Objectives: Patients with hemodialysis (HD) have a higher incidence of CVD and worse prognosis than non-dialysis patients. Recently, a new device can measure novel parameters of arterial stiffness such as brachial artery volume elastic modulus (VE) and estimated brachial artery lumen cross-sectional area (eA) in a minimally invasive and simplified manner. Using this device, we investigated the relationship between these parameters and prognosis in HD patients. Methods and Results: This was a multicenter, prospective, observational study. A total of 246 patients on maintenance dialysis at six maintenance dialysis centers were registered. They were 158 men (64%), mean age 69±13 years, mean years on dialysis 5.8±6.2 years, BP 143±23/78±13 mmHg, Hb 11.5±6.9 g/dL, Alb 3.5±0.4 g/dL, corrected-Ca 9.2±0.8 mg/dL, P 5.4±2.7 mg/dL, iPTH 164±180 pg/mL. 125 patients (51%) had diabetes mellitus and 122 patients (50%) were current and past smokers. 51 (20%) had a history of ischemic heart disease, 23 (9%) had a history of symptomatic stroke, and 45 (18%) had a history of peripheral arterial disease. VE and eA were measured in the non-shunt limb during dialysis. Outcomes were death and MACE (non-fatal ischemic heart disease, symptomatic stroke, and PAD requiring intervention). 44 patients died, 20 had ischemic heart disease, 6 had symptomatic stroke, and 6 had PAD during the 3-year observation period. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on the median VE value and analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method for death plus MACE, death, and MACE each, but no significant differences were found. eA was also examined in the same way, but no significant differences were found. Further, patients were divided into 4 groups based on the VE and eA values (high&high, high&low, low&high, and low&low for VE&eA, respectively) and were studied in the same fashion, the high&low and low&high groups had significantly higher incidence of death plus MACE (log-rank p=0.0184) and MACE (log-rank p=0.0310) than the high&high and low&low groups. Conclusion: In HD patients, we found that the combined assessment of VE and eA was significantly associated with their prognosis, suggesting that these parameters may be clinically useful.
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