The recent hydrodynamic phonon transport theory for graphitic materials has been supported by the measurements of the second sound at temperatures up to about 100 K. When boundary scattering becomes comparable to momentum-conserving normal phonon scattering processes that are responsible for phonon hydrodynamics, Poiseuille phonon flow phenomena can emerge to give rise to unique size-dependent thermal conductivity in thin graphite. Here, we examine the thickness range for the Poiseuille phonon flow to become observable in thin graphite with the use of both deviational Monte Carlo simulation of the Peierls-Boltzmann transport equation and four-probe thermal transport measurements. As the basal-plane thermal conductivity calculated by prior first-principles theories saturates to the graphite value when the thickness is increased to five graphene layers, the phonon dispersion of graphite is used in the current calculations of thin graphite of micrometer thickness and a 23-layer thick ultrathin graphite (UTG) sample. The calculations show that diffuse surface scattering by surface defects can lead to Poiseuille phonon flow at 50 K in thin graphite with the thickness close to several micrometers but not in the 65 μm thin graphite and 23-layer UTG, where phonon scattering by the top and bottom surfaces become, respectively, much less and more frequent than the normal processes. In addition, the calculation results with the bulk graphite dispersion and diffuse surface scattering show decreased basal-plane thermal conductivity with decreasing thickness, opposite to recent thermocouple measurements of thin graphite samples. In comparison, the calculation results reveal that partially diffuse surface defect scattering can yield the four-probe measurement results of UTG samples, which are prepared here with an improved process to minimize surface contamination.