Natural History Of Human Papillomavirus Infection Research Articles

Cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in Tunisia: a modelling study

ObjectivesThe objective of this study is to assess the cost utility of the implementation of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programme in Tunisia in addition to the current cytology screening...

Natural History of High-Risk Human Papillomavirus in Kenyan and South African Women: Implications for Vaccination Campaigns and Cervical Cancer Screening Programs.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines and DNA testing roll out in resource-constrained settings. We evaluated the natural history of HPV infections in African women to contribute to normative guidance. Women aged 16 to 35 years were enrolled from 3 sites in South Africa and Kenya and followed quarterly for 18 months. A subset was recalled 5 years postenrollment, when Papanicolaou smears were conducted. Endocervical swabs were tested for 36 HPV genotypes by HPV Direct Flow. Logistic regression models identified correlations between demographic, biological, or behavioral factors and baseline high-risk HPV (HR-HPV). At enrollment, 158 of 311 women (median age, 23 years; IQR, 20-27) had at least 1 HR-HPV genotype. HPV-52 (13.5%), HPV-16 (9.5%), HPV-58 (9.0%), HPV-18 (8.4%), and HPV-35 (8.4%) were most common. Coinfection with low-risk HPVs (odds ratio, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.59-4.45) were associated with HR-HPV positivity, while reported condom use (odds ratio, 0.57; 95% CI, .34-.98) and older age were protective. Of women with HR-HPV at enrollment, 87.3% cleared at least 1 HR-HPV infection over 18 months and 64.6% cleared all such infections. Few (1.9%) had evidence of high-grade cervical abnormalities, among which HPV-35 was the most prevalent during the study. The high prevalence of HR-HPV emphasizes that HPV vaccination, screening, and testing campaigns in Africa are important. Nonvaccine HPV-35 was as common as HPV-18, suggesting the need to supplement current vaccines with this genotype. HR-HPV clearance was also common, highlighting that clear messaging is needed from health care providers to patients while discussing HPV DNA testing results.

Structured Literature Review to Identify Human Papillomavirus's Natural History Parameters for Dynamic Population Models of Vaccine Impacts.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted virus that can cause cervical cancer and other diseases. Dynamic transmission models (DTMs) have been developed to evaluate the health and economic impacts of HPV vaccination. These models typically include many parameters, such as natural history of the disease, transmission, demographic, behavioral, and screening. To ensure the accuracy of DTM projections, it is important to parameterize them with the best available evidence. This study aimed to identify and synthesize data needed to parametrize DTMs on the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases. Parameters describing data of interest were grouped by their anatomical location (genital warts, recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, and cervical, anal, vaginal, vulvar, head and neck, and penile cancers), and natural history (progression, regression, death, cure, recurrence, detection), and were identified through a systematic literature review (SLR) and complementary targeted literature reviews (TLRs). The extracted data were then synthesized by pooling parameter values across publications, and summarized using the range of values across studies reporting each parameter and the median value from the most relevant study. Data were extracted and synthesized from 223 studies identified in the SLR and TLRs. Parameters frequently reported pertained to cervical cancer outcomes, while data for other anatomical locations were less available. The synthesis of the data provides a large volume of parameter values to inform HPV DTMs, such as annual progression rates from cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 to CIN2+ (median of highest quality estimate 0.0836), CIN2 to CIN 3+ (0.0418), carcinoma in situ (CIS) 2 to local cancer+ (0.0396), and regional to distant cancer (0.0474). Our findings suggest that while there is a large body of evidence on cervical cancer, parameter values featured substantial heterogeneity across studies, and further studies are needed to better parametrize the non-cervical components of HPV DTMs.

Analogies between HPV Behavior in Oral and Vaginal Cavity: Narrative Review on the Current Evidence in the Literature.

Human genital papilloma virus infection is the most prevalent sexually transmitted infection in the world. It is estimated that more than 75% of sexually active women contract this infection in their lifetime. In 80% of young women, there is the clearance of the virus within 18-24 months. In developed countries, oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is now the most frequent human papilloma virus (HPV)-related cancer, having surpassed cervical cancer, and it is predicted that by 2030 most squamous cell carcinomas will be the HPV-related rather than non-HPV-related form. However, there are currently no screening programs for oral cavity infection. While the natural history of HPV infection in the cervix is well known, in the oropharynx, it is not entirely clear. Furthermore, the prevalence of HPV in the oropharynx is unknown. Published studies have found wide-ranging prevalence estimates of 2.6% to 50%. There are also conflicting results regarding the percentage of women presenting the same type of HPV at two mucosal sites, ranging from 0 to 60%. Additionally, the question arises as to whether oral infection can develop from genital HPV infection, through oral and genital contact or by self-inoculation, or whether it should be considered an independent event. However, there is still no consensus on these topics, nor on the relationship between genital and oral HPV infections. Therefore, this literature review aims to evaluate whether there is evidence of a connection between oral and cervical HPV, while also endorsing the usefulness of the screening of oral infection in patients with high-risk cervical HPV as a means of facilitating the diagnosis and early management of HPV-related oral lesions. Finally, this review emphasizes the recommendation for the use of the HPV vaccines in primary prevention in the male and female population as the most effective means of successfully counteracting the increasing incidence of OSCC to date.

Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of switching from bivalent to nonavalent vaccine for human papillomavirus in Norway: incorporating the full health impact of all HPV-related diseases

AimThe objective of this study was to estimate and compare the cost-effectiveness of switching from a bivalent to a nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program in Norway, incorporating all nonavalent vaccine-preventable HPV-related diseases and in the context of the latest cervical cancer screening program.MethodsA well-established dynamic transmission model of the natural history of HPV infection and disease was adapted to the Norwegian population. We determined the number of cases of HPV-related diseases and subsequent number of deaths, and the economic burden of HPV-related disease under the current standard of care conditions of bivalent and nonavalent vaccinations of girls and boys aged 12 years.ResultsCompared to bivalent vaccination, nonavalent vaccination averted an additional 4,357 cases of HPV-related cancers, 421,925 cases of genital warts, and 543 cases of recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP) over a 100-year time horizon. Nonavalent vaccination also averted an additional 1,044 deaths over the 100-year time horizon when compared with bivalent vaccination. Total costs were higher for the nonavalent strategy (10.5 billion NOK [€1.03 billion] vs. 9.3–9.4 billion NOK [€915–925 million] for bivalent vaccination). A switch to nonavalent vaccination had a higher vaccination cost (4.4 billion NOK [€433 million] vs. 2.7 billion NOK [€266 million] for bivalent vaccination) but resulted in a savings of 627–694 million NOK [€62–68 million] in treatment costs. A switch to nonavalent vaccination demonstrated an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 102,500 NOK (€10,086) per QALY versus bivalent vaccination.ConclusionsUsing a model that incorporated the full range of HPV-related diseases, and the latest cervical cancer screening practices, we found that switching from bivalent to nonavalent vaccination would be considered cost-effective in Norway.

Public health impact of 2-, 4-, and 9-valent HPV vaccination in females on cervical and noncervical diseases in men and women under different coverage scenarios in China: A simulation study

ABSTRACT The high prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in China suggests there would be a substantial positive health impact of widespread vaccination against HPV. We adapted a previously described dynamic transmission model of the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases to the Chinese setting to estimate the public health impact in China of 2-valent (with and without cross-protection), 4-valent, and 9-valent HPV vaccination strategies. The model predicted the incidence and mortality associated with HPV-related diseases, including cervical and noncervical cancers, genital warts, and recurrent respiratory papillomatosis (RRP), based on the various vaccination coverage rate (VCR) scenarios, over a 100-year time horizon. The public health impact of the 4 vaccination strategies was estimated in terms of cases and deaths averted compared to a scenario with no vaccination. Under the assumption of various primary and catch-up VCR scenarios, all 4 vaccination strategies reduced the incidence of cervical cancer in females and noncervical cancers in both sexes, and the 4-valent and 9-valent vaccines reduced the incidence of genital warts and RRP in both sexes. The 9-valent vaccination strategy was superior on all outcomes. The number of cervical cancer cases averted over 100 years ranged from ~ 1 million to ~ 5 million while the number of cervical cancer deaths averted was ~ 345,000 to ~ 1.9 million cases, depending on the VCR scenario. The VCR for primary vaccination was the major driver of cases averted.

The Role of Micronutrients in Human Papillomavirus Infection, Cervical Dysplasia, and Neoplasm.

There is evidence that diet and nutrition are modifiable risk factors for several cancers. In recent years, attention paid to micronutrients in gynecology has increased, especially regarding Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. We performed a review of the literature up until December 2022, aiming to clarify the effects of micronutrients, minerals, and vitamins on the history of HPV infection and the development of cervical cancer. We included studies having as their primary objective the evaluation of dietary supplements, in particular calcium; zinc; iron; selenium; carotenoids; and vitamins A, B12, C, D, E, and K. Different oligo-elements and micronutrients demonstrated a potential protective role against cervical cancer by intervening in different stages of the natural history of HPV infection, development of cervical dysplasia, and invasive disease. Healthcare providers should be aware of and incorporate the literature evidence in counseling, although the low quality of evidence provided by available studies recommends further well-designed investigations to give clear indications for clinical practice.

Cervical human papillomavirus genotypes in a high HIV setting: A scoping review of a decade of human papillomavirus epidemiological research in Botswana.

Cervical cancer burden is still high in low- and middle-income countries, including Botswana. Persistent human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is the leading cause of cervical cancer. Accurate knowledge of HPV diversity associated to cervical cancer in sub-Saharan Africa may provide accurate understanding of the natural history of HPV infection in these contexts. The goal of this review was to consolidate existing evidence on cervical HPV infection and to conduct a pooled analysis of data from all eligible Botswana studies. After a successful review of twelve studies on cervical HPV genotypes that met the inclusion criteria, HPV-16 genotype was the most frequently discovered in women with pre-cancerous and cancer lesions, followed by HPV-18. HPV-16 in HIV-positive women with precancerous lesions to cancer is between 45% and 47.7%, and between 4.5% and 26.1% for HPV-18. With reference to other HPV genotypes, the proportion of HPV-35 and HPV-58 (13-16%) seems relatively consistent among the studies, however HPV-58 appears to be more common in HIV-positive subjects compared to HIV-negative women. Indeed, HPV-45 seems to be frequently detected in women with cervical cancer compared to women with precancerous lesions. Regarding the low-risk HPV genotypes, an appropriate breakdown has been provided. In conclusion, the current prophylactic vaccines against HPV-16 and HPV-18, which have demonstrated good immunogenicity in HIV-infected populations, may still prevent infection and ultimately cancer.

Progression from human papillomavirus (HPV) infection to cervical lesion or clearance in women (18–25 years): Natural history study in the control arm subjects of AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine efficacy study in China between 2008 and 2016

ABSTRACT Background Cervical cancer is the third most frequent cancer in Chinese women aged 15–44 years old. Human papillomavirus (HPV) is recognized as the main etiologic agent of cervical carcinomas. This study aims to better understand the natural history of HPV infections in Chinese women aged 18–25 years. Research Design and Methods Data from 3,025 control arm women (AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine trial) were analyzed to assess the probability of progression or clearance from a 6-month persistent infection (6MPI) to a cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or greater (CIN2+), and the association with clinical determinants. Data were analyzed using univariate and multivariable Cox models. Results A total of 1,324 women with 3,814 HPV infections were included, and 65.7% of the women had at least one 6MPI. Among those 6MPI, 5.0% progressed to CIN2+, while 61.0% cleared within 6 months. The risk of progression from 6MPI to CIN2+ was substantially higher for oncogenic versus non-oncogenic HPV types. Conclusions Oncogenic HPV infections showed lower clearance and higher risk to progress to CIN2 +. These findings observed in a population of Chinese women, confirmed previous findings from multinational studies. Trial Registration The PATRICIA and AS04-HPV-16/18 vaccine trials are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT00779766 and NCT00122681).

Considerations for Child Cancer Survivors and Immunocompromised Children to Prevent Secondary HPV-associated Cancers.

Survivors of childhood cancer and other immunocompromised children are at high risk for the development of secondary human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated cancers. In this overview, the authors examine the epidemiology of vaccine efficacy, the natural history of HPV infections, and accelerated HPV-associated cancer development in these populations. The authors highlight the opportunities for preventive care and future research directives.

Correlation between cervical HPV DNA detection and HPV16 seroreactivity measured with L1-only and L1+L2 viral capsid antigens.

Introduction. Persistent human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 infection is the main causal agent of cervical cancer. Most HPV infections clear spontaneously within 1-2 years. Although not all infected women develop detectable HPV antibodies, about 60-70 % seroconvert and retain their antibodies at low levels.Aim. We investigated if cervical HPV16 DNA positivity was associated with HPV16 seroreactivity measured with two different antigen formulations. We assessed if associations were influenced by co-infection with other HPV types and HPV16 viral load.Methodology. We used baseline data for women participating in the Ludwig-McGill cohort, a longitudinal investigation of the natural history of HPV infection and cervical neoplasia. The study enrolled 2462 Brazilian women from 1993 to 1997 (pre-vaccination). ELISA assays were based on L1-only or L1+L2 virus-like particles (VLPs). Seroreactivity was expressed as normalized absorbance ratios. HPV genotyping and viral load were evaluated by PCR protocols. Pearson's r was used to measure correlations between interval-scaled variables. Serological accuracy in HPV16 DNA detection was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. We analysed the association between HPV DNA positivity and HPV16 seroreactivity by linear regression.Results. Correlations between L1+L2 and L1-only VLPs for detection of HPV16 were poor (r=0.43 and 0.44 for dilutions 1 : 10 and 1 : 50, respectively). The protocol with the best accuracy was L1+L2 VLPs at serum dilution 1 : 10 (ROC area=0.73, 95 % CI: 0.65-0.85). HPV16 DNA positivity was correlated with HPV16 seroreactivity and was not influenced by co-infection or viral load. To a lesser degree, HPV16 seroreactivity was correlated with infection by other Alpha-9 papillomavirus species.Conclusion. HPV16 DNA positivity and HPV16 seroreactivity are strongly correlated. L1+L2 VLPs perform better than L1-only VLPs for detecting IgG antibodies to HPV16 in women infected with HPV16 or other Alpha-9 HPV species. This study advances our understanding of humoral immune responses against HPV16 by providing insights about the influence of VLP antigen composition to measure humoral immune response against naturally acquired HPV infection.

Prevalence, incidence, and natural history of HPV infection in adult women ages 24 to 45 participating in a vaccine trial

ObjectivesThe natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection has been studied extensively in young women; this study investigated HPV infection in adult women. MethodsData from 3817 women aged 24–45 years in a global trial of the 4-valent HPV (6/11/16/18) vaccine were used to calculate prevalence of anogenital infections containing 9-valent (9v) HPV vaccine types (6/11/16/18/31/33/45/52/58) and five non-vaccine types (35/39/51/56/59). Incidence of infections and persistent infections was estimated for 989 placebo recipients naive to all 14 HPV types at baseline. Age-adjusted hazard ratios were calculated for various sociodemographic factors. ResultsPrevalence of anogenital infection was highest in France at 29.2% (9vHPV types) and 21.7% (non-vaccine types) and lowest in the Philippines at 7.6% (9vHPV types) and 5.1% (non-vaccine types). Overall, HPV incidence (per 100 person-years) was 5.2 (9vHPV types) and 4.7 (non-vaccine types), and incidence of persistent infection was 2.7 (9vHPV types) and 2.1 (non-vaccine types). Factors associated with new HPV infections included younger age, younger age at first intercourse, being single, current use of tobacco, and higher number of past and recent sex partners. ConclusionsBecause mid-adult women acquire new HPV infections, administration of the 9vHPV vaccine could reduce HPV-related morbidity and mortality in this population.

Cervical and oral human papillomavirus infection in women living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and matched HIV-negative controls in Brazil

BackgroundDespite the demonstrated role of human Papillomavirus (HPV) in the etiology of cervical cancer and the strong evidence suggesting the importance of HPV in the development of oropharyngeal cancer, several aspects of the interrelationship between HPV infection in both body sites remain unknown, specifically in female human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive (HIV+) patients. We aimed to assess the prevalence, distribution, and concordance of cervical and oral HPV in HIV+ women and matched HIV-negative (HIV-) controls in Brazil.Material and methodsCervical and endocervical samples for cytological screening and HPV detection and oral samples were collected from 115 HIV+ women using highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and 139 HIV-matched controls (HIV-) in Maringá City, Brazil. Risk factors were assessed using a standardized questionnaire, and the data regarding HIV infection were obtained from the patients’ medical records. HPV detection and typing were performed using the Kit Multiplex XGEN Multi HPV Chip HS12.ResultsHIV infection was well controlled in this cohort, but women who exhibited detectable HIV loads were significantly associated with HPV-positive status overall (P = 0.03) and in cervical mucosa (P = 0.01). HIV+ women had significantly more abnormal cytological findings (P = 0.04) than HIV- women. Of the 115 HIV+ women, 48.7% were positive for cervical and/or oral HPV DNA; of the 139 HIV- women, 41% were positive for cervical and/or oral HPV (P = 0.25). Both HIV+ and HIV- women had a statistically higher prevalence of cervical HPV infection than oral infection. The concurrent HPV infection in two anatomical sites was similar in HIV+ and HIV- women; however, HPV type concordance was not observed. HPV type distribution was different between the anatomical sites in both groups, and HIV+ women presented less common types, mainly in oral mucosa.ConclusionOur data support the importance of testing HPV infection in HIV+ women, even when the HIV infection is well controlled. Prospective studies are required to better understand the natural history of HPV infection in both anatomical sites, specifically in HIV+ women.

HPV18 E1 Protein Plus α-Galactosylceramide Elicit in Mice CD8+ T Cell Cross-Reactivity Against Cells Expressing E1 from Diverse Human Papillomavirus Types.

CD8+ T cell immune response plays a critical role in the clearance of human papillomavirus (HPV)-infected cells. During the natural history of HPV infection, the E1 protein, an early-expressed helicase highly conserved among papillomaviruses, is involved in the replication of HPV genomes. We have previously shown, in a murine model, that immunization with HPV18 E1 protein combined with α-galactosylceramide elicits a specific CD8+ T cell response. We further proved those findings by analyzing whether CD8+ T cells from mice immunized with α-galactosylceramide plus HPV18 E1 protein could have a cytotoxic effect on cells expressing the carboxyl-terminal domain from the E1 proteins of other HPV types. Interestingly, CD8+ T cells raised against HPV18 E1 antigen presented cross-reactivity against the E1 protein from HPV53, 33, 16, and 31. Poor cross-reactivity was observed for HPV11, and none for HPV6. This outcome may be relevant for the design of broad-spectrum immune-protective agents against HPV infections.

Type-Specific Human Papillomavirus Prevalence, Incident Cases, Persistence, and Associated Pregnancy Outcomes Among HIV-Infected Women in Kenya

Persistent infection with high-risk types of human papillomavirus (HPV) is the preeminent factor driving the development of cervical cancer. There are large gaps in knowledge about both the role of pregnancy in the natural history of HPV infection and the impact of HPV on pregnancy outcomes. This single-site prospective cohort substudy, nested within an international multisite randomized controlled trial, assessed prevalence, incident cases, and persistence of type-specific HPV infection, and the association between persistence of high-risk HPV infection with pregnancy outcomes among HIV-infected pregnant women in Kenya, including HIV transmission to infants. Type-specific HPV was assessed using a line probe assay in pregnancy and again at 3 months after delivery. HIV status of children was determined using polymerase chain reaction at 6 weeks. In total, 84.1% (206/245) of women had a high-risk HPV infection at enrollment. Three quarters (157/206) of these infections persisted postpartum. Persistence of HPV16 and/or HPV18 types was observed in more than half (53.4%; 39/73) of women with this infection at enrollment. Almost two-thirds had an incident high-risk HPV infection postpartum, which was not present in pregnancy (62.5%), most commonly HPV52 (19.0%). After adjustments, no association was detected between persistent high-risk HPV and preterm birth. All mothers of the 7 cases of infant HIV infection had persistent high-risk HPV infection (P = 0.044). High levels of high-risk HPV infection and type-specific persistence were documented, heightening the urgency of mass role out of HPV vaccination. The association between HPV persistence and HIV transmission is a novel finding, warranting further study.

Correlation of Cervical Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions with Human Papillomavirus in Women Infected with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus

The human papillomavirus (HPV) is the major etiologic agent in the development of cervical cancer with known risk factors like immunosuppression. The natural history of HPV infection is altered in persons infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The persistent HPV infection increases their risk of having cervical squamous intraepithelial lesions (SILs). This study emphasizes on prevalence of high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) and correlation with cervical smears cytology in HIV-positive women regardless of treatment. A cross-sectional observational study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital over a period of 2 years. The study group is comprised of HIV seropositive women attending antiretroviral treatment center. CD4 cell counts were taken from the records available, and cervical samples were taken for cytological analysis and HR-HPV testing. Statistical analysis was done using the software Epi 6 Info, and p value was calculated by Chi-square test and Fisher’s exact 2-tailed test for associations of abnormal cytology and to determine risk factors for abnormal cytology. The median age of the 100 participants was 33.34 years. Low-grade squamous intraepithelial neoplasms (LSILs), high-grade squamous intraepithelial neoplasms, atypical squamous cells of uncertain significance and atypical glandular cells were the precancerous lesions found. Prevalence of HR-HPV in HIV-positive women was found to be 35% among women with abnormal smears. A strong correlation between SILs and HR-HPV with p value of < 0.05 was found. A strong statistical correlation was also seen in between low CD4 count to that of detection of HR-HPV along with LSIL. A strong correlation between cervical SILs and HR-HPV in our study suggests that routine screening of cervical cytology by PAP smear should include HPV subtype identification in HIV-positive women to pick up cases which are likely to progress to invasive carcinoma.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) 16 E6 oncoprotein targets the Toll-like receptor pathway.

Cervical cancer is one of the leading causes of death in women worldwide and is etiologically linked to human papillomavirus (HPV) infection. Viral early proteins E6 and E7 manipulate cellular functions to promote the virus life cycle and are essential to the cellular transformation process. The innate immune system plays a pivotal role in the natural history of HPV infection. Among the various proteins that mediate the innate immune response, Toll-like receptors (TLRs) recognize pathogen-associated molecular patterns (PAMPs) and initiate the immune response. The objective of this study was to identify HPV E6 protein interaction partners in the TLR signalling pathway that may play a role in the immune response against HPV. Six TLR pathway proteins were shown to interact with HPV16 E6: myeloid differentiation primary response protein (MyD88), TIR domain-containing adapter molecule 1 (TRIF), interleukin-1 receptor-associated kinase-like (IRAK) 2, TNF receptor-associated factor (TRAF) 6, I-κB kinase beta (IKKβ) and I-κB kinase epsilon (IKKε). The interaction site of IKKε with E6 is located in the region containing the enzyme catalytic site, suggesting an influence of E6 on the activation of IKKε target proteins. HPV16 E6 potentiated the activation of NF-κB by various TLR pathway members. These results suggest that HPV16 has the ability to interfere with components of the immune response, contributing to HPV carcinogenesis.

Natural History of HPV Infection across the Lifespan: Role of Viral Latency.

Large-scale epidemiologic studies have been invaluable for elaboration of the causal relationship between persistent detection of genital human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and the development of invasive cervical cancer. However, these studies provide limited data to adequately inform models of the individual-level natural history of HPV infection over the course of a lifetime, and particularly ignore the biological distinction between HPV-negative tests and lack of infection (i.e., the possibility of latent, undetectable HPV infection). Using data from more recent epidemiological studies, this review proposes an alternative model of the natural history of genital HPV across the life span. We argue that a more complete elucidation of the age-specific probabilities of the alternative transitions is highly relevant with the expanded use of HPV testing in cervical cancer screening. With routine HPV testing in cervical cancer screening, women commonly transition in and out of HPV detectability, raising concerns for the patient and the provider regarding the source of the positive test result, its prognosis, and effective strategies to prevent future recurrence. Alternative study designs and analytic frameworks are proposed to better understand the frequency and determinants of these transition pathways.

Cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus vaccination in Germany

BackgroundThe aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in addition to the current cervical cancer screening programme in Germany using a dynamic transmission model.MethodsBased on a mathematical model simulating the transmission dynamics and the natural history of HPV infection and associated diseases (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, cervical cancer, and genital warts), we estimated the epidemiological and economic consequences of HPV vaccination with both the quadrivalent and bivalent vaccines. In our base case analysis, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating 12-year-old girls with a 3-dose schedule. In sensitivity analysis, we also evaluated the use of a 2-dose schedule and assessed the impact of vaccinating boys.ResultsFrom a health care payer perspective, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of a 3-dose schedule were €34,249 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for the bivalent and €14,711 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. Inclusion of indirect costs decreased ICERs by up to 40%. When adopting a health care payer perspective, ICERs of a 2-dose approach decreased to €19,450 per QALY for the bivalent and to €3645 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. From a societal perspective, a 2-dose approach using the quadrivalent vaccine was a cost-saving strategy while using the bivalent vaccine resulted in an ICER of €13,248 per QALY. Irrespective of the perspective adopted, additional vaccination of boys resulted in ICERs exceeding €50,000 per QALY, except for scenarios with low coverage (20%) in girls.ConclusionsOur model results suggest that routine HPV vaccination of 12-year-old girls with three doses is likely to be cost-effective in Germany. Due to the additional impact on genital warts, the quadrivalent vaccine appeared to be more cost-effective than the bivalent vaccine. A 2-dose schedule of the quadrivalent vaccine might even lead to cost savings when adopting a societal perspective. The cost-effectiveness of additional vaccination of boys was highly dependent on the coverage in girls.

Cost-effectiveness of HPV-based cervical cancer screening in the public health system in Nicaragua

ObjectivesTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA testing (versus Papanicolaou (Pap)-based screening) for cervical cancer screening in Nicaragua.DesignA previously developed Monte Carlo simulation model of the natural history...