This work addresses the problem of improving the surface quality of parts of rotation bodies, which are made of hardened steels, in the course of their machining on lathes with numerical program control. The research object was the surface roughness of parts. The methodology involved system analysis and synthesis, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, experiment, and processing of experimental results. A decomposition scheme for the expert system structure was developed, which can be used as the basis for formulating requirements to a future expert system for monitoring and prediction of roughness parameters. It was established that the models currently applied to describe the relationship between surface quality and the technological regimes used to ensure the technological level of roughness give a high error of over 20%. The possibility of using models that apply artificial intelligence and contain neural network blocks and decision-making devices based on fuzzy logic is substantiated. It is shown that such a combination makes it possible to customize the system for processing parts of a certain production range, as well as a more correct assessment of the onset of catastrophic wear of cutting tools. The neuro-fuzzy model was confirmed to have an error of less than 10%, which is significantly lower than when using spectral or correlation models. According to the testing results, the proposed expert system for monitoring and prediction of roughness parameters enables a 2.5-fold reduction in the scatter of roughness parameters under an increase in tool wear, compared to without its application. Thus, the proposed system makes it possible to assess the level of cutting tool wear more correctly and determine the onset of its limit state.