Numerous studies show that employer plans pay providers significantly more than Medicare, but less is known about prices in nongroup plans sold both on and off the Marketplaces established by the Affordable Care Act (ACA), where narrow networks and low-cost insurers are more prevalent. We estimated prices for three market segments (Marketplace nongroup, off-Marketplace nongroup, and employer small group) and three types of services (professional, outpatient hospital, and inpatient hospital) relative to a Medicare benchmark. We used 2021 claims data covering virtually all enrollment in ACA risk-adjusted plans. In aggregate, in 2021, Marketplace prices were 152percent of Medicare prices, whereas the prices paid in small-group employer plans were 179percent of Medicare prices. Comparing across market segments, relative to employer small-group plans, Marketplace professional prices were 6.9percent lower, inpatient prices were 13.3percent lower, and outpatient prices were 26.3percent lower. Off-Marketplace prices fell between Marketplace and employer small-group prices. The finding that nongroup prices were significantly lower than prices paid by employer small-group plans-more so than indicated by prior research-is important for understanding federal subsidies and affordability for nongroup coverage and evaluating policies such as a nongroup public option with prices capped at a percentage of Medicare prices.
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