of a wide spectrum of medications prescribed to address pain and somatic conditions in a population-based cohort of TBI patients, and to compare this to a sex- and age-matched cohort. We also examined how patient factors such as sex, age, and TBI severity were associated with medication use. We assessed Swedish nationwide registers to include all individuals treated for TBI in hospitals or specialist outpatient care between 2006 and 2012. We examined dispensed prescriptions for eight different non-psychotropic medication classes for the 12 months before, and 12 months after, the TBI. We applied a fixed-effects model to compare TBI patients with the matched population cohort. We also stratified TBI patients by sex, age, TBI severity and carried out comparisons using a generalized linear model. We identified 239,425 individuals with an incident TBI and 239,425 matched individuals. TBI patients were more likely to use any medication [Odds ratio (OR) = 2.03, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 2.00-2.05], to present with polypharmacy (OR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.90-2.02), and to use each of the eight medication classes before their TBI, as compared to the matched population cohort. Following the TBI, TBI patients were more likely to use any medication (OR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.80-1.86), to present with polypharmacy (OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.67-1.80), and to use all medication classes, although differences were attenuated. However, differences increased for antibiotics/antivirals (OR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.99-2.05) and NSAIDs/antirheumatics (OR = 1.62, 95% CI = 1.59-1.65) post-TBI. We also found that females and older patients were more likely to use medications after their TBI than males and younger patients, respectively. Patients with more severe TBIs demonstrated increased use of antibiotics/ antivirals and NSAIDs/antirheumatics than those with less severe TBIs. Taken together, our results point to poor overall health in TBI patients, suggesting that medical follow-up should be routine, particularly in females with TBI, and include a review of medication use to address potential polypharmacy.

Risk of fractures in half a million survivors of 20 cancers: a population-based matched cohort study using linked English electronic health records

A history of multiple myeloma, prostate cancer, and breast cancer has been associated with adverse bone health, but associations across a broader range of cancers are unclear. We aimed to compare the risk of any bone fracture and major osteoporotic fractures in survivors of a wide range of cancers versus cancer-free individuals. In this population-based matched cohort study, we used electronic health records from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to hospital data. We included adults (aged ≥18 years) eligible for linkage, and we restricted the study start to Jan 2, 1998, onwards and applied administrative censoring on Jan 31, 2020. The cancer survivor group included survivors of the 20 most common cancers. Each individual with cancer was matched (age, sex, and general practice) to up to five controls (1:5) who were cancer-free. The primary outcomes were any bone fracture and any major osteoporotic fracture (pelvic, hip, wrist, spine, or proximal humeral fractures) occurring more than 1 year after index date (ie, the diagnosis date of the matched individual with cancer). We used Cox regression models, adjusted for shared risk factors, to estimate associations between cancer survivorship and bone fractures. 578 160 adults with cancer diagnosed in 1998-2020 were matched to 3 226 404 cancer-free individuals. Crude incidence rates of fractures in cancer survivors ranged between 8·39 cases (95% CI 7·45-9·46) per 1000 person-years for thyroid cancer and 21·62 cases (20·18-23·18) per 1000 person-years for multiple myeloma. Compared with cancer-free individuals, the risk of any bone fracture was increased in 15 of 20 cancers, and of major osteoporotic fractures in 17 of 20 cancers. Effect sizes varied: adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were largest for multiple myeloma (1·94, 95% CI 1·77-2·13) and prostate cancer (1·43, 1·39-1·47); HRs in the range 1·20-1·50 were seen for stomach, liver, pancreas, lung, breast, kidney, and CNS cancers; smaller associations (HR <1·20) were observed for malignant melanoma, non-Hodgkin lymphoma, leukaemia, and oesophageal, colorectal, and cervical cancers. Increased risks of major osteoporotic fracture were noted most substantially in multiple myeloma (2·25, 1·96-2·58) and CNS (2·12, 1·56-2·87), liver (1·62, 1·01-2·61), prostate (1·60, 1·53-1·67), and lung cancers (1·60, 1·44-1·77). Effect sizes tended to reduce over time since diagnosis but remained elevated for more than 5 years in several cancers, such as multiple myeloma and stomach, lung, breast, prostate, and CNS cancers. Survivors of most types of cancer were at increased risk of bone fracture for several years after cancer, with variation by cancer type. These findings can help to inform mitigation and prevention strategies. Wellcome Trust.

Risk of cardiac conduction disorders, and pacemaker implantations among individuals tested for serum Borrelia burgdorferi antibodies, a nationwide, matched, population-based cohort study

ObjectivesTo investigate the short- and long-term risks of atrioventricular block and other cardiac conduction disorders associated with being tested for Borrelia burgdorferi (Bb) antibodies or Bb seropositivity as measures of confounding by indication and Bb infection, respectively. MethodsWe performed a nationwide population-based matched cohort study (Denmark, 1993–2021). We included 52 200 Bb-seropositive individuals (stratified as only Bb-IgM-seropositive [n = 26 103], only Bb-IgG-seropositive [n = 18 698], and Bb-IgM-and-IgG-seropositive [n = 7399]) and two age- and sex-matched comparison cohorts: 104 400 Bb-seronegative individuals and 261 000 population controls. We investigated the risk associated with being tested for serum Bb antibodies and being Bb seropositive. Outcomes were atrioventricular block and other conduction disorders. We calculated short-term odds ratios (aOR) (within 1 month), and long-term hazard ratios (aHR) (after 1 month) adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, chronic heart failure, and kidney disease with 95% CI. ResultsCompared with population controls, individuals tested for Bb antibodies had increased short- and long-term risks of atrioventricular block (aOR 47.9, 95% CI: 30.0–76.7, aHR 1.3, 95% CI:1.2–1.3), and other conduction disorders (aOR 18.2, 95% CI: 10.1–32.8, aHR 1.2, 95% CI: 1.1–1.4). Compared with Bb-seronegative individuals, only Bb-IgM-and-IgG-seropositive individuals had increased short-term risk of atrioventricular block (aOR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.5–3.1). DiscussionThe results suggest that Bb antibody testing is included in the diagnostic work-up of conduction disorders. Finally, that Bb seropositivity is not associated with other conduction disorders than atrioventricular block or with increased long-term risk of conduction disorders.

Herpes zoster diagnosis and treatment in relation to incident dementia: A population-based retrospective matched cohort study.

Evidence suggests that some infectious diseases, such as herpes zoster (HZ), are associated with elevated risk of subsequent dementia, while certain anti-viral medications are associated with lower risk. We sought to evaluate associations between HZ diagnosis and treatment with incident dementia in a large, retrospective matched cohort. Using ICD-9 and ICD-10 diagnosis codes in electronic medical records, we identified members of Kaiser Permanente Northwest age 50 and older from 2000-2019 with a HZ diagnosis during this period. A comparison group without HZ diagnosis was individually matched 3:1 on age at HZ diagnosis date (index date), sex, and membership length prior to index date. We excluded subjects with dementia diagnosed before the index date. Antiherpetic medication was identified using pharmacy fills 1 month before to 12 months after the index date. We employed survival analysis to examine the associations between dementia and HZ diagnosis and antiherpetic medication, adjusting multivariable models for demographic and clinical factors. We stratified on age and sex and conducted a sensitivity analysis with a 5-year lag period. The study included 101,328 persons, 25,332 with HZ. Over a median follow-up of 4.8 years, 6,000 developed dementia. HZ diagnosis was not associated with higher hazard of dementia (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.99, 95% CI 0.93-1.05) in the primary analysis. Among persons with HZ diagnoses, the HR for receipt of any antiherpetic medication was 0.79 (95% CI 0.70-0.90) in univariate analysis and 0.88 (95% CI 0.77-1.00) after adjustment for demographic and clinical factors. Dementia was not associated with trends in duration of medication use or cumulative dose. We found little evidence for an association between HZ diagnosis and dementia overall. Antiherpetic medication prescribed around the time of HZ diagnosis was statistically associated with lower risk of subsequent dementia in some but not all analyses and subgroups.

Bipolar disorder and the risk of cardiometabolic diseases, heart failure, and all-cause mortality: a population-based matched cohort study in South Korea

The association of bipolar disorder (BD) with the risk of cardiometabolic diseases and premature death in Asians needs to be further determined. Relatively less attention has been paid to heart failure (HF) among cardiometabolic outcomes. We analyzed the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (2002–2018) for this population-based, matched cohort study. The hazards of ischemic stroke, ischemic heart disease (IHD), hospitalization for HF (hHF), composite cardiometabolic diseases, and all-cause mortality during follow-up were compared between individuals with BD (n = 11,329) and 1:1-matched controls without psychiatric disorders among adults without cardiometabolic disease before or within 3 months of baseline. Hazards of outcomes were higher in individuals with BD than in matched controls (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals]: 1.971 [1.414–2.746] for ischemic stroke, 1.553 [1.401–1.721] for IHD, 2.526 [1.788–3.567] for hHF, 1.939 [1.860–2.022] for composite cardiometabolic diseases, and 2.175 [1.875–2.523] for all-cause mortality) during follow-up. Associations between BD and outcome hazards were more prominent in younger individuals (p for interaction < 0.02, except for ischemic stroke) and women (p for interaction < 0.04, except for hHF). Screening and preventive measures for cardiometabolic deterioration and early mortality may need to be intensified in individuals with BD, even in young adults, especially women.

Abstract A009: Association between unstable diabetes mellitus and risk of pancreatic cancer

Abstract Worsening of hyperglycemia in people with pre-existing diabetes mellitus may be an indicator of undiagnosed pancreatic cancer. However, there is limited evidence from longitudinal studies regarding the association between deterioration of diabetes and pancreatic cancer in people with previously stable diabetes. The size of the association between deterioration of diabetes and pancreatic cancer, and how the association changes over time, needs further investigation. A population-based matched cohort study was conducted within Australian women with stable diabetes mellitus. Unstable diabetes, the exposure of interest, was defined as change in the type of antidiabetic medication or addition of another antidiabetic medication after at least 24 months of stable antidiabetic medication use. The date of exposure was defined as the index date. Each woman with unstable diabetes was matched to 4 women with stable diabetes by birth year (±1 year) at the index date. Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) (overall and at different times) and 95% confidence intervals (CI), and absolute risk in both groups at different time points. We identified 134,954 women with unstable diabetes; these were matched to women who had not developed unstable diabetes at the index date. The mean age of the cohort was 68 years. Over a median follow-up period of 2.8 years, 1,315 pancreatic cancer cases were diagnosed. Overall, women who experienced deterioration in glycemic control had a 2.5-fold increased risk of developing pancreatic cancer (HR 2.55; 95% CI 2.29 – 2.85). The risk was very high during the initial few months [HRs at 3 months (5.76; 95% CI 4.72 – 7.04), 6 months (4.56; 95% CI 3.81 – 5.46), and 12 months (3.33; 95% CI 2.86 – 3.89)]. The risk then progressively declined with time. Worsening of glycemic control in those with previously stable diabetes may be an early clinical manifestation of pancreatic cancer. Further research is warranted to differentiate this pancreatic cancer-associated deterioration of glycemic control from other causes. The longer-term (3-7 years) weaker association between pancreatic cancer and deterioration of glycemic control suggests that poorly controlled hyperglycemia is a predisposing factor for pancreatic cancer. Citation Format: Sitwat Ali, Michael Coory, Peter Donovan, Renhua Na, Nirmala Pandeya, Sallie-Anne Pearson, Katrina Spilsbury, Louise Stewart, Bridie Thompson, Karen Tuesley, Mary Waterhouse, Penelope Webb, Susan Jordan, Rachel Neale. Association between unstable diabetes mellitus and risk of pancreatic cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Pancreatic Cancer; 2023 Sep 27-30; Boston, Massachusetts. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(2 Suppl):Abstract nr A009.

Psychotic Disorders and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus, Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Diseases, and All-Cause Mortality: A Population-Based Matched Cohort Study.

The effects of psychotic disorders on cardiometabolic diseases and premature death need to be determined in Asian populations. In this population-based matched cohort study, the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (2002 to 2018) was used. The risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), ischemic stroke, composite of all cardiometabolic diseases, and all-cause death during follow-up was compared between individuals with psychotic disorders treated with antipsychotics (n=48,162) and 1:1 matched controls without psychiatric disorders among adults without cardiometabolic diseases before or within 3 months after baseline. In this cohort, 53,683 composite cases of all cardiometabolic diseases (during median 7.38 years), 899 AMI, and 1,216 ischemic stroke cases (during median 14.14 years), 7,686 T2DM cases (during median 13.26 years), and 7,092 deaths (during median 14.23 years) occurred. The risk of all outcomes was higher in subjects with psychotic disorders than matched controls (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals]: 1.522 [1.446 to 1.602] for T2DM; 1.455 [1.251 to 1.693] for AMI; 1.568 [1.373 to 1.790] for ischemic stroke; 1.595 [1.565 to 1.626] for composite of all cardiometabolic diseases; and 2.747 [2.599 to 2.904] for all-cause mortality) during follow-up. Similar patterns of associations were maintained in subgroup analyses but more prominent in younger individuals (P for interaction <0.0001) when categorized as those aged 18-39, 40-64, or ≥65 years. Patients with psychotic disorders treated with antipsychotics were associated with increased risk of premature allcause mortality and cardiometabolic outcomes in an Asian population. This relationship was more pronounced in younger individuals, especially aged 18 to 39 years.

Comparison of Acute Health Care Utilization Between Patients Receiving In-Center Hemodialysis and the General Population: A Population-Based Matched Cohort Study From Ontario, Canada.

Patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis have multiple comorbidities and are at high risk of presenting to the hospital. However, the incidence and cost of acute health care utilization in the in-center hemodialysis population and how this compares with other populations is poorly understood. To determine the rate, pattern, and cost of emergency department visits and hospitalizations in patients receiving in-center hemodialysis compared with a matched general population. Population-based matched cohort study. We used linked administrative health care databases from Ontario, Canada. We included 25 379 patients (incident and prevalent) receiving in-center hemodialysis between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2018. Patients were matched on birth date (±2 years), sex, and cohort entry date using a 1:4 ratio to 101 516 individuals from the general population. Our primary outcomes were emergency department visits (allowing for multiple visits per individual) and hospital admissions from the emergency department. We also assessed all-cause hospitalizations, all-cause readmissions within 30 days of discharge from the original hospitalization, length of stay for hospital admissions (including multiple visits per individual), and the financial cost of these admissions. We presented the rate, percentage, median (25th, 75th percentiles), and incidence rate per 1000 person-years for emergency department visits and hospitalizations. Individual-level health care costs for emergency department visits and all-cause hospitalization were estimated using resource intensity weights multiplied by the cost per weighted case. Patients receiving in-center hemodialysis had substantially more comorbidities (eg, diabetes) than the matched general population. Eighty percent (n = 20 309) of patients receiving in-center hemodialysis had at least 1 emergency department visit compared with 56% (n = 56 452) of individuals in the matched general population, over a median follow-up of 1.8 years (25th, 75th percentiles: 0.7, 3.6) and 5.2 (2.5, 8.4) years, respectively. The incidence rate of emergency department visits, allowing for multiple visits per individual, was 2274 per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2263, 2286) for patients receiving in-center hemodialysis, which was almost 5 times as high as the matched general population (471 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI: 469, 473). The rate of hospital admissions from the emergency department and the rate of all-cause hospital admissions in the in-center hemodialysis population was more than 7 times as high as the matched general population (hospital admissions from the emergency department: 786 vs 101 per 1000 person-years; all-cause hospital admissions: 1056 vs 139 per 1000 person-years). The median number of all-cause hospitalization days per patient year was 4.0 (0, 16.5) in the in-center hemodialysis population compared with 0 (0, 0.5) in the matched general population. The cost per patient-year for emergency department visits in the in-center hemodialysis population was approximately 5.5 times as high as the matched general population while the cost of hospitalizations in the in-center hemodialysis population was approximately 11 times as high as the matched general population (emergency department visits: CAN$ 1153 vs CAN$ 209; hospitalizations: CAN$ 21 151 vs CAN$ 1873 [all costs in 2023 CAN$]). External generalizability and we could not determine whether emergency department visits and hospitalizations were preventable. Patients receiving in-center hemodialysis have high acute health care utilization. These results improve our understanding of the burden of disease and the associated costs in the in-center hemodialysis population, highlight the need to improve acute outcomes, and can aid health care capacity planning. Additional research is needed to address the risk of hospitalization after controlling for patient comorbidities. This is not applicable as this is a population-based matched cohort study and not a clinical trial.

Increased Risk of Incident Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease and Related Hospitalizations in Tuberculosis Survivors: A Population-Based Matched Cohort Study.

Tuberculosis (TB) survivors have an increased risk of developing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study assessed the risk of COPD development and COPD-related hospitalization in TB survivors compared to controls. We conducted a population-based cohort study of TB survivors and 1:1 age- and sex-matched controls using data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database collected from 2010 to 2017. We compared the risk of COPD development and COPD-related hospitalization between TB survivors and controls. Of the subjects, 9.6% developed COPD, and 2.8% experienced COPD-related hospitalization. TB survivors had significantly higher COPD incidence rates (36.7/1,000 vs. 18.8/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001) and COPD-related hospitalization (10.7/1,000 vs. 4.3/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001) than controls. Multivariable Cox regression analyses revealed higher risks of COPD development (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54-1.73) and COPD-related hospitalization (aHR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.81-2.27) in TB survivors. Among those who developed COPD, the hospitalization rate was higher in individuals with post-TB COPD compared to those with non-TB COPD (10.7/1,000 vs. 4.9/1,000 person-years, P < 0.001), showing an increased risk of COPD-related hospitalization (aHR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.17-2.92). TB survivors had higher risks of incident COPD and COPD-related hospitalization compared to controls. These results suggest that previous TB is an important COPD etiology associated with COPD-related hospitalization.