A mathematical model was proposed to predict the role played by apneic threshold in periodic breathing in preterm infants. Prior models have mainly applied linear control theory which predicted instability but could not explain sustained periodic breathing. Apneic threshold to CO2 which has been postulated to play a major role in infant periodic breathing is a nonlinear effect and cannot be described by linear theory. Another previously unexplored nonlinear factor affecting instability is brain vascular volume change with CO2 which affects time delay to chemoreceptors. The current model explored the influences of apneic threshold, central and peripheral chemoreceptor gains, cardiac output, lung volume, and circulatory time delay on periodic breathing. Apneic threshold was found to play a major role in ventilatory responses to spontaneous sighs. Sighs led to apneic pauses followed by periods of periodic breathing with peripheral chemoreceptor CO2 gain, cardiac output, and lung volume were at reported normal levels. Apneic threshold when exceeded was observed to cause an asymmetry in the periodic breathing cycling and an increased periodic breathing frequency. Sighs in infants occur frequently enough to lead to repeated stimulation within the epoch duration of periodic breathing for a single sigh. Multiple sighs may then play a major role in promoting continuous periodic breathing in infants. Peripheral chemoreceptor gain estimated using endogenous CO2 led to validated predicted periodic breathing cycle duration as a function of age. Brain vascular volume increase with CO2 contributes to periodic breathing in very young (1-2 day old) preterm infants.
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