Background and Objective: Noninvasive estimations of cardiac Output (CO) using pulse wave analysis have been studied for over a century, yielding contrasting results. Our research group has developed a novel method for the noninvasive estimation of CO based on brachial blood pressure (BP) measurements and total arterial compliance (Ct), eliminating the need for arterial pulse wave analysis. This study compares all reported methods for estimating CO without pulse wave contours using the same dataset to assess their accuracy. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted involving 447 adult patients who underwent ambulatory transthoracic Doppler echocardiograms. Stroke volume (SV) was calculated as the product of the cross-sectional area of the aortic annulus and the average velocity of the left ventricular outflow tract. Simultaneously, oscillometric BP measurements were obtained, and CO was derived from Ct utilizing anthropometric variables, BP, and heart rates (HR). Calibration was conducted with 75% of the data using the formula: CO=K0+K1×estimator. The remaining 25% of the data was used for validation, with Bland-Altman analysis and the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Calibration involved the following CO estimators: i) mean arterial pressure; ii) HR; iii) pulse pressure (PP); iv) PPxHR; v) Warner time-correction; vi) Liljestrand-Zander; vii) Wesseling-Langewouters; and viii) the new Ct-based method. Results: Of the participants, 51.2% were men, with an average age of 51.0±15.0 years, weight of 75.0±14.0 kg, and height of 166.0±9.5 cm. The CO by echocardiography had an average of 4.9±1.0 L/min, with a range of 2.0 to 8.5 L/min. Among the compared methods, the new Ct-based method showed the smallest mean difference and error, as well as the largest ICC. The Bland-Altman analysis shows a normal distribution for the new Ct-based method, with agreement limits between -1.56 to 1.48 L/min (Figure). Conclusions: The new Ct-based method developed surpasses other published methods and exhibits practical accuracy suitable for ambulatory use, such as hemodynamic monitoring of pathophysiological or therapeutic outcomes.
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