Eurasia North America Research Articles

Amplifying Meteorological Droughts Across Middle- and Low-Latitude Northern Hemisphere

Drought changes and the underlying causes have, in the backdrop of warming climate, aroused widespread concern. However, exact changes in patterns of meteorological droughts in both space and time are still open for debate. The Northern Hemisphere is home to 90% of the world’s population and has been afflicted by droughts over time. Here we present the evolution of spatiotemporal patterns of meteorological droughts, quantified by standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index across the Northern Hemisphere and related causes during a period of 1961–2018. We found amplifying droughts characterized by higher frequency, longer duration, and stronger severity across middle- and low-latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, specifically, Mongolia, China and Central Asia expanding along central Eurasia, Circum-Mediterranean region, and southwestern North America (NA). Russia, Central Asia, China and the Indian Peninsula are regions with frequent droughts. Period of 1961–2018 witnessed spatial evolution of droughts in counterclockwise direction over North America. In general, the spatial evolution of meteorological droughts in Northern Hemisphere also followed counterclockwise direction due to the atmospheric pressure belt, wind belt, atmospheric circulation, and sea-land breeze. SPEI-based droughts were in close relation with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). In particular, La Niña phenomenon could dry out southern NA and central and western Russia; and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation might affect the spatiotemporal variation of the drought in mid-high latitudes. These findings help understand meteorological droughts in the context of global warming.

Cross-Comparison of Global Surface Albedo Operational Products-MODIS, GLASS, and CGLS

Surface albedo, as an important parameter for land surface geo-biophysical and geo-biochemical processes, has been widely used in the research communities involved in surface energy balance, weather forecasting, atmospheric circulation, and land surface process models. In recent years, operational products using satellite-based surface albedo have, from time to time, been rapidly developed, contributing significantly to the estimation of energy balance at regional or global scales. The increasing number of research topics on dynamic monitoring at a decades-long scale requires a combination of albedo products generated from various sensors or programs, while the quantitative assessment of agreement or divergence among different surface albedo products still needs further understanding. In this paper, we investigated the consistency of three classical operational surface albedo products that have been frequently used by researchers globally via the official issued datasets-MODIS, GLASS (Global LAnd Surface Satellite), and CGLS (Copernicus Global Land Service). The cross-comparison was performed on all the identical dates available during 2000–2017 to represent four season-phases. We investigated the pixel-based validity of each product, consistency of global annual mean, spatial distribution and different temporal dynamics among the discussed products in white-sky (WSA) and black-sky (BSA) albedo at visible (VIS), near-infrared (NIR), and shortwave (SW) regimes. Further, varying features along with the change of seasons was also examined. In addition, the variation in accuracy of shortwave albedo magnitude was explored using ground measurements collected by the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and the Surface Radiation Budget Network (SUFRAD). Results show that: (1) All three products can provide valid long-term albedo for dominant land surface, while GLASS can provide additional estimation over sea surfaces, with the highest percentage of valid land surface pixels, at up to 93% in 24 October. The invalid pixels mainly existed in the 50°N–60°N latitude belt in December for GLASS, Central Africa in April and August for MODIS, and northern high latitudes for CGLS. (2) The global mean albedo of CGLS at the investigated bands has significantly higher values than those of MODIS and GLASS, with a relative difference of ~20% among the three products. The global mean albedo of MODIS and GLASS show a generally increasing trend from April to December, with an abrupt rise at NIR and SW of CGLS in June of 2014. Compared with SW and VIS bands, the linear temporal trend of the NIR global albedo mean in three products continues to increase, but the slope of CGLS is 10–100 times greater than that of the other two products. (3) The differences in albedo, which are higher in April, October, and December than in August, exhibit a small variation over the main global land surface regions, except for Central Eurasia, North Africa, and middle North America. The magnitude of global absolute difference among the three products usually varies within 0.02–0.06, but with the largest value occasionally exceeding 0.1. The relative difference is mainly within 10–20%, and can deviate more than 40% away from the baseline. In addition, CGLS has a greater opportunity to achieve the largest difference compared with MODIS and GLASS. (4) The comparison with ground measurements indicates that MODIS generally performs better than GLASS and CGLS at the sites discussed. This study demonstrates that apparent differences exist among the three investigated albedo products due to the ingested source data, algorithm, atmosphere correction etc., and also points at caution regarding data fusion when multiple albedo products were organized to serve the following applications.

Seismicity of the Northern Volcanic Zone of Iceland

A half century of monitoring of the Northern Volcanic Zone of Iceland, a branch of the North America—Eurasia plate boundary, shows that the seismicity is very unevenly distributed, both in time and space. The four central volcanoes at the boundary, Þeistareykir, Krafla, Fremrinámar, and Askja, show persistent but very low-level seismicity, spatially coinciding with their high-temperature geothermal systems. On their rift structures, on the other hand, seismicity is almost absent, except during rifting episodes. Krafla went through a rifting episode in 1975–1984 with inflation, interrupted by 20 diking events with extensive rifting, eruptive activity, and intense seismicity along an 80 km long section of the rift. During inflation periods, the seismicity was contained within the caldera of the volcano, reflecting the inflation level of the magma chamber. Diking events were marked by seismicity propagating away from the volcano into the fissure swarms to the south or north of the volcano, accompanied by rapid deflation of the caldera magma chamber. These events lasted from 1 day to 3 months, and the dike length varied between 1 and 60 km. The area around the Askja volcano is the only section of the Northern Volcanic Zone that shows persistent moderate seismicity. The largest events are located between fissure swarms of adjacent volcanic systems. Detailed relative locations of hypocenters reveal a system of vertical strike-slip faults, forming a conjugate system consistent with minimum principal stress in the direction of spreading across the plate boundary. A diking event into the lower crust was identified in the adjacent fissure swarm at Upptyppingar in 2007–2008. Four nests of anomalously deep earthquakes (10–34 km) have been identified in the Askja region, apparently associated with the movements of magma well below the brittle-ductile transition. Several processes have been pointed out as possible causes of earthquakes in the deformation zone around the plate boundary. These include inflation and deflation of central volcanoes, intrusion of propagating dikes, both laterally and vertically, strike-slip faulting on conjugate fault systems between overlapping fissure swarms, migration of magma in the lower, ductile crust, and geothermal heat mining.

The dependence of the northern extratropical climate response to external forcing on the phase of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

The extent to which decadal-to-multidecadal climate trends forced by carbon dioxide ( $$\text{CO}_2$$ ) and anthropogenic aerosol (AER) emissions depend on the phase and amplitude of internal modes of climate variability, such as Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV), is an open question. This study uses a fully coupled CMIP5-era general circulation model (GCM) to investigate climate trends forced by increasing $$\text{CO}_2$$ and AER in the presence of opposite decaying phases of the AMV. Ensembles of simulations are initialized from extreme warm ( $$\text{AMV}_{(+)}$$ ) and cold ( $$\text{AMV}_{(-)}$$ ) phases of AMV and, while the global mean temperature trends are similar, significant regional differences are found over the Arctic and northern extratropics. Specifically, the response to $$\text{CO}_2$$ forcing is hemispherically asymmetric, with western Eurasia warming 20–30% more, and North America and the extratropical North Pacific warming 20–30% less, in $$\text{AMV}_{(+)}$$ than in $$\text{AMV}_{(-)}$$ . This asymmetry is explained by the atmospheric response to differences in the initial concentration of sea ice in the Atlantic Arctic sector, and by a large-scale atmospheric teleconnection pattern originating in the tropical Indo-Pacific. A decomposition of the temperature trends reveals that the AMV influence occurs mostly through atmospheric dynamics; however, thermodynamic processes are important in regions of sea ice change, western Eurasia, and eastern North America. The difference in the responses to $$\text{CO}_2$$ and AER forcing between AMV phases reveals that some aspects of the AMV modulation of the response, such as a more positive (negative) temperature trend in $$\text{AMV}_{(+)}$$ than in $$\text{AMV}_{(-)}$$ in western Eurasia (the extratropical North Pacific), are largely independent of the sign, magnitude and spatial pattern of external forcing.

Strong Ulakhan-Chistay earthquake (Ms=5.7) January 20, 2013 in the zone of influence Ulakhan fault system in North East Russia

The results of the interpretation of seismological, geologic–structural, seismotectonic and macroseismic data obtained for the focal zone of the strong Ulakhan-Chistay earthquake (Ms=5.7), which occurred January 20, 2013 in the Chersky seismotectonic zone , on the Eurasia-North America lithospheric plates boundary, are presented. The shock occurred in the zone of a large Ulakhan fault, which is visible in satellite images and can be seen in the topography between the Indigirka and Kolyma Rivers at a distance of 1,500 km. Statistics of seismic observations in the last century and at the beginning of this century show that in the zone of influence of the Ulakhan fault within the crust (~ 35 km thick) at a depth of 7-30 km, more than 14 thousand local events were noted. The epicentral intensity of more than ten of them reached 6–8 on the Russian scale (MSK-64). In addition to high seismicity, additional geodynamic indicators of the reactivation of the Ulakhan fault in modern time were identified, in particular, high heat flux, icing processes, paleo-and modern seismic dislocations, etc.The macro effects of this event on an area of 300 thousand square kilometers were studied in three Arctic regions of Yakutia and in the south of the Magadan region and its epicenter is located by the proximity to the well-preserved paleoseismodislocation Uryun – Takh – Takh, which arose more than a thousand years ago and is clearly visible in the search sistem of Google. As a result, a structural-dynamic model of the Ulakhan fault zone is proposed, explaining the occurrence of the Ulakhan – Chistay earthquake on the basis of the kinematic scheme of the Omulevsky block, which is undergoing extrusion by a collision between the Eurasian and North American lithospheric plates in Northeast Asia.

High-resolution reconstructions and GPS estimates of India–Eurasia and India–Somalia plate motions: 20 Ma to the present

SUMMARY We reconstruct the movement of the India Plate relative to Eurasia at ≈1-Myr intervals from 20 Ma to the present from GPS site velocities and high-resolution sequences of rotations from the India–Somalia–Antarctic–Nubia–North America–Eurasia Plate circuit. The plate circuit rotations, which are all estimated using the same data fitting functions, magnetic reversal sampling points, calibrations for magnetic reversal outward displacement, and noise mitigation methods, include new India–Somalia rotations estimated from numerous Carlsberg and northern Central Indian ridge plate kinematic data and high-resolution rotations from the Southwest Indian Ridge that account for slow motion between the Nubia and Somalia plates. Our new rotations indicate that India–Somalia plate motion slowed down by 25–30 per cent from 19.7 to 12.5–11.1 Ma, but remained steady since at least 9.8 Ma and possibly 12.5 Ma. Our new India–Eurasia rotations predict a relatively simple plate motion history, consisting of NNE-directed interplate convergence since 19 Ma, a ≈50 per cent convergence rate decrease from 19.7 to 12.5–11.1 Ma, and steady or nearly steady plate motion since 12.5–11.1 Ma. Instantaneous convergence rates estimated with our new India–Eurasia GPS angular velocity are 16 per cent slower than our reconstructed plate kinematic convergence rates for times since 2.6 Ma, implying either a rapid, recent slowdown in the convergence rate or larger than expected errors in our geodetic and/or plate kinematic estimates. During an acceleration of seafloor faulting within the wide India–Capricorn oceanic boundary at 8–7.5 Ma, our new rotations indicate that the motions of the India Plate relative to Somalia and Eurasia remained steady. We infer that forces acting on the Capricorn rather than the India Plate were responsible for the accelerated seafloor deformation, in accord with a previous study. India–Eurasia displacements that are predicted with our new, well-constrained rotations are fit poorly by a recently proposed model that attributes the post-60-Ma slowdown in India–Eurasia convergence rates to the steady resistance of a strong lithospheric mantle below Tibet.

Neotectonics of the Kharaulakh sector of the Laptev Shelf

Seismotectonic deformation and crustal stress pattern have been studied comprehensively in major seismogenic structures of the Kharaulakh sector of the Verkhoyansk fold system and adjacent parts of the Chersky seismotectonic zone. The study focuses on neotectonic structures, deep structure, and systems of active faults, as well as tectonic stress fields inferred by tectonophysical analysis of Late Cenozoic faults and folds. The results, along with geological and geophysical data, reveal main strain directions and structural patterns of crustal stress and strain in the Arctic segment of the Eurasia-North America plate boundary. The area is a junction of mid-ocean and continental structures evolving in a mixed setting of extension, compression, and their various combinations. The rotation pole of the two plates is presumably located near Buor-Khaya Bay. In this case, extension is expected to act currently upon the neotectonic structures north of the bay and compression to control those in the south and southeast. This inference is consistent with the identified zoning of stress and strain in the Kharaulakh sector.

Stratospheric ozone loss over the Eurasian continent induced by the polar vortex shift

The Montreal Protocol has succeeded in limiting major ozone-depleting substance emissions, and consequently stratospheric ozone concentrations are expected to recover this century. However, there is a large uncertainty in the rate of regional ozone recovery in the Northern Hemisphere. Here we identify a Eurasia-North America dipole mode in the total column ozone over the Northern Hemisphere, showing negative and positive total column ozone anomaly centres over Eurasia and North America, respectively. The positive trend of this mode explains an enhanced total column ozone decline over the Eurasian continent in the past three decades, which is closely related to the polar vortex shift towards Eurasia. Multiple chemistry-climate-model simulations indicate that the positive Eurasia-North America dipole trend in late winter is likely to continue in the near future. Our findings suggest that the anticipated ozone recovery in late winter will be sensitive not only to the ozone-depleting substance decline but also to the polar vortex changes, and could be substantially delayed in some regions of the Northern Hemisphere extratropics.

Comparison of the spatio-temporal dynamics of vegetation between the Changbai Mountains of eastern Eurasia and the Appalachian Mountains of eastern North America

The Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains have similar spatial contexts. The elevation, latitude, and moisture gradients of both mountain ranges offer regional insight for investigating the vegetation dynamics in eastern Eurasia and eastern North America. We determined and compared the spatial patterns and temporal trends in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains using time series data from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies 3rd generation dataset from 1982 to 2013. The spatial pattern of NDVI in the Changbai Mountains exhibited fragmentation, whereas NDVI in the Appalachian Mountains decreased from south to north. The vegetation dynamics in the Changbai Mountains had an insignificant trend at the regional scale, whereas the dynamics in the Appalachian Mountains had a significant increasing trend. NDVI increased in 55% of the area of the Changbai Mountains and in 95% of the area of the Appalachian Mountains. The peak NDVI occurred one month later in the Changbai Mountains than in the Appalachian Mountains. The results revealed a significant increase in NDVI in autumn in both mountain ranges. The climatic trend in the Changbai Mountains included warming and decreased precipitation, and whereas that in the Appalachian Mountains included significant warming and increased precipitation. Positive and negative correlations existed between NDVI and temperature and precipitation, respectively, in both mountain ranges. Particularly, the spring temperature and NDVI exhibited a significant positive correlation in both mountain ranges. The results of this study suggest that human actives caused the differences in the spatial patterns of NDVI and that various characteristics of climate change and intensity of human actives dominated the differences in the NDVI trends between the Changbai Mountains and the Appalachian Mountains. Additionally, the vegetation dynamics of both mountain ranges were not identical to those in previous broader-scale studies.

Crustal architecture of the Laptev Rift System in the East Siberian Arctic based on 2D long-offset seismic profiles and gravity modelling

The Laptev Shelf in the East Siberian Arctic represents a rare tectonic setting where an active oceanic spreading centre, the Gakkel Ridge, intersects a continental margin. The North America–Eurasia plate boundary follows the Gakkel Ridge and passes into a continental shelf; this has resulted in the development of a wide rift system that has been active since the Late Cretaceous. The new long-offset seismic profiles provide a reliable basis for deciphering the structural characteristics of this rift system. We use two new seismic profiles, along with one acquired in the 1990s, to examine the crustal architecture of the rift system. Our approach combines seismic interpretation, time to depth conversion of seismic profiles and 2D gravity forward modelling. The obtained results indicate the presence of hyperextended continental crust beneath the Ust' Lena Rift Basin and exhumed continental mantle at the base of the syn-rift succession along the rift axis. The upper crust was removed by brittle stretching, while the lower crust experienced extreme ductile thinning. Our results show that continental crust can be eliminated in the course of rifting without a considerable heat input from asthenospheric mantle.

Multibeam investigation of the active North Atlantic plate boundary reorganization tip

The previous orthogonal ridge/transform staircase geometry south of Iceland is being progressively changed to the present continuous oblique Reykjanes Ridge spreading geometry as North America–Eurasia transform faults are successively eliminated from north to south. This reorganization is commonly interpreted as a thermal phenomenon, caused by warmer Iceland plume mantle progressively interacting with the ridge, although other diachronous seafloor spreading reorganizations are thought to result from tectonic rift propagation. New marine geophysical data covering our reinterpretation of the reorganization tip near 57°N show successive transform eliminations at a propagation velocity of ∼110 km/Myr, ten times the spreading half rate, followed by abrupt reorganization slowing at the Modred transform as it was converted to a migrating non-transform offset. Neither the simple thermal model nor the simple propagating rift model appears adequate to explain the complicated plate boundary reorganization process.

High-resolution Neogene and Quaternary estimates of Nubia-Eurasia-North America Plate motion

Reconstructions of the history of convergence between the Nubia and Eurasia plates constitute an important part of a broader framework for understanding deformation in the Mediterranean region and the closing of the Mediterranean Basin. Herein, we combine high-resolution reconstructions of Eurasia-North America and Nubia-North America Plate motions to determine rotations that describe Nubia-Eurasia Plate motion at ∼1 Myr intervals for the past 20 Myr. We apply trans-dimensional hierarchical Bayesian inference to the Eurasia-North America and Nubia-North America rotation sequences in order to reduce noise in the newly estimated Nubia-Eurasia rotations. The noise-reduced rotation sequences for the Eurasia-North America and Nubia-North America Plate pairs describe remarkably similar kinematic histories since 20 Ma, consisting of relatively steady seafloor spreading from 20 to 8 Ma, ∼20 per cent opening-rate slowdowns at 8–6.5 Ma, and steady plate motion from ∼7 Ma to the present. Our newly estimated Nubia-Eurasia rotations predict that convergence across the central Mediterranean Sea slowed by ∼50 per cent and rotated anticlockwise after ∼25 Ma until 13 Ma. Motion since 13 Ma has remained relatively steady. An absence of evidence for a significant change in motion immediately before or during the Messinian Salinity Crisis at 6.3–5.6 Ma argues against a change in plate motion as its causative factor. The detachment of the Arabian Peninsula from Africa at 30–24 Ma may have triggered the convergence rate slowdown before 13 Ma; however, published reconstructions of Nubia-Eurasia motion for times before 20 Ma are too widely spaced to determine with confidence whether the two are correlated. A significant discrepancy between our new estimates of Nubia-Eurasia motion during the past few Myr and geodetic estimates calls for further investigation.

Extension across the Laptev Sea continental rifts constrained by gravity modeling

The Laptev Shelf is the area where the Gakkel Ridge, an active oceanic spreading axis, approaches a continental edge, causing a specific structural style dominated by extensive rift structures. From the latest Cretaceous to the Pliocene, extension exerted on the Laptev Shelf created there several deep subsided rifts and high-standing basement blocks. To understand syn-rift basin geometries and sediment supply relationships across the Laptev Shelf, accurate extension estimates are essential. Therefore, we used 2-D gravity modeling and 3-D gravity inversion to constrain the amount of crustal stretching across the North America-Eurasia plate boundary in the Laptev Shelf. The latest Cretaceous-Cenozoic extension in that area is partitioned among two rift zones, the Laptev Rift System and the New Siberian Rift. These rifts were both overprinted on the Eurasian margin that had been stretched by 190-250 km before the Late Cretaceous. While the Laptev Rift System, connected to the Gakkel Ridge, reveals increasing extension toward the shelf edge (190-380 km), the New Siberian Rift is characterized by approximately uniform stretching along strike (110-125 km). The architecture of the Laptev Rift System shows that the finite extension of about 500 km is sufficient to entirely eliminate crystalline continental crust. In the most stretched rift segment, continental mantle is exhumed at the base of the Late Mesozoic basement. The example of the Laptev Rift System shows that extension driven by divergent plate movement is a sufficient cause to produce almost complete continental breakup without an increased heat input from the asthenospheric mantle.

The effect of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation on springtime vegetation over the northern high latitude region

The winter Arctic Oscillation (AO), a major source of climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere, affects winter and the subsequent spring climate over northern high latitude. Such effects are evident even in the 1st eigenmode of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The impacts of the winter AO is a dipole pattern between Eurasia and North America; positive (negative) values of the winter AO induce warmer (cooler) and high (low) vegetation activity in the following spring over Eurasia (North America). Regarding the time-lagged response of vegetation, the sea surface temperature (SST) and snow cover contribute to maintaining the large-scale circulation anomaly associated with the AO.

Multi-locus phylogeny of lethal amanitas: implications for species diversity and historical biogeography.

BackgroundLethal amanitas (Amanita section Phalloideae) are a group of wild, fatal mushrooms causing many poisoning cases worldwide. However, the diversity and evolutionary history of these lethal mushrooms remain poorly known due to the limited sampling and insufficient gene fragments employed for phylogenetic analyses. In this study, five gene loci (nrLSU, ITS, rpb2, ef1-α and β-tubulin) with a widely geographic sampling from East and South Asia, Europe, North and Central America, South Africa and Australia were analysed with maximum-likelihood, maximum-parsimony and Bayesian inference methods. Biochemical analyses were also conducted with intention to detect amatoxins and phalloidin in 14 representative samples.ResultLethal amanitas were robustly supported to be a monophyletic group after excluding five species that were provisionally defined as lethal amanitas based on morphological studies. In lethal amanitas, 28 phylogenetic species were recognised by integrating molecular phylogenetic analyses with morphological studies, and 14 of them represented putatively new species. The biochemical analyses indicated a single origin of cyclic peptide toxins (amatoxins and phalloidin) within Amanita and suggested that this kind of toxins seemed to be a synapomorphy of lethal amanitas. Molecular dating through BEAST and biogeographic analyses with LAGRANGE and RASP indicated that lethal amanitas most likely originated in the Palaeotropics with the present crown group dated around 64.92 Mya in the early Paleocene, and the East Asia–eastern North America or Eurasia–North America–Central America disjunct distribution patterns were primarily established during the middle Oligocene to Miocene.ConclusionThe cryptic diversity found in this study indicates that the species diversity of lethal amanitas is strongly underestimated under the current taxonomy. The intercontinental sister species or sister groups relationships among East Asia and eastern North America or Eurasia–North America–Central America within lethal amanitas are best explained by the diversification model of Palaeotropical origin, dispersal via the Bering Land Bridge, followed by regional vicariance speciation resulting from climate change during the middle Oligocene to the present. These findings indicate the importance of both dispersal and vicariance in shaping the intercontinental distributions of these ectomycorrhizal fungi.

High-resolution Neogene reconstructions of Eurasia-North America Plate motion

High-resolution Neogene reconstructions of Eurasia-North America Plate motion

GPS and tectonic evidence for a diffuse plate boundary at the Azores Triple Junction

We use GPS, bathymetric/structural, and seismic data to define the pattern of present deformation along the northern half of the Azores plateau, where the Nubia–Eurasia plate boundary terminates at the axis of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge (MAR). New and existing campaign GPS velocities from the Azores islands reveal extension oblique to a series of en échelon volcanic ridges occupied by Terceira, S. Jorge, Pico, and Faial islands. In a frame of reference defined by 69 continuous GPS stations on the Eurasia plate, Terceira Island moves 2±1 mm/yr away from Eurasia, consistent with the islandʼs location within the Terceira Rift and plate boundary structure. The volcanic ridges south of the Terceira Rift move toward WSW at progressively faster rates, reaching a maximum of 3.5±0.5 mm/yr (2-σ) for the Pico/Faial volcanic ridge. The hypothesis that the Terceira Rift accommodates all Nubia–Eurasia plate motion is rejected at high confidence level based on the motions of sites on S. Jorge Island just west of Terceira Rift. All of the islands move relative to the Nubia plate, with Pico Island exhibiting the slowest motion, only 1±0.5 mm/yr (2-σ). Detailed bathymetry from the interior of the hypothesized Azores microplate reveals faults that crosscut young MAR seafloor fabric. These observations and the GPS evidence for distributed deformation described above argue against the existence of a rigid or semi-rigid Azores microplate, and instead suggest that Nubia–Eurasia plate motion is accommodated by extension across a ∼140-km-wide zone east of the MAR axis, most likely bounded to the north by the northern shoulder of the Terceira Rift. The MAR spreading rate along the western end of the Azores deformation zone (∼38.5°N–39.5°N) is intermediate between the Eurasia–North America rate measured at 39.5°N and the Nubia–North America rate measured at 38.5°N, consistent with the joint conclusions that the Nubia–Eurasia boundary is broad where it intersects the MAR, and the Azores Triple Junction is diffuse rather than discrete.

Slow-downs and speed-ups of India–Eurasia convergence since [formula omitted]: Data-noise, uncertainties and dynamic implications

India–Somalia and North America–Eurasia relative motions since Early Miocene (∼20Ma) have been recently reconstructed at unprecedented temporal resolution (<1Myr) from magnetic surveys of the Carlsberg and northern Mid-Atlantic Ridges. These new datasets revamped interest in the convergence of India relative to Eurasia, which is obtained from the India–Somalia–Nubia–North America–Eurasia plate circuit. Unless finite rotations are arbitrarily smoothed through time, however, the reconstructed kinematics (i.e. stage Euler vectors) appear to be surprisingly unusual over the past ∼20Myr. In fact, the Euler pole for the India–Eurasia rigid motion scattered erratically over a broad region, while the associated angular velocity underwent sudden increases and decreases. Consequently, convergence across the Himalayan front featured significant speed-ups as well as slow-downs with almost no consistent trend. Arguably, this pattern arises from the presence of data-noise, which biases kinematic reconstructions—particularly at high temporal resolution. The rapid and important India–Eurasia plate-motion changes reconstructed since Early Miocene are likely to be of apparent nature, because they cannot result even from the most optimistic estimates of torques associated, for instance, with the descent of the Indian slab into Earth's mantle. Our previous work aimed at reducing noise in finite-rotation datasets via an expanded Bayesian formulation, which offers several advantages over arbitrary smoothing methods. Here we build on this advance and revise the India–Eurasia kinematics since ∼20Ma, accounting also for three alternative histories of rifting in Africa. We find that India–Eurasia kinematics are simpler and, most importantly, geodynamically plausible upon noise reduction. Convergence across the Himalayan front overall decreased until ∼10Ma, but then systematically increased, albeit moderately, towards the present-day. We test with global dynamic models of the coupled mantle/lithosphere system how a previously proposed uplift of the Tibetan plateau by 1–2km, as well as the break-up of the Indo-Australian plate into the India and Australia units, impact the kinematic record from ∼20 to ∼10Ma. Our modelling results indicate that the convergence slow-down until ∼10Ma resulted chiefly from the Indo-Australian break-up. However, the tectonic scenario yielding the best fit to kinematic reconstructions is indeed one where the Tibetan mean elevation increased by 1–2km before the Indo-Australian break-up was accomplished.

Dispersal patterns in space and time: a case study of Apiaceae subfamily Apioideae

AbstractAimTo analyse spatial and temporal patterns of dispersal events in the euapioids (Apiaceae subfamily Apioideae).LocationWorldwide, with an emphasis on the Northern Hemisphere.MethodsA phylogeny of euapioids was inferred from 1194 nuclear ribosomal DNA internal transcribed spacer (nrDNA ITS) sequences using Bayesian methods. The reconstruction of ancestral areas was performed simultaneously with phylogenetic inference using a Markov discrete phylogeographical model with Bayesian stochastic search variable selection (BSSVS). Routes with significant non‐zero migration rates were identified using Bayes factors. For each significant track and each tree, the distribution of dispersals in time was scored and the asymmetry of dispersals was evaluated.ResultsThe root of the euapioid umbellifers was reconstructed at c. 44.51 Ma (95% highest posterior density interval: 39.11–51.55 Ma). The Eastern Asiatic Region was reconstructed as the most probable ancestral area for the root of the tree. Seventeen migration routes have significant non‐zero migration rates. Five of these tracks represent long‐distance transoceanic routes: (1) western Eurasia–North America, (2) Eastern Asiatic Region–North America, (3) Australia–Neotropical Kingdom, (4) Australia–Neantarctic, and (5) Neotropical Kingdom–sub‐Saharan Africa. Most dispersal events occurred among the areas that comprise the major diversification centres of apioid umbellifers: western Eurasia and the Mediterranean, Irano‐Turanian and Eastern Asiatic regions. The floristic exchange among these regions was more or less symmetrical in all directions and continuous in time. The exchange between North America and the Eastern Asiatic Region was asymmetrical; the asymmetry of dispersals between western Eurasia and North America was less pronounced and not statistically significant. Floristic exchange was significantly asymmetrical for the Nearctic–Neotropical Kingdom, Nearctic–Neantarctic, western Eurasia–sub‐Saharan Africa, and western Eurasia–Siberia migration tracks.Main conclusionsThe observed dispersal pattern – intense and symmetrical within the same climatic zone versus scarce and often unidirectional between climatic zones or along long‐distance transoceanic tracks – suggests that both the availability of suitable habitats and geographical barriers have played crucial roles in determining the present distribution of euapioid umbellifers.

Present-day deformation in São Jorge Island, Azores, from episodic GPS measurements (2001–2011)

A network of geodetic markers for high-precision Global Positioning System (GPS) surveying was established in 2001 in the island of São Jorge, at the Azores triple junction, where the North America–Eurasia–Nubia plates meet. The aim was to monitor tectonic, volcanic, and landslide-induced surface deformation in an active tectono-volcanic region. The network consisted of 17 stations, and was occupied in 2001, 2004, and 2010. GPS observations from the three episodic campaigns were analyzed using the latest geophysical models and geodetic procedures to generate a velocity field for São Jorge Island.Surface velocities estimated at 15 inland locations reveal that São Jorge is moving neither with Eurasia nor with Nubia and presents two sectors with different behavior. The NW sector of the island is moving at a rate of 2.2±0.3mm/yr to N82°±6° while the SE sector is moving at a rate of 1.4±0.3mm/yr to N109°±11°, when compared to the velocity of Nubia predicted by ITRF2008-PMM. This velocity field cannot be explained by slip along the active faults that cross the island, nor is compatible with volcanic deformation on the active volcanic rift zones. It is suggested that the velocity differences that are measured represent deformation related to local sub-surficial magmatic/volcanic processes occurring near the island. This intra-island deformation may also be related to the stress field and seafloor spreading occurring in an area situated on the western sector of the Azores Plateau, reflecting the presence of WNW–ESE volcanic structures, along which magma intrusion produces NE–SW dilatation, bounded to the East by a NE–SW trending structure, probably of tectonic nature, working as a dextral transfer zone.