Paleoseismic Records Research Articles

The Generalized Long-Term Fault Memory Model and Applications to Paleoseismic Records

ABSTRACT Paleoseismic studies show large variability in earthquake interevent times along a fault, with short intervals often separated by long quiescent periods. Some paleoseismologists have interpreted this variability as a product of an earthquake’s partial strain release with the next earthquake occurring sooner than expected because of the remaining residual strain. However, commonly used probabilistic large earthquake recurrence models attribute this variability purely to chance, not the state of strain on the fault. Here, we present an alternative probabilistic model, built on the long-term fault memory model framework that better reflects the strain accumulation and release process. This generalized long-term fault memory model (GLTFM) predicts that this interevent time variability arises from both chance and the state of strain on the fault. Specifically, it estimates when residual strain is likely present and its impact on the timing of the next earthquake in the sequence. In addition, GLTFM assumes that additional accumulated strain always increases earthquake probability. In contrast, the commonly used lognormal and Brownian passage time models predict that the probability of a large earthquake stays constant or even decreases after it is “overdue” (past the observed average recurrence interval) so additional accumulated strain does not make an earthquake more likely. GLTFM’s simple implementation and versatility should make it a powerful tool in earthquake forecasting.

Characteristics of Seismogenic Dust Particles from a Mountain and Their Significance for Paleoseismic Records in a Tufa Section: A Case Study of Jiuzhaigou, China

The sedimentary characteristics of the special interlayer contained in the section of the Sparkling Lake dam revealed by the 8 August Jiuzhaigou earthquake in 2017 are obviously different from the tufa in the dam body, and they are considered to be historic flood relics. Based on the study of the particulate matter from the 8 August Jiuzhaigou earthquake, this study combined comparative petrographic, mineralogical, geochemical, and chronological studies of the special interbedded sediments of the Sparkling Lake dam with other genetic samples to obtain homology information and genetic links and to explore the tufa depositional dynamics and earthquake disaster subsidence. The paleoseismic benefit in the discontinuity layer was explored, and the paleoseismic information embedded in the profiles was extracted, providing a new idea for reconstructing the paleoseismic events in the tufa deposition sequence. According to X-ray diffraction, laser particle size analysis, and scanning electron microscope experiments, the particulate matter in the Jiuzhaigou mountains has its own specific mineralogical characteristics. The mineral composition of the particulate matter is basically calcite. The particle size is large, and single particles are mostly angular and subangular. The fracture morphology observed under the single-particle microscope was uneven, showing the characteristics of the dust caused by earthquake disasters. The geochemical analysis data show that the distribution patterns of rare earth elements in different types of particulate matter in the same area have similar characteristics. Moreover, an analysis of the elements Rb, Sr, and Ba shows that the particulate matter in Jiuzhaigou has a strong correlation (R2 = 0.9941), indicating the stability and uniformity of the material source. The source of the particulate matter was limestone of the carbonate strata from the Devonian to the Triassic. Combined with mineralogy and grain size morphology, the interbedded particles in the tufa depositional profile have the potential application of paleoseismic archives to record extreme seismic events. According to the chronological data of the special interlayer sediments in the tufa dam body, the paleoseismic age is inferred to be 1220 ± 30 BP. Therefore, the tufa bedding can be related to the paleoearthquake, and the special interlayer of the tufa section can be used to reconstruct paleoearthquakes.

Islands of chaos in a sea of periodic earthquakes

Long paleoseismic records on mature faults suggest potentially chaotic recurrence patterns with cycles of strain accumulation and release that challenge simple slip- or time-predictable recurrence models. In apparent contradiction, the relatively small variability of earthquake recurrence times on these faults is often characterized as quasi-periodic, implying much regularity in the underlying mechanics. To reconcile these observations, we simulate one of the longest paleoearthquake records – the 24-event record from the Hokuri Creek site on the Alpine fault in New Zealand – using a physical model of rate- and state-dependent friction. In a parameter space formed by three non-dimensional parameters, a sea of parameters produces periodic earthquake recurrence behavior. Only a few models are characterized by fundamentally aperiodic recurrence patterns, in parametric islands of chaos. Complex models that produce partial and full ruptures of the Alpine fault can explain the earthquake recurrence behavior of the Alpine fault, reproducing up to 11 consecutive events of the Hokuri Creek paleoseismic record within uncertainties. The breakdown of the slip- and time-predictable recurrence patterns occurs for faults that are much longer than the characteristic nucleation size. The quasi-periodicity of seismic cycles is compatible with the nonlinear and potentially chaotic underlying mechanical system, posing an inherent challenge to long-term earthquake prediction.

Late Holocene rupture history of the Ash Hill fault, Eastern California Shear Zone, and the potential for seismogenic strain transfer between nearby faults

AbstractUnderstanding how fault systems interact and transfer strain over seismogenic timescales (seconds to ka) requires temporal records of past ruptures along adjacent and intersecting fault networks. Here we document the record of Late Holocene ruptures as recorded in the geomorphology of alluvial deposits along the Ash Hill fault, in the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ). We leverage a multi‐faceted approach to evaluate the relative timing of Ash Hill fault ruptures to those of nearby faults in the ECSZ. We determine the number and timing of Late Holocene earthquakes on the Ash Hill fault using high‐resolution tectono‐geomorphic mapping, a locally calibrated alluvial fan stratigraphy, feldspar luminescence dating, and fault offset analysis from field observations, LiDAR, and drone‐based digital surface elevation models. We find evidence for three surface‐rupturing earthquakes that have occurred since ~4 ka, each with ~1.0 ± 0.2 m of oblique slip per event (Mw ~ 6.9–7.0), and we constrain the timing of these earthquakes by dating deposits that bracket each event. The timing of these three ruptures is similar to the paleoseismic record along the adjacent range‐bounding fault in southern Panamint Valley. Specifically, the two adjacent faults exhibit similar numbers of earthquakes during the Late Holocene, with similar recurrence intervals and rupture timing. These data suggest that it is possible that these two faults have ruptured in the same or closely temporally related events throughout the Late Holocene. Similar spatio‐temporal clustered earthquakes have been recognized in both historic and paleoseismic records in the region, and such behaviour may be common in complexly interlinked fault networks, like those that exist in the ECSZ.

Magnitude and source area estimations of severe prehistoric earthquakes in the western Austrian Alps

Abstract. In slowly deforming intraplate tectonic regions such as the Alps only limited knowledge exists on the occurrence of severe earthquakes, their maximum possible magnitude, and their potential source areas. This is mainly due to long earthquake recurrence rates exceeding the time span of instrumental earthquake records and historical documentation. Lacustrine paleoseismology aims at retrieving long-term continuous records of seismic shaking. A paleoseismic record from a single lake provides information on events for which seismic shaking exceeded the intensity threshold at the lake site. In addition, when positive and negative evidence for seismic shaking from multiple sites can be gathered for a certain time period, minimum magnitudes and source locations can be estimated for paleo-earthquakes by a reverse application of an empirical intensity prediction equation in a geospatial analysis. Here, we present potential magnitudes and source locations of four paleo-earthquakes in the western Austrian Alps based on the integration of available and updated lake paleoseismic data, which comprise multiple mass-transport deposits on reflection seismic profiles and turbidites and soft-sediment deformation structures in sediment cores. The paleoseismic records at Plansee and Achensee covering the last ∼10 kyr were extended towards the age of lake initiation after deglaciation to obtain the longest possible paleoseismic catalogue at each lake site. Our results show that 25 severe earthquakes are recorded in the four lakes Plansee, Piburgersee, Achensee, and potentially Starnbergersee over the last ∼16 kyr, from which four earthquakes are interpreted to have left imprints in two or more lakes. Earthquake recurrence intervals range from ca. 1000 to 2000 years, with a weakly periodic to aperiodic recurrence behavior for the individual records. We interpret that relatively shorter recurrence intervals in the more orogen-internal archives Piburgersee and Achensee are related to enhanced tectonic loading, whereas a longer recurrence rate in the more orogen-external archive Plansee might reflect a decreased stress transfer across the current-day enhanced seismicity zone. Plausible epicenters of paleo-earthquake scenarios coincide with the current enhanced seismicity regions. Prehistoric earthquakes with a minimum moment magnitude (Mw) 5.8–6.1 have occurred around the Inn valley, the Brenner region, and the Fernpass–Loisach region and might have reached up to Mw 6.3 at Achensee. The paleo-earthquake catalogue might hint at a shift in severe earthquake activity near the Inn valley from east to west to east during postglacial times. ShakeMaps highlight that such severe earthquake scenarios do not solely impact the enhanced seismicity region of Tyrol but widely affect adjacent regions like southern Bavaria in Germany.

How Good is a Paleoseismic Record of Megathrust Earthquakes for Probabilistic Forecasting?

Abstract Time-dependent earthquake forecast depends on the frequency and number of past events and time since the last event. Unfortunately, only a few past events are historically documented along subduction zones where forecasting relies mostly on paleoseismic catalogs. We address the role of dating uncertainty and completeness of paleoseismic catalogs on probabilistic estimates of forthcoming earthquakes using a 3.6-ka-long catalog including 11 paleoseismic and 1 historic (Mw≥8.6) earthquakes that preceded the great 1960 Chile earthquake. We set the clock to 1940 and estimate the conditional probability of a future event using five different recurrence models. We find that the Weibull model predicts the highest forecasting probabilities of 44% and 72% in the next 50 and 100 yr, respectively. Uncertainties in earthquake chronologies due to missing events and dating uncertainties may produce changes in forecast probabilities of up to 50%. Our study provides a framework to use paleoseismic records in seismic hazard assessments including epistemic uncertainties.

Age Uncertainty in Recurrence Analysis of Paleoseismic Records

AbstractDetermining the aperiodicity of large earthquake recurrences is key to forecast future rupture behavior. Aperiodicity is classically expressed as the coefficient of variation of recurrence intervals, though the recent trend to express it as burstiness is more intuitive and avoids minor inaccuracies. Due to the underestimation of burstiness in records with a low number of recurrence intervals, the paradigm is to obtain long paleoseismic records with many events. Here, we present a suite of synthetic paleoseismic records designed around the Weibull and inverse Gaussian distributions that demonstrate that age uncertainty relative to the mean recurrence interval causes overestimation of burstiness. The effects of overestimation and underestimation interact and give complex results for accurate estimates of aperiodicity. Furthermore, we show that the way recurrence intervals are sampled from a paleoseismic record can have strong influences on the resulting statistic and its implication for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment. Comparing values of burstiness between paleoseismic records should therefore be done with caution.

Paleoseismologic record of earthquakes along the Wuzunxiaoer section of the Altyn Tagh fault and its implication for cascade rupture behavior

The Altyn Tagh fault is one of the few great active strike-slip faults in the world. The recurrence characteristics of paleoearthquakes on this fault are still poorly understood due to the lack of paleoseismic records recorded in high-resolution strata. We document a paleoseismic record in a pull-apart basin along the Wuzunxiaoer section of the central Altyn Tagh fault. The high-resolution strata recorded abundant seismic deformations and their sedimentary responses. Four earthquakes are identified based on event evidence in the form of open fissures, thickened strata, angular unconformities, and folds. The occurrence times of the four events were constrained using radiocarbon dating. Event W1 occurred at AD1220-1773, events W2 and W3 occurred between 407 and 215BC, and event W4 occurred slightly earlier at 1608-1462BC, indicating clustered recurrence characteristics. A comparison of the earthquake records along the Wuzunxiaoer section with other records along the Xorkoli section suggests that both sections ruptured during the most recent event.

A 3700 yr paleoseismic record from the northern San Jacinto fault and implications for joint rupture of the San Jacinto and San Andreas faults

The San Andreas and San Jacinto faults are the primary plate-boundary structures in southern California and present a large earthquake hazard for the region. They approach each other in the Cajon Pass area between the San Gabriel and San Bernardino Mountains, where the northern end of the San Jacinto fault forms a 2-km-wide releasing step with the San Andreas fault. In this study, we used paleoseismic data from sites on the San Jacinto and San Andreas faults near their juncture to evaluate spatial and temporal patterns of surface rupture between these major structures of the North American–Pacific transform plate boundary. We present a new 3700 yr paleoseismic record from the northern San Jacinto fault at Mystic Lake, where trench excavations exposed evidence for at least 16 surface ruptures. A sedimentary gap in our trench exposures separates three ruptures in the oldest part of the record from 13 ruptures during the past 2000 yr. For the past 2000 yr, the mean recurrence times varied from 86 to 312 yr, with a mean recurrence interval of 160 yr. This rate of surface rupture is roughly equal to that of the southern San Andreas fault south of the Cajon Pass juncture, but it is half that of the San Andreas fault north of the juncture, indicating that coseismic strain on the San Andreas fault is split between the southern San Andreas and San Jacinto faults south of Cajon Pass. Comparison of the past 2000 yr of the Mystic Lake record to similar paleoseismic records from nearby sections of the San Andreas fault suggests that: (1) the current open interval on these two faults in the study area is longer than their average recurrence intervals, but that similar intervals of quiescence have occurred in the past 2000 yr; (2) the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults have probably ruptured together multiple times in the past 2000 yr; and (3) a joint rupture of the San Jacinto fault with the Mojave section of the San Andreas fault may be a more likely source of a major earthquake in southern California than a rupture on the San Andreas fault from the Mojave segment to the southern end of the fault.

Combining Conflicting Bayesian Models to Develop Paleoseismic Records: An Example from the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah

Combining Conflicting Bayesian Models to Develop Paleoseismic Records: An Example from the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah

Paleoseismic potential of sublacustrine landslide records in a high-seismicity setting (south-central Alaska)

Sublacustrine landslide stratigraphy is considered useful for quantitative paleoseismology in low-seismicity settings. However, as the recharging of underwater slopes with sediments is one of the factors that governs the recurrence of slope failures, it is not clear if landslide deposits can provide continuous paleoseismic records in settings of frequent strong shaking. To test this, we selected three lakes in south-central Alaska that experienced a strong historical megathrust earthquake (the 1964 Mw9.2 Great Alaska Earthquake) and exhibit high sedimentation rates in their main basins (0.2cmyr−1–1.0cmyr−1). We present high-resolution reflection seismic data (3.5kHz) and radionuclide data from sediment cores in order to investigate factors that control the establishment of a reliable landslide record. Seismic stratigraphy analysis reveals the presence of several landslide deposits in the lacustrine sedimentary infill. Most of these landslide deposits can be attributed to specific landslide events, as multiple landslide deposits sourced from different lacustrine slopes occur on a single stratigraphic horizon. We identify numerous events in the lakes: Eklutna Lake proximal basin (14 events), Eklutna Lake distal basin (8 events), Skilak Lake (7 events) and Kenai Lake (7 events). The most recent event in each basin corresponds to the historic 1964 megathrust earthquake. All events are characterized by multiple landslide deposits, which hints at a regional trigger mechanism, such as an earthquake (the synchronicity criterion). This means that the landslide record in each basin represents a record of past seismic events. Based on extrapolation of sedimentation rates derived from radionuclide dating, we roughly estimate a mean recurrence interval in the Eklutna Lake proximal basin, Eklutna Lake distal basin, Skilak Lake and Kenai Lake, at ~250yrs., ~450yrs., ~900yrs. and ~450yrs., respectively. This distinct difference in recording can be explained by variations in preconditioning factors like slope angle, slope recharging (sedimentation rate) and the sediment source area: faster slope recharging and a predominance of delta and alluvial fan failures, increase the sensitivity and lower the intensity threshold for slope instability. Also, the seismotectonic setting of the lakes has to be taken into account. This study demonstrates that sublacustrine landslides in several Alaskan lakes can be used as reliable recorders of strong earthquake shaking, when a multi-lake approach is used, and can enhance the temporal and spatial resolution of the paleoseismic record of south-central Alaska.

Variability in magnitude of paleoearthquakes revealed by trenching and historical records, along the Haiyuan Fault, China

AbstractPaleoseismology provides fundamental data for generalizing earthquake recurrence behavior, by revealing past surface‐rupturing events. Determining the size of paleoseismic events is notoriously more challenging than their timing. Paleoearthquakes exposed in trenches are vaguely defined as large enough to break to the surface and often assumed to be similar in size. Here we show an example where the paleoseismic record includes events of both moderate and large magnitudes. At the Salt Lake site on the active left‐lateral Haiyuan Fault, northern Tibetan Plateau, a high‐resolution stratigraphic sequence recorded three and possibly four events since A.D. 1500, constrained by accelerator mass spectrometry14C dating. Historical accounts of earthquake damage in the study region suggest that several earthquakes exposed in the trenches markedly differ in magnitude. With the exception of the most recentM~8 earthquake that occurred in A.D. 1920, two earlier events, which occurred in A.D. 1760 (or 1709) and 1638, respectively, are considerably smaller, with magnitudeM < 7 and more likelyM~6 or less. Thus, this section of the Haiyuan Fault that broke during moderate‐magnitude events failed again after a short interval during a largeMw7.8–8.3 earthquake, as part of a larger multisegment rupture. Our study shows that moderate‐magnitude events can be preserved in the stratigraphy and exposed by paleoseismic trenching under ideal conditions, for instance, if sedimentation is fast enough and there is no hiatus in deposition. Eventually, the data presented add to the growing body of paleoseismic records containing events of different magnitudes with a large variability in rupture length and coseismic slip.

Turbidite paleoseismology along the active continental margin of Chile – Feasible or not?

Much progress has been made in estimating recurrence intervals of great and giant subduction earthquakes using terrestrial, lacustrine, and marine paleoseismic archives. Recent detailed records suggest these earthquakes may have variable recurrence periods and magnitudes forming supercycles. Understanding seismic supercycles requires long paleoseismic archives that record timing and magnitude of such events. Turbidite paleoseismic archives may potentially extend past earthquake records to the Pleistocene and can thus complement commonly shorter-term terrestrial archives. However, in order to unambiguously establish recurring seismicity as a trigger mechanism for turbidity currents, synchronous deposition of turbidites in widely spaced, isolated depocenters has to be ascertained. Furthermore, characteristics that predispose a seismically active continental margin to turbidite paleoseismology and the correct sample site selection have to be taken into account.Here we analyze 8 marine sediment cores along 950 km of the Chile margin to test for the feasibility of compiling detailed and continuous paleoseismic records based on turbidites. Our results suggest that the deposition of areally widespread, synchronous turbidites triggered by seismicity is largely controlled by sediment supply and, hence, the climatic and geomorphic conditions of the adjacent subaerial setting. The feasibility of compiling a turbidite paleoseismic record depends on the delicate balance between sufficient sediment supply providing material to fail frequently during seismic shaking and sufficiently low sedimentation rates to allow for coeval accumulation of planktonic foraminifera for high-resolution radiocarbon dating.We conclude that offshore northern central Chile (29–32.5°S) Holocene turbidite paleoseismology is not feasible, because sediment supply from the semi-arid mainland is low and almost no Holocene turbidity-current deposits are found in the cores. In contrast, in the humid region between 36 and 38°S frequent Holocene turbidite deposition may generally correspond to paleoseismic events. However, high terrigenous sedimentation rates prevent high-resolution radiocarbon dating. The climatic transition region between 32.5 and 36°S appears to be best suited for turbidite paleoseismology.

Lake Tutira paleoseismic record confirms random, moderate to major and/or great Hawke’s Bay (New Zealand) earthquakes

Robust regional seismic-hazard assessments require millennial-scale paleoseismic histories that extend far beyond the range of historical and instrumental data. However, it is difficult to resolve the probability density functions for earthquake recurrence from the limited number of major to great earthquakes most paleoseismic records contain. Lake sediment records are repositories of information about paleoearthquake recurrence, with a sensitivity and fidelity over millennial time scales that suggest that they have the potential to yield reliable estimates of the recurrence distribution. We present a 7000 yr paleoseismic record from Lake Tutira (North Island, New Zealand) that ranks among the most detailed Holocene paleoearthquake chronologies available worldwide, and use it to empirically constrain the recurrence distribution of earthquakes with a minimum ground-shaking intensity of MMI 7 in one of New Zealand’s most seismically active areas. Our analysis confirms that a Poisson process describes the waiting times of single moderate to major and/or great paleoearthquakes in the Hawke’s Bay region.

A Paleoseismic Record of Earthquakes for the Dead Sea Transform Fault between the First and Seventh Centuries C.E.: Nonperiodic Behavior of a Plate Boundary Fault

We present new results from a paleoseismic trenching campaign at a site across the Jordan Gorge Fault (JGF), the primary strand of the Dead Sea Transform in northern Israel. In addition to the previously recognized earthquakes of 1202 and 1759 C.E., we observe evidence for eight surface-rupturing earthquakes prior to the second millennium C.E. The past millennium appears deficient in strain release with the occurrence of only two large ruptures, when compared with the preceding 1200 years. Assuming Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency distribution, there is a dis- crepancy between measured rate of small-magnitude earthquakes (M <4) from instrumental records and large earthquake rates from paleoseismic records. The in- terevent time of surface-rupturing earthquakes varies by a factor of two to four during the past 2 ka at our site, and the fault's behavior is not time predictable. The JGF may be capable of rupturing in conjunction with both of its southern and northern neigh- boring segments, and there is tentative evidence that earthquakes nucleating in the Jordan Valley (e.g., the 749 C.E. earthquake) could either rupture through the stepover between the faults or trigger a smaller event on the JGF. We offer a model of earth- quake production for this segment in which the long-term slip rate remains constant while differing earthquake sizes can occur, depending on the segment from which they originated and the time since the last large event. The rate of earthquake occurrence in this model does not produce a time-predictable pattern over a period of 2 ka as a result of the interplay between fault segments to the south and north of the JGF. Online Material: High-resolution photomosaic logs of trench walls probability density function (PDF) and table of unit descriptions for channels 3 and 4.

Central Cascadia subduction zone creep

Central Cascadia between 43°N and 46°N has reduced interseismic uplift observed in geodetic data and coseismic subsidence seen in multiple thrust earthquakes, suggesting elevated persistent fault creep in this section of the subduction zone. We estimate subduction thrust “decade-scale” locking and crustal block rotations from three-component continuous Global Positioning System (GPS) time series from 1997 to 2013, as well as 80 year tide gauge and leveling-derived uplift rates. Geodetic observations indicate coastal central Oregon is rising at a slower rate than coastal Washington, southern Oregon and northern California. Modeled locking distributions suggest a wide locking transition zone that extends inland under central Oregon. Paleoseismic records of multiple great earthquakes along Cascadia indicate less subsidence in central Oregon. The Cascade thrust under central Oregon may be partially creeping for at least 6500 years (the length of the paleoseismic record) reducing interseismic uplift and resulting in reduced coseismic subsidence. Large accretions of Eocene age basalt (Siletzia terrane) between 43°N and 46°N may be less permeable compared to surrounding terranes, potentially increasing pore fluid pressures along the fault interface resulting in a wide zone of persistent fault creep. In a separate inversion, three-component GPS time series from 1 July 2005 to 1 January 2011 are used to estimate upper plate deformation, locking between slow-slip events (SSEs), slip from 16 SSEs and an earthquake mechanism. Cumulative SSEs and tectonic tremor are weakest between 43°N and 46°N where partial fault creep is increased and Siletzia terrane is thick, suggesting that surrounding rock properties may influence the mode of slip.

Tectonic Taphrogenesis and Paleoseismic Records from the Yishu Fault Zone in the Initial Stage of the Caledonian Movement

Abstract:The Yishu fault zone (mid‐segment of the Tanlu fault zone) was formed in the Presinian. Periodic tectonic activities and strong seismic events have occurred along the fault zone. During the initial stage of the Caledonian Movement, with the proceeding of the marine transgression from the Yishu paleo‐channel to the western Shandong, uneven thick sediments, composed mainly of sand, mud and carbonates of littoral, lagoon, and neritic facies, were deposited in the Yishu fault zone and western Shandong, and constructed the bottom part of the Lower Cambrian consisting of the Liguan and Zhushadong formations. Through field observations and the lab‐examinations, various paleoseismic records have been discovered in the Liguan Formation and the Zhushadong Formations of the Yishu fault zone and its vicinity, including some layers with syn‐sedimentary deformation structures that were triggered by strong earthquakes (i.e. seismite, seismo‐olistostrome, and seismo‐turbidite). Paleoseismic records developed in the Zhushadong Formation are mainly seismites with soft‐sediment deformation structures, such as liquefied diapir, small liquefied‐carbonate lime‐mud volcano, liquefied vein, liquefied breccia, convolute deformation (seismic fold), graded fault, soft siliceous vein, and deformation stromatolite, as well as seismites with brittle deformation structures of semiconsolidated sediments. Paleoseismic records preserved in the Liguan Formation are not only seismo‐olistostrome with a slump fold, load structure, and ball‐and‐pillows, but also seismo‐turbidite with convolution bedding, graded bedding and wavy‐bedding. However, in the western Shandong area, the closer to the Yishu fault zone, the greater the thickness of the Liguan Formation and the Zhushadong Formation, the greater the number and type of layers with paleoseismic records, and the higher the earthquake intensity reflected by associations of seismic records. This evidence indicates that tectonic taphrogenesis accompanied by strong earthquake events occurred in the Yishu fault zone during the initial stage of the Caledonian Movement, which embodied the break‐up of the Sino‐Korean Plate along the Paleo‐Tanlu fault zone at that time.

The Pitman Canyon paleoseismic record: A re-evaluation of southern San Andreas Fault segmentation

Correlation of three well-resolved paleoseismic records, including the Pitman Canyon site with its emerging record, presents a new possibility to understand fault segmentation. To be a useful concept, fault segment boundaries must be relatively stationary over multiple seismic cycles and must appear frequently in limiting the rupture extent of earthquakes; thus, sites on the same segment should share more paleoseismic events than those on different segments. A conclusive event correlation between sites is difficult or impossible due to dating uncertainties. However, often the data are adequate to preclude correlation and thus provide firm limits on rupture extent for those events. Thus clear non-correlations provide more information about segmentation than do unprovable potential correlations. The southern end of the most recent rupture in 1857, between Wrightwood and Pitman Canyon, is often used to define a segment boundary. However, there is an absence of significant non-correlation between the previous five Pitman Canyon events and the Wrightwood events. While both Pallett Creek and Wrightwood ruptured in 1857, only two of the previous five Wrightwood events can correlate with Pallett Creek events, which may or may not indicate that they actually do. These paleoseismic records do not support the existence of a segment boundary between Wrightwood and Pitman Canyon as defined by the 1857 rupture extent, suggesting a reevaluation of southern San Andreas Fault segmentation, and using historic ruptures to define segments in general.

Fractal clustering of fault activity in California

We have studied the temporal distribution of paleoseismic records of earthquakes in several regions of California, over time scales ranging from decades to several hundreds of thousands years, by using dates obtained by electron spin resonance plateau dating of fault gouge, 14C dated sediments from fault zones, and records of historic earthquakes. The historical record in the San Andreas fault zone of central California and the paleoseismic record of the San Gabriel fault zone both exhibit self-similarity with a fractal dimension of 0.43–0.46. The fractal dimension of the San Andreas fault zone in southern California both in historic and paleoseismic time scales is 0.67, indicating more evenly distributed fault movements than those of central California. On time scales <1 yr, the distribution is largely random.