Lead In Polls Research Articles

Lame Ducks and the Media

Do media organisations turn on unpopular governments and, if so, why? I model a demand-side and supply-side explanation and derive testable implications that can be used to differentiate between them. I take these predictions to the data by examining whether British newspapers give more coverage to investigations into government members of parliament when the government is behind in the polls. Instrumenting for poll leads with plausibly-exogenous macroeconomic variables I find that a 1 SD increase in a government's poll lead leads to a 30-60% decline in coverage. I also find suggestive evidence that this effect is demand driven

Carmen de Burgos y <i>El divorcio en España</i>

The author starts by considering the difficult treatment of the divorce in Spain as a consequence of the traditional constitution of this country as a Catholic denominational state. Considering these premises he stated that the publishing of the book “ The divorce in Spain ” written by Carmen de Burgos, (1904), was a real salutary shock; the author focuses on certain members of the Generation of 98 such as Azorin, Baroja, Unamuno who answered the opinion poll lead by the newspaper Diario Universa , and takes good profit of the situation and enhances the much difficult situation in the Spanish society –“the crisis by the end of the century”– during the very first years of the 20 th century.

Party Competition and Media Messages in U. S. Presidential Elections

At one point during the 1988 campaign, Michael Dukakis was ahead in the public opinion polls by 17 percentage points, but he eventually lost the election by 8 percent. Walter Mondale was ahead in the polls by 4 percent during the 1984 campaign but lost the election in a landslide. During June and July of 1992, Clinton, Bush, and Perot each had turns in the public opinion poll lead.

Health plans cut tories' opinion poll lead

Health plans cut tories' opinion poll lead