In this article I wish to suggest a new approach to an old question, the question whether knowing something entails the impossibility of being mistaken about its truth. It will lead to a negative answer to the question, but by a line of argument which will also contain a possible (and I think neglected) explanation why an affirmative answer is so tempting. I shall assume that knowledge is based on evidence, or (to speak more neutrally) restrict myself to such knowledge. The nature and cogency of the evidence is only indirectly my concern; so the term 'conclusive' will be used to indicate neither more nor less than the fact that someone's evidence for p is sufficient evidence for him to know p. What is being asked is whether, if someone has such evidence (and, let us say, infers p) he can falsely believe the truth of p. This is not always the same as asking whether p can, still less asking whether it could, be false, for that might be asking merely whether it was contingent. But of course 'it may be false that p' commonly is equivalent to may be wrong', namely when neither the first is meant as the trivial consequence of 'p is contingent' nor the second as that of 'you are right is contingent'. Certainly it is a necessary truth that if 'p' is known 'p' is true; and no doubt some people have confused this with a claim that if 'p' is known 'p' is a necessary truth.' But I hope to shew that there is more behind the demand for conclusiveness to exclude the possibility of error, and hence for a distinction between knowing and any kind of believing, than that confusion. The reason is that the rules for 'must be' and 'may be' in ordinary discourse do not coincide with those for the necessity and possibility of ordinary modal logic.2 That on the contrary they sometimes represent 'epistemic' modalities has of course been claimed by various philosophers (for instance, Frege), and everyone is indebted to Jaakko Hintikka for a systematisation of them.3 In this article the purpose is different. It is to shew how the usage of ordinary discourse does differ from that of modal logic without having to represent epistemic modalities. It is that difference, independent of any particular concepts of knowledge, which bears on our question of the relation of conclusive evidence to infallibility. So as to make the material clear it is presented not as reports of what can be thought about some situation involving or thought to involve knowledge and evidence but as explicit expressions of such thoughts by participants in the situation. To give the simplest of examples, we are going to be presented with conversations in which somebody says that
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