National Critical Care Research Articles

Increased national critical care demands were associated with a higher mortality of intubated COVID-19 patients in Japan: a retrospective observational study

BackgroundThere was no study to investigate the association between the national surge of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients and the mortality of mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients. The aim of this study was to assess the association between mortality in mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients and two distinct national COVID-19 surge indices: (1) the daily number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases, representing overall medical demands and (2) the total number of critically ill COVID-19 patients, reflecting critical care demands.MethodsWe analyzed the patient data registered in a national database of mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients between February 6, 2020, and May 16, 2023, combined with the data officially published by the Japanese government. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association of these two indices with COVID-19 mortality. A generalized linear mixed effect model was used to examine the relationships between the variation in the impact of critical care demands across hospitals and the variation in baseline risk across hospitals.ResultsThe data of 8327 patients from 264 centers in Japan were analyzed. The overall mortality rate was 24% (1990/8327). The critical care demands, but not overall medical demands, were independently associated with the mortality (OR, 1.11; 95% CI 1.07–1.16; p < 0.001). This effect of critical care demands on the mortality was more pronounced in hospitals with higher baseline risk (r = 0.67).ConclusionsThe national critical care demands were independently associated with the mortality of COVID-19 patients requiring mechanical ventilation. This effect was more pronounced in hospitals with higher baseline risk.

Neurosurgery in Australia's Top End: the lifesaving advantages of developing sustainable neurosurgical care in rural and remote regions.

The authors' goal was to perform a retrospective audit of all emergency cranial neurosurgery performed at the Royal Darwin Hospital in the first 5 years of the unit and to compile their data in a similar fashion to an earlier study titled "Emergency Neurosurgery in Darwin: Still the Generalist Surgeons' Responsibility," which was published in 2015. All emergency cranial neurosurgery performed by a neurosurgeon between 2017 and 2021 was identified. Data were extracted from the National Critical Care and Trauma Response Centre database. Statistical analyses were descriptive logistic regression performed using Stata version 15.1 software to examine factors associated with death. A total of 320 patients (42% Indigenous) underwent 427 emergency neurosurgeries. There were 35 emergency neurosurgeries in 2017 and 82 in 2021. The most common procedure performed was insertion of an external ventricular drain, followed by craniotomy and removal of intracranial hematoma. Mortality was 7.5% overall and 8.4% among patients with trauma. Only age proved to be a statistically significant independent risk factor for death (t = -2.95, p < 0.0041; OR 1.06, p = 0.02). Location, sex, injury severity, and presenting Glasgow Coma Scale score were not associated with death. Indigenous and non-Indigenous patients had similar outcomes. The data illustrate the importance of developing small but sustainable neurosurgical units in rural and remote areas. A dedicated neurosurgical unit at the Royal Darwin Hospital has led to an increase in the amount and variety of emergency neurosurgery performed in Darwin. Interstate transfers have reduced. This has tangible lifesaving and economic advantages.

Critical care nurses' competence in mentoring students in intensive care units—A cross-sectional study

BackgroundMentors play an important role in the practical education of critical care nursing students in intensive care units, yet little is known about the mentoring competencies of critical care nurses. AimThe aim of this study was to assess Norwegian critical care nurses' competence in mentoring students in intensive care units. DesignThis study has a descriptive, cross-sectional design, utilising a self-administered online survey. SettingsThe study population consisted of critical care nurses who mentor students in Norwegian intensive care units. Participants178 critical care nurses participated in the study. The participants were recruited by contacting the units directly, through social media, and at a national critical care nursing conference. MethodsThe study utilised the Mentors' Competence Instrument, a self-evaluation tool for evaluating mentoring competence. ResultsThe Norwegian critical care nurses generally evaluated their mentoring competence as middle to high level. The “reflection during mentoring” dimension was rated as the highest and “student-centered evaluation” as the lowest competence dimension. The critical care nurses who had formal mentoring education reported significantly higher mentoring competences, but the other demographic characteristics were not related to mentoring competence. Regardless of previous mentoring education, most participants reported a need to further develop their mentoring competencies. ConclusionsEmployers should collaborate with educational institutions to establish a system for continuous competence development for critical care nurse mentors.

The burden of anxiety, depression, and stress, along with the prevalence of symptoms of PTSD, and perceptions of the drivers of psychological harms, as perceived by doctors and nurses working in ICUs in Nepal during the COVID-19 pandemic; a mixed method evaluation.

The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant physical and psychological impacts for survivors, and for the healthcare professionals caring for patients. Nurses and doctors in critical care faced longer working hours, increased burden of patients, and limited resources, all in the context of personal social isolation and uncertainties regarding cross-infection. We evaluated the burden of anxiety, depression, stress, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and alcohol dependence among doctors and nurses working in intensive care units (ICUs) in Nepal and explored the individual and social drivers for these impacts. We conducted a mixed-methods study in Nepal, using an online survey to assess psychological well-being and semi-structured interviews to explore perceptions as to the drivers of anxiety, stress, and depression. Participants were recruited from existing national critical care professional organisations in Nepal and using a snowball technique. The online survey comprised of validated assessment tools for anxiety, depression, stress, PTSD, and alcohol dependence; all tools were analysed using published guidelines. Interviews were analysed using rapid appraisal techniques, and themes regarding the drivers for psychological distress were explored. 134 respondents (113 nurses, 21 doctors) completed the online survey. Twenty-eight (21%) participants experienced moderate to severe symptoms of depression; 67 (50%) experienced moderate or severe symptoms of anxiety; 114 (85%) had scores indicative of moderate to high levels of stress; 46 out of 100 reported symptoms of PTSD. Compared to doctors, nurses experienced more severe symptoms of depression, anxiety, and PTSD, whereas doctors experienced higher levels of stress than nurses. Most (95%) participants had scores indicative of low risk of alcohol dependence. Twenty participants were followed up in interviews. Social stigmatism, physical and emotional safety, enforced role change and the absence of organisational support were perceived drivers for poor psychological well-being. Nurses and doctors working in ICU during the COVID-19 pandemic sustained psychological impacts, manifesting as stress, anxiety, and for some, symptoms of PTSD. Nurses were more vulnerable. Individual characteristics and professional inequalities in healthcare may be potential modifiable factors for policy makers seeking to mitigate risks for healthcare providers.

Critical care bed capacity in Asian countries and regions before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: an observational study

BackgroundThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic highlighted the importance of critical care. The aim of the current study was to compare the number of adult critical care beds in relation to population size in Asian countries and regions before (2017) and during (2022) the pandemic. MethodsThis observational study collected data closest to 2022 on critical care beds (intensive care units and intermediate care units) in 12 middle-income and 7 high-income economies (using the 2022-2023 World Bank classification), through a mix of methods including government sources, national critical care societies, personal contacts, and data extrapolation. Data were compared with a prior study from 2017 of the same countries and regions. FindingsThe cumulative number of critical care beds per 100,000 population increased from 3.0 in 2017 to 9.4 in 2022 (p = 0.003). The median figure for middle-income economies increased from 2.6 (interquartile range [IQR] 1.7 to 7.8) to 6.6 (IQR 2.2 to 13.3), and that for high-income economies increased from 11.4 (IQR 7.3 to 22.8) to 13.9 (IQR 10.7 to 21.7). Only 3 countries did not see a rise in bed capacity. Where data were available in 2022, 10.9% of critical care beds were in single rooms (median 5.0% in middle-income and 20.3% in high-income economies), and 5.3% had negative pressure (median 0.7% in middle-income and 18.5% in high-income economies). InterpretationCritical care bed capacity in the studied Asian countries and regions increased close to three-fold from 2017 to 2022. Much of this increase was attributed to middle-income economies, but substantial heterogeneity exists.

Association between ICU quality and in-hospital mortality of V-V ECMO-supported patients-the ECMO quality improvement action (EQIA) study: a national cohort study in China from 2017 to 2019.

This cohort study was performed to explore the influence of intensive care unit (ICU) quality on in-hospital mortality of veno-venous (V-V) extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO)-supported patients in China. The study involved all V-V ECMO-supported patients in 318 of 1700 tertiary hospitals from 2017 to 2019, using data from the National Clinical Improvement System and China National Critical Care Quality Control Center. ICU quality was assessed by quality control indicators and capacity parameters. Among the 2563 V-V ECMO-supported patients in 318 hospitals, a significant correlation was found between ECMO-related complications and prognosis. The reintubation rate within 48 hours after extubation and the total ICU mortality rate were independent risk factors for higher in-hospital mortality of V-V ECMO-supported patients (cutoff: 1.5% and 7.0%; 95% confidence interval: 1.05-1.48 and 1.04-1.45; odds ratios: 1.25 and 1.23; P = 0.012 and P = 0.015, respectively). Meanwhile, the V-V ECMO center volume was a protective factor (cutoff of ≥ 50 cases within the 3-year study period; 95% confidence interval: 0.57-0.83, odds ratio: 0.69, P = 0.0001). The subgroup analysis of 864 patients in 11 high-volume centers further strengthened these findings. Thus, ICU quality may play an important role in improving the prognosis of V-V ECMO-supported patients.

Pre-hospital and retrieval medicine in Scotland: a retrospective cohort study of the workload and outcomes of the emergency medical retrieval service in the first decade of national coverage

BackgroundThe Emergency Medical Retrieval Service (EMRS) has provided national pre-hospital critical care and aeromedical retrieval in Scotland since 2010. This study investigates trends in the service and patients attended over the last decade; and factors associated with clinical deterioration and pre-hospital death.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted of all service taskings over ten years (2011–2020 inclusive). The EMRS electronic database provided data on location, sociodemographic factors, diagnoses, physiological measurements, clinical management, and pre-hospital deaths. Binary logistic regression models were used to determine change in physiology in pre-hospital care, and factors associated with pre-hospital death. Geospatial modelling, using road and air travel time models, was used to explore transfer times.ResultsEMRS received 8,069 taskings over the study period, of which 2,748 retrieval and 3,633 pre-hospital critical care missions resulted in patient contact. EMRS was more commonly dispatched to socioeconomically deprived areas for pre-hospital critical care incidents (Spearman’s rank correlation, r(8)=-0.75, p = 0.01). In multivariate analysis, systolic blood pressure < 90mmHg, respiratory rate < 6/min or > 30/min, and Glasgow Coma Score ≤ 14 were associated with pre-hospital mortality independent of demographic factors. Geospatial modelling suggested that aeromedical retrieval reduced the mean time to a critical care unit by 1 h 46 min compared with road/ferry transportation.ConclusionEMRS continues to develop, delivering Pre-Hospital and Retrieval Medicine across Scotland and may have a role in addressing health inequalities, including socioeconomic deprivation and geographic isolation. Age, specific distances from care, and abnormal physiology are associated with death in pre-hospital critical care.

Splenic trauma in the Northern Territory; the impact of an interventional radiology service on splenic trauma management and outcomes

BackgroundThe spleen is the most commonly injured organ in abdominal trauma. Guidelines suggest non-operative management (NOM) is preferred over splenectomy for all haemodynamically stable patients, regardless of injury severity. The availability of splenic angioembolization has been shown to improve outcomes for high-grade splenic injuries by decreasing failure rates of NOM. Trauma incidence and fatality rates are higher in regional and remote areas, and rurality is associated with increased mortality from trauma. Additionally, rural hospitals have difficulty with staff retention and may offer less specialist services compared with urban centres. MethodsA single-centre retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Royal Darwin Hospital, using the National Critical Care and Trauma Response Centre database. All patients with splenic injury admitted between January 2018 and December 2021 were selected, and divided into control and intervention cohorts, before and after January 1, 2020, correlating with interventional radiology availability. Demographic information included age, gender, mechanism of injury, AIS grade of splenic injury, injury severity score, and shock index. The primary outcome was management of splenic injury and failure rate of NOM. Secondary outcomes included mortality, ICU length of stay and hospital length of stay. ResultsSixty-six patients met inclusion criteria, 32 controls and 34 interventions. Intervention and control groups were statistically similar for baseline demographics, and outcome measures of mortality and ICU length of stay. There was significant difference in the management of splenic injury, either OM or NOM, between intervention and control cohorts among high-grade splenic injury patients (AIS grade 4 and 5). In logistic regression analysis, the absence of interventional radiology was associated with increased OM (OR 12.8, SE 15.7, p = 0.04, 95%CI 1.15–142). ConclusionThe absence of an interventional radiology service was associated with an increased risk of operative management, suggesting interventional radiology helps to prevent splenectomy, improving long term outcomes for splenic trauma patients in regional settings. The effects of availability of IR seen in international publications on decreased mortality and shorter length of stay were not replicated in this study.

Designing a national pediatric critical care database: a Delphi consensus study.

We sought to describe the processes undertaken for the systematic selection and consensus determination of the common data elements for inclusion in a national pediatric critical care database in Canada. We conducted a multicentre Delphi consensus study of Canadian pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) participating in the creation of a national database. Participants were PICU health care professionals, allied health professionals, caregivers, and other stakeholders. A dedicated panel group created a baseline survey of data elements based on literature, current PICU databases, and expertise in the field. The survey was then used for a Delphi iterative consensus process over three rounds, conducted from March to June 2021. Of 86 invited participants, 68 (79%) engaged and agreed to participate as part of an expert panel. Panel participants were sent three rounds of the survey with response rates of 62 (91%), 61 (90%) and 55 (81%), respectively. After three rounds, 72 data elements were included from six domains, mostly reflecting clinical status and complex medical interventions received in the PICU. While race, gender, and home region were included by consensus, variables such as minority status, indigenous status, primary language, and ethnicity were not. We present the methodological framework used to select data elements by consensus for a national pediatric critical care database, with participation from a diverse stakeholder group of experts and caregivers from all PICUs in Canada. The selected core data elements will provide standardized and synthesized data for research, benchmarking, and quality improvement initiatives of critically ill children.

Development of a national out-of-hospital transfusion protocol: a modified RAND Delphi study.

Early resuscitation with blood components or products is emerging as best practice in selected patients with trauma and medical patients; as a result, out-of-hospital transfusion (OHT) programs are being developed based on limited and often conflicting evidence. This study aimed to provide guidance to Canadian critical care transport organizations on the development of OHT protocols. The study period was July 2021 to June 2022. We used a modified RAND Delphi process to achieve consensus on statements created by the study team guiding various aspects of OHT in the context of critical care transport. Purposive sampling ensured representative distribution of participants in regard to geography and relevant clinical specialties. We conducted 2 written survey Delphi rounds, followed by a virtual panel discussion (round 3). Consensus was defined as a median score of at least 6 on a Likert scale ranging from 1 ("Definitely should not include") to 7 ("Definitely should include"). Statements that did not achieve consensus in the first 2 rounds were discussed and voted on during the panel discussion. Seventeen subject experts participated in the study, all of whom completed the 3 Delphi rounds. After the study process was completed, a total of 39 statements were agreed on, covering the following domains: general oversight and clinical governance, storage and transport of blood components and products, initiation of OHT, types of blood components and products, delivery and monitoring of OHT, indications for and use of hemostatic adjuncts, and resuscitation targets of OHT. This expert consensus document provides guidance on OHT best practices. The consensus statements should support efficient and safe OHT in national and international critical care transport programs.

Development of Core Outcome Sets for trials on the management of Atrial fiBrillAtion in Critically Unwell patientS (COS-ABACUS): a protocol

IntroductionAtrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in critically unwell patients. New-onset AF (NOAF) affects 5%–11% of all admissions and up to 46% admitted with septic shock. NOAF...

Association between quality control and outcomes of septic shock caused by intestinal perforation in China: a cross-sectional study

Septic shock, largely caused by intestinal perforation, is a common critical disease in intensive care unit (ICU). For hospitals and health systems, a performance improvement program for sepsis was strong recommended in guidelines. Numerous studies have shown that improved quality control improves outcomes in patients with septic shock. Nevertheless, association between quality control and outcomes of septic shock caused by intestinal perforation are not fully revealed. Thus we designed this study to investigate effects of quality control on septic shock caused by intestinal perforation in China. This was a multicenter observational study. A total of 463 hospitals were enrolled in this survey, led by the China National Critical Care Quality Control Center (China-NCCQC) from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018. In this study, the indicators of quality control included the proportion of ICU patient bed occupancy to total inpatient bed occupancy, the proportion of ICU patients with APACHE II score ≥ 15, and the microbiology detection rate before antibiotic use. The outcome indicators included hospital stays, hospitalization costs, complications, and mortality. Generalized linear mixed models were used to analyse the association between quality control and septic shock caused by intestinal perforation. The proportion of ICU patient bed occupancy to total inpatient bed occupancy is positively correlated with hospital stays, incidence of complications (ARDS, AKI) and costs in septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). The proportion of ICU patients with APACHE II score ≥ 15 was not associated with hospital stays and incidence of ARDS and AKI (p < 0.05). Increasing of the proportion of ICU patients with APACHE II score ≥ 15 decreased the costs of patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). The microbiology detection rate before antibiotic use was not associated with hospital stays, incidence of AKI and costs of patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). Surprisingly, the increase of microbiology detection rate before antibiotic use increased the incidence of ARDS in patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). The above three indicators of quality control were not associated with mortality of the patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation. On the one hand, the number of ICU patients admitted should be controlled to reduce the proportion of ICU patients out of total inpatient bed occupancy. On the other hand, intensive care unit admission of severe patients (patients with APACHE II score ≥ 15) should be encouraged to improve the proportion of patients with APACHE II score ≥ 15 in the ICU, so that ICU can focus more on the treatment of severe patients and promote the professionalization of severe patient management. It is not advisable to collect sputum specimens too frequently for patients without pneumonia.

Nurses' experience of an Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygentation (ECMO) clinical support team during the COVID-19 pandemic: A service evaluation.

BackgroundThe COVID‐19 pandemic placed unprecedented stress on the National Health Service and critical care units including those with Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) facility as this intervention had proved successful with H1N1 patients in 2009. To successfully care for the influx of ECMO patients, an ECMO clinical support team (ECST) formed by redeployed staff was created to assist critical care nurses.AimThis service evaluation aims to review the experience of critical care nursing staff working with an ECST during the period of increased provision of ECMO care.DesignA UK‐based single‐site qualitative service evaluation was followed.MethodCritical care nursing staff's feedback was anonymously collected using a paper questionnaire designed for this project. Data were analysed using inductive content analysis.FindingsApproximately 40 critical care nurses were invited to complete a questionnaire, 19 (48%) of whom completed it within the available timeframe. A variety of themes were identified including ‘Prior knowledge of ECST’, ‘Management matters’, ‘ECST in action’, ‘ECST response’, ‘Emotions’ and ‘Overall experience of the ECST’. Staff initially reported apprehension regarding a new team and training responsibilities. Following the rollout of the ECST, nurses' accounts described the utilization of the ECST and subsequent stress relief. Feedback commented on the ECST's positive attitude, effective team working with the critical care team and provision of moral support. Nurses' gratitude was strongly conveyed throughout, with many expressing the positive effect of the ECST on staff emotional well‐being.ConclusionThe implementation of the ECST provided clinical and emotional support to nurses. The ECST demonstrated the effective use of redeployed health care staff to support the critical care unit at a time of a significant increase in patients requiring ECMO. This could be used as a model to enhance staffing levels in the event of future viral outbreaks.

Team Performance in High-Fidelity Simulations of Postpartum Hemorrhage Management [A336

INTRODUCTION: Postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is a leading cause of maternal mortality and presents care teams with unique, time-sensitive challenges. Simulation provides a way to evaluate team performance with no risk to patients. Identification of common errors is important to target training and optimize outcomes. METHODS: High-fidelity simulation exercises were conducted at a national obstetric critical care conference between 2014 and 2019. A simulated case of a PPH preceded by placental abruption was performed by multidisciplinary teams using high-fidelity simulators. Team performance was evaluated using a standardized checklist of key actions, and each item was scored as “not done”, “poorly done”, or “well done”. Descriptive statistics were then compiled for analysis. The study was reviewed and determined to be exempt by the hospital institutional review board. RESULTS: Complete performance data was available for 155 teams. Appropriate diagnosis of etiology of the hemorrhage (uterine atony) and timely recognition of the need for operative management was well done by most teams (91% and 92.3%, respectively). However, a significant number of teams demonstrated poor performance regarding inspection for lacerations (34.2%) and checking for retained products of conception (38.1%). Additionally, poor performance was identified for timely initiation of blood transfusion (11.6%) and activation of a massive transfusion protocol (20.6%). CONCLUSION: Thorough assessment of time-sensitive care interventions revealed specific deficits in team performance of PPH. High-fidelity simulation provides opportunities for exposure to obstetric emergency and may help to both target and determine the effectiveness of trainings designed to address these identified performance gaps.

Association Between Different DVT Prevention Methods and Outcomes of Septic Shock Caused by Intestinal Perforation in China: A Cross-Sectional Study.

IntroductionSeptic shock, largely caused by intestinal perforation, is the most common critical illness in intensive care unit (ICU). As an important quality control strategy in ICU, deep vein thrombosis (DVT) prevention is routinely used in the treatment of septic shock. Nevertheless, the effects of DVT prevention on septic shock are not fully revealed. This study was thus designed to investigate the effects of DVT prevention on septic shock caused by intestinal perforation in China.MethodsA total of 463 hospitals were enrolled in a survey, led by the China National Critical Care Quality Control Center (China NCCQC) from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018. The association between DVT prevention, including pharmacological prophylaxis and mechanical prophylaxis, and outcomes, such as prognosis, complications, hospital stays, and hospitalization costs, was determined in the present study.Main ResultsNotably, the increased rates of DVT prevention were not associated with the onset of complications in patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p > 0.05). In addition, even though increased DVT prevention did not affect hospital stays, it significantly decreased the discharge rates without doctor's order in patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). Nevertheless, it should be noted that the rates of pharmacological prophylaxis but not mechanical prophylaxis were significantly associated with the costs of septic shock caused by intestinal perforation (p < 0.05). Although increased total rates of DVT prevention and the rates of mechanical prophylaxis did not reduce the mortality in patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation, the higher frequent intervention using pharmacological prophylaxis indicated the lower mortality of these patients (p < 0.05).ConclusionsDVT prevention by any means is a safe therapeutic strategy for treating septic shock caused by intestinal perforation, and pharmacological prophylaxis reduced the mortality of patients with septic shock caused by intestinal perforation.

Neutralisation Hierarchy of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern Using Standardised, Quantitative Neutralisation Assays Reveals a Correlation With Disease Severity; Towards Deciphering Protective Antibody Thresholds.

The rise of SARS-CoV-2 variants has made the pursuit to define correlates of protection more troublesome, despite the availability of the World Health Organisation (WHO) International Standard for anti-SARS-CoV-2 Immunoglobulin sera, a key reagent used to standardise laboratory findings into an international unitage. Using pseudotyped virus, we examine the capacity of convalescent sera, from a well-defined cohort of healthcare workers (HCW) and Patients infected during the first wave from a national critical care centre in the UK to neutralise B.1.1.298, variants of interest (VOI) B.1.617.1 (Kappa), and four VOCs, B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.351 (Beta), P.1 (Gamma) and B.1.617.2 (Delta), including the B.1.617.2 K417N, informally known as Delta Plus. We utilised the WHO International Standard for anti-SARS-CoV-2 Immunoglobulin to report neutralisation antibody levels in International Units per mL. Our data demonstrate a significant reduction in the ability of first wave convalescent sera to neutralise the VOCs. Patients and HCWs with more severe COVID-19 were found to have higher antibody titres and to neutralise the VOCs more effectively than individuals with milder symptoms. Using an estimated threshold for 50% protection, 54 IU/mL, we found most asymptomatic and mild cases did not produce titres above this threshold.

Rapid Evaluation of Coronavirus Illness Severity (RECOILS) in intensive care: Development and validation of a prognostic tool for in-hospital mortality.

BackgroundThe prediction of in‐hospital mortality for ICU patients with COVID‐19 is fundamental to treatment and resource allocation. The main purpose was to develop an easily implemented score for such prediction.MethodsThis was an observational, multicenter, development, and validation study on a national critical care dataset of COVID‐19 patients. A systematic literature review was performed to determine variables possibly important for COVID‐19 mortality prediction. Using a logistic multivariable model with a LASSO penalty, we developed the Rapid Evaluation of Coronavirus Illness Severity (RECOILS) score and compared its performance against published scores.ResultsOur development (validation) cohort consisted of 1480 (937) adult patients from 14 (11) Dutch ICUs admitted between March 2020 and April 2021. Median age was 65 (65) years, 31% (26%) died in hospital, 74% (72%) were males, average length of ICU stay was 7.83 (10.25) days and average length of hospital stay was 15.90 (19.92) days. Age, platelets, PaO2/FiO2 ratio, pH, blood urea nitrogen, temperature, PaCO2, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score measured within +/−24 h of ICU admission were used to develop the score. The AUROC of RECOILS score was 0.75 (CI 0.71–0.78) which was higher than that of any previously reported predictive scores (0.68 [CI 0.64–0.71], 0.61 [CI 0.58–0.66], 0.67 [CI 0.63–0.70], 0.70 [CI 0.67–0.74] for ISARIC 4C Mortality Score, SOFA, SAPS‐III, and age, respectively).ConclusionsUsing a large dataset from multiple Dutch ICUs, we developed a predictive score for mortality of COVID‐19 patients admitted to ICU, which outperformed other predictive scores reported so far.

Staff perceptions of family access and visitation policies in Australian and New Zealand intensive care units: The WELCOME-ICU survey

BackgroundFamily-centred critical care recognises the impact of a loved one's critical illness on his relatives. Open visiting is a strategy to improve family satisfaction and psychological outcomes by permitting unrestricted or less restricted access to visit their family member in the intensive care unit (ICU). However, increased family presence may result in increased workload and a risk of burnout for ICU staff. ObjectivesThe objective of this study was to evaluate ICU staff perceptions regarding visiting hours and family access in Australian and New Zealand ICUs. Secondary outcomes included an evaluation of current visiting policies, witnessed events in ICUs, and barriers to implementing open visiting policies. DesignA web-based survey open to all healthcare workers in Australia and New Zealand ICUs was distributed through local, state-based, and national critical care networks. Open visiting was defined as ICUs open for visiting >14 h per day. Main resultsWe received 1255 valid responses. Most respondents were nurses (n = 930, 74.1%) with a median critical care experience of 10 y. Most worked in open visiting ICUs (n = 749, 59.7%). Reported visiting hours varied greatly with a median of 20 h per day (interquartile range: 10–24 h). Open visiting was perceived as beneficial for the relatives, but less so for patients and staff (relatives: n = 845, 67.3%, patients: n = 561, 44.7%, staff: n = 257, 20.5%, p < 0.0001). Respondents from closed visiting units and nurses identified more risks from open visiting than other professional groups. Generally, staff preferred not to change from their current practice. ConclusionWe report that staff perceived open visiting as beneficial for relatives, but also identified risks to themselves, including increased workload, a risk of burnout, and a risk of occupational violence. Reluctance to change highlights the importance of addressing staff perceptions when implementing an open visiting policy.

Mortality and critical care unit admission associated with the SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England: an observational cohort study

SummaryBackgroundA more transmissible variant of SARS-CoV-2, the variant of concern 202012/01 or lineage B.1.1.7, has emerged in the UK. We aimed to estimate the risk of critical care admission, mortality in patients who are critically ill, and overall mortality associated with lineage B.1.1.7 compared with non-B.1.1.7. We also compared clinical outcomes between these two groups.MethodsFor this observational cohort study, we linked large primary care (QResearch), national critical care (Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre Case Mix Programme), and national COVID-19 testing (Public Health England) databases. We used SARS-CoV-2 positive samples with S-gene molecular diagnostic assay failure (SGTF) as a proxy for the presence of lineage B.1.1.7. We extracted two cohorts from the data: the primary care cohort, comprising patients in primary care with a positive community COVID-19 test reported between Nov 1, 2020, and Jan 26, 2021, and known SGTF status; and the critical care cohort, comprising patients admitted for critical care with a positive community COVID-19 test reported between Nov 1, 2020, and Jan 27, 2021, and known SGTF status. We explored the associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection with and without lineage B.1.1.7 and admission to a critical care unit (CCU), 28-day mortality, and 28-day mortality following CCU admission. We used Royston-Parmar models adjusted for age, sex, geographical region, other sociodemographic factors (deprivation index, ethnicity, household housing category, and smoking status for the primary care cohort; and ethnicity, body-mass index, deprivation index, and dependency before admission to acute hospital for the CCU cohort), and comorbidities (asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, type 1 and 2 diabetes, and hypertension for the primary care cohort; and cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, metastatic disease, and immunocompromised conditions for the CCU cohort). We reported information on types and duration of organ support for the B.1.1.7 and non-B.1.1.7 groups.FindingsThe primary care cohort included 198 420 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Of these, 117 926 (59·4%) had lineage B.1.1.7, 836 (0·4%) were admitted to CCU, and 899 (0·4%) died within 28 days. The critical care cohort included 4272 patients admitted to CCU. Of these, 2685 (62·8%) had lineage B.1.1.7 and 662 (15·5%) died at the end of critical care. In the primary care cohort, we estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2·15 (95% CI 1·75–2·65) for CCU admission and 1·65 (1·36–2·01) for 28-day mortality for patients with lineage B.1.1.7 compared with the non-B.1.1.7 group. The adjusted HR for mortality in critical care, estimated with the critical care cohort, was 0·91 (0·76–1·09) for patients with lineage B.1.1.7 compared with those with non-B.1.1.7 infection.InterpretationPatients with lineage B.1.1.7 were at increased risk of CCU admission and 28-day mortality compared with patients with non-B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2. For patients receiving critical care, mortality appeared to be independent of virus strain. Our findings emphasise the importance of measures to control exposure to and infection with COVID-19.FundingWellcome Trust, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, and the Medical Sciences Division of the University of Oxford.

Developing a Thai national critical care allocation guideline during the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review and stakeholder consultation

BackgroundAt the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, Thailand had almost depleted its critical care resources, particularly intensive care unit (ICU) beds and ventilators. This prompted the necessity to develop a national guideline for resource allocation. This paper describes the development process of a national guideline for critical resource allocation in Thailand during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsThe guideline development process consisted of three steps: (1) rapid review of existing rationing guidelines and literature; (2) interviews of Thai clinicians experienced in caring for COVID-19 cases; and (3) multi-stakeholder consultations. At steps 1 and 2, data was synthesized and categorized using a thematic and content analysis approach, and this guided the formulation of the draft guideline. Within step 3, the draft Thai critical care allocation guideline was debated and finalized before entering the policy-decision stage.ResultsThree-order prioritization criteria consisting of (1) clinical prognosis using four tools (Charlson Comorbidity Index, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, frailty assessment and cognitive impairment assessment), (2) number of life-years saved and (3) social usefulness were proposed by the research team based on literature reviews and interviews. At consultations, stakeholders rejected using life-years as a criterion due to potential age and gender discrimination, as well as social utility due to a concern it would foster public distrust, as this judgement can be arbitrary. It was agreed that the attending physician is required to be the decision-maker in the Thai medico-legal context, while a patient review committee would play an advisory role. Allocation decisions are to be documented for transparency, and no appealing mechanism is to be applied. This guideline will be triggered only when demand exceeds supply after the utmost efforts to mobilize surge capacity. Once implemented, it is applicable to all patients, COVID-19 and non-COVID-19, requiring critical care resources prior to ICU admission and during ICU stay.ConclusionsThe guideline development process for the allocation of critical care resources in the context of the COVID-19 outbreak in Thailand was informed by scientific evidence, medico-legal context, existing norms and societal values to reduce risk of public distrust given the sensitive nature of the issue and ethical dilemmas of the guiding principle, though it was conducted at record speed. Our lessons can provide an insight for the development of similar prioritization guidelines, especially in other low- and middle-income countries.