Pain profiles (e.g. pro- and anti-nociceptive) can be developed using quantitative sensory testing (QST) but substantial variability exists. This study describes the variability in temporal summation of pain (TSP) and conditioned pain modulation (CPM) in chronic musculoskeletal pain patients, proposes cut-off values, and explores the association with clinical pain intensity. This is a secondary analysis in which TSP and CPM were assessed using cuff algometry in pain-free subjects (n = 69), and patients with chronic low back pain (cLBP, n = 267), osteoarthritis (n = 134), and fibromyalgia (n = 101). Using TSP and CPM from the pain-free subjects as a reference, four distinct pain profiles TSP (low/high) and CPM (low/high) were created, and differences in clinical pain between pain profiles were explored. Individual data revealed large inter-person variability. High TSP and low CPM were found in fibromyalgia (p < 0.01) and osteoarthritis (p < 0.01) but not cLBP when compared to pain-free subjects. The proportion of patients classified into the distinct pain profiles was significantly different (p < 0.001) with the largest proportion in the high TSP and low CPM group in fibromyalgia (52.5%) and osteoarthritis (41.4%). Clinical pain was not significantly different comparing the pain profiles, and no significant correlations were observed between clinical pain and TSP or CPM. These results demonstrated substantial inter-person variability in TSP and CPM in patients with different chronic pain conditions and pain-free subjects. The proportion of patients with a pro-nociceptive profile appears larger in fibromyalgia and osteoarthritis, but we found no association to clinical pain. This analysis shows that there is variability when assessing TSP and CPM in both pain-free subjects and patients with chronic pain. A cut-off for determining when a person is pain-sensitive is proposed, and data based on this cut-off approach suggest that significantly more patients with osteoarthritis and fibromyalgia are pain-sensitive (i.e. higher TSP and lower CPM) compared to pain-free subjects. This analysis does not find an association between pain sensitivity and clinical pain.