Natural History Research Articles

Prospective evaluation of patients with non-cirrhotic portal hypertension: A single centre study.

Non-cirrhotic portal hypertension (NCPH) is a spectrum of liver diseases, including porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder, with portal hypertension (PH) in the absence of cirrhosis. The natural history and diagnostic approach to NCPH are not well understood. We aimed to evaluate disease progression and outcomes in NCPH. Patients with or at risk for NCPH were enrolled in a single centre prospective study; two groups were formed based on the presence of specific features of PH, such as varices, collaterals, portal hypertensive gastropathy or portal hypertensive bleeding. All participants underwent a baseline liver biopsy. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and imaging were repeated every 6-12 months. Fifteen patients without specific features of PH (Group I), and 35 patients with specific features (Group II) were enrolled. The median follow-up time was 50 months. Group II had higher hepatic venous pressure gradients, non-invasive measures of PH and a lower platelet count (PLT) when compared to Group I. Rates of survival and decompensation were similar in both groups. Patients with PLT ≤100 K/mcL had lower survival compared to those with PLT >100 K/mcL. Patients with LSM ≥10 kPa had lower survival and survival without decompensation when compared to patients with LSM <10 kPa. Patients irrespective of specific features of PH had similar survival or survival without decompensation. Patients without specific features are at risk for disease progression and should be monitored closely. Thrombocytopenia and increased LSM are associated with severe forms of liver disease, which are strongly associated with outcomes.

Natural History and Long-Term Outcomes of Medically Managed Type B Intramural Hematoma

Natural History and Long-Term Outcomes of Medically Managed Type B Intramural Hematoma

Diagnosis and Management of Desmoid Fibromatosis of the Breast.

Desmoid fibromatosis of the breast (also known as desmoid tumor of the breast) is a rare entity infrequently encountered by oncologists and surgeons caring for patients with breast disease. The current body of literature is highly reliant on case series and extrapolations from other sites of desmoid tumor-related disease. Much remains unclear regarding the pathological origins, natural history, and response to treatment of this condition. Traditional treatment strategies have centered on surgical resection, which may result in significantly disfiguring cosmetic and functional outcomes, frequent need for re-operation, and associated morbidity. There are limited data to support the superiority of upfront surgical resection when compared to medical therapy or watchful waiting strategies. Current treatment guidelines for desmoid tumors do not focus on the breast as a site of disease and are purposefully ambiguous due to the paucity of evidence available. We aim to review the literature concerning desmoid fibromatosis of the breast and propose an algorithm for current evidence-based management of this rare disease in the context of our experience with this pathology at a high-volume quaternary referral center.

The Product of Practices: How Natural History and Mathematical Physics Gave Meaning to Cartography’s Depth Contour Lines

The Product of Practices: How Natural History and Mathematical Physics Gave Meaning to Cartography’s Depth Contour Lines

Assessing the Natural History of Minor Amputations in Patients with Concomitant Diabetes and Peripheral Arterial Disease: A Medicare Analysis

Assessing the Natural History of Minor Amputations in Patients with Concomitant Diabetes and Peripheral Arterial Disease: A Medicare Analysis

The natural history of unrecognized diaphragmatic hernias after blunt trauma: A narrative review and presentation of three clinical cases

A diaphragmatic hernia may be the consequence of a blunt traumatic diaphragm rupture, representing a frequently misunderstood post-traumatic complication. Although it is uncommon, it may be associated with high morbidity and mortality when diagnosed late. An extensive review was conducted using the PubMed/MEDLINE (National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, USA) database for articles published in the English language. Three very interesting clinical cases are presented to demonstrate the clinical aspects of the reviewed evidence. They can show how the misrecognition of a left diaphragmatic rupture after a closed trauma can cause serious complications. Tension viscerothorax associated with hemodynamic shock is an example, which represents both an extremely rare and life-threatening complication.

Natural History of Carotid Artery Stenosis Progression on Patients With Vasculitis

Natural History of Carotid Artery Stenosis Progression on Patients With Vasculitis

Incidence and Natural History of Mesenteric Ischemia in Patients Already Hospitalized for Lower Extremity Bypass

Incidence and Natural History of Mesenteric Ischemia in Patients Already Hospitalized for Lower Extremity Bypass

Do we want to know the enormity of women's severe menstrual disorders and chronic pelvic pain?

ObjectiveThe purpose of this paper is to call for a nationwide study to assess the prevalence and incidence of women health problems related to menstrual disorders and severe pelvic pain. RationaleThe exact prevalence and incidence of endometriosis, adenomyosis, severe painful menstrual disorders, and of severe chronic pelvic pain are unknown. These issues severely impact women's quality of life and represent huge costs for our societies. Using adapted questionnaires, recent progresses in diagnosis and increased fundings announced by politicians, we can and should change this situation by performing a nationwide study to assess prevalence and incidence of these women problems in the French general population. The huge, anticipated costs of this study do appear quite reasonable when accounting for the enormous costs and societal consequences of endometriosis, menstrual disorders and severe pelvic pain. ConclusionThese long-awaited data will improve our understanding of the causes, consequences, and natural history of endometriosis. These data will allow women to better understand that pain is not always related to endometriosis, thus preventing unjustified fears. Physicians will be able to adapt and improve medical managements, particularly the diagnosis. Politicians will have the tools to improve women's health and gender equality.

Natural History of Untreated Idiopathic Sudden Sensorineural Hearing Loss.

Although corticosteroids and other treatments for idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL) have been described, understanding its prognosis without intervention provides valuable information for patient management. The objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive, quantitative statistical analysis of the natural history of untreated idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL). A systematic review and meta-analyses. Two independent searches of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases up to June 30, 2022, were performed. Adults with idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss who received placebo or were untreated and had audiometric outcome measures in all study types were reviewed. These data indicative of the natural history of ISSNHL were analyzed, as were study characteristics related to risk of bias. Heterogeneity as assessed via I2 and random effects analyses were performed. Six studies meeting the inclusion criteria yielded 319 untreated patients whose natural history could be assessed. Heterogeneity among studies was moderate, with a variety of reported outcomes. A hearing improvement of at least 30 dB HL was observed in 36% (95% CI 0.28-0.44) of untreated patients, and of at least 10 dB HL was observed in 70% (95% CI 0.57-0.82) of untreated patients at 3 months. The mean hearing gain among untreated patients was 24.0 dB HL (95% CI 2.65-45.37) at 2-3 months. The observed natural history of ISSNHL suggests that patients can regain some hearing without active treatment. In the absence of future studies collecting prospective natural history data from untreated or placebo-treated ISSNHL patients, the data presented here provide the best available historical control data for reconsideration of results in past ISSNHL studies, as well as a roadmap for design and interpretation of future ISSNHL treatment clinical trials. Furthermore, knowing there is a statistically significant mean hearing gain of 24.0 dB HL in the untreated/placebo group provides an ethical basis for future placebo study of ISSNHL. The current status on ISSNHL management calls for a multi-institutional, randomized, double-blind placebo-controlled trial with validated outcome measures to provide science-based treatment guidance. Laryngoscope, 2024.

Natural History of Indeterminate Liver Nodules in Patients With Advanced Liver Disease: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

Indeterminate liver nodules (ILNs) are frequently encountered on diagnostic imaging after positive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance results, but their natural history remains unclear. We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study among patients with ≥1 newly detected LI-RADS 3 (LR-3) lesion ≥1 cm or LI-RADS 4 (LR-4) lesion of any size (per LI-RADS v2018) between January 2018 and December 2019. Patients were followed with repeat imaging at each site per institutional standard of care. Multivariable Fine-Gray models were used to evaluate associations between potential risk factors and patient-level time-to-HCC diagnosis, with death and liver transplantation as competing risks. Of 307 patients with ILNs, 208 had LR-3 lesions, 83 had LR-4 lesions, and 16 had both LR-3 and LR-4 lesions. HCC incidence rates for patients with LR-3 and LR-4 lesions were 110 (95% CI 70-150) and 420 (95% CI 310-560) per 1,000 person-year, respectively. In multivariable analysis, incident HCC among patients with LR-3 lesions was associated with older age, thrombocytopenia (platelet count ≤150 ×10 9 /L), and elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein levels. Among those with LR-4 lesions, incident HCC was associated with a maximum lesion diameter >1 cm. Although most patients had follow-up computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging, 13.7% had no follow-up imaging and another 14.3% had follow-up ultrasound only. ILNs have a high but variable risk of HCC, with 4-fold higher risk in patients with LR-4 lesions than those with LR-3 lesions, highlighting a need for accurate risk stratification tools and close follow-up in this population.

Taxonomy and systematics of the Neotropical primates: a review and update

The database of the IUCN SSC Primate Specialist Group currently (December 2023) registers 218 species and subspecies of Neotropical primates in 24 genera and five families. In the early 1960s, the diversity of Neotropical primates was estimated to be around 200 species and subspecies. From then, through the 1970s to the mid-1990s, however, the perception of the region’s primate diversity dropped, and reached an all-time low at 83 species and subspecies in 1980 (A World List of Mammalian Species, G. B. Corbet and J. E. Hill, British Museum (Natural History), Comstock Publishing, Cornell University Press, London and Ithaca). Interest in taxonomy and primate field research in the Neotropics was subdued up to the late 1970s. Change was sparked by the burgeoning capture of primates for biomedical research in the 1950s and 1960s, and the increasing destruction of the Amazon rainforests from the late 1970s. The numbers increased, at first slowly, but then, in 1995, they leapt back to the 200s in anticipation of a book by C. P. Groves (2001, Primate Taxonomy, Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC). The species’ counts (not including subspecies) rose due to the adoption of the Phylogenetic Species Concept over the Biological Species Concept, the former favoring the category of species over subspecies. In this article, we discuss the changes in species and subspecies numbers in the classification of the Neotropical primates, and report on the taxonomic changes resulting from taxonomic research ongoing since 2012. We emphasize the importance of taxonomic research for an understanding of the diversity of primates, and for conservation planning, not least in identifying the populations that are threatened.

Natural history of eukaryotic DNA viruses with double jelly-roll major capsid proteins

The phylum Preplasmiviricota (kingdom Bamfordvirae, realm Varidnaviria) is a broad assemblage of diverse viruses with comparatively short double-stranded DNA genomes (<50 kbp) that produce icosahedral capsids built from double jelly-roll major capsid proteins. Preplasmiviricots infect hosts from all cellular domains, testifying to their ancient origin, and, in particular, are associated with six of the seven supergroups of eukaryotes. Preplasmiviricots comprise four major groups of viruses, namely, polintons, polinton-like viruses (PLVs), virophages, and adenovirids. We used protein structure modeling and analysis to show that protein-primed DNA polymerases (pPolBs) of polintons, virophages, and cytoplasmic linear plasmids encompass an N-terminal domain homologous to the terminal proteins (TPs) of prokaryotic PRD1-like tectivirids and eukaryotic adenovirids that are involved in protein-primed replication initiation, followed by a viral ovarian tumor-like cysteine deubiquitinylase (vOTU) domain. The vOTU domain is likely responsible for the cleavage of the TP from the large pPolB polypeptide and is inactivated in adenovirids, in which TP is a separate protein. Many PLVs and transpovirons encode a distinct derivative of polinton-like pPolB that retains the TP, vOTU, and pPolB polymerization palm domains but lacks the exonuclease domain and instead contains a superfamily 1 helicase domain. Analysis of the presence/absence and inactivation of the vOTU domains and replacement of pPolB with other DNA polymerases in eukaryotic preplasmiviricots enabled us to outline a complete scenario for their origin and evolution.

Genetic analysis and natural history of Parkinson's disease due to the LRRK2 G2019S variant.

The LRRK2 G2019S variant is the most common cause of monogenic Parkinson's disease (PD); however, questions remain regarding the penetrance, clinical phenotype and natural history of carriers. We performed a 3.5-year prospective longitudinal online study in a large number of 1286 genotyped LRRK2 G2019S carriers and 109 154 controls, with and without PD, recruited from the 23andMe Research Cohort. We collected self-reported motor and non-motor symptoms every 6 months, as well as demographics, family histories and environmental risk factors. Incident cases of PD (phenoconverters) were identified at follow-up. We determined lifetime risk of PD using accelerated failure time modelling and explored the impact of polygenic risk on penetrance. We also computed the genetic ancestry of all LRRK2 G2019S carriers in the 23andMe database and identified regions of the world where carrier frequencies are highest. We observed that despite a 1 year longer disease duration (P = 0.016), LRRK2 G2019S carriers with PD had similar burden of motor symptoms, yet significantly fewer non-motor symptoms including cognitive difficulties, REM sleep behaviour disorder (RBD) and hyposmia (all P-values ≤ 0.0002). The cumulative incidence of PD in G2019S carriers by age 80 was 49%. G2019S carriers had a 10-fold risk of developing PD versus non-carriers. This rose to a 27-fold risk in G2019S carriers with a PD polygenic risk score in the top 25% versus non-carriers in the bottom 25%. In addition to identifying ancient founding events in people of North African and Ashkenazi descent, our genetic ancestry analyses infer that the G2019S variant was later introduced to Spanish colonial territories in the Americas. Our results suggest LRRK2 G2019S PD appears to be a slowly progressive predominantly motor subtype of PD with a lower prevalence of hyposmia, RBD and cognitive impairment. This suggests that the current prodromal criteria, which are based on idiopathic PD, may lack sensitivity to detect the early phases of LRRK2 PD in G2019S carriers. We show that polygenic burden may contribute to the development of PD in the LRRK2 G2019S carrier population. Collectively, the results should help support screening programmes and candidate enrichment strategies for upcoming trials of LRRK2 inhibitors in early-stage disease.

Microbiota and Gut-Liver Axis: An Unbreakable Bond?

The gut microbiota, amounting to approximately 100 trillion (1014) microbes represents a genetic repertoire that is bigger than the human genome itself. Evidence on bidirectional interplay between human and microbial genes is mounting. Microbiota probably play vital roles in diverse aspects of normal human metabolism, such as digestion, immune modulation, and gut endocrine function, as well as in the genesis and progression of many human diseases. Indeed, the gut microbiota has been most closely linked to various chronic ailments affecting the liver, although concrete scientific data are sparse. In this narrative review, we initially discuss the basic epidemiology of gut microbiota and the factors influencing their initial formation in the gut. Subsequently, we delve into the gut-liver axis and the evidence regarding the link between gut microbiota and the genesis or progression of various liver diseases. Finally, we summarise the recent research on plausible ways to modulate the gut microbiota to alter the natural history of liver disease.

Impact of the difference in diagnostic criteria for adolescent polycystic ovary syndrome excluding polycystic ovarian morphology.

Exclusion of polycystic ovarian morphology (PCOM) from the diagnostic criteria for adolescent polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) has been proposed. We analyzed the profiles of adolescent women with suspected PCOS based on the Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology (JSOG) diagnostic and Rotterdam criteria, excluding those with PCOM. Thirteen- to twenty-one-year-old women with suspected or confirmed diagnosis of PCOS according to the JSOG and Rotterdam criteria were included in this study. Patient characteristics such as hormone levels and body mass index (BMI) were compared between the groups. Correlations between BMI and testosterone, and BMI and time to diagnosis were also analyzed. Twenty-nine patients were diagnosed with adolescent PCOS according to the JSOG criteria, and 11 patients according to the Rotterdam criteria after excluding the patients fulfilling the PCOM criteria. Serum testosterone levels were significantly higher in adolescents diagnosed with PCOS using the Rotterdam criteria than in those diagnosed using the JSOG criteria (p < 0.001). The obese group had significantly higher testosterone levels and a longer time from menarche to PCOS diagnosis. A positive correlation was observed between BMI and testosterone levels (r = 0.318, p = 0.014). Although adolescents with PCOS diagnosed using the Rotterdam criteria exhibited higher testosterone levels, which is a typical characteristic of this condition, the JSOG criteria may be useful for the early diagnosis of adolescent PCOS, including suspected cases. The differences between the two criteria may reflect the natural history of PCOS and its different reproductive and metabolic phenotypes.

Surgical treatment of inflammatory bowel disease: From the gastroenterologist’s stand-point

Treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn’s disease (CD) represents, in the majority of cases, a real challenge to the gastroenterologist’s abilities and skills as well as a clinical test concerning his/her levels of medical knowledge and experience. During the last two decades, our pharmaceutical arsenal was significantly strengthened, especially after the introduction of the so-called biological agents, drugs which to a large extent not only improved the results of conservative treatment but also changed the natural history of the disease. However, colectomy is still necessary for some patients with severe UC although smaller compared to the past, precisely because of the improvements achieved in the available conservative treatment. Nevertheless, surgeries to treat colon dysplasia and cancer are increasing to some extent. At the same time, satisfactory improvements in surgical techniques, the pre-and post-operative care of patients, as well as the selection of the appropriate time for performing the surgery have been noticed. Regarding patients with CD, the improvement of conservative treatment did not significantly change the need for surgical treatment since two-thirds of patients need to undergo surgery at some point in the course of their disease. On the other hand, the outcome of the operation has improved through good preoperative care as well as the wide application of more conservative surgical techniques aimed at keeping as much of the bowel in situ as possible. This article discusses the indications for surgical management of UC patients from the gastroenterologist’s point of view, the results of the emerging new techniques such as transanal surgery and robotics, as well as alternative operations to the classic ileo-anal-pouch anastomosis. The author also discusses the basic principles of surgical management of patients with CD based on the results of the relevant literature. The self-evident is emphasized, that is, to achieve an excellent therapeutic result in patients with severe inflammatory bowel disease in today’s era; the close cooperation of gastroenterologists with surgeons, pathologists, imaging, and nutritionists is of paramount importance.

The Yellow River: A Natural and Unnatural History, written by Ruth Mostern

The Yellow River: A Natural and Unnatural History, written by Ruth Mostern

Genetic counselling for at-risk family members with hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis: data from a single-centre study

Background Hereditary transthyretin-related amyloidosis is an autosomal dominant disorder. Recently, disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) have been developed. For at-risk individuals, genetic analysis aids in the early administration of medical care; however, few studies have evaluated the current status of genetic counselling and management of presymptomatic carriers of amyloidogenic variants. Methods We retrospectively evaluated the medical records of 202 consecutive participants. Results A total of 103 clients who received genetic counselling for predictive testing were at-risk, and 83 underwent predictive testing. Genetic testing results were positive in 33 patients, 11 of whom had confirmed amyloid deposition and were administered DMTs. For presymptomatic V30M (p.V50M) carriers, 32.0 ± 2.4 years (median ± standard error) was the age when amyloid deposition was first identified (95% confidence interval 27.4–36.6). Serum transthyretin (TTR) levels decreased serially with an estimated slope of −1.2 mg/dL/year. Conclusions Our study suggests the clinical utility of management using a combination of predictive testing and monitoring methods. Psychosocial support should be considered with collaboration between geneticists/genetic counsellors and psychologists. For a more optimised protocol for monitoring and designing future interventional trials in presymptomatic carriers, prospective cohort studies are necessary to clarify the natural history, particularly in the early stages of the disease.

Outcome Trajectories after Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most morbid of all stroke types with a high early mortality and significant early disability burden. Traditionally, outcome assessments after ICH have mirrored those of acute ischemic stroke, with 3 months post-ICH being considered a standard time point in most clinical trials, observational studies, and clinical practice. At this time point, the majority of ICH survivors remain with moderate to severe functional disability. However, emerging data suggest that recovery after ICH occurs over a more protracted course and requires longer periods of follow-up, with more than 40% of ICH survivors with initial severe disability improving to partial or complete functional independence over 1 year. Multiple other domains of recovery impact ICH survivors including cognition, mood, and health-related quality of life, all of which remain under studied in ICH. To further complicate the picture, the most important driver of mortality after ICH is early withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies, before initiation of treatment and evaluating effects of prolonged supportive care, influenced by early pessimistic prognostication based on baseline severity factors and prognostication biases. Thus, our understanding of the true natural history of ICH recovery remains limited. This review summarizes the existing literature on outcome trajectories in functional and nonfunctional domains, describes limitations in current prognostication practices, and highlights areas of uncertainty that warrant further research.