Background: Biological evidence has revealed anti-tumor effect of vitamin D, but whether it could predict the response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in breast cancer (BC) patients remains inconclusive. The aim was to investigate the association between pretreatment vitamin D level and response to NAC and subsequent survival outcomes in BC patients. Materials and Methods: We systematically searched the Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases and clinical trial registries to identify relevant articles from inception to October 8, 2024. Eligible studies investigating the associations between pretreatment plasma vitamin D and response to NAC in BC patients were selected according to the predefined criteria, with the study characteristics extracted by two reviewers. The primary outcome was pathological complete response (pCR), while overall pathological response and event-free survival (EFS) were adopted as secondary outcomes. Summary effect estimates of odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled using a random-effects model. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed based on study characteristics and methodological quality. Results: Six retrospective cohort studies involving 1,291 BC patients were included. We observed a significant association between pretreatment vitamin D deficiency and 50% increased odds of non-pCR after NAC (OR=1.50, 95%CI 1.11-2.03, P=0.008) with no heterogeneity (I2=0%). We also identified a significant association of vitamin D with overall pathological response (OR=1.33, 95%CI 1.01-1.75, P=0.046). A similar association with EFS (HR=1.27, 95%CI 0.92-1.75, P=0.139) was also noted although the effect estimate was not statistically significant. Sensitivity analyses based on methodological quality showed consistent findings. Conclusion: Pretreatment vitamin D deficiency is associated with an inferior response to NAC in BC patients. Our meta-analysis advocates further prospective studies with large sample sizes before vitamin D supplementation could be administered to improve NAC response and subsequent prognosis of BC patients.
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