North Atlantic Ocean Circulation Research Articles

Revisiting the multidecadal variability of North Atlantic Ocean circulation and climate

The World Ocean’s surface, particularly in the North Atlantic, has been heating up for decades. There was concern that the thermohaline circulation and essential climate variables, such as the temperature and salinity of seawater, could undergo substantial changes in response to this surface warming. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has changed noticeably over the last centennial and possibly slowed down in recent decades. Therefore, concerns about the future of the North Atlantic Ocean climate are warranted. The key to understanding the North Atlantic current climate trajectory is to identify how the decadal climate responds to ongoing surface warming. This issue is addressed using in-situ data from the World Ocean Atlas covering 1955-1964 to 2005-2017 and from the SODA reanalysis project for the most recent decades of 1980-2019 as fingerprints of the North Atlantic three-dimensional circulation and AMOC’s dynamics. It is shown that although the entire North Atlantic is systematically warming, the climate trajectories in different sub-regions of the North Atlantic reveal radically different characteristics of regional decadal variability. There is also a slowdown of the thermohaline geostrophic circulation everywhere in the North Atlantic during the most recent decade. The warming trends in the subpolar North Atlantic lag behind the subtropical gyre and Nordic Seas warming by at least a decade. The climate and circulation in the North Atlantic remained robust from 1955-1994, with the last two decades (1995-2017) marked by a noticeable reduction in AMOC strength, which may be closely linked to changes in the geometry and strength of the Gulf Stream system.

Increasing impact of North Atlantic Ocean circulation on sedimentary processes along the passive Galicia Margin (NW Spain) over the past 40 million years

Increasing impact of North Atlantic Ocean circulation on sedimentary processes along the passive Galicia Margin (NW Spain) over the past 40 million years

Archaeology, rapid climate changes in the Holocene, and adaptive strategies

The article presents the concepts of repeating cycles of rapid climate variability in the Holocene, including rapid cooling cycles, cold events, ice-rafting events, and rapid climate change recorded in palaeoclimate archives. It also discusses the concepts of adaptation strategies embedded in the catastrophic scenarios of collapse on the one hand, and panarchy, resilience, and adaptation cycle on the other, i.e. the processes of transforming social hierarchical structures into dynamic, adaptive entities. In the rapid climate change series we focus on the 9.2 ka and 8.2 ka climate events associated with the Neolithisation process and the transition to farming. The 5.9 IRD event and/or period of rapid climate change from 6000–5200 cal yr BP are associated with the cultural, economic, and demographic collapse of the Early Neolithic Linear Pottery culture in central and western Europe. We also discuss the triad of recent weakening of North Atlantic ocean circulation, decreased solar activity, and the hypothesised transition to a cold period, the well-known historical scenario associated with the transition to Little Ice Age between 1450 and 1850.

Impacts of the North Atlantic biases on the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere over the extratropical North Pacific

The winter upper troposphere/lower stratosphere temperature/vertical motion response over the extratropical North Pacific induced by North Atlantic changes is not well understood. Here, using robust diagnostic calculations conducted in a fully coupled high-resolution climate model, we correct the North Atlantic ocean circulation biases and show that during wintertime, the North Atlantic cold surface temperature biases lead to a warmer upper troposphere/lower stratosphere over the extratropical North Pacific. In the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere over the extratropical North Pacific, this winter warming temperature response is linked to the vertical motion response through a simple leading order thermodynamic relationship between changes in the horizontal advection and adiabatic heating. The upper troposphere/lower stratosphere vertical motion response, which is also associated with the North Atlantic induced Walker circulation response over the tropical North Pacific, can provide a rough estimation of the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere warming response over the extratropical North Pacific.

North Atlantic Ocean Circulation and Related Exchange of Heat and Salt Between Water Masses

AbstractThe meridional transport of mass, heat, and salt in the North Atlantic Ocean is often described for separate regions and parts, but rarely are all components of the circulation followed at once. Lagrangian trajectories have here been used to divide the North Atlantic Ocean circulation into four different pathways. In the boundary between the Subpolar and Subtropical Gyres, we show that the northward flowing waters exchange heat and salt with the water originating from the subpolar regions. This subsurface water mass exchange takes place in the first 1,000 m and is a key piece of the puzzle of how the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation transports heat and salt. Between 30° and 60°N the northward flowing water loses 8.8 Gg/s salt to the Subpolar Gyre and an equivalent loss of only 1.7 Gg/s to the atmosphere due to the net fresh water influx.

Younger Dryas and early Holocene climate in south Greenland inferred from oxygen isotopes of chironomids, aquatic Moss, and Moss cellulose

Ice core records have long indicated that the Younger Dryas began and ended with large, abrupt climate shifts over Greenland. Key climatic features remain unknown, including the magnitude of warming during the Younger Dryas-Holocene transition along with the seasonality and spatial variability of Younger Dryas climate changes across Greenland. Here, we use geochemical and paleoecological proxies from lake sediments at Lake N14 in south Greenland to address these outstanding questions. Radiocarbon dating and diatom assemblages confirm early deglaciation and isolation of Lake N14 before ∼13,600 cal yr BP, consistent with previous work. Oxygen isotope ratios (δ18O) of chironomid head capsules, bulk aquatic moss, and aquatic moss-derived cellulose are used to reconstruct oxygen isotopes of past lake water and annual precipitation. Oxygen isotope proxies indicate annual precipitation δ18O values increased by 5.9–7.7‰ at the end of the Younger Dryas. Following the Younger Dryas, moss and cellulose δ18O values show a clear decline in precipitation δ18O values of 2–3‰ from ∼11,540–11,340 cal yr BP that may correspond with the Preboreal Oscillation. Reconstructed precipitation δ18O values then gradually increased from 11,300–10,100 cal yr BP. All three aquatic organic materials register similar shifts in precipitation δ18O values over time, and they closely parallel the δ18O shifts observed in ice cores. This evidence strongly supports the utility of these methods for reconstructing lake water δ18O, and furthermore precipitation δ18O values where lake water reflects precipitation. The relatively large shift in isotopic composition of precipitation at Lake N14 suggests that shifts in temperature, precipitation seasonality, and/or moisture sources at the end of the Younger Dryas were even larger in south Greenland than they were in central Greenland, most likely because of the proximity to major changes in North Atlantic Ocean circulation. The annual air temperature change estimated at Lake N14 at the end of the Younger Dryas is also very large (∼18 ± 7 °C) compared to the summer warming previously inferred from chironomid species assemblages there (∼6 °C). This indicates that the strongest warming at the end of the Younger Dryas occurred in the winter season, consistent with past observations of intensified Younger Dryas seasonality at Lake N14 and elsewhere in Greenland.

Multidecadal Water Mass Dynamics on the West Greenland Shelf

AbstractThe waters on the West Greenland continental shelf and slope play an important role in the global climate system with their link to the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean circulation system and the Greenland Ice Sheet. Lately, low temperature waters on the West Greenland shelf have been observed as far south as ∼64°N and associated with a cold and relatively saline water mass originating north of Davis Strait in Baffin Bay referred to as Baffin Bay Polar Water (BBPW). Here we use long, seasonal hydrographic time series from West Greenland at ∼64°N to study how frequently BBPW is reaching this far south. The analysis covers the period 1950–2018 with a data gap between 1988 and 2005. BBPW was observed frequently and was responsible for the temperature changes observed in the late 1960s–1980s and more intermittently post‐2008. Some of the large temperature changes we observe in the time series have previously been ascribed to “Great Salinity Anomalies” (GSAs) propagating around the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean circulation system. The prevailing view of the propagation of GSAs has been ascribed to advection of anomalies along the large‐scale circulation system. Our study shows that BBPW may play an important role in the interpretation of GSAs and melt of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Large temporal temperature changes at ∼64°N are associated with arrival of BBPW from the north and not advection of anomalies with the large‐scale current system from the south. This advocates for a shift in water masses caused by changes in the position and/or strength of oceanic currents.

Interannual Variability and Multiyear Trends of Sea Surface Salinity in the Amazon‐Orinoco Plume Region From Satellite Observations and an Ocean Reanalysis

AbstractThe Amazon and Orinoco Rivers form the largest river system on Earth with wide‐reaching impacts on the biophysical climate of the region. Based on 11 years of satellite observations, here we show strong interannual variability of sea surface salinity (SSS) in the plume region that is about three times larger than in the surrounding region. This variability has been driven mainly by changes in horizontal advection of the plume with smaller contributions from precipitation, river discharge, and vertical mixing. Interannual variability of horizontal advection occurs mainly near the eastern boundary of the plume region and especially in the latitude range of the North Equatorial Countercurrent (3°–10°N). The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) strongly modulate SSS in the plume region during the boreal spring‐summer (flood) and fall‐winter (dry) seasons, respectively, through their impacts on the tropical North Atlantic Ocean circulation. Overall, the NAO exerts a stronger influence on plume SSS than ENSO. The plume SSS also shows a significant upward trend during 2010–2016, corresponding to transitions of the NAO and ENSO from negative to positive phases. This was followed by a downward trend during 2017–2020 when both the NAO and ENSO decreased from their 2015–2016 peaks. These results show that year‐to‐year changes in the spatial mean SSS of the Amazon‐Orinoco plume are driven mainly by large‐scale climate forcings and their associated imprints on tropical Atlantic Ocean circulation and very little by changes in river outflow and associated rainfall over land.

The Yorktown Formation: Improved Stratigraphy, Chronology, and Paleoclimate Interpretations from the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain

The Yorktown Formation records paleoclimate conditions along the mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain during the mid-Piacenzian Warm Period (3.264 to 3.025 Ma), a climate interval of the Pliocene in some ways analogous to near future climate projections. To gain insight into potential near future changes, we investigated Yorktown Formation outcrops and cores in southeastern Virginia, refining the stratigraphic framework. We analyzed 485 samples for alkenone-based sea surface temperature (SST) and productivity estimates from the Holland and Dory cores, an outcrop at Morgarts Beach, Virginia, and the lectostratotype of the Yorktown Formation at Rushmere, Virginia, and analyzed planktonic foraminferal assemblage data from the type section. Using the structure of the SST record, we improved the chronology of the Yorktown Formation by establishing the maximum age ranges of the Rushmere (3.3–3.2 Ma) and Morgarts Beach (3.2–3.15 Ma) Members. SST values for these members average ~26 °C, corroborating existing sclerochronological data. Increasing planktonic foraminifer abundance, productivity, and species diversity parallel increasing SST over the MIS M2/M1 transition. These records constitute the greatest temporal concentration of paleoecological estimates within the Yorktown Formation, aiding our understanding of western North Atlantic temperature patterns, seasonality and ocean circulation during this interval. We provide a chronologic framework for future studies analyzing ecological responses to profound climate change.

North Atlantic Deep Water during Pleistocene interglacials and glacials

The global ocean overturning circulation is a major means of distributing heat around the Earth, and an important trigger or amplifier of climate change. This study presents a 1.5-Myr-long neodymium (Nd) isotope record of Deep Sea Drilling Project Site 607, in the core of present-day North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW), the water mass that drives the overturning circulation and its Atlantic end-member (Broecker, 1991; Gordon, 1991), in order to document its composition through time. This time interval is marked by major changes in fundamental aspects of the Earth's climate, including the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT) from ∼41-kyr to ∼100-kyr interglacial-glacial cycles and more intense glacials. The new record, mainly focusing on interglacial and glacial peaks, shows a pattern that mimics the record of benthic foraminiferal δ18O (Lisiecki and Raymo, 2005) in that the magnitude of interglacial-glacial Nd isotope shifts were smaller in the 41-kyr world than in the 100-kyr world. During the “900 ka event” (Clark et al., 2006), between ∼960 and 860 ka, marking the first 100-kyr interglacial-glacial cycle, the Nd isotope ratios shift abruptly to higher values, consistent with increased incursion of Southern Ocean water masses into the deep North Atlantic. This pattern was previously observed in the South Atlantic over the same time interval and interpreted as a weakened presence of NADW signal that reflected a period of disrupted deep ocean overturning circulation, termed the “MPT-AMOC crisis” (Pena and Goldstein, 2014). The Site 607 data support this interpretation and show the effects to be basin-wide. Following the disruption, an enhanced southern-sourced Nd isotope signature remained for ∼200 kyr during the period of “lukewarm interglacials” (Howe and Piotrowski, 2017; Jaccard et al., 2013), consistent with weaker overturning circulation. With the exception of this “MPT-AMOC crisis and recovery” interval, the Nd isotope ratios during interglacial peaks have been similar to present-day NADW, indicating similar interglacial North Atlantic ocean circulation dynamics both before and after the MPT. This contrasts with the pattern during glacial periods of the 100-kyr world, during which Nd isotopes have continued to follow the pattern of the 900-kyr event indicating a strong southern water mass signal, interpreted as intensified incursions of Southern Ocean water into the deep North Atlantic and consistent with a generally weaker overturning circulation during glacials.

Late Miocene contourite depositional system of the Gulf of Cádiz: The sedimentary signature of the paleo-Mediterranean Outflow Water

Late Miocene contourite deposits related to the paleo-Mediterranean Outflow Water (MOW) were identified in the Betic and Rifian corridors prior to the restriction of the Mediterranean-Atlantic gateway during the latest Miocene. In this study, we identified for the first time their downstream continuation in the Gulf of Cádiz through seismic stratigraphic analysis and the interpretation of contourite diagnostic features. The late Miocene contourite depositional system (CDS) consists of three stages (initial-, growth-, and maintenance-drift) which recorded the late Tortonian to early Messinian evolution from weak to vigorous bottom current flow in the Gulf of Cádiz prior to its cessation in the middle to late Messinian, represented by the buried-drift stage. Development of the CDS in the Gulf of Cádiz is coeval to a period when the continental margins were affected by regional deformation. Tectonism and diapirism, on top of sedimentary and climatic factors, exerted control on drift distribution and dimensions. However, dataset limitations hindered detailed analysis on the effect of deformation on CDS evolution. Overall, the long-term evolution of the late Miocene CDS across the Gulf of Cádiz towards the West Iberian margin suggests strengthening of paleo-MOW during the late Miocene which has significant impact on the North Atlantic ocean circulation and the late Miocene global cooling trend.

Holocene Evolution of Sea‐Surface Temperature and Salinity in the Gulf of Mexico

AbstractFlows into and out of the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) are integral to North Atlantic Ocean circulation and help facilitate poleward heat transport in the Western Hemisphere. The GoM also serves as a key source of moisture for most of North America. Modern patterns of sea‐surface temperature (SST) and salinity in the GoM are influenced by the Loop Current, its eddy‐shedding dynamics, and the ensuing interplay with coastal processes. Here, we present sub‐centennial‐scale records of SST and stable oxygen isotope composition of seawater (18Osw; a proxy for salinity) over the past 11,700 years using planktic foraminiferal geochemistry in sediments from the Garrison Basin, northwestern GoM. We measured O and magnesium‐to‐calcium ratios in tests of Globigerinoides ruber (white) to generate quantitative estimates of past sea‐surface conditions. Our results replicate and extend late Holocene reconstructions from the Garrison Basin, using which we then create composites of SST and 18Osw. We find considerable centennial and millennial‐scale variability in both SST and 18Osw, although their evolution over the Holocene is distinct. Whereas mean‐annual SSTs display pronounced millennial‐scale variability, 18Osw exhibits a secular trend spanning multiple millennia and points to increasing northwestern GoM surface salinity since the early Holocene. We then synthesize the available Holocene records from across the GoM and alongside the Garrison Basin composite uncover substantial, yet regionally consistent, spatiotemporal variability. Finally, we discuss the role of the Loop Current and coastal influx of freshwater in imposing these heterogeneities. We conclude that dynamic surface‐ocean changes occurred across the GoM over the Holocene.

Trends and centennial-scale variability of surface water temperatures in the North Atlantic during the Holocene

Two sediment cores retrieved off North Iceland (western Nordic Seas) and on the eastern flank of Reykjanes Ridge (Iceland Basin) were analyzed to generate high-resolution alkenone-derived sea surface temperature (SST) records to investigate North Atlantic Ocean circulation changes during the Holocene. Early Holocene SSTs off North Iceland were unstable (10 ± 1 °C) and 3 °C warmer than today reflecting active northward heat transport of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) interrupted by intermittent Polar Waters incursions onto the North Icelandic shelf. The Holocene thermal optimum occurred synchronously east of Reykjanes Ridge, with a mean value of 11.5 °C (±0.5 °C) similar to today, consistent with a sustained influence of AMOC. Both records indicate that the circulation across the North Atlantic intensified between 8000 and 7000 yr BP. Thereafter, SSTs in the two basin sites broadly depict opposing trends and centennial-scale oscillations and a notable cooling at ∼5300 yr BP that coincides with Bond 4 event and the temporary collapse of the deep-water circulation. From 2500 yr BP onwards, SSTs in the Iceland Basin and the western Nordic Seas diverge leading to a marked cooling/warming dipole resulting in a temperature difference today of 4.5 °C. We show that SST trends and centennial-scale variability reflect variations of the subpolar gyre (SPG) circulation linked to drifting ice events and convection changes in the Labrador and Nordic Seas.

Holocene sea-level changes of the Persian Gulf

High-resolution shallow seismic information supported by sedimentological and geochemical data from sediment cores has been used for reconstruction of Holocene sea-level changes along the northern coast of the Persian Gulf. These investigations in the area of the North Qeshm Island Waterway (NQIW) near the Strait of Hormuz reveal a series of five prominent sea-level fluctuations starting with the second phase of regional postglacial sea-level rise recorded between 15.0 ka and 9.5 ka (ka = thousands of years before present). Based on our study, sea-level had reached −22 m before 9.1 ka. Postglacial sea level high-stand in the study area has been dated to have occurred around 6.0 ka, which was followed by a relative sea-level fall coeval with a regional climate change from humid to arid conditions at about 5.4 ka. After a renewed, but relatively short period of sea level rise associated with climate changes around 4.35 ka, sea-level fell again at about 3.3 ka and remained relatively stable from 3.2 ka until the present. We conclude that major sea-level changes in the Persian Gulf coincided with sea-level fluctuations in the Indian Ocean and observed changes in North Atlantic Ocean and atmospheric circulation and Greenland Ice Sheet melting. Thus, despite of regional tectonic instability, regional sea-level stand in the Persian Gulf has been controlled mainly by eustatic sea-level changes of the global ocean.

Arctic Ocean Freshening Linked to Anthropogenic Climate Change: All Hands on Deck

AbstractArctic Ocean freshwater storage increased since the mid‐1990s, but the cause was unknown. Jahn and Laiho (2020, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088854) use ensemble runs of a coupled climate model to suggest that the observed increase is anthropogenic. The paper quantifies when the anthropogenic signals should emerge from the noise of natural variability. This result contextualizes research on the Arctic Ocean freshwater system and sketches an unprecedented opportunity. Future work should elucidate mechanisms, seek to observe the anthropogenic freshwater changes, and investigate the impacts on biogeochemistry and the North Atlantic Ocean circulation.

Holocene hydrological changes in Europe and the role of the North Atlantic ocean circulation from a speleothem perspective

Societal concerns about future hydroclimate changes urge a thorough understanding of the governing processes. Here, an analysis of Middle and Late Holocene speleothem-based hydroclimate reconstructions and paleoclimate model simulations reveals sub-millennial fluctuations in the spatiotemporal variability of precipitation in the European and Mediterranean regions, that complements previous dendrochronological and pollen-based reconstructions with an improved temporal resolution. Although insolation forcing is the primary driver of Holocene hydroclimate changes in Europe on a multimillennial scale, the evaluation of the principal component analysis of speleothem records and correlations with sea surface temperature data indicates that North Atlantic ocean circulation played a significant role in the sub-millennial variation of continental moisture transport, with an increasing importance during the Late Holocene. The combined evaluation of speleothem-based data, climate simulations and sea surface temperature records therefore advances our understanding of the governing processes of Holocene hydroclimate changes in the European and Mediterranean regions.

Mediterranean Outflow Water dynamics across the middle Pleistocene transition based on a 1.3 million-year benthic foraminiferal record off the Portuguese margin

Reconstruction of the Mediterranean Outflow Water (MOW) dynamics in the geologic past contributes to exploring its influence on the North Atlantic Ocean circulation and global climate. The middle Pleistocene transition (MPT) is one of the most important characteristics of Quaternary climate change, but until now, research on the MOW variability during this time interval has been limited. To decipher the MOW variability over the last 1.3 myr, this work presents the first continuous and high-resolution (∼2 kyr) foraminiferal stable oxygen and carbon isotopes and benthic foraminiferal records from Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Site U1391, which was drilled off the Portuguese margin in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean and is currently bathed by the lower MOW core. Based on spectral analysis results of the foraminiferal δ18O record, the MPT peaked from 0.9 to 0.7 Ma. The ‘epibenthos group’ was previously found attached to elevated substrates only within the MOW current and more abundant at higher current velocities, so the relative abundance of the ‘elevated epibenthos group’ was adopted as an indicator of MOW strength in this study. The MOW indicator suggests that the MOW strengthened during MIS 1, MIS 5, MIS 7, MIS 9, MIS 11, MIS 13, MIS 15, MIS 17, early MIS 18 to late MIS 19, MIS 21, MISs 23–25, MISs 28–30, early MIS 34 to MIS 35, early MIS 36 to late MIS 37 and MIS 40 with a ∼100 kyr cycle. Superimposed on the long-term variability of the MOW current, the ∼41-kyr and ∼20-kyr cyclic fluctuations are also evident, whereby the ∼41-kyr cycle is more significant. The results of cross-spectral analyses indicate that the ∼20-kyr cyclic variation in the MOW intensity was drived by the precession forcing; the ∼41-kyr cyclic variation in the pre- MPT MOW dynamics and the ∼100-kyr cyclic variation in the post-MPT MOW dynamics were strongly controlled by the Earth’s obliquity. The variation in the abundance of the elevated epibenthos group was dominated by the ∼41-kyr cycle prior to the MPT and by the ∼100-kyr cycle after the MPT, which suggested there was a MPT-related shift in the MOW dynamics. Benthic δ13C record of the last 0.56 myr shows precessional (23-kyr) and glacial-interglacial (∼100 kyr) cycles, indicating cyclic variations in bottom water ventilation. Enhanced ventilation coincides with precession maxima and reduced ventilation with precession minima. Bottom water was well ventilated by MOW during the interglacial periods and by GNAIW during the glacial periods, and pooly ventilated during the glaical terminations.

Vegetation changes and plant wax biomarkers from an ombrotrophic bog define hydroclimate trends and human-environment interactions during the Holocene in northern Norway

Holocene climate records from northern Europe improve our understanding of important North Atlantic ocean and atmospheric circulation systems to long-term insolation-driven changes, as well as more rapid forcing and feedback mechanisms. Here we assess Holocene climate and environmental changes in northern Norway based on the analysis of pollen, non-pollen palynomorphs, plant macrofossils, and plant wax biomarkers from a high latitude ombrotrophic bog. We define the extent and thickness of Hollabåttjønnen Bog (0.16 km2), which is located 10 km north of Tromsø. Several cores were analyzed, including a 5.16-m core that spans the last 9.5 cal ka BP. Vegetation changes from several sites were reconstructed and the distribution and hydrogen isotopic composition (δD) of n-alkanes (C21–C33) were analyzed. Our data show several distinct climate intervals that primarily indicate changes in bog surface moisture. In the early Holocene (c. 9.5–7.7 cal ka BP), wetter conditions are defined by the presence of wetland sedges and grasses, higher concentrations of mid-chain length n-alkanes, and a similarity in δD values among homologs. A dry mid-Holocene (c. 7.7–3.8 cal ka BP) is inferred from the presence of a heath shrubland, low peat accumulations rates, and significant differences between δD values of mid- and long-chain length n-alkanes. The late Holocene (c. 3.8 cal ka BP-present) is marked by the onset of wetter conditions, lateral bog expansion, and an increase in sedges and grasses. The Hollabåttjønnen Bog record is also significant because its margins were an important location for human settlement. We correlate early Holocene environmental conditions with changes in Stone Age structures recently excavated, and we identify the occurrence of coprophilous fungi, such as Sporormiella and Sordaria, likely associated with reindeer grazing activity beginning c. 1 cal ka BP. This site therefore provides important regional paleoclimate information as well as context for evaluating local prehistoric human-environment interactions.

Engaging with Industry to Spur Blue Growth

Boschen-Rose, R.E.; Ferreira, M.A.; Johnson, D.E., and Gianni, M., 2020. Engaging with industry to spur Blue Growth. In: Malvárez, G. and Navas, F. (eds.), Global Coastal Issues of 2020. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 95, pp. 835 – 839. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.Improving marine resource management and governance requires marrying science and socio-economics, which is key to the development of the Blue Economy. For sustainable growth of the Blue Economy (Blue Growth) to occur, there needs to be robust scientific information on the marine environment, detailed knowledge of activities occurring within ocean space, and comprehensive understanding of environmental impacts. To ensure Blue Growth is sustainable into the future, information is also needed on how the marine environment, activities and impacts may change with time, and at relevant spatial scales. ATLAS, a transAtlantic assessment and deep-water ecosystem-based EU H2020 Project, has undertaken pioneering research to understand the environmental status of the North Atlantic deep sea, and the interaction between Blue Growth scenarios and the marine environment. ATLAS research into North Atlantic Ocean circulation, species and habitat connectivity shows that the North Atlantic is changing, which will impact Blue Growth. As marine industries move progressively offshore, ATLAS work on defining elements of Good Environmental Status for deep-water ecosystems will improve the understanding of Blue Growth interactions with the deep-sea. Potential trade-offs to maintain ecosystem services at a sea-basin scale have also been explored through a selection of 12 ATLAS case studies. ATLAS interactions with industry have highlighted opportunities and challenges for Blue Economy sectors, particularly in the context of marine spatial planning. Through interviews, questionnaires and workshops, ATLAS has discussed key scientific findings and Blue Growth scenarios with 10 major Blue Economy sectors and many supporting sectors. This work illustrates the complexities of Blue Growth in the North Atlantic, including spatial needs, synergies and conflicts, and data sharing opportunities. ATLAS-industry dialogue also highlights differences in Blue Economy sectoral expectations, and levels of understanding relating to new policy instruments.

Impact of ocean-atmosphere coupling on regional climate: the Iberian Peninsula case

Regional models used for downscaling the European climate usually include a relatively small area of the Atlantic Ocean and are uncoupled, with the SST used as lower boundary conditions much coarser than the mesh of the regional atmospheric model. Concerns thus arise about the proper representation of the oceanic influence and the role of air-sea coupling in such experiments. A complex orography and the exposure to different air and ocean masses make the Iberian Peninsula (IP) an ideal test case for exploring the impact of including explicitly the North Atlantic in the regional domain and the added value that coupling brings to regional climate modeling. To this end, the regionally-coupled model ROM and its atmospheric component, the regional atmospheric model REMO are used in a set of coupled and uncoupled experiments forced by the ERA-Interim reanalysis and by the global climate model MPI-ESM. The atmospheric domain is the same in all simulations and includes the North Atlantic and the ocean component is global and eddy permitting. Results show that the impact of air-sea coupling on the IP winter biases can be traced back to the features of the simulated North Atlantic Ocean circulation. In summer, it is the air-sea interactions in the Mediterranean that exert the largest influence on the regional biases. Despite improvements introduced by the eddy-permitting ocean, it is suggested that a higher resolution could be needed for a correct simulation of the features of the large-scale atmospheric circulation that impact the climate of the IP.