Outbreak In Brazil Research Articles

Fangchinoline Inhibits Zika Virus by Disrupting Virus Internalization.

The Zika virus (ZIKV) has garnered significant public attention, particularly following the outbreak in Brazil, due to its potential to cause severe damage to the central nervous system and its ability to cross the placental barrier, resulting in microcephaly in infants. Despite the urgency, there remains a lack of targeted therapies or vaccines for the prevention or treatment of ZIKV infection and its related diseases. Fangchinoline (FAN), an alkaloid derived from traditional Chinese medicinal herbs, has a range of biological activities. In this study, we employed both in vitro and in vivo infection models to demonstrate the efficacy of FAN in inhibiting ZIKV. Our findings indicate that FAN effectively suppresses the replication of ZIKV viral RNA and protein, thereby validating its anti-ZIKV capabilities in living organisms. Further analysis through dosing time assays and infectious inhibition assays revealed that FAN exerts its antiviral effects by impeding the early stages of infection, specifically by inhibiting the internalization of ZIKV. These results underscore the potential of FAN as a candidate for anti-ZIKV drug development and offer novel insights into drug design strategies that target the virus's internalization process.

Genomic and phenotypic characterization of the Oropouche virus strain implicated in the 2022-24 large-scale outbreak in Brazil.

The Orthobunyavirus oropoucheense species encompasses a group of arthropod-borne zoonotic viruses transmitted by biting midges to animals including humans. Several large-scale human outbreaks caused by the prototype member of this species, Oropouche virus (OROV) have been documented since the 1970s and were primarily confined to the Amazon basin. However, since 2022, more widespread OROV outbreaks have been unfolding in Brazil and across South America, with cases exported to Cuba, Italy, Spain, USA and Germany. In Brazil, the virus has reached and established communitary transmission in all geographic areas of the country. We isolated, characterized the cytopathic effect and recovered the full genome of two OROV isolates from the 2022-24 outbreak detected in patients from the Pernambuco state. Phylogenetic data supports a direct introduction from the Amazonas state, the epicenter of the epidemics in the country. As case counts accumulate in the state mounting evidence is supporting the establishiment of sustained transmission chains. Continued studies are critical to understand the transmission cycle in this region, including the most important vectors and reservoirs, to appropriately deploy control measures.

144P Gene therapy for Spinal Muscular Atrophy amid the dengue outbreak in Brazil: a case report

144P Gene therapy for Spinal Muscular Atrophy amid the dengue outbreak in Brazil: a case report

The Emergence of New Sporothrix brasiliensis Genotypes in Current Epidemic of Sporotrichosis in Southeastern Brazil.

Zoonotic sporotrichosis caused by Sporothrix brasiliensis has become the main subcutaneous mycosis in Brazil. Minas Gerais (MG) is located in southeast Brazil and since 2015 has experienced an epidemic of zoonotic sporotrichosis. This study aimed to reconstruct the epidemiological scenario of sporotrichosis from S. brasiliensis in recent epizooty in the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte (MRBH), MG. A total of 95 Sporothrix spp. isolates (Sporothirx brasiliensis n = 74, S. schenckii n = 11 and S. globosa n = 10) were subjected to Amplified Fragment Length Polymorphism (AFLP) genotyping and mating-type analysis to determine genetic diversity and population structure. Of these, 46 S. brasiliensis isolates were recovered from animals (cats n = 41 and dogs n = 5) from MRBH. Our study describes the high interspecific differentiation power of AFLP-based genotyping between the main phylogenetic Sporothrix groups. S. brasiliensis presents high genetic variability and pronounced population structure with geographically focused outbreaks in Brazil. The genetic groups include older genotypes from the prolonged epidemic in Southeast (Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo), South (Rio Grande do Sul), Northeast (Pernambuco) and new genotypes from the MRBH. Furthermore, we provide evidence of heterothallism mating strategy in pathogenic Sporothrix species. Genotypes originating in Rio de Janeiro and Pernambuco carry the predominant MAT1-2 idiomorph as opposed to genotypes from Rio Grande do Sul, which have the MAT1-1 idiomorph. We observed an overwhelming occurrence of MAT1-1 among MRBH isolates. Our study provides clear evidence of the predominance of a genetic group profile circulating in animals in Minas Gerais, independent of that disseminated from Rio de Janeiro. Our data can help us understand the genetic population processes that drive the evolution of this fungus in Minas Gerais and contribute to future mitigation actions for this ongoing epidemic.

Dengue outbreaks in Brazil and Latin America: the new and continuing challenges

ObjectivesTo compare the number of suspected cases, severe cases, and deaths of dengue in 2023 and 2024 in Brazil and Latin America; and to describe its epidemiological profile. DesignObservational study. MethodsThe data regarding dengue was retrieved from the Brazilian Ministry of Health website. The Chi-square test was used to compare the proportion of dengue cases in 2023 and 2024 according to gender, race, and age range. The odds ratio and the 95% confidence intervals were used to describe the data. The Spearman correlation test was used to compare the number of suspected cases, severe cases, and deaths of dengue with the number of distributed vaccines against dengue. ResultsDengue is one of the most common zoonoses in Latin America. In 2023, Brazil registered a total of 1,658,814 suspected cases of dengue with 1094 deaths. For 2024, a total of 1,978,372 suspected cases of dengue were reported only until the 11th epidemiological week, with 656 deaths. When comparing dengue cases reported in 2024 and 2023, there is an increase in suspected cases, with 20% more cases reported during the first 11 epidemiological weeks of 2024 than in the entire 52 epidemiological weeks of 2023. At the same time, in 2024, the Pan American Health Organization reported suspected cases in 20 Latin American countries, with 3073 cases of severe dengue and 1187 deaths. In Brazil, a different racial profile for dengue was described since Black people [OR = 1.56 (95% CI = 1.54-1.57)], Mixed individuals [OR = 1.36 (95% CI = 1.35-1.37), and Indigenous peoples [OR = 1.77 (95% CI = 1.70-1.85)] were more likely to be suspected cases of dengue in 2024 compared to 2023. Also, a positive correlation between the distributed vaccines with deaths due to dengue and the number of severe cases was described. ConclusionBrazil was responsible for more than 50% of suspected cases and deaths from dengue compared to the other Latin American countries in 2024. Furthermore, there is a different racial profile for dengue in Brazil, as Black people, Mixed individuals, and Indigenous peoples were more likely to be suspected cases of dengue in 2024 compared to 2023.

Phylodynamics of avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses from outbreaks in Brazil

Our study identified strains of the A/H5N1 virus in analyzed samples of subsistence poultry, wild birds, and mammals, belonging to clade 2.3.4.4b, genotype B3.2, with very high genetic similarity to strains from Chile, Uruguay, and Argentina. This suggests a migratory route for wild birds across the Pacific, explaining the phylogenetic relatedness. The Brazilian samples displayed similarity to strains that had already been previously detected in South America. Phylogeographic analysis suggests transmission of US viruses from Europe and Asia, co-circulating with other lineages in the American continent. As mutations can influence virulence and host specificity, genomic surveillance is essential to detect those changes, especially in critical regions, such as hot spots in the HA, NA, and PB2 sequences. Mutations in the PB2 gene (D701N and Q591K) associated with adaptation and transmission in mammals were detected suggesting a potential zoonotic risk. Nonetheless, resistance to neuraminidase inhibitors (NAIs) was not identified, however, continued surveillance is crucial to detect potential resistance. Our study also mapped the spread of the virus in the Southern hemisphere, identifying possible entry routes and highlighting the importance of surveillance to prevent outbreaks and protect both human and animal populations.

The macroeconomic impact of a dengue outbreak: Case studies from Thailand and Brazil.

Dengue is spreading in (sub)tropical areas, and half of the global population is at risk. The macroeconomic impact of dengue extends beyond healthcare costs. This study evaluated the impact of dengue on gross domestic product (GDP) based on approaches tailored to two dengue-endemic countries, Thailand and Brazil, from the tourism and workforce perspectives, respectively. Because the tourism industry is a critical economic sector for Thailand, lost tourism revenues were estimated to analyze the impact of a dengue outbreak. An input-output model estimated that the direct effects (on international tourism) and indirect effects (on suppliers) of dengue on tourism reduced overall GDP by 1.43 billion US dollars (USD) (0.26%) in the outbreak year 2019. The induced effect (reduced employee income/spending) reduced Thailand's GDP by 375 million USD (0.07%). Overall, lost tourism revenues reduced Thailand's GDP by an estimated 1.81 billion USD (0.33%) in 2019 (3% of annual tourism revenue). An inoperability input-output model was used to analyze the effect of workforce absenteeism on GDP due to a dengue outbreak in Brazil. This model calculates the number of lost workdays associated with ambulatory and hospitalized dengue. Input was collected from state-level epidemiological and economic data for 2019. An estimated 22.4 million workdays were lost in the employed population; 39% associated with the informal sector. Lost workdays due to dengue reduced Brazil's GDP by 876 million USD (0.05%). The economic costs of dengue outbreaks far surpass the direct medical costs. Dengue reduces overall GDP and inflicts national economic losses. With a high proportion of the population lacking formal employment in both countries and low income being a barrier to seeking care, dengue also poses an equity challenge. A combination of public health measures, like vector control and vaccination, against dengue is recommended to mitigate the broader economic impact of dengue.

Sofosbuvir Off-label Treatment of Yellow Fever Patients During an Outbreak in Brazil, 2018: A Cohort Study.

We enrolled 21 patients with laboratory-confirmed yellow fever (YF), hospitalized at Eduardo de Menezes Hospital, Brazil, to be treated with sofosbuvir, a drug approved for hepatitis C. Given the absence of specific YF antiviral treatments, the off-label nonrandomized sofosbuvir treatment aimed to address high disease severity and the risk of fatal outcomes. Patients received a daily dose of 400 mg sofosbuvir from 4 to 10 days post-symptom onset. YF viral load (VL) comparisons were made between treated and nontreated patients who either survived or died. The genomic VL for the treated group steadily decreased after day 7 post-symptom onset, suggesting that sofosbuvir might reduce YF VL. This study underscores the urgent need for YF antiviral therapies, advocating for randomized clinical trials to further explore sofosbuvir's role in YF treatment.

A potential candidate for Zika virus vaccine

Abstract Zika virus (ZIKV) caused a large outbreak in Brazil during 2015-2016 and sporadic cases globally. In light of the potential for the virus to reemerge, developing a potent Zika vaccine is crucial. In this study, we aimed to enhance the immunogenicity of ZIKV by isolating a single clone from clinical human isolates. Initial vaccination of Balb/c mice with inactivated clinical ZIKV (ZIKV-P0) failed to generate neutralizing antibodies. We turned to adapt the Virus in cell culture by serial passages in Vero cells and isolated a single clone by plaque purification. ZIKV-1_PP4, one of the purified clones, exhibited high titer and homogeneous morphology. Prime-boost immunization with inactivated ZIKV-1_PP4 antigen induced significant neutralizing antibody responses in Balb/c mice. Notably, when challenged with ZIKV, mice immunized with ZIKV-1_PP4 showed reduced susceptibility compared to those immunized with ZIKV-1_P0. Additionally, ZIKV-1_PP4 infection showed enhanced recruitment of innate immune cells, including neutrophils, monocytes, and DCs. Furthermore, DCs from ZIKV-1_PP4 infected mice expressed higher levels of costimulatory molecules, with elevated levels of IL-12, IFN-γ, IL-1β, and TNF-α. In summary, our study demonstrated that plaque-purified ZIKV-1_PP4 significantly triggered heightened activation of innate immune responses and improved the generation of neutralizing antibodies. These findings underscore the effectiveness of this vaccine candidate against ZIKV.

Fim3–24/ptxP-3 genotype is associated to whooping cough outbreak in Brazilian Midwest: The selection of Bordetella pertussis strains driven by vaccine immunization

Whopping cough (or Pertussis) is an acute infectious respiratory disease caused by Bordetella pertussis bacteria. The disease is highly transmissible and can be fatal in children under two years old. Since the introduction of vaccine immunization in 1940, Pertussis incidence decreased worldwide. In Brazil, the immunization was introduced in 1977 using the whole cell (wP) vaccine. Despite the high vaccination coverage, an unexpected increase in the number of observed Pertussis cases was observed in 2012. In this year, 2257 cases were reported exceeding the average incidence rate of <1000 cases per year until 2010. This outbreak reached a peak level in 2014 and ended in 2018 according to the Brazilian National Surveillance System (SINAN). To understand the relationship between the outbreak and the vaccination, bacterial isolates (n = 136) from the Brazilian Midwest region obtained during the outbreak were submitted to genotyping of two vaccine loci: ptxP and fim3. Most of isolates (102) were obtained from nursing children (29 days to 2 years old). Genotyping of 94 isolates revealed that fim3–24/ptxP-3 was the most prevalent genotype (68%) associated with the outbreak peak. Two additional genotypes were also observed: fim3–1/ptxP-3 (15%) and fim3–3/ptxP-3 (17%). Conversely, the fim3–1/ptxP-2 genotype, which is harbored by the strain used in the wP vaccine (Bp137), was not observed. These results showed that B. pertussis circulating strains in the outbreak analyzed were different from the strain used for Pertussis immunization in Brazil. These observations provide insights that could be used to target vaccination programs to prevent future whooping cough outbreaks in Brazil.

Low vaccine coverage and varicella outbreaks in Brazil − 2019-2022

The persistence of varicella outbreaks in Brazil has underscored the high concern with the low vaccine coverage in the last 4 years.Using publicly available data from the Brazilian Health System (SUS), this study analyzed varicella vaccine coverage and incidence trends from 2019 to 2022 in Brazilian States. Vaccine coverage decreased nationally in 2020, possibly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic’s initial phase.In Bahia State, we have the persistence of varicella with an incidence rate of 3.0 cases per 100,000 inhabitants (higher incidence compared to other States) in 2023. Under 15 months children and young children (4–6 Years old) faced the highest risk, urging the importance of vaccination. Despite a monovalent varicella vaccine being available through Brazil’s National Immunization Program (NIP), Bahia fell short of achieving the ≥95 % disease control target for coverage.The study highlight the importance of vaccines to prevent some infectious diseases, as varicella, in poor tropical regions. Addressing vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, and augmenting awareness campaigns, are important to achieve and sustain high vaccine coverage over 80% as WHO guidelines to obtain a safe rate of protection for Brazilian population (Brazil's national immunization program has a target of 95% coverage).

Factors associated with hepatitis A susceptibility among men who have sex with men using HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis in Northeastern Brazil: A cross-sectional study.

Hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection has disproportionately affected more men who have sex with men (MSM), occurring in outbreaks, despite being vaccine-preventable. We determined the prevalence and factors associated with HAV susceptibility among cisgender MSM on HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in Northeastern Brazil. From September 30, 2021 to June 19, 2023, 282 cisgender MSM receiving HIV PrEP were enrolled into this cross-sectional study. Sociodemographic and clinical information were collected. Blood samples were collected for screening of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and serum samples were tested for IgM and total anti-HAV antibodies. Non-reactive results for total anti-HAV antibodies were found in 106 of 282 (37.6%) participants. Factors associated with HAV susceptibility included age <30 years (prevalence ratio [PR]: 2.02; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 1.61-2.53), having health insurance (PR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.19-1.64), sex only with cisgender men (PR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.23-1.89), non-steady partner (PR: 1.20; 95% CI: 1.01-1.43) and no lifetime history of STIs (PR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.03-1.53). Identifying clinical correlates of HAV susceptibility in key populations is a fundamental step towards development of public policy focused on prevention, especially following the recent hepatitis A outbreak in Brazil.

Chemsex among men who have sex with men during the Mpox health crisis in Brazil: A nationwide web survey.

To understand the factors associated with the practice of chemsex among MSM in Brazil, especially during the Mpox health crisis, and to design effective prevention and intervention strategies specifically for this population. A cross-sectional and analytical study using an electronic survey, conducted from September to December 2022, during the peak of the Mpox outbreak in Brazil. A total of 1452 MSM aged 18 and older. Data were collected via the REDCap platform through a survey with 46 questions. These addressed demographic data, sexual affiliations, practices, experiences with Mpox, healthcare service usage, and stigma or fear related to Mpox. The prevalence of chemsex was 19.42% (n=282). Multivariate Poisson modeling indicated a high incidence of chemsex among those diagnosed with Mpox and those involved in high-risk behaviors. The practice of chemsex was six times higher among those diagnosed with Mpox (95% CI: 4.73-9.10). MSM who engage in bugchasing had a prevalence twice that of the main outcome (95% CI: 1.31-3.16). There is a significant need for targeted interventions for MSM in Brazil, especially given the Mpox outbreak. This study highlights the strong relationships between chemsex, experiences with Mpox, and various sexual behaviors, underscoring the importance of effective public health initiatives.

Evaluation of humoral immune response after yellow fever infection: an observational study on patients from the 2017-2018 sylvatic outbreak in Brazil.

Between 2016 and 2018, Brazil experienced major sylvatic yellow fever (YF) outbreaks that caused hundreds of casualties, with Minas Gerais (MG) being the most affected state. These outbreaks provided a unique opportunity to assess the immune response triggered by the wild-type (WT) yellow fever virus (YFV) in humans. The plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT) is currently the standard method to assess the humoral immune response to YFV by measuring neutralizing antibodies (nAbs). The present study aimed to evaluate the humoral immune response of patients from the 2017-2018 sylvatic YF outbreak in MG with different disease outcomes by using PRNTs with a WT YFV strain, isolated from the 2017-2018 outbreak, and a vaccine YFV strain. Samples from naturally infected YF patients were tested, in comparison with healthy vaccinees. Results showed that both groups presented different levels of nAb against the WT and vaccine strains, and the levels of neutralization against the strains varied homotypically and heterotypically. Results based on the geometric mean titers (GMTs) suggest that the humoral immune response after a natural infection of YFV can reach higher levels than that induced by vaccination (GMT of patients against WT YFV compared to GMT of vaccinees, P < 0.0001). These findings suggest that the humoral immune responses triggered by the vaccine and WT strains of YFV are different, possibly due to genetic and antigenic differences between these viruses. Therefore, current means of assessing the immune response in naturally infected YF individuals and immunological surveillance methods in areas with intense viral circulation may need to be updated.IMPORTANCEYellow fever is a deadly febrile disease caused by the YFV. Despite the existence of effective vaccines, this disease still represents a public health concern worldwide. Much is known about the immune response against the vaccine strains of the YFV, but recent studies have shown that it differs from that induced by WT strains. The extent of this difference and the mechanisms behind it are still unclear. Thus, studies aimed to better understand the immune response against this virus are relevant and necessary. The present study evaluated levels of neutralizing antibodies of yellow fever patients from recent outbreaks in Brazil, in comparison with healthy vaccinees, using plaque reduction neutralization tests with WT and vaccine YFV strains. Results showed that the humoral immune response in naturally infected patients was higher than that induced by vaccination, thus providing new insights into the immune response triggered against these viruses.

Temporal and spatial analysis of over 7,000 measles cases outbreak from 2018 to 2019 in the Brazilian Amazon.

This study aimed to present a temporal and spatial analysis of the 2018 measles outbreak in Brazil, particularly in the metropolitan city of Manaus in the Amazon region, and further introduce a new tool for spatial analysis. We analyzed the geographical data of the residences of over 7,000 individuals with measles in Manaus during 2018 and 2019. Spatial and temporal analyses were conducted to characterize various aspects of the outbreak, including the onset and prevalence of symptoms, demographics, and vaccination status. A visualization tool was also constructed to display the geographical and temporal distribution of the reported measles cases. Approximately 95% of the included participants had not received vaccination within the past decade. Heterogeneity was observed across all facets of the outbreak, including variations in the incubation period and symptom presentation. Age distribution exhibited two peaks, occurring at one year and 18 years of age, and the potential implications of this distribution on predictive analysis were discussed. Additionally, spatial analysis revealed that areas with the highest case densities tended to have the lowest standard of living. Understanding the spatial and temporal spread of measles outbreaks provides insights for decision-making regarding measures to mitigate future epidemics.

Molecular characterization and toxigenic profiles of Bacillus cereus isolates from foodstuff and food poisoning outbreaks in Brazil.

Bacillus cereus sensu stricto (s.s.) is a well-known foodborne pathogen that produces a range of enterotoxins and is able to cause two different types of foodborne illnesses-the emetic and the diarrheal syndromes. In this study, 54 B. cereus s.s. strains isolated from foodstuff and foods involved in food poisoning outbreaks were characterized according to the presence of toxin-encoding genes, virulence-encoding genes, and panC typing. Most isolates were assigned to panC groups IV (61.1%) and III (25.9%), but members of groups II and V could also be found. Investigation of specific alleles revealed high numbers of isolates carrying toxin and other virulence genes including nheA (100%), nheB (100%), hblA (79.6%), hblC (79.6%), hblD (74.1%), cytK-2 (61.1%), clo (100%), pc-plc (75.9%), sph (68.5%), pi-plc (66.6%), hlyIII (62.9%), and hlyII (24.1%). All isolates were negative for ces and cytK-1. In summary, we detected various enterotoxin and other virulence factor genes associated with diarrheal syndrome in strains analyzed, implicated or not with food poisoning. Furthermore, the most isolates analyzed belong to high-risk phylogenetic groups' panC types III and IV. Our study provides a convenient molecular scheme for characterization of B. cereus s.s. strains responsible for food poisoning outbreaks in order to improve the monitoring and investigation and assess emerging clusters and diversity of strains.

Evidence supporting correlation between aging and dengue severity: A retrospective analysis on the 2010 dengue outbreak in Brazil

Objective: The aim of this study is to explore the role of aging and non-communicable diseases (NCDs) as potential risk factors for severe clinical manifestations of dengue. This investigation was conducted within a cohort of patients from the 2010 epidemic in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Methods: A total of 144 subjects diagnosed with dengue were categorized into two groups, representing the early and late (critical) stages of the disease. Further stratification was performed based on age, distinguishing between young and aged subjects. NCD subjects were also divided into young and aged groups. The symptomatology, previous clinical history, age, and presence of NCDs were inquired. Blood samples were collected for the analysis of platelet, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels. The Mann-Whitney test was explored for the comparison of two groups, whereas the Kruskal-Wallis test was used for the analysis of differences among the multiple groups. Categorical variables were examined by Chi-square test. Correlation assessments were conducted using binary logic regression analysis with a 95% confidence interval. P&lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: Compared to the younger subjects with NCDs, aged subjects exhibited a more severe form of dengue during the critical phase. The presence of NCDs was not associated with a worse dengue outcome in younger individuals, suggesting that aging itself maybe an important contributor to the severity of dengue. Conclusions: In the studied cohort, we emphasize that aging is a significant factor associated with severe manifestations of dengue. While we do not discard the potential role of NCDs in exacerbating disease progression, it may be more prominently impact the aged groups.

Analysis of congenital Zika syndrome clinicopathologic findings reported in the 8 years since the Brazilian outbreak

Aim: A Zika virus outbreak that began in Brazil, developed into an international public health emergency that extended from February 2015 until November 2016. Zika-infected pregnant women gave birth to a cohort of infants with congenital Zika syndrome (CZS) originally defined by severe microcephaly, retinal scarring, joint deformities, and hypertonia. This study examines the nature, extent, and severity of all CZS clinicopathologic findings described to date, compiled and analyzed by system. It reviews studies monitoring disease progression and proposing classification schemes for CZS stages. The teratogenic cellular and molecular mechanisms implicated in CZS pathogenesis are also discussed. Methods: A systematic review was conducted by literature search through WorldCat.org and ProQuest Central databases to identify studies on case series from the 2015–2016 CZS outbreak. Results: Twenty-six reports were included describing radiologic, ophthalmologic, audiologic, orthopedic, and laboratory test results in CZS cases including stillborns between 2016 and 2023. CZS neuropathology included prenatal and postnatal microcephaly, cerebral calcifications, quadriparesis, epilepsy, ventriculomegaly, reduced cerebral parenchyma, malformation of cortical development, and sleep electroencephalogram disturbances. Visual deficits were due to retinal and optic nerve lesions. Conductive and sensorineural hearing deficits were stable. Hypertonia, hypotonia, and spasticity with foot, hip, knee, and shoulder deformities resulted in arthrogryposis and restricted joint mobility. There was enlargement of immune organs, increased leukocyte counts, and cytokine dysregulation. Oro-craniofacial deformities affected the midface and caused dental eruption delay. Additional studies proposed that these systemic teratogenic effects could be attributable to transplacental Zika virus infection of multiple fetal progenitor cell lineages. Conclusions: The CZS-associated impairments in brain, eye, musculoskeletal, and immunologic functions caused disabilities that varied from moderate to severe, and significantly increased age-specific mortality rates. Further research is warranted to assess progression, classify stages, elucidate the precise molecular mechanisms mediating Zika teratogenicity, develop suitable therapeutic strategies, and design supportive social policies.

A reproducible ensemble machine learning approach to forecast dengue outbreaks

Dengue fever, a prevalent and rapidly spreading arboviral disease, poses substantial public health and economic challenges in tropical and sub-tropical regions worldwide. Predicting infectious disease outbreaks on a countrywide scale is complex due to spatiotemporal variations in dengue incidence across administrative areas. To address this, we propose a machine learning ensemble model for forecasting the dengue incidence rate (DIR) in Brazil, with a focus on the population under 19 years old. The model integrates spatial and temporal information, providing one-month-ahead DIR estimates at the state level. Comparative analyses with a dummy model and ablation studies demonstrate the ensemble model’s qualitative and quantitative efficacy across the 27 Brazilian Federal Units. Furthermore, we showcase the transferability of this approach to Peru, another Latin American country with differing epidemiological characteristics. This timely forecast system can aid local governments in implementing targeted control measures. The study advances climate services for health by identifying factors triggering dengue outbreaks in Brazil and Peru, emphasizing collaborative efforts with intergovernmental organizations and public health institutions. The innovation lies not only in the algorithms themselves but in their application to a domain marked by data scarcity and operational scalability challenges. We bridge the gap by integrating well-curated ground data with advanced analytical methods, addressing a significant deficiency in current practices. The successful transfer of the model to Peru and its consistent performance during the 2019 outbreak in Brazil showcase its scalability and practical application. While acknowledging limitations in handling extreme values, especially in regions with low DIR, our approach excels where accurate predictions are critical. The study not only contributes to advancing DIR forecasting but also represents a paradigm shift in integrating advanced analytics into public health operational frameworks. This work, driven by a collaborative spirit involving intergovernmental organizations and public health institutions, sets a precedent for interdisciplinary collaboration in addressing global health challenges. It not only enhances our understanding of factors triggering dengue outbreaks but also serves as a template for the effective implementation of advanced analytical methods in public health.

Typhoid Fever and Non-typhoidal Salmonella Outbreaks: A Portrait of Regional Socioeconomic Inequalities in Brazil.

Typhoid fever occurs in an endemic form in Brazil and is a serious public health problem in some regions. In this scenario, further research is urgently needed to identify the associations between socioeconomic factors and typhoid fever, contributing to guiding policy decisions in the country. We aimed to investigate the influence of socioeconomic disparities on the prevalence of typhoid fever and non-typhoidal Salmonella (NTS) in Brazil. A search for data from 2010 to 2019 was carried out with the national health and human development agencies. As milk and derivatives are the fourth food incriminated in food outbreaks in Brazil, analyses for detecting Salmonella spp. in commercial dairy products allowed us to assess whether the outbreaks associated with these foods are due to inadequacies in sanitary control in dairy establishments or whether they are mainly home-based outbreaks. Predictive models validated by the bootstrapping method demonstrate an association of NTS prevalence reduction with improvements in the Sanitation Service Index (Rv ≥ -8 0.686; p ≤ 0.01) and Municipal Human Development Index - MHDI - (Rv = -0.789; p ≤ 0.02). In the North, typhoid fever prevalence had seasonal variability with the rainfall, while sanitation services (Rv ≥-0.684; p ≤ 0.04) and MHDI (Rv ≥-0.949; p ≤ 0.003) directly influenced Northeast and South Brazil. Thus, the unequal distribution of investments in the sanitation sector contributed to disparities in typhoid fever prevalence among Brazilian regions. The absence of Salmonella spp. in commercial samples ratified the collected data that the outbreaks of Salmonella spp. in the Brazilian population occur mainly at residences. These findings show that implementing public health education and increasing investments in sanitation in regions with poor service can control outbreaks of Salmonella spp. in Brazilian endemic areas.