National Comprehensive Cancer Network Risk Group Research Articles

Prostate Cancer Risk Stratification in NRG Oncology Phase III Randomized Trials Using Multimodal Deep Learning With Digital Histopathology.

Current clinical risk stratification methods for localized prostate cancer are suboptimal, leading to over- and undertreatment. Recently, machine learning approaches using digital histopathology have shown superior prognostic ability in phase III trials. This study aims to develop a clinically usable risk grouping system using multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) models that outperform current National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups. The cohort comprised 9,787 patients with localized prostate cancer from eight NRG Oncology randomized phase III trials, treated with radiation therapy, androgen deprivation therapy, and/or chemotherapy. Locked MMAI models, which used digital histopathology images and clinical data, were applied to each patient. Expert consensus on cut points defined low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups on the basis of 10-year distant metastasis rates of 3% and 10%, respectively. The MMAI's reclassification and prognostic performance were compared with the three-tier NCCN risk groups. The median follow-up for censored patients was 7.9 years. According to NCCN risk categories, 30.4% of patients were low-risk, 25.5% intermediate-risk, and 44.1% high-risk. The MMAI risk classification identified 43.5% of patients as low-risk, 34.6% as intermediate-risk, and 21.8% as high-risk. MMAI reclassified 1,039 (42.0%) patients initially categorized by NCCN. Despite the MMAI low-risk group being larger than the NCCN low-risk group, the 10-year metastasis risks were comparable: 1.7% (95% CI, 0.2 to 3.2) for NCCN and 3.2% (95% CI, 1.7 to 4.7) for MMAI. The overall 10-year metastasis risk for NCCN high-risk patients was 16.6%, with MMAI further stratifying this group into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, showing metastasis rates of 3.4%, 8.2%, and 26.3%, respectively. The MMAI risk grouping system expands the population of men identified as having low metastatic risk and accurately pinpoints a high-risk subset with elevated metastasis rates. This approach aims to prevent both overtreatment and undertreatment in localized prostate cancer, facilitating shared decision making.

Association of Baseline Magnetic Resonance Imaging Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System Score With Prostate Cancer Active Surveillance Early Biopsy Reclassification: Data From the Michigan Urological Surgery Improvement Collaborative (MUSIC).

The purpose of our study was to evaluate the association of baseline MRI Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score with biopsy reclassification in a multicenter active surveillance (AS) cohort. We identified men in the Michigan Urological Surgery Improvement Collaborative registry (46 hospital-based/academic/private practice urology groups) with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) low-risk and favorable intermediate-risk prostate cancer who underwent MRI within 6 months before or after initial biopsy and enrolled in AS from June 2016 to January 2021. The primary objective was to determine the association of baseline MRI PI-RADS score (≥4 lesion) with reclassification to high-grade prostate cancer (≥grade group 3) on surveillance biopsy. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were constructed and adjusted for pathologic, MRI, and clinical/biopsy factors, with landmark time of 6 months from diagnostic biopsy. We included an interaction term between PI-RADS score and NCCN group in the Cox model. A total of 1491 men were included with median age 64 years (IQR: 59-69) with median follow-up 11.0 months (IQR: 6.0-23.0) after landmark. Baseline PI-RADS ≥ 4 lesion was associated with an increased hazard of biopsy reclassification (HR: 2.3 [95% CI: 1.6-3.2], P < .001), along with grade group 2 vs 1 (HR: 2.5 [95% CI: 1.7-3.7], P < .001), and increasing age (per 10 years; HR: 1.8 [95% CI: 1.4-2.4], P < .001). The interaction between NCCN risk group with MRI findings was not significant (P = .7). In this multicenter cohort study of real-world data, baseline MRI PI-RADS score was significantly associated with early biopsy reclassification in men undergoing AS with NCCN low- or favorable intermediate-risk prostate cancer.

Long-term follow-up results of multiparametric prostate MRI and the prognostic value of PI-RADS: a single-center retrospective cohort study

We aim to examine the long-term outcomes of patients who underwent multiparametric prostate magnetic resonance imaging (mp-MRI) for suspected prostate cancer (PCa), specifically based on their initial Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) categories and various clinical factors. Our secondary aim is to evaluate the prognostic value of the PI-RADS through the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk group distribution. This research was conducted as a single-center retrospective cohort study in a tertiary care hospital. A total of 1,359 cases having at least one histopathological examination after the initial mp-MRI and/or adequate clinical/radiological follow-up data were included in the clinically significant PCa (cs-PCa) diagnosis-free survival analysis. Initial mp-MRI dates were accepted as the start of follow-up for the time-to-event analysis. The event was defined as cs-PCa diagnosis (International Society of Urological Pathology ≥2). Patients who were not diagnosed with cs-PCa during follow-up were censored according to predefined literature-based criteria at the end of the maximum follow-up duration with no reasonable suspicion of PCa and no biopsy indication. The impact of various factors on survival was assessed using a log-rank test and multivariable Cox regression. Subsequently, 394 cases diagnosed with PCa during follow-up were evaluated, based on initial PI-RADS categories and NCCN risk groups. Three main risk factors for cs-PCa diagnosis during follow-up were an initial PI-RADS 5 category, initial PI-RADS 4 category, and high MRI-defined PSA density (mPSAD), with average hazard ratios of 29.52, 14.46, and 3.12, respectively. The PI-RADS 3 category, advanced age group, and biopsy-naïve status were identified as additional risk factors (hazard ratios: 2.03, 1.54-1.98, and 1.79, respectively). In the PI-RADS 1-2 cohort, 1, 3, and 5-year cs-PCa diagnosis-free survival rates were 99.1%, 96.5%, and 93.8%, respectively. For the PI-RADS 3 cohort, 1, 3, and 5-year cs-PCa diagnosis-free survival rates were 94.9%, 90.9%, and 89.1%, respectively. For the PI-RADS 4 cohort, 1, 3, and 5-year cs-PCa diagnosis-free survival rates were 56.6%, 55.1%, and 55.1%, respectively. These rates were found to all be 24.2% in the PI-RADS 5 cohort. Considering the 394 cases diagnosed with PCa during follow-up, PI-RADS ≥4 cases were more likely to harbor unfavorable PCa compared to PI-RADS ≤3 cases (P < 0.001). In the PI-RADS 3 subgroup analysis, a low mPSAD (<0.15 ng/mL2) was found to be a protective prognostic factor against unfavorable PCa (P = 0.005). The PI-RADS category has a significant impact on patient management and provides important diagnostic and prognostic information. Higher initial PI-RADS categories are associated with decreased follow-up losses, a shorter time to PCa diagnosis, increased biopsy rates, a higher likelihood of developing cs-PCa during follow-up, and a worse PCa prognosis. Combining mPSAD with PI-RADS categories could enhance diagnostic stratification in the identification of cs-PCa.

Association between Artificial Intelligence-Derived Tumor Volume and Oncologic Outcomes for Localized Prostate Cancer Treated with Radiation Therapy.

Although clinical features of multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) have been associated with biochemical recurrence in localized prostate cancer, such features are subject to inter-observer variability. We evaluated whether the volume of the dominant intraprostatic lesion (DIL), as provided by a deep learning segmentation algorithm, could provide prognostic information for patients treated with definitive radiation therapy (RT). We conducted a retrospective study of 438 patients with localized prostate cancer who underwent an endorectal coil, high B-value, 3-Tesla mpMRI and were treated with definitive RT at our institution between 2010 and 2017. We utilized the publicly available nnUNet to train a segmentation model which was used to identify the DIL. We examined the association between the artificial intelligence (AI)-generated DIL volume and oncologic outcomes, including biochemical recurrence and metastasis risk, using cause-specific Cox regression and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis. The AI model identified DILs with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.827 at the patient level. For the 233 patients with available PI-RADS scores, with a median follow-up of 5.6 years, there were 28 biochemical failures. AI-defined DIL volume was significantly associated with biochemical failure (adjusted hazard ratio 1.60, 95% confidence interval 1.14-2.24, p = 0.007) after adjustment for PI-RADS score. Among all 438 patients with a median follow-up of 6.9 years, there were 49 biochemical failures and 22 metastases. The AUROC for predicting 7-year biochemical failure for AI volume (0.790) was similar to that for National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) category (p = 0.17). The AUROC for predicting 7-year metastasis for AI volume trended towards being higher compared to NCCN category (0.854 vs 0.769, p = 0.06). An AI algorithm using deep learning could identify the DIL with good performance. AI-defined DIL volume may be able to provide prognostic information independent of the NCCN risk group or other radiologic factors for patients with localized prostate cancer treated with RT.

Validation of the 2022 National Comprehensive Cancer Network Risk Stratification for Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma

The 2022 National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) reclassified cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) into low-, high-, and very high-risk groups to better risk stratify tumors. Mohs micrographic surgery (Mohs) or peripheral and deep en face margin assessment (PDEMA) became preferred surgical modalities for high- and very high-risk tumors. This new risk stratification and the recommendation for Mohs or PDEMA in high- and very high-risk groups have not been validated. To compare outcomes in very high-, high-, and low-risk NCCN groups of CSCCs and in CSCCs treated with Mohs or PDEMA compared with wide local excision (WLE). This retrospective cohort study of CSCCs was performed in 2 tertiary care academic medical centers. Patients 18 years or older and diagnosed between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 2019, at Brigham and Women's Hospital and Cleveland Clinic Foundation were included. Data were analyzed from October 20, 2021, to March 29, 2023. NCCN risk group, Mohs or PDEMA, and WLE. Local recurrence (LR), nodal metastasis (NM), distant metastasis (DM), and disease-specific death (DSD). A total of 10 196 tumors from 8727 patients were stratified by NCCN guidelines into low-, high-, and very high-risk groups (6003 [59.0%] men; mean [SD] age, 72.4 [11.8] years). Compared with the low-risk group, the high- and very high-risk groups demonstrated a greater risk of LR (high-risk subhazard ratio [SHR], 1.99 [95% CI, 1.21-3.27; P = .007]; very high-risk SHR, 12.66 [95% CI, 7.86-20.39; P < .001]), NM (high-risk SHR, 4.26 [95% CI, 1.28-14.23; P = .02]; very high-risk SHR, 62.98 [95% CI, 19.24-206.17; P < .001]), DM (high-risk SHR, 2.2 × 107 [95% CI, 4.7 × 103-1.1 × 1011; P < .001]; very high-risk SHR, 6.3 × 108 [95% CI, 1.4 × 105-2.9 × 1012; P < .001]), and DSD (high-risk SHR, 4.02 [95% CI, 1.18-13.71; P = .03]; very high-risk SHR, 93.87 [95% CI, 29.19-301.85; P < .001]). Adjusted 5-year cumulative incidence was significantly higher in very high- vs high- and low-risk groups for LR (9.4% [95% CI, 9.2%-14.0%] vs 1.5% [95% CI, 1.4%-2.1%] and 0.8% [95% CI, 0.5%-1.2%], respectively), NM (7.3% [95% CI, 6.8%-10.9%] vs 0.5% [95% CI, 0.4%-0.8%] and 0.1% [95% CI, 0.03%-0.3%], respectively), DM (3.9% [95% CI, 2.6%-5.6%] vs 0.1% [95% CI, 0.04%-0.2%] and 0.01% [95% CI, not applicable], respectively), and DSD (10.5% [95% CI, 10.3%-15.4%] vs 0.5% [95% CI, 0.4%-0.8%] and 0.1% [95% CI, 0.04%-0.3%], respectively). Compared with CSCCs treated with WLE, those treated with Mohs or PDEMA had lower risk of LR (SHR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.46-0.90]; P = .009), DM (SHR, 0.38 [95% CI, 0.18-0.83]; P = .02), and DSD (SHR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.36-0.84]; P = .006). The findings of this cohort study suggest that the NCCN high- and very high-risk groups identify CSCCs at greatest risk for developing poor outcomes. Further, Mohs or PDEMA resulted in lower LR, DM, and DSD compared with WLE.

Risk stratification for early biochemical recurrence of prostate cancer in the era of multiparametric magnetic resonance imagining-targeted biopsy.

Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and MRI-targeted biopsy are nowadays recommended in the prostate cancer (PCa) diagnostic pathway. Ploussard and Mazzone have integrated these tools into novel risk classification systems predicting the risk of early biochemical recurrence (eBCR) in PCa patients who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP). We aimed to assess available risk classification systems and to define the best-performing. Data on 1371 patients diagnosed by MRI-targeted biopsy and treated by RP between 2014 and 2022 at eight European tertiary referral centers were analyzed. Risk classifications systems included were the European Association of Urology (EAU) and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups, the Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (CAPRA) score, the International Staging Collaboration for Cancer of the Prostate (STAR-CAP) classification, the Ploussard and Mazzone models, and ISUP grade group. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to compare eBCR among risk classification systems. Performance was assessed in terms of discrimination quantified using Harrell's c-index, calibration, and decision curve analysis(DCA). Overall, 152 (11%) patients had eBCR at a median follow-up of 31 months (interquartile range: 19-45). The 3-year eBCR-free survival rate was 91% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 89-93). For each risk classification system, a significant difference among survival probabilities was observed (log-rank test p < 0.05) except for NCCN classification (p = 0.06). The highest discrimination was obtained with the STAR-CAP classification (c-index 66%) compared to CAPRA score (63% vs. 66%, p = 0.2), ISUP grade group (62% vs. 66, p = 0.07), Ploussard (61% vs. 66%, p = 0.003) and Mazzone models (59% vs. 66%, p = 0.02), andEAU (57% vs. 66%, p < 0.001) and NCCN (57% vs. 66%, p < 0.001) risk groups. Risk classification systems demonstrated good calibration characteristics. At DCA, the CAPRA score showed the highest net benefit at a probability threshold of 9%-15%. The performance of risk classification systems using MRI and MRI-targeted information was less optimistic when tested in a contemporary set of patients. CAPRA score and STAR-CAP classification were the best-performing and should be preferred for treatment decision-making.

Association between Results from the 17-Gene Genomic Prostate Score Assay and Long-Term Outcomes after External Beam Radiation Therapy in Intermediate- or High-Risk Prostate Cancer Patients, Independent of Race

<h3>Purpose/Objective(s)</h3> The 17-gene genomic prostate score (GPS) assay is a prognostic tool that evaluates gene expression from prostate cancer (PC) biopsy tissue and generates a score between 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating more aggressive disease. The GPS assay is validated as a strong predictor of adverse outcomes in men with localized PC after prostatectomy. For patients treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), a genomic assay using core needle biopsy tissue that predicts risk of PC progression could inform decisions regarding treatment intensity. Here, we analyzed whether GPS results are associated with time to biochemical failure (BCF), distant metastasis (DM), and prostate cancer related death (PCD) after EBRT for localized PC and, if so, whether the association is modified by race. <h3>Materials/Methods</h3> We conducted a retrospective study on men with localized PC treated with EBRT at an equal-access academic health center from 2000 to 2016. Patients were treated per standard of care with <i>post hoc</i> GPS assay analysis. Endpoints investigated were time to BCF per the Phoenix criteria, DM, and PCD. The association of GPS result with each endpoint was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Results were then stratified by race. <h3>Results</h3> A total of 238 patients met eligibility criteria; 69% were Black. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk group distribution was: 30% very low, low, or favorable intermediate; 37% unfavorable intermediate; 21% high; 11% very high. Median follow-up for patients who did not experience BCF was 7.6 years. The GPS result, when stratified by 20 units, was significantly associated with BCF, DM, and PCD in multivariable analysis, adjusted for NCCN risk group (Table 1). Similar results were observed with a dichotomous GPS result. There was no significant interaction between the GPS assay and race (p=0.923). HRs for BCF were similar in AA men (HR 3.88; 95% CI 2.40-6.24) versus non-AA men (HR 4.01; 95% CI 2.42-6.45). <h3>Conclusion</h3> Among men treated with EBRT, the GPS assay is a strong, independent predictor of time to BCF, DM and PCD. In patients with unfavorable intermediate-risk PC and higher, the GPS assay can stratify risk beyond the NCCN categories, identifying patients who could be candidates for treatment (de)intensification. The results also suggest that the association between the GPS result and long-term outcomes is independent of race.

Intraindividual Comparison Between [18F] PSMA-1007 PET/CT and Multiparametric MRI for Radiotherapy Planning in Primary Prostate Cancer Patients.

IntroductionAccurate detection and segmentation of the intraprostatic gross tumor volume (GTV) is pivotal for radiotherapy (RT) in primary prostate cancer (PCa) since it influences focal therapy target volumes and the patients’ cT stage. The study aimed to compare the performance of multiparametric resonance imaging (mpMRI) with [18F] PSMA-1007 positron emission tomography (PET) for intraprostatic GTV detection as well as delineation and to evaluate their respective influence on RT concepts.Materials and MethodsIn total, 93 patients from two German University Hospitals with [18F] PSMA-1007-PET/CT and MRI (Freiburg) or [18F] PSMA-1007-PET/MRI (Dresden) were retrospectively enrolled. Validated contouring techniques were applied for GTV-PET and -MRI segmentation. Absolute tumor volume and cT status were determined for each imaging method. The PCa distribution from histopathological reports based on biopsy cores and surgery specimen was used as reference in terms of laterality (unilateral vs. bilateral).ResultsIn the Freiburg cohort (n = 84), mpMRI and PET detected in median 2 (range: 1–5) and 3 (range: 1–8) GTVs, respectively (p < 0.01). The median GTV-MRI was significantly smaller than the GTV-PET, measuring 2.05 vs. 3.65 ml (p = 0.0005). PET had a statistically significant higher concordance in laterality with surgery specimen compared to mpMRI (p = 0.04) and biopsy (p < 0.01), respectively. PSMA PET led to more cT2c and cT3b stages, whereas cT3a stage was more pronounced in mpMRI. Based on the cT stage derived from mpMRI and PET information, 21 and 23 as well as 59 and 60 patients, respectively, were intermediate- and high-risk according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) v1.2022 criteria. In the Dresden cohort (n = 9), similar results were observed.ConclusionIntraprostatic GTV segmentation based on [18F] PSMA-1007 PET results in more and larger GTVs compared to mpMRI. This influences focal RT target volumes and cT stage definition, but not the NCCN risk group.

Risk Stratification in Oral Cancer: A Novel Approach.

BackgroundOral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is a common head and neck cancer with high morbidity and mortality. Currently, treatment decisions are guided by TNM staging, which omits important negative prognosticators such as lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion (PNI), and histologic differentiation. We proposed nomogram models based on adverse pathological features to identify candidates suitable for treatment escalation within each risk group according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines.MethodsAnonymized clinicopathologic data of OSCC patients from 5 tertiary healthcare institutions in Asia were divided into 3 risk groups according to the NCCN guidelines. Within each risk group, nomograms were built to predict overall survival based on histologic differentiation, histologic margin involvement, depth of invasion (DOI), extranodal extension, PNI, lymphovascular, and bone invasion. Nomograms were internally validated with precision–recall analysis and the Kaplan–Meier survival analysis.ResultsLow-risk patients with positive pathological nodal involvement and/or positive PNI should be considered for adjuvant radiotherapy. Intermediate-risk patients with gross bone invasion may benefit from concurrent chemotherapy. High-risk patients with positive margins, high DOI, and a high composite score of histologic differentiation, PNI, and the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition T staging should be considered for treatment escalation to experimental therapies in clinical trials.ConclusionNomograms built based on prognostic adverse pathological features can be used within each NCCN risk group to fine-tune treatment decisions for OSCC patients.

Defining Biochemical Cure After Low Dose Rate Prostate Brachytherapy: External Validation of 4-year Prostate-specific Antigen Nadir as a Predictor of 10- and 15-year Disease-free Survival

AimsTo externally validate a proposed biochemical definition of cure following low dose rate (LDR) brachytherapy for prostate cancer – 4-year post-implant prostate-specific antigen (PSA) ≤0.2 ng/ml – in a UK population, and report the long-term (10- and 15-year) outcomes for patients stratified by National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups, through analysis of a large, prospectively collected, single-centre database. Materials and methodsAll patients treated with LDR brachytherapy for prostate cancer at a single UK centre between 2001 and November 2020 (n = 1142) were eligible; 632 patients met the inclusion criteria for the analysis. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS), defined as freedom from clinical, radiological or PSA progression requiring androgen deprivation therapy. Four-year PSA was categorised as ≤0.2, >0.2 to ≤0.5, >0.5 to ≤1.0 and >1.0 ng/ml. Kaplan–Meier analysis to 15 years was undertaken for each group, and sensitivity and specificity of 4-year PSA as a surrogate for long-term cure were calculated. Kaplan–Meier analysis to 15 years was repeated, stratifying patients by NCCN risk groups. ResultsThe median cohort age was 63 years; the median follow-up was 9.1 years (range 3.5–18.7). In total, 248 patients were available for analysis at year 10, 46 at year 15. Sixty-four patients (10.1%) relapsed during the study period. The 10-year DFS for 4-year PSA categories ≤0.2, >0.2 to ≤0.5, >0.5 to ≤1.0 and >1.0 ng/ml (95% confidence intervals) were 97.5% (95.4–99.6), 89.0% (82.4–96.1), 81.5% (70.5–94.2) and 41.8% (29.7–58.9), respectively. The 10-year DFS results for NCCN low, favourable-intermediate and unfavourable-intermediate risk disease were 93.1% (89.6–96.7), 92.1% (87.6–96.9) and 75.9% (67.8–84.9), respectively. ConclusionsPatients with 4-year PSA ≤0.2 ng/ml may be considered cured, and could be discharged to general practitioner follow-up. LDR brachytherapy is an excellent treatment option for patients with low and favourable-intermediate risk prostate cancer, but those with unfavourable-intermediate risk disease should be considered for treatment intensification strategies.

Clinical Germline Testing Results of Men With Prostate Cancer: Patient-Level Factors and Implications of NCCN Guideline Expansion.

Men with PC underwent multigene germline genetic testing for PVs from June 2016 to December 2018, and trends were compared. The association of patient-level factors with a PV germline testing result, where ≥ 1 PV was identified, was assessed using analysis of variance and univariate logistic regression. Sensitivity analyses were limited to clinically actionable variants and those associated with disease severity or progression (BRCA1/2 and ATM). Of 408 men undergoing germline testing, 42 (10.3%) men had PVs and 366 (89.7%) men did not have PVs identified. The proportion of men identified with a germline PV remained stable following testing criteria expansion (9.4% v 10.6%, P = .73). No patient-level factors were significantly associated with increased odds of a PV germline testing result, including age at diagnosis, race, pretreatment prostate-specific antigen, Gleason grade group, NCCN risk group, and family history of cancer (breast and/or ovarian, prostate, or any cancer). This study demonstrated a stable PV detection rate in men with PC using expanded criteria aligned to the updated NCCN testing guidelines. However, we did not find strong evidence to suggest that patient-level factors are associated with PV germline testing results. These findings support the recent expansion of NCCN germline testing guidelines in PC.

The Clinical Cell-Cycle Risk (CCR) Score Is Associated With Metastasis After Radiation Therapy and Provides Guidance on When to Forgo Combined Androgen Deprivation Therapy With Dose-Escalated Radiation

The clinical cell-cycle risk (CCR) score, which combines the University of California, San Francisco's Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment (CAPRA) and the cell cycle progression (CCP) molecular score, has been validated to be prognostic of disease progression for men with prostate cancer. This study evaluated the ability of the CCR score to prognosticate the risk of metastasis in men receiving dose-escalated radiation therapy (RT) with or without androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). This retrospective, multi-institutional cohort study included men with localized National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) intermediate-, high-, and very high-risk prostate cancer (N=741). Patients were treated with dose-escalated RT with or without ADT. The primary outcome was time to metastasis. The CCR score prognosticated metastasis with a hazard ratio (HR) per unit score of 2.22 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.71-2.89; P < .001). The CCR score better prognosticated metastasis than NCCN risk group (CCR, P < .001; NCCN, P=.46), CAPRA score (CCR, P=.002; CAPRA, P=.59), or CCP score (CCR, P < .001; CCP, P=.59) alone. In bivariable analyses, CCR score remained highly prognostic when accounting for ADT versus no ADT (HR, 2.18; 95% CI, 1.61-2.96; P < .001), ADT duration as a continuous variable (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.59-2.79; P < .001), or ADT given at or below the recommended duration for each NCCN risk group (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.69-2.86; P < .001). Men with CCR scores below or above the multimodality threshold (CCR score, 2.112) had a 10-year risk of metastasis of 3.7% and 21.24%, respectively. Men with below-threshold scores receiving RT alone had a 10-year risk of metastasis of 3.7%, and for men receiving RT plus ADT, the 10-year risk of metastasis was also 3.7%. The CCR score accurately and precisely prognosticates metastasis and adds clinically actionable information relative to guideline-recommended therapies based on NCCN risk in men undergoing dose-escalated RT with or without ADT. For men with scores below the multimodality threshold, adding ADT may not significantly reduce their 10-year risk of metastasis.

MP62-12 CONDITIONAL FREEDOM FROM PROGRESSION ON ACTIVE SURVEILLANCE OF PROSTATE CANCER STRATIFIED BY NCCN RISK

You have accessJournal of UrologyProstate Cancer: Localized: Active Surveillance II (MP62)1 Sep 2021MP62-12 CONDITIONAL FREEDOM FROM PROGRESSION ON ACTIVE SURVEILLANCE OF PROSTATE CANCER STRATIFIED BY NCCN RISK Joshua Harvey, Andrew Gusev, Florian Rumpf, Keyan Salari, Jeffrey Twum-Ampofo, Matthew Wszolek, Douglas Dahl, Michael Blute, and Adam Feldman Joshua HarveyJoshua Harvey More articles by this author , Andrew GusevAndrew Gusev More articles by this author , Florian RumpfFlorian Rumpf More articles by this author , Keyan SalariKeyan Salari More articles by this author , Jeffrey Twum-AmpofoJeffrey Twum-Ampofo More articles by this author , Matthew WszolekMatthew Wszolek More articles by this author , Douglas DahlDouglas Dahl More articles by this author , Michael BluteMichael Blute More articles by this author , and Adam FeldmanAdam Feldman More articles by this author View All Author Informationhttps://doi.org/10.1097/JU.0000000000002102.12AboutPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints ShareFacebookLinked InTwitterEmail Abstract INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Active surveillance (AS) is an accepted strategy for men with very low, low, and select cases of favorable intermediate National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk prostate cancer (PCa). However it is not well defined how the risk of progression evolves during AS. Conditional survival measures the probability a patient will continue to survive some number of years, given that they have already survived a certain number without progression. We evaluated our AS cohort to investigate overall and conditional progression free survival on AS, stratified by the NCCN risk groups. METHODS: We reviewed our institutional database of 1252 men enrolled in AS for localized PCa from 1996-2016. Overall freedom from pathologic grade progression on follow-up biopsy and treatment free survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival curves were compared pairwise using the Log-rank test and adjusted for false discovery rates with the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. Three-year conditional survival estimates were derived for both outcomes from the Kaplan-Meier estimator. RESULTS: Of 1252 men, 521 (41.6%) met criteria for very low, 606 (48.4%) for low, and 125 (10.0%) for favorable intermediate NCCN risk at diagnosis. Median follow-up time was 6.5 years (IQR 4.1-9.4). Median pathologic grade progression free survival in years was significantly longer for very low risk (7.8, 95% CI 6.8-11.2) compared to low risk men (5.6, 95% CI 4.7-6.9), however neither was significantly different from favorable intermediate risk men (5.9). There was no significant difference in treatment free survival between the three risk groups. At diagnosis, the three-year risk for pathologic grade progression (24%, 95% CI 21-27%) and progression to treatment (22%, 95% CI 20-25%) were similar. However, with increasing time of event-free AS, the conditional probability of pathologic grade progression increased, while that of progression to treatment decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that despite a mild increase in pathologic progression free survival in very low risk men, there was no clear difference in overall treatment free survival between very low, low, and select favorable intermediate NCCN risk men. Further, with increased time spent on AS, despite elevated rates of pathologic progression, patient progression to treatment decreased. This trend may be indicative of changes in goals of care as men with PCa age and should be closely monitored during AS. Source of Funding: None © 2021 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.FiguresReferencesRelatedDetails Volume 206Issue Supplement 3September 2021Page: e1096-e1097 Advertisement Copyright & Permissions© 2021 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.MetricsAuthor Information Joshua Harvey More articles by this author Andrew Gusev More articles by this author Florian Rumpf More articles by this author Keyan Salari More articles by this author Jeffrey Twum-Ampofo More articles by this author Matthew Wszolek More articles by this author Douglas Dahl More articles by this author Michael Blute More articles by this author Adam Feldman More articles by this author Expand All Advertisement Loading ...

Early detection of lung cancer with an incidental lung nodule program (ILNP).

8553 Background: Lung cancer early detection improves survival, but risk-based low-dose CT screening (LDCT) only identifies a minority of patients. We implemented an ILNP in a community healthcare system, and evaluated its risks and benefits. Methods: Patients with lung lesions on routinely-performed radiologic studies were flagged by radiologists and triaged using evidence-based guidelines. We tracked demographics, clinical characteristics, procedures, complications, and health outcomes. We analyzed ILNP subjects’ eligibility for LDCT by National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), Center for Medicaid Services (CMS), NEderlands Leuvens Screening ONderzoek (NELSON), National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) Risk Groups 1 and 2 (screening recommended), NCCN Risk Group 3 (screening not currently recommended), and US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) criteria from 2013 and 2020. Statistical analysis used the chi-square test and Kaplan Meier method. Results: From 2015-2020, 13,710 patients were evaluated in the ILNP program: median age, 64 years; 42% male; 65% White, 29% Black; 667 (4.9%) were diagnosed with lung cancer. Lung cancers diagnosed from ILNP were 39% adenocarcinoma / 20% Squamous Cell with clinical stage distribution 49% I, 8% II, 17% III, and 16% IV. 832 (6.1%) had invasive diagnostic testing- CT-guided biopsy (50%), bronchoscopy (30%), and/or EBUS (26%); 11% of the 832 had &gt;1 invasive diagnostic test. The most common complications from invasive testing were pneumothorax and chest tube placement. Only 11%-20% of all ILNP patients would have been eligible for LDCT. In ILNP patients diagnosed with lung cancer, only 33% were eligible for screening by NLST criteria; the proportion increased substantially when USPSTF 2020 or NCCN Group 2 criteria were applied (Table). Compared to NLST, NCCN Group 2 criteria increased screening eligibility among cancer patients by 22% (from 33% to 55%), while only increasing screening eligibility by 6% (from 8% to 14%) in non-cancer patients. Aggregate 1-year and 3-year survival rates for lung cancer patient diagnosed through ILNP were 76% (95% CI: 73, 80) and 64% (95% CI: 59, 69). Conclusions: The ILNP identified early-stage lung cancer more frequently than most LDCT programs, with promising survival rates. The majority of subjects with lung cancer were not eligible for LDCT, we still need to optimize risk-based screening criteria. Even with new, expanded criteria for LDCT, structured ILNP is necessary to expand early detection of lung cancer.[Table: see text]

Conditional progression-free survival in men on active surveillance for prostate cancer stratified by NCCN risk.

222 Background: Active surveillance (AS) is an accepted management strategy for men with very low, low, and select cases of favorable intermediate National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk prostate cancer (PCa). However, how patients’ risk of disease progression evolves over time during AS has not been well defined. Conditional survival measures the probability a patient will continue to survive some number of years, given that they have already survived a certain number without progression. We evaluated our AS cohort to investigate overall and conditional progression free survival on AS, stratified by the NCCN risk groups. Methods: We reviewed our institutional database of 1254 men enrolled in AS for localized PCa from 1996-2016. Our AS protocol includes prostate specific antigen (PSA) and digital rectal exam (DRE) every 4-6 months for 3 years, then annually. Mandatory confirmatory 12 core biopsy is done at 12-18 months. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imagining (mpMRI) or additional systematic or MRI-fusion biopsies are done at the discretion of physician and patient. Overall freedom from pathologic grade progression on follow-up biopsy and treatment free survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival curves were compared pairwise using the Log-rank test and adjusted for false discovery rates with the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. Three-year conditional survival estimates were derived for both outcomes from the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Results: Of 1254 men, 521 (41.6%) met criteria for very low, 606 (48.4%) for low, and 125 (10.0%) for favorable intermediate NCCN risk at diagnosis. Median follow-up time was 6.5 years (IQR 4.1-9.4). Median pathologic grade progression free survival in years was significantly longer for very low risk (7.8, 95% CI 6.8-11.2) compared to low risk men (5.6, 95% CI 4.7-6.9), however neither was significantly different from favorable intermediate risk men (5.9). There was no significant difference in treatment free survival between the three risk groups. At diagnosis, the three-year risk for pathologic grade progression (24%, 95% CI 21-27%) and progression to treatment (22%, 95% CI 20-25%) were similar. However, with increasing time of event-free AS, the conditional probability of pathologic grade progression increased, while that of progression to treatment decreased. Conclusions: Our results demonstrate that despite a mild increase in pathologic progression free survival in very low risk men, there was no clear difference in overall treatment free survival between very low, low, and select favorable intermediate NCCN risk men. Further, with increased time spent on AS, despite elevated rates of pathologic progression, patient progression to treatment decreased. This trend may be indicative of changes in goals of care as men with PCa age and should be closely monitored during AS.

Performance of clinicopathologic models in men with high risk localized prostate cancer: impact of a 22-gene genomic classifier.

Prostate cancer exhibits biological and clinical heterogeneity even within established clinico-pathologic risk groups. The Decipher genomic classifier (GC) is a validated method to further risk-stratify disease in patients with prostate cancer, but its performance solely within National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) high-risk disease has not been undertaken to date. A multi-institutional retrospective study of 405 men with high-risk prostate cancer who underwent primary treatment with radical prostatectomy (RP) or radiation therapy (RT) with androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) at 11 centers from 1995 to 2005 was performed. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the hazard ratios (HR) for the development of metastatic disease based on clinico-pathologic variables, risk groups, and GC score. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was determined for regression models without and with the GC score. Over a median follow-up of 82 months, 104 patients (26%) developed metastatic disease. On univariable analysis, increasing GC score was significantly associated with metastatic disease ([HR]: 1.34 per 0.1 unit increase, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-1.50, p < 0.001), while age, serum PSA, biopsy GG, and clinical T-stage were not (all p > 0.05). On multivariable analysis, GC score (HR: 1.33 per 0.1 unit increase, 95% CI: 1.19-1.48, p < 0.001) and GC high-risk (vs low-risk, HR: 2.95, 95% CI: 1.79-4.87, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with metastasis. The addition of GC score to regression models based on NCCN risk group improved model AUC from 0.46 to 0.67, and CAPRA from 0.59 to 0.71. Among men with high-risk prostate cancer, conventional clinico-pathologic data had poor discrimination to risk stratify development of metastatic disease. GC score was a significant and independent predictor of metastasis and may help identify men best suited for treatment intensification/de-escalation.

Imaging and Management of Prostate Cancer

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the most common noncutaneous malignancy in men and the second leading cause of cancer related death in the United States. Men with clinical suspicion of PCa undergo tissue sampling and based on features including the Gleason score, Prostate Specific antigen (PSA) levels and clinical tumor (T) stage, patients are risk stratified into 6 major groups based on National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines. This forms the basis for deciding imaging and management. Active surveillance is the preferred approach for less aggressive tumors. Surgery or radiation +/- androgen deprivation therapy continue to be the primary treatment options for localized disease. Imaging plays a critical role in the diagnosis, staging and management of PCa. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) is currently the imaging modality of choice for locoregional staging. MRI, computed tomography and bone scan remain the preferred modalities for evaluation of nodal, soft tissue, and bone metastases, respectively. Advanced positron emission tomography imaging using novel radiotracers are being developed but are not yet integrated in the diagnostic guidelines for initial staging. In this review, we will discuss the imaging and treatment algorithms based on the NCCN risk groups, describe the utility of individual modalities, review Prosate Imaging and Reporting and Data System (PIRADS) version 2.1 for the reporting of mpMRI of the prostate.

Prostate cancer incidence across stage, NCCN risk groups, and age before and after USPSTF Grade D recommendations against prostate-specific antigen screening in 2012.

We sought to determine the extent to which US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) 2012 Grade D recommendations against prostate-specific antigen screening may have impacted recent prostate cancer disease incidence patterns in the United States across stage, National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups, and age groups. SEER*Stat version 8.3.4 was used to calculate annual prostate cancer incidence rates from 2010 to 2015 for men aged ≥50years according to American Joint Committee on Cancer stage at diagnosis (localized vs metastatic), NCCN risk group (low vs unfavorable [intermediate or high-risk]), and age group (50-74years vs ≥75years). Age-adjusted incidences per 100,000 persons with corresponding year-by-year incidence ratios (IRs) were calculated using the 2000 US Census population. From 2010 to 2015, the incidence (per 100,000 persons) of localized prostate cancer decreased from 195.4 to 131.9 (Ptrend <.001) and from 189.0 to 123.4 (Ptrend <.001) among men aged 50-74 and ≥75years, respectively. The largest relative year-by-year decline occurred between 2011 and 2012 in NCCN low-risk disease (IR, 0.77 [0.75-0.79, P<.0001] and IR 0.68 [0.62-0.74, P<.0001] for men aged 50-74 and ≥75years, respectively). From 2010-2015, the incidence of metastatic disease increased from 6.2 to 7.1 (Ptrend <.001) and from 16.8 to 22.6 (Ptrend <.001) among men aged 50-74 and ≥75years, respectively. This report illustrates recent prostate cancer "reverse migration" away from indolent disease and toward more aggressive disease beginning in 2012. The incidence of localized disease declined across age groups from 2012 to 2015, with the greatest relative declines occurring in low-risk disease. Additionally, the incidence of distant metastatic disease increased gradually throughout the study period.

Three-year Active Surveillance Outcomes in a Contemporary Community Urology Cohort in the United States

ObjectivesTo determine the 3-year outcomes of men with prostate cancer managed with active surveillance (AS) in a cohort of geographically diverse community-based urology practices. AS is the management of choice for a majority of men with lower risk prostate cancer.1,2,3 Little is known about the contemporary “real-world” follow-up and adherence rates in the most common setting of urologic care, community (private) practice.4 MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated outcomes for men diagnosed between January 1, 2013 and May 31, 2014 with National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) very low, low and intermediate risk prostate cancer who selected AS in 9 large community urology practices. We used univariate and multivariate analyses to describe associations between race, age, insurance status, family history, comorbidity, clinical stage, Gleason score, NCCN risk-group, and PSA density with discontinuation of AS. ResultsFive hundred and forty-eight men on AS were followed for a median of 3.35 years. 89% (492) continued to follow-up with diagnosing practice. 32% (171) discontinued AS. On multivariate analysis, increasing NCCN risk classification (Hazard ratio [HR] 1.65, P = 0.02 and HR 2.09, P < 0.01 for low and intermediate risk vs very low risk) was significantly associated with discontinuation. Among those who discontinued AS, surgery and radiation were utilized equally (47% and 53%, respectively, P = 0.48). ConclusionIn this community-based cohort of men on AS, a minority was lost to follow-up and adherence to AS was similar to other reports. Disease characteristics more than sociodemographic characteristics correlated with adherence to AS, while surgery and radiotherapy were utilized equally among those discontinuing AS, both suggesting guideline concordant practice of medicine.

Early-Medium-Term Outcomes of Primary Focal Cryotherapy to Treat Nonmetastatic Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer from a Prospective Multicentre Registry

BackgroundFocal cryotherapy can be used to treat patients with clinically significant nonmetastatic prostate cancer to reduce side effects. ObjectiveEarly-medium-term cancer control and functional outcomes. Design, setting, and participantsA prospective registry-based case series of 122 consecutive patients undergoing focal cryotherapy between October 1, 2013, and November 30, 2016, in five UK centres. Median follow-up was 27.8mo [interquartile range (IQR) 19.5–36.7]. A total of 35 patients (28.7%) had National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) high risk and 87 (71.3%) had intermediate risk disease. Risk and zonal stratification included multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) with targeted and systematic biopsies, or transperineal mapping biopsies. InterventionFocal cryoablation of MR-visible tumours. Outcome measurements and statistical analysisFollow-up involved prostate-specific antigen (PSA) monitoring, mpMRI, and for-cause biopsies. Primary outcome was failure-free survival (FFS), defined as transition to radical, whole-gland, or systemic therapy, or metastases/death. Secondary outcomes included adverse events and functional outcomes. Results and limitationsA total of 80 (65.6%) had anterior ablation, 23 (19.7%) combined posterior and anterior ablation, and two (1.6%) posterior ablation alone (SeedNet or Visual-ICE, BTG plc). Median age was 68.7yr (IQR 64.9–73.8) and preoperative PSA 10.8ng/ml (IQR 7.8–15.6). Overall FFS at 3yr was 90.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 84.2–97.3]. When stratified for the NCCN risk group, 3-yr outcomes were 84.7% (95% CI 71.4–100) in high risk and 93.3% (95% CI 86.8–100) in intermediate risk. At last follow-up, incontinence defined as any pad use was 0/69 (0%) and erectile dysfunction (defined as erections insufficient for penetration) was 5/31 (16.1%). Limitations include lack of long-term outcomes. ConclusionsFocal cryotherapy primarily for anterior intermediate and high-risk prostate cancer results in good rates of cancer control and low rates of treatment-related side effects. Patient summaryIn this multicentre study of 122 patients undergoing focal cryotherapy for medium- to high-risk prostate cancer, at 3yr, no patient died from their cancer whilst failure-free survival, was approximately 90%. None of the patients needed pads for managing urine leakage, although 16% had erection problems.