Personal Income Tax Rates Research Articles

Progressive Personal Income Tax Rate: innovations 2025

The study considers changes made to the Tax Code of the Russian Federation, which significantly change the tax rates on personal income tax. The study examined the specifics of applying progressive tax rates to the income of employees and individuals attracted by medical organizations under civil law contracts — residents of personal income tax. An analysis of innovations in 2025 in this area was carried out — it was noted that there was a significant expansion of the range of tax rates, which led to an increase in the tax burden of highly paid categories of employees. it is emphasized that the maximum tax rate (22%) will not lead to a significant decrease in motivation for the continuation of the activities of individuals with high incomes. Examples of personal income tax calculation are given when applying the taxation scales in force in 2024 and coming into force in 2025.

Совершенствование налоговой системы России в 2024 году: межстрановые сравнения и региональная проекция

The article discusses the additional adjustment of the tax system carried out in the Russian Federation in 2024, primarily in terms of changes in the rates of corporate income tax and personal income tax. Based on the analysis, a conclusion is made about the comparability of the levels of these taxes in Russia and in some countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. It is shown that the centralization of additional revenues arising from the ongoing improvement of the tax system is more effective than the potential redistribution of these revenues to regional budgets due to the high concentration of corporate income tax and personal income tax in the wealthiest regions of Russia.

Differential Bunching Impacts Across the Income Distribution: Evidence from Tax Administrative Data

AbstractWe investigate the behavioural responses of individual taxpayers to changes in marginal personal income tax rates applying empirical bunching methodology to tax administrative data from Zambia over the period from 2014 to 2021. We find evidence for excess bunching at the first kink in the tax schedule for all years but less evidence of bunching at the second and third thresholds. While bunching is considerable and behavioural responses are observed to changes in the location of the kinks over time, bunching at reference points (’round-number bunching’) also appears large. Implied elasticities of taxable income are however not remarkable, and comparing actual and estimated counterfactual wage distributions reveal that missed tax revenue arising from the excess bunching is limited. This is consistent with the observed bunching reacting sharply and immediately to changes in the location of the kink points over time, suggesting that observed behavioural change is driven by reporting behaviour rather than real economic responses.

The High Cost of Raising Provincial Tax Revenues Has Gotten Even Higher

Households and firms’ responses to higher tax rates alter the volume and the allocation of land, labour and capital in the economy, reducing our income and consumption opportunities. These economic losses from raising tax revenues have increased for provincial governments across Canada in the last decade with the problem being especially acute in Newfoundland and Labrador, Ontario and British Columbia. However, by lowering personal and corporate income tax rates and shifting more of the tax burden to a sales tax harmonized with the federal GST, the provinces could lower the economic cost of raising tax revenues. Taxpayers’ responses to higher tax rates adversely affect the economy. When rates go up, people are less inclined to save for the future because they must pay higher taxes on interest and dividends, and workers react by avoiding overtime and retiring early. When returns on investment generate higher taxes for corporations, they respond by cutting back their capital expenditures. Also, when people and companies can avoid paying a tax by shifting income or consumption to another jurisdiction with lower tax rates, the tax base will shrink as the tax rate goes up, reducing both income and consumption opportunities — an effect known as the deadweight loss from taxation. The larger the tax base, measured as a share of tax revenues, the greater the deadweight loss from a tax-induced decline in the tax base. All of these reactions to higher tax rates change the volume and allocation of land, capital and labour in the economy. The societal cost from raising extra revenue through a small tax rate increase is called the marginal cost of public funds (MCPF). It can be used to determine which taxes are causing the greatest welfare losses and to measure the gains from shifting the tax burden from the high-cost sources of tax revenues to those that impose a lower deadweight loss. Public projects should use the MCPF in doing a cost-benefit analysis, comparing the project’s benefits with the welfare loss from financing the project through higher taxes. The more reactivehousehold and business decisions are to tax rates, the greater the MCPF. When sales taxes are applied to a wide range of goods and services, people are limited by how much they can change their spending patterns to avoid paying those taxes. Thus, revenue is generated with lower detrimental economic effects than those created by increased personal and corporate income tax rates. Provinces could reduce the problems created by the public’s incentive to avoid paying taxes by both lowering their personal and corporate income tax rates and moving the tax burden over to a general sales tax.

Popular autocrats: why do voters support Viktor Orbán’s government in Hungary? A quantitative analysis

AbstractAuthoritarian populism has become an increasingly prevalent subtype of hybrid regime and is characterized by weakened democratic institutions and a leader who relies on populist appeals. Authoritarian populist regimes limit citizens’ freedom, undermine accountability and the rule of law, and are likely to be more corrupt than democratic regimes. Nevertheless, certain authoritarian populist regimes appear to enjoy broad popular support. Based on the European Social Survey database and my calculations of respondents’ personal income tax rates, I investigate the factors that influenced voters’ support for Viktor Orbán’s government in Hungary from 2010 to 2020, which may be considered an exemplary case of an autocratic populist regime. The analysis shows that voters’ support for the government was influenced by their perceptions of the economy and government performance, political beliefs (i.e., policy congruence and ideology), and basic human values (i.e., self-transcendence and conservation). By contrast, changes in voters’ individual economic conditions were not found to be associated with their support for the government. The findings indicate that, in addition to explanations of government support that specifically focus on hybrid regimes, economic voting theory, which originated from and has typically been applied in democratic contexts, also provides viable explanations for understanding support for authoritarian populist regimes. More broadly, the findings also lend support to the altruistic and expressive voter hypotheses.

Personal income tax and corporate innovation: The key role of inventors’ financial incentives

Despite the importance of the personal income tax around the world, little is known about its impact on innovation. We construct a large database of inventors who patented at publicly listed companies during the 2008–2016 period and exploit the revised Personal Income Tax (PIT) Law of 2011 in China as a quasi-natural experiment to establish the causal effect of the personal income tax on corporate innovation. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we show that a lower personal income tax rate has a significantly positive impact on patent quantity and quality. Further, the revised PIT Law raises the efficiency of R&D activities, induces more explorative innovation, and improves the success rate of patent applications, providing consistent evidence for the intentional effort channel. Moreover, this positive innovation effect is more pronounced in firms with an R&D team that is more sensitive to the salary incentive system, greater innovation dependence, better governance, and firms located in regions with better innovation environments. Taken together, our findings shed light on how inventors and firms respond to decreasing personal income tax rates and confirm that the net return to innovation can be vital to the innovation capacity of firms.

Comparison of essential indicators related to the personal income tax burden in the EU countries

Agriculture performs productive functions and is an essential provider of job opportunities. The labour force is one of the important factors affecting agricultural and food production. In general, the business environment affects, among other things, employers' and employees' personal income tax burden. Increasing the efficiency of business activity is inevitably associated with achieving the lowest possible costs. It can be concluded that labor and other personal costs represent, on average, 30-60% of the costs of the agricultural product. In general, taxation of individuals engaged in agriculture with personal income tax does not differ from taxation of individual's income in other sectors of the national economy. The paper focuses on assessing indicators related to the personal income tax burden in the EU countries for the years 2008-2020 based on the data from the Eurostat Tax Classification presented by descriptive characteristics. Achieved results are compared within the EU Member States and for particular countries with an EU-27 average. The West EU countries implement tax and fiscal policies compared to the East EU countries, which are not subject to significant changes in the tax system and thus ensure relatively stable tax revenues to public budgets regarding total taxes and employment income, including unchanged personal income tax rates. The East EU countries declare a lower tax burden of personal income tax. Still, due to the competitiveness of the countries, this burden is also being gradually reduced in the reviewed period in the case of the West EU countries, thus bringing closer unification of the tax policies. Slovakia achieved below-average values of all assessed indicators and at the same time high variability.

Сценарная оценка макроэкономических эффектов прогрессивного налогообложения в России

The purpose of the study is to assess the impact of alternative options of progressive taxation on Russia’s macroeconomic performance. For quantitative assessments, a neoclassical general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households subject to idiosyncratic income shocks was used. Three groups of scenarios were analyzed, setting a threshold progressive tax scale with thresholds of 30, 50, and 70 thousand rubles, under which state income tax revenues (1) grow, (2) remain unchanged, and (3) decline. The maximum personal income tax rate in the analyzed scenarios was 25%. Steady states and transitions were calculated for the scenarios. According to the quantitative estimates, the first reform leads to a loss of 0.3% to 1.3% of GDP in the long run, depending on the assumed rates and threshold. Despite the increase in lump-sum transfers, aggregate household consumption decreases by 0.5–1.7% in all cases. The second reform leads to a loss of 0.2% to 0.6% of GDP in the long run. The third reform leads to insignificant fluctuations of GDP within 0.1%: GDP increases at the threshold of 30 thousand rubles and decreases at other thresholds. The scale of inequality reduction, as measured by the Gini coefficient, increases with an increase in the top tax rate. However, as the threshold increases, the depth of the Gini index reduction first increases and then decreases. In the short run, there is upward pressure on wages and prices. This is because a decrease in labor supply with unchanged capital in the short run leads to an increase in wage rates (a shift along the labor demand curve), and an increase in wage rates means an increase in marginal costs for firms, leading to higher prices.

Effective salary policy as a component of the development strategy

The inefficient distribution of income in society creates a number of problems, the main of which are the following: approved social standards are at least two times lower than the actual value of the minimum consumer basket, half of the Pension Fund's income is formed at the expense of subsidies, and half of the country's households need subsidies to pay for housing and communal services. As a result, there is no solvent demand for goods and services on the market, which slows down the socio-economic development of the state. The need for radical improvement of the principles of income distribution in society determines the relevance of the research topic. The task is to determine the legal means of effective distribution of income in order to accelerate the socio-economic development of the state. The drivers of economic growth based on wages and/or profits of enterprises are analyzed. However, none of the possibilities will be realized in the absence of a stable or at least predictable exchange rate of the hryvnia, a progressive income tax system and fair market prices. The socialist ideology of the connection of wages with labor productivity, which is equated with labor intensity, does not allow to implement the optimal distribution of incomes and restrains the socio-economic development of the state. Labor productivity is determined by the level of production equipment and technology, the progressiveness of technological processes, the use of innovative materials, the introduction of patents and know-how, etc., which provides for higher qualification of personnel and higher wages and determines the direction of using the received profits and attracting investments. The regulator of the use of profits is the tax system and progressive tax rates. Income distribution in society should be determined by acceptable social standards and ensured by the application of progressive personal income tax rates. Amendments to the Tax Code of Ukraine have been proposed, which will ensure the solution of the set tasks

Statutory Corporate Tax Rates and Income Distribution — Panel Data From 95 Countries Using Driscoll and Kraay Standard Errors and Quantile via Moments

The study uses the statutory corporate tax rate to explain before and after tax and transfer income distribution. The unbalanced panel has 95 countries from 1988 to 2018. The study uses Driscoll & Kraay standard errors and Quantile Via Moments. The study finds higher corporate tax rates appear to lessen income inequality in most cases, small coefficients suggest it is minor and insignificant for after-tax and transfer income distribution in developed countries. Furthermore, in an augmented model with fewer observations spanning 1988 to 2005, the average rate of personal income tax progressivity significantly reduces net income inequality while the statutory corporate tax rate is insignificant. Therefore, findings may indicate increases in personal income tax rate progressivity may be more effective policy tools than changes in statutory corporate tax rates to moderate growing income inequality.

The Tax Elasticity of Formal Work in Sub-Saharan African Countries

When seeking to increase their tax revenues, policy makers face a likely tradeoff between decreasing personal income tax rates (making formalizing more attractive and potentially contributing to revenue) and alternatively raising tax rates (potentially slowing down the formalization of the economy if people prefer informal employment). Evidence on formal versus informal earnings and job characteristics in different sectors is limited in African countries, and in particular very little is known about the impact of tax changes on the extent of informality. This paper therefore estimates the personal income tax responsiveness of the extensive margin of formality, i.e. the propensity to be a formal as opposed to an informal worker, for Ghana, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda, using repeated cross-sections of household data and applying grouping estimator techniques. Perhaps because of labour demand constraints and other frictions, the paper finds non-significant relations between the formal employment share and the formal-informal earnings differences.

Impacts of Taxation on Economic Growth in Africa in 2008-2018 - Panel Data Analysis

The debate over the effectiveness of taxes as a tool for promoting economic growth still needs to be solved, with several studies indicating mixed effects of taxes on economic growth. The purpose of this research is to assess the impact of taxation on economic growth in Africa. The study spans eleven years, from 2008 to 2018, and includes multiple variables for 21 African countries. GDP is a dependent variable used as a proxy for economic growth. Numerous GDP-determining predictors were utilized as independent variables; these variables were categorized into three groups: The supply side consists of human capital (population and literacy rate) and economic activities (trade and services). Demand side variables include consumption, government expenditures, net exports, and gross capital formation. Lastly, taxation variables consist of tax revenue, corporate tax rate, number of tax payments, personal income tax, and taxes on income, profits, and capital gains. The study conducted preliminary tests, including descriptive statistics, correlation matrix, and pooled least square estimations for panel data. Based on the results, all macroeconomic determinants have statistically significant effects on GDP except trade. Tax revenue and corporate tax rate positively affect GDP, while personal income tax rate and tax on income, profit, and capital gain negatively affect GDP. In general, taxation has a favorable effect on the economy of African countries because emerging countries use taxation as an internal key to generate revenue and improve economic growth.

Monetary policy of the National Bank of Ukraine: radical changes are needed

The article analyzes the effectiveness of the NBU's monetary policy. During the period of independence, the National Bank never performed any of the functions stipulated by law. The main instruments of monetary and credit policy at the disposal of the central bank are not used as intended, and therefore do not ensure the performance of the functions entrusted to the National Bank of Ukraine, in particular: they do not ensure the stability of the hryvnia exchange rate, price stability, accelerated socio-economic development of the state and the adopted inflation level. The monetary and credit policy of the National Bank must be radically changed to ensure the implementation provisions of Art. 6 of the Law of Ukraine ‘On the National Bank of Ukraine'. The central bank's efforts must be coordinated with the government's efforts, and the central bank's monetary policy must be coordinated with the government's fiscal policy. In the paper, we propose to change the monetary policy instruments of the NBU in order to direct it to the support of the real sector of the economy and the stability of the exchange rate. The proposed changes provide for the establishment of refinancing rates up to 2%, placement of deposit certificates -2% (minus 2%). At the same time, it is necessary to make changes to the Tax Code of Ukraine regarding the introduction of progressive floating rates of taxation of the profit of financial institutions, limitation of the right to deduct losses from the tax base of financial institutions in certain cases. . . For the actual production of goods with a high added value, provide the reduction of the tax base for the part invested in production, and set the tax rate for the distributed part of the profit at the level of the personal income tax rate. Non- traditional methods of stimulating development are also proposed, in particular the purchase of government securities. The marginal value of government debt securities should be limited to 2-3% of GDP.

The Influence of changes in Personal Income Tax Rate towards tax compliance by inttention to comply and tax knowledge as mediating variable

<p class="JOURNALABSTRACT-KEY">The Objective of this research study is to examine the effect of attitude toward tax compliance on compliance pay tax through the inttention to comply and to examine the effect of sosialization on compliance pay tax through tax knowledge. Data collected from questionnaire and analyzed with PLS-based SEM techniques with software SmartPLS version 4.0. The result of the analysis show both attitude toward tax compliance were found to be significantly on compliance pay tax through the inttention to comply and the effect of sosialization also have a significant effect on compliance pay tax through tax knowledge</p>

Poverty in Russia: Analysis, forecast, and overcoming

Subject. This article examines the phenomenon of poverty in the Russian economy. Objectives. The article aims to analyze the current poverty rate in Russia and substantiate recommendations for overcoming it. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of analysis and synthesis, analogy, generalization, a combination of the historical and the logical, and the economic and statistical ones. Results. The article reveals conceptual approaches to defining poverty and changes in the Russian methodology for determining the basic poverty line. Based on a comparative analysis of the global poverty rate in Russia and some countries of the world, the article presents a forecast of the poverty rate in the Russian economy for 2024–2026 and recommendations for overcoming poverty in the country. Conclusions and Relevance. The article concludes that not only a significant discrepancy between the absolute and relative poverty lines, but also an understatement of the official poverty line is characteristic of Russian practice. Progressive taxation and the establishment of a zero rate of personal income tax for citizens with incomes below the subsistence level can be one of the tools for reducing poverty. The results of the study can be used by the authorities and administration to develop State social policy.

Maintaining Progresiveness of Personal Income Tax Rates in The Indonesian Income Tax Law

This research is related to the argumentation of the plans of several tax authorities, including the Indonesian authorities, to increase the personal income tax rate. The imposition of taxes through increased individual tax rates is one way for post-Covid-19 funding. The increase in tax rates is considered not to pose a risk to consumption or the principle of tax equity. This study uses a descriptive quantitative research method that tries to explain the planned increase in tax rates by the Indonesian tax authorities is by international trends or practices, the principle of justice, and taxpayer behavior. The comparison of the taxable lower limit, rate, GDP Per Capita, PKP Upper Limit, Number of Taxable Layers, and the impact of changes in individual tax rates are used to explain this research. The G-20 and ASEAN countries were selected based on the GDP per Capita scheme and geographical proximity. This study aims to answer the relevance of the implication of imposing progressive rates with Indonesian conditions, the plan to increase tax rates for Personal Income Tax and increase the number of taxable layers. The review of the threshold of taxable income also gets a portion of this research as well. This study also reviewed the rate mantaing from 30% to return to the 35% rate. The results of the study show that the wishes of the Indonesian tax authorities are in line with trends in state financing after the Covid-19 pandemic. This rate increase is not without risk. This rate increase will have implications for changes in the behavior of individual taxpayers who are affected by regulatory changes. The plan to change the individual tax structure should also consider the principles of fairness, progressiveness, general principles of tax reform, and changes in the behavior of taxpayers who are affected by regulatory changes. Changes in tax rates should increase taxpayer voluntary compliance.

An Evaluation of Different Tax Reform Proposals in Pakistan using CGE Model

Taxes are an important tool of fiscal policy. However, the taxation system of a country also affects its economic growth and the welfare of the people. Since a change in tax policy has far-reaching consequences for various interconnected economic agents, computable general equilibrium model is used to quantify the impact of changes in direct and indirect tax rate policies on various economic indicators. For this, first a social accounting matrix based on 2017 data is also developed. The results show that in the long run under the unbalanced budget condition, reducing personal income tax rates results in increased consumption, government expenditures, and incomes of various types of labour, but decreased economic growth and exports. However, introducing a flat and low-income tax rate along with decreasing corporate tax, sales tax, and customs duties results in higher economic growth, exports, consumption expenditures, and household income. On the other hand, a balanced budget condition produces better economic results.

Does the Type of Nominal Personal Income Tax Rate Affect Its Progressivity? A Case Study from the Czech Republic

Abstract Background The article evaluates the influence of the type of nominal personal income tax rate on its progressivity. This is examined in the Czech Republic in the period 1993–2020. Between 1993 and 2007, the nominal tax rate was progressive, while from 2008 until the end of 2020, the nominal rate was linear. Objectives The paper aims to analyse if the type of nominal tax rate affects personal income tax progressivity. Methods/Approach The article uses analysis, synthesis, comparison and regression analysis methods. The progressiveness of the tax obligation indicator is used to evaluate the degree of tax progressivity. Results In the context of the analysis of the degree of tax progressivity, personal income tax is more progressive in the period of validity of the nominal linear rate for taxpayers with incomes below the average wage level. Conclusions Since the linear rate has been in force, the government in the Czech Republic has often mistakenly presented that tax rate innovations will ensure that everyone pays the same tax.

The wealthy as a barrier to tax reform

Abstract In the optimal design of tax reform proposals, and in decisions about when and how to recommend them, it is useful to take explicit account of issues of political feasibility. In the United States—and probably around the world—important political barriers work against the enactment of major progressive tax reforms. A close look at US poll and survey data indicates that opposition by the general public is not a significant barrier: large majorities favour progressive taxation in general and favour a number of specific progressive tax changes, including higher top personal income tax rates; higher taxes on corporations; increased taxation of realized capital gains; and taxation of unrealized gains at death. But there exist other serious political barriers against tax reform, including an institutional status quo bias that makes any major policy change (especially any progressive change) very difficult; and strong political opposition from business corporations and wealthy individuals. The best available evidence indicates that nearly all US business firms, and most multi-millionaires and billionaires, oppose practically any sort of progressive tax reform. The best evidence also indicates that these firms and individuals exercise far more influence on policy-making than ordinary citizens do. We mention some possible strategies for dealing with this problem.

Сценарії реформування ПДФО в контексті зменшення нерівності доходів в Україні

Introduction. The aggravation of the problem of inequality and poverty in the conditions of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine determines giving priority to its mitigation in the period of post-war reconstruction. At the same time, ensuring the reduction of income inequality in the period after the termination or abolition of martial law is expected to be achieved by using the redistributive role of taxes, primarily personal income tax. Problem Statement. Although a progressive income tax is considered to be one of the main tools for reducing inequality, a proportional personal income tax can also increase the progressivity of taxation through a well-designed mechanism of tax-exempt amount. The purpose of the article is to analyze the state of fulfillment of the function of reducing income inequality by the personal income tax in Ukraine and ways to increase its redistributive properties. Methods. The redistributive properties of personal income tax were studied by determining the impact of the tax social benefit before and after its reform on the tax burden at different levels of income, which was calculated on the basis of effective personal income tax rates. The assessment of the fiscal consequences of the proposed reforms was carried out using information from the Pension Fund of Ukraine on the number of people receiving wages in a certain income range. Results. It was established that the flat personal income tax in Ukraine does not fulfill the function of reducing income inequality due to existing restrictions on the right to apply the tax social benefit, which cannot be used even by the recipients of the minimum wage. This creates the problem of a high tax burden on people with low incomes. In order to increase the impact of the tax on income redistribution, the feasibility of introducing in Ukraine a differentiated tax social benefit for the taxpayer, as well as a tax social benefit for dependents (wife/husband and children) is substantiated. Another option for increasing the progression in personal income taxation was considered – the introduction of a low-progressive/progressive tax model in combination with the existing and differentiated tax social benefit. Conclusions. An assessment of the impact of the proposed personal income tax reforms on the tax burden at different levels of income, as well as their fiscal consequences, was carried out. Possible risks, as well as the procedure for reforming the tax, are substantiated.