Shallow coal seam mining results in the formation of various bearing structures in key strata, leading to varying degrees of surface subsidence and severe disruption to the surface ecological environment. To investigate the coupled evolution characteristics of key strata fracture-bearing structures and surface subsidence in shallow coal seam mining, with a focus on the 1–2 coal seam mining at Longhua Coal Mine in northern Shaanxi as the research background, this study employed physical similarity simulation to establish the correlation between key strata fracture-bearing structures and surface subsidence. The study also utilized theoretical calculations to develop models for the trapezoidal hinged arch structure and the coupling between key strata-bearing structures and surface subsidence. Mechanical properties of bearing structures and the coupled evolution characteristics of surface subsidence were examined, and the scientific validity of the models was verified through field monitoring. The research reveals that the inclined section of the working face in shallow coal seam mining forms a trapezoidal hinged arch structure, where stress transmission actually resembles an arch shape. Based on the fracture characteristics of rock strata, this structure can be categorized into three types: a full-trapezoidal hinged arch structure, a semi-trapezoidal hinged arch structure, and a trapezoidal-like hinged arch structure. A mechanical calculation model for the trapezoidal hinged arch structure was constructed, and the mechanical calculation formula for this structure was derived based on mechanical equilibrium conditions. Using a masonry beam mechanical model, the formula for calculating the subsidence of key blocks in the key strata fracture was obtained. Based on the “masonry beam” mechanical model, a formula was derived to calculate the subsidence of key blocks in fractured key strata. The relationship between key strata-bearing structures and surface subsidence curves was analyzed, leading to the development of a calculation model for both. This model reveals the coupled evolution between rock movement and surface subsidence. Field measurements indicate a maximum surface subsidence of 1.93 m, with a subsidence coefficient of 0.65, showing that the surface helps suppress and reduce the overall subsidence.