Overall Survival In Chinese Patients Research Articles

Chinese Medicine Prolongs Overall Survival of Chinese Patients with Advanced Gastric Cancer: Treatment Pattern and Survival Analysis of a 20-Year Real-World Study.

To describe the treatment patterns and survival status of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) in China in the past two decades, and objectively evaluate the impact of standardized Chinese medicine (CM) treatment on the survival of AGC patients. This multicenter registry designed and propensity score analysis study described the diagnosis characteristics, treatment-pattern development and survival status of AGC from 10 hospitals in China between January 1, 2000 and July 31, 2021. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated between non-CM cohort (standard medical treatment) and CM cohort (integrated standard CM treatment ≥3 months). Propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were performed to adjust any difference in average outcomes for bias. A total of 2,001 patients histologically confirmed locally advanced and/or metastasis stomach and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma were enrolled. Among them, 1,607 received systemic chemotherapy, 215 (10.74%) accepted molecular targeted therapy, 44 (2.2%) received checkpoint inhibitor therapy, and 769 (38.43%) received CM. Two-drug regimen was the main choice for first-line treatment, with fluoropyrimidine plus platinum as the most common regimen (530 cases, 60.09%). While 45.71% (16 cases) of patients with HER2 amplification received trastuzumab in first-line. The application of apatinib increased (33.33%) in third-line. The application of checkpoint inhibitors has increased since 2020. COX analysis showed that Lauren mixed type (P=0.017), cycles of first-line treatment >6 (P=0.000), CM (P=0.000), palliative gastrectomy (P=0.000), trastuzumab (P=0.011), and apatinib (P=0.008) were independent prognostic factors for the OS of AGC. After PSM and IPTW, the median OS of CM cohort and non-CM cohort was 18.17 and 12.45 months, respectively (P<0.001). In real-world practice for AGC in China, therapy choices consisted with guidelines. Two-drug regimen was the main first-line choice. Standardized CM treatment was an independent prognostic factor and could prolong the OS of Chinese patients with AGC. (Registration No. NCT02781285).

Significance of Circulating Tumor Cells in Nonsmall-Cell Lung Cancer Patients: Prognosis, Chemotherapy Efficacy, and Survival.

Introduction We aimed to evaluate whether circulating tumor cells (CTCs) were the prognostic indicator responsible for chemotherapy and survival of NSCLC patients. Methods Between January 2013 and September 2017, CTCs in the peripheral blood of histologically confirmed stages III and IV NSCLC patients were collected. Blood specimens were obtained on the first day of treatment, chemotherapy 2 and 4 cycles, or targeted therapy 1 and 2 months for CTCs detection. The positive CTC status was defined as one or more CTCs per 7.5 ml. Results 100 patients were enrolled, of which 48 patients (48%) were identified to be CTC positive at baseline. A higher CTC-positive rate was observed in stage IV NSCLC patients than stage III patients (69% vs. 40%, P=0.015). CTC cluster was significantly correlated with disease control rate. Based on the baseline CTC number, patients were divided into low CTC levels (<4 CTCs, LL) and high CTC levels (≥4 CTCs, HL). There was clinically significant shorter median OS and OS (overall survival) and PFS (progression-free survival) in HL group patients (P < 0.001). Conclusions The positive association between the CTC number and survival suggested that the baseline CTC number and changes during treatment might be the prognostic information of response rate and overall survival in Chinese patients suffering stage III/IV NSCLC.

Prognostic nomogram for predicting 5-year overall survival in Chinese patients with high-grade osteosarcoma

This study aimed to construct a widely accepted prognostic nomogram in Chinese high-grade osteosarcoma (HOS) patients aged ≤ 30 years to provide insight into predicting 5-year overall survival (OS). Data from 503 consecutive HOS patients at our centre between 12/2012 and 05/2019 were retrospectively collected. Eighty-four clinical features and routine laboratory haematological and biochemical testing indicators of each patient at the time of diagnosis were collected. A prognostic nomogram model for predicting OS was constructed based on the Cox proportional hazards model. The performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. The utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis. The 5-year OS was 52.1% and 2.6% for the nonmetastatic and metastatic patients, respectively. The nomogram included nine important variables based on a multivariate analysis: tumour stage, surgical type, metastasis, preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycle, postoperative metastasis time, mean corpuscular volume, tumour-specific growth factor, gamma-glutamyl transferase and creatinine. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram was able to predict 5-year OS accurately. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.795 (range, 0.703–0.887). Moreover, the decision curve analysis curve also demonstrated the clinical benefit of this model. The nomogram provides an individualized risk estimate of the 5-year OS in patients with HOS aged ≤ 30 years in a Chinese population-based cohort.

Prognostic Nomogram for Predicting 5-Year Overall Survival in Chinese Patients Under 30 Years of Age with High-Grade Osteosarcoma Using High-Dimensional Survival Data

Background: This study purposed to construct a widely accepted prognostic nomogram in Chinese high-grade osteosarcoma (HOS) patients aged ≤ 30 years to provide insight into predicting 5-year overall survival (OS). Methods: Data of 503 consecutive HOS patients at our centre between 12/2012 and 05/2019 were retrospectively collected. The 84 clinical features, routine laboratory haematological and biochemical testing indicators of each patient at the time of diagnosis were collected. A prognostic nomogram model for predicting OS was constructed based on Cox proportional hazards model. The performance was assessed by concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve. The utility was evaluated by decision curve analysis. Findings: The 5-year OS was 52.1% and 2.6% for the nonmetastatic and metastatic patients, respectively. The nomogram included nine important variables based on a multivariate analysis: tumour stage, surgical type, metastasis, preoperative neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycle, postoperative metastasis time, mean corpuscular volume, tumour-specific growth factor, gamma-glutamyl transferase and creatinine. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram was able to predict 5-year OS accurately. The C-index of the nomogram for OS prediction was 0.795 (range, 0.703-0.887). Moreover, the decision curve analysis curve also demonstrated the clinical benefit of this model. Interpretation: The nomogram provides an individualized risk estimate of the 5-year OS in patients with HOS aged ≤ 30 years in a Chinese population-based cohort. Funding Statement: This work was financially funded by the National Science Foundation of China (No. U1702283, 81972764, 81960488, 81760520, 81560471), the Joint Special Funds for the Department of Science and Technology of Yunnan Province-Kunming Medical University (No. 2017FE467-073, 2018FE001-060, 2019FE001-152, 2019FE001-078), the Scientific Research Projects of Internal Research Institutions of Medicine (Nos. 2017NS196, 2017NS197, 2018NS069, 2018NS070), the Medical Leaders of Yunnan Province (No. D-201603), the Foundation of the Young and Middle-aged Academic and Technical Leaders of Yunnan Province (No. 2017HB051), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2018M643798XB), Training program for 100 Young and middle-aged Academic and technical backbones of Kunming Medical University and the Major Scientific and Technological Achievement Cultivation Project of Kunming Medical University (No. CGPY201703). Declaration of Interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Ethics Approval Statement: All human tissue experiments were approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University (Yunnan Cancer Hospital). Written informed consent forms for the experimental studies were obtained from the patients or their guardians.

Widowed status predicts poor overall survival of Chinese patients with prostate cancer.

BackgroundLittle is known about the influence of marital status on Chinese prostate cancer (PCa) patients. Marital status may have an impact on overall survival in Chinese men with prostate cancer.MethodsWe identified 4,208 Chinese patients diagnosed with PCa between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the impact of marital status on the overall survival (OS) of Chinese PCa patients. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Smoothing function and threshold effect analysis were performed to determine the turning points of variables.ResultsUnivariate analysis demonstrated that marital status, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) category, surgery status, T stage, N stage, and M stage were associated with OS. Multivariate analysis further indicated that marital status, PSA category, surgery status, T stage, and M stage were independent risk factors of OS. Survival analysis demonstrated that the nonwidowed group had a better OS than the widowed group. The risk of poor OS increased rapidly with the PSA level up to the turning point 15.6 and 45.4 ng/mL in the nonwidowed group (HR =1.089; 95% CI: 1.064–1.115; P<0.0001) and the widowed group (HR =1.056; 95% CI: 1.028–1.084; P<0.001), respectively.ConclusionsIn conclusion, this study demonstrated that widowed status greatly affects the OS of Chinese PCa patients. Altogether, this study highlights the importance of psychological intervention, especially for widowed Chinese PCa patients. Timely psychological intervention for widowed Chinese PCa patients might improve the survival outcomes of PCa.

Evaluation of Ficolin-3 as a Potential Prognostic Serum Biomarker in Chinese Patients with Esophageal Cancer.

Aims: Ficolin-3 is a circulating pattern recognition molecule of the lectin pathway, which participates in the host immune responses to cancer. Our study aimed to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of ficolin-3 in patients with esophageal cancer (EC). Methods: A total of 233 patients with EC were recruited for this study during a period from March 2013 to March 2016. Clinical information and pretherapeutic tumor specimens from all of the patients were analyzed. Serum ficolin-3 levels were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Patients were then assigned into quartiles according to their serum ficolin-3 levels. The Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to explore the correlation between ficolin-3 levels with overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Results: The serum ficolin-3 level in the esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) group was significantly higher than in the esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) group (19.59 ± 4.35 ng/mL vs. 18.39 ± 5.42 ng/mL, p < 0.01). There were great differences in prevalence of ESCC, tumor length, involvement of adventitia, and lymph node status among patients in different ficolin-3 groups (all p < 0.01). Both univariate analyses and further multivariate analyses revealed the close association between ficolin-3 levels and EAC (For OS and DSS, all p < 0.05). Out of 233 patients, survival information was available for 220, including 100 (45.45%) females and 120 (54.54%) males. When dividing the ficolin-3 levels into quartiles, patients with higher serum ficolin-3 levels showed a trend toward longer OS and DSS no matter whether they were diagnosed as ESCC or EAC (HR 0.21-0.55, all p < 0.05). Conclusions: Serum ficolin-3 levels were identified as an independent prognostic biomarker for DSS and OS in Chinese patients with EC, especially EAC.

Preoperative maximum standardized uptake value and carbohydrate antigen 19\u20139 were independent predictors of pathological stages and overall survival in Chinese patients with pancreatic duct adenocarcinoma

BackgroundPurpose of this study was to analyze whether preoperative maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) and carbohydrate antigen 19–9 (CA19–9) levels might provide prognostic information in Chinese patients with pancreatic duct adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).MethodsStandard PD was performed on 109 patients with PDAC by the same operative team, and all patients received preoperative positron emission tomography/computed tomography examination and blood test.ResultsPatients had a mean age of 59 ± 9.35 years. Females accounted for 38.5%. Mean levels of SUVmax, carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA) and CA19–9 were 5.70 ± 2.76, 3.95 ± 4.16ng/mL and 321.62 ± 780.71kU/L. In univariate Logistic regression analysis, preoperative SUVmax, CEA and CA19–9 levels (p < 0.05 for all) rather than other preoperative variables (p > 0.05 for all) were significantly related to AJCC stages. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative SUVmax and CA19–9 levels (p < 0.05 for all) rather than other preoperative variables (p > 0.05 for all) were significantly associated with AJCC stages. Mean overall survival (OS) was 21 ± 14.50 months. In univariate Cox regression analysis, age, SUVmax, CEA and CA19–9 levels before operation (p < 0.05 for all) rather than other preoperative variables (p > 0.05 for all) were significantly related to OS. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, SUVmax and CA19–9 levels before operation (p < 0.05 for all) rather than other preoperative variables (p > 0.05 for all) were significantly associated with OS.ConclusionsThis study demonstrated that preoperative SUVmax and CA19–9 levels independently predicted pathological stages and OS of patients with PDAC after PD. These preoperative variables might have significant prognostic implication in patients with PDAC after PD. Patients with abnormal SUVmax and CA19–9 levels should be paid special attention to in operative strategy and perioperative management.

Functional genetic variants of RUVBL1 predict overall survival of Chinese patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

To date, the 5-year overall survival of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) remains poor. Because studies suggest that RUVBL1 may be a chemotherapeutic target for the treatment of cancer, in this study, therefore, we investigated the role of potentially functional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of RUVBL1 in the survival of Chinese patients with EOC, and we subsequently performed functional prediction and validation of the identified significant SNPs. We found that RUVBL1 rs1057156 A>G and RUVBL1 rs149652370 A>G were associated with survival of EOC patients in the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Specifically, the RUVBL1 rs149652370 AG genotype was associated with a shorter progression-free survival ([adjusted hazards ratio (HR)] = 3.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.76-6.25 and P = 2.01E-04), compared with the AA genotype. The RUVBL1 rs1057156 AG (only nine had GG) genotype was also associated with a poor overall survival (adjusted HR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.19-2.52, P = 0.004), compared with the AA genotype. Further experiments showed that the RUVBL1 rs1057156 A>G change lowered its binding affinity to microRNA-4294 and led to upregulation of the RUVBL1 expression. We further found that overexpression of RUVBL1 promoted cell proliferation and metastatic potential. Overall, RUVBL1 enhanced EOC cell proliferation, invasion and migration presumably by stimulating the process of glycolysis. Thus, this study provides evidence that functional variants of RUVBL1 may regulate its gene expression, a possible mechanism affecting survival of EOC patients and that RUVBL1 may be a potential chemotherapeutic target for the treatment of EOC patients.

Variants in Notch signalling pathway genes, PSEN1 and MAML2, predict overall survival in Chinese patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

To identify genetic variants in Notch signalling pathway genes that may predict survival of Han Chinese patients with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC), we analysed a total of 1273 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within 75 Notch genes in 480 patients from a published EOC genomewide association study (GWAS). We found that PSEN1 rs165934 and MAML2 rs76032516 were associated with overall survival (OS) of patients by multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Specifically, the PSEN1 rs165934 AA genotype was associated with a poorer survival (adjusted hazards ratio [adjHR] = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.07‐1.84, and P = .014), compared with the CC + CA genotype, while MAML2 rs76032516 AA + AC genotypes were associated with a poorer survival (adjHR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.16‐2.14, P = .004), compared with the CC genotype. The combined analysis of these two SNPs revealed that the death risk increased as the number of unfavourable genotypes increased in a dose‐dependent manner (P trend < .001). Additionally, the expression quantitative trait loci analysis revealed that the SNP rs165932 in the rs165934 LD block (r 2 = .946) was associated with expression levels of PSEN1, which might be responsible for the observed association with SNP rs165934. The associations of PSEN1 rs165934 and MAML2 rs76032516 of the Notch signalling pathway genes with OS in Chinese EOC patients are novel findings, which need to be validated in other large and independent studies.

Pyrophosphatase 1 expression is associated with future recurrence and overall survival in Chinese patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

The inorganic pyrophosphatase gene (PPA1) encodes inorganic pyrophosphatase, an enzyme that catalyzes the hydrolysis of inorganic pyrophosphate to orthophosphate, and has been revealed to be dysregulated in several types of human cancer. However, the role of PPA1 in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has not yet been determined. The present study detected PPA1 expression and investigated its clinical significance in ICC. Tissue microarray blocks containing 93 ICC specimens were constructed. The protein expression of PPA1 in these specimens was detected by immunohistochemistry. PPA1 was overexpressed in 49.5% of the ICC specimens and was significantly associated with large tumor size, positive margins, T stage, lymph nodal metastases, poorly differentiated tumors and advanced disease stage. Furthermore, PPA1 expression was an indicator of future recurrence and poor survival in patients with ICC. Increased expression of PPA1 is a common event in human ICC and is significantly associated with a poor outcome in patients with ICC, suggesting a potential role for PPA1 in the development and progression of ICC.

Effect of long non-coding RNA highly up-regulated in liver cancer (HULC) on the prognosis of cancer: a meta-analysis

Some studies investigated the association between highly up-regulated in liver cancer (HULC) and the overall survival (OS) of cancer. However, the results were conflicted and inconclusive. Therefore, we performed this meta-analysis to determine the association between HULC and the OS of cancer. A comprehensive online search was conducted on Online electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and Wanfang database) from the earliest date to Aug 30, 2016. The strength of the association was calculated with the HRs and respective 95% CIs. The expression of HULC was significantly associated with OS of cancers (HR = 2.12; 95% CI 1.61 – 2.79; P<0.00001). In the subgroup analysis by ethnicity, the expression of HULC was significantly associated with OS in Chinese patients (HR = 2.04; 95% CI 1.55 – 2.70; P<0.00001). In the subgroup analysis by cancer type, HULC was associated with OS in osteosarcoma patients (HR = 3.36; 95% CI 1.02 – 11.07; P = 0.05) and in gastric cancer patients (HR = 2.17; 95% CI 1.08 – 4.38; P = 0.03). We performed the sensitivity analysis to assess the stability of the meta-analysis. A significant association was found in studies with adjustment (HR = 2.01; 95% CI 1.35 – 2.99; P= 0.0006). In conclusion, this meta-analysis suggested that high expression of HULC was significantly associated with OS of cancer.

Clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of resected pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms: A single-center experience in China.

The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinical, pathological and prognostic characteristics of Chinese patients with resected pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (p-NENs). Data from patients who were surgically treated and pathologically diagnosed with p-NENs at the Department of Pancreatic Oncology of the Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (Shanghai, China), between January 2003 and July 2015, were evaluated using univariate and multivariate analyses. A total of 162 patients with p-NENs met the criteria of the present study and were included in the analysis. Patients with poorly differentiated pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinoma (p-NEC) exhibited a significantly increased rate of lymph node metastasis, as compared with patients with grade (G)1/G2 pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (p-NETs) (62.5 vs. 20.5%, P=0.003). Univariate analysis identified that the following factors led to decreased overall survival (OS): Lymph node metastasis (P=0.001, vs. the absence of lymph node metastasis); distant metastasis (P=0.043, vs. the absence of distant metastasis); resection margin R1/R2 (P=0.030, vs. R0 resection); NEC G3 (P<0.001, vs. NET G1). Following the multivariate analysis, NEC G3 remained a statistically significant risk factor (HR=12.593; 95% CI, 3.476-45.622; P<0.001, vs. NET G1/G2). Furthermore, according to the proliferation marker protein Ki-67 staining index, assigning a grade using the proliferative index (G1, ≤5%; G2, >5-20%; G3, >20%) was more efficient for prognostic stratification compared with the European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society (Berlin, Germany)/World Health Organization (Geneva, Switzerland) 2010 grading classification. The present study indicated that p-NEC was an important predictor of decreased OS in Chinese patients. Furthermore, a Ki-67 staining index of 5% represented a more efficient value for the distinction between G1 and G2.

A Preoperative Nutritional Index for Predicting Cancer-Specific and Overall Survival in Chinese Patients With Laryngeal Cancer: A Retrospective Study.

Pinato prognostic nutritional index (PNI) adequately predicts long-term outcomes of various malignancies. However, its value in predicting outcomes in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma (LSCC) is unknown.All patients newly diagnosed with LSCC presenting to the Department of Head and Neck Oncology at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between January 1, 1990 and July 31, 2010 were eligible. The PNI was calculated as serum albumin (g/L) + 5 × total lymphocyte count/L. The Cutoff Finder software program was used to classify the patients into 3 groups for which the PNI score was at least 70% sensitive, at least 70% specific, or equivocal. Cancer-specific survival was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method, and predictors were assessed with Cox regression analysis.Median time between surgery and PNI administration for the 975 eligible patients was 83 months. Index score groups were significantly associated with age, T stage, TNM stage, and type of surgery. Five-year CSS and OS were 57.3% and 56.6% in patients with PNI scores below 48.65 (low-probability of survival), 72.8% and 71.3% with scores between 48.65 and 56.93 (moderate-probability of survival), and 77.6% and 75.3% with scores above 56.93 (high-probability of survival); 10-year CSS and OS were 44.2% and 42.7%, 61.6% and 55.6%, 68.3% and 63.5%, respectively. The PNI score groups significantly predicted CSS and OS (P < 0.001).The PNI is an inexpensive and readily available score that predicted survival in patients with LSCC after curative laryngectomy.

Evaluation of eight different clinical staging systems associated with overall survival of chinese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cancer in China, an area of high hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Although several staging systems are available, there is no consensus on the best classification to use because multiple factors, such as etiology, clinical treatment and populations could affect the survival of HCC patients.Methods:This study analyzed 743 HBV-related Chinese HCC patients who received surgery first and evaluated the predictive values of eight different commonly used staging systems in the clinic.Results:The overall 1-, 3-, 5-year survival rates and a median survival were 91.5%, 70.3%, 55.3% and 72 months respectively. Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging systems had the best stratification ability and showed the lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC) values (2896.577), followed by tumor-node-metastasis 7th (TNM 7th) (AIC = 2899.980), TNM 6th (AIC = 2902.17), Japan integrated staging score (AIC = 2918.085), Tokyo (AIC = 2938.822), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score (AIC = 2941.950), Chinese University Prognostic Index grade (AIC = 2962.027), and Okuda (AIC = 2979.389).Conclusions:BCLC staging system is a better staging model for HBV infection patients with HCC in Chinese population among the eight currently used staging systems. These identifications afford a large group of Chinese HCC patients with HBV infection and could be helpful to design a new staging system for a certain population.

Prognostic factors for conjunctival melanoma: a study in ethnic Chinese patients

Background/objectiveIn patients with conjunctival melanomas, surgery is the first choice of treatment, but no standard adjuvant therapy has been established. In this study, we evaluated prognostic factors for conjunctival melanoma...

The impact of tumor cell differentiation on survival of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinomas.

The current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system considers tumor cell differentiation grade to be a factor in the staging of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in pathologic T0-3N0M0 cases. However, more data are essential to test its efficacy. We sought to investigate the tumor-node-metastasis categories for which tumor cell grade might affect overall survival in Chinese patients. We conducted a retrospective review of 1,220 patients with ESCC who underwent complete resection between December 1996 and December 2008. Survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to assess differences in survival between groups. Subgroup analyses and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to further determine the effect of tumor cell grade on overall survival. The 5-year survival rates for the G1, G2, and G3 groups of pathologic T2N0M0 ESCC cases were 80.1, 61.9, and 47.4%, respectively (p = 0.015), and these rates in the pathologic T3N0M0 ESCC cases were 66.7, 61.7, and 41.2%, respectively (p = 0.020). However, the differences in the survival of the different tumor cell grade groups of the pathologic T1N0M0 (p = 0.198) and the node positive categories (p = 0.063) were not statistically significant. Multivariate Cox regression analysis confirmed that tumor cell grade independently affected the overall survival of patients with pathologic T2-3N0M0 ESCC. The staging of ESCC in the Chinese population should be simplified by omitting tumor cell grade as a variable in patients with pathologic T1N0M0 disease. More data are needed to verify our results.

Circulating tumor cells predict progression-free and overall survival in Chinese patients with metastatic breast cancer, HER2-positive or triple-negative (CBCSG004): a multicenter, double-blind, prospective trial

BackgroundThe aim of this multicenter, double-blind, prospective study was to evaluate the potential utility of circulating tumor cell (CTC) measurements in predicting responses to anticancer therapies, including response to human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER-2)-targeted agents, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in Chinese women with metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Patients and methodsThree hundred MBC patients planned to complete three CTC blood draws and two imaging studies. ResultsA total of 294 of the 300 MBC patients enrolled from six leading Chinese cancer centers were assessable. In multivariate Cox regression analyses, the baseline CTC number remained an independent prognostic factor for PFS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.93; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.39–2.69; P < 0.001) and OS (HR = 3.76; 95% CI = 2.35–6.01; P < 0.001). Similar results were observed for CTC counts at the first follow-up visit for both PFS (P = 0.049) and OS (P < 0.001). ConclusionsEnumeration of CTCs in Chinese MBC patients provides substantial prognostic information and is an independent factor associated with PFS and OS. Moreover, we demonstrated the prognostic value in the various disease subtypes, including HER-2-positive disease irrespective of therapy.

Use of the Metastatic Lymph Node Ratio to Evaluate the Prognosis of Esophageal Cancer Patients with Node Metastasis Following Radical Esophagectomy

ObjectivesThe objective of this study was to investigate the number of metastatic lymph nodes (pN) and the metastatic lymph node ratio (MLR) on the post-surgical prognosis of Chinese patients with esophageal cancer (EC) and lymph node metastasis.MethodsWe enrolled 353 patients who received primary curative resection for EC from 1990 to 2003. The association of pN and MLR with 5-year overall survival (OS) was examined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under the curve (AUC) analysis. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates, and survival curves were compared with the log-rank test. The Cox model was employed for univariate and multivariate analyses of factors associated with 5-year OS.ResultsThe median follow-up time was 41 months, and the 1-, 3- and 5-year OS rates were 71.2%, 30.4%, and 19.5%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that age, pN stage, and the MLR were prognostic factors for OS. Patients with MLRs less than 0.15, MLRs of 0.15-0.30, and MLRs greater than 0.30 had 5-year OS rates of 30.1%, 17.8%, and 9.5%, respectively (p < 0.001). Patients classified as pN1, pN2, and pN3 had 5-year OS rates of 23.7%, 11.4%, and 9.9%, respectively (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that a high MLR and advanced age were significant and independent risk factors for poor OS. Patients classified as pN2 had significantly worse OS than those classified as pN1 (p = 0.022), but those classified as pN3 had similar OS as those classified as pN1 (p = 0.166). ROC analysis indicated that MLR (AUC = 0.585, p = 0.016) had better predictive value than pN (AUC = 0.565, p = 0.068).ConclusionsThe integrated use of MLR and pN may be suitable for evaluation of OS in Chinese patients with EC and positive nodal metastasis after curative resection.

The effectiveness of the TAX 327 nomogram in predicting overall survival in Chinese patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer

Based on the results of TAX 327, a nomogram was developed to predict the overall survival of metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) after first-line chemotherapy. The nomogram, however, has not been validated in an independent dataset, especially in a series out of clinical trials. Thus, the objective of the current study was to validate the TAX 327 nomogram in a community setting in China. A total of 146 patients with mCRPC who received first-line chemotherapy (docetaxel or mitoxantrone) were identified. Because clinical trials are limited in mainland China, those patients did not receive investigational treatment after the failure of first-line chemotherapy. The predicted overall survival rate was calculated from the TAX 327 nomogram. The validity of the model was assessed with discrimination, calibration and decision curve analysis. The median survival of the cohort was 21 months (docetaxel) and 19 months (mitoxantrone) at last follow-up. The predictive c-index of the TAX 327 nomogram was 0.66 (95% CI: 0.54-0.70). The calibration plot demonstrated that the 2-year survival rate was underestimated by the nomogram. Decision curve analysis showed a net benefit of the nomogram at a threshold probability greater than 30%. In conclusion, the present validation study did not confirm the predictive value of the TAX 327 nomogram in a contemporary community series of men in China, and further studies with a large sample size to develop or validate nomograms for predicting survival and selecting therapies in advanced prostate cancer are necessary.

Matrix metalloproteinase‐12 is associated with overall survival in Chinese patients with gastric cancer

Matrix metalloproteinase-12 (MMP-12) plays an important role in invasion and metastasis of human solid tumor cells. This study aimed to investigate the association of MMP-12 with overall survival in human gastric cancer. Gastric cancer and adjacent normal tissue specimens were collected from 165 patients who had not received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. MMP-12 expression was determined by immunohistochemical staining, and the results were analyzed statistically in relation to the overall survival of the patients. MMP-12 expression was increased in gastric cancer compared with that observed in normal tissues. Increased MMP-12 expression was associated with tumor invasion, lymph node metastasis, distant metastasis, and TNM stage. No correlations were detected between MMP-12 expression and age, sex, differentiation status, tumor site, or Lauren classification. Moreover, patients with MMP-12 positive gastric cancer tended to have worse overall survival compared with those patients without MMP-12 expression. The study results showed that increased expression of MMP-12 was associated with tumor progression in gastric cancer. It also provided the first evidence for MMP-12 expression in gastric cancer as an independent prognostic factor.