Observed Case Data Research Articles

403 Achievement of minimal disease activity is associated with improvements in symptoms, quality of life and treatment satisfaction in patients with atopic dermatitis

Abstract There is a need for clear criteria to guide treatment decisions and disease management in patients with atopic dermatitis (AD). The recently developed minimal disease activity (MDA) concept aims to optimize AD management through shared decision-making between patients and clinicians in a treat-to-target approach, and is based on consensus recommendations from 87 physicians and insights from 88 patients globally.This study aims to evaluate how achieving MDA affects outcomes in patients with AD. Observed-case data from three phase 3 clinical trials involving adolescents and adults with moderate-to-severe AD were integrated and analysed (NCT03568318, NCT03569293 and NCT03607422). The MDA criteria were applied to clinician-reported measures [Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI), SCORing of Atopic Dermatitis, validated Investigator Global Assessment, and body surface area] and patient-reported measures [Worst Pruritus Numerical Rating Scale (WP-NRS), Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure, Atopic Dermatitis Symptom Scale (ADerm-SS) Skin Pain score, Atopic Dermatitis Impact Scale (ADerm-IS) Sleep disturbance score, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and Dermatology Life Quality Index]. Patients were stratified into three mutually exclusive groups by achievement of treatment targets per measurement at week 16: (i) achieving the optimal target (i.e. MDA) criteria [e.g. EASI improvement ≥90% (EASI 90); WP-NRS ≤1], (ii) achieving the moderate but not optimal target criteria [e.g. EASI improvement ≥75% and <90%; WP-NRS improvement (reduction) ≥4 and WP-NRS >1] and (iii) not achieving either target criteria. Among the stratified target groups (optimal, moderate and neither), patients’ symptoms, quality of life, work productivity and treatment satisfaction were assessed based on achieving meaningful clinically important differences in ADerm-SS 7-item total symptom score (ADerm-SS TSS-7; improvement ≥28), ADerm-IS Daily Activities score (improvement ≥14), ADerm-IS Emotional State score (improvement ≥11), percentage-point improvement in Work Productivity and Activity Impairment (WPAI) Overall Work Productivity score and proportion reporting Patient Global Impressions of Treatment of ‘Extremely/Very Satisfied’. Stratified target groups were compared with a chi-squared or t-test for categorical or continuous variables, respectively, based on observed data. This analysis included 2392 patients. Patients in the optimal target (MDA) group based on EASI (EASI 90) vs. those in the moderate or neither target group had a higher proportion reporting meaningful improvements in ADerm-SS TSS-7 (optimal = 82.6% vs. moderate = 56.8% or neither = 27.4%; P < 0.001 for both comparisons), ADerm-IS Daily Activities (87.2% vs. 66.2% or 39.9%; both P < 0.001) and ADerm-IS Emotional State (86.1% vs. 67.1% or 36.8%; both P < 0.001); a greater percentage-point improvement in WPAI Overall Work Productivity (36.8% vs. 29.2% or 16.6%; both P < 0.01); and a higher proportion reporting being very/extremely satisfied with treatment (73.5% vs. 54.0% or 23.5%; both P < 0.001). Patients in the optimal target (MDA) group based on itch (WP-NRS ≤1) vs. those in the moderate or neither target group had a higher proportion reporting meaningful improvements in ADerm-SS TSS-7 (94.3% vs. 79.7% or 19.1%; both P < 0.001), ADerm-IS Daily Activities (97.3% vs. 84.7% or 33.6%; both P < 0.001) and ADerm-IS Emotional State (94.5% vs. 84.5% or 31.7%; both P < 0.001); a greater percentage-point improvement in WPAI Overall Work Productivity [39.7% vs. 35.2% (not significant) or 14.6% (P < 0.001)]; and a higher proportion reporting being very/extremely satisfied with treatment (79.7% vs. 60.5% or 26.8%; both P < 0.001). Trends were similar in other clinician- and patient-reported measures, with patients who achieved MDA generally reporting better outcomes. Achieving MDA from both a clinician and patient perspective was generally associated with greater improvements in AD symptoms, daily activities, emotional state, work productivity and higher satisfaction. These results demonstrate the value of achieving MDA and support implementing MDA in clinical practice to help improve the current standard of AD care.

Dengue transmission dynamics prediction by combining metapopulation networks and Kalman filter algorithm.

Predicting the specific magnitude and the temporal peak of the epidemic of individual local outbreaks is critical for infectious disease control. Previous studies have indicated that significant differences in spatial transmission and epidemic magnitude of dengue were influenced by multiple factors, such as mosquito population density, climatic conditions, and population movement patterns. However, there is a lack of studies that combine the above factors to explain their complex nonlinear relationships in dengue transmission and generate accurate predictions. Therefore, to study the complex spatial diffusion of dengue, this research combined the above factors and developed a network model for spatiotemporal transmission prediction of dengue fever using metapopulation networks based on human mobility. For improving the prediction accuracy of the epidemic model, the ensemble adjusted Kalman filter (EAKF), a data assimilation algorithm, was used to iteratively assimilate the observed case data and adjust the model and parameters. Our study demonstrated that the metapopulation network-EAKF system provided accurate predictions for city-level dengue transmission trajectories in retrospective forecasts of 12 cities in Guangdong province, China. Specifically, the system accurately predicts local dengue outbreak magnitude and the temporal peak of the epidemic up to 10 wk in advance. In addition, the system predicted the peak time, peak intensity, and total number of dengue cases more accurately than isolated city-specific forecasts. The general metapopulation assimilation framework presented in our study provides a methodological foundation for establishing an accurate system with finer temporal and spatial resolution for retrospectively forecasting the magnitude and temporal peak of dengue fever outbreaks. These forecasts based on the proposed method can be interoperated to better support intervention decisions and inform the public of potential risks of disease transmission.

Bimekizumab maintenance of response through 3 years in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis: results from the BE BRIGHT open-label extension trial

Given the chronic nature of psoriasis and the loss of response that can be observed with therapies over time, it is important to understand the long-term efficacy of new treatments. To evaluate maintenance of Week 16 responses with bimekizumab (BKZ) treatment through Year 3, in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. Data were pooled from BKZ-treated patients in the 52-week (BE VIVID) and 56-week (BE READY and BE SURE) phase III studies, and their ongoing open-label extension (OLE), BE BRIGHT. Efficacy outcomes are reported through 3 years of BKZ treatment in patients with an efficacy response at Week 16. Missing data were imputed primarily using modified nonresponder imputation (mNRI), with nonresponder imputation and observed case data also reported. A total of 989 patients were randomized to BKZ at baseline in BE VIVID, BE READY and BE SURE. At Week 16, 693 patients achieved ≥ 90% reduction from baseline in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90), 503 achieved 100% reduction from baseline in PASI (PASI 100), 694 achieved absolute PASI ≤ 2 and 597 achieved body surface area (BSA) ≤ 1%, and continued into the OLE. Of these, 93.0% maintained PASI 90, 80.8% maintained PASI 100, 94.0% maintained PASI ≤ 2 and 90.3% maintained BSA ≤ 1% responses through to 3 years of BKZ treatment (mNRI). Among Week 16 PASI 90 responders, 96.8% and 72.5% also achieved Investigator's Global Assessment 0/1 and PASI 100 at Week 16, respectively, and 92.2% and 73.4% achieved these responses at Year 3 (mNRI). Among Week 16 PASI 100 responders, 76.3% also achieved Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) 0/1 at Week 16, and DLQI 0/1 response increased with continuous BKZ treatment to 89.0% at Year 3 (mNRI). High levels of clinical response were maintained through to 3 years of BKZ treatment in the vast majority of Week 16 responders. Long-term treatment with BKZ was efficacious, with important benefits for health-related quality of life, in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.

The gradual release exit strategy after lockdown against COVID-19

The gradual release exit strategy after lockdown against COVID-19

Predicting re-emergence times of dengue epidemics at low reproductive numbers: DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro, 1986–1990

Predicting arbovirus re-emergence remains challenging in regions with limited off-season transmission and intermittent epidemics. Current mathematical models treat the depletion and replenishment of susceptible (non-immune) hosts as the principal drivers of re-emergence, based on established understanding of highly transmissible childhood diseases with frequent epidemics. We extend an analytical approach to determine the number of ‘skip’ years preceding re-emergence for diseases with continuous seasonal transmission, population growth and under-reporting. Re-emergence times are shown to be highly sensitive to small changes in low R0 (secondary cases produced from a primary infection in a fully susceptible population). We then fit a stochastic Susceptible–Infected–Recovered (SIR) model to observed case data for the emergence of dengue serotype DENV1 in Rio de Janeiro. This aggregated city-level model substantially over-estimates observed re-emergence times either in terms of skips or outbreak probability under forward simulation. The inability of susceptible depletion and replenishment to explain re-emergence under ‘well-mixed’ conditions at a city-wide scale demonstrates a key limitation of SIR aggregated models, including those applied to other arboviruses. The predictive uncertainty and high skip sensitivity to epidemiological parameters suggest a need to investigate the relevant spatial scales of susceptible depletion and the scaling of microscale transmission dynamics to formulate simpler models that apply at coarse resolutions.

P242 CZP improves work and household productivity and social participation over 1 year of treatment in patients with non-radiographic axSpA

Abstract Background Certolizumab pegol (CZP) treatment has been shown to significantly improve work and household productivity and social participation compared to placebo in active non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (nr-axSpA) patients up to 24 weeks. Here, we report the impact of CZP in combination with non-biologic background medication (NBBM) on signs and symptoms of nr-axSpA compared to placebo+NBBM. Methods C-axSpAnd (NCT02552212) is a 3-year, phase 3, multicentre study including a 52-week double-blind, placebo-controlled period (completed). Patients had active nr-axSpA, objective signs of inflammation (OSI; elevated CRP and/or positive MRI of the sacroiliac joint), previous inadequate response to ≥ 2 NSAIDs and were randomised 1:1 to CZP (400 mg at Weeks 0/2/4, then 200 mg every 2 weeks) or placebo. The validated arthritis-specific Work Productivity Survey (WPS) assessed the impact of nr-axSpA on work and household productivity and social participation. Missing data were imputed using last observation carried forward (LOCF) post hoc in the Full Analysis Set (randomised patients who received ≥1 dose of CZP). Results 317 patients were randomised (CZP: 159; placebo: 158). Mean age at baseline was 37.3 years and 51.4% of patients were female. At baseline, most patients were employed (CZP: 124 [77.8%]; placebo: 123 [78.0%]) and reported a mean 3.7 (CZP) and 3.5 (placebo) workdays missed per month due to disease (Table 1). By Week 12, work absenteeism substantially improved in the CZP group compared with placebo (0.9 vs 2.1 days missed per month, LOCF), with further improvements at Week 52 (0.3 vs 2.0 days missed per month, LOCF). Between Week 12 and Week 52, most placebo patients (104, 65.8%) switched to open-label CZP, impacting Week 52 imputed outcomes. Despite this, similar patterns of improvement following CZP treatment were seen for absenteeism, workdays with impaired productivity, household days with missed/reduced productivity and social participation between imputed and observed case data (Table 1). Improvements were similar between male and female patients (data not shown). Conclusion CZP treatment resulted in improvements in work and household productivity and social participation for nr-axSpA patients as early as Week 12 compared to background medication only, with benefits maintained to Week 52. Disclosures K. Gaffney: Other; Research Grants/Consultancy Fees from Abbvie, Biogen, Celgene, Gilead, Izana, Janssen, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB Pharma. A. Deodhar: Consultancies; AbbVie, Amgen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Glaxo Smith and Klein, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer and UCB. Grants/research support; BMS, Eli Lilly, Glaxo Smith & Kline, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer and UCB. L. Gensler: Consultancies; Galapagos, Eli Lilly and Janssen. Grants/research support; AbbVie, Amgen, Novartis, UCB Pharma. J. Kay: Consultancies; AbbVie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celltrion Healthcare, Horizon Therapeutics, Merck Sharp & Dohme, MorphoSys, Novartis, Pfizer, Samsung Bioepis, Sandoz and UCB Pharma. Grants/research support; Gilead Sciences, Novartis AG, Pfizer and UCB Pharma. W. Maksymowych: Other; Consultant and/or speaker fees and/or grants from AbbVie, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck, Pfizer, Synarc, Sanofi and UCB Pharma. N. Haroon: Consultancies; Abbvie, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis and UCB Pharma. R. Landewé: Consultancies; Abbott, Ablynx, Amgen, Astra-Zeneca, Bristol Myers Squibb, Centocor, GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis, Merck, Pfizer, Roche, Schering-Plough, UCB Pharma, Wyeth. Member of speakers’ bureau; Abbott, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Centocor, Merck, Pfizer, Roche, Schering-Plough, UCB Pharma, Wyeth. Grants/research support; Abbott, Amgen, Centocor, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Schering-Plough, UCB Pharma, Wyeth. M. Rudwaleit: Consultancies; Abbott, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Janssen, MSD, Pfizer, Roche, UCB Pharma. S. Hall: Other; Consulting fees/ research grants from AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Novartis, and UCB Pharma. L. Bauer: Other; Employee of UCB Pharma. B. Hoepken: Other; Employee of UCB Pharma. N. de Peyrecave: Other; Employee of UCB Pharma. T. Kumke: Other; Employee of UCB Pharma. D. van der Heijde: Consultancies; AbbVie, Amgen, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Celgene, Daiichi, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, Janssen, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Regeneron, Roche, Sanofi, and UCB. Other; Director of Imaging Rheumatology BV.

Clinical Improvements as Predictors of Improvements in Patient-Reported Outcomes: Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized, Open-Label Study of Etanercept in Latin American Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis.

BackgroundIn rheumatoid arthritis (RA), little is known about clinical responses to treatment as predictors of patient-reported outcome (PRO) changes. In this post hoc analysis, we examined the relationship between clinical outcomes at week 12 and PRO changes at week 24 in patients with RA.MethodsIn an open-label study, Latin American patients with moderate-to-severe RA and an inadequate response to methotrexate (MTX) were randomized to receive etanercept 50 mg/week plus MTX (ETN+MTX; n=281) or an additional conventional disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) plus MTX (DMARD+MTX; n=142) for 24 weeks. The PROs included Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ-DI), 36-item Short Form (SF-36), Physician and Patient Global Assessment scores (PGA, PtGA), Physician and Patient Satisfaction, and an activity impairment assessment. PRO changes at week 24 were calculated by week-12 improvements using the American College of Rheumatology criteria (ACR <20, ≥20 to <50, ≥50 to <70, and ≥70) and the 28-joint Disease Activity Scores (DAS28 ≥3.2, ≥2.6 to <3.2, and <2.6). Observed-cases data were analyzed using an ANCOVA model with linear contrast, adjusted for baseline PRO and ACR/DAS28 values.ResultsFor both ETN+MTX- and DMARD+MTX-treated patients, there was a significant linear trend between week-12 changes in ACR and DAS28 responses and week-24 changes in HAQ-DI (P<0.001 for all), with numerical improvements generally favoring ETN+MTX. Similar relationships were observed for SF-36, PGA, PtGA, Physician Satisfaction, Patient Satisfaction, and activity impairment.ConclusionsIn patients with RA, clinical response after 12 weeks of treatment with ETN+MTX or DMARD+MTX could be a predictor of week-24 response for several PROs.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00848354.

Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales: Model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk

Highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 remains a persistent public health threat, capable of causing infection in humans with a high mortality rate while simultaneously negatively impacting the livestock industry. A central question is to determine regions that are likely sources of newly emerging influenza strains with pandemic causing potential. A suitable candidate is Bangladesh, being one of the most densely populated countries in the world and having an intensifying farming system. It is therefore vital to establish the key factors, specific to Bangladesh, that enable both continued transmission within poultry and spillover across the human–animal interface. We apply a modelling framework to H5N1 epidemics in the Dhaka region of Bangladesh, occurring from 2007 onwards, that resulted in large outbreaks in the poultry sector and a limited number of confirmed human cases. This model consisted of separate poultry transmission and zoonotic transmission components. Utilising poultry farm spatial and population information a set of competing nested models of varying complexity were fitted to the observed case data, with parameter inference carried out using Bayesian methodology and goodness-of-fit verified by stochastic simulations. For the poultry transmission component, successfully identifying a model of minimal complexity, which enabled the accurate prediction of the size and spatial distribution of cases in H5N1 outbreaks, was found to be dependent on the administration level being analysed. A consistent outcome of non-optimal reporting of infected premises materialised in each poultry epidemic of interest, though across the outbreaks analysed there were substantial differences in the estimated transmission parameters. The zoonotic transmission component found the main contributor to spillover transmission of H5N1 in Bangladesh was found to differ from one poultry epidemic to another. We conclude by discussing possible explanations for these discrepancies in transmission behaviour between epidemics, such as changes in surveillance sensitivity and biosecurity practices.

Safety, tolerability, and efficacy of vortioxetine (Lu AA21004) in major depressive disorder

Patients with major depressive disorder often experience relapse after responding to treatment; therefore, maintenance therapy with antidepressants is recommended for maintaining response or remission. This multicenter, open-label, flexible-dose, 52-week extension study evaluated the long-term safety, tolerability, and maintenance of efficacy in study participants who had completed one of two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 8-week dose-ranging vortioxetine trials in study participants with major depressive disorder. At the open-label baseline, all study participants were switched to vortioxetine 5 mg/day for the first week, with subsequent dose adjustments from 2.5 to 10 mg/day on the basis of response and tolerability. Treatment with vortioxetine for 52 weeks was well tolerated, with no new safety signals identified. Among the 834 evaluable study participants, treatment-emergent adverse events were reported in 70.6%, with the most common in the combined (all doses) population of nausea (15.2%), headache (12.4%), nasopharyngitis (9.8%), diarrhea (7.2%), and dizziness (6.8%). The rate of adverse events related to sexual dysfunction was low and weight gain was minimal. Laboratory values, vital signs, ECGs, physical examinations, and Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale results showed no trends of clinical concern. The change in the severity of depressive and anxiety symptoms was maintained throughout the study as reflected by a 24-item Hamilton Depression Scale total score of 8.2 at week 52 (from 17.6 at open-label baseline) in the observed case data set.

Aripiprazole in the Treatment of Irritability in Pediatric Patients (Aged 6–17 Years) with Autistic Disorder: Results from a 52-Week, Open-Label Study

To report the long-term efficacy of aripiprazole in the treatment of irritability in children and adolescents (ages 6-17 years) with autistic disorder. This was a 52-week, open-label, flexible-dose (2-15 mg/day) study of aripiprazole for the treatment of children and adolescents with irritability associated with autistic disorder. Eligible subjects were enrolled from two 8-week randomized trials or were enrolled as de novo subjects. "Prior aripiprazole" subjects had received treatment with aripiprazole for 8 weeks before entering this study. Evaluation of efficacy, a secondary objective after evaluation of safety and tolerability in this study, was conducted using the caregiver-rated Aberrant Behavior Checklist-Irritability subscale and the clinician-rated Clinical Global Impression-Improvement score. Three hundred thirty subjects received treatment (de novo, n = 86; prior aripiprazole, n = 174; prior placebo, n = 70) and 199 subjects (60.3%) completed 52 weeks of treatment. At their last study visit, 38.2% of subjects were receiving concomitant central nervous system medications (commonly antidepressants, 13.4%; psychostimulants, 11.5%; antiepileptics, 5.9%). At week 52 (observed cases data set), the mean change from baseline in Aberrant Behavior Checklist Irritability subscale scores was -8.0 in de novo subjects and -6.1 in prior placebo subjects; prior aripiprazole subjects maintained symptom improvement that was achieved with treatment in the prior study. At endpoint, the majority of subjects had a Clinical Global Impressions-Improvement score of 2 (much improved) or 1 (very much improved). Aripiprazole reduced symptoms of irritability associated with autistic disorder in pediatric subjects ages 6-17 years who were studied for up to 1 year.

Cholinesterase inhibitors for Parkinson's disease dementia

The loss of cholinergic, dopaminergic and noradrenergic innervations seen in Parkinson's Disease Dementia (PDD) suggest a potential role for cholinesterase inhibitors. Concerns have been expressed about a theoretical worsening of Parkinson's disease related symptoms particularly movement symptoms. To assess the efficacy, safety, tolerability and health economic data relating to the use of cholinesterase inhibitors in PDD. The trials were identified from the Specialized Register of the Cochrane Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group on 19 April 2005 using the search term parkinson*This register contains records from major health care databases and many ongoing trial databases and is updated regularly.Comprehensive searches of abstracts from major scientific meetings were performed. Pharmaceutical companies were approached for information regarding additional and ongoing studies. Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies assessing the effectiveness of cholinesterase inhibitors in PDD. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were stated to limit bias. Two reviewers (IM, CF) independently reviewed the quality of the studies utilising criteria from the Cochrane Collaboration Handbook. Medications were examined separately and as a group. The outcome measures assessed were in the following domains: neuropsychiatric features, cognition, global impression, daily living activities, quality of life, burden on caregiver, Parkinsonian related symptoms, treatment acceptability as determined by withdrawal from trials, safety as determined by the frequency of adverse events, institutionalisation, death and health economic factors. A detailed and systematic search of relevant databases identified one published randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study (Emre 2004) involving 541 patients that compared rivastigmine with placebo. Rivastigmine produced statistically significant improvements in several outcome measures. On the primary cognitive measure, the ADAS-Cog, rivastigmine was associated with a 2.80 point ADAS-Cog improvement [WMD -2.80, 95% Cl -4.26 to -1.34, P = 0.0002] and a 2.50 point ADCS-ADL improvement [95% Cl 0.43 to 4.57, P = 0.02] relative to placebo. Clinically meaningful (moderate or marked) improvement occurred in 5.3% more patients on rivastigmine, and meaningful worsening occurred in 10.1% more patients on placebo. Tolerability appeared to be a significant issue. Significantly more patients on rivastigmine dropped out of the study due to adverse events [62/362 versus 14/179, OR 2.44, 95% Cl 1.32 to 4.48, P = 0.004]. Nausea [20/179 versus 105/362, OR 3.25, 95% Cl 1.94 to 5.45, P < 0.00001], tremor [7/179 versus 37/362, OR 2.80, 95% Cl 1.22 to 6.41, P = 0.01] and in particular vomiting [3/179 versus 60/362, OR 11.66, 95% Cl 3.60 to 37.72, P < 0.0001] were significantly more common with rivastigmine. However, significantly fewer patients died on rivastigmine than placebo [4/362 versus 7/179, OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.08 to 0.95, P = 0.04] Rivastigmine appears to improve cognition and activities of daily living in patients with PDD. This results in clinically meaningful benefit in about 15% of cases. There is a need for more studies utilising pragmatic measures such as time to residential care facility and both patient and carer quality of life assessments. Future trials should involve other cholinesterase inhibitors, utilise tools to analyse the data that limit any bias and measure health economic factors. It is unlikely that relying solely on the last observation carried forward (LOCF) is sufficient. Publication of the observed case data in the largest trial would assist (Emre 2004). Adverse events were associated with the cholinergic activity of rivastigmine, but may limit patient acceptability as evidenced by the high drop out rate in the active arm.

Galantamine for Alzheimer's disease.

Galantamine (also called galanthamine, marketed as Reminyl (Janssen)) can be isolated from several plants, including daffodil bulbs, and now synthesized. Galantamine is a specific, competitive, and reversible acetylcholinesterase inhibitor. It is also an allosteric modulator at nicotinic cholinergic receptor sites potentiating cholinergic nicotinic neurotransmission. A small number of early studies showed mild cognitive and global benefits for patients with Alzheimer's disease, and recently several multicentre clinical trials have been published with positive findings. Galantamine has received regulatory approval in Sweden, is available in Austria, and awaits marketing approval in the United States, Europe, and other countries. The objective of this review is to assess the clinical effects of galantamine in patients with probable Alzheimer's disease, and to investigate potential moderators of an effect. The Cochrane Dementia Group specialized register of clinical trials was searched using the terms 'galantamine,' and 'galanthamine' (15 February 2000) as was the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register (2000, Issue 2). These terms were also used to search the following databases: EMBASE, MEDLINE, PsychLit; Combined Health Information Database, NRR (National Research Register), ADEAR (Alzheimer's Disease Education and Referral Centre clinical database, BIOMED (Biomedicine and Health), Glaxo-Wellcome Clinical Trials Register, National Institutes of Health Clinical Trials Databases, Current Controlled Trials, Dissertation Abstracts (mainly North American dissertations) 1961-1994, Index to UK Theses (British dissertations) 1970-1994. Published reviews were inspected for further sources. Additional information was collected from an unpublished investigational brochure for galantamine. Trials selected were randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, and unconfounded comparisons of galantamine with placebo for a treatment duration of greater than 4 weeks in people with Alzheimer's disease. Data were extracted independently by the reviewers and pooled where appropriate and possible. The pooled odds ratios (95%CI) or the average differences (95%CI) were estimated. Intention-to-treat and observed cases data were both reported, if the data were available to be reported. -Outcomes of interest include the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-cog), clinical global impression of change (CIBIC-plus or CGIC), Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study/Activities of Daily Living (ADCS-ADL), Disability Assessment for Dementia scale (DAD) and Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI). - Potential moderating variables of a treatment effect included trial duration and dose. Seven trials were identified that met criteria for entry, with 6 being Phase II or III industry-sponsored multicentre trials. One was of 12 weeks duration; one of 5 months; one of 29 weeks; and the rest of 6 months duration. Trials of 5 months or more were aggregated in the analyses as '6 months'. Overall, galantamine showed significant treatment effects at daily doses of 16-32 mg/d for trials of 3- to 6-months duration. For global ratings, trials of 3 months duration with doses of 24-32mg/d (Odds Ratio (OR) 2.2; 95%CI 1.4 to 3.7) and 36mg/d (OR 3.3; 95%CI 1.2 to 9.3) were statistically significant in favour of treatment. For trials of 6 months duration (5-months to 29 weeks), only doses of 8mg/d failed to be statistically significant (24mg: OR 2.0; 95%CI 1.5 to2.5; 32mg: OR 1.9; 95%CI 1.4 to 2.5). For cognitive function over 6 months duration: at a 24mg/d, improvements measured -3.5 points (k=3; 95%CI -4.3 to -2.8) on weighted mean difference on the ADAS-Cog scale, and -4.0 points at 32mg/d (k=2; 95%CI -5.0 to -3.0). Both observed cases (WMD 3.8; 95%CI 0.3 to 7.3) and intention to treat analyses using the Disability Assessment of Dementia gave statistically significant results in favour of treatment for daily doses of 32mg for 6 months duration. The small number of trials available for analysis, however, limited the power of analyses to detect differences. Galantamine consistently failed to show statistically significant treatment effects at doses of 8mg/day. Galantamine's adverse effects appear similar to those of other cholinesterase inhibitors, in that it tends to produce gastrointestinal effects acutely and with dosage increases. Overall, people treated with galantamine at doses of 24-32 mg/d were more likely to discontinue participation in most trials than were people treated with lower doses or placebo, but in the one trial with a slower rate of titration the discontinuation rate was not significantly greater than placebo for the 16 mg/day dose. (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED)