Abstract Introduction In the last decade, peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) was ascertained to be superior to conventional echocardiographic indices for secondary cardiovascular (CV) prevention. Purpose Standard and advanced echocardiography including PALS was evaluated to find predictors of prognosis in patients with arterial hypertension and/or diabetes for the optimization of primary CV prevention. Methods Hypertensive and/or diabetic patients >40 years old and in sinus rhythm who underwent a complete cardiological evaluation at our centre in 2008-2015 were retrospectively included. Personal history, physical examination, standard and advanced (speckle tracking) echocardiographic data were collected. The exclusion criteria were previous cv events or cardiac surgery, active pacemaker, more than moderate valvular regurgitation and/or stenosis, missing informed consent. All patients were followed up for a mean time of 11.2±1.3 years for the development of first atrial fibrillation (AF) episode, congestive heart failure hospitalization, transient ischemic attack, stroke, myocardial infarction/coronary revascularization, and CV death. Univariate and multivariable stepwise Cox regressions were performed to estimate Hazard Ratio (HR). Kaplan Meier curves (KM) compared the survival between patients with different ranges of Global PALS. Log-rank test was performed to compare the KM curves. Results This retrospective study included 292 adults (mean age 63.0±9.0 years, 50% female), among which 210 hypertensives and 67 diabetics. Mean left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) was 58.2±4.9%, mean GLS was -17.0±6.6%, mean left atrial volume was 52.9±24.9ml and mean PALS 29.7±11.1%. During follow up, 110 patients developed at least one cv event: 52 all-cause deaths, 28 CV deaths, 30 heart failure admissions, 31 first AF episode, 18 TIA/strokes, 25 myocardial infarction/revascularization. Dividing the population according to events occurrence, patients with events had similar EF (p= 0.06), while being older (65.8±9.6 vs 61.3±9.0 years) and with a worse diastolic function (E/E’ ratio 10.6±5.0 vs 8.7±3.6), LV longitudinal strain (GLS, -17.7±2.9 vs -15.7±3.4%) and PALS (34.6±9.9 vs 21.6±7.7%, all p <0.001). From univariate statistical analysis, age, E/E’, PAPs, GLS and PALS were all predictors of events, but only age (HR 1.03, p=0.03) and PALS (PALS<22.5% HR 18.99 and PALS 22.5-30 HR 7.68, both p<0.001) remained independently associated with outcome at multivariate analysis. Patients with PALS<22.5 have an event-free survival of 82.4% at 1 year, 49.8% at 5 years and 25.3% at 10 years compared to 100% at 1 year, 98.5% at 5 years and 92.5% at 10 years if PALS PALS>30% (Fig.1). The same results were confirmed in female population (Fig.2). Conclusions If confirmed by larger studies, PALS could be a quick, feasible and reliable part of cardiologic evaluation for prognostic stratification in primary CV prevention in hypertensive and/or diabetic patients.Fig. 1Fig. 2
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