Pointer Years Research Articles

A warmer climate impairs the growth performance of Central Europe's major timber species in lowland regions

Recent hot droughts have caused tree vitality decline and increased mortality in many forest regions on earth. Most of Central Europe's important timber species have suffered from the extreme 2018/2019 hot drought, confronting foresters with difficult questions about the choice of more drought- and heat-resistant tree species. We compared the growth dynamics of European beech, sessile oak, Scots pine and Douglas fir in a warmer and a cooler lowland region of Germany to explore the adaptive potential of the four species to climate warming (24 forest stands). The basal area increment (BAI) of the two conifers has declined since about 1990–2010 in both regions, and that of beech in the warmer region, while oak showed positive BAI trends. A 2 °C difference in mean temperatures and a higher frequency of hot days (temperature maximum >30 °C) resulted in greater sensitivity to a negative climatic water balance in beech and oak, and elevated sensitivity to summer heat in Douglas fir and pine. This suggests to include hot days in climate-growth analyses. Negative pointer years were closely related to dry years. Nevertheless, all species showed growth recovery within one to three years. We conclude that all four species are sensitive to a deteriorating climatic water balance and hot temperatures, and have so far not been able to successfully acclimate to the warmer climate, with especially Douglas and beech, but also Scots pine, being vulnerable to a warming and drying climate.

A Comparison of the Chronologies of Introduced versus Native Coniferous Tree Species Growing in Northwestern Poland during the Period of Global Warming

The ongoing climatic changes are causing the extinction of numerous species or their withdrawal from previously occupied areas. The environmental and economic significance of introduced species may increase. The aim of the present study was to examine the rate of growth of coniferous species growing in northwestern Poland and to analyze the tree ring width–climate relationships. Six tree species were selected for this study. Two of these species have natural occurrences in Poland: Pinus sylvestris and Larix decidua. The remaining four species were introduced from North America: Chamaecyparis lawsoniana, Thuja plicata, Pseudotsuga menziesii, and Pinus strobus. Samples were collected from 131 trees using a Pressler borer at 1.3 m above ground. Tree ring widths were measured down to 0.01 mm. Climatic data were retrieved from a weather station located 23 km from the study plot. The average tree ring width reaches the lowest value for the P. sylvestris chronology (1.62 mm/year) and for P. strobus (1.69 mm/year), and the highest value is reached for T. plicata (2.80 mm/year) and P. menziesii (2.56 mm/year). The analysis of weather conditions in the designated pointer years and the response function analysis indicate that winter and early spring air temperature is the factor responsible for the formation of wide tree rings in the following species studied: P. sylvestris, C. lawsoniana, P. menziesii, and T. plicata. For L. decidua and P. strobus, the climate–growth relationships are different: weather conditions in the previous growth year are important, and it is the weather in the late spring and summer months. Two of the investigated introduced species (T. plicata and P. menziesii) are characterized by very good acclimatization and are best adapted to the new habitat during the current climate changes. These tree species can constitute a basis for replacing native species, which, due to increasingly severe droughts and higher temperatures, are doing less and less well in their current habitats. Foresters wanting to conduct sustainable forest management will look for replacement species that are well adapted to new habitat conditions in order to maintain the continuity of forest cover.

The genetic and environmental variance of radial increment in Scots pine of south-eastern Baltic provenances in response to weather extremes

Intensification of weather anomalies, particularly those related to temperature in warming winters and moisture availability, have been identified as the major emerging climatic threats to forest ecosystems in the hemiboreal zone. Considering the large-scale nature of the threats, assisted migration and tree breeding appear as the most promising means for mitigating the climatic risks. However, for successful implementation of such means, information on the genetic control over the weather sensitivity of trees is needed. Local genetic adaptations of populations occur to maximize competitiveness and survival, while the differences in phenotypic plasticity, implying varying genotype by environmental interactions, can be utilized for the acquisition of locally targeted reproductive material. To gain initial (rough) estimates of genetic control and phenotypic plasticity of growth responses to weather anomalies, a set of seven native eastern Baltic provenances differing by productivity in five trials in Latvia and northern Germany were studied. Tree-ring widths were measured for 10–15 trees per provenance per trial. Relative growth changes and pointer year values were calculated to link changes in increment with weather anomalies and to estimate heritability on an annual basis by the methods of quantitative genetics. During the analysed period (1987–2017), four to seven trial- and provenance-specific pointer years (common relative growth changes) were estimated, which were mainly triggered by co-occurring anomalies in moisture availability and winter thermal regime. This implied resilience of the studied trees to singular weather anomalies, suggesting their adaptability. Furthermore, the heritability estimates peaked one to two years after the pointer years, implying that growth recovery and hence resilience rather than resistance was genetically controlled. Still, local variability of pointer years and heritability estimates portrayed explicit phenotypic plasticity of responses, implying the potential for breeding to locally improve weather tolerance of growth. Keywords: Pinus sylvestris; local adaptation; phenotypic plasticity; growth recovery; tree-ring width; pointer years

Tree-ring width and stable isotope analyses of Picea sitchensis from Iceland reveal growth potential under predicted climate change

Sitka spruce has been one of the most planted tree species in Iceland since the mid-twentieth century. Here, we use different dendrochronological methods to identify the controlling climatic factors of its growth and possible changes in their influence over time. We develop annually resolved and absolutely dated measurements of tree-ring width (TRW) from 21 trees and oxygen (δ18O) and carbon (δ13C) stable isotopes from six trees to evaluate growth trends and climate sensitivity in Iceland’s Hallormsstaður National Forest over the past 54 years (1965–2018). Warmer and wetter summers in the last few decades have resulted in significantly increasing radial growth. While TRW and δ13C reflect strong July-August temperature signals, with the highest correlation for July, δ18O is mainly controlled by the temperature in March. The occurrence of negative pointer years in TRW decreases with increasing temperature in July but increases with excessive precipitation in August. Our study shows great continued potential for Sitka spruce cultivation in Iceland.

Dendrochronological Analysis of One-Seeded and Intermediate Hawthorn Response to Climate in Poland

Although the hawthorn is not a forest-forming species, and it has no high economic significance, it is a very valuable component of forests, mid-field woodlots or roadside avenues. The literature, however, lacks information on the growth rate, growth phases, or growth–climate–habitat relationship for trees of this genus. This work aimed to establish the rate of growth of Craraegus monogyna and C. xmedia Bechst growing in various parts of Poland, in various habitats; analyze the growth–climate relationship; and distinguish dendrochronological regions for these species. Samples were taken using a Pressler borer from nine populations growing in different parts of Poland, from a total of 192 trees (359 samples). The tree-ring width was measured down to 0.01 mm. The average tree-ring width in the studied hawthorn populations ranged from 1.42 to 3.25 mm/year. Using well-established cross-dating methods, nine local chronologies were compiled with tree ages between 45 and 72 years. Dendroclimatic analyses (pointer year analysis, correlation and response function analysis) were performed for a 33-year period from 1988 to 2020, for which all local chronologies displayed EPS > 0.85. The tree-ring width in the hawthorn populations depended mostly on temperature and rainfall through the May–August period. High rainfall and the lack of heat waves through these months cause an increase in cambial activity and the formation of wide tree rings. Conversely, rainfall shortages through this period, in conjunction with high air temperatures, caused growth depressions. Cluster analysis enabled the identification of two dendrochronological regions among the hawthorn in Poland: a western and eastern region, and a single site (CI), whose separation was most likely caused by contrasting habitat and genetic conditions. The obtained results highlight the need for further study of these species in Poland and other countries.

Growth-climate responses of Picea sitchensis [Bong.] Carr. versus Picea abies [L.] Karst. in the British Isles and Central europe

Abstract Introduced tree species have become increasingly important in the context of the ongoing climate change. This paper focuses on the dendrochronology of the most widespread introduced tree species in the British Isles – Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis [Bong.] Carr.) – in comparable soil conditions in England, Czechia, and Slovakia. The research aims to evaluate the growth dynamics and the influence of climatic factors on this tree species while comparing it with economically main tree species in Europe – Norway spruce (Picea abies [L.] Karst.). Based on the analysis of 150 increment cores, the radial growth of Sitka spruce was on average 24.2% higher than that of Norway spruce. The highest increments in 52 to 62-year-old stands were achieved in England by both Sitka spruce (8.7 mm) and Norway spruce (7.0 mm). In terms of negative pointer years (NPYs), there was no difference in the number of years with a significantly low increment between the two species at any site. The lowest effect of climatic factors on growth was found in Czechia, while the highest was in England. Higher resistance to climate was found for Sitka compared to Norway spruce. In general, the main limiting factor for the growth was the lack of precipitation in the previous year’s vegetation season, or heavy frost in England. In Central Europe, due to low precipitation, Sitka spruce will not be a substantial introduced tree species in the future, but on suitable sites, it can achieve high production potential and play a significant role for increasing stand diversity in the face of climate change.

Growth Response of Norway Spruce (Picea abies [L.] Karst.) in Central Bohemia (Czech Republic) to Climate Change

Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.) is a significant conifer tree species in Europe that holds significant economic and ecological value. However, it remains one of the most sensitive to climate change. This study describes the climate–growth relationship, focusing on dendroecology in hilly spruce forests (319–425 m a.s.l.) located in Bohemia, the Czech Republic, during 1950–2018. The results confirmed that the highest radial increment was obtained in locations with higher precipitation (Kostelec), while the lowest growth was observed in locations with lower precipitation (Karlstejn). Tree-ring growth shows very low increments for the years 1964 and 1976 for all plots, and the years with the least growth were confirmed by the negative pointer year analysis. This study confirmed precipitation as the main factor that affects the growth of spruce at lower altitudes. The radial growth for all study sites shows a statistically significant positive correlation with precipitation during the growing season, while no statistically significant values between radial growth and temperature were obtained. This study demonstrates that Norway spruce is affected more by precipitation than temperature, and the results indicate that this conifer is seriously affected by the lack of precipitation at lower altitudes in the Czech Republic, where the species is not native.

A comprehensive resilience assessment of Mexican tree species and their relationship with drought events over the last century.

The resilience of forests to drought events has become a major natural resource sustainability concern, especially in response to climate change. Yet, little is known about the legacy effects of repeated droughts, and tree species ability to respond across environmental gradients. In this study, we used a tree-ring database (121 sites) to evaluate the overall resilience of tree species to drought events in the last century. We investigated how climate and geography affected the response at the species level. We evaluated temporal trends of resilience using a predictive mixed linear modeling approach. We found that pointer years (e.g., tree growth reduction) occurred during 11.3% of the 20th century, with an average decrease in tree growth of 66% compared to the previous period. The occurrence of pointer years was associated with negative values of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI, 81.6%) and Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI, 77.3%). Tree species differed in their resilience capacity, however, species inhabiting xeric conditions were less resistant but with higher recovery rates (e.g., Abies concolor, Pinus lambertiana, and Pinus jeffreyi). On average, tree species needed 2.7 years to recover from drought events, with extreme cases requiring more than a decade to reach pre-drought tree growth rates. The main abiotic factor related to resilience was precipitation, confirming that some tree species are better adapted to resist the effects of droughts. We found a temporal variation for all tree resilience indices (scaled to 100), with a decreasing resistance (-0.56 by decade) and resilience (-0.22 by decade), but with a higher recovery (+1.72 by decade) and relative resilience rate (+0.33 by decade). Our results emphasize the importance of time series of forest resilience, particularly by distinguishing the species-level response in the context of legacy of droughts, which are likely to become more frequent and intense under a changing climate.

Dendrochronology and dendroclimatology of yew in Poland

This study concerns dendrochronology and dendroclimatology of yew growing in Poland. The yew (Taxus baccata L.), a long-lived, slow-growing tree, is regarded as a species threatened with extinction. The eastern boundary of its range transects Poland. The analyses were performed on 34 yew populations which are protected as parts of nature reserves, as nature monuments, or which are planned to be protected. Samples were collected using Pressler borer from a total of 774 trees yielding 1307 profiles. Classical dating techniques (including cross-dating method) were subsequently used to reconstruct 34 local chronologies. Average tree-ring width was 0.84 mm and ranged from 0.27 to 1.47 mm. For most stands, the age of the yew trees is overestimated. The studied populations most frequently are 100–200 years old, and the oldest yew trees in Poland are growing in the KS population (age estimated at 500–600 years). Average tree-ring width was found to be strongly dependent on the chronology length/tree age. The 674 pointer years calculated for the local chronologies served as a basis for determining pointer years for the entire study area. Negative years include: 1862, 1865, 1917, 1927, 1940, 1947, 1956, 1963, 1969, 1976, 1979, 1993, 1996, and 2003. Positive years are: 1884, 1914, 1916, 1965, 1977, 1988, 1997, and 2007. Analysis of weather conditions in those years demonstrated a strong relationship between tree-ring width and air temperature in winter, pre-spring, and early spring. Higher-than-average temperatures during those seasons correlate positively with yew tree-ring width. Response function analysis performed for local and regional chronologies point to a dominant role of air temperature in December of the year preceding growth and in January, February, and March of the current year (linear relationships). June precipitation is an additional factor affecting tree-ring width in some areas of northern and northwestern Poland: the higher the precipitation, the wider the tree-rings. The results obtained, particularly those concerning growth-climate relationships and dendroclimatic regionalisation, can be used in the on-going programme of yew restitution in Poland.

Pointer years revisited: Does one method fit all? A clarifying discussion

Pointer years revisited: Does one method fit all? A clarifying discussion

A Novel Simplified Protocol for Pre-Processing Whole Wood Samples for Stable Isotope Analysis in Tree Rings

In the context of climate change, the stable isotope analysis of tree rings may play a crucial role in deciphering the eco-physiological mechanisms underlying forest decline and dieback phenomena. However, this technique is often considered expensive, time-consuming, and with several methodological constraints. Specifically, milling and transferring the material from jars to vials during the different steps of sample preparation involve risk of contamination among samples and loss of sample material. When dealing with declining trees (i.e., trees affected by loss of vitality with strong percentage of defoliation and reduction in growth) and trees subjected to extreme events or negative pointer years (characterized by extremely narrow ring) the sample preparation is particularly difficult because of scarce amount of wood material. In such a case, pooling rings from several years to achieve the minimum weight of wood is often necessary, thus losing information at the annual resolution. In order to overcome such limitations, we developed a novel protocol for quick and accurate whole-wood pre-processing, testing it on oak tree rings of different widths taken from living trees. The main novelty introduced by our protocol was freezing tree-ring samples at −80 °C and milling multiple samples at a time by using a 24-tube plate. The results showed that our novel simplified protocol significantly reduced the pre-processing time with respect to the standard protocol (12 vs. 284 sec/sample), while achieving the same wood particle size, limiting the loss of wood material and reducing the risk of contamination among samples.

Long-term radial growth and climate-growth relationships of Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl. and Quercus cerris L. in a xeric low elevation site from Hungary

Sessile oak (Quercus petraea [Matt.] Liebl.) and Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.) dominated mixed forests are common in low montane and hilly regions in Hungary. Here, we aimed to describe the long-term pattern and climatic responses of the radial growth of Q. petraea and Q. cerris in a xeric low-elevation forest, using retrospective tree-ring analysis for the period 1910–2019. We performed separate analyses with time series of full tree-ring (TRW), earlywood (EW) and latewood (LW) widths. Our results showed that the radial growth of the two species was largely synchronous over time, but became transiently divergent for a 20-year period after a drought in 1968, due to the greater-than-expected growth of Q. cerris and the supressed growth of Q. petraea. Precipitation was the major growth-limiting factor for both species, with a strong positive influence on LW particularly during the current early growing season (March-June), on EW in the previous late summer (August-September) and in the current early spring (March), and on all tree-ring traits in the previous December. The radial growth of both species was negatively related to temperature in the spring (May) and late summer (August) of both current and previous years. The climate-growth relationships showed general instability over time: the most striking temporal change was a gradual shift of positive correlations with precipitation and SPEI during the growing season from spring (March-May) to summer (June-August) since the 1980s over the analysed period. The two species had similarly low growth resistance to droughts in four studied pointer years (1968, 1993, 2002 and 2012), but Q. cerris exhibited a greater capacity to recover over the four post-drought years, and thus higher growth resilience, particularly after the drought of 1968. Our results contribute to the better understanding of the role of climate variability and droughts in the growth of the two co-existing species in transitional locations between closed forests and forest-steppes.

Radial growth, present status and future prospects of west Himalayan fir (Abies pindrow Royle) growing in the moist temperate forest of Himalayan mountains of Pakistan

Forests play a significant role for maintaining the biodiversity. In order to manage sustainable forests, tree species history, distribution, and their future prospects are vital. Using standardized quantitative approaches, the age, radial growth, and size class distribution of Abies pindrow (Himalayan fir) were determined from three different altitudinal sites (i.e. high, middle, and lower). The results indicate that Himalayan fir growing in the high-altitude site (Ayubia, 2 917 m a.s.l.) of moist temperate forests of the Himalayan mountains showed lower radial growth (0.13 cm) than in the middle (Bara Gali, 2 617 m a.s.l.; radial growth = 0.13 cm) and lower (Kuldana, 2 455 m a.s.l.; radial growth = 0.22 cm) altitude sites. Correlation analysis demonstrated that age showed a significant positive correlation (P < 0.001) with diameter at breast height. The tree-ring width chronology (totally 80 core samples) of Himalayan fir was developed from moist temperate forests of Himalayan mountains of Pakistan. At Ayubia site it possesses a long time-span (1703–2020 C.E.), followed by Bara Gali (1862–2020 C.E.) and Kuldana (1864–2020 C.E.). Further, the tree-ring width (TRW) chronology of Ayubia showed a significant positive correlation (P < 0.05) with May and June temperature, and a significant negative correlation (P < 0.05) with June and October precipitation, indicating that summer temperatures are the key factor for the radial growth of Himalayan fir. For the Kuldana site, the response of TRW chronology to temperature and precipitation was the same, however, it was significant only for June temperature at Bara Gali. The size class distribution of the high-altitude region (Ayubia) showed a higher number of individuals than the lower altitude region, indicating the lowest disturbance conditions. The absence of individuals in the early size classes and the gap in middle and mature size classes indicate a lower regeneration potential and anthropogenic impact. The pointer year analysis indicated that the Bara Gali forest is more sensitive to abnormal climate events than the other sites. Based on the present study, we suggest that proper attention and conservation strategy should be provided to Himalayan fir growing in the moist temperate forests of Pakistan.

Tree-ring distinctness, dating potential and climatic sensitivity of laurel forest tree species in Tenerife Island

Macaronesian laurel forests are the only remnants of a subtropical palaeoecosystem dominant during the Tertiary in Europe and northern Africa. These biodiverse ecosystems are restricted to cloudy and temperate insular environments in the North Atlantic Ocean. Due to their reduced distribution area, these forests are particularly vulnerable to anthropogenic disturbances and changes in climatic conditions. The assessment of laurel forest trees’ response to climate variation by dendrochronological methods is limited because it was assumed that the lack of marked seasonality would prevent the formation of distinct annual tree rings. The aims of this study were to identify the presence of annual growth rings and to assess the dendrochronological potential of the most representative tree species from laurel forests in Tenerife, Canary Islands. We sampled increment cores from 498 trees of 12 species in two well-preserved forests in Tenerife Island. We evaluated tree-ring boundary distinctness, dating potential, and sensitivity of tree-ring growth to climate and, particularly, to drought occurrence. Eight species showed clear tree-ring boundaries, but synchronic annual tree rings and robust tree-ring chronologies were only obtained for Laurus novocanariensis, Ilex perado subsp. platyphylla, Persea indica and Picconia excelsa, a third of the studied species. Tree-ring width depended on water balance and drought occurrence, showing sharp reductions in growth in the face of decreased water availability, a response that was consistent among species and sites. Inter-annual tree-ring width variation was directly dependent on rainfall input in the humid period, from previous October to current April. The four negative pointer years 1995, 1999, 2008 and 2012 corresponded to severe drought events in the study area. This study gives the first assessment of dendrochronological potential and tree-ring climate sensitivity of tree species from the Tenerife laurel forest, which opens new research avenues for dendroecological studies in Macaronesian laurel forests.

Dendrochronological data from twelve countries proved definite growth response of black alder (Alnus glutinosa [L.] Gaertn.) to climate courses across its distribution range

Abstract Black alder (Alnus glutinosa [L.] Gaertn.) is an important component of riparian and wetland ecosystems in Europe. However, data on the growth of this significant broadleaved tree species is very limited. Presently, black alder currently suffers from the pathogen Phytophthora and is particularly threatened by climate change. The objective of this study was to focus on the impact of climatic variables (precipitation, temperature, extreme climatic events) on the radial growth of alder across its geographic range during the period 1975–2015. The study of alder stands aged 46–108 years was conducted on 24 research plots in a wide altitude range (85–1015 m) in 12 countries of Europe and Asia. The most significant months affecting alder radial growth were February and March, where air temperatures are more significant than precipitation. Heavy frost and extreme weather fluctuations in the first quarter of the year were the main limiting factors for diameter increment. Within the geographical setting, latitude had a higher effect on radial growth compared to longitude. However, the most important variable concerning growth parameters was altitude. The temperature’s effect on the increment was negative in the lowlands and yet turned to positive with increasing altitude. Moreover, growth sensitivity to precipitation significantly decreased with the increasing age of alder stands. In conclusion, the growth variability of alder and the number of negative pointer years increased with time, which was caused by the ongoing climate change and also a possible drop in the groundwater level. Riparian alder stands well supplied with water are better adapted to climatic extremes compared to plateau and marshy sites.

First dendrochronological studies of Quercus protoroburoides

Quercus protoroburoides Donchev and Bouzov ex Tashev and Tsavkov (Rila oak) is a species with extremely limited and localized distribution. It is found only on several locations on slopes above Rila Monastery in Rila Mountains (Bulgaria) at elevations between 1500 m and 1750 m a.s.l. The trees are in small groups or scattered, usually situated on ridges slightly higher than the local population of sessile oak (Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) and above mixed fir-beech forests. The species was first discovered and described in 1968 by Boris Buzov, but was officially validated in 2017 by Tashev and Tsavkov. Up to this moment there were no dendrochronological studies of the species and there is general lack of data on how climate affects its growth. Our aim was to contribute to filling this knowledge gap. In our study we analyzed 42 series (22 trees) from Q. protoroburoides from two locations (Drushlyavitsa and Brichebor) and compared them to cores from Q. petraea from the same region. The Rila oak trees varied in age from 30 to 170 years. Nearly half of them were about 50 years old. The composed tree-ring chronology spans from 1856 to 2019 with more than 5 included series after 1870. The sessile oak trees were generally older and the chronology spanned from 1743, having more than 4 series after 1786. The climate-growth analysis with local and gridded data revealed positive effects on growth of previous August and current April-June precipitation, positive correlations with previous May-June temperatures and negative with August temperatures. Most of the pointer years with low growth were characterized by extreme climate conditions, such as summer droughts, unusually cold summers or delayed start of the vegetation period due to late frost events at the end of May or early June. Our data indicate that Q. protoroburoides and Q. petraea trees at this unusually high location for oaks are sensitive to climate conditions including summer droughts.

The effects of fire on Pinus sylvestris L. as determined by dendroecological analysis (Sierra de Gredos, Spain)

Iberian populations of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) have been declining since the late-glacial period; among those that remain, relict stands have great biological and ecological value. This paper investigates the effects of a 2009 fire on tree growth in one of these small populations in the Sierra de Gredos (Spain) by examining the responses recorded in the tree-ring width series of the surviving trees. The current status and distribution of these surviving trees reveal the severity of the fire; indeed most show scars or other evidence of fire damage. Dendroecological analysis revealed narrower tree rings, indicating negative pointer years for the year of the fire and the following year. A very significant reduction in growth was recorded for the years after the fire, both in terms of tree-ring width and basal area increment; incomplete and even absent rings were also recorded. No relationship was seen between these effects and climatic events. The dates and geographical extension of former possible disturbances were also investigated, using the data from these same trees plus information collected from others in the region. The vulnerability of these populations to past fires was evident. Lastly, given the problems affecting the regeneration of these relict populations, it is strongly suggested to urgently include all these populations in conservation and environmental management programs.

Refining the standardized growth change method for pointer year detection: Accounting for statistical bias and estimating the deflection period

Detecting pointer years in tree-ring data is a central aspect of dendroecology. Pointer years are usually represented by extraordinary secondary tree growth, which is often interpreted as a response to abnormal environmental conditions such as late-frosts or droughts. Objectively identifying pointer years in larger tree-ring networks and relating those to specific climatic conditions will allow for refining our understanding of how trees perform under extreme climate and consequently, under anticipated climate change. Recently, Buras et al. (2020) demonstrated that frequently used pointer-year detection methods were either too sensitive or insensitive for such large scale analyses. In their study, Buras et al. (2020) proposed a novel approach for detecting pointer years – the standardized growth change (SGC) method which outperformed other pointer-year detection methods in pseudopopulation trials. Yet, the authors concluded that SGC could be improved further to account for the inability to detect pointer years following successive growth decline. Under this framework, we here present a refined version of the SGC-method – the bias-adjusted standardized growth change method (BSGC). The methodological adjustment to the SGC approach comprises conflated probabilities derived from standardized growth changes with probabilities derived from a time-step specific global standardization of growth changes. In addition, BSGC allows for estimating the length of the deflection period, i.e. the period before extraordinary growth values have reached normal levels. Application of BSGC to simulated and measured tree-ring data indicated an improved performance in comparison to SGC which allows for the identification of pointer years following years of successive growth decline. Also, deflection period lengths were estimated well and revealed plausible results for an existing tree-ring data set. Based on these validations, BSGC can be considered a further refinement of pointer-year detection, allowing for a more accurate identification and consequently better understanding of the radial growth response of trees to extreme events.

Did stand opening 60 years ago predispose a European beech population to death?

Widespread increases in tree mortality have fueled the debate on the mechanisms of heat- and drought-related tree death. While much research focused on the immediate causes of tree death, the role of predisposing factors for death is not well understood. We employed tree-ring and climate sensitivity analysis of growth to study the importance of legacy effects of past disturbances for growth patterns and a recent mortality burst in a protected European beech (Fagus sylvatica) forest, comparing groups of live and recently died trees in the same stand. Live and dead trees showed a decade-long decrease in radial growth since the severe 1976 drought, which indicates that the high mortality in the last two decades is not solely caused by recent drought spells, but that trees were apparently predisposed by previous events to death decades later. An even more distant event than the 1976 drought that has imprinted on the chronologies is the severe 1947 drought in combination with extensive logging at that time. It appears that stand opening 60 and 40 years ago due to high immediate drought mortality in conjunction with heavy logging resulted in much higher inter-annual ring width variability with more extreme negative and positive pointer years in the subsequent years, and led to permanent reduction in tree health. We identified the first derivative of the ring width curve as the most reliable early-warning signal of a predisposition to drought-induced death, while inter-annual growth variability and growth resistance and resilience to drought were less suited. We suggest that the causes of recent climate warming-related dieback of beech and other temperate hardwood forests may only be fully grasped, when the imprint of past stress events on growth and vitality is understood. The physiological mechanisms causing legacy effects with long delay of death require further study.

Effects of environmental factors and management on dynamics of mixed calcareous forests under climate change in Central European lowlands

Mixed lowland forests reserved for natural succession are sparse in the Czech Republic. However, their development provides essential insights into the natural processes of these forests and recommendations for forest management in a changing climate. The research describes the dynamics, productivity, structure, diversity, dead wood, and radial growth of hornbeam-oak groves and calcareous beech-dominated forests in the Karlštejn National Nature Reserve (Czechia) based on inventory in 2002, 2008, 2014 and 2020. The objective was to evaluate changes in differently managed stands (high forest, coppice with standards, and coppice) after leaving the stands to spontaneous development in 2004. The tree density increased by 2–10% from 2002 to 2014 and decreased by 6–18% in 2020. In the high forest, an increase in the stand volume was observed during the whole period, while in the coppice with standards and coppice, only until 2014. The stand volume ranged from 190 (coppice) to 630 (high forest) m³ ha−1 in 2020 and increased by an average of 28% over 18 years. Overall diversity of tree layer showed an uneven structure in the high forest and a substantially diverse structure in the other variants. The deadwood volume has been steadily increasing (18–35 m³ ha−1 in 2020), accumulating an average of 1 m³ ha−1 yr−1. A lack of precipitation and high temperatures from June to August were the main limiting factors of the radial growth of tree species, while the number of negative pointer years has increased in the last decade. European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) was the most sensitive tree species to climate compared to the resilient European ash (Fraxinus excelsior L.). The lowest fluctuations in the diameter increment were recorded in Norway maple (Acer platanoides L.) and the highest in beech in the temperature cycles of 7–15 years. Over the last 20 years, sessile oak [Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.] showed an increase in radial growth by 7%, while other tree species reported a decrease with a maximum in beech (by −38%). The forest stands managed as high forest, characterized by a higher production potential and lower diversity, had slower dynamics when compared to coppice with standards and coppice.